Daily Trade Journal - 20.06.2013

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    p

    q

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    40.5

    -183.0

    15.9

    2,826.4

    3,009.4

    Thursday, June 20, 2013

    933.6

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    23.1

    3,475.9

    0.04 %

    -0.10 %

    2,385.5

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    + 2.21

    - 3.54

    6,211.44

    3,492.14

    ASPI 10.1%

    13.2%

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 20.06.2013Indices trading on a range: The bourse heavily

    consolidated on a 20 points restricted band during

    most part of trading hours. However turnover was

    heavy today due to large-sized off-board block

    transacted on JKH. At the end of the day ASPI

    settled at 6,211.44 with a marginal gain of 2 points.

    Gains recorded on John Keells Holdings (+1.7%),Ceylon Cold Stores (+9.3%) and losses denoted on

    Dialog Axiata (-1.1%) and Carsons Cumberbatch (-

    0.7%) held the indices on marginal ground.John Keells Holdings spearheaded the daily

    turnover: John Keells Holdings spearheaded

    turnover adding 80.0% to the daily turnover

    backed by two large-sized off-board transactions

    amounting to 10.1mn shares which were dealt at

    LKR265.0. The counter witnessed notable on-board

    interest as well led by a single transaction of 174kshares which was traded at LKR270.0. JKH closed at

    LKR269.5 with an intra-day gain of 1.7%.

    Commercial Bank too denoted off-board interest

    with four crossing totaling to 2.7mn which was

    transacted at LKR115.70-80. Carsons Cumberbatch

    and Distilleries Company followed up with small-

    sized off-board transactions during the day.BFI sector attain investor attention: Banking sectors

    counters Sampath Bank, Commercial Bank and

    Nations Trust Bank denoted on-board interestduring the day. Sampath Bank witnessed a single

    on-board transaction of 100k shares which was

    traded at LKR209.0. SAMP further dipped today by

    1.2% and closed at LKR208.1. Commercial Bank

    and Nations Trust Bank too dipped by 0.3% and

    1.9% respectively to settle at LKR115.8 and LKR63,5.

    Low Retail activity Retail activity was low and

    concentrated on selected counters Environmental

    Resources Investments and Janashakthi Insurance.

    Bourse remains dull despiteheavy turnover by JKH

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 21.06.2013

    8.66

    9.80

    10.85

    12.69

    Inflation (%) May-13 7.3

    8.8

    All Share Price Index p

    S&P SL20 Index q

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance q

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco p

    Construction & Engineering q

    Diversified p

    Healthcare q

    Hotels & Travels p

    Land & Property q

    Manufacturing p

    Plantation p

    Telecom q

    -1.35%

    2.3

    24.9

    42.8

    13,515.9

    % Change

    0.03%2.3

    -384.88%

    16.9

    -0.99%

    0.61%

    0.04%

    -0.80%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    0.06%

    4075.73%

    12009.38%

    -527.27%

    67.7

    2,384.6

    12.7

    624.12%

    624.12%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    480.0

    3.7

    -1.01%

    1.85%

    0.04%

    Today

    -183.0

    2.3

    3,009.4

    16.9

    6,211.4

    -0.10%

    2,385.5

    2.2

    2,826.4

    910.94%

    910.94%81.88%

    0.84%

    27.123.1

    241

    3,492.1

    343.8

    2.7

    239

    3,475.9

    0.04%

    1717.61%

    3197.79%

    Week ending

    -1.91%

    -7.76%

    1.69%

    0.06%

    -0.20%

    0.06%

    237

    2,384.0

    6,207.9

    3,499.1

    25.0

    0.06%

    0.00%

    155.5

    91.3

    64.2

    Change %

    6,209.2

    3,495.7

    2.2

    0.04% 16.9

    Pre Day

    13,608.3

    19,138.4

    2,030.6

    3,502.2

    616.6

    0.00%

    2,918.4

    2,028.7

    -0.34%

    0.13%

    -0.79%

    0.52%

    2,885.5

    18,813.9

    617.8

    162.5 163.8-0.19%162.2

    2.2

    3,085.9

    19,162.7

    2,862.6

    2,041.2

    13,470.6

    Pre Day

    0.00%

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 20.06.2013

    Today

    -14.95

    676.3 677.3 -0.15% 689.8 -1.96%

    796.1 790.5 0.71% 804.5 -1.04%

    3,128.0

    3,500.8

    -0.60%

    3,502.2

    612.9

    0.15%3,081.4

    6000

    6100

    6200

    6300

    6400

    6500

    6600

    Index

    ASPI

    3400

    3450

    3500

    3550

    3600

    3650

    3700

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 2.

