Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 … · 2015. 4. 5. · 1910 1915 1920...
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-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 z score 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: East Anglia East Anglia -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Probability plot normal (reference) CDF final data (adjusted) CDF difference (right hand axis) -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Annual -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Normalising function input output Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual 1 1947.63 -2.81381 4.4 1 1912.63 4.17078 177.7 2 1947.79 -2.75245 6 2 1940.88 3.17959 154.5 3 1978.79 -2.73894 6.2 3 1914.96 3.06491 145.7 4 2003.63 -2.71242 5.9 4 1997.46 2.79535 129.5 5 1969.79 -2.68505 7 5 1970.88 2.64151 138.9 6 1972.79 -2.67161 7.2 6 1939.79 2.59531 133.8 7 1959.71 -2.61515 1.7 7 1918.71 2.57981 127 8 1995.63 -2.55828 8.2 8 1998.29 2.57765 117.8 9 1955.54 -2.48881 7.7 9 2007.38 2.47655 118 10 1969.71 -2.4422 4.3 10 1987.79 2.44038 129.2 11 1921.54 -2.42924 8.6 11 2012.29 2.40618 112.7 12 1940.63 -2.42559 10.2 12 1947.21 2.40593 111 13 1995.79 -2.34616 12.1 13 1968.71 2.40162 121.7 14 1977.54 -2.34366 9.9 14 1960.79 2.32023 125.6 15 1983.63 -2.24854 12.9 15 2000.79 2.29366 124.8 16 1911.54 -2.22611 11.7 16 1939.04 2.23712 118.6 17 1932.96 -2.20403 12.5 17 1982.79 2.21425 122.4 18 1985.79 -2.18964 14.5 18 2010.63 2.21073 121.6 19 1945.88 -2.17262 18.5 19 1988.04 2.17776 116.8 20 1933.96 -2.16517 13.1 20 1985.46 2.10819 109 Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
Transcript of Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 … · 2015. 4. 5. · 1910 1915 1920...
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: East Anglia
East Anglia
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normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
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output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1947.63 -2.81381 4.4 1 1912.63 4.17078 177.7
2 1947.79 -2.75245 6 2 1940.88 3.17959 154.5
3 1978.79 -2.73894 6.2 3 1914.96 3.06491 145.7
4 2003.63 -2.71242 5.9 4 1997.46 2.79535 129.5
5 1969.79 -2.68505 7 5 1970.88 2.64151 138.9
6 1972.79 -2.67161 7.2 6 1939.79 2.59531 133.8
7 1959.71 -2.61515 1.7 7 1918.71 2.57981 127
8 1995.63 -2.55828 8.2 8 1998.29 2.57765 117.8
9 1955.54 -2.48881 7.7 9 2007.38 2.47655 118
10 1969.71 -2.4422 4.3 10 1987.79 2.44038 129.2
11 1921.54 -2.42924 8.6 11 2012.29 2.40618 112.7
12 1940.63 -2.42559 10.2 12 1947.21 2.40593 111
13 1995.79 -2.34616 12.1 13 1968.71 2.40162 121.7
14 1977.54 -2.34366 9.9 14 1960.79 2.32023 125.6
15 1983.63 -2.24854 12.9 15 2000.79 2.29366 124.8
16 1911.54 -2.22611 11.7 16 1939.04 2.23712 118.6
17 1932.96 -2.20403 12.5 17 1982.79 2.21425 122.4
18 1985.79 -2.18964 14.5 18 2010.63 2.21073 121.6
19 1945.88 -2.17262 18.5 19 1988.04 2.17776 116.8
20 1933.96 -2.16517 13.1 20 1985.46 2.10819 109
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England
