Leading ASEAN Energy Company...2014/08/14 · Key Events Update • PTT ranked 84th on the Fortune...
Transcript of Leading ASEAN Energy Company...2014/08/14 · Key Events Update • PTT ranked 84th on the Fortune...
Analyst Meeting Q2 and 1H/2014
PTT Auditorium 14 Aug 2014
Leading ASEAN
Energy Company
Safety and Sustainability: PTT implements several safety programs that really improve the safety performance
Aspiration = Zero Accident
Benchmark : 2013 SAM Robeco Sustainability Members Oil & Gas Industry
0
1
2
3
4
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Injury Rate (Injuries/Million hrs)
TRIR-employee TRIR-contractor
Benchmark- Employee Benchmark- Contractor
Percent better than peer
23% Employee
Percent better than peer 433%
Contractor
Safety and Sustainability: PTT consistently receives awards on “Safety performance”
• 28 PTT’s Operations and Offices awarded the Best National Safety Site from Ministry of
Labour and Social Welfare • PTT Suratthani Petroleum Terminal has received this award for 18 consecutive years , the
longest since the inception of this award , along with the Best Safety and Health Committee award and 4 Excellent Safety Officers awards
Safety and Sustainability: PTT is ranked among the top companies on “green performance”
In 2014, PTT achieves 136th rank in the World’s Greenest Companies survey conducted by Newsweek, the only Thai company on the list
1. Energy Productivity 2. Carbon Productivity 3. Water Productivity 4. Waste Productivity
8 Criteria
5. Reputation 6. Pay Link 7. Sustainability Themed Committee 8. Audit
Contents
4
Highlights
Performance
2H/2014 Outlook
Strategic Thinking Session (STS) 2014
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Operation
(HoH)
• Gas margin increased from better product prices though sales volume decreased
• Oil margin and sales volume increased • Trading margin increased from condensate
business • Power margin and steam sales volume
increased • Refinery better performance from higher
Dubai lead to stock gains and improved GRM/GIM though lower U-rate from many plants T/A
• Lower PTTEP’s performance mainly from Montara despite higher average selling prices and sale volume
• Coal price still on a low side waiting for rebound
• Petchem lower performance mainly from Aromatics pressure and low season
Finance
PTT Group raised fund in a total of 2,836 MMUSD • TOP issued 15,000 MMTHB Bond • PTTEP issued 1,000 MMUSD Hybrid Bonds 19,600 MMTHB Bond • IRPC issued 15,000 MMTHB Bond • BCP issued 10,000 MMTHB Bond
• THB remains weak • Doubtful loan to PTTER, no
effect to PTT’s consolidated bottom line
Highlights 1H/14: Solid from PTT Contribution
5
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Key Events
Update
• PTT ranked 84th on the Fortune Global 500 List 2014
• PTT ranked 180th on the Forbes Global 2000 List 2014 as well as
• PTTGC ranked 687th • TOP ranked 1,587th
• PTT’s Board has approved the appointment
of Chairman and Directors • PTTEP’s Zawtika Project began delivering
natural gas to Thailand
• Uncertainty from Energy Reform • Refineries’ major T/A : TOP,
IRPC, SPRC, and BCP • PTTGC’s I4-1 plant shutdown • IRPC fire incident
Sustainability
PTT ranked 136th in Top 500 as “World's Greenest Companies 2014” from PTT won “2014 R&D 100 Award” for the innovation of PTT DIESEL CNG
Still under attack by NGO
Highlights 1H/14 (Cont.)
6
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
R&D 100 Award
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
7
R&D 100 History
2014 - PTT won R&D 100 Award, as the 1st company in Thailand, from “PTT DIESEL CNG”
PTT DIESEL CNG (2014)
8
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Moving Toward TAGNOC: PTT Innovation
9
9
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
2
4
6
8
6
10
14
18
22
28
30
32
34
Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14
200
400
600
800
Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14
HDPE Spread PX Spread
80
100
120 Dubai FO
Avg. 16.5
LNG vs HH ($/MMBTU)
* JLC = Japan LNG Cocktail : Landed LNG price in Japan
Key Business Drivers: PX still in down cycle while THB continues depreciated
10 Note: Figures are monthly average
Avg. 98.3
Avg. 104.5
Avg. 537
Avg. 30.0
Dubai vs FO ($/BBL)
HDPE and PX spreads($/Ton) FX (THB/USD)
Dubai
FO
HDPE
Avg. 599 PX Avg. 32.7
Avg. 105.3
Avg. 97.9
Avg. 607
Avg. 302
Avg. 16.7 JLC* LNG มีบทบาท
ส าคัญในการดึงราคา pool
Avg. 106.6
Avg. 15.7
Avg. 98.1
Avg. 31.7 Avg. 574
Avg. 505
HH
Avg. 4.7
Avg. 3.7 Avg. 3.7
Avg. 16.3
Avg. 15.9
SPOT LNG
Avg. 16.8
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Gas Avg. GSP sales vol. decreased 5% Avg. NG gas margin increased 6%
850 3,056
16,107
24,901
20,197
19,721
8,295
6,896
2,042
3,312
1H/2013 1H/2014
9,224 1,453 1,700 297 1,087 1,192
PTTEP
57,886
PTT
Others
Refinery
Petrochem
47,491
22%
62%
17%
2%
55% 260%
1H/14 Performance: Strong PTT performance outweigh soften affiliates’
11
Aromatics : PX & BZ spread drop though Olefins spread improved, U-rate decreased 11%
Sales vol. increased 5% Avg. selling price increased 0.4% Performance decreased mainly from Montara’s operating expenses and depreciation
MMTHB
Avg. A/C GIM increased 8% Aggregate intake decreased 11%
*including petroleum exploration expenses and royalties
Margin
FX gain
OPEX* Share of income Interest
expense & income
taxes
NCI
Oil Vol. increased 2% Oil margin increased 1% Trading Vol. decreased 6% Margin increased 55%
Better performance of other affiliates mainly from PTTLNG
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Contents
12
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Highlights
Performance
2H/2014 Outlook
Strategic Thinking Session (STS) 2014
Financial Management
E&P Key Highlights in 1H/14
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
Began drilling Maple-East exploration well in Australia Farmed-in to offshore Brazil exploration project Discovery of new hydrocarbon structure in Mozambique’s Rovuma Offshore Area 1
Growth on-track from integration of Hess Thailand Successful Montara production ramp-up Full delivery of Zawtika Gas to Myanmar Secured non-binding LNG Offtake for more than one 5 MMTPA Train for Rovuma Offshore Area 1 Industry’s top quartile safety performance Completed oil sands asset swap and re-establishment as Mariana Oil Sands project
13
Increasing operating cash flow base of ~1.8 bn USD
Successful 1 billion USD hybrid bonds and 0.6 billion
USD synthetic bonds issuance Interim dividend of 3 THB/share from solid performance
Exploration
Operations
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
380
560
1,041
940
Q1/14 1H/13
E&P Performance:
High-cost asset pressured performance
Product Prices
Net Income (100%)
Sales Volume
Key Highlights
7.79* 8.11 8.06 7.96*
100.84 104.64 99.36 102.82
64.92** 67.70
66.09 66.35**
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
Liquid (USD/BBL)
Gas (USD/MMBTU)
Weighted Avg. (USD/BOE)
MMUSD
198 208 190 203
101 108 102 104
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
316
Liquid
Gas
KBOED
299
14
292
4%
* Gas price, if excludes Vietnam 16-1 retroactive sale recording, is 7.97$ for Q1 14 and 8.04$ for 6M 2014
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
** Average selling price, if excludes Vietnam 16-1 retroactive sale recording is 65.91$ for Q1 14 and 66.84$ for 6M 14
10% HoH
5% HoH
4%
4%
3%
0.4%
1%
307
6% QoQ
47% QoQ
Q2/14 1H/14
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
QoQ
• Sales volume increased from completion of Hess TH acquisition, Zawtika, and Montara project
• Avg. prices increased from the Contract 4 and Zawtika project as well as there is no inclusion of bitumen prices from KKD project.
