Economic outlook
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Transcript of Economic outlook
MINISTRY of ECONOMY
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
January 2016
Recent Update: 12/26/2015
A- MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK…………………………………………………… 3
B- FOREIGN TRADE OUTLOOK…………………………………………………….. 19
1) MERCHANDISE…………………………………………………………... 20
2) SERVICES…………………………………………………………………….. 32
C- INVESTMENTS , FOREIGN CAPITAL and INCENTIVES…………………. 37
D- FREE ZONES in TURKEY…………………………………………………………… 44
E- BILATERAL, REGIONAL, PLURILATERAL and MULTILATERAL TRADE 49
OUTLINE
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 2
A- MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 3
Growth Forecasts of International Organizations (%)
In 2014, Turkish economy grew by 2.9%.
According to the IMF, Turkish Economy is expected to grow by 3% in2015 and 2.9% in 2016
Source: IMF, OECD, WB
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 4
Growth Forecast for Selected Countries/Country Groups(%)
World Turkey Euro Area US Brazil Russia India China
IMF2015 3,1 3,0 1,5 2,5 -3,8 -3,7 7,3 6,9
2016 3,4 2,9 1,7 2,6 -3,5 -1,0 7,5 6,3
OECD2015 2,9 3,1 1,5 2,4 -3,1 -4,0 7,2 6,8
2016 3,3 3,4 1,8 2,5 -1,2 -0,4 7,3 6,5
WB2015 2,4 4,2 1,5 2,5 -3,7 -3,8 7,3 6,9
2016 2,9 3,5 1,7 2,7 -2,5 -0,7 7,8 6,7
According to the IMF estimates, global trade volume of merchandise andservices is expected to increase by 3.2% in in 2015 and 4.1% in 2016.
According to the WTO estimates, global trade volume of merchandise andservices is expected to increase by 2.8% in 2015 and 3.9% in 2016.
Forecasts for Merchandise Trade Growth (%)
Source: IMF and WTO
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 5
Forecasts for Merchandise Trade Growth(%)
World Trade VolumeYears
Exports Imports
Advanced Economies
Emerging Economies
Advanced Economies
Emerging Economies
IMF2015 2,8 3,5 3,7 1,5 3,2
2016 3,1 4,6 4,0 4,3 4,1
WTO2015 3,0 2,4 3,1 2,5 2,8
2016 3,9 3,8 3,2 5,2 3,9
Top 20 Economies (Current, PPP)
Source: IMF
Turkey ranks as the 18th largest economy in the World and 7th in Europe.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 6
Economic Targets of 2016-2018 Medium Term Program
**Purchasing Power Parity(Medium Term Program, Ministry of Development)
Medium Term Program, which covers 2016-2018 period, aims toincrease growth as well as providing its comprehension viastructural reforms, while continuing to reduce the current accountdeficit and inflation gradually.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 7
2015 2016 2017 2018
GDP (Billion TL, Current Prices) 1963 2207 2489 2770
GDP Per Capita ($)** 20.298 21.240 22.460 23.829
Real GDP Growth 4,0 4,5 5,0 5,0
Unemployment Rate(%) 10,2 10,2 9,9 9,6
Tourism Income (Billion $) 27,0 27,0 29,4 31,8
Current Account Balance (Billion $) -31,7 -28,6 -29,3 -29,9
Current Account Balance/GDP(%) -4,4 -3,9 -3,7 -3,5
Real GDP Growth of Selected Countries/Country Groups (2014)
Turkish Economy expanded by 4.2% in 2013 and 2.9% in 2014.
Source: TURKSTAT, IMF
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 8
Economic Growth Rates (2002-2015)
Source: TURKSTAT
Mean annual growth rate between 2002 and 2014 was 4.7%.
GDP growth for the 1st quarter of 2015 was 2.5%, 3.8% for the 2nd quarter
and 4% for the third quarter
Growth rate was 3.4% for the first 9 months of this year.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 9
5.3
9.4
8.4
6.9
4.7
0.7
-4.8
9.28.8
2.1
4.2
2.92.5
3.8 4.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015-I 2015-II 2015-III
GDP Per Capita
Source: TURKSTAT,
Since 2002 GDP per capita has tripled from 3,492 USD to 10,390 USD in2014. In PPP terms GDP per capita exceeded 19,000 USD in 2014.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 10
Capacity Utilization Ratio (%)
Source: CBRT
Capacity utilization ratio in january 2016 decreased by 0.9 pointscompared to that of previous month and realized as 74,9%.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 11
Industrial Production Index (2010=100)
Source: TURKSTAT
Industrial production index rose by 3,6% year-on-year to 130,0 (2010=100) inOctober 2015.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 12
PMI (Purchasing Manager Index)
PMI increased to 52,2 in December 2015, higher than theprevious month’s level (50,9).