England
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final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1945.88 -2.91597 17 1 1918.71 3.03686 169.3
2 1997.04 -2.80712 14.2 2 1912.63 2.87801 170.5
3 1969.79 -2.78269 15.9 3 1914.96 2.7651 179
4 1978.79 -2.76717 16.2 4 1947.21 2.74223 149.3
5 1947.79 -2.69497 17.6 5 2012.46 2.70482 147.9
6 1933.96 -2.68879 21.5 6 2007.46 2.64563 146
7 1995.63 -2.67895 9.6 7 1929.88 2.62832 174.5
8 1926.96 -2.67851 21.7 8 2009.88 2.51384 170.8
9 1947.63 -2.56631 11.8 9 2012.29 2.45475 136.5
10 1959.71 -2.44888 7.9 10 1917.63 2.45159 156.8
11 1963.96 -2.40364 27.1 11 2000.79 2.44204 164.8
12 1940.63 -2.34875 16.1 12 1940.88 2.44005 168.4
13 2003.63 -2.3287 16.5 13 1915.96 2.43652 168.4
14 1956.88 -2.29248 29.2 14 1960.79 2.43284 164.5
15 1964.04 -2.23799 25.4 15 1951.88 2.42166 167.8
16 1953.96 -2.15908 32 16 1981.21 2.35304 136.7
17 1965.79 -2.13045 28.8 17 1929.96 2.34788 165.5
18 1911.54 -2.12116 13.2 18 2014.04 2.32986 159.9
19 1987.04 -2.10444 28.1 19 2000.29 2.26265 130.2
20 1963.04 -2.09953 28.2 20 1948.04 2.23887 156.9
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England and Wales
England and Wales
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difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
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output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1945.88 -2.95377 17.9 1 1918.71 3.08857 186.4
2 1997.04 -2.92482 13.8 2 1912.63 2.81279 182.1
3 1926.96 -2.74374 23.4 3 1929.88 2.78538 196.9
4 1978.79 -2.73368 18.8 4 1947.21 2.75932 163.7
5 1947.79 -2.70638 19.4 5 2012.46 2.66418 157.8
6 1969.79 -2.69728 19.6 6 2009.88 2.62488 191.2
7 1933.96 -2.63472 25.8 7 1914.96 2.59356 191
8 1995.63 -2.58108 10.3 8 1917.63 2.55683 173
9 1963.96 -2.50842 28.6 9 1981.21 2.5515 156.3
10 1947.63 -2.46416 12.9 10 2000.79 2.42974 180.3
11 1959.71 -2.42508 8.4 11 1940.88 2.42966 184.2
12 1964.04 -2.32325 27.1 12 1929.96 2.42639 185
13 1940.63 -2.29044 16.8 13 2007.46 2.41857 149
14 1963.04 -2.27894 28.1 14 1915.96 2.36825 182.9
15 2003.63 -2.25507 17.6 15 1923.13 2.36472 153.6
16 1956.88 -2.24926 33.5 16 1948.04 2.35573 176.8
17 1953.96 -2.22359 35 17 1951.88 2.31356 180
18 1987.04 -2.20833 29.7 18 2012.29 2.27347 141
19 1951.79 -2.16551 31.5 19 2014.04 2.26209 173.4
20 2014.71 -2.11562 15.4 20 1934.96 2.23611 178.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England E and NE
England E and NE
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final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1947.63 -3.14627 7 1 2007.46 3.64275 181.8
2 1995.63 -3.06022 8.5 2 1978.96 3.0082 175.7
3 1959.63 -2.62417 16.2 3 1956.63 2.89568 173.3
4 2003.63 -2.55711 17.4 4 1917.63 2.82216 170.7
5 1997.04 -2.4991 15 5 1948.04 2.79795 166.4
6 1976.63 -2.46257 19.1 6 1960.79 2.79163 166.1
7 1969.79 -2.39515 16.8 7 1976.71 2.76903 156
8 1945.88 -2.37323 22 8 2004.63 2.70669 166.6
9 1972.79 -2.37308 17.2 9 2012.29 2.66202 140.9
10 1958.88 -2.36221 22.2 10 1940.54 2.65772 156.5
11 1947.79 -2.34002 17.8 11 1997.46 2.56933 144.2
