Daily Trade Journal - 29.05.2013

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  • 7/28/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 29.05.2013

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    p

    p

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    40.9

    102.5

    13.2

    239.4

    136.9

    Wednesday, May 29, 2013

    897.4

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    49.3

    906.1

    0.33 %

    0.49 %

    2,479.0

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    + 21.11

    + 17.68

    6,455.81

    3,644.64

    ASPI 14.4%

    18.1%

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 29.05.2013Bourse gains closing up on 6,500: The bourse

    witnessed heavy volatility throughout the day though

    the index stayed in the green all day long providing

    some comfort to investors. Considerable

    improvement in retail activity was observed during

    the day on selected counter while Commercial Bank,

    Ceylon Beverage Holdings, Sri Lanka Telecom and

    Asian Hotels and Properties were the primary

    contributors to the index.Retail favourite counters climb to the top of the

    turnover list: Nation Lanka Finance saw renewed

    buying following a prolonged quiet period as the

    counter saw 9.7mn shares being traded with 1 large

    block of 715k share changing hands at LKR10.2. The

    counter gained sharply closing with a 17% gain at

    LKR11.7. Blue chips Chevron Lubricants and John

    Keells Holdings generated investor attention with the

    latter recording some selling pressure as countersclosed at LKR318.1 and LKR288.6.

    Land and Property sector retains buying interest:

    Investor play was steady in the land and property

    counters Overseas Reality and Colombo Land as the

    former renewed its 52-week high to LKR21.3 while

    both counters recorded gains of 2.4% and 2.7%.Retail interest strengthens: Retail investors were active

    on a otherwise dull day changing the momentum on

    the market. Nation Lanka Finance, Colombo Land

    and Overseas Reality were some of the favourite

    picks of the retailers.

    Bourse trends up on vo latilefooting

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 31.05.2013

    8.73

    9.90

    10.86

    13.08

    Inflation (%) Apr-13 6.4

    8.8

    All Share Price Index p

    S&P SL20 Index p

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance p

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco p

    Construction & Engineering p

    Diversified q

    Healthcare p

    Hotels & Travels p

    Land & Property p

    Manufacturing p

    Plantation q

    Telecom p

    1.23%

    2.4

    48.0

    308.4

    13,987.3

    % Change

    0.33%2.4

    37.18%

    17.5

    -1.21%

    -1.81%

    0.51%

    4.13%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    -0.09%

    -32.83%

    185.45%

    -66.77%

    356.4

    2,470.9

    36.2

    18.25%

    18.25%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    766.2

    6.1

    -1.47%

    3.00%

    0.33%

    Today

    102.5

    2.4

    136.9

    17.5

    6,455.8

    0.49%

    2,479.0

    2.1

    239.4

    63.79%

    63.79%36.04%

    -1.60%

    7.249.3

    246

    3,644.6

    553.2

    4.4

    250

    906.1

    0.33%

    122.55%

    316.55%

    Week ending

    0.44%

    140.71%

    -0.81%

    -0.09%

    -0.53%

    -0.09%

    248

    2,481.3

    6,461.6

    3,664.0

    20.5

    -0.09%

    0.00%

    107.6

    32.9

    74.7

    Change %

    6,434.7

    3,627.0

    2.1

    0.33% 17.5

    Pre Day

    14,253.6

    19,384.2

    2,127.7

    3,605.2

    655.3

    0.23%

    2,931.8

    2,164.9

    0.41%

    0.45%

    1.03%

    -0.09%

    2,914.7

    18,903.9

    640.2

    172.4 175.30.47%173.2

    2.1

    3,206.3

    19,471.1

    2,944.6

    2,125.8

    14,044.5

    Pre Day

    0.00%

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 29.05.2013

    Today

    -7.89

    714.0 703.2 1.53% 716.4 -0.34%

    821.2 829.7 -1.02% 825.9 -0.57%

    3,167.4

    3,595.2

    1.73%

    3,613.4

    666.7

    0.40%3,193.5

    5600

    5800

    6000

    6200

    6400

    6600

    Index

    ASPI

    3200

    3300

    3400

    3500

    3600

    3700

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    20.0

    40.0

    60.0

    80.0

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 2.

