DELIVERY OF SITE-SPECIFIC WEATHER SERVICES TO AGRICULTURAL CLIENTS Dr. Ron Pitblado.
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Transcript of DELIVERY OF SITE-SPECIFIC WEATHER SERVICES TO AGRICULTURAL CLIENTS Dr. Ron Pitblado.
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DELIVERY OF SITE-SPECIFIC WEATHER SERVICES TO AGRICULTURAL CLIENTS
Dr. Ron Pitblado
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WEATHERINNOVATIONS
INCORPORATED
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PERSPECTIVES
• REGIONAL vs. SITE-SPECIFIC
- SKYBIT – failed in Canada – not specific enough
- REGIONAL MAPS – failed as a grower’s tool but used by extension and government
• ACE – Manitoba• Growth Stage – Alberta• Weatherbug - Canada Wheat Board
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STAGE OF CEREAL DEVELOPMENT
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Fusarium Head Blight
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DISEASE CONTROL STRATEGIES
1. Reduce initial inoculum
- when to start
2. Reduce the build up of disease
- how often and when to apply
subsequent fungicide applications
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SENSORS
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• Compact Unit.
• Modem Data Retrieval or Manual.
• Capable of logging entire
growing season.
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TOMcast - ESSEX
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• Client supplies WIN with their field locations.• WIN creates a unique data-file to create a custom and secure web-page.• WIN gives a user ID and a Password.• Client logs into WIN site and is presented with several new features.
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The Seed
• Ontario Canada - Spring 2000– The provincial agricultural ministry decides to reorganize– When government decided to just “train the trainers”…. – they quit providing direct IPM advisories to growers,– and they hoped private businesses would fill the
consulting gaps
• Ridgetown College, University of Guelph– Researchers recognize the challenges delivering IPM
programs to growers– Decide to develop a cost recovery system to serve
agriculture– Study IPM programs in other regions and countries
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The Germination - 2000
• The Informal Study Concluded…– Too much university research is never
delivered to the farm community.– Governments in many places are providing
less direct support for advisory services.– Rapid growth in many technologies becomes
difficult for individual consultants to manage.– Weather model businesses are not easy to
operate
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The Emergence - 2001
• The project started very small and survived on trust and the encouragement of a few researchers!– Dr. Ron Pitblado, the author of several
fungicide timing models was one of the foundation researchers.
– Many researchers helped, including Dr. Terry Gillespie and Dr. Paulo Sentelhas who were working at the Guelph campus.
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Early Growth
• First Leaf - TOMcast - 2000 – It had been delivered by the government and was one of the
victims of the cutting of the government extension services. So we took over from the government and then improved the delivery of the model to growers.
– This model works well for us because we continue to make the original leaf wetness sensors that were used when the model was developed
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Early Growth
• First Leaf - TOMcast - 2000 • Second Leaf- BEETcast - 2001
– BEETcast is a fungicide timing model for the proper spray timing to reduce the damage from Cercospora Leaf spot on sugar beets. The model helps growers protect the crop before visual damage can be observed on the plant canopy. Prevention leads to higher returns for the grower. Each year we add new features to the delivery service.
– BEETcast is another of Ron’s models
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Cercospora Leaf Spot
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Early Growth
• First Leaf - TOMcast - 2000 • Second Leaf- BEETcast - 2001• Third Leaf - DONcast - 2002
– DONcast predicts what the DON toxin level will be in wheat at harvest time. The prediction is made just after heading time so an assessment of the need for protective fungicides can be made early enough to take action. DONcast has been run in several countries.
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Days Relative to Wheat Head Emergence (Zadoks 59)-8 -4 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32
Rain,Tmin
Rain,Tave,Tmax,
RH
Rain,Tave,
RHTmax Rain
Heading Harvest +/-Anthesis Soft Dough
DONcast v2005 Critical Periods of Wx~ from Heading to Harvest ~
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Early Growth
• First Leaf - TOMcast - 2000 • Second Leaf - BEETcast - 2001• Third Leaf - DONcast - 2002• Fourth Leaf - Ontario Crop Insurance -
2003 – The crop insurance agency wanted to insure
forage crops based on precipitation (the biggest influence) rather than yield (which is hard to measure in forage crops).
– WIN got the contract to install 350 recording rainfall stations and gather the data. (we also built our own rain gauges for this project)
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Early Growth
• First Leaf - TOMcast - 2000 • Second Leaf- BEETcast - 2001• Third Leaf - DONcast - 2002• Fourth Leaf - Ontario Crop Insurance - 2003 • Fifth Leaf - Grape programs - 2003
– The Ontario Grape Growers association owned a small network of stations but did not understand how to add value to a weather program. They were struggling and they decided to give us the network if we would help get some commercial value from these weather stations
– We now offer a variety of programs for these growers.
