The iNEMI Roadmapthor.inemi.org/webdownload/newsroom/Presentations/Misc/ITRS_071206.pdf1 Topics To...
Transcript of The iNEMI Roadmapthor.inemi.org/webdownload/newsroom/Presentations/Misc/ITRS_071206.pdf1 Topics To...
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The iNEMI Roadmap
Bob Pfahl, Vice President of Operations
2006 ITRS Public Conference
July 12, 2006; San Francisco
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Topics To Be DiscussedTopics To Be Discussed
• The iNEMI Process
– iNEMI Mission
– Roadmap Methodology
– iNEMI Outputs
• Relationship to ITRS
– Organization and Structure
• The iNEMI Roadmaps
– 2004 Roadmap Demographics, Size, Results
– 2007 Roadmap Structure, Partners
– The 2007 Roadmap Schedule
• Conclusions from the 2004 Roadmap/2005 Research Priorities
• Concluding Thoughts
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Mission StatementMission Statement
iNEMI mission is dedicated to providing
leadership for the global electronics
manufacturing supply chain for the
benefit of its member companies and
the industry.
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Product
Needs
Technology
Evolution
GAP
AnalysisResearch
iNEMI
Projects
iNEMI Methodology & OutputsiNEMI Methodology & Outputs
Competitive
Solutions
Roadmap
TechnicalTechnical
PlanPlan
Academia
Government
No Work
Required
Available
to Market
Place
Disruptive
Technology
RoadmapsRoadmaps
ResearchResearch
PrioritiesPriorities
TechnicalTechnical
ProjectsProjects
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ITRS and iNEMIITRS and iNEMI
• Advances in Semiconductor Technology continue to
enable exciting new products for the Electronics
Industry.
• International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors
(ITRS) is the world-wide authority for the Semiconductor
Industry.
• iNEMI has a close working relationship with ITRS to
ensure that our Systems view of the industry has the
appropriate input for:
– Semiconductor Technology
– Packaging Technology
• In return, iNEMI PEGs provide systems input for ITRS.
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ITRS Design TWG/iNEMI ITRS-iNEMI Domain SpaceITRS Design TWG/iNEMI ITRS-iNEMI Domain Space
Chip level System level
Tech
requirements
Market
requirements
iNEMI
(Emulators)
ITRS
(Drivers)
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Market Input SRC
Sematech
ITRS IRC
ITRS TWGs
Organization Organization
TechnologyTechnologyRoadmappingRoadmapping
19 IndustryTWGs
ImplementationImplementation
8 iNEMITIGs
iNEMI StaffiNEMI Staff
Secretary to BoDCommunications
Membership DevelopmentTechnical Facilitation
iNEMI BoardiNEMI Boardof Directorsof Directors
Elected by iNEMI CouncilRepresentativesEMS Directors OEM Directors
Supplier DirectorsStrategic Objectives
Operational Responsibility
SubstratesTIG
MedicalElectronics
TIG
EnvironmentallyConsciousElectronics
TIG
Board AssemblyTIG
Product Life CycleInformation
ManagementTIG
TechnologyWorkingGroup
TechnologyWorkingGroup
TechnologyWorkingGroup
TechnologyWorkingGroup
Research CommitteeResearch Committee
EMS, OEM, Supplier &Academia/Government
Representatives
Technical CommitteeTechnical Committee
EMS, OEM, Supplier &Academia/Government
Representatives
ProductEmulator
Group
ProductEmulator
Group
• • •
Product NeedProduct NeedRoadmappingRoadmapping
5 IndustryPEGs
System in Package
TIG
Heat Transfer
Technology
TIG
OptoelectronicsTIG
(TechnologyIntegration Group)
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iNEMI Roadmap Emulator ChaptersiNEMI Roadmap Emulator Chapters
• 2007 Roadmap cycle will include 5 Product
Emulator Chapters
• A product emulator is defined as an abstract
representation of a product to allow
companies to share needs without sharing
proprietary product information
• Each chapter sets OEM requirements over the
next 10 years
• Requirements are presented as key product
attributes in spreadsheet format (ORTC
equivalent) and supporting text discussing
business and state of the art issues
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2007 Product Emulator Groups2007 Product Emulator Groups (PEGs)(PEGs)
Emulators Characteristics
Portable / Consumer High volume Consumer Products for which cost is the
primary driver including Hand held, battery -powered
products driven by size and weight reduction
Office / Large Business / Communications Systems
Products which seek maximum performance from a few
thousand dollar cost limit to literally no cost limit
Medical Products Products which must operate within a high ly reliab le
environment
Automotive Products which must operate in an automotive
environment
Defense and Aerospace Products which must operate in extreme environments
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Roadmap DevelopmentRoadmap Development
PEGsTWGs
Po
rtab
le/C
on
su
mer
Off
ice/L
arg
e B
usin
ess/C
om
m.