12 1925.46 -2.31922 4.2 12 2000.29 2.49719 135
13 1962.79 -2.2796 18.9 13 2012.46 2.49406 141.5
14 1941.96 -2.27709 20.9 14 1915.96 2.38212 153.4
15 1955.63 -2.2532 22.9 15 1918.71 2.36973 141.7
16 1991.63 -2.24773 23 16 1951.88 2.25653 151.7
16 1933.63 -2.24773 23 17 1914.96 2.20013 146.8
17 1978.79 -2.19214 20.5 18 1930.54 2.15053 138.2
18 1972.63 -2.16047 24.6 19 1912.46 2.14618 128.9
19 1926.96 -2.157 23.1 20 2009.88 2.14122 147.5
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England N
England N
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difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1947.63 -3.00546 8 1 1956.63 3.27729 212.9
2 1997.04 -2.91541 12.9 2 2007.46 3.23639 188.2
3 1945.88 -2.89051 16.8 3 1918.71 3.16504 199.1
4 1995.63 -2.82735 12.1 4 2009.88 2.89967 204.5
5 1976.63 -2.65049 16.2 5 2004.63 2.83154 195.7
6 1933.96 -2.63744 23.4 6 1948.04 2.76643 196
7 1947.79 -2.60788 20.8 7 2012.46 2.6884 167
8 1959.63 -2.60326 17.3 8 1951.88 2.62467 193.8
9 2003.63 -2.51764 19.3 9 1917.63 2.529 183.9
10 1910.71 -2.33942 14 10 1981.21 2.48893 158
11 1972.79 -2.33502 27.2 11 2002.13 2.44327 160.4
12 1969.79 -2.29271 28.2 12 1928.04 2.40849 182
13 1926.96 -2.288 31.6 13 1915.96 2.32049 182.6
14 1959.71 -2.28442 15.3 14 2008.04 2.30694 178
15 1958.88 -2.2779 31.1 15 1967.79 2.24927 176.5
16 1963.96 -2.25001 32.5 16 2000.88 2.24043 178.7
17 1946.79 -2.22099 29.9 17 1968.71 2.1456 159.3
18 1971.96 -2.19526 33.8 18 1967.38 2.1322 142.3
19 1942.88 -2.19362 33.1 19 1938.79 2.11797 171.3
20 1978.79 -2.17053 31.1 20 1947.21 2.11133 143.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England NW and N Wales
England NW and N Wales
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Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1945.88 -3.02977 13.5 1 1918.71 3.36576 287.1
2 1997.04 -2.93745 12 2 2009.88 3.30463 306.6
3 1947.79 -2.7368 23.2 3 1956.63 2.86433 260.9
4 1933.96 -2.59872 33.2 4 1967.79 2.85498 280.9
5 1963.96 -2.56585 34.4 5 2002.13 2.82655 242
6 1963.04 -2.55827 25.8 6 1928.04 2.68828 267.8
7 1942.88 -2.52669 31.8 7 1948.04 2.57769 261.7
8 1946.79 -2.52567 30.9 8 1954.79 2.54308 263.7
9 1947.63 -2.51431 10.8 9 1981.21 2.53497 218.3
10 1976.63 -2.44871 13.2 10 1950.71 2.46923 237.7
11 1951.79 -2.44366 33.9 11 2012.46 2.43451 205.4
12 1926.96 -2.37999 41.2 12 2000.79 2.36545 253.9
13 1910.71 -2.36382 14.9 13 1993.96 2.35879 258.5
14 1922.79 -2.33998 37.7 14 1929.88 2.3394 253.4
15 1995.63 -2.32867 17.6 15 1917.63 2.32041 230.9
16 2014.71 -2.32021 16.5 16 1938.79 2.29114 249.8
17 1971.96 -2.29008 44.5 17 2000.88 2.24878 248.4
18 2010.96 -2.27647 45 18 1997.13 2.22467 208.8
19 1986.71 -2.26577 18.5 19 2008.79 2.22226 246
20 1932.13 -2.23023 4.4 20 1951.88 2.18715 245
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England S
England S
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final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
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output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1978.79 -2.96838 8.4 1 1912.63 3.36121 181.5
