Coping with North Korea’s Energy Future: KEDO and Beyond

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    A DI_ ED]IZDA]EGDAH IDOAOIBID]

    LZABI_GZF LGZ DGZ]@ FGZIA7Ngd}idmedo [iz~{in}e|i~Ime}gz~3 A`d N`ggdo"ugdo( Den`gha~ Ijiz~}am}( Hii Ugydo"~yd

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    |

    Ngd}id}~

    [zilani adm Anfdgwhimobid}~ |ee

    Dg}i gd Dabi~ p

    1 Ed}zgmyn}egd adm G|iz|eiw >

    A`d N`ggdo"ugdo( Den`gha~ Ijiz~}am}( adm Hii Ugydo"~yd

    ]`i [ghe}enah Ingdgbu gl Dgz}` Fgzia

    : ]`i [ghe}enah Ingdgbu gl Dgz}` Fgzia3 1?@e~}gzenah Janfozgydm adm [zi~id} ^e}ya}egd

    Bazny~ Dghadm

    > ]`i }zyn}yzi gl Dgz}` Fgzia~ [ghe}enah Ingdgbu3 =9N`adoi~ adm Illin}~

    Hii Ugydo"~yd adm Uggd Migf"zugdo= Dgz}` Fgzia~ ^yz|e|ah Oabi3

    Ydmiz~}admedo }`i Zinid} [a~}( ]`edfedo ajgy} }`i Ly}yziDen`gha~ Ijiz~}am}

    [zingdme}egd~ adm Za}egdahi lgz Ed}izda}egdah Ingdgben

    ^y{{gz} lgz Dgz}` Fgzia

    9 Badaoedo Nghha}izah Na}a~}zg{`i3 Za}egdahi adm [zingdme}egd~ 11?

    lgz Ed}izda}egdah Ingdgben ^y{{gz} lgz Dgz}` FgziaBggd N`ydo"ed

    < ^}za}ioen Mebid~egd~ gl Ingdgben A~~e~}adni lgz Dgz}` Fgzia 1=?[ayh Jzanfid

    ? Lgzieod Aem adm Ed}izda}egdah Dgzb~3 195]`i Na~i gl Dgz}` Fgzia

    Nazgh Hadna~}iz

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    0 [zg~{in}~ adm [zingdme}egd~ lgz Bazfi} Ingdgben 1?9]zad~lgzba}egd ed Dgz}` Fgzia

    Admiz~ ~hydm

    [g~~ejhi Lgzb~ gl Ed}izda}egdah Ngg{iza}egd adm

    A~~e~}adni }g Dgz}` Fgzia

    5 Ydhefihu [az}diz~3 155@ybade}azead Aem Aoidnei~ adm Dgz}` Fgzia

    Imwazm [$ Ziim

    1; Mi~eodedo [yjhen in}gz Na{e}ah Bgjehesa}egd }za}ioei~ lgz }`i M[ZF :>1Jzamhiu G$ Jaj~gd

    11 Ng{edo we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ Idizou Ly}yzi3 FIMG adm Jiugdm :9?Fid} I$ Nahmiz

    1: Bgjehesedo [ze|a}i Na{e}ah lgz Dgz}` Fgzia3 :?9Ziqyezibid}~ lgz A}}zan}edo [ze|a}i Ed|i~}bid}

    Bahnghb Jedf~ adm Nazh Amab~

    [g~~ejhi Zghi gl ^gy}` Fgzia adm G}`iz Bacgz ^}afi`ghmiz~

    1> A [zgan}e|i A{{zgan` }g Idoaoedo Dgz}` Fgzia3 :59Jghmdi~~( Lhipejehe}u( adm Ednhy~e|idi~~

    N`gg Ugdo"~`ef adm _ado Uyd"cgdo

    1= [aujanf ]ebi3 Ca{adDgz}` Fgzia Ingdgben Ziha}egd~ >1?Zen`azm C$ ^abyih~

    19 N`eda~ Zghi ed }`i Ngyz~i gl Dgz}` Fgzia~ ]zad~e}egd >>9Hey Bedo

    1< Zy~~ead"Dgz}` Fgziad Ziha}egd~ adm }`i [zg~{in}~ lgz >91Byh}eha}izah Ngdlhen} Zi~ghy}egd gd }`i Fgziad [ided~yha

    Ahipadmzi U$ Bad~gyzg|

    1? Ip{in}im Zghi gl gy}` Fgzia adm Bacgz }afi`ghmiz~3 >

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    :9?

