Socio-Economic Impact Assessment/SEIA - FORUM-AE · Ct tContent Socio Economic Impact Assessment...
Transcript of Socio-Economic Impact Assessment/SEIA - FORUM-AE · Ct tContent Socio Economic Impact Assessment...
ITAKA: sustainability benefitsSocio-Economic Impact
Assessment/SEIAAssessment/SEIA
Dr Delia DimitriuCentre for Aviation, Transport, and the Environment,MMU-UK
C t tContent
Socio Economic Impact Assessment (SEIA) of CamelinaProduction in Romania and Spain general backgroundProduction in Romania and Spain- general backgroundSEIA framework
Preliminary screeningy g Design draft SEIA
Stakeholders’ Contribution to Regional Policy Makers’ RegulationsRegulationsSocial-Economic Benefits vs RisksAssessing and Quantifying Local Socio-Economic Impactssess g a d Qua t y g oca Soc o co o c pactPreliminary findingsOpportunities for further research
1 U d d h i i i R i & S i
Preliminary screening
1. Understand the current situation in Romania & Spain• Landownership and agricultural policies• Camelina crops advantages and benefits for local communitiesCamelina crops advantages and benefits for local communities
2.Select case-studies /country- initial findings and additional researchRomania Spain- Villages – Axente Sever - Minaya (Albacete)
S ll T R i i Chil h (G d l j )- Small Towns – Rovinari - Chiloeches (Guadalajara)- Medium Towns – Campina - El Pozo de Guadalajara
(Guadalajara)(Guadalajara)- San Martín de Pusa (Toledo)
P li i i (2)Preliminary screening (2)
33. Design the Socio Economic Impact Assessment Questionnaire (RO)
• Local Authorities / NGOs – 3 – different communities• Village – Axente Sever• Village – Axente Sever• Small Town – Rovinari• Medium Town - Campina
L l W kf 9 i lt k• Local Workforce – 9 agriculture workers• Farmers and/or Landowners – 6
4. Assess Camelina production risk management4. Assess Camelina production risk management• Understand local risk drivers
• Land OwnershipL l f A i lt M h i ti• Level of Agriculture Mechanization
• Local Skills Availability
• Compliance with RSB Principles
Preliminary screening (3)Preliminary screening (3)
6. Design SEIA (the Socio Economic Impact Assessment Framework)
• Understand the local stakeholders behaviour• Basic economic impact evaluation, including
i t d i kassociated risk
The initially designed SEIA will give information towhom and where the benefits of cultivating camelinawill belong to as well as the real challenge forwill belong to, as well as the real challenge forcultivating camelina in Romania and Spain.
Camelina Value ChainCamelina Value ChainMihailesti demo-trial
A t i C l G i GP 202 R i C li•Austria-Calena, ; Germania-GP 202; Romania-Camelia
Romanian – Camelina Crops
Mainly on Contaminated Land
2013 - 2014
Mainly on Contaminated Land-Axente Sever – 4ha-Rovinari – 5ha-Campina – 1haCampina 1haAgricultural system Minimal tillingCereal average productivity (Tm/ha) 1.9
El Pozo de Guadalajara:
Farmer: SavialFarmer: SavialTotal agricultural acreage (ha): 750Agricultural system Minimal tillingCereal average productivity (Tm/ha) 2 2Cereal average productivity (Tm/ha) 2.2Camelina acreage (ha) 95
Villages(Axente Sever Case Study)
Positive impactNeeds Careful Consideration
Improved Roads
Development of Hard Infrastructure
Water Supply & Sewage Services
Gas & Electricity
Land Ownership
Local Land Ownership Culture
Land & Profit T ti Infrastructure Gas & Electricity
Supply
Development of
School Buildings Improvement
Taxation
Poor Level of Agriculture Mechanization
Very Low Local Tractors Supply
Soft Infrastructure Better Household Waste Management
Induced Development & Local Growth
Age Issues
Rural Social Cohesion
& Local Growth
Lower/Reverse Rural Depopulation
Local Workforce
Labour & Employment Country
Workforce Supply
People
Increased Local Employment / Lower Social Costs
Better Health
Regulations
Development Better Health, Education
Cleaner Environment
Next StepsNext Steps
1 Socio Economic Impact AssessmentField Data Acquisition: Refine the questionnaire as to assess the impact further down the Camelina Value Chain (refinery aviation companies GHGfurther down the Camelina Value Chain (refinery, aviation companies, GHG, etc.)Field Data Analysis: Increase the coverage as to increase breadth of dataRecommendations: Camelina Biofuels GHG LCA (Life Cycle Assessment)Recommendations: Camelina Biofuels GHG LCA (Life Cycle Assessment)
2 Risk Management AssessmentMapping local risk: By taking into account local specificitiesRisk mitigation proposals and recommendations: should de done at local community level.