Med
ical
Au
tom
oti
ve
Defe
nse a
nd
Aero
sp
ace
Semiconductor Technology
Design Technologies
Manufacturing Technologies
Comp./Subsyst. Technologies
Modeling, Thermal, etc.
Board Assy, Test, etc.
Packaging, Substrates, Displays, etc.
Product Sector Needs Vs. Technology Evolution
Business Processes
Prod Lifecycle Information Mgmt.
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Potential mapping approachPotential mapping approach
between iNEMI and ITRS roadmapsbetween iNEMI and ITRS roadmaps
MPU DSPAMS Memory
Network PortableOffice
SIP/SOC
(iNEMI/ITRS)
Applications/Emulators
(iNEMI)
Chips /Fabrics
(ITRS)
Medical Automotive Defense
Device ArchitecturesA1A2A3A4
Source: ITRS Design TWG
SIP/SOC
Market/Technical/Legislative Drivers
Market Architectures
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ITRS Design TWG/iNEMI PEG MatrixITRS Design TWG/iNEMI PEG Matrix
Network PortableOfficeMedical Automotive Defense [Industrial]
MPU
PE(DSP)
AMS
Memory
Fabrics
Markets
2005
CPHP
Siz
e/w
eig
ht
ratio
, b
att
ery
life
…
Po
we
r, in
terc
on
ne
ct
sp
ee
d…
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More than MooreMore than Moore
More than Moore: Diversification
Mo
re M
oo
re:
Min
iatu
riza
tio
n
Combining SoC and SiP: Higher Value System
s
Ba
se
lin
e C
MO
S:
CP
U,
Me
mo
ry,
Lo
gic
BiochipsSensors
Actuators
HV
PowerAnalog/RF Passives
130nm
90nm
65nm
45nm
32nm
22nm...V
Information
Processing
Digital content
System-on-chip
(SoC)
Interacting with people
and environment
Non-digital content
System-in-package
(SiP)
Beyond CMOS
More than Moore: Diversification
Mo
re M
oo
re:
Min
iatu
riza
tio
nM
ore
Mo
ore
: M
inia
turi
za
tio
n
Combining SoC and SiP: Higher Value System
s
Ba
se
lin
e C
MO
S:
CP
U,
Me
mo
ry,
Lo
gic
BiochipsSensors
Actuators
HV
PowerAnalog/RF Passives
130nm
90nm
65nm
45nm
32nm
22nm...V
130nm
90nm
65nm
45nm
32nm
22nm...V
Information
Processing
Digital content
System-on-chip
(SoC)
Interacting with people
and environment
Non-digital content
System-in-package
(SiP)
Beyond CMOS
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The iNEMI Roadmaps
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Statistics for the 2004 RoadmapStatistics for the 2004 Roadmap
• > 470 Participants
• > 220 Companies/organizations
• 11 Countries from 3 Continents
• 19 Technology Working Groups
(TWGs) (added Sensors)
• 7 Product Emulator Groups (PEGs)
• Over 1200 Pages of Information
• Roadmaps the needs for 2005-2015
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iNEMI MethodologyiNEMI Methodology
iNEMI Manufacturing System Plan
Product Sector Requirements
International Electronic ManufacturingRoadmap
iNEMI Gap Analysis
iNEMI Technical Plan
iNEMI Projects
RoadmappingRoadmapping
Technical PlanningTechnical Planning
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iNEMI Manufacturing Systems Plan determinesiNEMI Manufacturing Systems Plan determines
Technology Working Groups (TWGs)Technology Working Groups (TWGs)
Organic SubstratesBoard
Assembly Customer
RF Components &
Subsystems
OptoelectronicsOrganic & Printed Electronics
Energy Storage Systems
Modeling, Simulation,
and Design
PackagingSemiconductor
Technology
Final
Assembly
Mass Storage (Magnetic & Optical)
Passive Components
Product Lifecycle
Information
Management (PLIM)
Test, Inspection &
Measurement
Environmentally
Conscious
Electronics
Ceramic
Substrates
Thermal
Management
Connectors
Sensors
Red=Business Green=Engineering Blue=Manufacturing Blue=Component & Subsystem
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iNEMI
Optoelectronics
TWG
Optoelectronics and
Optical Storage
Interconnect
Substrates—Ceramic
Interconnect
Substrates—Organic
Magnetic and
Optical Storage
Supply Chain
Management
Semiconductors
iNEMI Roadmap
iNEMI
Product
Lifecycle
Information
Management
TWG
iNEMI
