Presenting Model Results:Presenting Model Results:Synergy & OpportunitiesSynergy & Opportunities

Ted Swift, Ph.D.Ted Swift, Ph.D.Real-Time Data & Forecasting Project,Real-Time Data & Forecasting Project,

DWR Municipal Water Quality Investigations BranchDWR Municipal Water Quality Investigations Branch

CWEMF WorkshopCWEMF Workshop6 February 20076 February 2007

Main ThemesMain Themes

Knowledge is Power: Forecasting Knowledge is Power: Forecasting increases flexibility as things get tightincreases flexibility as things get tight

Feedback between Models & ObservationsFeedback between Models & Observations• Data that does not kill us makes us strongerData that does not kill us makes us stronger

Model forecasts can help minimize Model forecasts can help minimize unpleasant surprisesunpleasant surprises

Peer reviewPeer review

RTDF: Three ComponentsRTDF: Three Components

Monitoring Forecasting

Information Dissemination

DSM2 ModelAqueduct Extension

Others

Visualization Dissemination(User Needs

Data QA/QCStorage)

Data CollectionStation O & M

Emerging ConcernsSpecial Studies

RTDF Monitoring StationsRTDF Monitoring Stations

HoodSacramento River

H.O.BanksAqueduct

VernalisSan Joaquin River

Three boundary stations so far:Three boundary stations so far: Sacramento River at HoodSacramento River at Hood San Joaquin River near VernalisSan Joaquin River near Vernalis H.O. Banks Pumping plantH.O. Banks Pumping plant

All measure: DOC, TOC, salinityAll measure: DOC, TOC, salinity Vernalis & Banks: Ions Br, Cl, NO3, Vernalis & Banks: Ions Br, Cl, NO3,

SO4, F, PO4SO4, F, PO4

Source TrackingSource TrackingModeled Volumetric Fingerprint at Clifton Court Forebay (SWP)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06

Per

cent

of

Sou

rce

MartinezDelta RetEast StreamsSan Jqn RSac R

Modeled EC Fingerprint at Clifton Court Forebay (SWP)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06

EC

Con

trib

utio

ns,

uS/c

m

EC-Sac EC-SJR EC-EASTEC-Delta EC-MTZ ECCLFCT-CDEC HBP-CDEC

Modeled DOC Fingerprint at Clifton Court Forebay (SWP)

0

1

2

3

4

5

Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06

DO

C C

ontri

butio

ns,

mg/

L

.

DOC-SAC DOC-SJR DOC-EASTDOC-Delta DOC CLFCT-CDEC

R T D F D e v e lo p m e nt P ro c e s sF o re c a s ting/M o d e ling M o d u le s

D elta R T D sD elta M o d el

H o o d R T DS ac ram ento T rib utary M o d el

V ernalis R T DS an Jo aq uin R iver M o d el

N B AB arker S lo ugh R T D

H O B anks R T DS B A M o d el

D M C R T D

S LR /F o reb ayM o d el

C alifo rnia A q ued uc t R T DA q ued uc t M o d el

C o as tal A q ued uc t R T D /M o d el

P y r am idm o d el

P er r isM o d el

S ilve rw oodM ode l

C as ta icm o d el

Modeling:Modeling:Part of a larger networkPart of a larger network

Innovative uses of informationInnovative uses of information

An Early-Warning System for:An Early-Warning System for: Source Water Managers Source Water Managers State and Federal Project OperatorsState and Federal Project Operators Treatment Plant OperatorsTreatment Plant OperatorsSources and Loads information for:Sources and Loads information for: ScientistsScientists CalFedCalFedOther Interests:Other Interests: Forecasting & Power generationForecasting & Power generation

Information Information Dissemination: Dissemination: Goals & GuidesGoals & Guides

•Must meet user needs … which will changeMust meet user needs … which will change•Data visualization & presentation are important Data visualization & presentation are important

to reach a variety of users to reach a variety of users •Feedback fosters improvement & collaborationFeedback fosters improvement & collaboration•QA/QC and data management procedures QA/QC and data management procedures

especially important w/ large, real-time data setsespecially important w/ large, real-time data sets

Forecast ExampleForecast Example

Information Dissemination: Information Dissemination: ProductsProducts

• Currently RTDF produces a weekly report & data set Currently RTDF produces a weekly report & data set for the Delta, SWP and CVP e-mailed to about 240 for the Delta, SWP and CVP e-mailed to about 240 subscribers & available on MWQI web site.subscribers & available on MWQI web site.

• Plans include a continuously updated website where Plans include a continuously updated website where users can access historical, real-time and forecasted users can access historical, real-time and forecasted data and information.data and information.

• Longer term: Even closer collaboration & feedback Longer term: Even closer collaboration & feedback between monitoring, forecasting, and dissemination- between monitoring, forecasting, and dissemination- Real-time forecastingReal-time forecasting

Applications of Assessing Applications of Assessing Sources and LoadsSources and Loads

Loading Information from Various Land UsesLoading Information from Various Land UsesDetermine Sampling Locations to Fill in the Determine Sampling Locations to Fill in the

Information GapsInformation GapsModel Development for Transport to and Load Model Development for Transport to and Load

at Intakes.at Intakes.Monitor and Model Transport of Contaminants Monitor and Model Transport of Contaminants

from Different Sourcesfrom Different SourcesDetermine Priority Sources for Watershed Determine Priority Sources for Watershed

Protection EffortsProtection EffortsApply Information to Regulatory Processes or Apply Information to Regulatory Processes or

Control EffortsControl Efforts

RTDF Project GoalRTDF Project Goal To provide data and information to source water and To provide data and information to source water and

system managers, municipal treatment plant operators, system managers, municipal treatment plant operators, researchers, and stakeholders to optimize and balance researchers, and stakeholders to optimize and balance resource use, promote science-based decision making, resource use, promote science-based decision making, and economic efficiency.and economic efficiency.

MWQI’s MissionMWQI’s Mission Working closely with urban State Water Contractors and Working closely with urban State Water Contractors and

other users of Delta water our mission is to assist in the other users of Delta water our mission is to assist in the monitoring, protection, and improvement of drinking monitoring, protection, and improvement of drinking water quality of Delta water delivered to these various water quality of Delta water delivered to these various users and to disseminate data to all users in a timely users and to disseminate data to all users in a timely manner. manner.