Wintering Duck Response to Trail Use at Former San ... duck response to... · Wintering Duck...

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Wintering Duck Response to Wintering Duck Response to Trail Use at Former Trail Use at Former San Francisco Bay Salt Ponds San Francisco Bay Salt Ponds Heather R. White | San Jose State University | Heather R. White | San Jose State University | M.S. Thesis M.S. Thesis SFBJV Restoration Committee Meeting | July 14, 2009 SFBJV Restoration Committee Meeting | July 14, 2009 Photo by C. Robinson

Transcript of Wintering Duck Response to Trail Use at Former San ... duck response to... · Wintering Duck...

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Wintering Duck Response toWintering Duck Response to

Trail Use at FormerTrail Use at Former

San Francisco Bay Salt PondsSan Francisco Bay Salt Ponds

Heather R. White | San Jose State University | Heather R. White | San Jose State University | M.S. ThesisM.S. Thesis

SFBJV Restoration Committee Meeting | July 14, 2009SFBJV Restoration Committee Meeting | July 14, 2009Photo by C. Robinson

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INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTION

••Second largest tidal wetland restoration in U.S.Second largest tidal wetland restoration in U.S.

••Wildlife Oriented Public Access a main goalWildlife Oriented Public Access a main goal

••Trails focused near ponds specificallyTrails focused near ponds specifically

••Impact to wintering ducks?Impact to wintering ducks?

Research Need:Research Need:South Bay Salt Pond Restoration ProjectSouth Bay Salt Pond Restoration Project

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BACKGROUNDBACKGROUND

San Francisco Bay Region: San Francisco Bay Region: ““ContinentalContinental

SignificanceSignificance”” to waterfowl to waterfowl(North American Waterfowl Management Plan)(North American Waterfowl Management Plan)

Salt Ponds of South Bay: Support up to 27% ofSalt Ponds of South Bay: Support up to 27% of

BayBay’’s populations population((Takekawa Takekawa et al. 2000)et al. 2000)

Photo by C. Robinson

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BACKGROUNDBACKGROUND

Migratory ducks use salt ponds for winteringMigratory ducks use salt ponds for wintering

Energy reserves impact reproductive successEnergy reserves impact reproductive success((Ankney Ankney and and MacInnes MacInnes 1978)1978)

Possibility: Repeated disturbance = lostPossibility: Repeated disturbance = lost

foraging time foraging time (Yasue 2006, Goss-Custard et al. 2006)(Yasue 2006, Goss-Custard et al. 2006)

Photo by C. Robinson

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OBJECTIVEOBJECTIVE

•• Balance wildlife / Balance wildlife / recreationistrecreationist

needsneeds

•• ““Restrictions that promoteRestrictions that promote

coexistencecoexistence””

(Knight and Temple 1995)(Knight and Temple 1995)

•• Data is necessaryData is necessary

•• Objective: assess effects of trailObjective: assess effects of trail

use, explore managementuse, explore management

strategiesstrategies

Photo by S. Sprang

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STUDY HYPOTHESESSTUDY HYPOTHESES

1.1. a.) Abundance and Diversity of ducks located ata.) Abundance and Diversity of ducks located at

various distances from a trail do not changevarious distances from a trail do not change

significantly in response to trail use.significantly in response to trail use.

b.) Response to trail use by distance is not affectedb.) Response to trail use by distance is not affected

by pond, tide level, time of day, year, or by presenceby pond, tide level, time of day, year, or by presence

of hunting in nearby ponds.of hunting in nearby ponds.

Photo by C. Robinson

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STUDY HYPOTHESESSTUDY HYPOTHESES

2.2. As trail users walk along the trail, ducksAs trail users walk along the trail, ducks

encountered at the end of the trail are not located atencountered at the end of the trail are not located at

a significantly larger distance from the trail thana significantly larger distance from the trail than

ducks encountered at the beginning of the trail.ducks encountered at the beginning of the trail.

Photo by C. Robinson

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STUDY QUESTIONSSTUDY QUESTIONS

1.1. How far away from the trail do different speciesHow far away from the trail do different species

move during the disturbance?move during the disturbance?

