What to do When all you have is Brownian motionrenang/pdfs/presentation... · 2019-05-12 · What...

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What to do When all you have is Brownian motion Renan Gross, WIS Student probability day VII, 16/05/19 Conformal mapping

Transcript of What to do When all you have is Brownian motionrenang/pdfs/presentation... · 2019-05-12 · What...

Page 1: What to do When all you have is Brownian motionrenang/pdfs/presentation... · 2019-05-12 · What to do When all you have is Brownian motion Renan Gross, WIS Student probability day

What to doWhen all you have is

Brownian motion

Renan Gross, WIS

Student probability day VII, 16/05/19

Conformal mapping

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Warning

This presentation shows graphical images of Brownian motion.

Viewer discretion is advised.

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The Skorokhod embedding problem

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• Life gives you Brownian motion.

The Skorokhod embedding problem

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• Life gives you Brownian motion.

• But you do not want Brownian motion. You want to sample from a distribution 𝜇.

• How do you sample from 𝜇 using your Brownian motion?

The Skorokhod embedding problem

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• A natural thing to do is wait for some time 𝑇 and then stop the Brownian motion.

• If you choose 𝑇 in a special way, then perhaps 𝐵𝑇 distributes as 𝜇?

The Skorokhod embedding problem

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• A natural thing to do is wait for some time 𝑇 and then stop the Brownian motion.

• If you choose 𝑇 in a special way, then perhaps 𝐵𝑇 distributes as 𝜇?

The Skorokhod embedding problem

This is Skorokhod’sembedding problem.

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• A natural thing to do is wait for some time 𝑇 and then stop the Brownian motion.

• If you choose 𝑇 in a special way, then perhaps 𝐵𝑇 distributes as 𝜇?

The Skorokhod embedding problem

This is Skorokhod’sembedding problem.

(This is Skorokhod)

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Examples

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• Gaussian distribution: Brownian motion is just a fancy name for Gaussians: 𝑩𝒕 ~𝑵 𝟎, 𝒕 .

Examples

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• Gaussian distribution: Brownian motion is just a fancy name for Gaussians: 𝑩𝒕 ~𝑵 𝟎, 𝒕 .

• Stop at the deterministic time 𝑇 = 1 to get 𝑁 0,1 .

Examples

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• Gaussian distribution: Brownian motion is just a fancy name for Gaussians: 𝑩𝒕 ~𝑵 𝟎, 𝒕 .

• Stop at the deterministic time 𝑇 = 1 to get 𝑁 0,1 .

• Bernoulli distribution: How to get ±1, each with probability 1/2?

Examples

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• Gaussian distribution: Brownian motion is just a fancy name for Gaussians: 𝑩𝒕 ~𝑵 𝟎, 𝒕 .

• Stop at the deterministic time 𝑇 = 1 to get 𝑁 0,1 .

• Bernoulli distribution: How to get ±1, each with probability 1/2?

Examples

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• Gaussian distribution: Brownian motion is just a fancy name for Gaussians: 𝑩𝒕 ~𝑵 𝟎, 𝒕 .

• Stop at the deterministic time 𝑇 = 1 to get 𝑁 0,1 .

• Bernoulli distribution: How to get ±1, each with probability 1/2?

Examples

Uniform distribution on −1,1 ?

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Theorem statement

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Theorem statement• This is a theorem!

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Then there exists a stopping time 𝑇with 𝔼𝑇 < ∞ such that 𝐵𝑇~𝜇.

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Theorem statement• This is a theorem!

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Then there exists a stopping time 𝑇with 𝔼𝑇 < ∞ such that 𝐵𝑇~𝜇.

• This was proved more than once:

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Theorem statement• This is a theorem!

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Then there exists a stopping time 𝑇with 𝔼𝑇 < ∞ such that 𝐵𝑇~𝜇.

• This was proved more than once:• Skorokhod 61,

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Theorem statement• This is a theorem!