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Ice on Vineyard Equipment
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Early Growth
• First Leaf - TOMcast - 2000 • Second Leaf- BEETcast - 2001• Third Leaf - DONcast - 2002• Fourth Leaf - Ontario Crop Insurance - 2003 • Fifth Leaf - Grape programs - 2003 • Sixth Leaf - Apple models – 2003
– We have adapted a suite of models for apple production and have done enough collaborative research to adapt the service to the needs of Ontario growers. The commercial interest is now starting to grow quickly.
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Apple
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Early Growth
• First Leaf - TOMcast - 2000 • Second Leaf- BEETcast - 2001• Third Leaf - DONcast - 2002• Fourth Leaf - Ontario Crop Insurance - 2003 • Fifth Leaf - Grape programs - 2003 • Sixth Leaf - Apple models - 2003• Seventh Leaf - Corn Flea Beetle - 2003
– We launched into the forecasting of an over wintering insect.– We now can provide advisory information on many insects
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Mosquito Traps
Drain
Can weather station data predictthe outbreaks ofmosquitoes andwarn against theWest Nile Virus ?
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Early Growth
• First Leaf - TOMcast - 2000 • Second Leaf- BEETcast - 2001• Third Leaf - DONcast - 2002• Fourth Leaf - Ontario Crop Insurance - 2003 • Fifth Leaf - Grape programs - 2003 • Sixth Leaf - Apple models - 2003• Seventh Leaf - Corn Flea Beetle - 2003• Eighth leaf - Saskatchewan CIC - 2005
– Saskatchewan Crop Insurance hired WIN to run the provincial monitoring for insurance programs.
– In year 2006 they doubled our contract
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Flowering 2006
• The program outgrows the university mandate and is purchased from the university. The principals are…– Ian – business and marketing – Rob – systems and computing, operations– Ron – pathology, entomology, agronomy
• We move the staff out of the university facility
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Locations, Staff, Facilities
• Chatham Ontario
8 - 12 central office employees • Operation Centers
2 - 4 home office employees
Ontario and Saskatchewan • Contract staff
15 – 20 casual employees
Manitoba and Ontario• Researchers and collaborators
– Frequently engaged in WIN’s work
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10 cm
30 cm
50 cm
Tomatoes Surface Drip Tape
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TriSCAN TriSCAN HOW TO FOLLOW YOUR HOW TO FOLLOW YOUR
FERTILIZER APPLIATIONSFERTILIZER APPLIATIONS
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SPUDcast
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SPUDcastSPUDcast
MODEL A -TIMED INTERVAL SPRAYINGMODEL A -TIMED INTERVAL SPRAYING
- choose the high fungicide- choose the high fungicide labelled labelled rates rates - spray according to the accumulative SPUD values- spray according to the accumulative SPUD values SPRAY RecommendationSPRAY Recommendation
Initial Spray ApplicationInitial Spray Application 150 SPUD values150 SPUD valuesSubsequent SpraysSubsequent Sprays 50 SPUD values50 SPUD values
MODEL B - DYNAMIC DOSAGE MODEL MODEL B - DYNAMIC DOSAGE MODEL
- using a protectant fungicide program use the lower recommended - using a protectant fungicide program use the lower recommended rates under the LOW RISK criteria based on the weather conditions rates under the LOW RISK criteria based on the weather conditions during the past 7-days. Use the higher recommended fungicide rate during the past 7-days. Use the higher recommended fungicide rate under a MODERATE RISK criteria or choose a late blight targeted under a MODERATE RISK criteria or choose a late blight targeted fungicide under a HIGH RISK of late blight criteria.fungicide under a HIGH RISK of late blight criteria.
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CUKEcast
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SPRAYcast ADVISORY
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Fusarium Pink Ear Rot
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Pollination - 2007
• WIN now has a good core of contract accounts and an even larger number of models and programs in development.
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COLLABORATIONPUBLIC - PRIVATE
• DONcast –science based discoveries– WIN can put them together and deliver a
product
• Government Delivery Systems – publically funded– Will exclude private initiatives – can’t
compete with a free service– Inadvertently the government delivery
systems will slow down the implementation of IPM programs
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PERSPECTIVES
• Weather Networks – governments to offer weather information – basic right
• Territorial issues – extension staff• Research Support – Funding only the
science component – no funds for initial implementation
• National Research Programs – private companies “do not apply”
• Growers group –waiting for government support
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www.weatherinnovations.com