Thailand’s Thailand’s Energy SituationEnergy Situation

BWRBWR PWRPWR

EPREPR

Dr. Kamol TAKABUTDr. Kamol TAKABUTCEO Advisor – Italian Thai Power CompanyCEO Advisor – Italian Thai Power Company

President of Thai–French Technical Association - TFTA

February 15, 2012 Swissotel Le Concorde Hotel , Bangkok, Thailand February 15, 2012 Swissotel Le Concorde Hotel , Bangkok, Thailand

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THAI-FRENCH TECHNICAL THAI-FRENCH TECHNICAL ASSOCIATION, TFTAASSOCIATION, TFTA

ACTIM Club, the Agency for the International Promotion of French Technology and Trade

2 nd President 1995-1996

Mr.Siva Charoenpong

3 rd President 1997-1998

Mr.Siri Klaimongkol

ACTIMTHAILAND

CLUB (ATC)TFTA

5 th President 2001-2002

Mr.Ruangrit Poolsawat

6 th President 2003-2004

Mr.Ratanapong Jongdamgerng

7 th President d’ATC 2005-2009

Mr.Suchai Roywirutnand

1 st Predident of TFTA

1 st President 1993-1994Dr. Chao Thongma

4 th President 1999-2000

Mr.Banchong Chayakul

2 nd President 2011-2013

Dr.Kamol TAKABUT

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KBD of crude oil equivalent

Oil

Natural Gas

Coal/Lignite

Hydro/Imported Electricity2%

17%

44%

37%

Consumption of Primary Commercial EnergyConsumption of Primary Commercial Energy

Import: 26%

Import: 67%

Import: 20%

Import: 84%

Domestic: 74%

Domestic: 33%

Domestic: 80%

Domestic: 16%

Consumption OilNatural

GasCoal Electricity Total

Growth Rate *(%) 22. 14.7 12. 116 73.

* Preliminary dataKBD - thousand barrels per day Ministry of Energy September 2010

Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption in 2010Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption in 2010

Petroleum Products

ElectricityNatural

GasLignite/

CoalRenewable Energy

Total

Growth Rate *

156. 112. 392. 27. 0.8 138.

* Preliminary data

Total Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption: THB 1,796 billion*

Ministry of Energy September 2010

Total Value of Energy Export: THB 263.3 billion

Total Value of Energy Import: THB 895 billion

Forecast of Primary Commercial Forecast of Primary Commercial Energy DemandEnergy Demand

   2006 2007 2008 2009 2010p 2011f

Demand 1,545 1,604 1,618 166,3

178

5

186,0

Oil 674 667 634 643 657 671

Natural Gas 579 615 648 682 782 822

Lignite/Coal 248 279 301 303 307 315

Hydro/Imported Elec.

44 43 36 35 39 52

Growth Rate  (%)

Demand 1.6 3.8 0.9 28. 72. 42.

Oil -2.3 -1.0 -5.0 14. 22. 22.Natural Gas 2.3 6.2 5.4 52. 144. 51.Lignite/Coal 6.9 12.8 77. 06. 06. 26.Hydro/Imported Elec. 35.2 -2.5 -17.4 -11. 143. 327.

Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent

p: Preliminary data f : Forecast data

KBD - thousand barrels per day September 2010

Forecast of Natural Gas Demand, by SectorForecast of Natural Gas Demand, by SectorUnit: MMSCFD

Remarks : Heating Value: 1 cubic foot = 1,000 BTU

Sector 2006 2007 2008 20092010

p2011f

Growth Rate (%)

2009 2010p 2011f

Power Gen.

2,257

2,346 2,423

2,43527,17

28,02

02. 116. 31.

GSP 527 572 583 599 67775

025. 13

10.9

Industry 291 347 361 387 51758

069. 337.

12.1

NGV 11 24 77 143 17520

2

84.2226.

15.4

Total3,08

63,28

83,444

3,56440,86

43,34

32. 142. 61.

p: Preliminary data f : Forecast data

September 2010

17,000

19,000

21,000

23,000

25,000

27,000

ม.ค . ก.พ . ม�.ค . เม.ย พ .ค . ม�.ย. ก.ค . ส.ค . ก.ย. ต .ค . พ .ย. ธ .ค .

