Thailand’s Energy Thailand’s Energy Situation Situation
in 2010 and Trend in in 2010 and Trend in 20112011
2009
2010*
2009 2010
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4*
Consumption 1,663 1,785 1,612 1,693 1,651 1,693 1,784 1,799 1,764 1,792
Production 895 991 890 900 878 911 979 1,001 992 995
Import (Net) 922 989 892 954 941 900 990 1,082 916 969
Import/Consumption (%) 55 55 55 56 57 53 56 60 52 54
Growth Rate (%)
Consumption 2.8 7.3 -4.1 0.9 3.5 10.0 10.6 6.3 6.8 5.8
Production 5.2 10.8 9.5 0.3 0.5 10.1 10.0 11.1 13.0 9.3
Import (Net) -4.0 7.3 -19.2 -3.6 3.1 10.6 11.0 13.4 -2.7 7.6
GDP (%) -2.3 7.9 -71. -4 .9 -2 .8 5.9 12.0 9.1 6.7 3 .8
Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent
* Preliminary data
Consumption, Production and Import of Primary Commercial Energy
Growth Rate of Primary Commercial Energy Consumption
-15-12
-9-6-30369
12151821
Q1 Q2
Q3
Q4
2009 Q1 Q2
Q3
Q4*
2010
(%)
-15-12
-9-6-30369
12151821
Q1 Q2
Q3
Q4
2009 Q1 Q2
Q3
Q4*
2010
(%)
2009
2010*
2009 2010
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4*
Total Consumption1,66
3 1,7851,61
2 1,693 1,651 1,693 1,785 1,799 1,764 1,785
- Oil 643 65766
1
63
7
61
5 658 681 643 629 676
- Natural Gas 682 783 624 695 696 712 750 793 796 789
- Coal 205 207 186 222 215 196 213 220 209 188
- Lignite 98 99 98 106 97 92 98 102 98 99
- Hydro/Imported Elec. 35 39 44 32 29 36 43 42 32 41
* Preliminary data
Oil Natural Gas Coal/Lignite
GDP
Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent
KBD of crude oil equivalent
Oil
Natural Gas
Coal/Lignite
Hydro/Imported Electricity2%
17%
44%
37%
Consumption of Primary Commercial Energy
Import: 26%
Import: 67%
Import: 20%
Import: 8 4 %
Domestic: 74%
Domestic: 3 3 %
Domestic: 80%
Domestic: 1 6 %
Consumption OilNatural
GasCoal Electricity Total
Growth Rate *(%) 22. 1 4 .7 12. 116 73.
* Preliminary data
Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption in 2010
Petroleum Products
ElectricityNatural
GasLignite/
CoalRenewable Energy
Total
Growth Rate *
156. 112. 392. 27. 0 .8 138.
* Preliminary data
Total Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption: THB 17,
96 billion*
0200400600800100012001400
2007 2008 2009 2010*
Value of Energy Import
Billion THB
Value of Energy Import
0100200300400500600700800
Billion THB
Crude Oil
Petroleum Products
Natural Gas
CoalElectricit
yTotal
Growth Rate * 185. 1260. -22. 20. 860. 176.
* Preliminary data
Total Value of Energy Import: THB 895
billion*
2010
Value of Energy Export in 2010
Crude OilPetroleum Products
Electricity
Total
Growth Rate *(%) 73. 121. 147. 116
* Preliminary data
Value of Energy Export, in total: THB 263.3 billion*
Crude Oil Import Decreased by 0.1 %
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010*
Growth Rate (%)
2008
2009 2010*
Quantity (KBD)
829 804 81280
3803 0.9 -1.0 -01
Average Price(US$/barrel)
65.41
70.54
101.44
6 1 .90
78.80 43.8 -39.0 27.2
Value(Billion THB)
754 716 1,00362
3738 40.1 -37.9 18.5
* Preliminary Data
Petroleum Product Consumption
Unit: KBD
** Excluding LPG used as feedstock in the petrochemical industry
* Preliminary data
Product 2007 2008 2009 2010*Growth Rate (%)
2007 2008 2009 2010*
GASOLINE 126 122 130 128 1.6 -2.9 56. -11. Regular 91 81 74 74 86 3.3 -8.4 -04. 17.0
Premium 45 48 56 42 -1.1 7.015.0 -253.
- Gasohol 26 42 53 41 28.1 62.523.
8 -231.
- ULG 95 19 6 3 1 -24.7 -69.1-48.0 -623.
KEROSENE 0.3 0.3 03. 02. -7.5 -13.712.5 -262.
DIESEL 322 303 318 319 1.8 -5.7 46. 03.
JET PETROLEUM 85 80 76 81 9.1 -5.9 -44. 66.