• Net income increased mainly due to higher revenue, net gains from the restructuring of ownership in KKD oil sands project and other extra items
HoH • Sales vol. increased mainly from Montara/ Hess TH acquisition/
First Gas sale to Myanmar in March of Zawtika Project. • Net income decreased due to higher DD&A and operating
expense from Montara
Focus
Areas Q3 14 Q4 14 2015 ~2020
Q2 2014
Analyst Meeting
Country
Note : * E&A = exploration and appraisal
Key Projects
Activity(ies) at a given point of time Activity(ies) at a given range of time
First oil
Expected Maple East exploration well drilling result
Ongoing evaluation of value-accretive M&A and
value-unlocking portfolio management options
Exploration &
Appraisal
Development &
Production
Portfolio Management
Barrerinhas AP1
Cash/Maple
Zawtika
M3
PSC-G & EP-2
Seismic + G&G Potential 1st drilling
Australia
Myanmar
Algeria
Mozambique
Canada
Start-up (Exports to Thailand)
Expected FID 1st LNG cargo
FID
First oil
Brazil
Australia
Myanmar
Montara
Zawtika
433a & 416b
Rovuma Off. Area 1
Mariana Oil Sands (formerly KKD)
Steady production and constant monitoring of well performance
Drill 2 exploration wells
Drill 5 appraisal wells
Drill 3 E&A* wells
Construction & commissioning
Winter Evaluation Program 2014-15
E&P Roadmap:
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
E&P Roadmap: Shifting up gears for high potential drilling prospects and development in key projects Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
4,291
4,515
4,616
4,754 4,704 4,685
4,497 4,469
4,450
4,768
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q41,259 1,334 1,367 1,297
610 826 858 718 710
712 569 711
910 948 970 929
642 635 623 639
319 313 305 316
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
Gas BU Performance:
Solid NG volume despite long winter and coup
NG Sales Volume* NG Customer Breakdown
2013
2012
2014
MMSCFD
EGAT (28%)
IPP (16%)
SPP (15%)
GSP (20%)
Industry (14%) NGV (7%)
MMSCFD
4,768 4,450
16
AVG.
4,609
4,544
4,589
4,692
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
2% HoH
8.87
8.71
8.48
8.79
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
2% QoQ
NGV Sales Volume
Unit : Approx. KTon/Day
Vol. MMCFD
319 313 305 316
4% HoH QoQ
• NG volume increased mainly from EGAT seasonal demand
• Lower NGV sales volume due to low season after Songkran festival
HoH
• NG volume decreased mainly due to cold weather at the beginning of this year , dragging demand of natural gas from EGAT
• NGV sales volume increased by 4%
QoQ
• Higher NGV Sales volume due to NGV Station back to normal operation after closed during political demonstratiionon
YOY
• Sales volume increased by 5%, also, feed cost increased
• No Government subsidy, while special discount given to public transportation customers
Key Highlights
SM: GSM, NGR, CHP margin +1.75% no cap for internal use, external cap according to price structure
4,610
7% QoQ
Convention เพ่ิม 2 สถานี Mother Daughter ที่เพ่ิมข้ึนเป็นของเอกชน
* NG Sales Volume include Inter-BA Transaction
Gas BU Performance:
Better performance from GSP#5 back to normal operation
K.Ton/Day
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
638 667
1,422 1,305 181 185
364 365
476 501
1,076 977
209 204
370 413
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
3,232
GSP Sales Volume
LPG (43%)
kTon
1,504 1,557
3,060
4% QoQ
5% HoH
28,582
12,903
5,739
8,520 4,757
-4,736
Gas BU EBITDA
MMTHB
Others
TM
GSP
14,488
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13* 1H/14
1,906 5,675
6,886
-8,716
21,552 3% QoQ
S&M
NGV
3,106
Gas BU Performance :
Better performance from better GSP margin
17
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
QoQ
• EBITDA decreased from higher loss from NGV and higher feed cost of GSPs
HoH
• Better performance from GSPs due to an decrease in NG feed cost and higher margin on GSPs.
• However, more loss on NGV limit gain on Gas BU performance
Propane (13%)
NGL (12%)
Ethane (32%)
Key Highlights
1,898
-5,280
5,317
6,630
5,529
14,094
33% HoH
-10,016
10,074
13,516
11,204
3,804
*Restated
371 381 393 376
858 876 834 867
1,555 1,569 1,463
1,562
1,562 1,582 1,506 1,572
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
333
GSP - Reference Product Prices
PP
HDPE
Naphtha
USD/Ton
GSP Feed Cost
LPG Capped 333 333 333
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
18
Gas BU:
New Contractor : Expected completion 3rd quarter 2015
• Long term gas demand, close to GDP as our major customer is power sector
• Power sector: 60% using gas, in term of vol still growing but for % might be lower
• GSP5 will S/D only 15 days for installation of WHRU in Sep’14
Awarded IHI Corporation and Posco Engineering, Consortium (IHI-PEN) as an EPC contractor
Completed 6.1% of construction phase i.e. completed test pile for LNG tank #3 and offshore soil investigation
Expected completion early 2017
Awarded McConnell Dowell Constructors Thai Ltd. as a new 4th onshore pipeline construction contractor
Completed 69.06% of construction phase
Expected completion by 3rd quarter 2015
LNG Terminal phase II progress
4th Onshore pipeline progress
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
641 1,381 1,137
2,022
4,408 2,258
6,528 6,666
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
5,049
3,639
8,688
7,665
0.92
0.78 0.84 0.85
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
Oil BU Performance :
Non-oil business helps supporting overall performance
Contribution Margin 1/
Oil BU - EBITDA Key Highlights
MMTHB
THB/Liter
1/ Excluded non–oil business
19
QoQ
• Margin dropped mainly from aviation • Volume soften mainly from aviation fuel and fuel oil • Non-oil performance jumped during holiday season
HoH
• Margin stable as diesel margin squeezed despite higher gasoline and aviation margin
• Higher sales volume mainly from gasolinel and aviation • Growing non-oil business performance following branch
expansion
Oil
Non-Oil*
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
* EBITDA from Operating
1% HoH
13% HoH
6,306 6,199
12,267 12,505
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
Sales Volume 2/
MM Liter
2/ Only PTT and PTTRM
2% HoH
15% QoQ
2% QoQ
28% QoQ
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Oil BU: Going Forward
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
