© OECD/IEA 2011 Electricity: a status report Laszlo Varro, Head, Gas, Coal and Power Markets...
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Transcript of © OECD/IEA 2011 Electricity: a status report Laszlo Varro, Head, Gas, Coal and Power Markets...
![Page 1: © OECD/IEA 2011 Electricity: a status report Laszlo Varro, Head, Gas, Coal and Power Markets Division International Energy Agency.](https://reader034.fdocuments.net/reader034/viewer/2022051007/5a4d1b277f8b9ab05999792f/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
© OECD/IEA 2011
Electricity: a status report
Laszlo Varro, Head, Gas, Coal and Power Markets DivisionInternational Energy Agency
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Electricity Is not going out of fashion Is the key battleground of climate policy Has been getting more, rather than less,
carbon-intensive globally Is the key driver for gas and coal demand Has a transformative efficiency potential in
Russia
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© OECD/IEA 2011
State of decarbonization: first stop digging
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© OECD/IEA 2011
Decarbonization race: a troika with only one horse pulling
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Status of low carbon technologies 1 Nuclear: Back to Square 1 after Fukushima?
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Average yearly increase, WEO 2010 NPS
Average yearly increase, WEO 2010 450 ppm
New nuclear capacity construction starts, MW
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Status of low carbon technologies 2 CCS: serious risk of delayed deployment
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Status of low carbon technologies 3 Renewables: strong growth but not always on
the best places
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German moratorium: European scale effects
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Moderate, 10% price reaction due to excess capacities
13EU power prices still below the level that would recover investment in new plant
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© OECD/IEA 2011
Gas will be needed to deliver CO2 reductions
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othersRenewablesnuclearGasCoal
German electricity mix with 10% demand reduction, no nuclear, 35% renewables and CO2 at the target level
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© OECD/IEA 2011
US: the Golden Age of Gas has arrived
280 Twh coal to gas switch in 3 years
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China: with energy efficiency efforts and the biggest nuclear and renewable program in the world
Coal fired power generation still grows by over 100 twh/year
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Russia: (Re)Search to improve power sector
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© OECD/IEA 2011
How to make it happen
Adam Smith 1776: peace, taxes, justice
IEA 2011(ongoing work on Russian power sector reform): elimination of gas subsidies, proper price signals for gas and electricity, market design