Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 13.03.13

7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 13.03.13

1/15

13TH

MARCH 2013

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2/15

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THE TAKEAWAY: UK industrial production declines1.2% in January -> Signs worsen for Q1 economic

growth -> Pound sets a new 2.5-year low

The British Pound set a new 2.5-year low as UK

manufacturing production and industrial production

disappointed expectations. Industrial production fell

1.2% in January, worse than expectations for a 0.1%

rise in production and down fromDecembers 1.1%rise. Industrial production fell 2.9% from January

2012, according to the UK Office for National

Statistics.

TRADING TIPS

BUY EURUSD ABOVE

1.3035 tgs

1.3055/1.3075 sl 1.3005

BUY USDJPY ABOVE

96.75 tgt 96.95/97.15

SL 96.45

SELL GBPUSD BELOW

1.4830 tgt

1.4810/1.4790 SL

1.4860

HEADLINES


3/15

HOURLY EURUSD CHART

ANALYSIS

OPEN: 1.3032

HIGH: 1.3038

LOW: 1.2991

CLOSE: 1.3008

EURUSD LOOKS UPWARD REVERSAL

TREND : BULLISH

STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS

MACD =>-.000(BULLISH SIGNAL)

RSI => 45(BULLISH SIGNAL)

HOURLY EURUSD CHART


4/15

HOURLY USDJPY CHART

ANALYSIS

OPEN: 96.63

HIGH: 96.69

LOW: 95.64

CLOSE: 95.76

USDJPY LOOKS UPWARD

TREND: BULLISH

STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS MACD => -0.05( BULLISH SIGNAL)

RSI =>30(BULLISH SIGNAL)

HOURLY USDJPY CHART


5/15

HOURLY GBPUSD CHART

ANALYSIS

OPEN: 1.4904

HIGH: 1.4916

LOW: 1.4831

CLOSE: 1.4855

GBPUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD

TREND: BEARISH

STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

MACD => .002( BEARISH SIGNAL)

RSI => 34(BEARIISH SIGNAL)

HOURLY GBPUSD CHART


6/15

HOURLY EURGBP CHART

ANALYSIS

OPEN: 0.8743

HIGH: 0.8777

LOW: 0.8718

CLOSE: 0.8757

EURGBP LOOKS UPWARDS

TREND: BULLISH


MACD =>-.003(BULLISH SIGNAL)


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HOURLY EURGBP CHART


7/15

HOURLY USDINDEX CHART

ANALYSIS

OPEN: 82.6740

HIGH: 82.7910

LOW: 82.6290

CLOSE: 82.6990

USDINDEX LOOKS UPWARD

TREND: BULLISH


MACD =>0.79(BULLISH SIGNAL)



8/15

Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous N

Mon

Mar 11

JPY JapaneseParliament May Voteon BoJ GovernorNominations

High

00:01GBP LloydsEmploymentConfidence (FEB)

Low -44 -45

06:00JPY Machine ToolOrders (YoY) (FEB P)

Medium -21.5% -26.4%

07:00EUR German TradeBalance (euros) (JAN)

Medium 13.7B 13.9B 12.1B

07:00EUR German CurrentAccount (euros) (JAN)

Low 11.3B 10.5B 20.2B

07:00EUR German Importss.a. (MoM) (JAN)

Low 3.3% 0.7% -1.5%

07:00EUR German Exportss.a. (MoM) (JAN)

Low 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%

07:00EUR German LaborCosts Workday Adj(YoY) (4Q)

Low 2.9% 2.9%

07:00EUR German LaborCosts Seas. Adj. (QoQ)(4Q)

Low 0.8% 0.2%

08:15CHF Retail Sales(Real) (YoY) (JAN)

Medium 1.9% 4.7%

09:00

EUR Italian GrossDomestic Product s.a.and w.d.a. (QoQ) (4QF)

Medium -0.9% -0.9% -0.9%

09:00

EUR Italian GrossDomestic Product s.a.and w.d.a. (YoY) (4QF)

Medium -2.8% -2.7% -2.7%

23:50JPY DomesticCorporate Goods PriceIndex (MoM) (FEB)

Low 0.3% 0.4%

23:50JPY DomesticCorporate Goods PriceIndex (YoY) (FEB)

Low -0.1% -0.2%

23:50JPY Tertiary IndustryIndex (MoM) (JAN)

Medium -0.2% 1.4%

ECONOMIC CALENDER


9/15

23:50

JPY BSI Large AllIndustry (QoQ) (1Q)

Medium -5.5

23:50JPY BSI LargeManufacturing (QoQ)(1Q)

Medium -10.3

Tue

Mar 1200:01

EUR Germany SecondQuarter ManpowerEmployment Outlook(Table)