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 13
Inflation (Annual Percentage Change)
Inflation rates in December 2015 were 8.8% and 5.71% according to CPIand PPI, respectively.
Source: TURKSTAT
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 14
Unemployment Rates (%)
Source: TURKSTAT
In October 2015, unemployment rate was 10.5% . In 2014, it was 9.9%. Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Euro Area was 10.5 % and 9.1 % in (EU28) in
October 2015. In terms of unemployment ratio Turkey outperformed 6 EU members accordingto current data.
After Russia, Germany, England and France, Turkey has the 5th largest labor force among theEuropean countries. (2014, Economist Intelligence Unit)
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 15
CDS Premiums (January 25th, 2016)
Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Bloomberg* Higher CDS premiums indicate higher risk levels.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 16
44
68
105
128
119
166
209
174
286
294
489
374
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Ireland
S.Korea
Spain
China
Italy
Hungary
Portugal
Bulgaria
Turkey
Croatia
Brazil
Russia
Central Government Budget Deficit/ GDP (%)
Central government budget deficit/GDP ratio in 2013 was 1.2% and Turkey compliedwith the Maastricht criteria of 3%. Turkey also outperformed 22 EU Countries. For theyear 2014, the same ratio was 1.3%.
In January-December 2015 period, central government budget deficit was 22,6 billionTL compared to 23,3 billion TL deficit in the same period of 2014.
Source: Eurostat, TUİK* 2014
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 17
Government Debt / GDP (%)
Debt/GDP ratio of Turkey was 36.2% in 2013 indicating a level below theMaastricht Criterion (60%). Turkey also outperformed 25 EU countries.
In 2014, the ratio was realized at 33.5%
Source: Eurostat*2014
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 18
B- FOREIGN TRADE OUTLOOK
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 19
I) MERCHANDISE
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 20
Targets in Merchandise Trade
Turkish Statistical Institute*Forecast: Medium Term Programme, Ministry of Development, 2016-2018)**The Exports Strategy of Turkey For 2023
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 21
(Billion $) 2014 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2023**
Exports 157.6 143.9 155.5 175.8 201.4 500
Imports 242.2 207.1 210.7 243.1 273.2 625
Volume of trade 399.8 351.0 366.2 418.9 474.6 1125
Balance of trade -84.5 -63.1 -55.2 -67.2 -71.8 -125
Exports/Imports (%) 65.1 69.5 73.8 72.3 73.7 80
Turkey's Share in Global Merchandise Exports (%)
Turkey’s share in global merchandise exports was %0.83 in2014.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 22
Turkey's Share in Global Merchandise Imports (%)
Turkey’s share in global merchandise imports was %1.27 in 2014.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 23
Foreign Trade Developments
In first eleven months of 2015, compared to the same period of 2014, exports decreased by 8.4% and imports decreased by 14,1%.
