How Globalization affects Equity

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How Globalization affects Equity Joshua Konov 2010 In times of Globalization some economies and markets build equity, however some not only cannot use their equity to improve their standard of living but lose their equity to lack of business that provokes deterioration of equity or at least discount of equity. Equity is in the foundation of the economy and the market: in the past most of the equity consisted to physical property but gradually more intellectual property and subjective market securities have become equity. Thus when individual or corporate equity is evaluated plus the physical equity if any the intellectual property, the hold securities and the projected economic growth are considered equity. The trend toward intellectual property and market valued securities instead of physical equity is more than obvious for private and corporate equity equally. However, private equity for the

description

In times of Globalization some economies and markets build equity however some not only cannot use their equity to enhance their standard of life but lose their equity to lack of business that provokes deterioration of equity or at least discount of equity.

Transcript of How Globalization affects Equity

How Globalization affects Equity

J o s h u a K o n o v 2 0 1 0

In t imes o f G loba l i za t ion some economies and

markets bu i ld equ i t y , however some not on l y cannot

use the i r equ i t y to improve the i r s tandard o f l i v ing

but l o se the i r equ i t y to l ack o f bus iness tha t

p rovokes de ter io ra t ion o f equ i t y o r a t l eas t

d i scount o f equ i t y .

Equ i t y i s in the foundat ion o f   the economy and the

marke t : in the pas t mos t o f the equ i t y cons i s ted to

phys i ca l p roper t y but g radua l l y more in te l l ec tua l

p roper t y and sub jec t i ve marke t secur i t i e s have

become equ i t y . Thus when ind i v idua l   o r corpora te

equ i t y i s eva lua ted  p lus the phys i ca l equ i t y i f any

the in te l l ec tua l p roper t y , the ho ld secur i t i e s and

the pro jec ted economic growth a re

cons idered  equ i t y . The t rend toward in te l l ec tua l

p roper t y and market va lued secur i t i e s ins tead o f

phys i ca l equ i t y i s more than obv ious fo r p r i va te and

corpora te equ i t y equa l l y . However , p r i va te equ i t y

f o r the ma jor i t y   in the wor ld cons i s t s o f phys i ca l

p roper t y equ i t y when in te l l ec tua l and market

secur i t i e s equ i t y i s more possessed by ve ry wea l thy

ind i v idua l s   and ind i v idua l s l i v ing in the mos t

deve loped economies .

There i s d i rec t cor re la t i on be tween market

ind i v idua l   income and equ i t y va lue , because equ i t y

va lue re f l ec t s genera l marke t va lue o f a p roper t y

wh ich re la tes income f inanc ia l s ta tement . A

proper t y va lue suppor ted by h igher income

s ta tement i s h igher than a proper t y va lue suppor ted

by l ower income   f inanc ia l s ta tement . In some cases

- a s i t happened be fore the l a s t Grea t Recess ion -

marke t p roper t y va lue became uncont ro l l ab le

p rompted by pure specu la t ions and compromised

l end ing prac t i ces . Consequent l y the exaspera t ion

o f  p roper t y va lue burs t b r ing ing f inanc ia l l o s ses

and l os t o f p roper t i e s to many . Seeming l y equ i t y o f

p roper t y va lues shou ld we l l r e f l ec t   the rea l marke t

p roper t y va lues wh ich re f l ec t  genera l income l eve l

in th i s marke t . Ta lk ing about equ i t y no t re la ted to

phys i ca l p roper t y but cou ld be in te l l ec tua l

p roper t y , marke t secur i t y , o r p ro jec ted economic

growth w i th very h igh sub jec t i v i t y in the rea l

economy the marke t va lue o f such equ i t y i s more

re la ted to secur i t y o f in te l l ec tua l p roper t y , marke t

secur i t i e s and cer ta in ty o f p ro jec ted economic

growth . Fac tors tha t d i rec t l y a f f ec t these equ i t y a re

sc ru t in i zed  h i s to r i ca l deve lopment o f the marke t ,

mos t recent economic ind ica tors showing the

d i rec t ion o f   th i s marke t and cons i s tent ind ica tors

o f the d i rec t ion o f  p rox ima l deve lopment , f ac tors

tha t ind i rec t l y a f f ec t these equ i t y a re the l eve l o f

r ea l ac t ing ru le o f l aw and cont rac t ing l aws o f such

market , the c l a r i t y and accountab i l i t y o f the

marke tp lace and t rad ing exchanges , the c l a r i t y and

accountab i l i t y o f in te l l ec tua l p roper t y l aws , and the

l eve l o f persona l l i ab i l i t y o f the r i sk management o f

corpora te s t ruc tures , the f i s ca l s tab i l i t y and the

respec t i ve in f ras t ruc tura l ma in tenance and

improvement , and soc ia l and med ica l secur i t y in

th i s marke t .

