Countdown 2015 :

Accelerating Progress on the MDGs

Stockholm, March 24 2010

MDGs – shared responsibility

MDGs Developing Countries

Developed CountriesGOAL 8 Integrate MDGs

into policies, plans and budgets

Become accountable to citizens: human rights-based development

More aid and more effective aid

Greater debt cancellation

Increased poverty-focussed trade opportunities

2000-2009 MDG Scorecard..…

• The single most durable set of global development commitments by governments – withstood 9/11 and its aftermath

• Provided a strong human development and poverty focus to all global processes – Monterrey, Paris, Accra, Doha, G8 and now G20

• Regional bodies embrace MDGs – AU, SAARC, Asean, EU

• Influenced national planning not only in most poor countries but also several middle income countries like Brazil and Indonesia

• Counterpoint to Washington consensus

2000-9 MDG Scorecard….

• Over 35 countries have had their debts cancelled – big increase in poverty-focussed public expenditure

• Aid levels have steadily increased – 30% higher than 1992 peak

MDG Outcomes have been very significant

• Over 400 million people come out of poverty since 2000

• 4 million fewer children die• > 30 million more children in school• HIV/AIDS, 30% reduction in new infections in 2008

compared to 1996, 2 m. receiving ARVs• Big advances in TB, malaria, access to water• 63/117 countries on-track on malnutrition 30 more than in 2006• Women MPs – 11% in 2000, 18% in 2009

MDG Progress - Poverty

MDG Progress - Education

MDG Progress – Child Health

On most individual Goals, over 40 developing countries are on track

• Rwanda

• Tanzania

• Mali

• Zambia

• Mozambique

• Ghana

• Bangladesh

• Nepal

Many of the poorest countries are on track on several Goals

Success: where it matters most!

• Ghana, Nicaragua cut hunger by half from 1991 to 2004

• Malnutrition rates cut from 22% to 6% in NE Brazil in less than ten years,

• Nigeria doubles production and income of farmers from 2001 to 2007

• Malawi goes from 43% food deficit in 2005 to 53% food surplus in 2007

Success: where it matters most!

• U5MR falls by >40% in Malawi, Mozambique, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Niger, Bangladesh, Nepal, Bolivia and Laos

• Ethiopia puts 3 million more kids in school and Tanzania 2 million, doubling school enrollment from 2001 to 2006

• Honduras reduced MMR by 40% from 1990 to 2005

Why are these countries more on track?

a. Leadership from the topb. Global MDGs adapted to National Goalsc. Clear Plan, Policies & Strategiesd. MDGs prioritised in the allocation of

domestic and external resources in the budget

e. High focus on improving delivery mechanisms for the poor

Why are some countries more on track?

e. Greater accountability and transparency at all levels – more citizen engagement

f. More media and public debate g. International donors line up behind national

priorities

Countdown 2015: the obstacle course

• Financial crisis – separating real impact from using this as an excuse

• Food and Climate crisis – more acute• Governance and exclusion crisis – national and

global; significant increase in inequality• Trade crisis – Doha impasse and new

protectionism• Big challenges in conflict zones, in MMR and

sanitation

MDG Achievement – a matter of political choice

• Total amount given as bail outs in the last year is estimated at $18 trillion – cumulative aid in the last 49 years is less than $2 tr.

• Total spent on arms in 2008 $1.46 trillion – aid was about $120 billion

• Resources lost through corruption by leaders of poor countries, often colluding with western governments and corporations, and mindless wars could have more than achieved MDGs

Grassroots

Media/Public Awareness

Policy Change

Citizens action on MDGs needs a second wind to build political will

UN MDG Review Summit Sept 2010: Agreeing the 2010-15 Breakthrough Action Plan

• Accelerate progress based on what’s worked : This will motivate governments and people and create national ownership

• Move the action to the local: Improve data and analysis at all levels – disaggregated, high frequency, and available in a simple form first to poor communities and local govts

• Get serious about accountability: From local to national to global

UN MDG Review Summit: Web portal for civil society

www.un-ngls.org/mdg2010

Swedish civil society: Action Agenda

• Local and national level actions in Sweden and EU:a. Build a strong public constituency of support for the MDGs

b. Remind other EU Governments of their responsibility to keep their promises on aid, debt and trade - Goal 8;

c. Create national momentum in the run up to the MDG Review Summit

• Local, national and regional level actions in the South:

a. Align programme design and impact at the local level towards the achievement of the MDGs, particularly for the poor;

b. In all programmes, increase accountability of government to poor communities on the MDGs;

c. Directly and through MDG Campaign Coalitions monitor MDG performance and reorient public expenditure towards MDGs.