Emerging Patterns of Innovation (Fumio Kodama, 1995)
Click here to load reader
-
Upload
pavan-soni -
Category
Business
-
view
169 -
download
2
Transcript of Emerging Patterns of Innovation (Fumio Kodama, 1995)
![Page 1: Emerging Patterns of Innovation (Fumio Kodama, 1995)](https://reader038.fdocuments.net/reader038/viewer/2022100501/55a847ff1a28abae108b46d4/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Page 1 of 7
Emerging Patterns of
Innovation: Sources of Japan’s
Technological Edge
Fumio Kodama (1995)
Table of Contents
Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 1
Manufacturing: From producing to knowledge creation .............................................................................. 2
Business diversification: From spin-off to tickle-up process ........................................................................ 3
R&D Competition: From dominant-design to inter-industry competition.................................................... 5
Product development: From pipeline to demand articulation ....................................................................... 5
Innovation Patterns: From breakthrough to technology fusion ..................................................................... 6
Societal Diffusion: From technical evolution to institutional co-evolution .................................................. 7
Appendix ....................................................................................................................................................... 7
Introduction
The conspiracy that the Japanese were blamed for was nothing more that the spontaneous creation of new
institutions by the newcomers. The German expansion in late 19th century was owing to superiority of
methods that integrated technology and institutions. Japan has undergone a techno-paradigm shift, on
following accounts (summarized in Table 1):
Manufacturing: R&D expenses becoming greater than equipment expenses in most Japanese
manufacturing. They are shifting from production to knowledge creation. The view of company
moves from information processing to being a living organization
Business diversification: Breadth of research in Japan has increased more than the depth. Japan
has adopted the co-development of product and process (or production) technologies. The
diversification in high-technology happened from low-end applications to more sophisticated
application, rather than from one low-end to another (called ‘trickle-up’ diversification). The firm
first masters the technology, and then does capital investment. Tickle-up process helps to extend
firm’s core competencies outside its conventional domain.
R&D competition: Shift from dominant-design to surf-riding approach signifying diverging
patterns (predatory patterns) rather than converging patterns of technological evolution. Also the
![Page 2: Emerging Patterns of Innovation (Fumio Kodama, 1995)](https://reader038.fdocuments.net/reader038/viewer/2022100501/55a847ff1a28abae108b46d4/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Page 2 of 7
competition is framed as inter-industry (hidden enemies), rather than inter-firm. This calls for
horizontal coordination between R&D, technology development and marketing.
Product development: The most important capability in hi-tech industry is to be able to convert
demand from a vague set of distant wants into well-defined products, a process called demand
articulation. This involves translating market data into a product concepts, and then decomposing
it into development projects.
Innovation patterns: The view of innovation is shifting from breakthrough-led to fusion-led. This
fusion is possible through joint-operations amongst different industries, brings about gradual
growth to those industries, promoted through industrial, rather than defense policies, and requires
synergies between different functions.
Societal diffusion: Diffusion in high-tech industry happens through institutional evolution rather
than through technical adjustment process; it is epidemic in nature, where institutions and
technologies co-evolve.
Manufacturing: From producing to knowledge creation
In Japanese companies, R&D investment has increased steadily to as high as 80% more than capital
investment. They have moved from goods-producing organizations to knowledge-creating organizations
that produce continuous innovation. This can be attributed to soft automation (factory robots), and
adoption of flexible manufacturing systems. Between 1985 and 1987, on average, Japanese large
companies spent 29% more on R&D than on plant and equipment.
The change from capital heavy to R&D heavy investment has happened through three distinct phases: 1)
technology import (1961-1975), technology development for economic growth (1975-1985), and
transition towards knowledge creation (1985 onwards).
Technology importation: R&D for digestion
In 1964, MITI surveyed that on average Japanese industry requires 28% of R&D investment to digest the
imported technology. Government played an important role in regulating technology import. Priority was
given to import of intermediate goods, at the cost of consumer products. MITI released a list of 33 desired
technologies in 1950, mostly including heavy and chemical industry. Government’s role was to avoid
excessive competition among Japanese firms and realize economies of scale. By setting minimum
production quantity, government gave away licenses to companies. For each license in heavy industry,
Japan created new companies, each time with partnership with a different foreign major. However, this
led to fragmentation of the industry. Government has a major role to play in heavy and chemical
industries, not so much in hi-tech industries.