Low

00:01GBP RICS House Price

Balance (FEB)Medium -1% -4%

00:30AUD NAB BusinessConditions (FEB)

Low -2

00:30AUD NAB BusinessConfidence (FEB)

Medium 3

00:30AUD RBA Credit CardBalances (JAN)

Low $A49.9B

00:30AUD RBA Credit CardPurchases (JAN)

Low $A22.4B

05:00

JPY Consumer

Confidence (FEB) Medium 43.3

07:00EUR GermanWholesale Price Index(MoM) (FEB)

Low 0.3%

07:00EUR GermanWholesale Price Index(YoY) (FEB)

Low 2.3%

07:00EUR GermanConsumer Price Index(MoM) (FEB F)

Medium 0.6% 0.6%

07:00EUR GermanConsumer Price Index

(YoY) (FEB F)

High 1.5% 1.5%

07:00

EUR GermanConsumer Price Index -EU Harmonised (MoM)(FEB F)

Medium 0.8% 0.8%

07:00

EUR GermanConsumer Price Index -EU Harmonised (YoY)(FEB F)

High 1.8% 1.8%

09:00

EUR Italian ConsumerPrice Index - EUHarmonized (YoY)(FEB F)

Low 0.1%

09:30GBP IndustrialProduction (MoM)(JAN)

Low 0.1% 1.1%

09:30GBP IndustrialProduction (YoY) (JAN)

Medium -1.1% -1.7%

09:30GBP ManufacturingProduction (MoM)(JAN)

Low 0.0% 1.6%

09:30GBP ManufacturingProduction (YoY) (JAN)

Medium -1.0% -1.5%

09:30GBP Visible TradeBalance (Pounds)

(JAN)

Medium -8950 -8897


10/15

09:30

GBP Trade BalanceNon EU (Pounds)(JAN)

Medium -3200 -3201

09:30GBP Total TradeBalance (Pounds)(JAN)

Low -4500 -4239

11:30USD NFIB SmallBusiness Optimism(FEB)

Low 90.0 88.9

14:00USD JOLTs JobOpenings (JAN)

Low 3617

15:00GBP NIESR GrossDomestic ProductEstimate (FEB)

Medium 0.0%

18:00USD Monthly BudgetStatement (FEB)

Medium

21:45NZD Food Prices(MoM) (FEB)

Low 1.9%

23:30AUD WestpacConsumer Confidence(MAR)

Medium 7.7%

23:30AUD WestpacConsumer ConfidenceIndex (MAR)

Low 108.3

Wed

Mar 13

AUD AustraliaManpower Survey (2Q)

Low 7%

NZD New ZealandManpower Survey (2Q)

Medium 15%

00:30AUD Home Loans(JAN)

Medium 0.5% -1.5%

00:30AUD InvestmentLending (JAN)

Low -2.4%

00:30AUD Value of Loans(MoM) (JAN)

Low -2.7%

06:30EUR French Non-FarmPayrolls (QoQ) (4Q F)

Low -0.2% -0.2%

10:00EUR Euro-ZoneIndustrial Productions.a. (MoM) (JAN)

Low -0.1% 0.70%

10:00EUR Euro-ZoneIndustrial Productionw.d.a. (YoY) (JAN)

Medium -2.0% -2.3%

11:00USD MBA Mortgage

Applications (MAR 8)

Low 14.80%

12:30USD Import Price Index(MoM) (FEB)

Low 0.5% 0.6%

12:30USD Import Price Index(YoY) (FEB)

Low -0.6% -1.3%

12:30USD Advance RetailSales (FEB)

High 0.5% 0.1%

12:30USD Retail Sales LessAutos (FEB)

Medium 0.5% 0.2%


11/15

12:30

USD Retail Sales ExAuto & Gas (FEB)

Medium 0.2% 0.2%

12:30USD Retail Sales"Control Group" (FEB)

Low 0.2% 0.1%

14:00USD BusinessInventories (JAN)

Medium 0.4% 0.1%

14:30USD DOE U.S. CrudeOil Inventories (MAR 8)

Low 3833K

14:30USD DOE Cushing OKCrude Inventory (MAR8)

Low 257K

14:30USD DOE U.S.Gasoline Inventories(MAR 8)

Low -616K

14:30USD DOE U.S.Distillate Inventory(MAR 8)

Low -3830K

20:00NZD Reserve Bank ofNew Zealand RateDecision (MAR 14)

High 2.50% 2.50%

23:50

JPY Japan Buying

Foreign Bonds (Yen)(MAR 8)

Low

23:50JPY Japan BuyingForeign Stocks (Yen)(MAR 8)

Low

23:50JPY Foreign BuyingJapan Bonds (Yen)(MAR 8)

Low 657.8B

23:50JPY Foreign BuyingJapan Stocks (Yen)(MAR 8)

