EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN...

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EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest POB 38, [email protected] Possibilities of using satellite information in agrometeorology; advantages and limitations

Transcript of EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN...

Page 1: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

ZOLTÁN DUNKEL

OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological ServiceH-1525 Budapest POB 38, [email protected]

Possibilities of using satellite

information in agrometeorology;

advantages and limitations

Page 2: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

WMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

AGROMETEOROLOGY

MICROCLIMATEplant stand-canopy relief-configuration of

terrain

METEOROLOGICAL HAZARDSforest fire

droughtpests and diseases

CROP PRODUCTIONBIOMASS AND YIELD ESTIMATION

plant-soil-weather modelproduction model

Page 3: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

The possible us of remote sensing

technique parametrisation and validation of

agrometeorological modelsyield estimationfluxes: radiation, sensible and latent heatevapotranspiration

climate change detectionclimate impact investigationphenological observation

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERSWMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

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EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

WMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

Limitation:no or partly covering image

cloud coverno on time information

low frequencyresolution

the size of object too small

Page 5: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

WMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

MARS Mission

Ensure Internal European Commission technical competence in the field of administration and control of area based aid declarations and rural zones (MARS-PAC project - 1992)

Independent and timely production estimates for the major European crops (MARS-STAT project - 1989)

Adequate warnings on food security for world-wide regions at risk (MARS food-Aid project - 2001)

Page 6: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

Application of MSG

Simulated values of the Thermal Flux (outgoing long wave radiation),

emitted Thermal Flux in W/m2 units

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERSWMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

Page 7: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERSWMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

Sea surface temperature obtained from METEOSAT data

Page 8: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

Evapotranspiration data obtained from METEOSAT data

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERSWMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

Page 9: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

WMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

Radiation map for Hungary, METEOSAT

A. Rimóczy-Paál, J. Kerény

Page 10: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

WMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

Vegetation index map for HungaryA. Rimóczy-Paál, J. Kerény

Page 11: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

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Yield estimation trial, using statistical methodsA. Rimóczy-Paál

Page 12: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

WMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

NDVI map using NOAA/AVHRR images

after atmospheric correction

Page 13: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

Búza 2000

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

Megyék

Rel

atív

hib

a analóg 4

analóg 6

regr 4

regr 6

Yield estimation, wheat, differences per counties

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERSWMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

Page 14: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

Daily evapotranspiration calculation scheme

ET = Rn + A + B·(TA – TC)

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERSWMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

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EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

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We need a ground-truth-continuous reference

station-expeditions

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Surface temperature values along the scanning route

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERSWMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

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EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

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LST, NDVI, ET01 July 1998LST: 290 - 310 KNDVI: 0,1 - 0,7ET: 5,5 - 7,9 mm/day

Page 18: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

Comparison of the measured, calculated,

and satellite born daily ET values

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERSWMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

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EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

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Pan A Antal Satellite A-Antal A-Satellite

mm/day mm/day mm/day %% %

1998.06.03 5,7 5,7 8,1 100 140 1391998.06.10 6,1 6,1 7,9 100 128 1301998.07.01 4,1 3,8 4,9 92 120 1291998.07.23 8,3 8,2 7,9 98 96 971998.07.25 13,2 12,9 12,6 98 96 971998.07.29 1,2 1,2 1,8 102 141 1371998.07.31 6,4 6,5 8,1 101 124 1231998.08.01 6,3 6,5 7,8 102 123 1201998.08.02 7,6 7,7 8,6 99 111 1111998.08.04 15, 15, 16,3 100 108 1081998.08.07 5,9 5,9 8,6 101 147 1451998.08.09 8,1 7,1 8,5 88 106 1191998.08.10 9,2 8,1 9,0 88 98 1121998.08.12 6,8 6,9 8,5 101 124 1221998.08.13 8,1 7,8 8,2 96 101 105

Page 20: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

WMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

Limitations:- real time data access, no problem

- frequency, no problem, MSG very frequent, every 1/4

hour

- resolution, yes, sometimes too rough

and what about the phenological observation?

CONCLUDING:

Page 21: EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland ZOLTÁN DUNKEL OMSZ -Hungarian Meteorological Service H-1525 Budapest.

EXPERT MEETING ON WEATHER, CLIMATE AND FARMERS

WMO/COST718 15-18 November 2004, Geneva, Switzerland

Many thanks for your attention!