2 1969.79 -2.90774 9.5 2 1940.88 3.01303 185.6
3 1926.96 -2.75097 16.4 3 1929.88 2.97853 184.5
4 1945.88 -2.71937 17.2 4 1914.96 2.93531 182.9
5 1947.79 -2.56028 15.9 5 1947.21 2.85699 152.6
6 1997.04 -2.54072 14.8 6 1960.79 2.78417 174
7 1933.96 -2.52997 20.5 7 2014.04 2.63573 167.7
8 1940.63 -2.49578 6.3 8 1918.71 2.62423 153.5
9 1965.79 -2.40069 18.9 9 1934.96 2.5203 169.4
10 1995.63 -2.395 8.2 10 2012.29 2.46464 137.2
11 1959.71 -2.38545 3.9 11 2012.46 2.43647 137.9
12 1931.79 -2.34798 19.9 12 2000.79 2.41892 162
13 1963.96 -2.33397 24.2 13 2000.29 2.37171 134.1
14 1953.96 -2.31822 24.5 14 1911.96 2.34322 163.5
15 1956.88 -2.2512 26 15 1929.96 2.32239 162.8
16 1987.04 -2.2399 20.5 16 1970.88 2.307 162.5
17 1964.04 -2.23469 20.6 17 1987.79 2.30556 158.2
18 1988.96 -2.22424 26.3 18 1915.96 2.26309 160.8
19 1991.96 -2.18791 27 19 1949.79 2.18746 154.2
20 2006.04 -2.12599 22.7 20 1923.13 2.17787 132.5
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England SE and Central S
England SE and Central S
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Probability plot
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final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
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output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1978.79 -2.91966 6.1 1 2014.04 3.16564 205.2
1 1969.79 -2.91966 6.1 2 1914.96 2.98757 204.9
2 1945.88 -2.86462 11.7 3 2000.79 2.85909 196.9
3 1926.96 -2.66941 14.2 4 1960.79 2.78836 194.1
4 1933.96 -2.55912 16.5 5 1934.96 2.77212 196.4
5 1988.96 -2.50191 17.7 6 1940.88 2.74875 197
6 1956.88 -2.46527 20 7 1949.79 2.67283 189.5
7 1947.79 -2.45231 15.8 8 1974.71 2.61676 167.8
8 1931.79 -2.4239 16.4 9 1987.79 2.59794 186.5
9 1965.79 -2.34376 18.1 10 1929.88 2.55633 189.3
10 1978.88 -2.3425 22.6 11 2009.88 2.55385 189.2
11 1991.96 -2.33646 21.2 12 1970.88 2.50427 187.2
12 1953.96 -2.33176 21.3 13 1947.21 2.44372 151.9
13 1950.79 -2.32028 18.6 14 1951.13 2.43368 154.6
14 1931.96 -2.30831 21.8 15 1915.96 2.41862 182.2
15 1997.04 -2.28281 15.7 16 2002.88 2.413 183.5
16 1970.79 -2.26412 19.8 17 1911.96 2.37931 180.6
17 1932.96 -2.24754 23.1 18 1968.71 2.34011 156.6
18 1963.96 -2.21494 23.8 19 2000.29 2.33648 145.3
19 1976.04 -2.16183 18.3 20 1929.96 2.32056 178.2
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England SW and S Wales
England SW and S Wales
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final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1926.96 -2.93975 23.5 1 1929.88 3.37859 327.7
2 1997.04 -2.85453 16.9 2 1934.96 2.91864 307.4
3 1978.79 -2.70128 17.8 3 1923.13 2.82967 256.2
4 1963.04 -2.59682 26.2 4 1912.63 2.79309 254.3
5 1987.04 -2.56922 27.2 5 1947.21 2.70838 239.7
6 1964.04 -2.55819 27.6 6 1911.96 2.67915 293
7 1945.88 -2.54729 30.4 7 1918.71 2.56493 238.9
8 1942.88 -2.50871 31.8 8 1981.21 2.5241 228.6
9 1953.96 -2.50477 39.2 9 1929.96 2.46673 280.2
10 1917.96 -2.49651 39.5 10 2009.54 2.43844 219.8
11 1969.79 -2.48317 25.7 11 2014.13 2.34666 227.1