G loba l i za t ion has invoked the need fo r ind i v idua l

marke ts   o f us ing Soc ia l and In f ras t ruc tura l

expanses fo r ba lanc ing “demand- to - supp l y” when in

the pas t these expenses were func t ion ing as

s toppers toward economic growth because the

overa l l p roduc t i v i t y was l ower and there were many

c losed fo r g loba l i za t ion markets , now the

cond i t i ons a re chang ing the produc t i v i t y i s r i s ing

cons tant l y and the a lmos t a l l marke ts a re eager to

g loba l i ze . O ther ma jor changes a t the moment a re

the Ch ina ’ s en ter ing WTO  and the g loba l

compet i t i on and the cons i s tent economic growth fo r

the l a s t 20 years Ch ina has succeeded . By

a t t rac t ing the ma jor i t y o f   g loba l inves tment and by

becoming economy to wh ich outsourc ing and new

s ta r tup manufac tur ing Ch ina become the indus t r i a l

power tha t might we l l t i p -o f f “ supp l y - to -demand”

in to “demand- to - supp l y” marke t con f igura t ion ; such

processes shor ten a l ready shor ten ing employment

in manufac tur ing to the res t o f the wor ld .

Manufac tur ing , indus t r i a l p roduc t ion cou ld we l l be

cons idered in the foundat ion o f   the modern

Cap i ta l i sm tha t adds the mos t to f i s ca l r eserves o f

mos t o f g loba l economies by h igh l y pa id

employment ; the mos t advantageous   re turn o f

inves tment and the mos t secure bu i ldup o f equ i t y :

the h igher growth o f indus t r i a l p roduc t ion the

h igher l eve l o f equ i t y va lue .

The Mos t Deve loped Economies a re cons idered the

Mos t Indus t r i a l i zed Economies .

In such market env i ronment o f G loba l i za t ion

(outsourc ing and mov ing indus t r i a l p roduc t ion to

l e s s expens i ve economies ) and r i s ing Produc t i v i t y

( improvements in h igh techno log ies and shr ink ing

employment marke tp lace cause th i s r i s ing

produc t i v i t y ) indus t r i a l employment i s shr ink ing

fas t a t US . Very f ew a re the economies o f Mos t

Deve loped ones tha t have succeeded under cur rent

f o rces o f indus t r i a l compet i t i on to sus ta in

indus t r i a l p roduc t ion and keep up the i r indus t r i a l

l eadersh ip : Germany and Japan a re the f ew . The

va lue o f equ i t y a s s ta ted c lose l y re la tes indus t r i a l

p roduc t ion o f the modern day   economics there fore

overa l l such va lue w i l l de te r io ra te in marke ts w i th

de ter io ra t ing indus t r i a l p roduc t ion .

Modern economics does no t t ake in cons idera t ion

the va lue o f a l ready succeeded equ i t y i f economic

indus t r i a l economic growth i s no t ma in ta ined and

on l y shor t t e rm  se l f - ad jus tments a re pro jec t -ab le .

Such pos i t i ons o f equ i t y d i rec t l y re la te the

f inanc ia l s y s tem o f ind i v idua l marke ts   and the

g loba l f inanc ia l s y s tem wh ich l ends on re la t i ve l y

h igh in te res t ra tes and shor t t e rm, and in wh ich

corpora te s t ruc tures a re run  on shor t

t e rm pro f i t ab i l i t y . Indeed equ i t y re la ted

in te l l ec tua l p roper t y and equ i t y re la ted marke t

secur i t y a re l ong te rm  corpora te equ i t y however the

f luc tua t ions o f overa l l marke t equ i t y va lue o f ten

f luc tua te and re f l ec t s corpora te equ i t y va lues

v io l en t l y .

In the pas t when supp l y was l ead ing and mos t

deve loped count r i es were f i rmly ho ld ing onto   the

g loba l indus t r i a l p roduc t ion such f luc tua t ions o f

i nd i v idua l and corpora te equ i t y va lues were

produc t i ve because o f p rompt ing concent ra t ion o f

cap i ta l th an prompt ing consecut i ve economic

growth , th en a l so l e s s deve loped economies were

more l i ke sa te l l i t e s to the mos t deve loped ones

be ing ab le to suppor t f i s ca l r eserves fo r soc ia l and

in f ras t ruc tura l expenses . Even some par t s o f such

indus t r i a l p roduc t ion was deve loped  here and there

in d i f f e rent count r i es the ma jor i t y  was s t i l l kep t by

the mos t indus t r i a l i zed economies . The equ i t y

va lues in mos t indus t r i a l i zed marke ts were

there fore h igher than these o f in l e s s deve loped

markets and these s t i l l a re , except tha t under the

new arous ing cond i t i ons o f g loba l i za t ion and r i s ing

produc t i v i t y indus t r i a l p roduc t ion has been

gradua l l y moved and outsourced to Ch ina , and now

Ind ia , Braz i l and V ie tnam which a re vas t l y

popu la ted count r i es w i th inexpens i ve l abor fo rce

and some good indus t r i a l s t ruc tures , there fore in

t e rms o f va lue o f equ i t y re la ted indus t r i a l

p roduc t ion the mos t de f in i t i ve becomes the i s sue o f

l ack o f such indus t r i a l p roduc t ion to many

economies and i f such i s r educed  or l o s t what

consequent l y  wou ld be the i r va lue o f equ i t y .