แด๊ดดี้โด (ประเทศไทย) จ ากัด ร่วมลงนามในสัญญาการให้สิทธิแฟรนไชส์หลัก “แด๊ดดี้โด“ แต่เพียงผู้เดียวในประเทศไทย แก่ ปตท. โดยมีเป้าหมายขยายสาขา 300 แห่ง ภายในเวลา 10 ปี ซ่ึงความร่วมมือในครั้งนี้เป็นส่วนหนึ่งของโครงการ R-20 ของสายงานตลาดค้าปลีก เพ่ือขยายธุรกิจ Non Oil ทั้งใน-นอกสถานีบริการ
PTT Master Franchisor Creating Shared Value (CSV)
First Master “Daddy Dough”
Building up Non-oil business Expanding Non-oil business growth through Franchising or Acquisition
Joining the Royal Project Foundation : • Conservative coffee cultivation for sustainable
development based on the ‘Sufficiency Economy’ philosophy
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
More Master Franchisor
More Master Franchisor
“โครงการวิจัยและพัฒนาการปลูกและการผลิตกาแฟ ในระบบอนุรักษ์ทรัพยากรธรรมชาติ เพ่ือการพัฒนาที่ย่ังยืน” และ “โครงการซ้ือขายเมล็ดกาแฟดิบ” โดยน้อมน าหลักปรัชญาเศรษฐกิจพอเพียงเป็นแนวทางหลักในการพัฒนาโครงการฯ เพ่ือศึกษาวิจัยและพัฒนาเทคโนโลยีด้านการปลูกและการผลิตกาแฟสายพันธุ์อราบิก้าของมูลนิธิโครงการหลวงที่มีคุณภาพที่ดีตามมาตรฐานในระดับสากล ,ส่งเสริมและสนับสนุนการปลูกกาแฟระบบอนุรักษ์ทรัพยากรธรรมชาติ,พัฒนาและส่งเสริมศักยภาพทักษะอาชีพด้านการปลูกและการผลิตกาแฟที่มีคุณภาพให้กับเกษตรกรชาวเขา, ส่งเสริมให้ชุมชนมีส่วนร่วมในการพัฒนาตนเองเพื่อเป็นต้นแบบของชุมชนเข้มแข็งตามหลักปรัชญาเศรษฐกิจ พอเพียง ที่มีความมั่นคงทางเศรษฐกิจ สังคม และสิ่งแวดล้อมท่ียั่งยืน ในพ้ืนท่ีด าเนินงาน
1,940 2,451
2,923
4,391
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
0.13 0.14
0.09
0.14
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
17,232 17,035
36,444 34,266
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
Trading BU Performance :
Strong margin overcomes soften volume
Contribution Margin*
Trading BU - EBITDA*
Sales Volume
Key Highlights
MMTHB
THB/Liter MM Liter
* PTT only : FX Adjustment in compliance with Accounting Standard
21
QoQ
• Sales volume slightly decreased mainly from reduced import crude to refinery during T/A season
• Higher margins from better spread from crude price and condensate
• EBITDA surged mainly from condensate business HoH • Lower sales volume mainly due to reduced crude import • Margins surged from lower discount rate as well as better margin
from out-out activity
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
** Not restated
50% HoH
• Import parity • Basket price or
reference price
26% QoQ
55% HoH 8% QoQ 6% HoH
1% QoQ
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
* PTT only : FX Adjustment in compliance with Accounting Standard
22
Trading BU : Going Forward
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
285 254
304 270 273
220
511
246
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
104.5 106.1
104.5 105.3
4.07 3.36
4.70 3.72 3.82
5.28 3.87 4.54
5.94
7.47 6.20 6.68
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
GRM/GIM
Refinery Utilization
Refining Business Performance:
Higher GRM/GIM but lower U-Rate from plants T/A
23
USD/BBL
A/C GRM
A/C GIM
Mkt GRM
Dubai
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
Highlights Performance 2H/14 Outlook
Net Income (100%)
U-Rate (%) Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
Aggregated U-Rate
85 82 94 84
TOP 105 94 101 99
IRPC 80 80 86 80
SPRC 60 98 103 79
BCP 82 40 81 61
Aggregated Intake (KBD) 653 644 662
11% HoH 3% QoQ
(38 days)
-0.90 1.05 -1.07 0.07 Stock Gain/Loss
734
(45 days)
(1,174)
1,120 1,602
-54
2,534
2,094 1,678 4,628 344
178
(1,006)
522
1,562 1,258
2,604
2,820
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
MMTHB
BCP
IRPC
SPRC
TOP
4,650 3,266
4,878
62% HoH 42% QoQ
7,916
(15 days ++) T/A
Aromatics
95%
79% 84%
87%
Aromatics Production
BZ-ULG95 PX-ULG95
BZ: 11% HoH
PX: 52% BZ: 11%
QoQ
PX: 19%
( 23 days)
QoQ
A/C GIM: 26%
HoH
A/C GIM: 8%
CDU-3 Major Turnaround
(165 KBD) : 15 Jun- End July
~55 Days
T/A : 18 Mar - 9 Apr
Fire Incident on 9 June
(VGOHT Unit Damaged but all other units have
re-commissioned ; DCC since 29 Jun ~60-70%)
T/A : 1May- 15 Jun (46 Days)
• HCU Revamp (To produce more
diesel/jet at expense of fuel oil)
- Completed, fully operate in Aug
• CDU-3 Crude Preheat Train
(Reduce fuel usage)
- Completed, fully operate in Aug
• LAB plant and 2 SPP
- On planned (LAB planned start up
Q4/15, and SPP in 2016)
• UHV Project on plan (Increase Propylene
from 412 KTA to 732 KTA)
- Progress 73% (COD: 3Q15)
- Long - lead items installed, lowering risk of project delay
• Delta Project :
- Larger portion of benefits
expected in 2H14
• Biodiesel Plant #2
(Capacity: 450,000 litre per day)
- Construction start in Sep’14
• Investment: Domestic & Oversea ( To expand business & diversify risk by focusing in Asia)
- Purchase ordinary shares of 85% of
“BCP Bioethanol”
- Set up “BCP Energy” in SG on July’14 (for oversea investment)
- Make all tender offer in “Nido” (Upstream Business in AUS)
Refineries : Going Forward
24
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
T/A
or S
/D
Pro
ject
Upd
ates
BCP
1. Key Projects update for 2Q2014 and going forward
•Solar Phase 3 (48 MW PPA) – Fully COD in April
2014
•Biodiesel Plant #2 (Capacity: 450,000 litre per day) –
EPC approved and going to start construction in
September 2014
2. Key performance highlights for 2Q2014
•Recognized revenue from Solar Phase 3 (PPA of 48
MW)
•Recognized non-recurring revenue: Insurance
Compensation of Baht 521 Million
3. Major Turnaround/unplanned S/D for 2Q2014 and
year 2014
•Turnaround Maintenance started from 1 May – 15
June 2014
•Installation of the new CDU in 2Q2014
• Biodiesel Plant #2
(Capacity: 450,000 litre per day)
- EPC approved & start
construction in Sep. 2014
• Investment : Domestic & Oversea (Grow
revenue & diversify risk by focusing in Asia)
- Set up “BCP Energy” in SG
(for oversea investment)
- Buy 19.66% stake in Nido
(Upstream Business in AUS)
TOP
•Key Projects update for 2Q2014 and going forward
HCU revamp project was completed and
should be fully operate after July (S/U from
planned MTA)
CDU-3 crude preheat train was also
completed and should be fully operate after
July (S/U from planned MTA)
Progress construction of other 2 key
projects - LAB plant and 2 SPP are on
planned (LAB planned S/U Q4/15 and SPP
in 2016)
•Major Turnaround/unplanned S/D for 2Q2014 and
year 2014
TOP had earlier announced planned MTA
for CDU-3 and related units (55 days starting
from 15 Jun 2014) -> it is likely the planned
MTA will be completed by end-July.