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    JKH

    COMMERCIAL BANK

    CARSONS

    SAMPATH

    DISTILLERIES

    Most Active

    Close

    269.50

    1,007.00

    264.50

    1,019.00

    162.70

    134.10

    700.40

    8.70

    Volume (mn)

    116.4%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    3.7%

    2,777,608,337

    50,542,203

    42,077,281

    356,536,497

    89,002,204

    0.38

    3.08

    0.22

    0.2% 3,759,710

    2,777,608,337

    14.9%

    440.70

    208.10

    192.90

    EXPOLANKA 7.00

    COMMERCIAL BANK 115.80

    % Change

    SOFTLOGIC

    FREE LANKA 2.60

    0.52

    10.48

    3.08

    2.60

    -0.34%116.20

    0.20

    0.24-1.19%

    0.33

    1.70%

    -0.34%

    -1.41%

    2.1%

    1.8%

    14.9%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    875,103

    -0.05%

    9.90

    356,536,497

    3,647,574

    0.32

    KURUWITA TEXTILE

    S M B LEASING

    Pre Day

    1.70%265.00 116.4%10.48

    Volume (mn)% Change

    10.48%

    + 11.00 11.22%

    269.50

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    139.90

    0.2%

    0.0%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    166.10

    5.23

    8.42

    115.80

    58.30

    165.10

    40.50

    50,542.20

    73.40

    208.10

    162.50

    41.10

    700.00

    70.00

    1,301.00

    9.70

    TodayCompany

    174.50

    NUWARA ELIYA

    0.80

    393.54

    0.011.48

    49.94

    22.41

    671.14

    6.00

    Today

    9.25%

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    25.5017.45%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    356,536.50

    771.03

    2,776.11

    0.17

    1,002.00

    2,777,608.34

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    270.00

    13.00

    138.50

    208.00

    134.10

    192.90

    41.70

    8.70

    % Change

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 10,478,149

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 21

    1.5%

    200,005119

    3,400

    9.7%

    7.9%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    3.6%

    3.0%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    6.36

    1,900.10

    116.50

    1,669.83

    1.09

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 135.00

    2.4% 327.63

    139.67

    164.50

    89,002.20227.41

    693.001.77

    435.00

    708.90

    8.80

    1,911.10

    115.80

    444.501,913.00

    6,413.37

    42,077.28

    3.9%

    2.3%

    1.2%

    32

    77,126

    39,416

    12,385

    4.3%

    193.00

    60.00

    3.0%

    192.90

    60.00

    440.70

    3.1%

    115.80

    -0.74%

    1.5%

    2.2%

    Change

    - 3.50

    - 0.10

    - 99.00

    - 0.70

    % Change

    211.00

    210.60

    193.00

    444.00

    MACKWOODS ENERGY

    + 2.20

    EQUITY TWO PLC

    72.00

    138.60

    Volume

    21,627.34

    0.00%

    0.00%

    3,078,612

    40.75

    1,081.35

    811 817.06

    1.3%

    Change

    32.30

    Company% of

    Mkt Cap

    9.90

    Today Pre Day

    265.00

    116.20

    7.10

    + 4.80

    DISTILLERIES

    293

    240,929

    JKH 269.50

    Company

    218,017

    12,866

    6,511

    LAKE HOUSE PRIN.

    UDAPUSSELLAWA

    Company Today

    1.6%

    COLD STORES

    S M B LEASING [X] 0.50 + 0.10 25.00% CEYLON PRINTERS 1,293.50 - 305.50 -19.11%

    -6.73%

    -7.07%

    -12.07%

    -11.11%

    174.80

    23.20

    109.00

    + 14.80

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 3.

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar No Announcements

    Yuan 0

    Euro 0

    Rupee 0

    Yen 0

    Ringgit 0

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht No Announcements

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    q

    q

    q

    q

    q

    q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) q

    Crude Oil (WTI) q

    ICE Cotton #2 q

    CBOT Wheat q

    COMEX Gold q

    COMEX Silver q

    COMEX Copper q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    00-Jan-00

    Description

    0.00

    0.00

    0 1/0/1900

    0

    XR Date

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-0000-Jan-00

    Renunciation

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    Time*

    USd/bu.