During the period from 1960 to 1970, R&D expenditures were closely correlated to technology import
payment, showing firms’ efforts to absorb incoming technology. Starting 70s, the movement happened
towards domestic use and export.
R&D for economic growth from 1975 to 1985
The relations between R&D and economic growth is as follows: new technologies produced by R&D
induce new requirements for capital investment; increased capacity brought about by capital investment
leads to increase in production; increases in production provoke growth of the entire economy; high
![Page 3: Emerging Patterns of Innovation (Fumio Kodama, 1995)](https://reader038.fdocuments.net/reader038/viewer/2022100501/55a847ff1a28abae108b46d4/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Page 3 of 7
economic growth makes increases in R&D expenditure possible (p.31). Analysis shows that the multiplier
effect of R&D investment on economic growth has grown since the period from 1975.
R&D in the transition period following 1985
Both fabrication companies and material companies saw an increase in R&D to capital expense during the
period starting 1985, though more in fabrication than in material.
Flexible Manufacturing Systems (FMS)
An FMS is a computer-controlled group of semi-independent workstations that are linked by automated
material handling systems. This enabled small batch production for a diversified product range. It shifted
mass production to small range of batches and products. Trends such as precision in mechanical
technology, electronics and microprocessors, greater demand for quality, and advent of robotics
popularized adoption of FMS. This further was prompted by intense competition. Performance of FMS as
compared to mass-production is measures in terms of process accuracy, quality control, maintenance, and
skill requirement.
Relieved from a focus on internal processes, the workers shifted their attention to building assets like
systems and softwares for making better programmed and better managed equipments.
Managing the knowledge creating company
The firms are no longer machines for ‘information process’, but are knowledge creating. Managers in
Japanese firms adopt slogans, symbols, cartoons and metaphors for their businesses, to ensure that
employees share a common vision of the firm. Symbolism and figurative language are important means to
articulate and spread tacit knowledge. This helps build clear relationships between business conception,
corporate organization and technology strategy in Japanese companies. For example, NEC Corporation
adopts the C&C (Computers and Communication) symbol and tree and sun metaphor as corporate
identity; Toshiba Corporation adopts E&E (Energy and Electronics); Matsushita adopts the tap-water
metaphor as supply of electronics to customers; Sony focused on beating Kodak while developing digital
photography technology on a motto of ‘finest sound and picture’; Sharp Corporation adopts decentralized
R&D and multi-divisional tasks forces to work closely with customers; Sumitomo Electric Industries
adopts the strategy of diversification through innovation and uses ‘bamboo garden’ metaphor.
Japanese companies use logos and figurative languages widely. They have a very high horizontal
coordination between operating units based on knowledge sharing rather than skill specialization; as
compared to western model of hierarchical coordination. Methods used include: kanban system, and
figurative language, rather than specifics.
However, Japanese need a culture of Innovation, and not just process automation and more efficiency.
Business diversification: From spin-off to tickle-up process According to classic view on diversification, a technology is first developed for high-end purpose and
then extended to less technologically demanding low-end goods that can be produced at mass production.
Japanese on the other hand, have invested in co-development of products and process technologies. Here
a localized technical knowledge is first applied to a less demanding low-end market, and after mastering
the technology and production experience, it is taken to high-end of the market. This ‘trickle-up’ means
movement of technology from consumer-end to high-end.
![Page 4: Emerging Patterns of Innovation (Fumio Kodama, 1995)](https://reader038.fdocuments.net/reader038/viewer/2022100501/55a847ff1a28abae108b46d4/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Page 4 of 7
In Japan, mature industries are diversifying upstream, thereby offsetting decreased exports of finished
product with increased exports of manufacturing machinery and equipment. Trickle-up strategy is owing
to unique characteristics of the technology involved. Examples include: 1) LCD was invented by RCA in
1967, and later Sharp developed the technology for usage in calculators, and later into other sophisticated
devices to become a world leader towards 90s; 2) in carbon fiber, Japan’s Toray extended the technology
from golf clubs to airframes, after it was developed by Union Carbide in 1959, to become world’s largest
maker of carbon fiber. Again technology trajectory and market demand shaped the trickle up
diversification; and 3) again in Amino Acids, trickle-up happened as a result of unique developmental
patterns of bioscience.