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    NATION LANKA

    CHEVRON

    JKH

    NAT. DEV. BANK

    COLOMBO LAND

    Most Active

    Close

    288.60

    974.90

    288.00

    975.00

    167.50

    135.20

    710.00

    9.40

    Volume (mn)

    4.3%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    2.4%

    107,270,019

    51,916,872

    50,811,046

    73,946,777

    58,657,705

    3.33

    0.23

    0.97

    0.4% 8,990,930

    107,270,019

    3.0%

    288.60

    177.20

    52.60

    VALLIBEL 6.10

    NATION LANKA[WARRANTS] 1.20

    % Change

    PANASIAN POWER

    OVERSEAS REALTY 21.00

    3.34

    9.77

    6.36

    20.50

    0.86%315.40

    0.20

    0.291.61%

    2.12

    17.00%

    200.00%

    0.00%

    2.1%

    2.0%

    0.3%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    44,357,908

    2.73%

    2.70

    6,437,709

    20,680,940

    7.03

    SOFTLOGIC FIN

    PCH HOLDINGS

    Pre Day

    17.00%10.00 4.3%9.77

    Volume (mn)% Change

    11.67%

    + 1.70 17.00%

    11.70

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    145.00

    0.8%

    1.8%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    175.00

    48.32

    3.55

    121.00

    60.00

    174.50

    42.80

    18,846.71

    76.30

    224.80

    167.50

    43.40

    701.10

    75.00

    1,000.00

    1,122.10

    TodayCompany

    175.00

    PARAGON

    4.00

    149.03

    3.58453.36

    33.88

    123.42

    6,110.23

    10.63

    Today

    10.13%

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    31.0025.00%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    39,835.54

    1,343.93

    314.99

    0.98

    950.00

    58,657.70

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    290.00

    17.70

    143.00

    222.00

    135.00

    199.50

    43.50

    9.30

    % Change

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 203,092

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 6,020

    1.5%

    1751,004

    277

    10.0%

    7.4%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    3.5%

    2.9%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    261.90

    2,003.00

    124.00

    2,239.03

    0.09

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 137.00

    2.4% 170.46

    11.98

    168.00

    77.372,013.28

    0.6115.92

    440.40

    710.00

    9.50

    2,009.00

    123.60

    445.002,015.00

    4,285.20

    21,557.28

    4.0%

    2.2%

    1.2%

    174

    650,014

    25,580

    16,537

    4.4%

    201.00

    61.90

    3.1%

    200.10

    61.00

    440.80

    3.2%

    318.10

    -0.14%

    1.5%

    2.2%

    Change

    - 3.30

    - 0.40

    - 98.20

    - 97.90

    % Change

    225.00

    174.40

    51.20

    289.00

    SELINSING

    + 3.50

    EQUITY ONE PLC

    76.00

    144.00

    Volume

    463.82

    0.00%

    2.44%

    322,028

    889.68

    448.90

    33,978 33,121.43

    1.4%

    Change

    0.50

    Company% of

    Mkt Cap

    2.70

    Today Pre Day

    10.00

    0.40

    6.10

    + 0.10

    DISTILLERIES

    6,180

    83,870

    NATION LANKA 11.70

    Company

    107,730

    22,083

    2,570

    NATION LANKA

    S M B LEASING [X]

    Company Today

    1.6%

    VALLIBEL FINANCE

    NATION LANKA [W 0021] 1.20 + 0.80 200.00% G S FINANCE 598.50 - 71.50 -10.67%

    -8.02%

    -8.94%

    -9.62%

    -9.09%

    33.70

    33.50

    11.70

    + 3.10

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 3.

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar John Keells PLC

    Yuan John Keells Holdings PLC

    Euro Keells Food Products PLC

    Rupee Ceylon Cold Stores PLC

    Yen Trans Asia Hotels PLC

    Ringgit United Motors Lanka PLC

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht No Announcements

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    p

    p

    q

    q

    p

    q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) q

    Crude Oil (WTI) q

    ICE Cotton #2 q

    CBOT Wheat q

    COMEX Gold p

    COMEX Silver p

    COMEX Copper q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    17-06-2013

    17-06-2013

    17-06-2013

    1/0/1900

    06-06-2013

    Description

    4.00

    2.00

    0 1/0/1900

    06-06-2013

    XR Date

    06-06-2013

    00-Jan-00

    09-07-201301-07-2013

    Renunciation

    17-06-2013

    2.00

    Time*

    USd/bu.

    81.29

    Price

    103.86

    94.35

    USD/bbl.

    99.67

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    190.06

    3.50

    1.50 06-06-2013

    06-06-2013

    126.47

    0.0033.72

    Malaysia

    4.01

    120.96

    20.63

    2.26

    1.24

    41.39

    India

    Currency

    162.61

    Indicative Rate

    29.05.2013

    China

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    6,664.0

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    -0.37

    -369.3

    0

    2,798.2

    129.78

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.20

    USA

    02:28

    -98.0

    1/0/1900

    Change

    -1.32%

    14.5

    04:01

    0

    00-Jan-00

    17-06-2013

    1/0/1900

    07:11

    07:11

    -1.45%

    07:11

    Company

    07:11

    07:10

    07:11

    0-Jan

    0-Jan

    07:00

    06:59

    Time*

    07:11

    -0.87%

    Change %

    -0.29%

    0.48%

    -0.35%

    -0.69%

    0.10%

    -1.61%

    0.83%

    10.5

    Change

    -0.16%-0.13

    0

    -0.66

    Change %

    328.60

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. 0.11

    691.75

    -2.90

    22.30

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    14,326.5

    Value

    15,409.4

    1,660.1

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    -2.00

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    22,554.9

    Units

    0

    -37.7

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    4.00

    0.00

    0.69%

    0.63%

    106.3

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    1,391.10 11.40

    Australia

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 4.

