Jack Henry and Associates Presented By: Jeremy Smith Sajal Rohatgi Yanlei Xu November 27, 2007.
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Transcript of Jack Henry and Associates Presented By: Jeremy Smith Sajal Rohatgi Yanlei Xu November 27, 2007.
Jack Henry and Associates
Presented By:
Jeremy SmithSajal Rohatgi
Yanlei XuNovember 27, 2007
Table of Contents
Company Overview Industry Overview Acquisition History RCMP Position and Portfolio Analysis Stock Performance Ratio Comparison Financial Health DCF Valuation Recommendation
COMPANY OVERVIEW
Jack Henry Business
Provide integrated computer systems for in-house and outsourced data processing to commercial banks, credit unions and other financial institutions Process transactions, automate business
processes, and managing information “Fundamental business strategy is to
generate organic revenue and earnings growth supplemented by strategic acquisitions”
Publicly traded on NASDAQ under JKHYJack Henry (2007). Annual Report 2007. Retrieved November 24, 2007, from SEC EDGAR database http://sec.gov/edgar
Revenue Streams
Jack Henry (2007). Annual Report 2007. Retrieved November 24, 2007, from SEC EDGAR database http://sec.gov/edgar
Jack Henry Brands
Jack Henry (2007). Annual Report 2007. Retrieved November 24, 2007, from SEC EDGAR database http://sec.gov/edgar
Jack Henry Brands
Jack Henry Banking: Supports commercial banks with information and
transaction processing platforms Provides three core software systems to process deposit,
loan, and general ledger transactions, and to maintain centralized customer/member information SilverLake, CIF 20/20, Core Director
Complementary systems Business intelligence and bank management, retail and
business banking, Internet banking and electronic funds transfer ("EFT”)
Access timely info to report and analyze business info, help customer commercial relations at all points of contact, account access and initiate transactions, secure and reliable end to end transfer
Jack Henry (2007). Annual Report 2007. Retrieved November 24, 2007, from SEC EDGAR database http://sec.gov/edgar
Jack Henry Brands
Symitar: Supports Credit Unions with information and
transaction processing platforms Two core credit union processing platforms
Elipsys (IMB System p -based) and Cruise (Windows) Complementary systems
Business intelligence and credit union management, member and member business services, Internet banking and EFT
Jack Henry (2007). Annual Report 2007. Retrieved November 24, 2007, from SEC EDGAR database http://sec.gov/edgar
Jack Henry Brands
ProfitStars: Provide specialized niche products and services
complement existing technology platforms to domestic financial services organizations
In-organic in nature as most of the acquired companies and their respective products and services have been consolidated into ProfitStars
Jack Henry (2007). Annual Report 2007. Retrieved November 24, 2007, from SEC EDGAR database http://sec.gov/edgar
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Industry Overview Banks
10% Decline in number of banks since 02’ Assets have increased at 9% annual rate 55% use in-house info processing, 45% outsource
Credit Unions 16% Decrease in number of credit unions
since 02’ Assets have increased at 7% annual rate 75% use in-house info processing, 25% outsource
For credit unions with over $25 million in assets
Jack Henry (2007). Annual Report 2007. Retrieved November 24, 2007, from SEC EDGAR database http://sec.gov/edgar
Acquisition History
Fiscal YearCompany or Product Name Products and Services
2008 Gladiator Technology Information Technology Security Services
2007 Margin Maximizer Loan and Deposit Pricing Solutions
2006 ProfitStar Asset/Liability Management, Budgeting
and Profitability
2005 Tangent Analytics Business Intelligence Solutions
2005 Stratika Profitability Solutions
2005 Synergy Document Imaging
2005 TWS Item Processing/ATM Deposit Processing
2005 Optinfo Enterprise Exception Management Solution
2005 Verinex Technologies Biometric Security Solutions
2005 Select Payment Processing Payment Processing Solutions
2005 Banc Insurance Services Insurance Agency Outsourcing
2004 Regulatory Reporting Group Electronic Regulatory Reporting Solutions
2004 e-ClassicSystems ATM Channel Management System
2004 PowerPay .ach, .rck and .arc Automated Clearing House Product Suite
2004 Yellow Hammer Software Fraud Detection and Prevention Solution
RCMP POSITION AND STOCK PERFORMANCE
Current Position
November 11, 1999 entered position BOT 200 shares at
$36 per share March 3, 2000
Stock split 2:1 March 5, 2001
Stock split 2:1
January 15, 2007 Sold 400 shares at
$22.53 Current position
