Quarterly Meeting# 4/2016 - listed...
Transcript of Quarterly Meeting# 4/2016 - listed...
Quarterly Meeting# 4/2016
3Q16 & 9M16 Performance & Outlook
16 November 2016
2 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
The views expressed here contain some information derived from publicly available sources
that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the
accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward looking information in
this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may
prove to be incorrect. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or
forecast by The Erawan Group PLC. Nothing in this release should be construed as either
an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction.
3 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
Executive Summary
International tourist arrivals grew in all key source
markets with another record high in 3Q16. Thai tourism
continues with strong growth momentum at 13% in
3Q16 and 12% in 9M16.
Profitability continues with 3Q16 turnaround from Loss
at 20 MB in 3Q15 to Net Profit at 56 MB
Our hotel development progressed as planned,
+1 HOP INN Chiang Mai resulting to 20 HOP INN or
38 hotels (6,059 rooms) at the end of 3Q16.
4 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
4 Q & A
3 Outlook
Agenda
1 Industry Update
2 Performance Review 3Q16 & 9M16
5 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2013 YTD 19.57 M 2014 YTD 17.32 M
2015 YTD 22.09 M 2016 YTD 24.82 M
YoY 2015-2016
+15% +16% +15% +10% +8% +7% +11% +11%
+18%
International Tourist Arrivals
Millions
YTD 24.82 millions, +12% y-y
Source : Department of Tourism as of Sep-16 (Prelim)
6 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
Tourist Arrivals by Quarter
Source : Department of Tourism as of Sep-16 (Prelim)
7.0
6.1
6.6 7.0
6.4
5.1
5.8
7.5 7.9
6.9 7.3
7.8
9.0
7.6
8.2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2013 2014 2015 2016
Thai tourism growth momentum to continue through third quarter
7 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
Source : Department of Tourism as of Aug-16
Tourist Arrivals by Source Markets
East Asia 68%
Europe 18%
The Americas
4%
South Asia 5%
Oceania 3%
Middle East 2%
Africa 0% Continent
8M16
YoY
East Asia 13%
Europe 10%
The Americas 13%
South Asia 10%
Oceania 1%
Middle East 12%
Africa 7%
Total 12%
8M16 Contribution
8 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
Source : Department of Tourism as of Aug-16
Tourist Arrivals by Key Source Markets
8M15
Weight
8M16
Weight
YTD-16
Y-Y
8M16
3Y/CAGR
China 28% 30% 19% 57%
Malaysia 11% 10% 2% 24%
South Korea 4% 4% 12% 17%
Japan 5% 4% 4% 9%
Laos 4% 4% 19% 16%
India 3% 4% 14% 16%
Russia 3% 3% 20% 22%
United Kingdom 3% 3% 8% 6%
Singapore 3% 3% 3% 14%
United States 3% 3% 14% 14%
Other 33% 32% 9% 7%
Grand Total 100% 100% 12% 14%
9 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
4 Q & A
3 Outlook
Agenda
1 Industry Update
2 Performance Review 3Q16 & 9M16
10 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
Statistic Summary 3Q16 & 9M16 (YoY)
Segment 3Q16 9M16
OCC RevPAR OCC RevPAR
Luxury 10% 14% 4% 8%
Midscale 8% 14% 5% 8%
Economy 11% 3% 9% 1%
Budget 17% 28% 17% 35%
Total Group 10% 2% 7% 2%
Total Group excl. Budget 10% 12% 7% 6%
11 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
Core Performance Summary
(Unit in MB, unless otherwise indicated)
1,099 1,008 1,216 1,375
3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16
293 197
295 405
3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16
(6) (83) (20)
56
3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16
3,869 4,147
9M15 9M16
EBITDA
Normalized Net Profit
1,079 1,252
9M15 9M16
94
264
9M15 9M16
Turnaround from Net Loss to Net Profit in 3Q16
Group Operating Income 13% YoY 7% YoY
37% YoY 16% YoY
178% YoY
12 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16
3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q163Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16
Hotel Revenue
Luxury Segment Midscale Segment
7%
Economy Segment
14%
Budget Segment
140%
9M15 9M16
11%
9M15 9M16
9M15 9M16 9M15 9M16
4%
Total Group 3Q16 9M16
13% 7%
9%
6% 138%
13 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
Room Revenue by Country of Residence
3Q16 9M16
Contribution Y-Y Contribution Y-Y
1. China 15% 22% 15% 24%
2. Thailand 16% 26% 15% 10%
3. United States 9% 4% 10% 6%
4. Singapore 6% 9% 6% 7%
5. Hong Kong 6% 17% 5% 1%
6. India 5% 13% 5% 3%
7. South Korea 4% 6% 3% 16%
8. United Kingdom 3% 21% 3% 7%
9. Germany 2% 2% 3% 4%
10. Australia 3% 10% 3% 16%
Other 32% 13% 31% 11%
Total Group 15% 10%
1414 © 2014 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
Consolidate Profit & Loss Statement
In Baht Millions 3Q15 3Q16 %Y-Y 9M15 9M16 %Y-Y
Hotel Income 1,165 1,321 13% 3,717 3,989 7%