Low 269.6B

Thu

Mar 1400:00

AUD ConsumerInflation Expectation

(MAR)

Medium 2.2%

CNY China ManpowerSurvey (2Q)

Low 14%

JPY Japan ManpowerSurvey (2Q)

Low 11

CNY Actual FDI (YoY)(FEB)

Medium -4.8% -7.3%

00:30AUD EmploymentChange (FEB)

High 10.0K 10.4K

00:30

AUD Unemployment

Rate (FEB) High 5.5% 5.4%

00:30AUD Full TimeEmployment Change(FEB)

Medium -9.8K

00:30AUD Part TimeEmployment Change(FEB)

Medium 20.2K

00:30AUD Participation Rate(FEB)

Low 65.0% 65.0%

02:00NZD Non ResidentBond Holdings (FEB)

Low 66.7%


12/15

04:00

JPY TokyoCondominium Sales(YoY) (FEB)

Low -5.4%

04:30JPY IndustrialProduction (MoM) (JANF)

Low 1.0%

04:30JPY IndustrialProduction (YoY) (JANF)

Medium -5.1%

04:30JPY CapacityUtilization (MoM) (JAN

F)

Low 2.9%

06:00JPY Machine ToolOrders (YoY) (FEB F)

Medium

08:30CHF Swiss NationalBank Rate Decision(MAR 14)

High 0.00% 0.00%

10:00EUR Euro-ZoneEmployment (QoQ)(4Q)

Low -0.2%

10:00EUR Euro-ZoneEmployment (YoY)(4Q)

Low -0.7%

12:30CAD CapacityUtilization Rate (4Q)

Low

12:30USD Current AccountBalance (4Q)

Low -$112.8B -$107.5B

12:30CAD New HousingPrice Index (MoM)(JAN)

Low 0.2%

12:30CAD New HousingPrice Index (YoY)(JAN)

Low 2.3%

12:30USD Producer Price

Index (MoM) (FEB)Medium 0.6% 0.2%

12:30USD Producer PriceIndex Ex Food &Energy (MoM) (FEB)

Medium 0.1% 0.2%

12:30USD Producer PriceIndex (YoY) (FEB)

High 1.7% 1.4%

12:30USD Producer PriceIndex Ex Food &Energy (YoY) (FEB)

High 1.8%

12:30USD Initial JoblessClaims (MAR 10)

Medium 340K

12:30 USD Continuing Claims(MAR 3)

Low 3094K

14:30USD EIA Natural GasStorage Change (MAR8)

Low -146

20:30USD Fed ReleasesComprehensive CapitalAnalysis and Review

Low

21:30

NZD Business NZPerformance ofManufacturing Index(FEB)

Medium 55.2


13/15

Fri

Mar 15

EUR ECB PublishesMonthly Report

Medium

00:00NZD ANZ ConsumerConfidence Index(MAR)

Low 121

00:00NZD ANZ ConsumerConfidence (MoM)(MAR)

Low 2.3%

08:15CHF Producer & ImportPrices (MoM) (FEB)

Low -0.1%

08:15CHF Producer & ImportPrices (YoY) (FEB)

Low 0.8%

09:30EUR Itally GeneralGovernment Debt(JAN)

Medium 1988.4B

10:00EUR Euro-ZoneConsumer Price Index(MoM) (FEB)

Medium 0.4% -1.0%

10:00EUR Euro-ZoneConsumer Price Index(YoY) (FEB)

High 1.8% 1.8%

10:00EUR Euro-ZoneConsumer Price Index -Core (YoY) (FEB)

High 1.3% 1.3%

10:00EUR Euro-Zone LaborCosts (YoY) (4Q)

Low 2.0%

12:30USD EmpireManufacturing (MAR)

Low 8 10.04

12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex (MoM) (FEB)

Medium 0.4% 0.0%

12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex Ex Food &Energy (MoM) (FEB)

Medium 0.2% 0.3%

12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex (YoY) (FEB)

High 1.8% 1.6%

12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex Ex Food &Energy (YoY) (FEB)

High 2.0% 1.9%

12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex Core Index s.a.(FEB)

Medium 232.138 232.108

12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex n.s.a. (FEB)

Low 230.28

13:00

USD Total Net TIC

Flows (JAN) Low $25.2B

13:00USD Net Long-termTIC Flows (JAN)

Medium $64.2B

13:00CAD Existing HomeSales (MoM) (FEB)

Low 1.3%

13:15USD IndustrialProduction (FEB)

Medium 0.3% -0.1%

13:15USD CapacityUtilization (FEB)

Low 79.3% 79.1%


14/15

13:15

USD Manufacturing(SIC) Production (FEB)

Low 0.3% -0.4%

13:55USD U. of MichiganConfidence (MAR P)

Medium 78 77.6

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15/15

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Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 13.03.13

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