Source: Ministry of Economy
* Energy corresponds to Chapter 27.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 24
2013 2014 2014 / (JAN-NOV) 2015 / (JAN - NOV)Change (%)
2014/2015
Export 151.8 157.6 144.3 132.2 -8.4
Energy Export* 6.7 6.1 5.7 4.2 -27.1
Gold Export 3.3 3.2 3.2 7.4 132.2
Import 251.7 242.2 220.4 189.2 -14.1
Energy Import* 55.9 54.9 50.5 34.8 -31.0
Gold Import 15.1 7.1 6.5 3.1 -52.2
Foreign Trade Volume 403.5 399.8 364.7 321.4 -11.9
Foreign Trade Balance -99.9 -84.6 -76.0 -57.0 -25.0
Balance excl. Energy -50.7 -35.8 -31.3 -26.4 -15.8
Export/Import (%) 60.3 65.1 65.5 69.9 6.7
Annual (Billion $) Periodic (Billion Dollar)
Monthly Exports and Imports
In November, 2015 compared to the same month of 2014, exports have decreased by 10.2% and realizedas 11.7 billion dollars and imports have decreased by 25.3% down to the level of 15.9 billion dollars.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 25
Distribution of Foreign Trade in Broad Economic Categories
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 26
EXPORT
IMPORT
Source: TURKSTAT
EXPORT (Milyon $) 2014 2015 2014 2015 Change (%)Share
%
Investment Goods 1,288 1,417 10.0 14,644 13,981 -4.5 10.6
Intermediate Goods 5,692 5,000 -12.2 69,350 63,577 -8.3 48.1
Consumption Goods 6,001 5,284 -11.9 59,333 53,965 -9.0 40.8
Others 86 37 -57.0 1,013 671 -33.8 0.5
TOTAL 13,067 11,738 -10.2 144,340 132,194 -8.4 100
November
Change (%)
January-November
İMPORT (Milyon $) 2014 2015 2014 2015 Change (%)Share
%
Investment Goods 3,033 2,688 -11.4 32,185 31,622 -1.7 16.7
Intermediate Goods 15,908 10,980 -31.0 161,654 131,165 -18.9 69.3
Consumption Goods 2,423 2,270 -6.3 26,146 26,034 -0.4 13.8
Others 21 36 71.4 404 399 -1.2 0.2
TOTAL 21,385 15,974 -25.3 220,389 189,220 -14.1 100
November
Change (%)
January-November
Main Export Items
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 27
* Percent change is related to the annual change in exports in 2015.
Source: TURKSTAT
Million Dollar CHANGE % *
Rank Code Periodic (January-November) 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014/2015
1 87 VEHICLE OTHER THAN RAILWAY OR TRAMWAY 16,544 15,843 13,920 15,899 2,624 -56 -4.2
2 84 BOILERS, MACHINERY AND MECHANICAL APPLIANCES 12,435 11,255 25,236 23,048 -12,801 -11,794 -9.5
3 71 PEARLS, PRECIOUS STONES, PRECIOUS METALS 7,227 10,932 7,417 3,807 -189 7,125 51.3
4 61 KNITTED AND CROCHETED GOODS AND ARTICLES THEREOF 9,301 8,208 920 799 8,381 7,409 -11.7
5 85 ELECTRICAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT, PARTS THEREOF 8,775 7,543 16,242 15,995 -7,467 -8,452 -14.0
6 72 IRON AND STEEL 8,441 6,068 16,152 13,651 -7,710 -7,582 -28.1
7 62 NON KNITTED AND CROCHETED GOODS AND ARTICLES THEREOF 5,773 5,439 1,758 1,672 4,015 3,767 -5.8
8 73 ARTICLES OF IRON AND STEEL 5,773 5,034 2,395 2,468 3,378 2,566 -12.8
9 39 PLASTIC AND ARTICLES THEREOF 5,617 4,941 13,036 11,233 -7,419 -6,292 -12.0
10 27 MINERAL FUELS AND MINERALS OILS 5,714 4,164 50,477 34,835 -44,763 -30,671 -27.1
85,601 79,428 147,553 123,406 -61,952 -43,978 -7.2
144,341 132,194 220,389 189,219 -76,048 -57,025 -8.4
EXPORTS IMPORTS BALANCE
List Total
Total
Main Import Items
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 28
* Percent change is related to the annual change in imports in 2015.