In te l l ec tua l p roper t y and market secur i t y va lues

are much more f l ex ib le and adapt i ve th an the rea l

e s ta te equ i t y va lue because in te l l ec tua l p roper t y

and market secur i t y equ i t y re f l ec t s an economy ,

count ry , marke tp lace ach ievements in educa t ion ,

soc ia l and in f ras t ruc tura l deve lopment tha t

requ i res l ong te rm  deve lopment thus count r i es a s

US tha t ve ry we l l r epresent s such succeeded

deve lopment w i l l be hard to be   shut away as ho lders

o f such equ i t i e s . However such super io r i t y i s a

shor t t e rm  prospec t i ve even to the mighty US

because o f the In terne t and the cons tant exchange

o f in format ion and techno log ies , because o f the

outsourc ing and mov ing indus t r i a l p roduc t ion the

new emerg ing economies wou ld pop -up i f these

themse l ves deve lop requ i red in f ras t ruc ture , soc ia l

s t ruc tures , and educa t ion to respond to the

chang ing rea l i t i e s . In case o f Ch ina when in the

pas t i t s communis t soc ia l po l i c i e s were counter

p roduc t i ve to i t s indus t r i a l g rowth and deve lopment

under the mos t recent g loba l i za t ion and r i s ing

produc t i v i t y Ch ina ’ s Soc ia l and In f ras t ruc tura l

expenses proved to be   very p roduc t i ve in ba lanc ing

i t s “demand- to - supp l y” and thus succeed ing

cons i s tent economic growth even when the res t o f

the wor ld went through the Grea t Recess ion , thus

China ’ s equ i t y has r i sen much because o f i t s

economic growth .

Equ i t y va lues a re ve ry sens i t i ve economic

ind ica tors more l i ke cur renc ies ; the d i f f e rence

be tween them i s tha t cur renc ies ’ va lues a re more

re la ted to shor t t e rm  g loba l ad jus tments and

f luc tua t ions when equ i t y works in l onger t e rms .

Equ i t y va lues a re harder to bu i l t : r ea l e s ta te ,

in f ras t ruc ture , in te l l ec tua l p roper t y , marke t

secur i t y equ i t y va lues a re to be  used in the fu ture

as economic ind ica tors fo r a count ry , economy ,

marke t eva lua t ion and underwr i t ing . To use equ i t y

va lues , economics must change the ways these

va lues a re preserved  and enhanced even when

indus t r i a l p roduc t ion i s no t go ing to be   the ma in

economic ind ica tor a s i t has been fo r some t ime .

Economic “ too l s ” a re to be  used to sus ta in equ i t y

va lues in a “as i t comes : a s i t goes” bas i s and

approach , tha t approach d i f f e r s f rom country ,

economy , marke t to count ry , economy , marke t

because o f the i r l e ve l o f deve lopment , menta l i t y

and t rad i t i on . In some Soc ia l and In f ras t ruc tura l

expanses shou ld be   reduced in shor t t e rm   to prompt

economic deve lopment in some the Soc ia l and

In f ras t ruc tura l expenses shou ld be we l l enhanced

to p rompt such economic deve lopment . There a re

some economic “ too l s ” tha t a re fo r a l l and these

a re the expanses fo r p revent ing po l lu t ion and

imp lement ing renewab le energ ies , these a re

economic “ too l s ” f o r ba lanc ing “demand- to - supp l y”

on a g loba l s ca le and a re to be   f inanced by the

g loba l f inanc ia l s t ruc tures o f the Wor ld Bank , IMF

and WTO  through Commerc ia l Banks on a

marg ina l   in te res t ra te o r subs id ies . For such

l end ing paramount shou ld be   the enhancement

o f   bus inesses secur i t y : o f bus iness and cont rac t ing

l aws , o f persona l l i ab i l i t y to corpora te s t ruc tures ,

o f corpora te bond ing . The g loba l f inanc ia l

s t ruc tures shou ld be  g i ven the cont ro l l ing

func t ions over g loba l ba lance o f “demand- to -

supp l y” to p revent f rom in f l a t i on , the i s su ing o f

monetary quant i t i e s power to keep in te res t ra tes

l ow , the ta rge t ing count r i es , economies , marke ts

weak po in t s f o r bu i ld ing equ i t y , the cont ro l l ing

over count r i es , economies , marke ts compl iance w i th

the gu ide l ines and underwr i t ing , the cont ro l l ing

over commerc ia l banks ’ execut ion o f these

gu ide l ines and underwr i t ing matr i x .

The ex i s t ing equ i t y o f count r i es , economies ,

marke ts shou ld be   the foundat ions fo r l ow

i n te res t   l end ing there fore overa l l s ecur i t y shou ld

be   enhanced thus count r i es , economies , marke ts

cou ld become e l ig ib le fo r f inanc ing .

In the new century o f marke t economics indus t r i a l

p roduc t ion shou ld no t be   the on l y way fo r f i s ca l

r eserves but ones equ i t y tha t cou ld be bu i l t by

p roper l y ba lanc ing i t s “poss ib le demand- to - supp l y”

and proper l y and pragmat i ca l l y us ing a l l economic

“ too l s ” to ra i se i t s “ secur i t y ” .