FUEL OIL 73 56 47 47 -27.8 -22.1
-16.9 -02.
LPG** 100 117 119 132 14.5 17.4 09. 113.
TOTAL 707 679 690 708 -0.1 -3.6 13. 26.
Million Litres/Day
Monthly Gasoline Consumption
0
5
10
15
20
25
Jan-06
May Sep
Jan-07
May Sep
Jan-08
May Sep
Jan-09
May Sep
Jan-10
May Sep
2007Av. 20.1
2006Av. 19.8
2008Av. 19.5
2009Av. 20.6
2010*Av. 20.3
17
18
19
20
21
22
Jan
Mar
May Jul
Sep
Nov*
2010
Impact of political unrest
* Preliminary data
Growth (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-Dec
Compared with corresponding period in 2009
-8.9 0 .5 -63. -43. -81 14. 09. 04. 12. -10. 77. 47. -11. *
Compared with previous month -77. 81 -53 12. -45. 64. -02. -2 .8 14. -15. 60. 52
Growth Rate in 2010
02468
101214
Jan-0
6
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan-0
7
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan-0
8
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan-0
9
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan-1
0
Apr
Jul
Oct
2007Av. 4.8
2006Av. 3.5
2008Av. 9.2
2009Av. 12.2
2010*Av. 12.0
Monthly Gasohol Consumption
* Preliminary data
Growth (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-Dec
Compared with corresponding period in 2009
-75. -12. -79. -41. -8.5 14. 15. -03. 01. -38. 43. 01.-24.*
Compared with previous month -79. 49. -57 34. -45. 67. 04. -24. 02. -31. 52 41.
Growth Rate in 2010
Million Litres/Day
Demand increased due to lowered prices
Government promotion of Gasohol 91 application to motorcycles
Contribution rates to the Oil Fund reduced by
the government towards year end
Million Litres/Day
Monthly Gasohol 91 (E10) Consumption
0
1
2
3
4
5
Jan-06
May Sep
Jan-07
May Sep
Jan-08
May Sep
Jan-09
May Sep
Jan-10
May Sep
2007Av. 0.67
2006Av. 0.25
2008Av. 2.52
2009Av. 3.88
2010*Av. 4.21
* Preliminary data
Growth (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-Dec
Compared with corresponding period in 2009
-17. 82 41.11.4
5313.0
12.9 94
10.1
8.5 15.3
8.8 9.3*
Compared with previous month -75. 74. -19. 54 -40. 64. 08. -19. 10. -13. 44. 0.7
Growth Rate in 2010
35%
62%
3%Gasohol 95 (E20)
Gasohol 91 (E10)
Gasohol 95 (E10)
Gasohol Demand in 2010
Gasohol 91(E10)
Gasohol 95 (E10)
Gasohol 95 (E20)
Average 416. Million Lt/d
Average 036. Million Lt/d
Average 735Million Lt/d
2010Gasohol 95 (E10)
Gasohol 91 (E10)
Gasohol 9 5 (E20)*
Growth (%)
-95. * 93* 64.9** Preliminary data
2006Av. 50.2
2008Av. 48.2
2009Av. 50.6
2010*Av. 51.0
Monthly Diesel Consumption
* Preliminary data
Growth (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-Dec
Compared with corresponding period in 2009
-8.9 74. 37. -23. -43. 34. 30. -10. 07. 02. 79. 09. 03*.
Compared with previous month -87 93 -14. -51 -08. -18. -27. -56 14. 17.
11.3
53
Growth Rate in 2010
Million Litres/Day
* Preliminary data
Growth (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-Dec
Compared with corresponding period in 2009
12.4
11.7
-16. -14.0
-23.0
-20.7
-22.3
-22.5
-16.6
-15.9
-15.6
-21.3
-12.2*
Compared with previous month -8.9 27. -34. -5.8 -33. -22. -48. -53 23. 02. 22. 35.
Growth Rate in 2010
Distribution Volume of Biodiesel B5
2006Av. 0.118
2008Av. 10.327
2009Av. 22.345
2010*Av. 19.383
Million Litres/Day Demand dropped as price
difference was only 1.20 Baht
Demand increased due to high price difference: 1-3 Baht
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
HSD-B3 HSD-B5HSD- B3 Demand (Million Lt/ Day) HSD- B5 Demand (MillionLt/ Day)
Distribution Volume of HSD B3 and B5
LPG, Propane and Butane Demand
Household40%
Industry13%
Automobile11%
Petrochemical
28%
Own use8%
* Preliminary data
Share in 2010
26.4
30.4
40%40%
13%11%
28%
8%
43%43%
11%13%25% 8%
44%44%
14%16%19%7%
46%46%
15%14%20% 6%
Demand in 2010*
Household
Industry
Automobile
Petro-chemica
l
Own Use
Total
Demand volume (Million Lt/Day)
123. 39. 34. 84 24. 30.4
Growth Rate (%) 9.1 32.5 0.5 28.0 8.3 15.2
Petroleum Consumption in the Land Transport
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2007 2008 2009 2010
Growth Rate (%) Gasoline Diesel LPG NGV Total
2008 -29. -7.8 356. 2306. -20.2009 57. 47. -141. 844. 71
2010* -11. 039. 05. 224. 14.