refinery u-rate in Q2/14 dropped from Q1/14
(mainly from planned MTA) BUT will recover
after July
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
91% 98%
88% 90%
4.48 4.44 3.59
4.46 4.12 5.83
2.72
4.99
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
380 369 423
375 386 333
604
360
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
BZ-Cond
PX-Cond
Net Income (100%)
Aromatics
Unit : MMTHB
6,296 6,085
16,247
12,381
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
PTTGC
HMC
25
Others
7,924
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
Highlights Performance 2H/14 Outlook
5% HoH
620 618
553
619
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
Olefins U-Rate
77% 91%
95%
84%
Olefins
HDPE-Naphtha
USD/Ton
12% HoH 0.3% QoQ
BTX U-Rate 101%
103%
82% 102%
Refineries
CDU U-Rate
A/C GRM Mkt GRM
BZ-Cond
PX-Cond
BZ: 11%
HoH
PX: 40%
S/D P: I-1 (37days) U: I-4/1(23days)
-0.69 0.73 -1.51 0.04 Stock Gain/Loss
QoQ
42%:A/C GRM BZ: 3%
QoQ
PX: 14%
3% QoQ
Petrochemical Business Performance: Low Aromatics spreads pressured performance
7,695
16,408 15,619
HoH
83%:A/C GRM
Petrochemical : Going Forward
26
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
Highlights Performance 2H/14 Outlook
International Business &
JV
Gain Technology
Knowhow
Build own
R&D
Strategy going forward
NEW GEOGRAPHIES/PRODUCTS THROUGH JV
Objective: To expand business and forward integration into downstream
Vencorex : Restructuring; Convert TDI to HDI for value enhancement
TDI & HDI Technology transfer from Vencorex
( New HDI Derivatives in Thailand : COD:3Q15)
Synergy of Technology & knowledge transfer among PTTGC, Vencorex, and Emery
Transform into World Class Biotechnology R&D Center
Located in Boston,MA fully equipped with R&D resources & facilities
68 64
75
66
45 44
50
45
78 73
90
76
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
9.6
-1.6
11.2
7.9
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
Other Businesses : Coal - SAR (94.58%) Lower performance amid coal price downturn
Net Income (100%)
Sales Volume
Key Highlights
MMUSD
USD/Ton
1,958 1,669
3,921 3,627 941
731
1,017 1,672 2,899
2,400
4,938 5,299
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
kTon
Jembayan
Sebuku
27
ASP
Cash Costs
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
QoQ
• Sales volume dropped following lower New Castle coal price and low seasonal coal sales
• Net income fell due to lower coal price and extra-ordinary expenses
HoH
• Sales volume increased due to higher production from Sebuku mine
• Net income decreased due to lower selling price outweigh reduction of cash cost
29% HoH
17% QoQ
7% HoH
Avg. Selling Price & Cash cost
Add breakdown expenses (write off, consultant, restructuring)
New Castle
SAR negative profit in Q2 is mainly due to extra expenditure US$ 3.6mn on tax settlement (corporate income tax) of BCS 2012 with Indonesia Tax Office (ITO). BCS is one of SAR subsidiaries in Indonesia, who handle coal sales to Tiger Energy Trading in Singapore.
12% HoH (ASP) 6% QoQ (ASP)
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
117% QoQ
SAR Project Update
28
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
1H/14 Operational Highlights:
• Continued cost reduction initiative program under downturn market. Mining contracts at Sebuku and Jembayan were reviewed and renegotiated with contractors SAR’s cash cost has reduced 17% HoH.
Any other update??? Refinance ขอ ST loan จาก RTC 100mmusd เอาไปคืนเงินกู้ bank
Bridge loan bod approved repay all LT loan RTC will take
1H/14 Operational Highlights:
• Continue cost reduction initiative program under downturn market. Mining contract at
Jembayan was reviewed and negotiated with contractor PAMA. SAR cash cost has
reduced 17% HoH.
• Operation ปรับ
• Logistic cost ขนถ่านผ่านแม่น ้า (ใช้เวลานาน) แล้วค่อยออกทะเล หาทางล่นระยะทาง ตัดถนน เพื่อลดระยะทาง ลด
ค่าใช้จ่าย study ตัดถนน ตรงเหลือแค่ 40กม. (ซื อที่เพิ่มเพื่อตัดถนน) สร้างท่าเรือ 140กม.ทางน ้า ศึกษาแล้วท้าคนเดียวไม่คุ้ม
ทุน ก้าลังหา partner (replace water transportation with land transportation)
• per distance อันไหนถูกกว่า feul and time consumption
• In consideration of adjacent
• ราคาที่ break even
• Study coal blending to optimize SAR resources and seek opportunity for joint
operation with neighboring mines to maximize capacity and lowering cost. Conclud shipment กับลูกค้า เจรจากับผู้ซื้อเรื่อง spec and selling price
• Market expansion in India and increase sales to Indonesia’s domestic market. ของล้น
ตลาดอยู่ ราคาก็ลง ก็เลยยังทรง
• ผู้ผลิตรายเล็กๆก้าลังประสบปัญหา ต้นทุนต่้า คุณภาพใกล้เคียง opportunity จากกลาง เล็ก เริ่มประสบปัญหา
Mining •Negotiate contractor rate •Reduce dumping distance
Processing •Rent heavy equipment •Reduce fuel consumption
Logistics •Renew barging contract •Reduce vessel demurrage
SG&A
Site support •Reduce workforce and downsize office in Indonesia
•Reduce audit/ tax/legal fee • Improve group IT to reduce cost
Cost
Reduction
Initiative
Program
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
251
647 698
898
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
Net Income* (100%) Sales Volume
Key Highlights
MMBaht GWh
29
29% HoH
Other Businesses : Power - GPSC (30.10%)
Higher margin drives performance
1,413
2,091
3,790 3,504
1,111 1,346
2,114
2,457
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
kTon
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
Moving Forward (Capacity*)
MW
1,200 1,238 1,448 1,448
321 321 321 345 32 32 32 78 1,553 1,591
1,801 1,871
2013 As of Q1/14 As of Q2/14 Next step
Renewable
Conventional
*Power only (excludingSteam) According to Business Plan 2014-18 (@ 4 Mar 2014 (To be revised) ** By year-end 2014
8% HoH (Power)
21% QoQ (Steam)
48% QoQ (Power)
16% HoH (Steam)
*Power only (excluding Steam)
Hydro
158% QoQ
QoQ
• Power sales volume rose from Sriracha plant S/D in Q1/14 and higher EGAT demand during summer
• Higher steam sales volume due to PPCL S/D in Q1/14 and less self-steam production of PTTGC and TOCGC
• Higher net income from higher Ft
HoH
• Power sales volume decreased from longer maintenance period of Sriracha plant during 1H/14 while steam sales volume rose
• Higher net income due to higher margin from sales to EGAT and higher Ft
ลูกค้าหลัก egat ราคาขายดีสุดคือช่วง Q2 Q2 หน้าร้อนคนใช้ไฟเยอะ ปรับค่า factor ตัวคูณ margin margin q2 เยอะสุด และขายเยอะข้ึนเพราะราคาดีสุด ระยอง เลือกได้ว่าจะขาย egat ม้ย ไม่ได้ commit แต่ห้ามส่งเกิน maximum ที่ก าหนดในสัญญา แต่ศรีราชาเลือกไม่ได้ ค่าความพร้อม ช่วง SD จะถือว่าไม่มีความพร้อม ช่วงหน้าหนาวต้นทุนเราถูกลง
margin H1/14 ที่ขาย egat ได้เยอะข้ึน Ft (ราคา ขายต่อหน่วย) ส าหรับการขายลูกค้าอุต เพ่ิมข้ึน ปีนี้ศรีราชาซ่อมน้อยกว่าปีก่อน ยอดขายของศรีราชาลดลง ศรีราชา minor mainta หยุดเดินเครื่องนานกว่าปีที่แล้ว minor
To be confirmed ตัวเลข adjust บอกว่าก าไร 2013 ทั้งปีลดลงจากท่ีเคย present แต่ Q1/13 restated higher แสดงว่า 2H/13 ต้องแย่มากๆใช่ป่าว
Script รอ confirm ตัวเลข adjust ก าไรปี 2013 ทั้งปีว่าลดลงจากท่ีเคย present หรือไม่ – คาดว่าจะได้ข้อมูลวันที่ 6 สิงหาคมค่ะ
*Adj.TFRIC 4
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
30