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Then there exists a stopping time 𝑇with 𝔼𝑇 < ∞ such that 𝐵𝑇~𝜇.

• This was proved more than once:• Skorokhod 61, Dubins 68,

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Theorem statement• This is a theorem!

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Then there exists a stopping time 𝑇with 𝔼𝑇 < ∞ such that 𝐵𝑇~𝜇.

• This was proved more than once:• Skorokhod 61, Dubins 68, Root 68,

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Theorem statement• This is a theorem!

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Then there exists a stopping time 𝑇with 𝔼𝑇 < ∞ such that 𝐵𝑇~𝜇.

• This was proved more than once:• Skorokhod 61, Dubins 68, Root 68, Hall 68,

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Theorem statement• This is a theorem!

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Then there exists a stopping time 𝑇with 𝔼𝑇 < ∞ such that 𝐵𝑇~𝜇.

• This was proved more than once:• Skorokhod 61, Dubins 68, Root 68, Hall 68,

Rost 71, Monroe 72, Chacon-Walsh 74,

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Theorem statement• This is a theorem!

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Then there exists a stopping time 𝑇with 𝔼𝑇 < ∞ such that 𝐵𝑇~𝜇.

• This was proved more than once:• Skorokhod 61, Dubins 68, Root 68, Hall 68,

Rost 71, Monroe 72, Chacon-Walsh 74, Azema Yor 79, Bass 83, Vallois 83, Perkins 85,

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Theorem statement• This is a theorem!

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Then there exists a stopping time 𝑇with 𝔼𝑇 < ∞ such that 𝐵𝑇~𝜇.

• This was proved more than once:• Skorokhod 61, Dubins 68, Root 68, Hall 68,

Rost 71, Monroe 72, Chacon-Walsh 74, Azema Yor 79, Bass 83, Vallois 83, Perkins 85, Jacka 88, Bertoin and Le Jan 93, Vallois 94, FGPP 00, Cox and Hobson 04, Obloj-Yor 04,…

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Theorem statement• This is a theorem!

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Then there exists a stopping time 𝑇with 𝔼𝑇 < ∞ such that 𝐵𝑇~𝜇.

• This was proved more than once:•

• Also Gross 19.

Skorokhod 61, Dubins 68, Root 68, Hall 68, Rost 71, Monroe 72, Chacon-Walsh 74, Azema Yor 79, Bass 83, Vallois 83, Perkins 85, Jacka 88, Bertoin and Le Jan 93, Vallois 94, FGPP 00, Cox and Hobson 04, Obloj-Yor 04,…

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Solution 1: Dubins

• A clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1 method.

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Solution 1: Dubins

• A clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1 method.

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Solution 1: Dubins

• A clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1 method.

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Solution 1: Dubins

• A clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1 method.

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Solution 1: Dubins

• A clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1 method.

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Solution 1: Dubins

• A clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1 method.

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Solution 1: Dubins

• A clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1 method.

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Solution 1: Dubins

• A clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1 method.

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• Another clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1method.

• The hitting time of the graph 𝑋𝑡 , 𝑡 with some barrier.

Solution 2: Root

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• Another clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1method.

• The hitting time of the graph 𝑋𝑡 , 𝑡 with some barrier.

Solution 2: Root

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• Another clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1method.

• The hitting time of the graph 𝑋𝑡 , 𝑡 with some barrier.

Solution 2: Root

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• Another clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1method.

• The hitting time of the graph 𝑋𝑡 , 𝑡 with some barrier.

Solution 2: Root

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A conformal solution

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A conformal solution

• Not a clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1method.

• Rather, uses conformal mappings

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A conformal solution

• Not a clever generalization of the Bernoulli ±1method.

• Rather, uses conformal mappings

Theorem: Let 𝜇 have 0 mean and finite variance. Let 𝐵𝑡 be a planar Brownian motion. There exists a simply connected domain Ω such that when 𝐵𝑡 exits Ω, its 𝑥 coordinate distributes as 𝜇.