12 1933.88 -2.44542 34.1 12 1917.63 2.26056 222.2
13 1963.96 -2.33447 45.4 13 2009.88 2.25894 260.4
14 1953.04 -2.33004 35.9 14 1940.88 2.25728 260.3
15 1996.96 -2.329 45.6 15 1915.96 2.2464 266.9
16 1935.04 -2.3054 36.8 16 2012.46 2.23548 194
17 2010.96 -2.30436 46.5 17 1967.79 2.23125 251.7
18 1932.13 -2.26732 2 18 1974.71 2.21197 217.6
19 1933.96 -2.19783 50.4 19 1939.54 2.19995 205.4
19 1991.96 -2.19783 50.4 20 1926.88 2.19439 256.5
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Midlands
Midlands
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1945.88 -2.89575 11 1 2007.46 3.22947 167.4
2 1933.96 -2.84655 12.9 2 1918.71 2.94006 164.3
3 1995.63 -2.76325 8.2 3 2012.46 2.74893 152
4 1997.04 -2.66695 12.2 4 1947.21 2.73009 148.4
5 1947.79 -2.61422 13.5 5 1912.63 2.71656 165.7
6 1978.79 -2.59162 13.9 6 1951.88 2.6829 169.7
7 1969.79 -2.5747 14.2 7 1929.88 2.67072 169.3
8 1940.63 -2.57014 11.6 8 1940.88 2.65551 168.8
9 1959.71 -2.51676 3.9 9 1932.38 2.51297 146.3
10 1947.63 -2.48033 13.2 10 2012.29 2.51148 140.7
11 1963.96 -2.47197 19.5 11 1914.96 2.44913 163
12 1926.96 -2.36632 21.4 12 1977.13 2.44179 140.8
13 1911.54 -2.32073 9.7 13 2004.63 2.40592 155.4
14 2003.63 -2.31386 16.2 14 2000.29 2.38902 136.6
15 1925.46 -2.2722 2.2 15 2007.54 2.27802 144.7
16 1922.79 -2.20872 20.8 16 1923.13 2.27298 135.1
17 1955.63 -2.16625 18.9 17 1976.71 2.26845 142.1
18 2006.04 -2.11274 22.2 18 1967.38 2.25763 137.7
19 1956.88 -2.10689 25.1 19 1929.96 2.24498 156.1
20 1964.04 -2.08041 22.8 20 1982.46 2.18387 133.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1963.96 -2.82183 29.1 1 2009.88 2.98133 220
2 1947.63 -2.7194 12.4 2 1990.13 2.95136 193.6
3 1995.63 -2.66839 13.8 3 1919.96 2.81065 224.1
4 1971.96 -2.64658 33.9 4 2012.46 2.75991 179
5 1986.71 -2.58846 9.7 5 2008.63 2.71957 201.4
5 2014.71 -2.58846 9.7 6 1950.71 2.68557 193.9
6 1976.63 -2.54512 17.2 7 2011.79 2.65282 210.7
7 1997.04 -2.53035 31.6 8 1999.96 2.6487 218.4
8 1942.88 -2.44571 29.4 9 1936.54 2.59574 186.2
9 1945.88 -2.43494 29.7 10 1990.79 2.59066 208.5
10 1932.13 -2.41853 4.8 11 1985.63 2.46846 192.5
11 1972.71 -2.40471 14.8 12 1929.96 2.46006 211.7
12 1986.13 -2.38987 5.6 13 1962.71 2.40975 184.1
13 1975.96 -2.36541 41.7 14 2002.79 2.37469 200.8
14 1951.79 -2.35306 34.2 15 1923.13 2.3683 173
15 2003.63 -2.33684 23 16 2014.13 2.3182 171.2
16 1933.71 -2.31894 17.2 17 1946.71 2.30669 180.4
17 1926.96 -2.27985 44.1 18 1999.71 2.2457 178.2
17 1970.96 -2.27985 44.1 19 1916.38 2.23032 156.1
18 1934.88 -2.25999 34.6 20 2002.88 2.20306 192.4
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Scotland
Scotland
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1946.79 -3.15525 19.4 1 1990.13 3.34974 278.1
2 1945.88 -2.85613 28.8 2 1997.13 2.98829 258.8
3 1933.96 -2.76947 40.2 3 1950.71 2.94618 267.6
4 1963.04 -2.74996 38.6 4 2013.96 2.91314 300.7
5 1927.96 -2.69556 43.4 5 1993.04 2.82906 293.8
6 1947.63 -2.55519 5.1 6 1928.04 2.79881 292.2
7 1937.88 -2.5441 42.3 7 2002.13 2.722 244.7
8 1929.04 -2.44194 51.9 8 1994.21 2.70737 238.5
