Torch club 10912
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Transcript of Torch club 10912
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Dynamics of an Aging Population
Robert ScardamaliaRLS Demographics, Inc.Monday, January 9, 2012
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High Foreign Immigration
Immigration Quotas
High Foreign Immigration – Baby Boom Echo – Improved Economy
Rural/Urban Migration
Baby Boom Growth Declining Fertility
Economic Downturn
Historical Demographic Factors
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Slow Growth in New York
New York and Upstate Lag the Nation
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
Index:1900 = 100
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National and State Population Change
New York Will Lose Two More Congressional Seats
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
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Regional Differences in Population
Population Change 2000 to 2010
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
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Boomers Change Everything!
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Growth of the Aging Population
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census and Cornell University, Program on Applied Demographics, county population projections.
New York State, 1950 to 2030
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Regional Differentials in Aging - Capital
Source: Cornell University, Program on Applied Demographics, county population projections.
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County Differentials in Aging - Capital
Source: Cornell University, Program on Applied Demographics, county population projections.
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Indicator of Aging – Natural Decline
Natural Decline – the difference between births and deaths
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Annual Population Estimates, Components of Change.
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Differential Aging in Our Communities
Lowest Percentage:LeRay Town, Jefferson County – 2.7%
Highest Percentage:Dunkirk Town, Chautauqua County – 31.1%
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
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Differential Aging in Our Communities
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
Percentage of the Population 65 and Over, 2000
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Differential Aging in Our Communities
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census. Facility locations derived from various sources.
Percentage of the Population 65 and Over, 2000
Location of Nursing Homes, Assisted Living and Aging
Health Care Facilities
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Characteristics of Capital Region Seniors
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata
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Characteristics of Capital Region Seniors
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata
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Characteristics of Capital Region Seniors
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata
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Characteristics of Capital Region Seniors
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata-
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Characteristics of Capital Region Seniors
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata
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The Financial Impact of Migration – All Ages
Capital Region Migrants – Net Gain: $148 million
Earnings Gain DueTo In-Migration
Earnings Loss DueTo Out-Migration
$682 Million
$534 Million
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata
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The Financial Impact of Migration – 55 and Over
Capital Region Migrants – Net Loss $60 million
Earnings Gain DueTo In-Migration
Earnings Loss DueTo Out-Migration
$21.3 Million
$81.3 Million
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata
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Aging – A Long-Term Perspective
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata
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Robert ScardamaliaRLS Demographics, Inc.
P.O. Box 160Rensselaerville, NY 12147
Thank You