* Preliminary data
Million Lt/Day of crude oil
equivalent
Gasoline
Diesel
LPGNGV 8%
4%
59%
29%
Share
Natural Gas Consumption by Sector
Growth Rate (%) Power Generatio
n
Gas Separation
Plant
Industry NGV TOTAL*
2008 33. 19. 40. 2208. 50.
2009 02. 25. 69. 842. 32.
2010* 116 130. 337. 226. 1 4 .7 * Preliminary data
MMSCFD
Power Gen.
GSP
IndustryNGV
4%
17%
67%
Share
12%
Power Demand in 2010
Overall Demand Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4* Total*
Demand Volume (GWh) 35,878 38,348 37,941 35,557 147,724
Growth Rate (% ) 16.2 12.0 7.2 3.7 96.
* Preliminary data
Forecast of Primary Commercial Energy Demand
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010p 2011f
Demand 1,545 1,604 1,618 1663
178
5
186,0
Oil 674 667 634 643 657 671
Natural Gas 579 615 648 682 782 822
Lignite/Coal 248 279 301 303 307 315
Hydro/Imported Elec.
44 43 36 35 39 52
Growth Rate (% )
Demand 1.6 3.8 0.9 28. 72. 42.
Oil -2.3 -1.0 -5.0 14. 22. 22.Natural Gas 2.3 6.2 5.4 52. 144. 51.Lignite/Coal 6.9 12.8 77. 06. 06. 26.Hydro/Imported Elec. 35.2 -2.5 -17.4 -11. 143. 327.
Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent
p: Preliminary data f : Forecast data
Product Type 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010p 2011fGrowth Rate (%)
2009 2010p 2011f
Gasoline
7,215
7,3377,121 7,525 7,438
7 ,5 8
75.6 -1.1 2.0
Diesel
18,37
1
18,71
0
17,64
3
18,46
5
18,53
8
189,
64
4.6 0.3 2.3
Jet Petroleum + Kerosene
4,538
4,9504,652 4,431 4,738 4991 -4.3 6.6 53.
Fuel Oil
5,851
4,2223,287 2,731 2,725
261
9
-16.9 -0.2 -3.9
LPG*
5,074
5,8126,828 6,894 7,674
785,
5
0.9 11.3 2.4
Total41,05
0
41,03
0
39,531
40,06
4
41,11
3
420
16
1.3 2.6 2.2
Forecast of Petroleum Product Demand
Unit: Million Litres
* Excluding LPG use as feedstock in the petrochemical industry p: Preliminary data f : Forecast data
Forecast of LPG Consumption, Production and Import
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010p 2011f
- Consumption 3,518 4,116 4,788 5208, 60017010
Household 1,721 1,884 2,124 2231 24332616
Industry 511 602 658 586 776 816
Automobile 459 572 776 666 670 540
Petrochemical Feedstock 708 807 903 1289, 16512556
Own Use 119 251 328 435 471 482
- Production 4,167 4,469 4,803 5,217 36015534
- Import - - 452 753 1292147,6
Growth Rate (%)
- Consumption 13.5 17.0 16.3 8.8 152. 168.
Household 7.3 9.5 12.7 50. 91. 75
Industry 13.6 17.8 9.3 -110. 325. 52.
Automobile 51.6 24.7 35.6 -141. 05. -194. Petrochemical feedstock -1.7 14.0 11.9 428. 280.
548.
Own Use 434.1 111.3 31.1 325. 83 23.
Unit: Thousand Tons
p: Preliminary data f : Forecast data
Forecast of Natural Gas Demand, by Sector
Unit: MMSCFD
Remarks : Heating Value: 1 cubic foot = 1,000 BTU
Sector 2006 2007 2008 20092010
p2011f
Growth Rate (% )
2009 2010p 2011f
Power Gen.
2,257
2,346 2,423
2,43527,17
28,02
02. 116 31.
GSP 527 572 583 599 67775
025. 13
10.9
Industry 291 347 361 387 51758
069. 337.
12.1
NGV 11 24 77 143 17520
2
84.2226.
15.4
Total3,08
63,28
83,444
3,56440,86
43,34
32. 142. 61.
p: Preliminary data f : Forecast data
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