9 1995.96 -2.42673 55 9 1990.21 2.61049 233.4
10 1932.13 -2.39908 10.3 10 2008.04 2.48327 275.6
11 1963.96 -2.31275 59.9 11 1989.13 2.40184 227.9
12 1940.04 -2.30936 57.6 12 2014.13 2.3443 224.9
13 1997.04 -2.30238 57.9 13 2009.88 2.32227 262
13 1941.04 -2.30238 57.9 14 1986.96 2.3003 268.5
14 1983.88 -2.28146 53.6 15 1929.96 2.27529 267.2
15 1925.88 -2.27447 53.9 16 2011.38 2.27497 191.4
16 1958.88 -2.25116 54.9 17 2011.96 2.24061 265.4
17 2010.96 -2.24749 62.7 18 2006.96 2.21361 264
18 1951.79 -2.20017 60.7 19 1947.29 2.18542 191.1
19 1942.88 -2.19983 57.1 20 1935.79 2.17746 258.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Scotland E
Scotland E
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1946.79 -3.1334 16.4 1 1984.88 3.29076 250.3
2 1947.63 -2.794 5.7 2 1951.88 2.90877 234.1
3 1951.79 -2.71869 28.1 3 2008.04 2.82721 231.7
4 1942.88 -2.68286 25.7 4 1950.71 2.78247 206.9
5 1937.88 -2.58805 28.4 5 1990.13 2.69282 195.9
6 1997.04 -2.5802 29.7 6 1940.54 2.68642 199.2
7 1983.88 -2.56702 29 7 1948.63 2.65926 206.6
8 1945.88 -2.56352 29.1 8 2009.88 2.59519 220.7
9 1972.79 -2.53615 33.3 9 1923.13 2.5016 187.7
10 1926.96 -2.40572 35.6 10 1929.96 2.49547 218.4
11 1933.96 -2.3466 37.3 11 1932.79 2.48763 219.5
12 1958.88 -2.32643 35.9 12 1914.96 2.48617 218
13 1975.96 -2.28763 39 13 2004.63 2.47749 198.8
14 1972.71 -2.28432 15.3 14 1993.04 2.4607 216
15 1981.63 -2.27284 20.6 15 2013.96 2.4327 215.7
16 1932.13 -2.26811 8.6 16 1927.71 2.40008 190.5
17 1989.88 -2.26404 37.7 17 1928.04 2.35854 211.6
18 1978.79 -2.25775 41.3 18 1995.71 2.29807 186.1
19 1995.63 -2.24862 21.3 19 1997.13 2.24642 176.7
20 1964.04 -2.20099 40.6 20 2002.79 2.20479 207.3
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Scotland N
Scotland N
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1927.96 -2.98715 23.7 1 1990.21 3.3446 335.9
2 1946.79 -2.92836 20.8 2 1990.13 2.98623 313.4
3 1933.96 -2.85691 30.7 3 1989.13 2.85008 302.9
4 1945.88 -2.66377 34.3 4 1997.13 2.78863 298.2
5 1963.04 -2.65306 39.9 5 1967.21 2.77513 291.5
6 2002.96 -2.52706 48.2 6 1994.21 2.74359 289.1
7 1940.04 -2.52412 46.7 7 1993.04 2.71396 339.8
8 1929.04 -2.48792 48.6 8 2013.96 2.64042 335.9
9 1915.79 -2.45716 45.8 9 1998.13 2.47754 274.8
10 1995.96 -2.4565 51.9 10 1949.96 2.42027 319.5
11 1920.79 -2.36517 50.6 11 2002.13 2.38672 268.1
12 1996.04 -2.34808 55.9 12 2011.96 2.37538 316.2
13 1941.04 -2.30376 58.2 13 1928.04 2.29809 308.9
14 1914.79 -2.27265 55.4 14 1950.71 2.2977 271.7
15 1937.88 -2.24901 56 15 1981.88 2.29441 303.6
16 1947.63 -2.24363 5.9 16 2011.38 2.26051 219.2
17 1963.13 -2.21909 15.3 17 1974.96 2.23663 306.1
18 1932.13 -2.18802 16.9 18 1966.96 2.21029 304.2
19 1937.96 -2.18087 66.2 19 1912.96 2.19361 303
20 1986.13 -2.18024 17.3 20 2005.04 2.19298 301.3
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Scotland W
Scotland W
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1963.04 -2.99548 21.1 1 1990.13 3.06636 318.8
2 1946.79 -2.96713 20.8 2 1950.71 2.93613 326.7
3 1941.04 -2.82165 30.1 3 1929.96 2.85629 362.7
4 1945.88 -2.81136 20.9 4 1928.04 2.83013 355.7