Rental and Service Income 51 54 5% 152 158 5%
Total Operating Income 1,216 1,375 13% 3,869 4,147 7%
Other Income 6 7 17% 26 30 17%
Total Income 1,222 1,382 13% 3,895 4,177 7%
Operating Expenses (927) (977) 5% (2,816) (2,925) 4%
EBITDA 295 405 37% 1,079 1,252 16%
Share of Profit /(Loss)in ERWPF 5 (4) 17 9
ERWPF Rental Payment (28) (28) (84) (84)
Depreciation (181) (185) (537) (545)
Interest Expenses (96) (89) (292) (271)
Taxes (13) (30) (66) (90)
Minority Interest (2) (13) (23) (26)
Normalized Net Profit/(Loss) (20) 56 N/A 94 245 158%
Non Recurring Items - 19
Net Profit/(Loss) (20) 56 N/A 94 264 178%
EBITDA Margin (%) 24% 29% 28% 30%
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Debt to Equity Ratio
2.6
2.0 2.1
1.3
1.8 1.8 1.7
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.1
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.9
2.1
2.3
2.5
2.7
2.9
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 3Q16
Interest-bearing Debt to Equity
TO
TA
L IN
ER
ES
T-B
EA
RIN
G D
EB
T (
MB
)
16 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
FY2014 FY2015 3Q16
Baht Million
Total Assets
Summary of Financial Position
FY2014 FY2015 3Q16
Total Liabilities & Equity
ST Loan
LT Loan
Other Liabilities
Equity
17 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
4 Q & A
3 Outlook
Agenda
1 Industry Update
2 Performance Review 3Q16 & 9M16
18 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
International Tourist Arrivals
11.6
13.8 14.5 14.6 14.1 15.7
19.1
22.3
26.5 24.8
29.9
32.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F
Million
TSUNAMI Coup Protest Protest Protest Protest
Source : Department of Tourism as of Oct-16
Proven Resilience to Challenges
Protest
8%
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HOP INN #16 Roiet 79 rooms Opened in Jan 16
HOP INN #17 Chumphon 79 rooms Opened in Mar 16
HOP INN #18 Chanthaburi 75 rooms Opened in Apr16
HOP INN #19 Sakonnakhon 75 rooms Opened in Jun16
HOP INN #20 Chiangmai 75 rooms Opened in Aug16
HOP INN #21 Hatyai 79 rooms Opened in Oct 16
HOP INN #22 Phuket 79 rooms Target Opening : 4Q16 Ahead of Schedule
1 HOP INN Philippines 168 rooms Target Opening : 4Q16 On Schedule
Hotel Growth Strategy
20 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
Northern (2 hotels) • Lampang
• Chiang Mai
Northeastern (8 hotels) • Khon Kaen
• Mukdahan
• Nakhon Ratchasima
• Nong Khai
• Roi Et
• Sakon Nakorn
• Ubon Ratchathani
• Udon Thani Western (2 hotels) • Tak - Mae Sod
• Kanchanaburi
South (7 hotels) • Chumphon
• Krabi
• Nakhon Si Thammarat
• Surat Thani
• Trang
• Hat Yai (open in Oct 16)
• Phuket (open in Dec 16)
Eastern (2 hotels) • Chantaburi
• Sa Kaeo
Central (1 hotel) • Phitsanulok
29 HOP INN Thailand By 2017
7 Hotels to open in 2017
21 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
1st HOP INN Philippines (Open in Dec-16)
‘Hop Inn Ermita Manila’
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1st HOP INN Philippines
“Ermita” Description
• One of district in Manila, the capital city of
Philippines
• The major commercial, financial, and cultural
center of the city.
• Home to famous landmarks, government offices,
tourist attractions, museums, and universities.
• Several government institutions such as Supreme
Court of the Philippines and Manila City Hall.
2323 © 2016 ERAWAN. All rights reserved.
4 Q & A
3 Outlook
Agenda
1 Industry Update
2 Performance Review 2Q16 & 1H16
Appendix
3Q16 & 9M16 Review
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Operating Income by Segment
3Q16
Contribution Y-Y
Luxury 52% 11%
Midscale 24% 14%
Economy 16% 7%
Budget 4% 140%
Rental 4% 5%
Total Group 13%
9M16
Contribution Y-Y
51% 4%
24% 9%
18% 6%
3% 138%
4% 5%
7%
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Operating Income by Destination
3Q16
Contribution Y-Y
Bangkok 66% 11%
Pattaya 16% 11%
Phuket 6% 25%
Other 12% 23%
Total Group 13%
9M16
Contribution Y-Y
64% 3%
17% 8%
7% 19%
12% 22%
7%
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EBITDA by Segment
Note : • For illustration purpose only • EBITDA by Segment is calculated without taking non-property-specific expenses into account. • The Naka Island are excluded due to negative EBITDA.
3Q16
Contribution Y-Y
Luxury 47% 37%
Midscale 27% 25%
Economy 14% 15%
Budget 5% 158%
Rental 6% 9%
Total Group 37%
9M16
Contribution Y-Y
43% 8%
28% 16%
19% 11%
5% 173%
5% 6%
16%
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EBITDA by Destination
Note : • For illustration purpose only. • EBITDA by Destination is calculated without taking non-property-specific expenses into account. • The Naka Island are excluded due to negative EBITDA.
3Q16
Contribution Y-Y
Bangkok 68% 32%
Pattaya 19% 13%
Phuket 1% N.M.
Other 12% 40%
Total Group 37%
9M16
Contribution Y-Y
64% 9%
20% 12%
3% 86%
12% 37%
16%
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