2.2. What percentage of wintering duck habitat would beWhat percentage of wintering duck habitat would be

affected should all proposed SBSPRP Phase 1 trailsaffected should all proposed SBSPRP Phase 1 trails

adjacent to waterfowl habitat be put into use?adjacent to waterfowl habitat be put into use?

Photo by C. Robinson

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STUDY SITESTUDY SITE

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STUDY SITESTUDY SITE

Photos by S. Sprang

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STUDY DESIGNSTUDY DESIGN

Two types of data collection:Two types of data collection:••Before/After Counts (before & after disturbance)Before/After Counts (before & after disturbance)

••Point Counts (during disturbance)Point Counts (during disturbance)

Photo by S. Sprang

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STUDY DESIGNSTUDY DESIGN

Before/After DisturbanceBefore/After Disturbance

Photos by S. Sprang

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STUDY DESIGNSTUDY DESIGN

Before/After DisturbanceBefore/After Disturbance

A9

40m

200m

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STUDY DESIGNSTUDY DESIGN

Point Counts (During Disturbance)Point Counts (During Disturbance)

40m40m

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DATA COLLECTIONDATA COLLECTION

•• December 2006 - March 2007 &December 2006 - March 2007 &

October 2007-January 2008October 2007-January 2008

•• 31 Trials (- 2 interrupted) = 29 Total31 Trials (- 2 interrupted) = 29 Total

Photo by S. Sprang

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DATA ANALYSISDATA ANALYSIS

••Hypothesis 1 Hypothesis 1 (a. Abundance before / after by band; b. Other factors)(a. Abundance before / after by band; b. Other factors)

•• Before/After data: General Linear ModelBefore/After data: General Linear Model

•• Dependent variables: Overall Abundance, Species diversity,Dependent variables: Overall Abundance, Species diversity,

Abundance by species.Abundance by species.

•• Independent variables: Band, Pond, Tide, Time of Day, Year, HuntingIndependent variables: Band, Pond, Tide, Time of Day, Year, Hunting

in nearby pondsin nearby ponds

••Hypothesis 2 Hypothesis 2 (Cumulative disturbance effect)(Cumulative disturbance effect)

•• Point Count data: Repeated Measures Linear Mixed ModelPoint Count data: Repeated Measures Linear Mixed Model

Photo by C. Robinson

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DATA ANALYSISDATA ANALYSIS

••Study Question 1 Study Question 1 (Distance moved during disturbance)(Distance moved during disturbance)

•• Point Count data: Mean distance & SE closest individual by species.Point Count data: Mean distance & SE closest individual by species.

••Study Question 2 Study Question 2 (Habitat impact of (Habitat impact of SBSPRPSBSPRP’’s s Phase 1)Phase 1)

•• Point Count data: Spatial analysis using GIS.Point Count data: Spatial analysis using GIS.

•• GIS data provided by San Francisco Bay Bird Observatory, EDAWGIS data provided by San Francisco Bay Bird Observatory, EDAW

Environmental Consulting, and U.S. Geological SurveyEnvironmental Consulting, and U.S. Geological Survey

Photo by S. Sprang

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ALL PONDS, SPECIES COMPOSITION

RUDU

35%

SCAU

8%CANV

9%

BUFF

2%

NSHO

9%

OTHER

1%

RBME

1%

UNKN

35%

n=11,092

(# ducks observed in before and after observations)

RESULTSRESULTS

Most ducks in trials were divers with Ruddy Ducks makingMost ducks in trials were divers with Ruddy Ducks makingup the largest percentage of the divers.up the largest percentage of the divers.

canvasbacknorthern shoveler

bufflehead greater scaup

Photos by B. Schmoker

ruddy duck

ALL PONDS, GUILD COMPOSITION

DIVE

54%

DABB

10%

UNKN

36%

n=11,241

(# ducks observed in before and after observations)

Red breasted Merganser

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RESULTSRESULTS

Hypothesis 1a: Hypothesis 1a: (Duck abundance before(Duck abundance before vs vs. after). after)

•• Significant response seen for Abundance of all species combined,Significant response seen for Abundance of all species combined,

Abundance of Canvasback, and Abundance of Abundance of Canvasback, and Abundance of Scaup Scaup species.species.

