Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 … · 2015. 3. 8. · 1910 1915 1920...
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-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 z score 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: East Anglia East Anglia -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Probability plot normal (reference) CDF final data (adjusted) CDF difference (right hand axis) -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Annual -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Normalising function input output Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual 1 1947.63 -2.81205 4.4 1 1912.63 4.17295 177.7 2 1947.79 -2.75187 6 2 1940.88 3.18068 154.5 3 1978.79 -2.73837 6.2 3 1914.96 3.06589 145.7 4 2003.63 -2.71071 5.9 4 1997.46 2.79607 129.5 5 1969.79 -2.6845 7 5 1970.88 2.64208 138.9 6 1972.79 -2.67106 7.2 6 1939.79 2.59526 133.8 7 1959.71 -2.61342 1.7 7 1918.71 2.58036 127 8 1995.63 -2.55664 8.2 8 1998.29 2.57817 117.8 9 1955.54 -2.4872 7.7 9 2007.38 2.47698 118 10 1969.71 -2.44055 4.3 10 1987.79 2.4402 129.2 11 1921.54 -2.42766 8.6 11 2012.29 2.40654 112.7 12 1940.63 -2.42402 10.2 12 1968.71 2.40202 121.7 13 1995.79 -2.34575 12.1 13 1947.21 2.40122 111 14 1977.54 -2.34213 9.9 14 1960.79 2.31996 125.6 15 1983.63 -2.24705 12.9 15 2000.79 2.29337 124.8 16 1911.54 -2.22464 11.7 16 1939.04 2.23735 118.6 17 1932.96 -2.20257 12.5 17 1982.79 2.2139 122.4 18 1985.79 -2.1893 14.5 18 2010.63 2.21094 121.6 19 1945.88 -2.17117 18.5 19 1988.04 2.17794 116.8 20 1933.96 -2.16373 13.1 20 1985.46 2.10831 109 Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
Transcript of Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 … · 2015. 3. 8. · 1910 1915 1920...
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: East Anglia
East Anglia
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normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
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output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1947.63 -2.81205 4.4 1 1912.63 4.17295 177.7
2 1947.79 -2.75187 6 2 1940.88 3.18068 154.5
3 1978.79 -2.73837 6.2 3 1914.96 3.06589 145.7
4 2003.63 -2.71071 5.9 4 1997.46 2.79607 129.5
5 1969.79 -2.6845 7 5 1970.88 2.64208 138.9
6 1972.79 -2.67106 7.2 6 1939.79 2.59526 133.8
7 1959.71 -2.61342 1.7 7 1918.71 2.58036 127
8 1995.63 -2.55664 8.2 8 1998.29 2.57817 117.8
9 1955.54 -2.4872 7.7 9 2007.38 2.47698 118
10 1969.71 -2.44055 4.3 10 1987.79 2.4402 129.2
11 1921.54 -2.42766 8.6 11 2012.29 2.40654 112.7
12 1940.63 -2.42402 10.2 12 1968.71 2.40202 121.7
13 1995.79 -2.34575 12.1 13 1947.21 2.40122 111
14 1977.54 -2.34213 9.9 14 1960.79 2.31996 125.6
15 1983.63 -2.24705 12.9 15 2000.79 2.29337 124.8
16 1911.54 -2.22464 11.7 16 1939.04 2.23735 118.6
17 1932.96 -2.20257 12.5 17 1982.79 2.2139 122.4
18 1985.79 -2.1893 14.5 18 2010.63 2.21094 121.6
19 1945.88 -2.17117 18.5 19 1988.04 2.17794 116.8
20 1933.96 -2.16373 13.1 20 1985.46 2.10831 109
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England
England