Ch ina ’ s Barb ie Do l l Economics O f t - q u o t e d , D o n g

T a o , a h e a v y w e i g h t e c o n o m i s t a t U B S   i n H o n g K o n g ,

o n c e s a i d : “ A B a r b i e d o l l c o s t s $ 2 0 , b u t C h i n a o n l y

g e t s a b o u t 3 5 c e n t s o f t h a t . ” H e w a s t a l k i n g a b o u t

g l o b a l t r a d e s t a t i s t i c s a t t h e t i m e , b u t t h a t

p r o c l a m a t i o n m i g h t h e l p e x p l a i n w h y C h i n e s e

c o m p a n i e s a r e i n c r e a s i n g l y s h o p p i n g f o r a n d

s u c c e s s f u l l y a c q u i r i n g s t o r i e d b r a n d s , m o s t r e c e n t l y ,

F o r d ’ s V o l v o . T h e l e s s o n : t h e b i g m o n e y i s i n o w n i n g

t h e b r a n d , n o t j u s t m a k i n g i t f o r f o r e i g n c o m p a n i e s ,

w r i t e s t h e A P ’ s W i l l i a m F o r e m a n .

Capac i t y (Equ i t y ) bu i ld ing as a Ch ina ’ s Nat iona l

Po l i c i e s i s a ba lance be tween Free Enterpr i ses

r i s ing Produc t i v i t y and Soc ia l and F i sca l Po l i c i e s

and In f ras t ruc ture

Equi t y , capac i t y and sus ta inab i l i t y   “ T h e c o n c e p t o f

e q u i t y i n t h e c o n t e x t o f c a p a c i t y b u i l d i n g i s n o t s h e e r

e t h i c a l . I t ” s   m i x e d w i t h c e r t a i n p r a c t i c a l s o c i a l a n d

e c o n o m i c m e a n i n g , t h e r e f o r e i n s e p a r a b l e f r o m

s u s t a i n a b i l i t y . E q u i t y h e r e c o n t a i n s   t h r e e f o l d s o f

m e a n i n g s : 1 ) e q u i t y b e t w e e n e x i s t i n g g e n e r a t i o n a n d

f u t u r e g e n e r a t i o n s ; 2 ) E q u i t y b e t w e e n d i f f e r e n t s o c i a l

m e m b e r s u n d e r t h e s a m e g e n e r a t i o n ; a n d 3 ) E q u i t y i n

r e s p o n s i b i l i t y a n d o b l i g a t i o n t h a t d i f f e r e n t s o c i a l

m e m b e r s o r g r o u p s h a v e t o a c h i e v e s u s t a i n a b l e

d e v e l o p m e n t . E q u i t y b e t w e e n g e n e r a t i o n s , t o

m u c h   e x t e n t , i s s u b j e c t t o e t h i c a l a r e a . T h e c u r r e n t

g e n e r a t i o n , i n m o r a l s e n s e , s h o u l d a v o i d “ e a t r i c e f r o m

a n c e s t o r s w h i l e b r e a k f u t u r e g e n e r a t i o n s ” p o t ” . T h e y

h a v e n o r i g h t t o o v e r c o n s u m e   a n d d a m a g e n a t u r a l

e n v i r o n m e n t a n d r e s o u r c e s t h a t t h e f u t u r e g e n e r a t i o n s

w i l l l i v e i n . T h i s p o i n t w a s m a d e   v e r y c l e a r i n t h e W o r l d

C o m m i t t e e o n E n v i r o n m e n t a n d D e v e l o p m e n t R e p o r t . I n

i t s d e f i n i t i o n o f s u s t a i n a b l e d e v e l o p m e n t , t h a t n o t t o

h a r m t h e f u t u r e g e n e r a t i o n s t o m e e t t h e n e e d o f t h e i r

o w n w a s e s t a b l i s h e d   a s a c o n d i t i o n . A l t h o u g h c a p a c i t y

b u i l d i n g o f t h e c u r r e n t g e n e r a t i o n i s h e l p f u l t o e q u i t y

b e t w e e n g e n e r a t i o n s , t h i s e q u i t y h o w e v e r i s n o t t h e

m o s t i m p o r t a n t p r o b l e m t o s o l v e i n t h e a r e a o f c a p a c i t y

b u i l d i n g . T h e e q u i t y b e t w e e n d i f f e r e n t s o c i a l m e m b e r s

u n d e r t h e s a m e g e n e r a t i o n i s c l o s e r r e l a t e d t o

s u s t a i n a b i l i t y . O n t h e o n e h a n d , f r o m t h e p e r s p e c t i v e o f

s o c i a l j u s t i c e , i t ” s   n e c e s s a r y t h a t t h e s o c i e t y t a k e s i n t o

c o n s i d e r a t i o n t h e p o o r ’ s i n t e r e s t s s o a s t o   r e d u c e   t h e

g a p b e t w e e n t h e r i c h a n d t h e p o o r . T h i s w a s

e m p h a s i z e d   i n t h e B r u n d l a n d   R e p o r t . T h a t i s , T h e b a s i c

n e e d s o f t h e p o o r i n t h e w o r l d s h o u l d b e   p u t a t t h e t o p