    11

    Ng{edo we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ Idizou Ly}yzi3FIMG adm Jiugdm

    Fid} I$ Nahmiz

    ]`i ~yjcin} gl }`i idizou ly}yzi gl Dgz}` Fgzia (}`i Mibgnza}en [ig{hi~Zi{yjhen gl Fgzia gz M[ZF% `a~ badu mebid~egd~ ngdni{}yahesim ed ajzgam |azei}u gl wau~$ Lgz idoediiz~ }`i idizou ly}yzi nad ji a {zgjhib edjgehiz illeneidnu adm zian}gz ~ali}u$ Lgz idizou ingdgbe~}~ }`i ly}yzi e~ ad

    e~~yi gl }zami"gll~ abgdo lyih ~gyzni~ ~yn` a~ ngah da}yzah oa~ adm dynhiaz{gwiz$

    Lgz ingdgbe~}~ we}` ~}zyn}yzah {iz~{in}e|i~ idizou e~ a ngd~}zaed} gd ing"dgben ozgw}` ed Dgz}` Fgzia$ Lgz ~{ineahe~}~ ed zioegdah ed}ioza}egd idizoue~ a na}ahu~} lgz jzedoedo Dgz}`ia~} A~ea }goi}`iz$ Adm lgz badu ~inyze}u ada"hu~}~ adm {ghenubafiz~ idizou e~ a hi|iz lgz ~ebyh}adigy~hu jhgnfedo madoiz"

    gy~ dynhiaz {zgheliza}egd adm ~yj|iz}edo ydwad}im oig{ghe}enah n`adoi$]`i nid}zah ingdgben adm ~inyze}u ihibid}~ gl }`i Dgz}` Fgziad idizou

    iqya}egd azi ed~i{azajhi ed {ghenu }izb~$ Dynhiaz {zgheliza}egd ed Dgz}` Fgzia

    a ~inyze}u {zgjhib gl ohgjah eb{gz}adni mi~iz|i~ e}~ nid}zah {hani ed }`ibedm~ gl {ghenubafiz~$ Ui} lgz adahu}enah {yz{g~i~ e} e~ eb{gz}ad} }g me~id"}adohi ingdgben adm ~inyze}u a~{in}~ gl }`i idizou {zgjhib we}`gy} midu"

    edo }`iez hioe}eba}i {ghenu ed}izmi{idmidni$ Dgz}` Fgziad {ghe}en~ al}iz ahhngyhm n`adoi zamenahhu g|iz }`i ngbedo uiaz~ ah}izedo }`i ~inyze}u iqya}egd{zglgydmhu$ Ui} }`i M[ZF~ zi~gyzni idmgwbid}~ w`en` by~} edi|e}ajhu

    ~`a{i ingdgben nahnyha}egd~ wehh zibaed ngd~}ad}$Abem }`i buzeam ydniz}aed}ei~ gl }`i Dgz}` Fgziad idizou iqya}egd gdi

    ~}zgdo hefihe`ggm e~ }`a} }`i Fgziad [ided~yha Idizou Mi|ihg{bid} Gzoade"

    sa}egd (FIMG% a~ {zi~id}hu ngd~}e}y}im `a~ he}}hi ly}yzi$ Byn` gl }`i Y$^$Ngdozi~~ dg} }g bid}egd }`i Jy~` ambede~}za}egd `a~ jiid ngd~e~}id}hu~fi{}enah gl FIMG adm ingdgben a~~e~}adni }g Dgz}` Fgzia `a~ di|iz `am

    byn` ngd~}e}yidnu ed }`i Yde}im ^}a}i~ ed adu na~i (^eoah 1550%$ ]`i {zg"ozab `a~ }g ji ~yzi ~yz|e|im a zibazfajhi dybjiz gl nze~i~ ednhymedo }`i

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    :90 A Diw Ed}izda}egdah Idoaoibid} Lzabiwgzf lgz Dgz}` Fgzia7