• To build on GPSC’s unique experience in Project Financing for Laos domestic project (Nam Lik 1) by developing more such projects
• Invest in larger projects when opportunities become available
• Start small and aim for long-term mega projects • Focus on gas in immediate term , coal and hydro in medium to
long term • Go with international partners • Leverage from PTT’s presence in Myanmar
30
Other Businesses : Power – GPSC (30.10%) Project update & overseas opportunities
Transfer shares of the remaining power asset from PTTER : Nam Lik 1 Power Company Limited (NL1PC)
GPSC Initial Public Offering Preparation
Overseas Opportunities
Australia
Indonesia
Myanmar
Lao
Japan • Opportunity to develop or invest in Solar Power Plant due to
high feed-in tariff
• To Invest in coal-fired power plant • Synergy with PTTER’s coal business for fuel supply
• Opportunity to invest in Power plant in the mature market
Ratchaburi Power (RPCL) Completed transfer shares of RPCL from PTT
Thai Solar Renewable (TSR) Full COD
Navanakorn (NNEG) Expected to COD - Q3/2016
Nam Lik (SLIN) Expected to COD - Q3/2017
Xayaburi Construction Progress as of June is 30.85% Expected to COD - October 2019
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Others
Progress Update (Q2/14) Highlight Planned Activities 2014
104.5 106.1
104.5 105.3
27,448 30,438
47,491 57,886
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
PTT Consolidated Performance: 1H/14
31
Dubai (USD/BBL)
1H/14 1H/13
34%
42% 16%
5% 3%
67%
21%
8% 4%
PTT - Oil & Trading
PTT - Gas
Others
PTTEP
716,571 716,692
1,369,407 1,433,262
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
64,492 68,627
113,208 133,119
Q1/14 Q2/14 1H/13 1H/14
43%
34% 12%
6% 5%
PTT
PetChem
Others
PTTEP
Refining
Net Income
Unit : MMTHB
EBITDA
Net Income
Revenue
71%
17%
8% 4%
PTT - Oil & Trading
PTT - Gas
Others PTTEP
Revenue
EBITDA
0.02%
6%
5%
18%
11%
22%
72%
17%
7% 4%
71%
19%
6% 4%
Revenue
EBITDA
Net Income
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
39%
40% 11% 6%
4%
70%
18%
8% 4%
69%
20%
7% 4%
Revenue
EBITDA
Net Income
2Q/14
62%
26%
10% 2%
EBIT
32
PTT Group Performance : 1H/14 (HoH)
% share
Unit : MMTHB 1H2013 1H2014 HoH 1H2013 1H2014 HoH
PTT Net operating Income 16,107 24,901 55% 16,107 24,901 55%
E&P - PTTEP 30,932 30,621 -1% 65.29% 20,197 19,721 -2%
- PTTGC 16,247 12,381 -24% 48.89% 8,101 5,366 -34%
- HMC/PPCL/PTTPL/PTTPM/PTTAC/ PTTES/
PTTME/PTTMCC/PMMA161 3,238 1911% 40-50% 194 1,530 689%
Petrochemical 16,408 15,619 -5% 8,295 6,896 -17%
- TOP 1,678 4,628 176% 49.10% 290 2,381 721%
- IRPC -1,006 522 152% 38.51% 503 187 -63%
- SPRC 1,602 -54 -103% 36.00% 525 -38 -107%
- BCP 2,604 2,820 8% 27.22% 724 782 8%
Refining 4,878 7,916 62% 2,042 3,312 62%
Inter - PTTER, PTTGE -1,177 -1,335 -13% 100% -1,600 -1,301 19%
Gas -PTTNGD/ TTM(T)/ TTM (M)/ PTTLNG 1,771 2,714 53% 50-100% 1,581 1,977 25%
Utilities -GPSC/ TP/ DCAP/ CHPP/ BIP/ BIC/ NNEG 622 1,546 149% 20-30% 270 443 64%
Oil & Oth. - PTTT/SBECL/THAPPLINE/PTTRB/Others 1,107 1,643 48% 33-100% 599 1,937 223%
Others Business 2,323 4,568 97% 850 3,056 260%
Shared of Net Income from Affiliates 54,541 58,724 8% 31,384 32,985 5%
PTT Conso. Net Income 70,648 83,625 18% 47,491 57,886 22%
Performance 100% Equity Method % PTT
* Excluded non-recurring item “Doubtful Loan-PTTER (EMG)” of THB 16,259 MM posted in Q2’14; however, this amount is eliminated in PTT Consolidated
* *
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
33
Free Cash flow
14,900 33,051
Investing
1H/2013 -46,578
1H/2014 -54,758
CAPEX(PP&E, Intangible asset) -59,555 -53,095
Investment (Sub. &Affiliates) -946 -14,041
Dividend/Interest Received 10,887 9,346
Others 3,036 3,032
Operating
1H/2013 61,478
1H/2014 87,809
Net Income 47,491 57,886
Changes in assets & liabilities -23,121 -10,846
Income Tax -35,813 -41,075
Non-Cash Adjustment 65,173 72,634
Interest-net 7,748 9,210
Ending Cash & Cash Equivalents
110,378 187,946
Beginning Cash and Cash Equivalents
136,924 157,683
Cash In/(Out)
-26,546 30,263
Adjustment
1,335 -575
33
Financing -42,781 -2,213
Repayment Loans -41,423 -16,644
Interest paid -10,690 -10,019
Dividend paid -27,383 -27,320
Received from share issue - 32,557
Received from loans/Bonds 36,715 19,213
Statements of Consolidated Cash Flows
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Other Liabilities
PP&E
Others Non-
current Assets
Other Current Assets
L/T Liabilities (incl. due within 1 yr)
Total Equity
MMTHB
Cash & S/T Invest
Decreased assets :
• Petroleum exploration and production
assets due to asset swap of Canada Oil
Sands KKD project of PTTEP
31 Dec 13 30 June 14
1,805,041 1,800,393
Statement of Financial Position
34
0.3% Decreased PP&E:
• Reclassification of related PP&E as non-
current assets held-for-sales of PTTEP
PTT Ratings at Sovereign Level
− FC : Moody’s (Baa1), S&P (BBB+),
JCR (A-), FITCH (BBB+)
− LC : Moody’s (Baa1), S&P (BBB+),
JCR (A), FITCH (A-)
12.5 12.1
0.4 0.3
1.4 1.2
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2013 30-Jun-14
Net Debt/EBITDA ≤ 2.0
Net Debt/Equity≤ 1.0
ICR*
*ICR = EBITDA/Interest Expense
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
739,785 695,841
541,680 601,664
363,206 312,447
160,370 190,441
824,359 893,948
471,395 472,335
509,287 434,110
1 2 3 4 5
29,903 26,638 22,826 17,17730,103
37,839
11,7538,548 9,319
11,925
11,50310,4156,888
6,0523,206
765
45744
38,404
14,25917,563 29,043
18,73318,709
2014Revised* 2015 2016 2017 2018
Investment in Joint Venture and Its subsidiariesHead Office and OthersOil and International TradingNatural Gas
Gas 42%
Oil & Trading 17%
R&D, Others 3%
M&A and
Investment Oversea 24%
LNG 14%
Unit: MMTHB
PTT: CAPEX (PTT and Wholly Owned Subsidiaries) PTT plans to invest ~Bt 327bn* ($10bn) during 2014-2018
CAPEX Breakdown : 5 Years
By Business Unit
JV &
Investment in
Subsidiaries
38%
35
52,914 60,796
67,007
86,948
58,910
4th pipeline & extension
LPG import facility
LNG, M&A and Investment Oversea
55,497**
Revised
* 2015-2018 budget are subjected to be approved by NESDB at YE2014
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Contents
36
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Highlights
Performance
2H/2014 Outlook
Strategic Thinking Session (STS) 2014
: - US Economics Recovery - Fed maintain QE tapering
: - IMF forecast ASEAN-51 GDP growth in 2014 around 4.6%
: - Risk of Capital Outflow and rising interest rate
37
Economic Outlook : Challenges Ahead
US Market : Economy Expands at Moderate to Modest Pace
: - Russian Sanction
EU market: Geopolitical Conflict tend to escalate : - EU Economy fragile recovery
- ECB have stimulus package
: - Ukraine and Russia political tension tend to escalate China market: conservative growth
: - IMF Raise Chinese GDP Forecast to 7.5% - Government plan to have stimulus package in Y2014
Thailand market: Resolve Political Conflict : - NCPO approve Mega-projects to spur Economy, expedite 2014
disbursement, and complete planning budget 2015 : - Fed policy will effect Thai Baht depreciate
37
AEC market : effect from Capital Out Flow
1 Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.