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• The idea is simple, actually.

A conformal solution

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• The idea is simple, actually.

• Here is the cdf of mu, 𝐹𝜇.

A conformal solution

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• The idea is simple, actually.

• Here is the cdf of mu, 𝐹𝜇.

• Here is its inverse cdf, 𝐹𝜇−1.

A conformal solution

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• The idea is simple, actually.

• Here is the cdf of mu, 𝐹𝜇.

• Here is its inverse cdf, 𝐹𝜇−1.

• The inverse mapping theorem says that if 𝑈 is uniform, then

𝐹𝜇−1 𝑈 ~𝜇

A conformal solution

𝐹𝜇 𝑥 = ℙ 𝑋 ≤ 𝑥 = ℙ 𝑇 𝑈 ≤ 𝑥 = ℙ 𝑈 ≤ 𝑇−1 𝑥 = 𝑇−1 𝑥 ]]

[[Any T satisfying 𝑇 𝑈 ~𝜇 must satisfy

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A conformal solution

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A conformal solution

• If only there was some way of using 𝐵𝑡 to sample 𝐹𝜇

−1 uniformly!

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A conformal solution

• If only there was some way of using 𝐵𝑡 to sample 𝐹𝜇

−1 uniformly!

• How convenient! Brownian motion is uniform on the circle

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A conformal solution

• If only there was some way of using 𝐵𝑡 to sample 𝐹𝜇

−1 uniformly!

• How convenient! Brownian motion is uniform on the circle

• How convenient! Brownian motion is conformally invariant

• That is, the image of Brownian motion under a conformal map is a (time-changed) Brownian motion as well

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A conformal solution

• How convenient! Brownian motion is uniform on the circle

• How convenient! Brownian motion is conformally invariant

s• That is, the image of Brownian motion under a

conformal map is a (time-changed) Brownian motion as well

𝑓(𝑧) conformal

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A conformal solution

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A conformal solution

• Since arg 𝐵𝑇𝑐𝑖𝑟𝑐𝑙𝑒 is uniform, all we need is a conformal map 𝜓 which has

Re 𝜓 𝑒𝑖𝜃 = 𝐹𝜇−1 𝜃

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A conformal solution

• Since arg 𝐵𝑇𝑐𝑖𝑟𝑐𝑙𝑒 is uniform, all we need is a conformal map 𝜓 which has

Re 𝜓 𝑒𝑖𝜃 = 𝐹𝜇−1 𝜃

• Luckily for us, on the unit circle, a Fourier series and a power series are the same thing.

𝑓 𝑧 =

𝑛=0

𝑎𝑛𝑧𝑛 =

𝑖=0

𝑎𝑛𝑒𝑖𝑛𝜃 =

𝑖=0

𝑎𝑛 cos 𝑛𝜃 + 𝑖 sin 𝑛𝜃

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A conformal solution

• Let 𝜑𝜇 𝜃 = 𝐹𝜇−1(

|𝜃|

𝜋)

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A conformal solution

• Let 𝜑𝜇 𝜃 = 𝐹𝜇−1(

|𝜃|

𝜋)

• Expand 𝜑𝜇 𝜃 as an even Fourier series:

𝜑𝜇 𝜃 =

𝑛=0

ෞ𝜑𝜇 𝑛 cos 𝑛𝜃

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A conformal solution

• Let 𝜑𝜇 𝜃 = 𝐹𝜇−1(

|𝜃|

𝜋)

• Expand 𝜑𝜇 𝜃 as an even Fourier series:

𝜑𝜇 𝜃 =

𝑛=0

ෞ𝜑𝜇 𝑛 cos 𝑛𝜃

• Let 𝜓𝜇 𝑧 be the extension to the plane:

𝜓𝜇 𝑧 =

𝑛=0

ෞ𝜑𝜇 𝑛 𝑧𝑛

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A conformal solution

• Let 𝜑𝜇 𝜃 = 𝐹𝜇−1(

|𝜃|

𝜋)

