Working

Group/Tropical

Cyclone

Research

Frank Marks and CAPT Mike AngoveCo-Chairs

JAG/TCR

• February 2005: Federal Coordinator formed JAG/TCR

– Formed as result of principal action item from 58th IHC

– Supported by Interdepartmental Committee for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research (ICMSSR)

• February 2007: JAG/TCR work culminated with publication of Interagency Strategic Research Plan for Tropical Cyclones: The Way Ahead

2

– Table 4-1: Summarizes operational priorities of three operational tropical cyclone forecast and warning centers: TPC/NHC, CPHC, JTWC

– Section 5.1 and Table 5-1: Presents research needs to aid in meeting the operational priorities of the tropical cyclone forecast and warning centers

– Table 6-2, Recommendation #2: recommended TC research coordination that would:

• Monitor and update the operational priorities of tropical cyclone forecast and warning centers (Table 4-1)

• Monitor and update research needs (Table 5-1)

• Develop a multiagency research implementation plan that outlines specific strategies to address all research needs

Highlights of Interagency Plan

3

WG/TCR

• May 31, 2007

– Briefed the Interdepartmental Committee for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research (ICMSSR) on Interagency Plan

• Recommendation: Form new OFCM Working Group for Tropical Cyclone Research (WG/TCR)

• September 29, 2008

- WG/TCR membership identified

• November 20-21, 2008

- 1st WG/TCR meeting

4

Dr. Frank MarksOAR (NOAA/DOC)

CAPT Michael AngoveNaval Deputy to NOAA (Navy/DOD)

Dr. Ronald FerekONR (Navy/DOD)

Dr. Ramesh KakarScience Msn Directorate (NASA)

Dr. Bradley SmullPhysical & Dynamic Met. (NSF)

Mr. Michael MathewsScience & Technology (FEMA/DHS)

Mr. Frederick ToepferHFIP Project Manager (NOAA/DOC)

Dr. Robert RogersOAR (NOAA/DOC)

Dr. Mark DeMariaNESDIS (NOAA/DOC)

Mr. James FranklinNWS (NOAA/DOC)

Dr. Naomi SurgiNWS (NOAA/DOC)

Dr. James GoerssNRL (Navy/DOD)

WG/TCR

5

Lt Col Jonathan Talbot53rd WS (AF/DOD)

Mr. Bob FalveyDirector, JTWC

Dr. Richard D. Knabb NWS/CPHC (NOAA/DOC)

Dr. Scott BraunGSFC (NASA)

Dr. James McFaddenOMAO/AOC (NOAA/DOC)

Colonel Mark ZettlemoyerHQ AF (AF/DOD)

Dr. Gerald HeymsfieldGSFC (NASA)

Dr. Alexis Lugo-FernandezMMS (DOI)

Dr. Bruce EbersoleU.S. Army COE (Army/DOD)

Mr. William LaskaScience & Technology (FEMA/DHS)

Mr. Mark WelshingerOFCM

WG/TCR

6

• Monitor and update operational priorities of tropical cyclone forecast and warning centers (Table 1)

• Review and update research needs (Table 2)

• Summarize agency research efforts against research needs

• Develop interagency research implementation strategy

– Leverage agency existing plans / resources to ensure all research needs addressed

• Review implementation strategy at annual IHC

WG/TCR Objectives / Tasks

7

8

Operational Priorities

Table 1

9

Research Needs

Table 2

10

Agency Research Contributions

• Tabulated each agency research contribution (Man-year and $)

11

Man-Years vs. Detailed Research TopicMan-Years vs. Detailed Research Topic

Agency Contribution to Research Needs

Intensity / Structure

Track Genesis QPF Surge

[Seasonal]

Model Development

Observations

Mapped using Detailed Research Need in Table 2

12

Agency Contribution to Research Needs

General Research NWP Observations

Man-Years vs. Research NeedMan-Years vs. Research Need

Mapped using Primary Research Need in Table 2

13

Combined Man-Years Mapped to Operational Priorities

Intensity

Change

Storm Surge

Genesis

Size/Structure

Stat Aids

Fcst Efficiency

Track Fcst

Wind Analysis

Model Res vs

Ensembles

QPF

Radar/Sat. Data

Seasonal Progs

SST Gradients

Mapped using last column of Table 1

Agency Representatives

• Dr. Scott Braun, NASA/GSFC

• Dr. Brad Smull, NSF

• Dr. Rob Rogers, NOAA AOML/HRD

• Dr. Ron Ferek, ONR

14