: - Concern on shadow banking and slump on property sector
PTT Performance: Tend to have clearer Business Direction : - PTT have new BOD
: - Uncertainty on Energy Reform
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
mm
t
Speculative
Planned
Under Construction
In Operation
LNG Demand
Mild Weather across US during summer season
Higher-than-expected shale gas production
Factors to watch
US LNG Export Terminal Projects
Source : Short term 2014 Outlook, July 2014 EIA, Street Research, Bloomberg and PTT
Henry Hub Natural Gas Price Forecast
Henry Hub / JKM Price Outlook: Gas price tends to move up in short term from winter season
38
LNG Global Demand/Supply
PNG LNG Project started up LNG production
earlier than market anticipation
Japan-Korea Market Price Forecast
Excess Supply expected in L-T
Expected JKM price 2014 = 15.40 $/MMBtu
EIA’s projected HH Price in 2014 is 4.17 USD/MMBTU
Factors to watch
Kogas has faced High LNG Inventory as result of mild weather in Korea
Average JKM price 2013 = 16.54 $/MMBtu
High LNG Demand in winter season which is approaching soon
Average HH price 2013 = 3.73 $/MMBtu
Average HH price 2014 = 4.59 $/MMBtu
Source: FGE, PTT
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
91.48
92.61
94.21
91.83
93.31
95.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
2013 2014 2015 World oil Demand(LHS) World Oil Supply(LHS) OPEC Spare Capacity*(RHS)
106.2 106.3
105.6 105.7 106.0
Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14WTI Brent Dubai Dubai Forecast (PTT Group PRISM) Column2
2013 Dubai $105.5/bbl
2014 1H Dubai $105.3/bbl
Dubai Forecast 2H 2014 Range $105-$107/bbl
Unrest in Ukraine/Russia Tension
Entering Hurricane Season in US
39
“OPEC spare capacity trend to rises in 2014 However, Geopolitical risk will support oil price”
Dubai $105/bbl
Dubai $105/bbl
Dubai $103/bbl
Source: EIA report July ’14, OPEC World Oil Outlook, (PTT Group) Estimated (21.07.2014)
Revised
Crude Oil Outlook: Political tension uplifts oil price
Easing Libyan supply disruption
Lower Oil demand from people concern on Airlines crash
Crude Oil Price Forecast range bound 105-107 $/bbl
Psychology level @ 100 USD/BBL
Factors to watch
World Oil Demand/Supply Balance
Surplus 0.35
Surplus 0.70
Surplus 0.81
Source: PIRA Energy Group (25.07.2014)
Geopolitics
Highlights Performance 2H/14 Outlook
40 Source: FACTS, DB, KBC, Reuters , IEA, Reuters, Thaioil and PRISM Estimated (July 2014)
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14
Global Gasoline Seasonal demand during Jul-Aug
More Demand in Agricultural Sector
Forecast
GO
Mogas
FO Higher export gasoil cargo from China
Refinery return from turn around season
More Concern on Air Travel will effect Jet demand
Singapore GRM Forecast to be around 5-6$/bbl Factors to watch
“Refineries return from maintenance period and will ramp up
their run in Q4 for winter demand .”
“Expected supportive GRM in 2014 due to limited net capacity addition as refinery closure in Japan, Australia &
project postponement in China”
Refinery Margin Outlook : Refinery margin remains stable during harvest season
Refinery Maintenance in Asia-Pacific Area CDU Additional Vs Additional Demand –AP&ME
V Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14
Demand Growth Supply Growth
AAsia-Pacific Refinery
Maintenance & Outages
(KBD)
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
0
200
400
600
800
Ja
n-1
3
Ju
l-1
3
Ja
n-1
4
Ju
l-1
4
Spread HDPE Spread PP
US
D/T
on
Olefins Product Spread
Petrochemical Outlook : Olefin spread stable from higher demand after Ramadan
Source: IHS and PRISM 41
Asia Ethylene Supply/Demand Balance Asia Propylene Supply/Demand Balance
Higher Demand after Ramadan season
US and EU Economics Recovery
Factors to watch
• HDPE-Naphtha expected to be around 580-680 USD/TON
• PP-Naphtha expected to be around 580-680 USD/TON
More Propylene cargoes from ME and surplus stock from Singapore
Y 2014
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Jan
-14
Fe
b-1
4
Ma
r-1
4
Ap
r-14
Ma
y-1
4
Jun
-14
Jul-
14
Au
g-1
4
Se
p-1
4
Oct-
14
Nov-1
4
Dec-1
4
Domestic Ethylene Demand Monthly Ethylene Production
Plant Availability
Millio
n M
etr
ic T
on
s
Av
ailab
ilit
y
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Jan
-14
Fe
b-1
4
Ma
r-1
4
Ap
r-14
Ma
y-1
4
Jun
-14
Jul-
14
Au
g-1
4
Se
p-1
4
Oct-
14
Nov-1
4
Dec-1
4
Domestic Propylene Demand Monthly Propylene Production
Plant Availability
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Petrochemical Outlook: Expect PX margin to recover, PX high cost producer still cut run
42
Expect PX margin recover due to PX High cost producer still run cut
Arbitrage window for Asia Benzene to US is wide open
Concern on Polyester and PTA demand
Asia Paraxylene Supply/Demand Balance
Aromatics Product Spread
Factors to watch
• Bz-Naphtha forecasted to be around 350-450 USD/TON
• PX-Naphtha forecasted to be around 380-480 USD/TON
0
200
400
600
800
Ja
n-1
3
Ju
l-1
3
Ja
n-1
4
Ju
l-1
4
Spread BZ Spread PX
Source: IHS and PRISM
Y 2014
US
D/T
on
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Jan
-14
Fe
b-1
4
Ma
r-1
4
Ap
r-14
Ma
y-1
4
Jun
-14
Jul-
14
Au
g-1
4
Se
p-1
4
Oct-
14
Nov-1
4
Dec-1
4
Domestic PX Demand Monthly PX Production
Plant Availability
Millio
n M
etr
ic T
on
s
Av
ailab
ilit
y
Jan
-14
Feb
-14
Mar
-14
Ap
r-1
4
May
-14
Jun
-14
Jul-
14
Au
g-1
4
Sep
-14
Oct
-4
No
v-1
4
Dec
-14
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Contents
43
Highlights
Performance
2H/2014 Outlook
Strategic Thinking Session (STS) 2014
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
PTT Group STS 2014
44
50th year anniversary
Toward Knowledge based Organization
Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
PTT Group STS 2014 Highlights Performance 2H/2014 Outlook STS 2014
Key Takeaways
46
1H/2014 • Full resumption of GSP#5
• Better PTT’s performance offsets affiliates’ slowdown
• Aromatics spread tumbled from additional supply & lower demand
• Progress on 2 major projects (4th Onshore & LNG Terminal)
2H/2014 Outlook
• Keep an eye on Energy Reform
• Awaiting benefit of LPG/NGV price lifting
• Zawtika Project begins delivering natural gas to Thailand
• Continued Aromatics pressure esp. PX would slow down operation
Thank you PTT Public Company Limited – Investor Relations Department
Tel. +66 2 537-3518, Fax. +66 2 537-3948, E-mail: [email protected] Website: http://www.pttplc.com
Disclaimer
The information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your personal reference only. In addition, such information contains projections and forward-looking
statements that reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on assumptions subject to various risks and
uncertainties. No assurance is given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that our assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ
materially from those projected.