Hypothesis 1b: (Hypothesis 1b: (Other factorsOther factors’’ impact) impact)

•• None of the other factors tested significantly impacted the ducksNone of the other factors tested significantly impacted the ducks’’

response by distance band.response by distance band.

Photo by C. Robinson

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Abundance Response by Band

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

BandB

efo

re m

inu

s A

fter

(lo

g t

ran

sfo

rmed

)

Band 1=Band 1=0-40m0-40m

Band 2=Band 2=40-80m40-80m

Band 3=Band 3= 80-120m 80-120m

Band 4=Band 4=120-160m120-160m

Band 5=Band 5=160-200m160-200m

RESULTS: All AbundanceRESULTS: All Abundance

HH1a.1a. Before Before vsvs..After Disturbance:After Disturbance:All speciesAll speciescombinedcombined

F(4,145) = 5.596, p < 0.001

All Species Mean Abundance

Before and After Disturbance

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1 2 3 4 5

Band

Mean

Nu

mb

er o

f D

ucks

Before

After

Band 1=Band 1=0-40m0-40m

Band 2=Band 2=40-80m40-80m

Band 3=Band 3= 80-120m 80-120m

Band 4=Band 4=120-160m120-160m

Band 5=Band 5=160-200m160-200m

Much largerMuch largernumbers beforenumbers beforedisturbance thandisturbance thanafter up to 80mafter up to 80mfrom trailfrom trail(mean(mean++SE)SE)

Significant bandSignificant bandeffecteffect

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RESULTS: CanvasbackRESULTS: Canvasback

HH1a.1a. Before Before vsvs..After Disturbance:After Disturbance:CanvasbackCanvasback F(4,145) = 5.596, p < 0.001

Larger numbersLarger numbersbefore disturbancebefore disturbancethan after up to 80mthan after up to 80mfrom trail.from trail.Outer bands showOuter bands showmore ducks after thanmore ducks after thanbeforebefore(mean (mean ++ SE) SE)

Significant bandSignificant bandeffecteffect

Band 1=Band 1=0-40m0-40m

Band 2=Band 2=40-80m40-80m

Band 3=Band 3= 80-120m 80-120m

Band 4=Band 4=120-160m120-160m

Band 5=Band 5=160-200m160-200m

Canvasback Abundance Response by Band

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

BandB

efo

re m

inu

s A

fter

(lo

g t

ran

sfo

rmed

)

F(4,72) = 5.354, p = 0.001

Band 1=Band 1=0-40m0-40m

Band 2=Band 2=40-80m40-80m

Band 3=Band 3= 80-120m 80-120m

Band 4=Band 4=120-160m120-160m

Band 5=Band 5=160-200m160-200m

Canvasback Mean Abundance

Before and After Disturbance

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

1 2 3 4 5

Band

Mean

Nu

mb

er o

f D

ucks

Before

After

Photo by B. Schmoker

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RESULTS: RESULTS: Scaup Scaup speciesspecies

HH1a.1a. Before Before vsvs..After Disturbance:After Disturbance:Scaup Scaup speciesspecies F(4,145) = 5.596, p < 0.001

Larger numbersLarger numbersbefore disturbancebefore disturbancethan after up to 120mthan after up to 120mfrom trail.from trail.Outer bands showOuter bands showsame numbers ofsame numbers ofducks before and afterducks before and after(mean + SE).(mean + SE).