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final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1945.88 -2.91532 17 1 1918.71 3.03821 169.3
2 1997.04 -2.8064 14.2 2 1912.63 2.879 170.5
3 1969.79 -2.78329 15.9 3 1914.96 2.76593 179
4 1978.79 -2.76777 16.2 4 1947.21 2.74037 149.3
5 1947.79 -2.69552 17.6 5 2012.46 2.70556 147.9
6 1933.96 -2.68802 21.5 6 2007.46 2.64628 146
7 1995.63 -2.67817 9.6 7 1929.88 2.62894 174.5
8 1926.96 -2.67773 21.7 8 2009.88 2.5143 170.8
9 1947.63 -2.56549 11.8 9 2012.29 2.45513 136.5
10 1959.71 -2.44786 7.9 10 1917.63 2.45197 156.8
11 1963.96 -2.40274 27.1 11 2000.79 2.44161 164.8
12 1940.63 -2.34784 16.1 12 1940.88 2.44041 168.4
13 2003.63 -2.32778 16.5 13 1915.96 2.43687 168.4
14 1956.88 -2.29155 29.2 14 1960.79 2.4324 164.5
15 1964.04 -2.23704 25.4 15 1951.88 2.422 167.8
16 1953.96 -2.1581 32 16 1981.21 2.3507 136.7
17 1965.79 -2.13074 28.8 17 1929.96 2.34812 165.5
18 1911.54 -2.12018 13.2 18 2014.04 2.33008 159.9
19 1987.04 -2.10345 28.1 19 2000.29 2.26278 130.2
20 1963.04 -2.09853 28.2 20 1948.04 2.23897 156.9
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England and Wales
England and Wales
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1945.88 -2.95375 17.9 1 1918.71 3.08983 186.4
2 1997.04 -2.92477 13.8 2 1912.63 2.81361 182.1
3 1926.96 -2.74354 23.4 3 1929.88 2.78616 196.9
4 1978.79 -2.73386 18.8 4 1947.21 2.75795 163.7
5 1947.79 -2.70653 19.4 5 2012.46 2.66478 157.8
6 1969.79 -2.69743 19.6 6 2009.88 2.62543 191.2
7 1933.96 -2.63444 25.8 7 1914.96 2.59406 191
8 1995.63 -2.58075 10.3 8 1917.63 2.55729 173
9 1963.96 -2.50805 28.6 9 1981.21 2.54986 156.3
10 1947.63 -2.46375 12.9 10 1940.88 2.42995 184.2
11 1959.71 -2.42465 8.4 11 2000.79 2.42979 180.3
12 1964.04 -2.32275 27.1 12 1929.96 2.42667 185
13 1940.63 -2.28993 16.8 13 2007.46 2.41884 149
14 1963.04 -2.27841 28.1 14 1915.96 2.36846 182.9
15 2003.63 -2.25453 17.6 15 1923.13 2.36492 153.6
16 1956.88 -2.24872 33.5 16 1948.04 2.35591 176.8
17 1953.96 -2.22304 35 17 1951.88 2.3137 180
18 1987.04 -2.20776 29.7 18 2012.29 2.27356 141
19 1951.79 -2.16529 31.5 19 2014.04 2.26216 173.4
20 1910.71 -2.115 15.4 20 1934.96 2.23615 178.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England E and NE
England E and NE
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final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1947.63 -3.14533 7 1 2007.46 3.64425 181.8
2 1995.63 -3.05926 8.5 2 1978.96 3.00882 175.7
3 1959.63 -2.62308 16.2 3 1956.63 2.89616 173.3
4 2003.63 -2.55601 17.4 4 1917.63 2.82255 170.7
5 1997.04 -2.49798 15 5 1948.04 2.79831 166.4
6 1976.63 -2.46144 19.1 6 1960.79 2.79126 166.1
7 1969.79 -2.39544 16.8 7 1976.71 2.76971 156
8 1972.79 -2.37336 17.2 8 2004.63 2.70694 166.6
9 1945.88 -2.37209 22 9 2012.29 2.66222 140.9
10 1958.88 -2.36107 22.2 10 1940.54 2.65792 156.5
11 1947.79 -2.34029 17.8 11 1997.46 2.56943 144.2
12 1925.46 -2.31808 4.2 12 2000.29 2.49721 135
13 1962.79 -2.27986 18.9 13 2012.46 2.49408 141.5
14 1941.96 -2.27594 20.9 14 1915.96 2.38203 153.4
15 1955.63 -2.25205 22.9 15 1918.71 2.36997 141.7