Petroleum Reserves and Resources Information
In this presentation, the Company discloses petroleum reserves and resources that are not included in the Securities Exchange and Commission of Thailand (SEC) Annual
Registration Statement Form 56-1 under “Supplemental Information on Petroleum Exploration and Production Activities”. The reserves and resources data contained in
this presentation reflects the Company’s best estimates of its reserves and resources. While the Company periodically obtains an independent audit of a portion of its
proved reserves, no independent qualified reserves evaluator or auditor was involved in the preparation of reserves and resources data disclosed in this presentation.
Unless stated otherwise, reserves and resources are stated at the Company’s gross basis. This presentation may contain the terms “proved reserves”, “probable reserves”,
and/or “contingent resources”. Unless stated otherwise, the Company adopts similar description as defined by the Society of Petroleum Engineers.
Proved Reserves - Proved reserves are defined as those quantities of petroleum which, by analysis of geological and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable
certainty to be commercially recoverable, from a given date forward, from known reservoirs and under current economic conditions, operating methods, and government
regulations.
Probable Reserves - Probable reserves are defined as those unproved reserves which analysis of geological and engineering data suggests are more likely than not to be
recoverable.
Contingent Resources – Contingent resources are defined as those quantities of petroleum which are estimated, on a given date, to be potentially recoverable from
known accumulations, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable. The reasons for non commerciality could be economic including market
availability, political, environmental, or technological.
48
Free Cash flow
21,022 36,176
Financing -28,274 -30,907
Repayment Loans -29,517 -2,288
Interest paid -6,748 -6,401
Dividend paid -22,839 -22,851
Received from share issue - -
Received from loans/Bonds 30,830 633
Investing
1H/2013 12,158
1H/2014 7,938
CAPEX (PP&E, Intangible asset) -9,782 -14,004
Investment (Sub. &Affiliates) -1,217 -1,652
Dividend/Interest Received 20,461 17,551
Others 2,696 6,043
Operating
1H/2013 8,864
1H/2014 28,238
Net Income 37,376 25,147
Changes in assets & liabilities -19,896 -8,544
Income Tax -1,112 -1,388
Non-Cash Adjustment -11,705 8,771
Interest - net 4,201 4,252
Ending Cash & Cash Equivalents
40,319 69,196
Beginning Cash and Cash Equivalents
47,641 63,927
Cash In/(Out)
-7,322 -5,269
Adjustment
-70 -
48
Statements of Cash Flows (PTT Only)
49
PTT Group Performance : Q2/14 (QoQ)
Highlights Performance 2H/14 Outlook
% share
Unit : MMTHB Q1/14 Q2/14 QoQ Q1/14 Q2/14 QoQ
PTT Net operating Income 13,739 11,162 -19% 13,739 11,162 -19%
E&P - PTTEP 12,435 18,186 46% 65.29% 7,450 12,271 65%
- PTTGC 6,296 6,085 -3% 48.89% 2,722 2,644 -3%
- HMC/PPCL/PTTPL/PTTPM/PTTAC/ PTTES/
PTTME/PTTMCC/PMMA1,628 1,610 -1% 40-50% 794 736 -7%
Petrochemical 7,924 7,695 -3% 3,516 3,380 -4%
- TOP 2,534 2,094 -17% 49.10% 1,303 1,078 -17%
- IRPC 344 178 -48% 38.51% 125 62 -50%
- SPRC -1,174 1,120 -195% 36.00% -335 297 -189%
- BCP 1,562 1,258 -19% 27.22% 416 366 -12%
Refining 3,266 4,650 42% 1,509 1,803 19%
Inter - PTTER, PTTGE -591 -744 26% 100% -555 -746 34%
Gas -PTTNGD/ TTM(T)/ TTM (M)/ PTTLNG 1,430 1,284 -10% 50-100% 1,018 959 -6%
Utilities -GPSC/ TP/ DCAP/ CHPP/ BIP/ BIC/ NNEG 507 1,039 105% 20-30% 148 295 99%
Oil & Oth. - PTTT/SBECL/THAPPLINE/PTTRB/Others 795 848 7% 33-100% 623 1,314 111%
Others Business 2,141 2,427 13% 1,234 1,822 48%
Shared of Net Income from Affiliates 25,766 32,958 28% 13,709 19,276 41%
PTT Conso. Net Income 39,505 44,120 12% 27,448 30,438 11%
Performance 100% Equity Method % PTT
* Excluded non-recurring item “Doubtful Loan-PTTER (EMG)” of THB 16,259 MM posted in Q2’14; however, this amount is eliminated in PTT Consolidated
* *
Debt Profile : Control Cost & Manage Risk
Debt Portfolio
Managed debt according to financial risk and policy
Consolidated PTT Only Unit : MMTHB
50
: Cost of debts ~ 4.61 %
: % fixed-rate ~ 81.82 %
: Avg. debt life ~ 8.11 years
: Cost of debts ~ 4.43 %
: % fixed-rate ~ 77.28 %
: Avg. debt life ~ 7.67 years
188,102 181,399 179,385 221,201 208,298 213,426
100,069 125,972 124,894
215,507 259,665 255,495 288,171
307,371 304,279
436,708 467,963 468,921
31 Dec 12 31 Dec 13 30 Jun 14 31 Dec 12 31 Dec 13 30 Jun 14
USD
THB
(35%)
(65%)
(41%)
(59%)
(41%)
(59%)
(49%)
(51%)
(55%)
(45%)
(55%)
(45%)
Note : Data as of 30 Jun 14 (THB/USD = 32.5986 THB/JPY = 0.323299) Excluding liabilities from finance leases; Cost of debts includes withholding tax.
