Mainstreet - Winnipeg June 2016
-
Upload
mainstreet -
Category
Documents
-
view
45 -
download
0
description
Transcript of Mainstreet - Winnipeg June 2016
Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 801 Winnipeg Residents by Smart IVR™ on June 9, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 3.46%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.
EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM - JUNE 15, 2016PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK
WINNIPEG SNAPSHOT
POLL: 63% APPROVE OF BRIAN BOWMAN
June 15, (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds that 63% of Winnipegers approve of Brian Bowman’s performance as Mayor. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.46%, 19 times out of 20.
“This is a solid score for Mayor Bowman,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “Mayor Bowman’s support is fueled by younger residents and seniors - and unlikely combination but one that bodes well for future electoral success. This is a very health rating for this point and time of his mayoralty.”
63% of Winnipeg residents approve of the mayor’s performance with 27% disapproving and a further 10% undecided.
The poll also found residents split on a proposed mandatory helmet by law, though more are in favour than against by 5%, 39% to 34%. Winnipegers are also dog friendly with 42% approval for a proposed downtown dog park (42% approval, 27% disapproval, 30% undecided - .however on the issue of Pitbulls 62% believe they should be banned. Winnipeg instituted a Pitbull ban almost 30 years ago.
“Safety is an ongoing concern, particularly for parents,” continued Maggi, “However it looks like making helmets mandatory for adults in all situations has plenty of detractors. We found much more approval for a downtown dog park, 43% of Winnipegers like the idea, 51% among seniors, with a further 30% undecided about the idea and 27% opposed.”
“While some have proposed lifting a ban on Pitbulls, Winnipeg residents very clearly believe the ban should continue. 62% indicated they believe Pitbulls should be banned and support is consistent among all demographic groups. While Pitbulls have been banned in Winnipeg for almost 30 years there are proposals underway to ban them in other parts of Canada - most noticeably in Quebec where the Public Security Minister says a Pitbull ban is being considered.”
“We found residents are split on what the city should be able to do with the money collected from water bills. 43% believe the money should only be spent on associated costs and services while 39% say the money could be used on anything and treated as general revenues. With only a 4% gap the numbers are essentially a tie just outside the poll’s margin of error,” finished Maggi.
About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
-30-
Available for Interview from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]
"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.
A2
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian Bowman is handling his job as mayor?
A3
Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove Not Sure
25%
38%
12%
15%
10%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian Bowman is handling his job as mayor?
A4
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
Not Sure
Sample
18-34
27%
44%
10%
11%
9%
122
35-49
22%
39%
13%
15%
11%
171
50-64
21%
36%
13%
16%
15%
255
65+
31%
30%
13%
21%
4%
253
Male
24%
38%
12%
17%
8%
389
Female
26%
38%
12%
13%
12%
412
City
Male
Female
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
25% 38% 12% 15% 10%
24% 38% 12% 17% 8%
26% 38% 12% 13% 12%
27% 44% 10% 11% 9%
22% 39% 13% 15% 11%
21% 36% 13% 16% 15%
31% 30% 13% 21%
In your opinion, should the city make it mandatory for adults to wear bike helmets
while biking?
A5
39%
34%
27%
Yes No Not Sure
In your opinion, should the city make it mandatory for adults to wear bike helmets
while biking?
A6
City
Male
Female
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
39% 34% 27%
36% 35% 29%
41% 33% 25%
32% 42% 26%
37% 34% 28%
40% 33% 27%
51% 22% 27%
Yes No Not Sure
In your opinion, should the city create a downtown dog park?
A7
27%
43%
30%
Yes No Not Sure
In your opinion, should the city create a downtown dog park?
A8
City
Male
Female
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
43% 27% 30%
42% 28% 30%
44% 26% 30%
48% 24% 29%
37% 31% 32%
37% 30% 32%
51% 22% 27%
Yes No Not Sure
In your opinion, should Pitbulls be banned or not?
A9
62%
21%
17%
Yes No Not Sure
In your opinion, should Pitbulls be banned or not?
A10
City
Male
Female
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
62% 21% 17%
63% 22% 15%
61% 20% 19%
60% 23% 17%
63% 20% 17%
58% 23% 19%
70% 17% 13%
Yes No Not Sure
In your opinion, what should the City of Winnipeg be allowed to spend proceeds from
water bills on?
A11
43%
39%
18%
Water Services Only Anything Not Sure
In your opinion, what should the City of Winnipeg be allowed to spend proceeds from
water bills on?
A12
City
Male
Female
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
43% 39% 18%
43% 40% 17%
43% 38% 19%
43% 40% 17%
45% 37% 18%
41% 40% 19%
43% 39% 18%
Water Services Only Anything Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian Bowman is handling his job as mayor?
Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve
Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove
Not Sure
In your opinion, should the city make it mandatory for adults to wear bike helmets while biking?
YesNo
Not Sure
In your opinion, should the city create a downtown dog park?
YesNo
Not Sure
In your opinion, should Pitbulls be banned or not?
Yes, Pitbulls should be bannedNo, Pitbulls should not be banned
Not Sure
In your opinion, what should the City of Winnipeg be allowed to spend proceeds from water bills on?
Should only be allowed to use on water servicesShould be allowed to use on anything
Not Sure
SCRIPT
A13
WHITBY
Most Accurate Pollster of the Whitby by election.
SASKATCHEWAN
Most Active Pollster of Saskatchewan’s general election, top results within MoE.
MANITOBA
Most Active Pollster of Manitoba’s general election, top results within MoE.
CALGARY GREENWAY
Most Accurate Pollster of the Calgary Greenway by election.
ONLY WE CALLED
THE LIBERAL
MAJORITY.
Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East | Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada
“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interview with a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Public
Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such confidence, a week before we voted.
Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 2013, in defiance of the majority of the polls.
His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanation for how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running a
political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITEmainstreetresearch.ca
TWITTER @MainStResearch
FACEBOOKfb.com/mainstresearch
© 2016 Mainstreet Research. All rights eservedr