16 1991.63 -2.24658 23 16 1951.88 2.25633 151.7
16 1933.63 -2.24658 23 17 1914.96 2.19988 146.8
17 1978.79 -2.19239 20.5 18 1930.54 2.15024 138.2
18 1972.63 -2.15931 24.6 19 1912.46 2.14588 128.9
19 1926.96 -2.15583 23.1 20 2009.88 2.14092 147.5
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England N
England N
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difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1947.63 -3.00412 8 1 1956.63 3.27689 212.9
2 1997.04 -2.91409 12.9 2 2007.46 3.23598 188.2
3 1945.88 -2.88919 16.8 3 1918.71 3.165 199.1
4 1995.63 -2.82603 12.1 4 2009.88 2.89915 204.5
5 1976.63 -2.64919 16.2 5 2004.63 2.831 195.7
6 1933.96 -2.63614 23.4 6 1948.04 2.76587 196
7 1947.79 -2.60908 20.8 7 2012.46 2.68783 167
8 1959.63 -2.60197 17.3 8 1951.88 2.62408 193.8
9 2003.63 -2.51637 19.3 9 1917.63 2.52839 183.9
10 1910.71 -2.33754 14 10 1981.21 2.49068 158
11 1972.79 -2.33625 27.2 11 2002.13 2.44264 160.4
12 1969.79 -2.29394 28.2 12 1928.04 2.40786 182
13 1926.96 -2.28677 31.6 13 1915.96 2.31984 182.6
14 1959.71 -2.28255 15.3 14 2008.04 2.30629 178
15 1958.88 -2.27668 31.1 15 1967.79 2.24714 176.5
16 1963.96 -2.24879 32.5 16 2000.88 2.23977 178.7
17 2014.71 -2.23193 16.5 17 1968.71 2.14532 159.3
18 1946.79 -2.22223 29.9 18 1967.38 2.13153 142.3
19 1971.96 -2.19406 33.8 19 1938.79 2.11583 171.3
20 1942.88 -2.19242 33.1 20 1947.21 2.113 143.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England NW and N Wales
England NW and N Wales
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Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1945.88 -3.02888 13.5 1 1918.71 3.3644 287.1
2 1997.04 -2.93658 12 2 2009.88 3.30306 306.6
3 1947.79 -2.73716 23.2 3 1956.63 2.863 260.9
4 1933.96 -2.59791 33.2 4 1967.79 2.85286 280.9
5 1963.96 -2.56504 34.4 5 2002.13 2.82524 242
6 1963.04 -2.55747 25.8 6 1928.04 2.68704 267.8
7 1946.79 -2.52608 30.9 7 1948.04 2.57651 261.7
8 1942.88 -2.5259 31.8 8 1954.79 2.54113 263.7
9 1947.63 -2.51352 10.8 9 1981.21 2.53773 218.3
10 1976.63 -2.44793 13.2 10 1950.71 2.46835 237.7
11 1951.79 -2.44408 33.9 11 2012.46 2.43341 205.4
12 1926.96 -2.37923 41.2 12 2000.79 2.36359 253.9
13 1910.71 -2.36269 14.9 13 1993.96 2.35773 258.5
14 2014.71 -2.35724 15.1 14 1929.88 2.33835 253.4
15 1922.79 -2.34042 37.7 15 1917.63 2.31938 230.9
16 1995.63 -2.32791 17.6 16 1938.79 2.28932 249.8
17 1971.96 -2.28933 44.5 17 2000.88 2.24778 248.4
18 2010.96 -2.27573 45 18 1997.13 2.22368 208.8
19 1986.71 -2.26467 18.5 19 2008.79 2.22048 246
20 1932.13 -2.2295 4.4 20 1951.88 2.18618 245
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England S
England S
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difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
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output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1978.79 -2.9678 8.4 1 1912.63 3.36283 181.5
2 1969.79 -2.90716 9.5 2 1940.88 3.0142 185.6
3 1926.96 -2.74991 16.4 3 1929.88 2.97966 184.5
4 1945.88 -2.71831 17.2 4 1914.96 2.93639 182.9
5 1947.79 -2.55969 15.9 5 1947.21 2.85241 152.6