Subsidiaries Consolidate PTT (Cambodia) Co., Ltd. PTTCL 100.00% Subic Bay Energy Co., Ltd. SBECL 100.00% PTT Retail Business Co., Ltd. PTTRB 100.00% Thai Lube Blending Co., Ltd. TLBC* 48.95% PTT Tank Terminal Co., Ltd. PTTTANK 100.00% PTT Oil Myanmar Co., Ltd. PTTOM 100.00% Associates Equity Keloil-PTT LPG Sdn. Bhd. KPL 40.00% Thai Petroleum Pipeline Co., Ltd.THAPPLINE 36.44% PetroAsia (Thailand) Co., Ltd. PA(Thailand) 35.00% Others Cost PetroAsia (Maoming) Co., Ltd. PA(Maoming) 20.00% PetroAsia (Sanshui) Co., Ltd. PA(Sanshui) 25.00% Intoplane Services Co., Ltd. IPS 16.67% Fuel Pipeline Transportation Co., Ltd.FPT 0.00024% Others Fair Value Bangkok Aviation Fuel Services Plc. BAFS 7.06%
51
Others
Subsidiaries Consolidate PTT Exploration & Production Plc. PTTEP 65.29% PTT Natural Gas Distribution Co., Ltd. PTTNGD 58.00% PTT LNG Co., Ltd. PTTLNG 100.00% Joint Ventures Proportionate Trans Thai-Malaysia (Thailand) Co., Ltd. TTM (T) 50.00% Trans Thai-Malaysia (Malaysia) Sdn. Bhd. TTM (M) 50.00% District Cooling System and Power Plant DCAP 35.00% Associates Equity Thai Oil Power Co., Ltd. TP 26.00% Global Power Synergy Co., Ltd GPSC 30.10%
Petrochemical Subsidiaries Consolidate PTT Polymer Marketing Co., Ltd. PTTPM 50.00% PTT Polymer Logistics Co., Ltd. PTTPL 100.00% PTT PMMA Co., Ltd. PTTPMMA 100.00% Associates Equity PTT Global Chemical Plc. PTTGC 48.89% PTT Maintenance and Engineering PTTME 40.00% PTT Energy Solutions Co., Ltd. PTTES 40.00% Joint Ventures Proportionate HMC Polymers Co., Ltd. HMC 41.44% PTT Asahi Chemical Co., Ltd. PTTAC 48.50% PTT MCC Biochem Co., Ltd. PTTMCC 50.00% Refining Associates Equity Thai Oil Plc. TOP 49.10% IRPC Plc. IRPC 38.51% Star Petroleum Refining Co., Ltd. SPRC 36.00% Bangchak Petroleum Plc. BCP 27.22% Others Fair Value Dhipaya Insurance Plc. TIP 13.33%
Subsidiaries Consolidate Energy Complex Co., Ltd. EnCo 50.00% Business Service Alliance Co., Ltd. BSA * 25.00% PTT Regional Treasury Center Pte. Ltd. PTTRTC 100.00%
International Trading Business Group
Subsidiaries Consolidate PTT International Trading Pte. PTTT 100.00%
Remark : * Subsidiaries that PTT holds less than 50% but being consolidated because PTT has the power to control the financial and operating policies.
Petrochemicals & Refining Business Group
Associates Equity PTT ICT Solutions Co., Ltd. PTTICT 20.00%
E&P and Gas Business Group Oil Business Group
Data as of 30 June 2014
International Investment
Subsidiaries Consolidate PTT Energy Resources Co., Ltd. PTTER 100.00%
PTT Green Energy Pte. Ltd PTTGE 100.00%
Indigenous (20%)
Imported Refined Petroleum Products 102 KBD
898 KBD (**)
Source: PTIT
Remark : (*)Refined product from refineries= 862 KBD, including domestic supply of LPG from GSPs and Petrochemical Plants = 99 KBD
(**) Not included Inventory
KBD = Thousand Barrels per day
Import (80%)
Crude/ Condensate 826 KBD
Refined Products 961 KBD*
Domestic
Crude/ Condensate 217 KBD
Supply Production Sales
Export
177 KBD
Oil Balance Thailand: Jan-May 2014
229 KBD
Adequate refining capacity maintains the stability of supply
Total Refining Capacity in Thailand: 1,087 KBD
PTT’s Associated Refineries : 910 KBD
(TOP, PTTGC, SPRC, IRPC, BCP)
Other Refineries : 177 KBD (ESSO)
Refined Products 165 KBD
52
Crude Export 12 KBD
928KBD
Natural Gas Balance: Jan – Jun 2014
Gulf of Thailand (77%)
Power (59%)
Industry (14%)
NGV (7%)
Petrochemical Feedstock
(14%)
Industry Household
Transportation (6%)
Ethane/ Propane/ LPG/NGL
LPG/NGL
Remark: MMSCFD = Million Cubic Feet @ Heating Value 1,000 Btu/ft3
3,526 MMSCFD
Main driver of the Thai economy
Supply Production Sales
53
LNG25%
Myanmar75%
Chevron 34%
PTTEP 25%
Others 41%
Bypass Gas 1,058
MMSCFD
962 MMSCFD (20%)
Methane 1,506 MMSCFD
Onshore (3%)
142 MMSCFD
6 GSPs Total Capacity
2,740 MMSCFD @ Actual Heat
Import (20%)
945 MMSCFD
54
Natural Gas Price Structure : Jan-Jun 2014
Customers1 Sales Price Structure
Gas Pool Price Supply Margins Pipeline Tariffs + +
Power Producers 58%
: EGAT 28%
: IPP 14%
: SPP 16%
Average Purchased Gas Price
1.75%
1.75%
9.33%
21.9 Bt/MMBtu
GSP 21% Charged at the same price structure of power producers
Petrochemicals Feedstocks
Reference to Saudi Aramco’s contract price
Industry 14% Charged at prices comparable to fuel oil
Gas prices are mostly agreed under long-term contracts and volatility pass-through to ensure stable returns.
NGV 7% Capped at 10.5 Baht/Kg
Ethane, Propane, LPG Profit-sharing mechanism based on market prices of petrochemicals
NGL Reference to Naphtha market price
Local Cooking Gas
Export Cooking Gas
Capped at 333 USD/ton
• Contract periods are ~ 25-30 years or until depletion of gas fields or the expiration of concessions
1 As at Apr, 2014
Natural Gas : Strong and Increasing Demand over Long Term Natural gas is a fuel of choice for power producers and transportation industry
55 Source : PTT
Power
GSP
Industry
78%
21%
8%
2,635 14%
13%
12%
59% 67%
Gas demand forecast (CAGR during 2013-2030) : Total ~ 2% : Power ~ 3% : GSP ~ -1% : Industry ~ 2% : NGV ~ 3%
14%
NGV
8%
6%
6,462 MMscfd
Thailand’s Projected Energy Demand
56
Commercial Primary Energy Consumption
Source : EPPO/ PDP 2010 Revised 3 (June 2012)/ PTT analysis as of 27 Mar 2014
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
32%
38%
15%
13%
Oil
Natural Gas
Coal/Lignite
Hydro/Import
KBD
28%
35%
19%
4% 13%
Renewable
2%
3,728
3,306
2,862
2,321
1,917
32%
41%
13%
12% 2%
28%
39%
17%
3%
13%
29%
41%
14%
3% 13%
1% Nuclear
Gas Business Generates Stable Returns
Sole owner and operator of entire
gas transmission pipelines in
Thailand (3,678 km), a regulated
business
• IRROE ranges between
12.5% - 18% for transmission
pipeline investment
Supply & marketing of natural gas
provides fixed margin with long-term
contracts of 25-30 years
6 Gas Separation Plants; Total
production 6.7 MTA; are on
petrochemical market price-linked
profit sharing basis
Highlights Gas transmission pipeline capacity
Phu Hom
Nam Phong
Thailand
Ban I Tong
Ratchaburi
Nakhon Sawan
SBK
NBK
The Luang
Nakhon Ratchasima
Kaong Khoi
Samut Prakan
ESB
Bang Pakong
Khanom
Songkhla
Sadao
Yadana
Yetagun
Chon Buri
Rayong
Wang Noi
Thai-Malaysia
(JDA)
Arthit
Arthit–FPSO Erawan
Pailin Bongkot
South Bongkot
Chevron–Additional
Platong
Tantawan
Benchamas
Natural gas fields
Power plants Gas separation plant
1,2,3,5,6 in Rayong
Gas separation unit 4
in Nakhon Si Thammarat
Existing pipeline
Future pipeline
Andaman Sea
57