In trends of diversification, based on R&D expended outside a firm’s principle product fields, textile
industry was the most and motor vehicles industry was the least diversified in Japan during 80s. It is seen
that diversification is a survival strategy for mature industries. The firms following upstream
diversification were textiles, pulp and paper products, and shipbuilding in order to maintain their
international competitiveness; those following downstream diversification include petroleum and coal
products, iron and steel, nonferrous metals, and precision equipment, as a result of wide application sin
fast growing fields. Drugs and medicines diversified both upstream and downstream, and chemical
products diversify horizontally (owing to undirected nature of research).
A drastic growth in an industry can be fostered only by downstream diversification, through the trickle-up
process, as a component supplier gradually finds wider applications in downstream product areas. This
pattern is unique for high-tech industry, including electronics, precision, and pharmaceuticals. This
pattern in accentuated by the industry having a clear research direction. Management in Japan can
implement a product lifecycle from development to commercialization in electronics, but not in
chemicals, and hence have experienced greater success in such industries than in chemicals.
Japanese companies don’t seem the follow the strategy of abandoning a matured technology, instead
upstream diversification helps keep their competitive edge. Upstream diversification is negatively related
to exports growth.
Managing trickle-up diversification
Trickle-up is defined as ‘a localized technical change produced by a component supplier will gradually
find wider applications in its downstream product areas’ (p.95).
Japanese are good at managing technical risk in a conservative, well-organized manner. A trickle-up
strategy helps in several ways: 1) divides technical and market risk into small elements, with short
product lifecycles and faster feedback; 2) pays attention to production process; 3) helps in continued
scanning of technology, and 4) promotes internal diversification.
Four typologies of business strategies exist:
Market-focused strategy (broad defined market, but move into any technology to serve the
market, e.g. Sumitomo as supplier of communication cable)
Technology-focused strategy (build expertise in select core technologies, e.g. NEC Corporation
with a focus on personal computer)
Product-focus strategy (focus on discrete products with functional attributes defined from end-
customer perspective, can be sold to wide range of users, e.g. Sony Corporation delivering
complex products to sophisticated customers)
![Page 5: Emerging Patterns of Innovation (Fumio Kodama, 1995)](https://reader038.fdocuments.net/reader038/viewer/2022100501/55a847ff1a28abae108b46d4/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Page 5 of 7
Customer-relationship focused (deal with few customers in a monopolized market, e.g. Tokyo
Electric Power Company)
The trickle-up process depicts preference Japanese managers have of incremental engineering
improvements over radical breakthroughs to stimulate corporate growth. The view innovation process as a
spiral. It starts with a market opportunity or technical invention, and move outwards through
development, production, design and new process-technology.
R&D Competition: From dominant-design to inter-industry competition A dominant design enforces standardization so that production or other complementary economies can be
sought. Effective competition takes place on the basis of cost and scale, as well as product performance.
However, recent advent hi-tech firms have been more of diverging pattern than converging pattern. As
shown in the hi-tech industry, competition is no longer between firms, but is between industries.
The concept of dominant-design appears less applicable to the hi-tech industry owing to its rapid pace of
change. This shows that firms follow a divergent pattern, instead of convergent pattern. Unlike US, where
Corning Glass Works dominated the optical fiber technology, in Japan the leadership shifted from
industry to industry, as the level of technology sophistication and marker demand changed. Innovation
cycle, a process of research, development, production and distribution, shifted from one industry to
another. There is a one-to-one correspondence between technological approach and industry sector.
Dynamics of R&D program can be studied by looking at a given sector’s R&D expenditure outside its
principal product field. The hi-tech patterns of R&D lie somewhere between science-based and dominant-
design based patterns. A model of competency-destroying discontinuities is more appropriate to describe
the dynamics of hi-tech industry. In such scenarios, corporate decision on investment cannot be made on
financial rate of return projections. They must be made on the principle of surf-riding. Here the R&D
program is not frozen well after it has entered the development stage, leaving flexibility with the firm.
Japanese approach of product management has overlapping phases, instead of sequential development.
There are central research labs (CRL), where basic and advanced development is conducted; divisional
labs (DL) where product development and process technology take places; and factory engineering lab
(FEL) where manufacturing specification and process is ironed out. In case of Toshiba’s parallel
sequencing system, CRL develops a fundamental technology, DL brings technology into pre-stage of
mass manufacturing, and FEL establishes mass manufacturing systems. For example, in case of DRAM,
CRL is responsible for 256M, DL for 64M, and FEL for 16M DRAM.
As in the case of trickle-up process, technological diversification is not only a good defensive strategy,
but also a way to spot innovations worthy of investment. NEC has a well defined core technology
program that focuses on computation and communication, and that drives it investment in new
technology.
