1. 1 FUTURETRONIUM,The Revolution II! by Andres AgostiniV er s i o n 1 0 0 . 0 D e c e m b e r / 1 4 /2 0 1 0Unabridged version! ( F o r t h c o m i n g v e r s i o n s , a s w e l l a s o th e r r e s o u r c e s , w i l l b e announcedvia www.twitter.com/FuturetroniumUntil indicated otherwise via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium , T h e F u t u r e t r o n i u m B o o k w i l l b e a n on g o i n g i n i t i a t i v e a n d p er i o d i c a l l y u p g r a d e d , r e f i n e d a n d ex t e n d e d . )(ThisProprietary Book mayber e p r o d u c edfor noncommercial purposes if it is copied in its entirety, i n c l u d i n g t h i s n o t i c e . Pl e a s e r e c a l l t h a t i f i t i s c o p i e d in its entirety, including this notice.) 2. 2 # 1 F U T U R E T R O N I U M , A N D T H E A D M I N I S T R A T I O N AN D A P P L I C A T I O N O F T H E S C I E N T I F I C M E T HO D W I T H O U T I N N U EN D O S AN D I N C R E S C E N D O A S F L U I D P O I N T S O F INFLECTIONSASCERTAIN T H ATTHEMORROW ISA THING OF THE PAST. #2 FUTURETRONIUM, SUBSEQUENTLY, THERE IS NOW AN DHEREAVAILABLE THEU N A BR I D G E D , AUTHORITATIVE ELICITATIONANDELUCIDATION OF ACTIONABLEK N O W L ED G EFROM AND FORTHE I N C E S S AN T L Y AR R H Y T H M I C , A B R U P T , A N T A G O N I S T I C , MORDANT, CAUSTIC,AN D ANARCHISTIC FUTURE, AS WELL AS THEC O N T EN T I O U SINTERRELATIONSHIP B E T W E E N S U C H F U T U R E AN D T H E P R E S EN T . #3 FUTURETRONIUM, ARADICALYET RIGOROUS STRONG-SENSE AND C R I T I C O - CR E A T I V EFUTURES T H I N K I N G , S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O Q U I N T E S S EN T I A L U N D ER S T A N D I N G O F T H E C O M P L E X I T I E S , S U B T L E T I E S , AN D I N T R I C A C I E S , A S W E L L A S T H E O P P O R T U N I T I E S T O BE EXPLOITED OUT OF THEDRIVINGFORCES INSTILLING AND INFLICTING PERPETUAL CHANGE INTO TWENTIETH-ONE CENTURY . 3. 3 By ( c) C o p y r i g h t 2 0 1 0 b y A n d r e s A g o s t i n i A l l R i g h t s R es e r v e d W h a t d o e s n t g e t u n d e r s t o o d i n t h i s a g e b e c o m e s a ma j o rliability. To this end Henry Kissingers quotation is timely. E n s u i n g : A n i gn o r e d i s s u e i s a n i n v i t a t i on t o a p r o b l e m. [ 1 2 ] Forget what you know and just believe in what you see and sense. I t s t i m e f o r y o u t o e x p l o r e , c on c e iv e , d e v e l o p , d i s c o v e r a n d instituteyour own Futures exploitingtheUPSIDESand D OW N S I D E S o f t h e s u r r e p t i t i o u s l y c ov e r t a n d i g n o r e d o n e s u n l e s s y ou w i l l m a k e y o u r s e l f e n s l a v e d b y c i r c u m s t a n c e s b e y o n d y o u r c o n t r o l , r e g a r d l e s s o f y o u r p o w e r s . K i n d l y p l e a s e , if y o u d like, make your choices wisely and by you and for yourself! T h e u n d e r s i g n e d i s i n n o wa y a t t e m p t i n g t o b e e i t h e r a s e e r , o r a soothsayer, diviner, foreteller, or prophet, who can foretell the future. In managing corporate and operational risks of many diverse natures, one needs not only to identify and recognize h a z a r d s b u t t o a n t i c i p a t e , v e r y e a r l y o n , f u t u r e a n d a dv a n c e d d i s r u p t i o n p o t e n t i a l , d o i n g s o i n t h e t r a d i t i o n o f r i g o r o u s f u tu r e s 4. 4 studies coupled with other disciplines. In the last analysis and v e r y s e r i o u s l y s t a t e d , t h e v ie w h e r e o f f e r s a l u c r a t iv e a n d a u se f u l l e a r n i n g a n d p ra c t i c a l t o o l t h a t r e qu i r e s f r o m p r a c t i t i o n e r s m u c h better p r e pa r e d n e s s beforesystemic volatility, universal uncertainty and ubiquitous change and ambiguity. T h e o b j e c t i v e i s t h e u n de r s t a n d i n g t h e c o m p l e x a n d s u b t l e n a t u r e and progression of many explosive driving forces that shape and r e - s h a p e t h e k n o w n a n d u n k n o w n w o r l d . F u tu r i s t s s p e a k , o u t o f b r i e f s y n t h e s i s , a b o u t t r e n d s a n d t e n d e n c ie s a n d p r o p e n s i t i e s o f s o m e o f s a i d d r i v i n g f o r c e s . T he s e d r i v i n g f o r c e s a re n o t o n l y m e g a , d i v e r s e d y n a m o s t h a t o u t p u t c h a n g e b u t a l s o c ha l l e n g e s , opportunities and benefits for those who are prepared and paying incessantly great detailed attention. T h e s e d r i v i n g f o rc e s , i n c i d e n t a l l y , e x p e l : ( 1) O p e n - e n d e d c h a n g e s , (2) Preemptive changes, and (3) All-out war-waging (that is, boundaryless) changes. You manage risks to increase your benefits and opportunities and t o a u g m e n t t h e r e s i l i e n c y a n d a da p t a b i l i t y o f t h e s u s t a i n a b i l i t y o f said benefits and opportunities. In Transformative and Integrative R i s k M a n a g e m e n t ( be l o w ) , m a n a g i n g r i s k s n o t t o b r i n g a b o u t i l lu s i o n s ofmeaning arenothing elsethantheoptimum 5. 5 management of the upsides and downsides embedded in the driving forces. Subsequently,the material in thisbookranges overmany disciplines, as well as the work of many outstanding scientists. F u r t h e r m o r e , p r e s e n t d r i v i n g f o r c e s ( sc i e n c e , t e c h n o l o g y , s o c i e t y , p o l i t i c s a n d e c o n o m y ) a r e c hu r n i n g i n s u r m o u n t a b l e a m o u n t s o f unprecedented changewith