    Dgz}` Fgziad ~yjbazedi ednyz~egd ed}g ^gy}` Fgziad wa}iz~ ed }`i lahh gl

    155< adm }`i Dgz}` Fgziad ]ai{g"mgdo be~~ehi haydn` gl Ayoy~} 1550(^dumiz :;;;%$ Ui} FIMG wehh ledm e} byn` `azmiz }g ~yz|e|i }`i bacgz me"

    zin} |egha}egd gl }`i Aoziim Lzabiwgzf ed|gh|im ed Dgz}` Fgzia~ ng|iz} eo`huidzen`im yzadeyb (@IY% {zgozab i~{ineahhu oe|id }`i Minibjiz :;;: ~y~"{id~egd gl }`i `ia|u lyih geh ~y{{hu {zgozab }`i ip}idmim ~y~{id~egd glzian}gz ngd~}zyn}egd an}e|e}ei~ al}iz Dg|ibjiz :;;> }`i hanf gl Y$^$ ngdozi~"

    ~egdah jymoi}azu ay}`gzesa}egd lgz ly}yzi g{iza}egd~ adm }`i ngd}edyedo`ia|u ~fi{}ene~b ed }`i Jy~` ambede~}za}egd zioazmedo a ~iibedohu mu~lydn"}egdah ed~}e}y}egd ed`ize}im lzgb }`i {a~}$

    Myzedo FIMG~ bgzi }`ad ~i|id uiaz~ gl g{iza}egd lzgb e}~ i~}ajhe~`"bid} ed Bazn` 1559 yd}eh }`i @IY {zgozab zi|iha}egd~ ed ha}i :;;: }`a}}ze"da}egdah gzoadesa}egd mem }g ji ~yzi qyei}hu lg~}iz y~ilyh ed}iz{iz~gdah

    di}wgzf~ ji}wiid Dgz}` Fgzia adm }`i jzgamiz wgzhm w`ehi e} ~ngzim eb"{gz}ad} }in`denah anngb{he~`bid}~ ed ngd~ghema}edo Y$^$"Ca{ad"Fgzia }zead"oyhaz ziha}egd~$ ]`izi azi ah~g ~yj~}ad}eah ~ydf ng~}~ }`a}z`i}gzen a~emie}

    e~ za}egdah }g zingy{$ ]`i Yde}im ^}a}i~ `a~ ip{idmim bgzi }`ad -?;; beh"hegd gd `ia|u"lyih"geh ~y{{hei~ }g Dgz}` Fgzia adm gd }`i ambede~}za}e|ing~}~ gl zyddedo FIMG$ ^gy}` Fgzia (ah~g Zi{yjhen gl Fgzia gz ZGF% adm

    Ca{ad a|i }goi}`iz ahziamu ed|i~}im wihh g|iz -1 jehhegd ed ngd~}zyn}egd gl adgw {az}hu jyeh} heo`}"wa}iz zian}gz (H_Z% ed Fyb`g Dgz}` Fgzia (FIMG:;;16 FIMG :;;:6 Jzggfi :;;=%$

    Ly}yzi ed}izda}egdah illgz}~ }g ng{i we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ idizou {zgjhib~

    nad zia~gdajhu jyehm ie}`iz leoyza}e|ihu gz i|id he}izahhu gd }`i~i lgydma"}egd~$ Ui} }`i my{hene}u ed }`i ng|iz} Dgz}` Fgziad @IY {zgozab ngy{him

    we}` }`i ingdgben ezza}egdahe}u gl byn` gl }`i 155= Aoziim Lzabiwgzf }`a}i~}ajhe~`im FIMG adm mgbi~}en {ghe}enah ngd}zg|iz~ei~ zioazmedo }`i gzoa"desa}egd ed |ez}yahhu ahh gl }`i {az}ene{a}edo da}egd~ bafi e} hefihu }`a} FIMG

    wehh diim }g ji ~nza{{im adm zingdleoyzim$ ]`y~ a {zi~~edo diim ipe~}~ lgz a{g~}"FIMG lzabiwgzf lgz Dgz}` Fgziad idizou w`en` e~ }`i adahu}enah lg"ny~ gl }`e~ {a{iz$