6 1997.04 -2.53967 14.8 6 1960.79 2.78481 174
7 1933.96 -2.52892 20.5 7 2014.04 2.63646 167.7
8 1940.63 -2.49474 6.3 8 1918.71 2.62483 153.5
9 1965.79 -2.4001 18.9 9 1934.96 2.5209 169.4
10 1995.63 -2.39397 8.2 10 2012.29 2.46519 137.2
11 1959.71 -2.38462 3.9 11 2012.46 2.43698 137.9
12 1931.79 -2.34739 19.9 12 2000.79 2.41916 162
13 1963.96 -2.33293 24.2 13 2000.29 2.37215 134.1
14 1953.96 -2.31719 24.5 14 1911.96 2.34364 163.5
15 1956.88 -2.25018 26 15 1929.96 2.32279 162.8
16 1987.04 -2.23887 20.5 16 1970.88 2.30738 162.5
17 1964.04 -2.23367 20.6 17 1987.79 2.30568 158.2
18 1988.96 -2.22321 26.3 18 1915.96 2.26343 160.8
19 1991.96 -2.18689 27 19 1949.79 2.18747 154.2
20 2006.04 -2.12498 22.7 20 1923.13 2.17812 132.5
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England SE and Central S
England SE and Central S
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Probability plot
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final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
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output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1978.79 -2.91771 6.1 1 2014.04 3.16623 205.2
1 1969.79 -2.91771 6.1 2 1914.96 2.9881 204.9
2 1945.88 -2.86276 11.7 3 2000.79 2.85961 196.9
3 1926.96 -2.66773 14.2 4 1960.79 2.78885 194.1
4 1933.96 -2.55752 16.5 5 1934.96 2.77258 196.4
5 1988.96 -2.50037 17.7 6 1940.88 2.7492 197
6 1956.88 -2.46375 20 7 1949.79 2.67328 189.5
7 1947.79 -2.45076 15.8 8 1974.71 2.61726 167.8
8 1931.79 -2.42237 16.4 9 1987.79 2.59837 186.5
9 1965.79 -2.3423 18.1 10 1929.88 2.55672 189.3
10 1978.88 -2.34109 22.6 11 2009.88 2.55424 189.2
11 1991.96 -2.33505 21.2 12 1970.88 2.50464 187.2
12 1953.96 -2.33036 21.3 13 1947.21 2.43714 151.9
13 1950.79 -2.31884 18.6 14 1951.13 2.43402 154.6
14 1931.96 -2.30693 21.8 15 1915.96 2.41896 182.2
15 1997.04 -2.28145 15.7 16 2002.88 2.41334 183.5
16 1970.79 -2.26272 19.8 17 1911.96 2.37964 180.6
17 1932.96 -2.24621 23.1 18 1968.71 2.34052 156.6
18 1963.96 -2.21364 23.8 19 2000.29 2.33679 145.3
19 1976.04 -2.16057 18.3 20 1929.96 2.32086 178.2
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
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1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: England SW and S Wales
England SW and S Wales
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normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
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Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1926.96 -2.94023 23.5 1 1929.88 3.38041 327.7
2 1997.04 -2.85493 16.9 2 1934.96 2.91971 307.4
3 1978.79 -2.7008 17.8 3 1923.13 2.83061 256.2
4 1963.04 -2.597 26.2 4 1912.63 2.79397 254.3
5 1987.04 -2.56937 27.2 5 1947.21 2.70576 239.7
6 1964.04 -2.55832 27.6 6 1911.96 2.67988 293
7 1945.88 -2.54742 30.4 7 1918.71 2.56512 238.9
8 1942.88 -2.50881 31.8 8 1981.21 2.52124 228.6
9 1953.96 -2.50487 39.2 9 1929.96 2.46718 280.2
10 1917.96 -2.4966 39.5 10 2009.54 2.43885 219.8
11 1969.79 -2.48251 25.7 11 2014.13 2.34696 227.1
12 1933.88 -2.44547 34.1 12 1917.63 2.26076 222.2
