César Carrera and Hugo Vega · 2012. 6. 18. · The financial accelerator of Bernanke, Gertler and...

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César Carrera and Hugo Vega Subgerencia de Investigación Económica Banco Central de Reserva del Perú

Transcript of César Carrera and Hugo Vega · 2012. 6. 18. · The financial accelerator of Bernanke, Gertler and...

Page 1: César Carrera and Hugo Vega · 2012. 6. 18. · The financial accelerator of Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (BGG, 1999) usually amplifies, spreads, and gives more persistence to

César Carrera and Hugo Vega Subgerencia de Investigación Económica Banco Central de Reserva del Perú

Page 2: César Carrera and Hugo Vega · 2012. 6. 18. · The financial accelerator of Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (BGG, 1999) usually amplifies, spreads, and gives more persistence to

Recent efforts for modeling an interbank market

Interbank funding can be a source of rigidity Return of money into a DSGE model Use of Macroprudential tools

Page 3: César Carrera and Hugo Vega · 2012. 6. 18. · The financial accelerator of Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (BGG, 1999) usually amplifies, spreads, and gives more persistence to

The financial accelerator of Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (BGG, 1999) usually amplifies, spreads, and gives more persistence to different types of shocks in the economy.

After the financial crisis of 2007 - 2008, BGG (1999) became a stepping stone for valid extensions of the original model.

One of those extensions is the inclusion of an interbank market.

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Gerali, Neri, Sessa, and Signoretti (JMCB, 2010): Credit and Banking in a DSGE Model of the Euro Area.

Dib (Bank of Canada, 2010): Banks, Credit Market Frictions, and Business Cycles.

Hilberg and Hollmayr (UCB, 2011): Asset Prices, Collateral and Unconventional Monetary Policy in a DSGE Model.

Page 5: César Carrera and Hugo Vega · 2012. 6. 18. · The financial accelerator of Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (BGG, 1999) usually amplifies, spreads, and gives more persistence to

The banking sector is composed of many banks in which each bank is composed of two parts:

Two “retail” branches: The first branch is responsible for giving out differentiated loans to households and entrepreneurs, the second for raising deposits.

One “wholesale” unit. Management of the capital position of the bank.

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Introduces the distinction between banks that only raise deposits and banks that only give out credit.

Sets up them as interbank market in which the first group of banks borrows from the second group.

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Separate the interbank market in two types of banks: commercial banks and investment banks.

Only a few banks actually interact with the central bank, and then fund the rest of the banking system.

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The capital of the banks plays an important role in Gerali et al. (2010) and Dib (2010).

For Hilberg and Hollmayr (2011) it is the structure of the market and collateral that matters the most.

However the banking system in Hilberg and Hollmayr is not consistent when the balance sheet of the bank is considered.

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Consumers: Households Entrepreneurs

Banks Retail bank Narrow bank Central bank

Firms Wholesaler Capital producer Retailer

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From F.O.C.:

s.t.

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Behaves as in BGG(1999): a fraction γ use their income to accumulate net worth (N), the rest consume it (CE)

Funding constraint:

Return on capital:

Cut-off:

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Entrepreneurial consumption:

Financial accelerator:

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Production function:

Profits function:

From F.O.C.:

Entrepreneurial labor is assumed to be fixed at unity.

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Aggregate stock of new capital:

Investment adjustment cost:

Expected discounted value of profits:

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Tobin’s Q and investment:

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Profits:

Aggregate CPI:

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Balance sheet identity:

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Benefits:

From F.O.C.:

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Balance sheet identity:

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Benefits:

Zero profit condition:

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Balance sheet identity:

Taylor Rule:

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-1.2% -0.7%

-0.6%

-3.5%

-3.5% -8.0%

2.0% 3.0%

12%

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0.6%

-0.6% -0.4%

-0.7% -0.4%

-2.5%

2.0% 2.2% 7.5%

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-1.8% -0.8% -1.0%

-5.0% -4.5% -10.2%

3.0% 4.0% 35%

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The introduction of an interbank market allows a better identification of the final effects of different type of shocks in the economy.

Our results (prior) suggest that taking into account the interbank market dumps the BGG (1999) financial accelerator effect.

Our result is similar to Dib (2010), even though his model works with capital requirements.

Page 31: César Carrera and Hugo Vega · 2012. 6. 18. · The financial accelerator of Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (BGG, 1999) usually amplifies, spreads, and gives more persistence to