    Dgz}` Fgzia~ Mezi Nyzzid} Idizou Ziahe}ei~Hefi gy}` Fgzia Dgz}` Fgzia a~ e~}gzenahhu am a eo`"idizou"y~i ingdgbu(Dghadm :;;; 1=>6 Nahmiz :;;; :5%$ [zebazu ngbbizneah idizou y~i ed}`i M[ZF wa~ a{{zgpeba}ihu }`zii }ebi~ }`i hi|ih gl N`eda ed 155; adm

    ajgy} ahl }`i hi|ih gl Ca{ad w`en` `am a ozg~~ mgbi~}en {zgmyn} (OM[% {izna{e}a :; }ebi~ a~ `eo` a~ Dgz}` Fgzia a} }`a} }ebi (Dghadm :;;; 1==%$Dgz}` Fgziad idizou y~i `a~ jiid ziha}e|ihu `eo` lgz }`zii zia~gd~3

    Edmy~}zeah ~}zyn}yzi we}` a `eo` ngdnid}za}egd gl idizou"ed}id~e|i~in}gz~ hefi ~}iih adm liz}ehesiz {zgmyn}egd6

    Edilleneid} y~i gl lyih~ gwedo }g gj~ghi}i iqye{bid} a~ wihh a~ hanf glbazfi} {zenedo6 adm

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    Ng{edo we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ Idizou Ly}yzi3 FIMG adm Jiugdm :95

    Ziheadni gd ziha}e|ihu hi~~ illeneid} lyih~ ~yn` a~ ngah a~ a ~gyzni gl

    idizou$

    ]`e~ `eo` idizou ed}id~e}u gl }`i ingdgbu }goi}`iz we}` a nze}enah hanf gl

    geh adm }`i eb{gz}adni gl geh }g Dgz}` Fgzia~ behe}azu bafi idizou ed oid"izah adm geh ed {az}enyhaz {zegze}u ngdnizd~ lgz }`i M[ZF~ {ghe}enah"behe}azuhiamiz~`e{$

    Dgz}` Fgzia~ mgbi~}en idizou ~e}ya}egd diim~ }g ji ngd~emizim ed }izb~

    gl lgyz ja~en mebid~egd~ adm }`i M[ZF~ neznyb~}adni~ azi mezi ed ahh lgyz$]`i idizou {zgjhib~ }`a} }`i M[ZF ngdlzgd}~ ed ahh }`i~i azia~ azi ed}iz"ziha}im ui} }`i da}yzi gl }`i mellenyh}ei~ ed|gh|im e~ ~gbiw`a} mellizid} ed

    ian` azia$

    ^y{{hu gl ja~en idizou$ Ed }izb~ gl ja~en idizou ~y{{hu}`a} e~ }`i

    a|aehajehe}u gl ngah umzgihin}zen {gwiz geh da}yzah oa~ adm dynhiaz {gwizDgz}` Fgzia~ idizou ed~inyze}ei~ azi jzgamhu ~ebehaz }g }`g~i gl ^gy}` Fg"zia ]aewad adm Ca{ad$ Dgz}` Fgzia `a~ lgz ipab{hi dg g{iza}edo geh leihm~ah}`gyo` bg~}hu ~edni bem":;;: wimid~ ]ayzy~ [i}zghiyb adm edoa{gzi~

    ^g|izieod \id}yzi~ `a|i ngdmyn}im ~gbi bgmi~} {g~e}e|i ~ie~ben ~yz|iu~$ ADgzwioead lezb Ohgjah Oig ^iz|eni~ zi{gz}imhu ngd}ib{ha}i~ ede}eah gll"~`gzi ~ie~ben wgzf ed }`i lez~} `ahl gl :;;= (MGI :;;:j%$

    Bg~} gl Dgz}` Fgzia~ dieo`jgz~ ip{izeidni ydmizhuedo idizou"zi~gyzni~nazne}u ~ebehaz }g }`i ~nazne}ei~ ngdlzgd}edo }`i M[ZF$ Edmiim dg} a ~edohibacgz {zgmynedo geh leihm ipe~}~ ed }`i |a~} ingdgbenahhu {gwizlyh ~wa}` gl