Source: TURKSTAT
Million Dollar CHANGE % *
Rank Code Periodic (January-November) 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014/2015
1 27 MINERAL FUELS AND MINERALS OILS 50,699 34,835 5,714 4,164 -44,985 -30,671 -31.3
2 84 BOILERS, MACHINERY AND MECHANICAL APPLIANCES, PARTS THEREOF 27,025 23,048 12,435 11,255 -14,590 -11,793 -14.7
3 85 ELECTRICAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT, PARTS THEREOF 16,112 15,995 8,775 7,543 -7,337 -8,452 -0.7
4 87 VEHICLE OTHER THAN RAILWAY OR TRAMWAY ROLLING-STOCK, PARTS THEREOF 15,143 15,899 16,544 15,843 1,401 -56 5.0
5 72 İRON AND STEEL 16,887 13,651 8,441 6,068 -8,446 -7,583 -19.2
6 39 PLASTIC AND ARTICLES THEREOF 12,785 11,233 5,617 4,941 -7,168 -6,292 -12.1
7 29 ORGANIC CHEMICALS 4,869 4,339 498 430 -4,371 -3,909 -10.9
8 90 OPTICAL, PHOTOGRAPHIC, CINEMATOGRAPHIC, MEASURING CHECKING, PRECISION 4,102 4,150 631 657 -3,471 -3,493 1.2
9 30 PHARMACEUTICAL PRODUCTS 3,783 3,856 723 785 -3,060 -3,071 1.9
10 71 PRECİOUS STONES, PRECİOUS METALS 14,757 3,807 7,227 10,932 -7,530 7,125 -74.2
166,162 130,812 66,605 62,618 -99,557 -68,194 -21.3
220,389 189,219 144,341 132,194 -76,048 -57,025 -14.1
IMPORT EXPORT BALANCE
List Total
Total
Main Export Partners (Share,%)
Main Trade Partners (January –November 2015)
Main Import Partners (Share,%)
Source: TURKSTAT
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 29
9.3
7.4
6.1
4.7
4.4
Germany
United Kingdom
Iraq
Italy
USA
12
10.2
9.9
5.4
5.1
China
Germany
Russia
Italy
USA
Exports by Regions
Source: TURKSTAT
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 30
2014 2015 % Share % Chg. 2014 2015 % Share % Chg.
EU (28) 5,720 5,631 48.0 -1.5 63,178 58,633 44.4 -7.2
FREE ZONES IN TURKEY 182 149 1.3 -18.1 2,074 1,741 1.3 -16.1
OTHER EUROPE 1,152 855 7.3 -25.8 14,243 13,428 10.2 -5.7
AFRİCA 1,056 1,059 9.0 0.3 12,517 11,274 8.5 -9.9
North Africa 748 712 6.1 -4.8 8,887 7,714 5.8 -13.2
Other Africa 308 347 3.0 12.7 3,631 3,560 2.7 -2.0
AMERICA 852 753 6.4 -11.6 9,083 8,414 6.4 -7.4
North America 653 559 4.8 -14.4 6,502 6,425 4.9 -1.2
Central America and Caraips 58 117 1.0 101.3 847 794 0.6 -6.3
South America 140 77 0.7 -45.0 1,734 1,195 0.9 -31.1
ASIA 4,056 3,240 27.6 -20.1 42,488 38,045 28.8 -10.5
Near and Middle East 3,099 2,418 20.6 -22.0 31,908 28,602 21.6 -10.4
Other Asia 958 822 7.0 -14.2 10,580 9,443 7.1 -10.7
AUSTRALIA and NEW ZEALAND 44 41 0.4 -5.2 543 561 0.4 3.4
OTHER COUNTRIES 6 9 0.1 50.1 216 99 0.1 -54.0
Total 13,067 11,738 100 -10.2 144,341 132,194 100 -8.4
EXPORT
(Million $)November January-November
Imports by Regions
Source: TURKSTAT
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 31
2014 2015 % Share % Chg. 2014 2015 % Share % Chg.
EU (28) 7,426 6,395 40.0 -13.9 80,647 71,588 37.8 -11.2
FREE ZONES IN TURKEY 98 95 0.6 -3.7 1,165 1,128 0.6 -3.1
OTHER EUROPE 3,675 1,911 12.0 -48.0 33,283 25,771 13.6 -22.6
AFRİCA 657 380 2.4 -42.1 5,363 4,654 2.5 -13.2
North Africa 272 209 1.3 -23.0 3,127 2,733 1.4 -12.6
Other Africa 385 171 1.1 -55.6 2,236 1,921 1.0 -14.1
AMERICA 1,647 1,233 7.7 -25.1 17,168 15,323 8.1 -10.7
North America 1,168 850 5.3 -27.2 12,593 11,026 5.8 -12.4
Central America and Caraips 98 70 0.4 -28.5 1,019 962 0.5 -5.6
South America 381 313 2.0 -17.9 3,555 3,335 1.8 -6.2
ASIA 6,428 5,149 32.2 -19.9 69,864 61,203 32.3 -12.4
Near and Middle East 1,938 987 6.2 -49.1 18,887 12,485 6.6 -33.9
Other Asia 4,489 4,162 26.1 -7.3 50,978 48,718 25.7 -4.4
AUSTRALIA and NEW ZEALAND 92 78 0.5 -15.8 479 560 0.3 16.9
OTHER COUNTRIES 1,363 733 4.6 -46.2 12,421 8,994 4.8 -27.6
Total 21,385 15,974 100 -25.3 220,389 189,219 100 -14.1
(Million $)November January-November
2) SERVICES
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 32
Targets in Services
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 33
Turkey's Share in Global Services Exports (%)
Source: WTO
Turkey’s share in global exports of services was 1.03% in 2014.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 34
Turkey's Share in Global Services Imports (%)
Source: WTO
Turkey’s share in global imports of services was 0.49% in 2014.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 35
Contracting Services Abroad
42 out of the world’s top 250 contracting companies are Turkish.