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 5

    CSE Announcements

    PC House [PCH: LKR3.2] : Notification on listing of shares (Rights Issue)

    Brown and Company [BRWN: LKR126.0]: Mr. N M Prakash informed theBoard of his intention to resign from the position holds as Group ManagingDirector / Chief Executive Officer.

    Royal Ceramics Lanka [RCL: LKR109.0]: Further to the Announcement made by RCL on 28th May 2013, it ishereby announced that RCL purchased a further 1,592 Ordinary Shares on 28.05.2013 constituting

    approximately 0,005% of the total shares in issue in Lanka Ceramic, on the CSE. RCL currently holds a total of

    22,983,557 shares constituting approximately 76.61% of the total shares in issue in Lanka Ceramic.

    Local News

    Sri Lanka to sell 30-year long bonds: Sri Lanka is selling 30-year long bonds for the first time this week whichfill a need for long term gilts, help better manage the state debt stock and extend a risk free yield curve,officials said. We think it is a good time," Central Bank Nivard Cabraal said. "There will be plenty of long term

    investors because they know that interest rates would trend down in the future "Then from the governments

    point of view it will help them to better manage their debt stock, by moving maturities to the higher range."

    A unit of Sri Lanka's central bank, the department of public debt manages and issues debt for the Treasury. It

    is offering LKR2.0 bn of 30 year bonds maturing on June 01, 2043 with a coupon of 9.0% at an auction on

    May 30.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Sri Lanka and China to negotiate free trade deal, expressway funding: Sri Lanka and China will negotiate afree trade deal and Chinese support has been pledged for a planned expressway to the north of the islandfollowing a state visit by President Rajapaksa to Beijing. During bilateral meetings, agreement had been

    reached to set up two committees that will work towards a free trade deal the president s media office said.

    A target to attract 100,000 Chinese tourists to Sri Lanka has been set. "This would give Sri Lankan products

    such as apparel, gems and jewelry, tea and rubber wider access in the Chinese market,"the statement said.

    Last year Sri Lanka imported USD2.66 bn of goods from China and exported only USD113 mn in 2012.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Softlogic Finance in LKR500 mn securitization deal: Softlogic Finance [CRL: LKR30.0] announced theconclusion of its latest securitization transaction that will enable the company to access funding of LKR500

    mn to grow and develop the business of the company for the current quarter. The transaction, signed

    recently has drawn considerable interest and full subscription from a number of diverse investors that

    include commercial banks, development banks and other institutional investors. The tenor of the transaction

    was for two years and will enable the company to enhance lending volumes in the initial part of the year and

    potentially gain by re-financing with lower interest rates towards the latter part of the period. The trustee to

    the transaction was Deutsche Bank AG and lawyers to the issue were Nithya Partners. The transaction was

    arranged by Liege Capital. The securitization by Softlogic Finance was developed as a stable funding source

    to push its aggressive business plans with this transaction being the 20th securitization completed by the

    company.

    [Source: www.dailynews.lk]

    Fitch assigns Lion's Debt Final 'AA-(lka)': Fitch Ratings has assigned Sri Lanka-based Lion Brewery (Ceylon)[LION: LKR425.0] listed unsecured redeemable debentures of LKR3bn a final 'AA-(lka)' rating. The LKR3bn

    includes an additional LKR500m which will be raised in the event of an oversubscription. The agency has also

    affirmed Lion's National Long-Term rating at 'AA-(lka)' with a Stable Outlook, and affirmed the company's

    senior unsecured rating at 'AA-(lka)'. The assignment of the final rating to Lion's listed unsecured debentures

    follows the receipt of final documents which conform to information previously received. The final rating is

    Alloted/Listed Proportion Consideration Raised Date Listed

    114,466,667 1 for 2 LKR3.0 343,400,001 29.05.2013

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    at the same level as the expected rating assigned on March 25, 2013. The debentures are rated in line with

    Lion's National Long-Term Rating of 'AA-(lka)', as they rank equally with the company's unsecured creditors.

    Lion expects to use the debenture proceeds to fund the upgrade and modernisation of its plant over FY13-

    FY14 (financial year ends March). The affirmation of Lion's ratings reflects Fitch's view that the increase in

    leverage (lease-adjusted debt net of cash/EBITDAR) to 1.85x in FY13from an annualized 1.09x in 9MFY13, is a

    temporary feature, and that it does not signify a structural weakening in the company's risk profile.

