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    Risks and Hazards

    to Consider

    Unit 3

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    Visual 3.1

    Unit 3 Overview

    This unit describes:

    The importance of identifyingand analyzing possible hazardsthat could occur at an event

    The risks and vulnerabilitiesassociated with each hazard

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    Visual 3.2

    Unit Objectives

    At the conclusion of this unit, participantswill be able to:

    Identify hazards that are most likely toaffect special events

    Identify the risks presented by thehazards

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    Visual 3.3

    Unit Objectives (cont.)

    Identify strategies for overcoming andminimizing risks and hazardsassociated with a special event

    Describe the elementsof a contingency plan

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    Visual 3.4

    Hazard Analysis

    Definition:Process used to anticipate hazards;likelihood, frequency, damage, impact,

    and community vulnerability.

    Awareness and foresight of potentialcascading events are important

    Special events pose increased risk forincidents

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    Visual 3.5

    Conducting a Hazard Analysis

    Conducting a hazard analysis involvesfour steps:

    Identify the hazards

    Profile the identified hazards

    Perform a risk index to prioritize thehazards

    Plan for vulnerabilities

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    Visual 3.6

    Identify Hazards

    Reference sources for identifying hazards:

    The jurisdictions existing hazardanalysis

    Historical data, especially as they relateto similar hazards

    Statistical data about the hazards that

    are most likely to occur in your area Specific and unique hazards to the

    event

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    Visual 3.7

    Activity 3.1 - Hazard ID

    Divide into small groups

    Identify 5 hazards most likely to occurat your event

    Reconvene and discusswith the group

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    Visual 3.8

    Profile Hazards

    A hazard profile determines:

    Magnitude

    Frequency Duration

    Speed of onset

    Hazard Vulnerability Assessment

    Job Aids Page A-55

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    Visual 3.9

    Profile Hazards (cont.)

    Use Hazard Profile Worksheet

    Consult all available sources of inforegarding the event

    Complete profile for each hazard

    Do not ignore low-riskhazards plan for these

    anyway

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    Visual 3.10

    Activity 3.2 ProfilingHazards

    Same groups as previous exercise

    Use worksheets in Student Manual

    Complete hazard profile form for one ofthe hazards identified

    Reconvene and discusswith the class

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    Visual 3.11

    Prioritizing Risks/Hazards

    Risk is defined as the predicted impactthat a hazard would have on people,services, and specific facilities at the

    event and in the community

    Quantifying risk enables planners tofocus on those hazards that pose the

    highest threat to life, the environment,or property

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    Visual 3.12

    Prioritizing Risks/Hazards(cont.)

    Quantify the risks key questions

    What level of coverage is in thecommunitys EOP?

    Are critical facilities affected?

    Are local personnel trained and equipped torespond?

    Could responders be delayed for any

    reason? For how long?

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    Visual 3.13

    Prioritizing Risks/Hazards(cont.)

    Quantifying risk involves:

    Identifying elements of the event that arepotentially at risk from a specific hazard.

    Developing response priorities. Risk to life isalwaysthe highest priority.

    Assigning severity ratings based on thepotential impact.

    Compiling risk data into event risk profiles.

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    Visual 3.14

    Prioritizing Risks/Hazards(cont.)

    Priority 1: Life safety, including hazard areas,high-risk populations, and potential search andrescue situations.

    Priority 2: Essential facilities. Responsepersonnel cannot respond if their own facilitiesare affected.

    Priority 3: Critical infrastructure that are

    essential to life safety and that wouldadversely affect response efforts if they weredisrupted.

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    Visual 3.15

    Prioritizing Risks/Hazards(cont.)

    Assign a hazard severityrating or risk index.

    Predicts the damage that can

    be expected as a result of the hazard.Use the Hazard Vulnerability Assessment

    table to calculate the ratings and impact.

    Assign a value to each characteristic.

    Assign a rating for each type of hazard data.

    Hazard Vulnerability Assessment Job

    Aids Page A-56

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    Visual 3.16

    Prioritizing Risks/Hazards(cont.)

    To determine the overall risk value foreach hazard:

    Select a hazard

    Assign a value of 1-4 to each characteristic

    Add the values

    Divide by 4 to arrive at an overall risk value

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    Visual 3.17

    Activity 3.3 Ranking theHazards

    Same groups as previous exercise

    Use worksheets in Student Manual

    Complete the Hazard VulnerabilityAssessment for each hazard identifiedand determine the overall risk value

    Reconvene and discuss

    with the class

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    Visual 3.18

    Plan for Vulnerabilities

    Develop scenarios for the highest-riskhazards identified

    A scenario will trace the hazardsdevelopment into an emergency

    Scenarios should be realistic

    Scenarios require brainstorming by

    event planners

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    Visual 3.19

    Plan for Vulnerabilities(cont.)

    A scenario should describe:

    The initial warning of the event

    The potential overall impact on the

    communityThe potential impact of the event on specific

    community sectors

    The potential consequences, such as

    casualties, damage, and loss of servicesThe actions and resources that would be

    needed to deal with the situation

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    Visual 3.20

    Plan for Vulnerabilities(cont.)

    Creating scenarios helps to identifysituations that may exist in a disaster.These situations should be used to help

    ensure that a community is preparedshould the hazard event occur.

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    Visual 3.21

    Activity 3.4 Planning forVulnerabilities

    Same groups as previous exercise

    Use worksheet in Student Manual

    Complete the scenario worksheet foryour most highly ranked hazard

    Reconvene and discuss with the class

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    Visual 3.22

    Terrorism Hazards

    Special events are prime targets forterrorist activity by activist groups:

    Political

    Religious

    Racial

    Environmental

    Special Interest

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    Visual 3.23

    Terrorism Hazards (cont.)

    Planning can lessen likelihood ofsurprise incident

    Descriptive intelligence gathering

    Predictive interpretation/probabilityforecast

    Operational readiness (training, equipment,practiced response)

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    Visual 3.24

    Terrorism Hazards (cont.)

    Law enforcement should take lead inforecasting and planning

    Planners should assign roles and

    responsibilities for agencies

    ICS is important for response

    Criminal and Terrorist Risks

    Job Aids Pages 1-141-16

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    Visual 3.25

    Terrorism Hazards (cont.)

    Planners and local law enforcementshould work with State and Federalpartners to gather information and

    develop contingency plans State and local data from Federally

    mandated assessments should be

    reviewed (Jurisdiction and VulnerabilityAssessment)

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    Visual 3.26

    Identifying MitigationActions

    Hazard mitigation - Actiontaken to reduce risk to lifeand property from a hazard

    Mitigation planning has four steps:

    Organize resources

    Assess risks

    Develop a mitigation plan Implement plan and monitoring progress

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    Visual 3.27

    Hazard Mitigation Plan

    Identify, evaluate, and prioritize actions

    Address several questions:

    Which actions can help us meet ourmitigation objectives?

    What capabilities do we have toimplement these actions?

    What impacts will these actions haveon our community?

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    Visual 3.28

    Mitigation Categories

    Mitigation actions have six broadcategories:

    Prevention

    Property protection

    Public education and awareness

    Natural resource protection

    Emergency services

    Structural projects

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    Visual 3.29

    Mitigation Implementation

    To implement a mitigation plan andactivities, you must identify:

    Resources

    Timeframes

    Partners

    Responsibilities

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    Visual 3.30

    Contingency Plans

    Consider every high-risk,high-impact incident

    Consult with all parties

    who may respond to anemergency situation

    Contingency Plans

    Job Aids Pages 2-42-5

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    Visual 3.31

    Risks and Hazards toConsider

    Questions?