p r i o r i t y . O n t h e o t h e r h a n d , e q u i t y b e t w e e n d i f f e r e n t

s o c i a l m e m b e r s u n d e r t h e s a m e g e n e r a t i o n i s a l s o a

c o n d i t i o n t o s u s t a i n a b l e d e v e l o p m e n t . I t s e e m s t h a t

t h e r e i s n o t m u c h c o n n e c t i o n b e t w e e n e q u i t y a n d

s u s t a i n a b i l i t y , o r n o t s o d i r e c t . H o w e v e r b y s o m e

a n a l y s i s , c a n y o u f i n d t h a t d i f f e r e n t s o c i a l

m e m b e r s ” u n e q u a l l y   p o s s e s s i o n o f t h e r e s o u r c e s i s a n

i m p o r t a n t r e a s o n f o r d i f f i c u l t s u s t a i n a b l e

d e v e l o p m e n t . T h i s i s b e c a u s e t h a t e v e n t h o u g h t h e

s o c i e t y i n g e n e r a l i s r i c h i n r e s o u r c e s

a v e r a g e l y   s p e a k i n g , y e t t h e g a p i n t e r m o f r e s o u r c e s

p o s s e s s i o n w i l l f o r c e t h e s o c i a l m e m b e r s s h o r t o f

r e s o u r c e s t o o v e r u s e o r a b u s e t h e i r l i m i t e d r e s o u r c e s t o

m a k e a l i v i n g . S i n c e t h e e n v i r o n m e n t a l p r o b l e m s a r e

i n t e r r e l a t e d   a n d i n t e r e f f e c t e d , s o m e p a r t o f

u n s u s t a i n a b i l i t y   i n t h e s o c i e t y w i l l l i k e l y l e a d t o a n

o v e r a l l s u s t a i n a b i l i t y . T h e r e f o r e , e q u i t y i s a l s o a

c o n d i t i o n t o t h e s u s t a i n a b l e d e v e l o p m e n t p r o c e s s .

S u s t a i n a b l e e n v i r o n m e n t a n d e q u i t y o f s o c i a l

r e s p o n s i b i l i t y a n d o b l i g a t i o n h a v e b e e n a n i s s u e t h a t

d e v e l o p e d c o u n t r i e s a n d d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r i e s k e e p

d e b a t i n g o n . W h o h a s p o l l u t e d t h e e n v i r o n m e n t ? W h o i s

m a k i n g t h e e n v i r o n m e n t   w o r s e a n d w o r s e ? T h i s i s a n

i s s u e o f r e s p o n s i b i l i t y a n d o b l i g a t i o n . E v e n t h o u g h

i t ” s   a n i s s u e o f e q u i t y b e t w e e n d i f f e r e n t s o c i a l m e m b e r s

o r g r o u p s u n d e r t h e s a m e g e n e r a t i o n , i n e s s e n c e , i t ” s   a

p r a c t i c a l i s s u e i n i n t e r n a t i o n a l p o l i t i c s a n d e c o n o m i c s .

H o w e v e r , e v e n i f e v e r y s o c i a l m e m b e r o r g r o u p i s

w i l l i n g t o a s s u m e t h e o b l i g a t i o n , d o e s h e h a v e t h e

c a p a c i t y t o r e a l i z e t h e c o m m i t m e n t ? T h e r e y o u f i n d t h a t

e q u i t y , c a p a c i t y a n d s u s t a i n a b i l i t y a r e c l o s e l y r e l a t e d

w i t h o n e a n d a n o t h e r . ”

Sta te Employment i s used  as a ba lance fo r h igher

wages in Non S ta te Employment ins tead o f used by

the Economics o f Cap i ta l i sm (mos t l y and on l y )

Employment Market Forces .

Ⅲ . T h e I n s t i t u t i o n a l T r a n s i t i o n U n d e r t h e D u a l L a b o r

M a r k e t F r o m o u r a n a l y s i s o f t h e f e a t u r e s o f e m p l o y m e n t

a b s o r p t i o n a n d w a g e d e t e r m i n a t i o n i n t h e t w o p a r a l l e l

u r b a n l a b o r m a r k e t s w e c a n m a k e t h e j u d g m e n t   t h a t t h e

l a b o r m a r k e t i n t h e n e w l y e s t a b l i s h e d s e c t o r

d e t e r m i n e d b y m a r k e t f o r c e s r e p r e s e n t t h e f u t u r e

d i r e c t i o n o f d e v e l o p m e n t . I n o t h e r w o r d s , t h e p r o c e s s o f

t r a n s f o r m a t i o n f r o m t h e S O E ” s   e m p l o y m e n t s y s t e m t o