13 1963.96 -2.33444 45.4 13 2009.88 2.25913 260.4
14 1953.04 -2.32999 35.9 14 1940.88 2.25748 260.3
15 1996.96 -2.32895 45.6 15 1915.96 2.24659 266.9
16 1935.04 -2.30534 36.8 16 2012.46 2.23565 194
17 2010.96 -2.3043 46.5 17 1967.79 2.23186 251.7
18 1932.13 -2.26723 2 18 1974.71 2.21174 217.6
19 1991.96 -2.19769 50.4 19 1939.54 2.20008 205.4
19 1933.96 -2.19769 50.4 20 1926.88 2.19451 256.5
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Midlands
Midlands
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1945.88 -2.89571 11 1 2007.46 3.23029 167.4
2 1933.96 -2.84647 12.9 2 1918.71 2.94063 164.3
3 1995.63 -2.76311 8.2 3 2012.46 2.74916 152
4 1997.04 -2.66674 12.2 4 1947.21 2.72984 148.4
5 1947.79 -2.61435 13.5 5 1912.63 2.71675 165.7
6 1978.79 -2.59173 13.9 6 1951.88 2.68306 169.7
7 1969.79 -2.57479 14.2 7 1929.88 2.67086 169.3
8 1940.63 -2.56985 11.6 8 1940.88 2.65563 168.8
9 1959.71 -2.51622 3.9 9 1932.38 2.51295 146.3
10 1947.63 -2.47999 13.2 10 2012.29 2.51147 140.7
11 1963.96 -2.47162 19.5 11 1914.96 2.44905 163
12 1926.96 -2.36591 21.4 12 1977.13 2.44171 140.8
13 1911.54 -2.32029 9.7 13 2004.63 2.4058 155.4
14 2003.63 -2.31341 16.2 14 2000.29 2.38888 136.6
15 1925.46 -2.27173 2.2 15 2007.54 2.27778 144.7
16 1922.79 -2.20858 20.8 16 1923.13 2.27274 135.1
17 1955.63 -2.16572 18.9 17 1976.71 2.26831 142.1
18 2006.04 -2.11218 22.2 18 1967.38 2.25737 137.7
19 1956.88 -2.10633 25.1 19 1929.96 2.24471 156.1
20 1964.04 -2.07984 22.8 20 1982.46 2.18356 133.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1963.96 -2.82341 29.1 1 2009.88 2.98088 220
2 1947.63 -2.72082 12.4 2 1990.13 2.9509 193.6
3 1995.63 -2.66974 13.8 3 1919.96 2.81012 224.1
4 1971.96 -2.64789 33.9 4 2012.46 2.75936 179
5 1986.71 -2.58993 9.7 5 2008.63 2.719 201.4
6 2014.71 -2.56456 10.4 6 1950.71 2.6848 193.9
7 1976.63 -2.54628 17.2 7 2011.79 2.65271 210.7
8 1997.04 -2.5315 31.6 8 1999.96 2.6481 218.4
9 1942.88 -2.44674 29.4 9 1936.54 2.59512 186.2
10 1945.88 -2.43595 29.7 10 1990.79 2.59053 208.5
11 1932.13 -2.41952 4.8 11 1985.63 2.4678 192.5
12 1972.71 -2.40592 14.8 12 1929.96 2.45939 211.7
13 1986.13 -2.39082 5.6 13 1962.71 2.40889 184.1
14 1975.96 -2.36633 41.7 14 2002.79 2.37449 200.8
15 1951.79 -2.35335 34.2 15 1923.13 2.36761 173
16 2003.63 -2.33772 23 16 2014.13 2.3175 171.2
17 1933.71 -2.32003 17.2 17 1946.71 2.3058 180.4
18 1926.96 -2.28066 44.1 18 1999.71 2.2448 178.2
18 1970.96 -2.28066 44.1 19 1916.38 2.22959 156.1
19 1934.88 -2.26077 34.6 20 2002.88 2.20233 192.4
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Scotland
Scotland
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1946.79 -3.15194 19.4 1 1990.13 3.3454 278.1
2 1945.88 -2.854 28.8 2 1997.13 2.98533 258.8
3 1933.96 -2.7676 40.2 3 1950.71 2.94376 267.6
4 1963.04 -2.74815 38.6 4 2013.96 2.91046 300.7
5 1927.96 -2.6939 43.4 5 1993.04 2.82666 293.8
6 1947.63 -2.55392 5.1 6 1928.04 2.79652 292.2
7 1937.88 -2.54287 42.3 7 2002.13 2.71996 244.7
8 1929.04 -2.44097 51.9 8 1994.21 2.71699 238.5
9 1995.96 -2.4258 55 9 1990.21 2.62046 233.4
10 1932.13 -2.39822 10.3 10 2008.04 2.48198 275.6