Mass Data
Storage TWG
iNEMI /
IPC/JIEP
Interconnect
TWG
iNEMI / ITRS
Packaging
TWG
iNEMI
Board Assy
TWG
9 Contributing Organizations9 Contributing Organizations
18 RecommendationsRecommendations
RoadmappingRoadmapping
BenchmarkingBenchmarking
Format for TWG ChaptersFormat for TWG Chapters
• Executive Summary (half page)
• Introduction
• Situation (Infrastructure) Analysis
– Manufacturing Equipment
– Manufacturing Processes
– Materials
– Quality/Reliability
– Environmental Technology
– Test, Inspection, Measurement (TIM)
• Roadmap of Quantified Key Attribute Needs
• Critical (Infrastructure) Issues
• Technology Needs:
– Prioritized Research, Development
– Implementation
• Gaps and Showstoppers
• Recommendations on Potential Alternative Technologies
• Contributors
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Key Parameter Tables (Each Emulator)Key Parameter Tables (Each Emulator)
• Equivalent to ORTC
• Provided in tabular form for the 10 year roadmap period
• At least one metrics from each TWG
• Metrics include performance, size, cost, and cycle time
• Key changes from previous roadmap are identified, often
indicate a paradigm shift.
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2007 Roadmap Priorities 2007 Roadmap Priorities
• Change Name to Better Reflect Year of Release.
• Maintain strong linkages with other roadmaps.
• Maintain emphasis on disruptive events (business &
technical).
• Maintain emphasis on identifying market needs and
business situations.
• Increase quantification of needs.
• Prioritize Research and Deployment needs.
• Increase strategic vision of the roadmap: 2011-2017
• Improve and expand sensors chapter
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2007 Two Year Roadmap Cycle2007 Two Year Roadmap Cycle
• 3Q 2005: Select Product Sector Champions and refine data charts
• 3-4Q 2005: Product Sector Champions Develop Emulators
• Organizing Teleconference with TWG Chairs 1/11/2006
• February 2006 PEG Workshop/TWG Kick-off at APEX Meeting in Anaheim:
– Product Sector Tables Complete – Chapters Written
– Cross cut issues addressed
• 2Q2006: International Public Workshop Reviews
– April - Roadmap Workshop Europe in Munich, Germany
– May - Roadmap Workshop in Herndon, VA
– June - Roadmap Workshop in Shanghai, China
• July 2006 – TWG Drafts Due for TC Review
• September 2006 – Council Review of Key Issues and Summary
• December 2006– Release to iNEMI Members
• February 2007 – Industry Release at APEX
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Conclusions from the2004 Roadmap/2005Research Priorities
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2005 Research Priorities2005 Research Priorities
Research
Priorities
• Gap analysis completed
• 10 year priorities created
• Available on the web
• Contents:
– Technology Research Needs byProduct Sector
– Priorities Summarized byResearch Area• Manufacturing Processes
• System Integration
• Materials & Reliability
• Energy and the Environment
• Design
– Significant Gaps and Issuesfrom Roadmap
– Options for Innovation
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• Active Device Technology
• Thermal Management
• Communications Bandwidth
• Next Generation Packaging Technology
• Design and Simulation Tools
• Sustainability Metrics
Six Identified Strategic GapsSix Identified Strategic Gaps
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Active Device TechnologyActive Device Technology
• Implementation of advanced, non-classical CMOS devices withenhanced drive current
• Identification, selection, and implementation of advanced devices(beyond-CMOS)
• Device technology drives the following three strategic systemgaps:
– Thermal Management
– Communications Bandwidth
– Next Generation Packaging Technology
Multi-wall carbon nanotubes (NanoDynamics Inc.)
