Chestertons MENA OBSERVER Q1 2016
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Transcript of Chestertons MENA OBSERVER Q1 2016
Chestertons MENA
OBSERVERQ1 2016A B U D H A B I R E S I D E N T I A L
Report HighlightsPrices: A relatively flat quarter for the Abu Dhabi residential market. Villa prices witnessed moderate correction of approximately 2%. Apartments recorded approximately 1% decrease in prices.
Rental: The apartments segment witnessed a 1% rise in the rental rates in the last quarter, primarily due to the lack of supply in the market. Villa segment witnessed a 2% increase.
Yields: Residential yields improved due to rise in rental rates across the city hovering at about 6%.
Supply: The residential market supply continues to remains a pressing issue. New freehold launches are far and few. Affordable segment continues to face supply shortage.
Outlook: Overall market is showing signs of fragmentation, and is expected to enter consolidation mode. Affordable segment continues to be demand, while rental demand for luxury properties may face pressure.
Residential Market Movement - Q1 2016
Key NumbersAED 1,354 / sq.ft.Average sale price of apartments
AED 1,105 / sq.ft.Average sale price of villas
5.5%Average Villa yields
01
The Chestertons MENA OBSERVER | Q1 2016
A B U D H A B I R E S I D E N T I A L
Statistics are based on the areas covered in the report
Villas2%
Apartments1%
Apartments-0.3%
Villas2%
Price Change Rental Change
Q4 2015 Q1 2016 QoQ Change
APARTMENTS- Quarterly Change
Q4 2015 Q1 2016
VILLAS - Quarterly Change
Residential - House Prices
QoQ Change
Price correction: Abu Dhabi apartments witnessed a mixed sentiment in terms of sales prices, with few areas such as Al Bandar witnessing a 4% decline and Al Zeina witnessing a 3% increase in prices. Al Raha Gardens in the villa segment witnessed a 6% increase in sales prices.
Supply: Al Barakah International Investments launched its Dh850-million ($233 million) tourist and entertainment destination, ‘Al Qana’
Outlook: We expect the market to remain in consolidation as economic conditions continue to be uncertain
Market Commentary
03
The Chestertons MENA OBSERVER | Q1 2016
02
AED
/SQ
. FT
AED
/SQ
. FT
Source: Chestertons Analysis
Market Price Points (Q1 2016)
5 BR (Villas)
4 BR (Villas)
3 BR (Villas)
2 BR
1 BR
Studio
All Prices in AEDSource: Property Finder, Dubizzle, Chestertons database
Upper Range
Low Range
A B U D H A B I R E S I D E N T I A L A B U D H A B I R E S I D E N T I A L
Source: Chestertons Analysis
1,56
5 1,77
5
1,48
0
1,03
3
925 1,
388
1,56
0
1,70
5
1,52
0
1,03
0 930 1,
380
Al Muneera Al Bandar Al Zeina Al Ghadeer Al ReefDowntown
Al Reem Island
1,05
0
1,09
0
929
1,71
0
900
1,06
5
1,01
0
990
1,61
0
850
Al Ghadeer Al Reef Al Raha Gardens Saadiyat Island Khalifa City
390,000
650,000
800,000
1,350,000
2,200,000
2,600,000
1,700,000
3,650,000
4,800,000
8,000,000
27,000,000
55,000,000
-5.0%-4.0%-3.0%-2.0%-1.0%
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0%
-10%-8%-6%-4%-2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8%
APARTMENTS- Quarterly Change
VILLAS - Quarterly Change
Residential - Rental Market
QoQ Change5BR4BR3BR
Rental Price: Rental prices have inched slightly upwards in some areas while other locations continue to be flat. Luxury units could see some pressure on rentals as demand from high-end expatriate serment slows.
Demand: We foresee strong rental demand in Abu Dhabi, particularly for quality buildings in newer areas.
Outlook: Market will look to absorb positively any new residential supply in affordable segment. Rental rates for luxury segment are expected to remain under pressure.
Market Commentary
05
The Chestertons MENA OBSERVER | Q1 2016
04
Source: Chestertons AnalysisFigues in AED '000 p.a
Market Price Points (Q1 2016)
5 BR (Villas)
4 BR (Villas)
3 BR (Villas)
2 BR
1 BR
Studio
All Prices in AEDSource: Property Finder, Dubizzle, Chestertons database
Upper Range
Low Range
QoQ Change
A B U D H A B I R E S I D E N T I A L A B U D H A B I R E S I D E N T I A L
Source: Chestertons AnalysisFigues in AED '000 p.a
118 14
0
118
63 88
103
160 19
5
163
78 11
0 145
203
268
218
133
198
-2%-1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
Al Muneera Al Bandar Al Zeina Al Ghadeer Al Reef Downtown
Al Reem Island
3BR2BR1BR
148
153 19
5
340
183
0
175 23
5
463
218
0
200 28
8
550
275
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Al Ghadeer Al Reef Al Raha Gardens Saadiyat Island Khalifa City
-
40,000
55,000
70,000
110,000
150,000
175,000
110,000
175,000
290,000
350,000
700,000
750,000
Residential - Yields
APARTMENT YIELDS
VILLA YIELDS
RENTAL YIELDS
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
9 2%9
5 1%
6.9%7.7% 7.1%
5.9%5.4% 4.7%5%%%6665.55
%%%5558889 0%98 7%87.2%7 1%79 3%9 %
7 1%7 4%7
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Source: Chestertons Analysis
Source: Chestertons Analysis
Source: Chestertons Analysis
Source: Chestertons Analysis
07
The Chestertons MENA OBSERVER | Q1 2016
06
Market continues to offer attractive yields to investors, as rental rates witnessed a slight increase last quarter.
Al Reef downtown outperformed by providing highest yields in theapartments and villas segment at 8.9% and 6.9%
Market Commentary
A B U D H A B I R E S I D E N T I A L A B U D H A B I R E S I D E N T I A L
Al Reef Downtown
8.8%
7.0%
6.8%7.7%
8.9%
6.8%4.9%
Al Muneera Al Bandar Al Zeina Al Ghadeer Al Reem Island
Saadiyat Islands
6.6%6.9%
6.0%
5.0% 3.1%
Al Ghadeer Al Reef Al Raha Gardens Saadiyat Island Khalifa City
1BR 2BR 3BR 3 BR(Villas)
4 BR(Villas)
5 BR(Villas)
Chestertons MENA
OBSERVER