11 1963.96 -2.31209 59.9 11 1989.13 2.40078 227.9
12 1940.04 -2.30872 57.6 12 2014.13 2.3434 224.9
13 1941.04 -2.30175 57.9 13 2009.88 2.32144 262
13 1997.04 -2.30175 57.9 14 1986.96 2.29952 268.5
14 1983.88 -2.28088 53.6 15 1929.96 2.27457 267.2
15 1925.88 -2.27391 53.9 16 2011.38 2.27426 191.4
16 1958.88 -2.25065 54.9 17 2011.96 2.23999 265.4
17 2010.96 -2.24699 62.7 18 2006.96 2.21305 264
18 1951.79 -2.19955 60.7 19 1947.29 2.18493 191.1
19 1942.88 -2.19943 57.1 20 1935.79 2.17719 258.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Scotland E
Scotland E
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1946.79 -3.13718 16.4 1 1984.88 3.28903 250.3
2 1947.63 -2.79533 5.7 2 1951.88 2.90714 234.1
3 1951.79 -2.7219 28.1 3 2008.04 2.82561 231.7
4 1942.88 -2.68404 25.7 4 1950.71 2.7801 206.9
5 1937.88 -2.58912 28.4 5 1990.13 2.69127 195.9
6 1997.04 -2.58126 29.7 6 1940.54 2.68487 199.2
7 1983.88 -2.56807 29 7 1948.63 2.65772 206.6
8 1945.88 -2.56456 29.1 8 2009.88 2.59367 220.7
9 1972.79 -2.53913 33.3 9 1923.13 2.50012 187.7
10 1926.96 -2.40657 35.6 10 1929.96 2.494 218.4
11 1933.96 -2.34739 37.3 11 1932.79 2.48485 219.5
12 1958.88 -2.32719 35.9 12 1914.96 2.4847 218
13 1975.96 -2.28835 39 13 2004.63 2.47602 198.8
14 1972.71 -2.2862 15.3 14 1993.04 2.45924 216
15 1981.63 -2.27355 20.6 15 2013.96 2.43126 215.7
16 1932.13 -2.26881 8.6 16 1927.71 2.39788 190.5
17 1989.88 -2.26474 37.7 17 1928.04 2.35713 211.6
18 1978.79 -2.26038 41.3 18 1995.71 2.29591 186.1
19 1995.63 -2.24929 21.3 19 1997.13 2.24506 176.7
20 1964.04 -2.20162 40.6 20 2002.79 2.20216 207.3
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Scotland N
Scotland N
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1927.96 -2.98484 23.7 1 1990.21 3.3502 335.9
2 1946.79 -2.92518 20.8 2 1990.13 2.98351 313.4
3 1933.96 -2.85504 30.7 3 1989.13 2.84792 302.9
4 1945.88 -2.66253 34.3 4 1997.13 2.78671 298.2
5 1963.04 -2.65185 39.9 5 1967.21 2.78365 291.5
6 2002.96 -2.52624 48.2 6 1994.21 2.75226 289.1
7 1940.04 -2.5233 46.7 7 1993.04 2.71233 339.8
8 1929.04 -2.4872 48.6 8 2013.96 2.63907 335.9
9 1995.96 -2.45588 51.9 9 1998.13 2.47674 274.8
10 1915.79 -2.45542 45.8 10 1949.96 2.41966 319.5
11 1920.79 -2.36368 50.6 11 2002.13 2.38621 268.1
12 1996.04 -2.34774 55.9 12 2011.96 2.37491 316.2
13 1941.04 -2.30355 58.2 13 1950.71 2.29804 271.7
14 1914.79 -2.27139 55.4 14 1928.04 2.29785 308.9
15 1937.88 -2.24893 56 15 1981.88 2.29419 303.6
16 1947.63 -2.24356 5.9 16 2011.38 2.26039 219.2
17 1963.13 -2.21908 15.3 17 1974.96 2.23657 306.1
18 1932.13 -2.18809 16.9 18 1966.96 2.2103 304.2
19 1937.96 -2.18095 66.2 19 1912.96 2.19367 303
20 1986.13 -2.18033 17.3 20 2005.04 2.19304 301.3
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Scotland W
Scotland W
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1963.04 -2.99141 21.1 1 1990.13 3.06282 318.8
2 1946.79 -2.96284 20.8 2 1950.71 2.93386 326.7
3 1941.04 -2.8183 30.1 3 1929.96 2.85361 362.7
4 1945.88 -2.80806 20.9 4 1928.04 2.82755 355.7
5 1927.96 -2.6678 43.2 5 2009.88 2.74014 340.2
6 1995.96 -2.58888 47.3 6 2014.13 2.70713 295.3