Turkey ranks as the 2nd country (following China) in terms of the number of top contracting companies.
Contributions to the overalleconomic performance: Creatingforeign exchange inflow, exports,employment, technology transfer;adding to the machinery stock,facilitating internationalization.
Regional Breakdown of Projects(%)
Years Projects Countries
Project
Volume
(Million $)
Cum.
Project
Volume
(Million $)
Avr.
Project
Volume
(Million $)
1971-2001 2256 48 46,584 46,584 21
2002 208 34 4,127 50,711 20
2003 343 35 6,401 57,112 19
2004 476 36 8,460 65,573 18
2005 451 33 13,245 78,818 29
2006 575 35 22,205 101,023 39
2007 610 45 25,122 126,145 41
2008 657 39 23,874 150,019 36
2009 512 45 20,189 170,207 39
2010 624 50 23,446 193,653 38
2011 552 51 23,027 216,680 42
2012 533 48 29,741 246,421 56
2013 416 48 29,977 276,398 73
2014 324 46 26,824 303,222 83
2015 156 42 19,366 322,588 124Last updated on December 2015
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 36
C- INVESTMENTS, FOREIGN CAPITAL andINCENTIVES
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 37
Foreign Direct Investment
FDI reached 148.75 billion USD in 2003-2014 period, while it was 14.6 billion USD in 1984-2002 period.
FDI increased 23.2 % in 2015 January-November with respect toprevious period and reached 14.1 billion USD.
Source: CBRT
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 38
Foreign Direct Investment Abroad
Turkish citizens’ direct investments abroad reached 33 billion USD from2003 to date.
Outward FDI, for the period 2015 January-November and reached 4.9 billionUSD.
Source: CBRT
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 39
The Sectoral Breakdown of Foreign Investments
Source: CBRT
*January-November
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 40
(Million $) 2013 2014 2014* 2015*
AGRICULTURE 47 61 57 46
INDUSTRIAL SECTORS 4,819 4,844 4,346 5,132
Mining and Quarrying 242 364 364 194
Manufacturing 2,207 2,894 2,646 3,601
Production and Distribution of Electricity & Gas 2,334 1,583 1,333 1,335
SERVICES SECTOR 5,000 3,979 3,370 4,794
TOTAL 9,866 8,884 7,773 9,972
Breakdown of Foreign Investments by Country
*January-NovemberSource: CBRT
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 41
2013 2014* 2015*
1 Spain 506 57 2,154
2 USA 326 175 1,479
3 Netherlands 918 1,949 1,024
4 Russia 875 729 757
5 Belgium 60 39 733
6 England 300 1,033 454
7 China 9 28 446
8 Qatar 469 8 350
9 Luxembourg 278 522 337
10 Malaysia 12 0 327
11 Germany 1,968 624 324
12 Japan 439 211 298
13 Azerbaijan 803 716 294
14 Swiss 204 152 161
15 France 217 97 158
16 Italy 146 473 150
17 Greece 68 92 89
18 United Arab Emirates 176 98 67
19 South Korea 61 42 61
20 Austria 647 48 54
LIST TOTAL 8,482 7,093 9,717
TOTAL 9,866 7,773 9,972
Million Dolar
Investment Incentive System
The current investment incentive system ofTurkey is structured in four sub systems:
General Investment Incentive System
Regional Investment Incentive System
Investment Incentive System for Big ScaleProjects
Incentive System for Strategic Investments
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 42
Investment Incentives
*January – NovemberSource: General Directorate of Incentive Implementation and Foreign Investment
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 43
Certificates
Issued
Amount of
Fixed
Investment
(Million TL)
Potential
Employment
(People)
Total Total Total
2013 4,856 96,121 194,385
2014 4,033 64,022 144,471
2015* 3,959 90,655 128,430
Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Various TOTAL
2013 1,753 797 686 505 470 619 26 4,856
2014 1,446 707 591 447 365 459 17 4,033
2015* 1,303 788 579 426 417 436 10 3,959
CERTIFICATES ISSUED
D - FREE ZONES IN TURKEY