    Dgz}`ia~} A~ead }izze}gzei~ ~}zi}n edo lzgb @gffaemg adm }`i zi~} gl }`i Ca{a"di~i azn`e{ihaog anzg~~ }`i Fgziad {ided~yha }g }`i ~gy}`izd }e{ gl ]aewad(Nahmiz 155

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    Ng{edo we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ Idizou Ly}yzi3 FIMG adm Jiugdm :

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    Ng{edo we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ Idizou Ly}yzi3 FIMG adm Jiugdm :

    }egd we}` Dgz}` Fgziaazi nhiaz lzgb a jzeil zi|eiw gl }`a} lzaoehi ngd}zg"

    |iz~eah gzoadesa}egd~ gzeoed~ adm gzeoedah badma}i$FIMG ibizoim al}iz a hgdo `e~}gzu gl ngdlzgd}a}egd adm Dgz}` Fgziad

    jihheoizidnu gd }`i Fgziad {ided~yha$ Ed }`i ~{zedo gl 155> Dgz}` Fgzia}i~}"lezim a {g}id}eahhu dynhiaz"na{ajhi be~~ehi }`i Dg"mgdo 1 ed}g }`i ^iagl Ca{ad adm }`zia}idim }g we}`mzaw lzgb }`i Dynhiaz Dgd"[zgheliza}egd ]zia}u$ Ed Bau 155= }`i M[ZF mileim }`i ad}e{zgheliza}egd zioebi ju zi"

    bg|edo ~{id} lyih lzgb e}~ ip{izebid}ah zian}gz a} Ugdojugd }`y~ bafedo|izelena}egd gl e}~ dynhiaz ~}gnf{ehi eb{g~~ejhi adm {zine{e}a}edo a bacgz nze"~e~ we}` }`i Yde}im ^}a}i~$ Al}iz a ngdlzgd}a}egd }`a} nabi ed }`i |eiw gl

    badu {az}ene{ad}~ adm gj~iz|iz~ {izehgy~hu nhg~i }g waz Cebbu Naz}iz admFeb Eh"~ydo an`ei|im a jziaf}`zgyo` ed edlgzbah me~ny~~egd~ hiamedo yh}e"ba}ihu }g }`i lgzbah Aoziim Lzabiwgzf gl Gn}gjiz 155=$ I|id }`i diog}ea"

    }gz~ gl }`i aoziibid} ambe}}im e} }g ji eb{izlin} |eiwedo e} gdhu a~ }`i ji~}abgdo badu yd~a}e~luedo g{}egd~$ A} e}~ `iaz} wizi nahnyha}im abjeoye}ei~}`a} bami }`e~ aoziibid} ngd}zg|iz~eah adm mellenyh} }g g{iza}egdahesi lzgb

    }`i ~}az}$FIMG e}~ihl wa~ nzia}im ed Bazn` 1559 }g eb{hibid} }`i Aoziim Lzabi"

    wgzf ji}wiid }`i Yde}im ^}a}i~ adm }`i M[ZF ydmiz w`en` Dgz}` Fgzia

    aoziim }g lziisi adm yh}eba}ihu me~bad}hi e}~ ipe~}edo dynhiaz {zgozab$ Edzi}yzd FIMG wa~ }g {zg|emi }`i M[ZF we}` ah}izda}e|i ~gyzni~ gl idizou ed}`i lgzb gl }wg 1;;; B_ heo`}"wa}iz zian}gz~ ju a }azoi} ma}i gl :;;> adm

    9;;;;; bi}zen }gd~ gl ia|u lyih geh addyahhu yd}eh }`i zian}gz~ wizi g{iza"

    }egdah }g zi{hani }`i {g}id}eah idizou ~y{{hu lzgb }`i ~y~{in} dynhiaz {zgcin}~gd w`en` Dgz}` Fgzia wa~ }g ~y~{idm ngd~}zyn}egd ydmiz }`i Aoziim Lzabi"

    wgzf$ Y{gd ngb{hi}egd gl }`i zian}gz~ Dgz}` Fgzia wa~ }g jioed zi{auedo}`i ng~} gl }`i~i diw zian}gz~ g|iz 1? uiaz~ al}iz a >"uiaz ozani {izegm$