7 1937.88 -2.47507 38.2 7 2009.63 2.69026 297.5
8 1933.96 -2.42522 55.8 8 1997.13 2.6783 293.4
9 1963.96 -2.40211 57 9 2002.13 2.64034 290.9
10 1947.63 -2.39009 3.2 10 2013.96 2.57598 344.4
11 1951.79 -2.38545 50.8 11 1985.63 2.45765 282.2
12 2010.96 -2.37707 58.3 12 1994.21 2.43326 269.3
13 1997.04 -2.34281 54.8 13 1986.96 2.40243 333
14 1932.13 -2.32823 3.1 14 2011.96 2.37498 331.2
15 1942.88 -2.27476 48.6 15 2006.88 2.3721 316
16 1919.79 -2.2641 57.1 16 1999.96 2.32003 327.6
17 2014.71 -2.25566 23.3 17 2011.38 2.27301 229
18 1986.13 -2.2454 7.4 18 1993.04 2.21271 315.3
19 1981.96 -2.20949 67 19 1974.04 2.1346 310.2
20 1972.71 -2.20172 26.1 20 1975.04 2.12847 309.8
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: UK
UK
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1945.88 -3.12511 22.1 1 1990.13 3.1063 187.9
2 1933.96 -2.87975 32.4 2 2009.88 2.99936 215.7
3 1997.04 -2.83591 29 3 1929.96 2.8098 213
4 1947.63 -2.74456 10.3 4 2002.13 2.73594 175.6
5 1946.79 -2.73708 31.6 5 1928.04 2.71082 205.1
6 1963.04 -2.71943 32.2 6 1918.71 2.67811 182.2
7 1963.96 -2.6505 38.7 7 1950.71 2.61225 180
8 1995.63 -2.47282 17.8 8 2014.13 2.54436 169.2
9 1932.13 -2.46816 8.8 9 1914.96 2.51929 203.3
10 1947.79 -2.43294 40 10 2000.79 2.40646 194.8
11 1951.79 -2.39331 41.1 11 1997.13 2.38036 163.7
12 2010.96 -2.33275 47.5 12 2012.46 2.36703 149
13 1964.04 -2.31113 43.5 13 1967.79 2.33803 192.5
14 1942.88 -2.29694 44.9 14 1951.88 2.33746 193.6
15 2014.71 -2.29646 22.1 15 1981.71 2.27844 168.8
16 1987.04 -2.28242 44.3 16 2008.04 2.2485 189.6
17 1976.63 -2.26059 23.7 17 1940.88 2.24243 190.4
18 1959.71 -2.2355 23.8 18 1912.63 2.22503 167.6
19 1937.88 -2.21808 47.1 19 2014.04 2.20106 188
20 1922.79 -2.1852 46.9 20 1917.63 2.19835 166.7
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised Met Office monthly areal rainfall series 1910 onwards, annual removed, Region: Wales
Wales
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Dry Rank Date Z Actual Wet Rank Date Z Actual
1 1997.04 -3.09613 11.7 1 1929.88 2.98048 336.9
2 1945.88 -2.90057 23.1 2 1918.71 2.91528 293.1
3 1926.96 -2.77485 34 3 1981.21 2.90983 278.7
4 1942.88 -2.76172 28.6 4 2009.88 2.70305 318.8
5 1963.04 -2.69156 27.7 5 1923.13 2.63966 271.4
6 1963.96 -2.66661 38.3 6 1917.63 2.62831 274.5
7 1947.79 -2.56813 30.8 7 2002.13 2.56324 266.4
8 1978.79 -2.46304 35 8 1967.79 2.55327 303.5
9 1933.88 -2.44314 41.3 9 1947.21 2.52567 253.6
10 1964.04 -2.43598 37.9 10 1965.96 2.49793 311.3
11 1987.04 -2.39607 39.5 11 1948.04 2.49347 301.4
12 1951.79 -2.32845 40.4 12 1929.96 2.42773 306.7
13 1933.96 -2.3191 52.2 13 1939.54 2.37565 241.4
14 1932.13 -2.30725 3.5 14 1912.63 2.32153 254.4
15 2010.96 -2.30418 52.8 15 2012.46 2.26025 219.1
16 1996.96 -2.29176 53.3 16 1950.71 2.19723 246.1
17 1922.79 -2.29117 41.9 17 2014.13 2.19578 242.3
18 1969.79 -2.2862 42.1 18 1958.71 2.18658 245.4
19 1953.96 -2.27935 53.8 19 1934.96 2.16874 289.7
20 1986.13 -2.2105 7.4 20 1928.04 2.16277 279.7
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Mar 08. Data: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