    85.35

    Price

    104.02

    96.14

    USD/bbl.

    101.31

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    198.56

    0.00

    0.00 0

    0

    128.43

    0.0034.25

    Malaysia

    3.97

    119.13

    20.95

    2.19

    1.33

    40.17

    India

    Currency

    170.52

    Indicative Rate

    20.06.2013

    China

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    6,205.2

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    -2.10

    -604.0

    0

    2,617.0

    138.48

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.16

    USA

    02:28

    -143.7

    1/0/1900

    Change

    -2.49%

    -230.6

    04:01

    0

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    06:16

    06:18

    -2.26%

    06:17

    Company

    06:35

    06:17

    06:12

    0-Jan

    0-Jan

    06:32

    06:32

    Time*

    06:18

    -2.25%

    Change %

    -1.65%

    -8.50%

    -1.98%

    -2.14%

    -1.74%

    -2.88%

    -6.03%

    -22.9

    Change

    -1.44%-1.25

    0

    -2.10

    Change %

    308.05

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. -1.84

    702.50

    -7.10

    19.79

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    13,014.6

    Value

    15,112.2

    1,628.9

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    -11.75

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    20,382.9

    Units

    0

    -67.0

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    0.00

    -1.35%

    -1.39%

    -206.0

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    1,291.20 -82.80

    Australia

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    CSE Announcements

    Bogala Graphite [BOGA:LKR26.0]: The Company has obtained a licensefrom Geological Survey and Mines Bureau Sri Lanka for exploration of new

    graphite deposits at Kohombagahawatte, Rangala and Galigamuwa in Kegalle

    district covering 33 square kilometers and Mathugama of Kalutara District

    covering 56 square kilometers.

    Local News

    JKH to sign USD640 mn hotel deal next week: Sri Lankas top conglomerate, John Keells Holdings [JKH:LKR269.5], will sign a USD640 mn deal to establish an integrated hotel complex in the capital of Colombo,

    three sources told Reuters yesterday. JKH, the heavyweight of the USD18.5 bn Colombo Stock Exchange with

    a USD1.77 bn market cap, will sign the deal with a company from outside the country, the sources who have

    the direct knowledge on the deal told Reuters. Investment Promotion Minister Lakshman Yapa

    Abeywardena, without naming the company, said the government will sign a USD640 mn agreement next

    week with a local company for a 500-room hotel complex with apartments, supermarkets and restaurants.

    John Keells Holdings Deputy Chairman Ajith Gunawardena told Reuters that the project is in progress but

    declined to comment on the size of the project and if the company would sign the deal next week.

    [Source: www.dailymirror.lk]

    Sampath Bank raises USD100 m through international loan syndication: Sampath Bank [SAMP: LKR208.1]recently celebrated the success of its largest international loan transaction of USD100 m that was concluded

    in the first quarter of 2013. The banks consistent performance over the years coupled with its potential for

    sustainable growth have been the key driving forces in the success of this transaction and we are pleased to

    witness the high level of confidence placed by the off shore investors on the banks strategic direction,

    Managing Director Aravinda Perera said. The bank has established a great track record in the loansyndications space with this latest transaction drawing a great deal of interest from a diverse range of

    investors from a large number of Middle Eastern and Asian banks. Consequently, this deal which was

    launched for USD50 mn was upsized over two fold as the bank consciously decided to cap the final size to

    USD100 mn to suit its cash flow requirements. The transaction was facilitated by HSBC who acted as the lead

    arranger and book runner.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Casino recants?: Gambling with fate, a top Minister on Wednesday rejected claims that the Governmentplans to open a casino in Colombo with Australian gaming mogul James Packer, but did not rule out the

    possibility in the future. Investment Promotions Minister Lakshman Yapa Abeywardana insisted that the

    investment proposal under discussion from casino kingpin James Packer was only for a mixed developmentproject of USD350 mn that would include a five star hotel, restaurants and penthouses but not a casino.