N E S ” s i s t h e p r o c e s s o f t h e f o r m a t i o n o f   t h e l a b o r a n d

w a g e s y s t e m o f t h e m a r k e t e c o n o m y . H o w w i l l t h i s

s y s t e m t r a n s i t i o n t a k e p l a c e ? S i n c e t h e t w o s y s t e m s o f

l a b o r a n d w a g e i n t h e t w o k i n d s o f s e c t o r s d o m i n a t e

t h e i r r e s p e c t i v e l a b o r m a r k e t , t h e c o m p e t i t i o n f o r

l a b o r e r s b e t w e e n t h e s e t w o k i n d s o f e n t e r p r i s e s a n d

t h e r e f o r e   t h e e x p a n s i o n o f   o n e l a b o r m a r k e t a n d t h e

r e d u c e m e n t   o f a n o t h e r w i l l r e a l i z e t h e t r a n s i t i o n f r o m

o n e s y s t e m t o a n o t h e r . T h i s i s t h e f i r s t f o r m t h a t t h e

t r a n s i t i o n o f   e m p l o y m e n t s y s t e m w i l l t a k e . I n t h e

p r o c e s s o f e x p a n s i o n a n d r e d u c e m e n t s   o f t h e t w o l a b o r

m a r k e t s , c a u s e d b y t h e c o m p e t i t i o n b e t w e e n t h e t w o

k i n d s o f e n t e r p r i s e s , t h e t r a d i t i o n a l s y s t e m o f t h e s t a t e

s e c t o r w i l l r e s p o n d a c c o r d i n g l y , n a m e l y b y i n t r o d u c i n g

r e f o r m i n o r d e r t o   s u r v i v e i n t h e c o m p e t i t i o n a n d s h i f t

t o a m a r k e t e c o n o m y . I n t h i s w a y t h e s e c o n d f o r m o f

s y s t e m t r a n s i t i o n t a k e s p l a c e . F i r s t , w e w i l l l o o k i n t o

h o w t h e f i r s t s y s t e m t r a n s i t i o n t h a t i s c h a r a c t e r i z e d   b y

e m p l o y m e n t t r a n s f e r s b e t w e e n t h e t w o k i n d s o f

e n t e r p r i s e s o c c u r s a n d t h e f e a t u r e s o f i t s

t r a n s f o r m a t i o n . I f w e s u p p o s e t h e u r b a n l a b o r m a r k e t i s

c l o s e d   o f f f o r o u t s i d e r s , l a b o r e r s a r e d i s t r i b u t e d   m e r e l y

b e t w e e n t h e S O E s   a n d N E S s . C h a r t 1 i n d i c a t e s t h e

c o m p e t i t i v e r e l a t i o n s b e t w e e n t h e s e t w o s e c t o r s a s w e l l

a s t h e p r o c e s s o f e x p a n s i o n a n d r e d u c e m e n t   o f t h e t w o

l a b o r m a r k e t s . T h e h o r i z o n t a l a x i s s t a n d s f o r t h e l a b o r

v o l u m e . F r o m O 1   t o t h e r i g h t , t h e l a b o r v o l u m e o f t h e

S O E s   c a n b e   m e a s u r e d ; f r o m O 2 t o t h e l e f t t h a t o f t h e

N E S s c a n b e   m e a s u r e d . T h e d o m a i n b e t w e e n O 1   a n d

O 2 s t a n d s   f o r t o t a l s u p p l y o f l a b o r . T h e v e r t i c a l a x i s

s t a n d s f o r t h e m a r g i n a l p r o d u c t i v i t y o f l a b o r s o r t h e

w a g e l e v e l . T h e c u r v e t i l t i n g d o w n w a r d s f r o m t h e r i g h t

t o t h e l e f t i s t h e c u r v e o f m a r g i n a l p r o d u c t i v i t y o f

l a b o r s i n t h e N E S s . I t t i l t s b e c a u s e t h e i r m a r g i n a l

p r o d u c t i v i t y o f l a b o r s d e c r e a s e s w i t h t h e i n c r e a s e o f

t h e e m p l o y e d l a b o r ” s   s i z e . A t t h e s a m e t i m e , t h e

m a r g i n a l p r o d u c t i v i t y o f l a b o r s i n t h e S O E s   i n c r e a s e s

w i t h t h e n u m b e r o f w o r k e r s l e a v i n g t h e i r

e n t e r p r i s e s . T h u s , t h e c u r v e t i l t i n g d o w n w a r d s f r o m t h e

l e f t t o t h e r i g h t i s t h e c u r v e o f m a r g i n a l p r o d u c t i v i t y o f

l a b o r s i n t h e S O E s . T h e c u r v e t h a t i s s t e e p e r , i s t h e

c u r v e o f m a r g i n a l p r o d u c t i v i t y o f l a b o r s i n t h e

S O E s   u n d e r t h e a s s u m p t i o n t h a t t h e i r w a g e l e v e l i s

d e t e r m i n e d b y t h e   m a r k e t ( s e e n a m e i n q u o t a t i o n

m a r k s ) . I n t h i s s i t u a t i o n , t h i s c u r v e i n t e r s e c t s a t t h e

p o i n t A w i t h t h e c u r v e o f t h e m a r g i n a l p r o d u c t i v i t y o f

l a b o r s o f N E S s d u r i n g t h e i r e m p l o y e d l a b o r v o l u m e

e x p a n s i o n . T h i s m e a n s t h e w a g e l e v e l o f t h e t w o k i n d s

o f e n t e r p r i s e s a r e e q u a l t o t h e p o i n t W a , a n d t h e

e x p a n s i o n o f   l a b o r s ” v o l u m e   i n N E S s n o l o n g e r

c o n t i n u e s . T h e n t h e l a b o r ” s   v o l u m e i n t h e S O E s   i s