• Expand 𝜑𝜇 𝜃 as an even Fourier series:

𝜑𝜇 𝜃 =

𝑛=0

ෞ𝜑𝜇 𝑛 cos 𝑛𝜃

• Let 𝜓𝜇 𝑧 be the extension to the plane:

𝜓𝜇 𝑧 =

𝑛=0

ෞ𝜑𝜇 𝑛 𝑧𝑛

• On the unit circle, the x-coordinate (i.e real part) of 𝜓𝜇 agrees with 𝜑𝜇

𝑅𝑒 𝜓𝜇 𝑒𝑖𝜃 =

𝑛=0

ෞ𝜑𝜇 𝑛 cos 𝑛𝜃 = 𝜑𝜇 𝜃

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A conformal solution

• Let 𝜑𝜇 𝜃 = 𝐹𝜇−1(

|𝜃|

𝜋)

• Expand 𝜑𝜇 𝜃 as an even Fourier series:

𝜑𝜇 𝜃 =

𝑛=0

ෞ𝜑𝜇 𝑛 cos 𝑛𝜃

• Let 𝜓𝜇 𝑧 be the extension to the plane:

𝜓𝜇 𝑧 =

𝑛=0

ෞ𝜑𝜇 𝑛 𝑧𝑛

• On the unit circle, the x-coordinate (i.e real part) of 𝜓𝜇 agrees with 𝜑𝜇

𝑅𝑒 𝜓𝜇 𝑒𝑖𝜃 =

𝑛=0

ෞ𝜑𝜇 𝑛 cos 𝑛𝜃 = 𝜑𝜇 𝜃

• The Fourier coefficients decay, so 𝜓𝜇 is analytic inside the unit disc

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A potential problem

• Even though Brownian motion is preserved under analytic maps, in order to transform boundary to boundary we must be one-to-one

• Otherwise:

𝑓 𝑧 = 𝑧2

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A potential problem

• For “nice” enough 𝜇, this is not a problem

• If 𝜇 is bounded and 𝐹𝜇 is strictly monotone increasing then 𝐹𝜇

−1 is continuous and bounded.

• 𝜓𝜇 then maps the circle’s boundary to a simple closed loop, which is the boundary of Ω

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A potential problem

• For nasty 𝜇, we don’t have that luxury• E.g: an atomic distribution with finite weight on every

rational)

• E.g: The Cantor distribution

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A potential problem

• For nasty 𝜇, we don’t have that luxury• E.g: an atomic distribution with finite weight on every

rational)

• E.g: The Cantor distribution

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A potential problem

• For nasty 𝜇, we don’t have that luxury• E.g: an atomic distribution with finite weight on every

rational)

• E.g: The Cantor distribution

• In this case the mapping may diverge

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• Theorem: Let 𝑓𝑘 𝑧 be a series of one-to-one functions on a domain 𝐷 which converge uniformly on every compact subset of 𝐷 to a function 𝑓. Then 𝑓 is

either one-to-one or constant.

• If we take nice smooth functions 𝐹𝑘 (not necessarily CDFs) which converge to 𝐹𝑘, we’ll get 𝜓𝑘s which are one-to-one and which will converge to 𝜓𝜇.

A solution

Page 64: What to do When all you have is Brownian motionrenang/pdfs/presentation... · 2019-05-12 · What to do When all you have is Brownian motion Renan Gross, WIS Student probability day

Examples

Gaussian

Uniform

Page 65: What to do When all you have is Brownian motionrenang/pdfs/presentation... · 2019-05-12 · What to do When all you have is Brownian motion Renan Gross, WIS Student probability day

Examples

𝑃 𝑘 ~1

2𝑘

Cantor

Page 66: What to do When all you have is Brownian motionrenang/pdfs/presentation... · 2019-05-12 · What to do When all you have is Brownian motion Renan Gross, WIS Student probability day

For more information, call

1-800-https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.00852

Thanks!