3 Economic Impact Assessment3 Economic Impact AssessmentBuild hard data model: Refine and develop the model already designed and used for this research.E i d t i iti E d d fi th k i d ti lEconomic data acquisition: Expand and refine the work, income and national tax, and add land-related tax when needed.
N t St (2)Next Steps (2)
4.SEIA Conclusions and RecommendationsSocial benefits impact: Jobs creation nurture andSocial benefits impact: Jobs creation, nurture and
develop local workforce skills
Economic benefits: increased tax collection, lower budgetary outgoings, diversify and grow local and national economy
Risk & sustainability: positive impacts clearly outweighs the risks, risks that could be mitigated locally (i.e. workforce, training,the risks, risks that could be mitigated locally (i.e. workforce, training, etc.)
Stakeholders’ Input to Regional P li M k ’ R l tiPolicy Makers’ Regulations
Agricultural LandAgriculture CountrywideLand StrategyContaminated land
Land TaxLand Owners / Land Ownership
Mechanization Level
Local & Regional Development
Managers
Investment / Development
SituationLocal Development Policies, Tax & Capabilities
Development
Local Workforce Local Work Opportunities
Opportunities Local Authorities
Local Economy & Infrastructure
Local Population Local Level of Development
Opportunities
Local CommunityCleaner & Greener Environment
Infrastructure
p DevelopmentLocal Authorities
Social-Economic Benefits Vs RisksRisks
VILLAGE
SMALL
Biggest Benefits
1
SMALL TOWN 2Great Benefits
MEDIUMTOWNS
3
Average Benefits
Low Risk Avg. Risk High Risk
g
1
Assessing and Quantifying
Di t FT PT C lL l A th iti
g y gLocal Socio-Economic Impact
Em
ploym(FTE) (€)
Direct – FT, PT, Casual
Contractors
Local Wages Paymentsts (
€)
Local Authorities
Central Government
One-time (concession ment
)
Local Household Impact
d d i i
Paym
en fees, registration fees)
Recurring (royalties, profit tax)
Induced Positive ImpactInduced Positive
ImpactPositive Contribution to Local
Economy & Community
Local, Regional, National
Induced Positive Impact
Procurement Spending (€)
Farmers and Landowners i d i i di C li d timain drivers in expanding Camelina production
Local Farmers and Landowners- Able to mitigate local risks – they have the necessary
knowledge and connections in order to mitigate any productionknowledge and connections in order to mitigate any production-related risks at local level
- Work together with Local Authorities – to nurture andWork together with Local Authorities to nurture and develop Local Workforce skills while growing and diversifying the Local Economy
- Are willing to commit the investment – as most of them are looking to diversify away from their current crops, Camelinabeing a very promising optionbeing a very promising option
- Ask for Medium to Long Term Contracts – to be sure they have to whom to sell Camelina seeds at the end of each agricultural year
P li i fi diPreliminary findings
C li b i b fit t iti i Camelina brings benefits to communities in Romania
Further research needed in Spain- engage Further research needed in Spain engage authorities
Further socio-economic impact assessment studies will be needed at later stage - to assess th ll i t f th ti C li lthe overall impact of the entire Camelina value chain at both local and national level.
This research will give us a proper foundation to make further recommendations on Camelina production development and its positive socio economic impact on local communities beyondpositive socio-economic impact on local communities, beyond ITAKA scope
Opportunities for further Research
Socio-Economic Impact Analysis
Opportunities for further Research
Socio Economic Impact AnalysisMidstream SEIA – analysis for midstream (refinery) part of the Camelina Value Chain
- to be done from at least two points of view – using an already in use refinery site (Neste Oil) and potentially a new
(St R )one (Steaua Romana)End-user SEIA – analysis for Airline Companies (i.e. KLM)
-to take into account the implication of biofuel as part ofto take into account the implication of biofuel as part of EU-ETSLogistics SEIA – throughout the entire Camelina Value Chain, to integrate all activities
SEIA Strengths- Integration (all activities along CamelinaV l Ch i ) d R fi t t b d i diff t t i
Operators, ANSP
Value Chain) and Refinement: to be used in different countries, & different feedstock.
Further Research (2)
E i D l t F k
Further Research (2)
Economic Development Framework Camelina Crop Business Model & Economics –
- further develop, test and refine an economic model for CamelinapCrops for and from the point of view of Farmers and Local Authorities
Midstream Business Model & Economics –Midstream Business Model & Economics -further develop, test and refine an economic model for midstream
(conversion) activities for and from the point of view of refinery business
End-user Business Model & Economics –-further develop, test and refine an economic model for end-users-
(airlines) activities for and from the point of view of airlines(airlines) activities for and from the point of view of airlines Supply Chain Integration Model
- as a preparation for full-scale implementation and developmentit sho ld incl de GHG economics carbon ta associated- it should include GHG economics, carbon tax, associated
environmental benefits
THANK YOUTHANK YOU for your attention!THANK YOU THANK YOU for your attention!