Mainstreet - Fort Rouge

8/19/2019 Mainstreet - Fort Rouge

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Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 406 Fort Rouge residents by Smart IVR™ on March 21st-22nd, 2016

mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 4.81%, 19 times out of 20.

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM CST, MARCH 24, 2016PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK INC.

FORT ROUGE


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FORT ROUGE: BOKHARI CLINGS ON IN TIGHT 3 WAY RACE

March 24, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds a dead heat in the Winnipeg ridof Fort Rouge with Liberal Leader Rana Bokhari just narrowly hanging on. The Mainstreet/Postmedia

has a margin of error of +/- 4.81%, 19 times out of 20.

The race in Fort Rouge is coming down to the wire” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Resea

Perhaps unexpectedly this is a three-way race, not a two-way race. Bokhari is leading within the margierror, it’s a statistical dead heat.”

Mainstreet is well known for its accurate riding level work. Most recently, a riding poll of the Calg

Greenway by election was validated on Tuesday as an accurate representation of public opinon.

Among all voters: Bokhari 25.77%, Gordon 24.1%, Kinew 23.74%, Sharp 6.27%, Undecided: 20.12%

Among Decided and Leaning voters: Bokhari: 32.19%, Kinew: 29.84%, Gordon: 29.44%, Sharp: 8.53%

Among Decided Voters Only: Bokhari: 32.26%, Gordon: 30.18%, Kinew: 29.72%, Sharp: 7.85%

The Liberals cannot afford to have Bokhari personally campaign in the riding, they will have to dependvolunteers and Bokhari’s media presence as leader” continued Maggi. “That is the opportunity for Gorand Kinew. As local candidates they can canvass for votes and use the personal touch to win o

undecideds.”

With 1 in 5 voters in Fort Rouge undecided this is anyone’s game. Rarely do we see party leadercompetitive races, this will be the riding to watch on election night,” finished Maggi.

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three level

government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of puopinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in Br

Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling n several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the opolling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, [email protected]

For more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protecteby copyright. The information and/or data may onlybe rebroadcast or republished with full and propercredit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.


3/10

If the provincial electionwere held today,which candidate

would you support?

UndecidedKinew Gordon Bokhari Sharp

N D P

P C

L i b e r a l

G r e e n

U n d e c i d e d

2 4 %

2 4 %

2 6 %

6 %

2 0 %


4/10


would you support?

PC

Kinew

Bokhari

Sharp

Undecided

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Sample

Gordon

27%

18%

28%

5%

21%

107

21%

25%

22%

6%

25%

97

24%

25%

30%

7%

15%

87

23%

31%

21%

7%

19%

115

21%

30%

26%

8%

14%

199

26%

18%

26%

4%

26%

207

1 8 - 3 4

3 5 - 4 9

5 0 - 6 4

6 5 +

M a l e

F e m a l e

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10

27% 18% 28% 5% 21%

21% 25% 22% 6% 25%

24% 25% 30% 7% 15%

23% 31% 21% 7% 19%

21% 30% 26% 8% 14%

26% 18% 26% 26%


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And which party are youleaning towards voting for?

[Undecided Only]

UndecidedNDP PC Liberal Green

15%

12%

16%

7%

50%


6/10


would you support?

Kinew Gordon Bokhari Sharp

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

Decided Only Decided and Leaning

3 0 %

3 0 %

3 2 %

8 %

3 0 %

2 9 %

3 2 %

9 %


7/10


would you support?

PC

Kinew

Bokhari

Sharp

Sample

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Gordon

35%

21%

37%

7%

97

30%

30%

30%

10%

88

26%

30%

35%

9%

79

27%

41%

23%

8%

102

24%

36%

31%

9%

187

36%

23%

34%

8%

179

1 8 - 3 4

3 5 - 4 9

5 0 - 6

4

6 5 +

M a l e

F e m a l e

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10

35% 21% 37% 7%

30% 30% 30% 10%

26% 30% 35% 9%

27% 41% 23% 8%

24% 36% 31% 9%

36% 23% 34% 8%


8/10

If a provincial election were held today which candidate would you support?

Wab Kinew of the NDP led by Greg SelingerAudrey Gordon of the PC Party led by Brian Pallister

Liberal Leader Rana Bokhari

Grant Sharp of the Green Party led James BeddomeUndecided

And which party are you leaning towards voting for?

NDP led by Greg SelingerProgressive Conservative Party led by Brian Pallister

Liberal Party led by Rana BokhariGreen Party led James Beddome

Undecided

SCRIPT


9/10

ONLY WE

CALLED

THELIBERAL

MAJORITY

Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East

| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interviewwith a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Pub

Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such confidence, a weekbefore we voted.

Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 20in defiance of the majority of the polls.

His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanatiofor how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running

political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015


10/10

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all thrlevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadi

public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liber

government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet h

been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal major

government in the 2015 federal election.

CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE

mainstreetresearch.ca

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@MainStResearch

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© 2016 Mainstreet Research All rights esr

Mainstreet - Fort Rouge

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