O 1 A   w h i l e t h a t o f N E S s i s A O 2 . S i n c e t h e S O E s   a r e

o v e r s t a f f e d   a n d w a g e i s n o t d e t e r m i n e d b y t h e m a r g i n a l

p r o d u c t i v i t y o f l a b o r s , h o w e v e r , t h e i r c u r v e o f m a r g i n a l

p r o d u c t i v i t y s h o u l d b e   m o r e f l a t ( m i g h t b e a h o r i z o n t a l

b e e l i n e w i t h o u t e l a s t i c i t y ) , i . e . t h e c u r v e w h o s e n a m e

i s w i t h o u t q u o t a t i o n m a r k s t h a t i n t e r s e c t s a t t h e p o i n t

B w i t h t h e c u r v e o f t h e m a r g i n a l p r o d u c t i v i t y o f l a b o r s

i n t h e N E S s . I t i s a t t h i s p o i n t t h a t N E S s s t o p

e x p a n d i n g t h e i r l a b o r v o l u m e , h e r e t h e w a g e r a t e i s W b .

A s t h e w a g e i s d e t e r m i n e d i n s t i t u t i o n a l l y N E S s n e e d t o

p a y h i g h e r w a g e t o a t t r a c t l a b o r e r s ; a n d t h e

t r a n s f o r m a t i o n o f   t h e l a b o r e r s f r o m t h e S O E s   t o N E S s

b e c o m e s s m a l l e r . I n t h e r e a l l a b o r e r ” s   d i s t r i b u t i o n , t h e

l a b o r e r ” s   v o l u m e e m p l o y e d b y t h e S O E s   i s O 1 B   i n s t e a d

o f O 1 A , t h a t f o r n e w l y e s t a b l i s h e d e n t e r p r i s e s i s

B O 2   i n s t e a d o f A O 2 . S o t h e N E S s a r e l i m i t e d   b y t h e i r

a b i l i t y t o p a y h i g h e r w a g e , t h e d i f f e r e n c e b e t w e e n l a b o r

v o l u m e t h e y r e a l l y e m p l o y   a n d t h a t t h e y s h o u l d

e m p l o y   i s i n d i c a t e d b y t h e   d i s t a n c e b e t w e e n A a n d B i n

t h e c h a r t . C h a r t 1 L a b o r T r a n s f e r s b e t w e e n T w o S e c t o r s

O u r t h e o r e t i c a l a n a l y s i s r e f l e c t   t h e r e a l i t y

o f   t r a n s f o r m a t i o n o f l a b o r e r s b e t w e e n t h e t w o s e c t o r s .

O n e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c o f N E S s i s v e r y l a b o r i n t e n s e . I t i s

n o t f e a s i b l e   f o r N E S s t o p a y v e r y h i g h w a g e t o a t t r a c t

e m p l o y e e s f r o m S O E s   i f N E S s a r e t o k e e p t h e i r

a d v a n t a g e i n l a b o r e r ” s   r e s o u r c e . S o c o m p e t i t i o n o f

e m p l o y m e n t i s l i m i t e d b y t h e   s c o p e o f t h e i r a b i l i t y t o

p a y h i g h w a g e s . W i t h i n t h i s s c o p e , h o w e v e r , N E S s c a n

c e r t a i n l y a t t r a c t r e l a t i v e l y h i g h q u a l i f i e d w o r k e r s t o

f o r m t h e b a c k b o n e o f t h e i r e n t e r p r i s e s w i t h o u t t a k i n g

c o s t i n t o a c c o u n t . A s i t i s n o t p o s s i b l e f o r t h e N E S s t o

o b t a i n   a l l t h e l a b o r e r s t h e y n e e d f r o m t h e s t a t e s e c t o r

i t i s n e c e s s a r y t o h a v e o t h e r c h a n n e l s t o f i n d l a b o r . I f

N E S s h a d n o t h a v e o t h e r s u c h c h a n n e l s , t h i s s e c t o r

w o u l d n o t h a v e b e e n a b l e t o d e v e l o p t o t h e p r e s e n t

s t a g e . O u r a n a l y s i s a b o v e w a s m a d e   u n d e r t h e

a s s u m p t i o n t h a t t h e u r b a n l a b o r m a r k e t w a s c l o s e d   o f f

f o r o u t s i d e r s , i n o u r f u r t h e r a n a l y s i s w e w i l l g i v e u p

t h i s a s s u m p t i o n . N E S s o b t a i n h i g h l y q u a l i f i e d w o r k e r s

f r o m t h e S O E s b y p a y i n g h i g h e r w a g e i n o r d e r t o   s a t i s f y

t h e i r n e e d s f o r t e c h n o l o g y . T h e o t h e r s o u r c e i s l a b o r e r s

w i t h c o m m o n s k i l l s f r o m t h e r u r a l a r e a s .

China has d i scovered tha t g loba l i za t ion and

in te rna t iona l compet i t i on work in i t s f avour .