    Illin}e|ihu }`i Aoziim Lzabiwgzf y{gd w`en` FIMG wa~ adm e~ ja~im

    }zamim abjeoye}u ajgy} {a~} Dgz}` Fgziad dynhiaz an}e|e}ei~ lgz a ni~~a}egdgl ly}yzi an}e|e}ei~$ E} }`y~ {g~}{gdim }`i bgbid} gl zinfgdedo ajgy} }`iDgz}` Fgziad dynhiaz {zgozab adm oa|i }`i Dgz}` lgz diazhu a minami }`i

    am|ad}aoi gl a niz}aed ~}za}ioen abjeoye}u }`a} }`i behe}ad} ui} |yhdizajhi

    ingdgbenahhu mi{zi~~im adm e~gha}im da}egd lgydm |ahyajhi ed jahadnedo}`i ozgwedo ziha}e|i {gwiz gl }`i gy}~emi wgzhm (Dghadm :;;; 19:%$ ]`i

    bgbid} gl }zy}` ydmiz }`i aoziibid} wa~ }g ngbi azgydm :;;> w`id FIMGwa~ gjheoa}im }g mihe|iz }`i zian}gz~ adm }`i Dgz}` Fgziad~ wgyhm ji gjhe"oa}im }g ~yjbe} }g ydzi~}zen}im Ed}izda}egdah A}gben Idizou Aoidnu ed~{in"

    }egd~ }g w`en` }`iu `am {zi|egy~hu jiid `eo`hu zi~e~}ad}$Gdni lgzbahhu i~}ajhe~`im FIMG ip{izeidnim a hgdo ~izei~ gl {ghe}enah

    lzy~}za}egd~> zgg}im {az}eahhu ed }`i abjeoygy~ n`azan}iz gl }`i Aoziim Lzabi"

    wgzf adm {az}eahhu ed }`i jzgamiz ziha}egd~`e{~ ji}wiid }`i Yde}im ^}a}i~adm }`i M[ZF$ ^dumiz (:;;; :1:% `a~ {ged}im gy} }`a} iazhu }an}enah be~"

    > Lgz mi}aeh~ ~ii [ghhanf (:;;>% adm Dghadm (:;;; 191?;%$

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    ]`i FIMG {zgcin} }g ji ~yzi `a~ an`ei|im a liw bgmi~} ~ynni~~i~$ E} `a~~hgwhu adm qyei}hu jyeh} yd{zinimid}im ed}iz{iz~gdah di}wgzf~ baedhu gl}in`denah ~{ineahe~}~ ji}wiid Dgz}` adm ^gy}` Fgzia$ E} `a~ hefiwe~i i~}aj"

    he~`im {zi|egy~hu ydfdgwd lgzb~ gl mezin} ngbbydena}egd ednhymedo ad aezhedf ede}ea}im gd 19 Gn}gjiz :;;: ji}wiid Uadouado aez{gz} ed ^gy}` Fgziaadm }`i zian}gz {zgcin} ~e}i a} Fyb`g ed }`i Dgz}` a~ wihh a~ a }zaededo {zg"

    ozab lgz Dgz}` Fgziad wgzfiz~$ FIMG `a~ ~}a}egdim ieo`} FIMG ib{hguii~gd"~e}i ed Dgz}` Fgzia lgz }`i {a~} ~i|izah uiaz~ adm a~ ed~}ahhim lhgw bi}iz~{zg|emim ju }`i Yde}im ^}a}i~ ydmiz }`i aoziibid} a} ~i|id Dgz}` Fgziad

    {gwiz {had}~ }g bgde}gz }`i lhgw gl `ia|u lyih geh (FIMG :;;:%$

    ]`i FIMG lzabiwgzf ah~g `a~ }`i eb{gz}ad} oig{ghe}enah bize} lzgb aY$^$ {iz~{in}e|i gl {zg|emedo a lzabiwgzf lgz }zeha}izah ed}izan}egd abgdo