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 44
Tax advantages for manufacturers Medium-and long-term investment view Availability to transfer profits Commercial facilities Exemption from customs duties Acquisition of the documents relating to the free movement of goods under
the scope of Customs Union with the EU Principle of equality No time restrictions Flexibility to adjust to the market needs and conditions Reliable inflation accounting Market access to domestic and foreign markets Reduced bureaucratic procedures and dynamic business management Strategic advantages Affordable and compatible infrastructure Supply chain opportunities
The Advantages of Free Zones for Users
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 45
Free Zones in Turkey
61,505 people have been employed in Free Zones of Turkey in 2014.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 46
Trade Flows of Free Zones
In 2014, total trade volume of the Free Zones reached 22.4billion dollars, decreasing 3.5% annually.
Source: General Directorate of Free Zones, Foreign Investments and Services
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
3,195 2,177 2,295 2,668 2,971 2,887 2,732
5,874 4,913 4,361 6,924 7,071 7,701 7,958
8,248 5,493 6,625 7,253 7,257 7,490 7,059
7,262 5,173 5,291 5,801 5,754 5,162 4,683
24,579 17,756 18,572 22,646 23,053 23,240 22,432TOTAL TRADE VOLUME
Million Dollar
From Domestic Market to Free Zones
From Free Zones to Abroad
From Abroad to Free Zones
From Free Zones to Domestic Markets
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 47
Concentration in Free Zones by Industries
Source: General Directorate of Free Zones, Foreign Investments and Services
Istanbul Ataturk Airport FZ Services and Software
Antalya FZ Yacht-building, Medical Equipment
Kocaeli FZ Ship-building
Avrupa FZ Ready-Wear
Mersin FZ Ready-Wear
Bursa FZ Automotive sub-industries
Izmir FZ Leather
TUBITAK-MAM FZ R&D Activities
Adana-Yumurtalik FZ Ship Repair and Maintenance
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 48
E - BILATERAL, REGIONAL, PLURILATERAL and MULTILATERAL
TRADE
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 49
Trade Relationships of Turkey with Others
Bilateral Trade Relationships of Turkey
Europe, Asia-Pacific, Eurasia, Middle East and North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Americas
Regional and Multiple Trade Relationships of Turkey
EU, ECO, D8, BSEC, OIC, COMCEC
Multilateral Trade Relationships of Turkey
WTO, OECD, G20
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 50
1. EFTA (Norway, Switzerland, Iceland, Liechtenstein)
2. Israel
3. Macedonia
4. Bosnia and Herzegovina
5. Palestine
6. Tunisia
7. Morocco
8. Syria (**)
9. Egypt
10. Albania
(*) Agreements that are in the approval process
(**) Pending
FTA Countries
11. Georgia
12. Montenegro
13. Serbia
14. Chile
15. Jordan
16. South Korea
17. Mauritius
18. Lebanon*
19. Kosovo*
20.Malaysia
21. Moldova*
22. Faroe Islands*
23. Singapore
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 51
1. Ghana*
2. Ukraine
3. Colombia
4. Ecuador
5. Democratic Republic of the
Congo
6. Cameroon
7. Seychelles
FTA Countries(On-going Negotiations)
8. Gulf Cooperation Council
9. Libya
10. MERCOSUR
11. Japan
12. Peru
13. Mexico
* Negotiations completed.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 52
Multilateral Trade Relationships
Trade in Services Aggrement (TISA)
Due to the stumble of Doha Development Round and ambitious targets of top servicesexporters, TISA negotiations which continue between countries, who makes up 70% oftotal world services, in order to increase liberalisation in services trade while Turkey isincluded in the negotiations.