Own 400 shares Stock price $25.40 as
of November 26, 2007
Stock Performance
Stock Performance
Portfolio Correlation AEE AEO CPRT DFS FR JKHY KMB MVSN SRCL SRZ WAG
AEE 1.00
AEO -0.04 1.00
CPRT 0.35 0.08 1.00
DFS 0.89 0.58 0.53 1.00
FR 0.48 0.10 0.35 0.65 1.00
JKHY 0.18 0.24 0.30 0.80 0.19 1.00
KMB 0.35 0.06 0.49 0.42 0.09 0.23 1.00
MVSN 0.24 0.28 0.28 0.59 0.22 0.38 0.02 1.00
SRCL -0.11 0.10 0.00 -0.04 -0.01 0.17 -0.04 -0.11 1.00
SRZ 0.02 -0.05 0.33 -0.25 0.23 0.16 -0.09 0.37 0.08 1.00
WAG 0.07 0.13 0.01 -0.17 -0.19 0.03 0.27 0.03 0.10 -0.13 1.00
Portfolio Pie Chart
MV % of Total Portfol io
Cash42%
AEE6%
AEO9%CPRT
6%
DFS1%
FR10%
JKHY3%
KMB5%
MVSN2%
SRCL6%
SRZ5%
WAG5%
Ratio Comparison JKHY Computer
Networks Industry
TechnologySector
S&P 500
Valuation Ratios
P/E Ratio (TTM) 22.71 30.02 26.72 20.11
Beta 1.60 1.98 1.69 1.00
Price to Sales (TTM) 3.42 3.13 4.77 2.85
Price to Book (MRQ) 3.84 3.78 5.70 4.26
Price to Free Cash Flow (TTM) 23.25 19.71 26.67 31.87
Dividends
Dividend Yield - 5 Year Avg. 0.18 0.08 0.80 1.84
Payout Ratio (TTM) 20.94 1.84 10.52 28.25
Source: One Source
Ratio Comparison Cont. JKHY
Computer Network Industry
Technology Sector
S&P 500
Financial Strength
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 1.13 1.67 1.86 1.24
Current Ratio (MRQ) 1.13 1.99 2.32 1.74
LT Debt to Equity (MRQ) 0.00 0.14 0.21 0.56
Profitability Ratios (%)
Gross Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 41.47 49.88 51.21 44.42
Net Profit Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 14.31 5.04 10.19 12.53
Management Effectiveness (%)
Return On Assets (TTM) 12.40 6.14 11.36 8.60
Return On Equity (TTM) 17.92 10.14 21.50 21.47
Efficiency
Receivable Turnover (TTM) 5.52 5.81 8.11 10.58
Inventory Turnover (TTM) #N/A 24.71 13.73 12.12
Asset Turnover (TTM) 0.80 0.91 0.79 0.96 Source: One Source
FINANCIAL HEALTH
Financial HealthProfitability
Ratios 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Return on Equity (%) 13.53 14.07 14.6 15.63 17.49
Return on Assets (%) 9 9.53 9.27 9.92 10.48
Return on Investment 21.16 22.31 23.02 22.28 23.7
Gross Margin 0.038 0.04 0.042 0.043 0.043
Operating Margin (%) 19.1 21.14 22.22 23.53 23.73
Pre-Tax Margin 19.23 21.33 22.36 23.65 23.98
Net Profit Margin (%) 12.21 13.33 14.09 15.18 15.67
Effective Tax Rate (%) 36.5 37.5 37 35.8 34.66
Liquidity Indicators
Quick Ratio 1.26 1.3 0.91 0.99 0.91
Current Ratio 1.48 1.5 1.06 1.16 1.06
Debt Management
Current Liabilities/Equity 0.4 0.39 0.48 0.46 0.55
VALUATION
DCF VALUATION Assumptions WACC Share Price Range
ASSUMPTIONS
Revenue – 3 Streams License Revenue – Decreasing YOY
Already Strong Penetration in the market Shift of Customers towards Outsourcing
Support and Services – Increasing YOY Outsourcing from Customer Increase in the Asset under Management of Existing
Customer
Hardware Revenue – High for 2008, constant for rest of the years. Imaging and exchanging of checks, IBM System
upgrades
Assumptions
Cost of Sales – Increase with increase in revenue
Operating Expenses SG&A to grow at a constant 5 year average R&D to increase to boost the license revenue G&A Expenses to remain constant on 5 year average
Tax Rate – Marginal Tax Rate of 37% Capex – Assumed to follow the same pattern as
last 5 years. In nominal terms management expects it to be below $50 million.
Dividend Payout of 22% Sustainable Growth Rate of 4%
WACC
CAPM Risk Free Rate – 4.26% Market Premium – 5.75% Beta – 1.28 Cost of Equity -11.61% E/V – 96.99% Cost of Debt – 8.5% D/V – 3.01% Tax Rate 37% WACC – 11.42%
Sensitivity Analysis
Growth Rate
WACC
- 3% 3.25% 3.50% 3.75%
4.00% 4.25% 4.50% 4.75% 5.00%
10% 32.13 33.11 34.17 35.31 36.54 37.89 39.36 40.96 42.73
10.25% 30.90 31.80 32.77 33.82 34.95 36.17 37.50 38.95 40.54
10.50% 29.75 30.58 31.48 32.44 33.47 34.59 35.80 37.11 38.54
10.75% 28.68 29.45 30.28 31.16 32.11 33.13 34.23 35.43 36.73
11.00% 27.68 28.39 29.16 29.97 30.84 31.78 32.79 33.88 35.07
11.25% 26.74 27.40 28.11 28.86 29.67 30.53 31.46 32.46 33.54
11.42% 26.17 26.80 27.48 28.19 28.91 29.78 30.66 31.61 32.63
11.67% 25.32 25.91 26.54 27.20 27.91 28.67 29.48 30.35 31.29
11.92% 24.52 25.07 25.66 26.28 26.94 27.64 28.39 29.19 30.05
12.17% 23.77 24.28 24.83 25.40 26.02 26.67 27.36 28.11 28.90
12.42% 23.05 23.54 24.05 24.59 25.16 25.76 26.41 27.09 27.83
12.67% 22.38 22.83 23.31 23.81 24.35 24.91 25.51 26.15 26.83
12.92% 21.74 22.16 22.61 23.08 23.58 24.11 24.67 25.26 25.89
13.17% 21.13 21.53 21.95 22.40 22.86 23.36 23.88 24.43 25.02
Conclusion
DCF – $28.91
Market Price - $ 25.40
Recommendation – HOLD All 400 Shares Undervalued Excellent Diversifier with the current portfolio
mix. On a downside the Credit Crunch may hit
their revenue.
Questions ???