    [Source: www.dailynews.lk]

    Amana Takaful distributes surplus to policyholders Amana Takaful [ATL: LKR1.6]announced to its Generalinsurance customers a payment of surplus, which gives Takaful policyholders a proportionate rate from the

    surplus of the risk fund. As opposed to conventional insurance, the Takaful concept not only benefits

    claimants but also takes care of non-claimants. Non-claimants receive a proportionate share of the surplus

    from the risk fund at the end of a defined period. By virtue of being a Takaful policyholder one becomes a

    participant of the risk pool. The Risk pool meets all claims of the membership among other expenses. In the

    event of a surplus in the risk pool, non-claimants among the participants are entitled to a proportionate

    share of the proceeds. With our relentless pursuit to achieve sustainable growth and profits we are

    delighted to share a surplus in the first year of our revised strategic plan. Non-claimant Takaful policyholderswill receive their share of the surplus amounting 12.5% of the residual portion of the risk fund shortly," said

    Fazal Ghaffoor, Chief Executive Officer, Amana Takaful. "All policyholders will do well to note that this must

    not be confused with the No Claim Bonus (NCB), which is a feature of any regular Motor insurance policy", he

    added.

    [Source: www.island.lk]

    Global News

    China Growth Outlook Cut by IMF as Decisive Reforms Urged:The International Monetary Fund loweredits forecasts for Chinas growth and said making decisivepolicy changes would put the economy on a moresustainable path. Expansion will be about 7.75% this year and next, David Lipton, first deputy managing

    director of the IMF, said today at a press briefing in Beijing after concluding an annual review of China. In

    April, the IMF forecast growth of 8% this year and 8.2% expansion in 2014. While China still has significant

    policy space and financial capacity to maintain stability even in the face of adverse shocks, the margins of

    safety are narrowing and a decisive impetus to reforms is needed to contain vulnerabilities and move the

    economy to a more sustainable growth path,Lipton said.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

    Slowing Thai Growth Aids Government Call for Rate Cut: Thailands central bank may cut its benchmarkinterest rate today for the first time this year as slowing economic growth bolsters government calls for

    easing. The Bank of Thailand will probably lower its one-day bond repurchase rate by a quarter of apercentage point to 2.5%, the first reduction since October, according to 15 of 24 economists surveyed by

    Bloomberg News. One expects a half-point reduction and eight predict no change. The central bank may

    need to ease to ensure continuity of the economic recovery, said Usara Wilaipich, a Bangkok-based

    economist at Standard Chartered Plc, who predicts a quarter-point cut. It could also help reduce pressure on

    the baht to appreciate. But the central bank may also want to consider other macro-prudential measures to

    reduce concern about the risk of bubbles and other side effects from a rate cut.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 7

    Softlogic Equity ResearchDimantha Mathew

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277030

    Kavindu Ranasinghe

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277031

    Imalka Hettiarachchi

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277032

    Softlogic Equity SalesBranches

    Horana

    Madushanka Rathnayaka

    No. 212, 1st

    Floor, Panadura Road, Horana

    [email protected]

    +94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

    Negambo

    Krishan Williams

    No. 121, St. Joseph Street Negambo

    [email protected]

    +94 31 2224714-5, +94 77 3569827

    Kurunegala

    Bandula Lansakara

    No.13, Rajapihilla Mawatha, Kurunegala

    [email protected]

    +94 37 2232875, +94 77 3615790

    Matara

    Lalith RajapakshaNo.8A, 2

    ndFloor, FN Building, Station Road, Matara

    [email protected]

    +94 41 7451000, +94 77 3031159

    Dihan Dedigama

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277010, +94 77 7689933

    Chandima Kariyawasam

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277058, +94 77 7885778

    Sonali Abayasekera

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277051, +94 77 7736059

    Thanuja De Silva

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277059, +94 77 3120018

    The report has been prepared by Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived at based upon

    information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation

    or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions ar e subject to change without notice. This

    document is for information purposes only, descriptions of any company or companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to be complete and

    this document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell a ny securities or other financial instruments.

    Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd may, to the extent permissible by applicable law or regulation, use the above material, conclusions, research or analysis in which

    they are based before the materialized disseminated to their customeLKRNot all customers will receive the material at the same time. Softlogic Stockbrokers, their

    respective directors, officers, representatives, employees, related persons and/or Softlogic Stockbrokers, may have a long or short position in any of the securities or

    other financial instruments mentioned or issuers described herein at any time and may make a purchase and/or sale, or offer t o make a purchase and/or sale of any

    such securities or other financial instruments from time to time in the open market or otherwise, in each case either as principal or agent. Softlogic Stockbrokers

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