Product development: From pipeline to demand articulation Pipeline progression refer to movement of a product through the stages of basic research, applied
research, exploratory development, engineering, and manufacturing. Here a new technology dominates
and customer needs are taken for granted. Japanese are highly responsive to market, not in a classic
![Page 6: Emerging Patterns of Innovation (Fumio Kodama, 1995)](https://reader038.fdocuments.net/reader038/viewer/2022100501/55a847ff1a28abae108b46d4/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Page 6 of 7
market research way but by getting a product out faster, learn from mistakes and improve quickly. Hi-tech
development is characterized by long phases of incremental improvements, punctuated by radical
technical changes emerging from fundamental research. There is importance of identifying ‘virtual
markets’ based upon socio-economic changes.
Demand articulation converts a vague set of wants into well-defined products, through phases of: 1)
market data integrated into product concepts, and 2) product concepts decomposed into development
projects. Potential demand is driven from a ‘virtual market’. This leads to conception of ‘national systems
of demand articulation’. The fact that technology is still considered exotic is not a deterrent.
One example of integrating market data into product concept is ‘Japanese language word processor’; and
that of decomposition into projects is ‘home-use video tape recorder’. Both cases demonstrate the
necessity of managers taking a long-term view of product development; dependent on technology levels
of related industries; and requires brisk competition between different companies.
As for the Integrated Circuits, the first level of demand articulation was done by US Defense, that led to
Texas Instruments and Fairchild Semiconductors to invent ICs, and later the development moved to Japan
where MITI formed a VLSI association in 1976 to further build capabilities on manufacturing equipment
and materials for ICs. Japanese companies become leaders in supply of production equipment. The
national level systems of demand articulation are hierarchical and bipolar in nature. Further, a public
goods innovation prefers a pipeline model, while a private goods innovation prefers a demand articulation
process. Japan is a case of Collective Demand Articulation.
Several Japanese companies helped US inventions commercialized by helping in demand articulation
based on local virtual customers. The case of 3M- Toyota and Sun- Fujitsu is instructive.
Innovation Patterns: From breakthrough to technology fusion Technology changes in one sector of the industry is increasingly dependent upon progress of other
sectors. The importance on inventors, and lone inventors is over emphasized in our history. Japan’s
model of innovation is built on fusion of existing technologies rather than creation of newer ones, for e.g.
Japanese created mechatronics in 1975, fusing advents in mechanical, material, and electronics
engineering; or optoelectronics which came from fusion of glass technology with cable and electronic
devices. Numerically controlled machines is an example of this technology.
Innovation in Japan has mostly happened through industry level collaborations. Modern technologies are
characterized by their complementarities, cumulative impact and inter-industry relationships. Japanese
keiretsu provide conducive environment for cross-industry R&D. Technology fusions led to gradual
growth of innovation across participating industries, and it very much depends upon how companies
define R&D. Breakthrough innovations are mostly driven by defense requirements, while technology
fusions are driven by market/ industry demands.
The cross-industry R&D required for technology fusion must meet the requirement of reciprocity and
sustainability; and it is unlikely to be achieved through M&As. Participating companies must bring forth
their core competencies to develop fusion technologies, and build on asset complementarity.
![Page 7: Emerging Patterns of Innovation (Fumio Kodama, 1995)](https://reader038.fdocuments.net/reader038/viewer/2022100501/55a847ff1a28abae108b46d4/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Page 7 of 7
Societal Diffusion: From technical evolution to institutional co-evolution The diffusion of innovation has to be looked from a techo-economic paradigm change. While
technological change is more rapid, there is often an inertia with change in social institutions. Hence it
calls for co-evolution of technology and social institutions. Building on the concept of ‘network
externalities’, in fact a more important dimension of technological diffusion is institutional and not
technical.
The cases of diffusion of fax machines and CAT scanner demonstrate the importance of institutional
changes, or changes of laws (revision of Public Telecommunication Law), to enable rapid diffusion of
these technologies. Further, the size of adopting companies does matter in the adoption rate.
Appendix
Table 1: Six dimensions of techno-paradigm shift in Japan (p.12)
Dimension From To
Manufacturing Producing Knowledge creation
Business diversification Spin-off Trickle-up process
R&D competition Dominant design Inter-industry competition
Product development Pipeline Demand articulation
Innovation patterns Breakthrough Technology diffusion
Societal diffusion Technical evolution Institutional co-evolution