Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional...
-
Upload
baldwin-rose -
Category
Documents
-
view
218 -
download
1
Transcript of Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional...
![Page 1: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Jersey City / NewarkUrban Area Security Initiative
Regional Evacuation Planning Study
![Page 2: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Purpose of Study
• Develop a collaborative, cross-jurisdictional and multi-agency, all-hazards regional evacuation plan for the northern New Jersey UASI region.
![Page 3: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Research Team
• Voorhees Transportation Center– Transportation planning and policy– Outreach and public involvement– GIS and travel demand modeling
• National Transit Institute– Emergency management and transportation security
• Bloustein Center for Survey Research• Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
– Travel demand and evacuation modeling
• Subject matter experts:– Mariana Leckner (Emergency Management consultant)– Richard Kelly (Original author of the Trans-Hudson Emergency
transportation plan)– Marketing (TBD)– Traffic operations (TBD)
![Page 4: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Goal and Objectives
• Goal: Enhance the region’s evacuation planning capabilities– No “silver bullet” or absolute answers
• Objectives:– Inventory assets and resources– Develop foundational understanding of how the region’s
transportation network may function under different scenarios and assumptions
– Identify critical vulnerabilities and impediments to successful evacuation, shelter-in-place and reentry/recovery efforts
– Explore opportunities for coordination and collaboration– Identify needs related to collaborative arrangements/mutual aid– Identify training and education needs– Strengthen existing framework for on-going regional cooperation
and collaboration
![Page 5: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Planning process will address
• Command, control and management issues
• Evacuation routing and clearance time estimates
• Evacuation of special needs populations
• Coordination with mass care/sheltering and animal evacuation/sheltering plans
• Cooperative and mutual-aid arrangements
• Ingress/re-entry plans for the safe return of displaced populations
![Page 6: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Scope of Work
1. Conduct literature review
2. Review modeling “state-of-the-practice”
3. Identify planning scenarios & assumptions (up to 10 scenarios)
4. Review county and local plans and annexes
5. Inventory evacuation-related assets and resources
6. Develop regional evacuation planning transportation model
![Page 7: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Scope of Work (p.2)
7. Design and implement agency coordination and public participation plan– Interviews and listening sessions
– UASI evacuation steering committee
– Agency/stakeholder working group
– Topical committees/working groups (as needed)
– Region-wide resident survey
• Disaster preparedness
• Evacuation behavior
– Information dissemination strategy
– Public information/education plan & conduct public forums
![Page 8: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Scope of Work (p.3)
8. Prepare plan and functional annexes– Command, control and management
– Public notification and communication
– Evacuation routing plans and corridor/mode-specific sub-plans
– Plans/protocols for evacuating transportation-disadvantaged and special needs populations
– Trans-Hudson evacuation
– Cooperative arrangements and mutual aid agreements
– Coordination with other target capability planning initiatives
– Recovery/re-entry plans and protocols
– Training and exercise plan
– Procedures for updating the plan and model
![Page 9: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Schedule
![Page 10: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Challenges
• Scale and scope of the region• Adapting traditional planning methods to a disaster
planning process – “Worst-case” planning unfamiliar– Many hypothetical assumptions and unknowns– Emergency managers not accustomed to open, transparent
planning process
• Modeling the behavior of a population not accustomed to evacuation
• Using conventional transportation planning tools to address an unconventional problem
• Bridging the gap between cooperation and coordination– Cooperation is informal and built on personal relationships– Coordination is more formalized and built on institutional
arrangements
![Page 11: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Scale and scope of the region
![Page 12: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Adapting traditional planning methods to disaster planning context
• “Worst-case” is planning unfamiliar to most
• Involves many hypothetical assumptions and unknowns
• Emergency managers not accustomed to open, transparent planning process
Source: www.foxnews.com/.../083105_Katrina2.jpg
![Page 13: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Modeling evacuation behavior is complex
Prepared by: Jill Grodkiewicz and Jon Carnegie
![Page 14: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Using conventional transportation planning tools to address an unconventional problem• Regional model provides
snapshot of how regional transportation systems may work– Macro-scale – Course grained network– Static O&D
• Micro-scale simulation models provide greater local definition and dynamic travel assignments
• No-notice events are a particular challenge
• Shadow evacuation is also challenging to model
North Jersey Regional Transportation Model (NJRTM)
![Page 15: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Bridging the gap b/w cooperation and coordination
Informal and built on personal relationships
Formalized and built on institutional arrangements
Cooperation Coordination
![Page 16: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center Jersey City / Newark Urban Area Security Initiative Regional Evacuation Planning Study.](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062713/56649ce05503460f949a98d0/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Discussion
Thank you!
Contact information:
Jon A. Carnegie, AICP/PP, Executive Director Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey Tel: 2-6812 ext. 606
Email: [email protected]