Significant bandSignificant bandeffecteffect

F(4,72) = 5.354, p = 0.001

Band 1=Band 1=0-40m0-40m

Band 2=Band 2=40-80m40-80m

Band 3=Band 3= 80-120m 80-120m

Band 4=Band 4=120-160m120-160m

Band 5=Band 5=160-200m160-200m

Scaup Abundance Response by Band

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

BandB

efo

re m

inu

s A

fter

(lo

g t

ran

sfo

rmed

)

F(4,54) = 3.379, p = 0.016

Band 1=Band 1=0-40m0-40m

Band 2=Band 2=40-80m40-80m

Band 3=Band 3= 80-120m 80-120m

Band 4=Band 4=120-160m120-160m

Band 5=Band 5=160-200m160-200m

Scaup species Mean Abundance

Before and After Disturbance

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

1 2 3 4 5

Band

Mean

Nu

mb

er o

f D

ucks

Before

After

Photo by B. Schmoker

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RESULTS: Ruddy DuckRESULTS: Ruddy Duck

HH1a.1a. Before Before vsvs..After Disturbance:After Disturbance:Ruddy DuckRuddy Duck F(4,145) = 5.596, p < 0.001

Similar numbersSimilar numbers

before and after in allbefore and after in all

bands.bands.

No significant bandNo significant bandeffect.effect.

F(4,72) = 5.354, p = 0.001F(4,54) = 3.379, p = 0.016

Band 1=Band 1=0-40m0-40m

Band 2=Band 2=40-80m40-80m

Band 3=Band 3= 80-120m 80-120m

Band 4=Band 4=120-160m120-160m

Band 5=Band 5=160-200m160-200m

Ruddy Duck Abundance Response by Band

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

BandB

efo

re m

inu

s A

fter

(lo

g

tran

sfo

rmed

)

Band 1=Band 1=0-40m0-40m

Band 2=Band 2=40-80m40-80m

Band 3=Band 3= 80-120m 80-120m

Band 4=Band 4=120-160m120-160m

Band 5=Band 5=160-200m160-200m

Ruddy Duck Mean Abundance

Before and After Disturbance

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1 2 3 4 5

Band

Mean

Nu

mb

er

of

Du

cks

Before

After

F(4,138) = 1.298, p = 0.274

Photo by C. Robinson

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RESULTSRESULTS

SQSQ1.1. During disturbance: During disturbance: Ducks moved considerable Ducks moved considerabledistance away from trail users (mean + SE)distance away from trail users (mean + SE)

RUDU = Ruddy Duck SCAU =RUDU = Ruddy Duck SCAU = Scaup Scaup species species CANV = Canvasback CANV = Canvasback

Photos by C. Robinson and B. Schmoker

Average Distance of Closest Individuals During Disturbance

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180

Sp

ecie

s

Distance from Trail Users (m)

RUDU

CANV

SCAU

RUDU

SCAU

CANV

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RESULTSRESULTS

Before disturbance:Before disturbance: Ducks were present in bands Ducks were present in bandscloser than 110-140m from trailcloser than 110-140m from trail

RUDU = Ruddy Duck SCAU =RUDU = Ruddy Duck SCAU = Scaup Scaup species species CANV = CanvasbackCANV = Canvasback

Before Disturbance

Average Abundance in Bands by Species

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 2 3 4 5

Band

Avg

. N

um

ber o

f D

ucks

RUDU

SCAU

CANV

Band 1= 0-40mBand 1= 0-40m Band 2= 40-80mBand 2= 40-80m Band 3= 80-120mBand 3= 80-120m Band 4= 120-160mBand 4= 120-160m Band 5= 160-200mBand 5= 160-200m

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RESULTSRESULTS

Hypothesis 2: Hypothesis 2: (Cumulative disturbance effect)(Cumulative disturbance effect)

•• Only Ruddy Duck, Only Ruddy Duck, Scaup Scaup species, and Bufflehead had largespecies, and Bufflehead had large

enough sample sizes. enough sample sizes.

•• No significant difference between distance responses at points No significant difference between distance responses at points

during trail use. during trail use.

Photo by C. Robinson

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RESULTSRESULTSSQSQ2.2. Trails Trails’’ Zones of Zones ofInfluenceInfluence

••Used Results ofUsed Results of

SQ1 for zone ofSQ1 for zone of

influenceinfluence

analysis.analysis.