2010

12.7%

2011

5.4%

9.3%

8.4%15.3%

11.5%

11.5%

3.0%

6.0%

3.6%

2.2%

1.5%

6.8%

2009

2008

1.5% -0.6%-2.4%

-0.5%

-0.9%

2.1%7.1%

2.7%

1.3%

-6.0%

23,900.2 MW14.00 h May 24, 2011

Decreasing 0.5 % from 201024,009.9 MW14.00 h May 10, 2010

Increasing 8.9 % from 2009

Source: EGAT Report Nov 2011

Megawatt, MW

EGAT Monthly Peak DemandEGAT Monthly Peak Demand

J F M A M J J A S O N D

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Electric Power Electric Power ConsiderationConsideration

ENVIROMENTENVIROMENT

ElectricityElectricityPricePrice

System System ReliabilityReliability

Slide no. 11

PDP 2010 Thailand Fuel Mix for Power GenerationPDP 2010 Thailand Fuel Mix for Power Generation

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Thailand Power Development PlanThailand Power Development Plan(PDP 2010) Year 2010 - 2030

• 13 Blocks of 800 MW Combined Cycle Power Plant• 5 Units of 1,000 MW Nuclear Power Plant• 9 Units of 800 MW of Cleaner Coal Fired Thermal Plant

Installed Capacity at End of 2009 29,212 MWTotal New Capacity (2010-2030) + 54,005 MWDecommissioning (Retirement - 17,671 MWTotal Capacity by end of 2030 65,547 MW

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Alternatives Alternatives Energy OptionsEnergy Options

Wind PowerBiomass Power Plant

Mini-HydroelectricSolar Power PlantNuclear Power Plant

Geothermal Energy

Combined Cycle

17,474.0 MW

(55.6%)

Renewable5,618.6 MW

(17.9%)

TNB (HVDC)300 MW(1.0%)

Hydro (Domestic) 3,428.7 MW (10.9%)Hydro (Imported 1,884.6 MW (6.0%)Other 305.3 MW (1.0%)

Thermal7,929.7

MW(25.2%) Gas Turbine &

Diesel1244. MW

0 .4%

Total Capacity Total Capacity 31,446.7

MW

((as of 30as of 30 November November 22 011011))

Installed Generating CapacityInstalled Generating Capacity NovemberNovember 20 201111

EGAT December 2011

Total Electricity GenerationTotal Electricity Generation

160,113160,113 GWh GWh

Electricity Generation Electricity Generation 20 201100((Based on type of fuelBased on type of fuel))

Natural Natural GasGas 77 22..44

%%

DieselDiesel 0.10.1 %%

From LoasFrom Loas

And Malaysia And Malaysia 4.64.6%%

Hydro Hydro 3.3%3.3%

LigniteLignite 9.99.9%%

Oil 0.6%Oil 0.6%

Coal Import Coal Import 7.77.7%%

Renewables 1Renewables 1..4%4%

Source: Electrical Generating Authority of Thailand - EGAT 201115

Imported Imported CoalCoal

12,022 12,022 GWhGWh

8.2%8.2%

Natural GasNatural Gas

97,886 97,886 GWhGWh

66.766.7%%

DieselDiesel

26 GWh26 GWh

002. 002. %%

MalaysiMalaysiaa

111 111 GWhGWh

0.0.11%%

LigniteLignite

15,482 15,482 GWhGWh

10.5%10.5%

Heavy Heavy OilOil

1,644 1,644 GWhGWh

1.1%1.1%

Renewable Renewable EnergyEnergy

19,617 GWh19,617 GWh

13.4%13.4%

Net Energy Generation January - November 2011

146,146,788788

GWh

Other 7.0 GWhOther 7.0 GWh

0.04%0.04%

Renewable Renewable EnergyEnergy

Hydro (Domestic) 7,123 GWh

36.3%

Biomass 2 ,365 GWh

12.1%

Hydro (Imported )10,121 GWh

51.6%

Electricity Generation Electricity Generation Jan – Nov Jan – Nov 20201111((Based on type of fuelBased on type of fuel))

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Electricity Distribution in 2010Electricity Distribution in 2010

By CustomersBy CustomersMEA – Metropolitan Electricity AuthorityPEA – Provincial Electricity Authority

By SectorsBy Sectors

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Thank you for your attentionThank you for your attention