Non Agricultural Market Access (NAMA)
NAMA refering to all products not covered by the WTO-Agreement on Agriculture(manufacturing products, fuels and mining products, fish and fish products, and forestryproducts) targets to further liberalization on these product by both reducing tariff andnon-tariff barriers.
G-20 Presidency
The G-20 economies consisting of USA, Germany, Argentina, the European UnionAustralia, Brazil, China, Indonesia, France, South Africa, South Korea, India, Britain, Italy,Japan, Canada, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Turkey represent approximately 90% ofthe World GDP, 80% of the world trade, and two-thirds of the world population.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 53
Regional Breakdown of Exports
Source: TURKSTAT* January –November** Except Lebanon and Kosovo
In January- November 2015, exports to EFTA countries increased by 64%annually and the EFTA Countries became the fastest growing export destinationof the regions above.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 54
(Million $) 2013 2014Change
(%)
% Share
(2014)2014* 2015*
Change
(%)
% Share
(2014)
EU-28 63,040 68,514 8.7 43.5 63,178 58,633 -7.2 43.8
CIS 16,924 15,616 -7.7 9.9 14,354 9,799 -31.7 9.9
EFTA 1,662 3,795 128.4 2.4 3,708 6,098 64.4 2.6
Economic Cooperation
Organization 11,898 11,717 -1.5 7.4 10,534 8,728 -17.1 7.3
Organization of Islamic Cooperation49,371 48,625 -1.5 30.9 43,987 39,227 -10.8 30.5
Black Sea Economic
Cooperation 20,368 19,687 -3.3 12.5 18,133 13,422 -26.0 12.6
FTA Countries**14,942 18,845 26.1 11.2 17,440 18,560 6.4 12.1
OECD 68,684 76,675 11.6 48.6 70,557 69,308 -1.8 48.9
Turkic Republics 6,908 7,108 2.9 4.5 6,470 4,880 -24.6 4.5
General Total 151,803 157,610 3.8 100 144,341 132,194 -8.4 100.0
Trade Representatives Abroad
The Ministry are serving in 110countries, 154 locations and 4offices abroad.
January 2016 Ministry of Economy 55
Daimi Temsilci Yardımcılığı
Ticaret Müşavirliği
Ticaret Ataşeliği
İrtibat Büroları
AFRİKA
Kahire
Nairobi
Pretoria
Rabat
Trablus
Tunus
Kazablanka
ASYA
Astana
Aşkabat
Bangkok
Bişkek
Cakarta
Duşanbe
Hanoi
İslamabad
Kabil
Kuala Lumpur
Manila
Pekin
Seul
Singapur
AVRUPA/KAFKASYA
AB
DTÖ
OECD
Atina
Bakü
Belgrad
Berlin
Bern
Bratislava
Brüksel
Budapeşte
Bükreş
Dublin
Helsinki
Kiev
Kişinev
Kopenhag
Lahey
Lizbon
Lefkoşa
Londra
Lubliyana
Madrid
Minsk
Moskova
Oslo
Paris
Podgorica
Prag
Priştine
Roma
Saraybosna
Sofya
Stokholm
Tiflis
Tiran
Üsküp
Varşova
Viyana
Zagreb
Barselona
Batum
Düsseldorf
Hamburg
Hannover
Kazan
Marsilya
Milano
Münih
Novorossisk
Odessa
Rotterdam
Selanik
St.
Petersburg
Stutgart
Birmingham
Krasnodar
Novosibirsk
Yekaterinbur
g
Taşkent
Tokyo
Ulan Bator
Yeni Delhi
Almatı
Guangzhou
Hong Kong
Karaçi
Mumbai
Şangay
Georgetown
Abuja
Addis Ababa
Akra
Cezayir
Dakar
Darüsselam
Hartum
İskenderiye
Buenos Aires
Karakas
Mexico City
Ottava
Santiago
Vaşington
Houston
Los Angeles
AMERİKA
ORTA DOĞU
Abu Dhabi
Amman
Bağdat
Beyrut
Doha
Kuveyt
Manama
Muskat
Riyad
Sana
Şam
Tahran
Tel Aviv
Basra
Cidde
Dubai
Erbil
Halep
Kudüs
Musul
Tebriz
Sidney
Melbourne
AVUSTRALYA
New York
Sao Paulo
Şikago
Toronto
Miami
San Francisco
Seattle
GEORGETOWN
Locations of Trade Representatives
56