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Thermal ManagementThermal Management
• Increased need for improved cooling
• Improved materials and design concepts
• Focus is on local hot spots
• Must design from device to system level.
BN coated with Al203 (ALD Nanosolutions Inc)
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Communications BandwidthCommunications Bandwidth
• Copper?
• RF?
• Optical?
• Where?
• When?
• How Fast?
• At what cost?
Will the 2007 roadmap provide guidance?
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Next Generation Packaging TechnologyNext Generation Packaging Technology
Source: Professor Dr. Reichl, Fraunhofer IZM, Berlin Germany
Innovative Miniaturized Packaging
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Design and Simulation ToolsDesign and Simulation Tools
Design & simulation tools are main roadblocks to more
rapid introduction of new technologies:
– Multi-physics design (co-design)
• Electrical
• Mechanical & reliability modeling
• Thermal & thermo-fluid simulation
– Multilevel Simulation
– Harsh Environment Simulation
– Nanoscale material behavior
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Sustainability MetricsSustainability Metrics
• Development & implementation of scientificmethodologies:
– Assess true environmental impacts of materials
– Potential trade-offs for alternatives
• Focus on system energy reduction at thebeginning of the design process
• Develop a common, straightforwarddefinition of sustainability
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Conclusion
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Increasing Coordination between ITRS &Increasing Coordination between ITRS &
iNEMI for 2007 ITRS RoadmapiNEMI for 2007 ITRS Roadmap
Working
together
Juan-
Antonio
Carballo
Design and
System Drivers
Product Emulator
Groups
Start DialogueMargaret
Huang
RF &A/MSEric StridRF Components
Same TWGBill BottomsAssembly &
Packaging
Joe AdamPackaging
Mike
Rodgers
Test & Test
Equipment
Michael
Reagin
Test, Inspection, and
Measurement
Increase
Dialogue
Jim JewettES&HMark NewtonECE
Start DialogueJürgen
Lorenz
Modeling &
Simulation
Sanjeev SatheModeling, Simulation,
and Design Tools
Mani
Janakiram
Factory
Integration
Eric SimmonPLIM
Currently
Coordinated
Paolo
Gargini
IRCAlan AllanSilicon Technology
Recommended
Action
ChairITRS TWGChairiNEMI TWG
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Summary of iNEMI RoadmapSummary of iNEMI Roadmap
– Broad global industry participation
– Global acceptance as the source that provides a
system view of electronics manufacturing
– Coordinated with other major organizations: ITRS, IPC,
JIEP, OIDA, NSIC, Supply Chain Council, SMTA, IMAPS, CPMT
– Has accurately predicted needs for a number of
disruptive technologies: Area Interconnect, Microvia PWB,
Pb-Free solders
– Evolving to address changing markets and priorities:Convergence of Products and Markets, Supply Chain
Management, Environmentally Conscious Electronics,
Distributed Manufacturing Model, System in Package, Medical
Systems
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www.inemi.orgwww.inemi.orgEmail contacts:Email contacts:
Bob PfahlBob Pfahl
[email protected]@inemi.org
Chuck RichardsonChuck Richardson
[email protected]@inemi.org