    However, he admitted that there was room for the investors to transfer an existing gaming license from

    another owner and operate a casino. Abeywardana defended the loophole by vehemently pointing out that

    the Government would not issue new gaming licenses and that if Sri Lanka wished to reach the target of 2.5

    mn arrivals by 2016 it would need to open itself up to similar investment options.In 2012 the Government

    set a target of USD2 bn but only managed to attract USD1.2 bn. Nonetheless Abeywardana is upbeat of the

    islands chances of meeting the mark in 2013.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    10 investment proposals from China: Ten proposals from Chinese companies have been handed over to theInvestment Promotion Ministry, an official said yesterday. Investment Promotions Minister Lakshman YapaAbeywardana responding to questions noted that the proposals were to set up factories in areas such as

    Suriyaweva and Sampur. The proposals include a steel factory, IT Park and assembling motor vehicles. One

    proposal was to produce herbal beauty products but most of them are for smaller ventures of around USD25-

    50 mn,he added. The Sampur investment zone received Cabinet approval over the weekend. Abeywardana

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    rejected concerns that disputes over the 13th Amendment would hamper Indo-Lanka investment

    opportunities stressing that political issues would not infringe on business decisions.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Krrish told to pay up or lose concessions: Taking an unusually tough stance the Investment PromotionMinister has told Krrish to pay up before 15 July or risk losing tax concessions that could be granted under

    the Strategic Development Act in Parliament. Investment Promotions Minister Lakshman Yapa Abeywardanastated that while 84% of the USD460 mn project has been paid he had told the investors to complete the

    transaction by 15 July or risk tax concessions that can be bestowed upon it. The practice is for any project

    investing above USD250 mn to receive tax and other concessions by being put under the Strategic

    Investment Act, which would then be approved by Parliament. We have charged them 12% interest on the

    previously delayed payments. If they fail to meet the 15 July deadline then we will charge them a further 12%

    interest and refuse it concessions eligible under the Strategic Investment Act. However, the project can still

    continue,he said.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Global News

    China Manufacturing Contraction Deepens Amid Cash Pinch: Chinas manufacturing is shrinking at a fasterpace this month, adding to stresses in the economy and financial system after interbank borrowing costs

    surged to the highest in seven years. The preliminary reading of 48.3 for a Purchasing Managers Index

    (EC11FLAS) released today by HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics compares with the 49.1 median

    estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 15 economists. Mays final reading of 49.2 was the first below 50

    since October, indicating contraction. If market rates remain at such high levels, the only scenario for the

    Chinese economy is a hard landing, said Xu Gao, chief economist with Everbright Securities Co. in Beijing.

    That possibility is growing now. It seems the leadership is deliberately taking a wait-and-see stance to see

    how low China growth can be.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

    Euro ministers to decide direct bank recapitalization rules on Thursday: Euro zone finance ministers willdecide on Thursday when and how their bailout fund can invest in a bank to save it from failure, laying a

    cornerstone of the banking union seen as vital to restore economic growth. Ministers from the 17 countries

    using the euro will also set guidelines for how much a government would have to contribute to such a bank

    rescue, which banks would be eligible, and who would lose money in the process. "We will reach a decision

    on all aspects of direct recapitalization," a senior European Union official involved in preparations for the

    meeting said. Euro zone leaders want the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) bailout fund to be able to

    become a shareholder in a systemically important bank so that the expense of saving the institution does not

    fall just on the shoulders of a government that may already be struggling with huge debts. The possibility of

    such direct recapitalization should help boost confidence among euro zone banks, encouraging them to lend

    to the real economy and so boost growth.[Source: www.reuters.com]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 7

    Softlogic Equity ResearchDimantha Mathew

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277030

    Kavindu Ranasinghe

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277031

    Imalka Hettiarachchi

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277032

    Softlogic Equity SalesBranches

    Horana

    Madushanka Rathnayaka

    No. 212, 1st

    Floor, Panadura Road, Horana

    [email protected]

    +94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

    Negambo

    Krishan Williams

    No. 121, St. Joseph Street Negambo

    [email protected]

    +94 31 2224714-5, +94 77 3569827

    Kurunegala

    Bandula Lansakara

    No.13, Rajapihilla Mawatha, Kurunegala

    [email protected]

    +94 37 2232875, +94 77 3615790

    Matara

    Lalith Rajapaksha

    No.8A, 2nd Floor, FN Building, Station Road, [email protected]

    +94 41 7451000, +94 77 3031159

    Dihan Dedigama

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277010, +94 77 7689933

    Chandima Kariyawasam

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277058, +94 77 7885778

    Sonali Abayasekera

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277051, +94 77 7736059

    Thanuja De Silva

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277059, +94 77 3120018

    The report has been prepared by Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived at based upon

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    or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. This

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