••Averaged distance of closestAveraged distance of closest

individuals across 4 mostindividuals across 4 most

frequently seen species infrequently seen species in

Point Counts.Point Counts.

••Defined Zone of Influence asDefined Zone of Influence as

this mean + 1 SE = 144mthis mean + 1 SE = 144m

••Applied 144m buffer to allApplied 144m buffer to all

trails.trails.

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RESULTSRESULTSSQSQ2.2. Trail-affected Habitat Trail-affected Habitat

Existing AreaExisting Area476 ha476 ha

Post-Phase 1 AreaPost-Phase 1 Area929 ha929 haIncrease ofIncrease of

95%95%

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RESULTSRESULTSSQSQ2.2. Unaffected Habitat Unaffected Habitat

Existing AreaExisting Area5389 5389 haha

Post-Phase 1 AreaPost-Phase 1 Area

4933 4933 hahaDecrease ofDecrease of8.5%8.5%

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RESULTSRESULTS

4932 ha4932 haUnaffected Unaffected Ponded Ponded HabitatHabitat

- 457 ha- 457 haPhase 1 Trail-affected HabitatPhase 1 Trail-affected Habitat

- 476 ha- 476 haCurrent Trail-affected HabitatCurrent Trail-affected Habitat

- 605 ha- 605 haPhase 1 Tidal Marsh ConversionPhase 1 Tidal Marsh Conversion

6470 ha6470 haTotal Project areaTotal Project area

24% decrease in suitable duck habitat24% decrease in suitable duck habitat

Photo by C. Robinson

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SUMMARY OF FINDINGSSUMMARY OF FINDINGS

•• Wintering ducks, particularly Canvasback andWintering ducks, particularly Canvasback and

Scaup Scaup species, show a clear response to minimalspecies, show a clear response to minimal

trail use disturbance.trail use disturbance.

•• Distance response to trail use averaged 144mDistance response to trail use averaged 144m

(mean+1SE).(mean+1SE).

•• Phase 1 trail actions will double amount of habitatPhase 1 trail actions will double amount of habitat

affected by trail use in project area.affected by trail use in project area.

•• All SBSPRP Phase 1 actions could decreaseAll SBSPRP Phase 1 actions could decrease

suitable duck habitat by as much as 24%.suitable duck habitat by as much as 24%.

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NEW QUESTIONSNEW QUESTIONS

•• Will Phase 1 actionsWill Phase 1 actions

actually impact duckactually impact duck

population in Southpopulation in South

Bay?Bay?

•• How much trail useHow much trail use

really occurs in winterreally occurs in winter

here?here?

•• Does habituation play aDoes habituation play a

role?role?

•• Need continuedNeed continued

research.research.

Photo by C. Robinson

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MANAGEMENTMANAGEMENT

RECOMMENDATIONSRECOMMENDATIONS

•• If possible, locate trail at least 144m away fromIf possible, locate trail at least 144m away from

pond.pond.

•• If location cannot be manipulated, explore otherIf location cannot be manipulated, explore other

buffer options (i.e. vegetated buffer).buffer options (i.e. vegetated buffer).

•• Enhance non-trail ponds to make up for trail-Enhance non-trail ponds to make up for trail-

affected habitat.affected habitat.

Photo by C. Robinson

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

•• Funders:Funders:

–– San Francisco Bay Joint Venture (research grant)San Francisco Bay Joint Venture (research grant)

–– San Jose State University (graduate equity fellowship)San Jose State University (graduate equity fellowship)

•• Access to study site:Access to study site:

–– U.S. Fish and Wildlife ServiceU.S. Fish and Wildlife Service

•• Thesis Advisors:Thesis Advisors:

–– Lynne Trulio, Rachel Lynne Trulio, Rachel OO’’MallyMally, Rick, Rick Kos Kos

•• Field Assistants:Field Assistants:

–– Galli Basson, Li Galli Basson, Li XuezhiXuezhi, Caitlin Robinson,, Caitlin Robinson,

Lissa Derugina Lissa Derugina

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QUESTIONS?QUESTIONS?

Photo by C. Robinson