Regional Perspective

Martin Eran-TaskerTechnical Director

Association of Asia Pacific Airlines

Singapore Aviation Academy29 – 30 August 2013

Overview•AAPA Global mobility•Asia Pacific Aviation•Business conditions•Growing demand•Info share•Closing thoughts

AAPA Association of Asia Pacific Airlines

• Regional trade association • Members include major international

airlines based in Asia Pacific• Open to all scheduled international

airlines based in Asia Pacific region• Committed to promoting sustainable

growth of the aviation industry serving both passenger and freight needs

• Permanent secretariat headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

• Representation in Washington and Brussels

• Flight Operations Safety WG• Cabin Safety WG

Serving the community and always open to new members

Aviation: moving the world

• Air travel delivers global mobility

• 2,900 million passengers

• Carries 35% by value of global trade

• Wider social and economic benefits

• Outstanding safety record

Source: ATAG

• Diverse geographic region• Home to more than 4 billion people• 62% of the world’s population• Generates 30% of global GDP • Wide range of income levels• Dynamic economies delivering global growth• Aviation widely recognised as a key contributor

to economic and social development• Political diversity remains challenging: need for

multilateral cooperation

Asia Pacific

Source: Combined AAPA + non-AAPA airlines GMT+7 to GMT+12

US$175 billion revenue US$5.2 billion net profit

705 million passengers 493 million domestic 212 million international 16 million tonnes of cargo> 5000 aircraft

Asia Pacific carriers overall market share:25% of global passenger traffic40% of global cargo traffic

Asia Pacific Aviation

Data: Financials & Traffic: 2012 Estimates

Growing demand

Aspirational Demand for Air Travel

Rising incomes, urbanisation, social development

Trips per capita

GDP per capita US$

The growing middle class

Source: Airbus

Asia Pacific traffic will grow significantly

Source: Airbus GMF2012-2031

World Traffic by airline domicile (RPK billions)

Source: BoeingCMO 2012 - 2031

- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000

Africa

CIS

Middle East

Latin America

Europe

North America

Asia Pacific 2012 - 2031 new airplanes2011 airplanes

Asia Pacific fleet expansion

Info Share

ICAO ASPAC Region

• 40 Contracting States and Administrations• 1,207 commercial airports• 359 airlines• 5,090 aircraft in service representing 25% of Global fleet

• Projected to almost triple by 2032• 40 air navigation service providers• Air transport supports 6.1 million jobs

• Aviation Safety high priority• Going forward maintaining status quo can only result in

increasing the number of accidents and major incidents

US Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST)

• In 1998 CAST committed to the goal to reduce the commercial aviation fatality rate in the USA by 80% by 2008.

• In 2008 CAST reported it had reduced the fatality rate by 83% • CAST success the result of the voluntary collaboration between

the FAA and Industry by examining past accident data and developing and implementing Safety Enhancements (SE)

• CAST approach now is to be proactive and focus on examining emerging and changing risks to identify prevention strategies based on the analysis from incident data

• Greater emphasis on acquiring, sharing and analyzing aviation safety data (FOQA) on a voluntary basis

• CAST now committed to the goal of 50% from 2010 to 2025 and working with other government and industry partners

Regional activities - COSCAP

• Formed under the umbrella of ICAO’s Technical Co-operation Programme (TCP)

• Primary purpose to enhance flight safety in the region• Ongoing effort to improve aviation safety in Asia through

• Needs assessment• Supporting the establishment of a national safety

framework • Sharing of safety practices • Provision of technical assistance and training for capacity

building • Implementation of safety enhancement initiatives

Regional activities – ICAO APAC RASG/ RAST

• RASG grouping of the regions regulators• Established to address and implement regionally the Global

Aviation Safety Plan / Global Aviation Safety Roadmap (GASP/GASR).

• Focus on ICAO priorities Runway safety, CFIT, LOC• RAST joint regulator/ industry forum developing safety

enhancements to address ICAO priorities• Focus on the sharing of data and best practices

AAPA FOSWG &CaSWG

• Regional industry safety forum open to Asia Pacific International airlines (2X per year)

• Data management and analysis• Benchmark airline safety performance• Support capacity building within the region• Promote the sharing of safety data and best practices• Promote the sharing and implementation of best practices to

enhance regional safety• Data driven safety priorities: Wild life hazards, Infrastructure

deficiencies, runway safety, CFIT, LOC, safety outreach efforts

Airline safety compliance approach

• Implemented safety, data management and reporting systems to be in compliance with national regulatory requirements that are based on ICAO Annexes (1,6,8,11,13, 14 and now 19)

• Reports safety in accordance with national requirements• Tendency towards a reactive approach• Limited data sharing• Reactive response to incidents• SMS requires a proactive/ interactive approach to addressing

accident/ incidents• Identifying and understanding the main hazards and risks to

the airline operation a challenge

You cannot fix what you cannot measure

• Safety solutions cannot be fixed in isolation or by directive• It requires the regions regulators and industry to collaborate

and cooperate at national and regional level by:• Gathering and analysing all types of safety data • Sharing safety data and the information gained from the analysis• Sharing of best practices, data analysis tools and techniques, data

management

• Being data rich is not enough if it lacks direction, clear objectives and targets

• Assurance of data protection at national and regional level to avoid misuse

• Data protection critical, requires regional and global partnerships to realize an effective integrated safety management system.

 

Challenges

• Asia Pacific diverse region has varying levels of capability and capacity among regulators and airlines

• Joint regulatory and industry consultations/ activities not the norm, although slowly changing

• Building “trust” between involved parties (government, regulator, airport, ANSP, airlines, senior management, politicians, unions and the travelling)

• Agreeing on common models and methodologies, and criteria for reporting and benchmarking

• Identifying an acceptable (independent) gatekeeper • Requires long term investment and commitment in resources• Overcoming, working with the Legal system

Closing Thoughts

• Aviation is a key part of everyday modern life and drives global economic and social development

• Aviation has an outstanding safety record• To realize an effective integrated safety management system

requires partnerships based on cooperation and collaboration• Regional safety needs to be inclusive and requires regional

thinking and regional solutions• Effective safety management is “data driven”• Safety outcome is key

Have the confidence and optimism to share data and best practice in the future

www.aapairlines.org

Association of Asia Pacific AirlinesUnit 27-1, Level 27, Menara Prestige1 Jalan Pinang50450 Kuala LumpurMALAYSIA

Tel: +60 3 2162 1888Fax: +60 3 2162 6888