5 1927.96 -2.67056 43.2 5 2009.88 2.74238 340.2
6 1995.96 -2.59133 47.3 6 2014.13 2.70925 295.3
7 1937.88 -2.4771 38.2 7 2009.63 2.69232 297.5
8 1933.96 -2.42708 55.8 8 1997.13 2.68031 293.4
9 1963.96 -2.40389 57 9 2002.13 2.64222 290.9
10 1947.63 -2.39183 3.2 10 2013.96 2.57763 344.4
11 1951.79 -2.38752 50.8 11 1985.63 2.45889 282.2
12 2010.96 -2.37876 58.3 12 1994.21 2.42181 269.3
13 1997.04 -2.34438 54.8 13 1986.96 2.40349 333
14 1932.13 -2.32976 3.1 14 2011.96 2.37595 331.2
15 1942.88 -2.27611 48.6 15 2006.88 2.37306 316
16 1919.79 -2.26577 57.1 16 1999.96 2.32083 327.6
17 1986.13 -2.24666 7.4 17 2011.38 2.27366 229
18 1981.96 -2.21063 67 18 1993.04 2.21319 315.3
19 1972.71 -2.20378 26.1 19 1974.04 2.13486 310.2
20 1993.79 -2.18847 61.1 20 1975.04 2.12871 309.8
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: UK
UK
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1945.88 -3.12521 22.1 1 1990.13 3.10764 187.9
2 1933.96 -2.8799 32.4 2 2009.88 3.00066 215.7
3 1997.04 -2.83608 29 3 1929.96 2.81103 213
4 1947.63 -2.74474 10.3 4 2002.13 2.73713 175.6
5 1946.79 -2.73719 31.6 5 1928.04 2.712 205.1
6 1963.04 -2.71962 32.2 6 1918.71 2.67909 182.2
7 1963.96 -2.6507 38.7 7 1950.71 2.61319 180
8 1995.63 -2.47305 17.8 8 2014.13 2.54547 169.2
9 1932.13 -2.4684 8.8 9 1914.96 2.52039 203.3
10 1947.79 -2.43311 40 10 2000.79 2.40758 194.8
11 1951.79 -2.39349 41.1 11 1997.13 2.38141 163.7
12 2010.96 -2.333 47.5 12 2012.46 2.36807 149
13 1964.04 -2.31139 43.5 13 1967.79 2.33911 192.5
14 1942.88 -2.2972 44.9 14 1951.88 2.33849 193.6
15 1987.04 -2.28268 44.3 15 1981.71 2.27924 168.8
16 2014.71 -2.27185 22.8 16 2008.04 2.24948 189.6
17 1976.63 -2.26085 23.7 17 1940.88 2.24341 190.4
18 1959.71 -2.23601 23.8 18 1912.63 2.22601 167.6
19 1937.88 -2.21835 47.1 19 2014.04 2.20202 188
20 1922.79 -2.18541 46.9 20 1917.63 2.19932 166.7
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Wales
Wales
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1997.04 -3.09461 11.7 1 1929.88 2.98045 336.9
2 1945.88 -2.89933 23.1 2 1918.71 2.91546 293.1
3 1926.96 -2.77378 34 3 1981.21 2.91003 278.7
4 1942.88 -2.76066 28.6 4 2009.88 2.70324 318.8
5 1963.04 -2.69059 27.7 5 1923.13 2.6399 271.4
6 1963.96 -2.66568 38.3 6 1917.63 2.62856 274.5
7 1947.79 -2.56963 30.8 7 2002.13 2.56353 266.4
8 1978.79 -2.46467 35 8 1967.79 2.55215 303.5
9 1933.88 -2.44248 41.3 9 1947.21 2.52616 253.6
10 1964.04 -2.43533 37.9 10 1965.96 2.49826 311.3
11 1987.04 -2.39547 39.5 11 1948.04 2.4938 301.4
12 1951.79 -2.33022 40.4 12 1929.96 2.42811 306.7
13 1933.96 -2.31858 52.2 13 1939.54 2.37606 241.4
14 1932.13 -2.30675 3.5 14 1912.63 2.32197 254.4
15 2010.96 -2.30368 52.8 15 2012.46 2.26072 219.1
16 1922.79 -2.29298 41.9 16 1950.71 2.19789 246.1
17 1996.96 -2.29128 53.3 17 2014.13 2.19627 242.3
18 1969.79 -2.28802 42.1 18 1958.71 2.18724 245.4
19 1953.96 -2.27888 53.8 19 1934.96 2.16925 289.7
20 1986.13 -2.21011 7.4 20 1928.04 2.16328 279.7
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Apr 05. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