Grea t expor ta t ions “Ch ina over takes Germany

t o become the b igges t expor te r o f a l l ”   “ C H I N A ’ S

r i s e h a s l o n g a p p e a r e d i n e x o r a b l e . D e s p i t e a d e c l i n e

i n t o t a l w o r l d t r a d e , C h i n a h a s s e e n i t s e x p o r t s f a l l

l e s s t h a n t h o s e o f o t h e r b i g p o w e r s . A n e w r e p o r t b y

t h e W o r l d T r a d e O r g a n i s a t i o n c a l c u l a t e s t h a t t h e t o t a l

v a l u e o f m e r c h a n d i s e e x p o r t s f e l l b y a s t a g g e r i n g 2 3 %

i n 2 0 0 9 . A m o n g t h e t o p t e n e x p o r t e r s , J a p a n ’ s

s h i p m e n t s w e r e w o r s t a f f e c t e d ( f a l l i n g b y 2 6 % ) .

A l t h o u g h C h i n a ’ s e x p o r t s a l s o f e l l ( b y 1 6 % ) , t h e

c o n t r a c t i o n w a s l e s s p a i n f u l t h a n i n G e r m a n y ( d o w n

b y 2 2 % ) . A s a r e s u l t C h i n a i s n o w t h e s i n g l e l a r g e s t

e x p o r t e r . T h e g l o b a l d o w n t u r n h a s h e l p e d t o r e d u c e

g l o b a l i m b a l a n c e s ; t h e l e a d i n g t h r e e e x p o r t e r s

a c c o u n t e d f o r 2 6 . 7 % o f t o t a l w o r l d e x p o r t s i n 2 0 0 9

d o w n f r o m a t h i r d o f t h e t o t a l i n 2 0 0 8 . T h e

W T O   e x p e c t s t r a d e t o r e b o u n d b y n e a r l y 1 0 % t h i s

y e a r . ”

The Rea l Reason Ch ina Res i s t s on the RMB “ A s I

s e e i t , C h i n a i s a s k i n g a q u e s t i o n t o w h i c h t h e r e i s n o

e a s y a n s w e r ; w h a t r i g h t d o e s t h e U S h a v e t o l e c t u r e

a n y o n e o n e c o n o m i c m a t t e r s n o w , h a v i n g p l a y e d s o

l a r g e a p a r t i n c a u s i n g t h e c u r r e n t g l o b a l r e c e s s i o n

t h r o u g h l o o s e m o n e t a r y p o l i c y , p o o r r i s k m a n a g e m e n t

b y s o m e o f o u r m o s t p r e s t i g i o u s c o m p a n i e s a n d

m o n u m e n t a l r e g u l a t o r y f a i l u r e s ? T h e y a r e r e s p o n d i n g

t o t h e c o n t i n u e d U S b e l i e f i n A m e r i c a n

e x c e p t i o n a l i s m , t h a t w e c a n d o w h a t e v e r w e d o , r i g h t

o r w r o n g , a n d i g n o r e t h e c r i t i c i s m s a n d d e m a n d s o f

o t h e r c o u n t r i e s w h o o f t e n b e a r t h e c o n s e q u e n c e s o f

o u r a c t i o n s , w h i l e w e c o n t i n u e t o i n s i s t o n o u r r i g h t

t o c r i t i c i z e a n d m a k e d e m a n d s o n t h e m . A s B r a d

D e l o n g a n d S t e p h e n C o h e n h a v e p o i n t e d o u t , t h e U S

s i m p l y n o l o n g e r h a s t h e e c o n o m i c c l o u t t o g e t a w a y

w i t h t h i s a n y l o n g e r , a n d w h o b e t t e r t h a n C h i n a t o

s t a n d u p t o i t ?

The prob lem o f the Res t o f the Wor ld i s the

ideo log ica l a lmos t b l ind fo l l ow ing o f Marx ’ s ’ “Das

Kap i ta l ” f inanc ia l s y s tem cont ro l l ed by the ru les o f

“ t r i ck le -down” Cap i ta l i sm tha t happen to be  qu i te

imprac t i ca l even when th i s s y s tem bu i l t Nor th

Amer icas , Grea t Br i ta in , F rance and Germany : Grea t

Powers env ied by anyone in the Wor ld , however

l ook ing in H i s tory th ings somet ime have to change ;

i t happened to Rome , Pers ia , V i c tor ian Empi res ,

and e tc . , thus change cou ld be cons idered as

ongo ing now a f fec t ing d i f f e rent count r i es and

markets in d i f f e rent ways , bu t the t rend i s qu i te

s imi la r ( In the Wor ld shor t t e rm  h i s tory : once

mos t l y agr i cu l tura l l y d r i ven GDP changed in to

mos t l y indus t r i a l p roduc t ion dr i ven GDP , now i t i s

about to change in to mos t l y “a r t i f i c i a l l y ” ba lanced

“Demand- to -Supp ly” Market Economics GDP not the

ideo log ica l one fo l l owed as a mantra by the wes t ,

however i f g loba l economy does no t adapt to the

new upcoming w i th the g loba l i za t ion cha l l enges

very hur t fu l consequences may occur ) .

Joshua Konov 2010