    }`i Yde}im }a}i~ Ca{ad adm gy}` Fgzia gd Dgz}`ia~} A~ead e~~yi~$ Ed ngd"}za~} we}` }`i lgyz"{az}u lzabiwgzf ed`ize}im lzgb Fgziad _az azbe~}enidiog}ea}egd~ (}`i Yde}im ^}a}i~ }`i [ig{hi~ Zi{yjhen gl N`eda }`i ZGF

    adm }`i M[ZF% }`a} e} ~ynniimim FIMG~ }zeha}izahe~b `a~ {zg|emim ad yd"{zinimid}im g{{gz}yde}u }g ngd~ghema}i }`i ngb{zi`id~e|i ~inyze}u ziha}egd"~`e{ abgdo Y$^$ ahhei~ ed Dgz}`ia~} A~ea$ E} oa|i jez}` }g }`i ]zeha}izah Nggz"

    meda}egd adm G|iz~eo`} Ozgy{ (]NGO% ngd~yh}a}egd }ahf~ abgdo zadfedo

    Y$^$ Fgziad adm Ca{adi~i glleneah~ }`a} ~edni }`i Dgz}` Fgziad be~~ehi }i~}gl 1550 `a|i jingbi a ~eodelenad} {az} gl me{hgbanu ed }`i Dgz}` [anelen$

    ]`e~ {zgni~~ `gwi|iz e~ dgw wihh ed~}e}y}egdahesim adm e~ ed dg ~id~i mi"{idmid} gd FIMG lgz ly}yzi bgbid}yb$

    Mi~{e}i }`i bgmi~} }in`denah ~ynni~~i~ adm }`i g{{gz}yde}u lgz Y$^$"ZGF"

    Ca{ad }zeha}izah meahgoyi }`a} e} {zg|emim FIMG `a~ laehim6 e}~ laehyzi wa~{iz`a{~ yda|gemajhi oe|id e}~ ~bahh ~}all {zinazegy~ badma}i adm hanf glidlgznibid} adm bgde}gzedo na{ane}u$ E} laehim ed {az}enyhaz }g {zi|id} Dgz}`

    Fgziad ~yj|iz~egd gl }`i Aoziim Lzabiwgzf ed 1550 a~ e} ngdmyn}im e}~ be~"~ehi }i~} adm bgzi ~izegy~hu a~ e} {zgniimim we}` e}~ ng|iz} @IY {zgozab$

    ^edni Minibjiz :;;: `ia|u"lyih"geh mihe|izei~ }g }`i Dgz}` `a|i jiid ~y~"{idmim adm ~edni Dg|ibjiz :;;> ngd~}zyn}egd gd }`i Fyb`g zian}gz

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    12/21

    Ng{edo we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ Idizou Ly}yzi3 FIMG adm Jiugdm :

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    : >0%$ Edmiim ^gy}` Fgzia~ }g}ah oa~ y~i a~ a ~`azigl g|izahh idizou ngd~yb{}egd zibaed~ ~eodelenad}hu hi~~ }`ad hi|ih~ ed Ca"

    {ad mi~{e}i a |eogzgy~ zinid} ~y{{gz} {ghenu ed ^igyh lgz da}yzah oa~$9 EdDgz}` Fgzia oa~ y~i e~ dioheoejhi$

    Ngd~emizajhi {g}id}eah ipe~}~ lgz ip{ad~egd ed oa~ ngd~yb{}egd gd }`i

    Fgziad {ided~yha a~ a w`ghi {az}enyhazhu ed }`i Dgz}`$ Adm Zy~~ea e~ }`ihgoenah ~gyzni gl ~y{{hu$ Zy~~ea `a~ diazhu gdi"}`ezm gl }`i {zg|id da}yzah

    oa~ zi~iz|i~ ed }`i wgzhm badu gl }`ib hgna}im we}`ed ngbbizneah me~}adnigl }`i Fgziad {ided~yha$ ^gy}` Fgzia }g ji ~yzi nad ia~ehu anni~~ heqyileimda}yzah oa~ (HDO% lzgb }`i [iz~ead Oyhl adm e~ ed lan} }`i wgzhm~ ~ingdm"hazoi~} HDO eb{gz}iz lghhgwedo Ca{ad$ Ui} Bemmhi Ia~}izd HDO e~ a byn`

    hi~~ a}}zan}e|i {zg{g~e}egd lgz Dgz}` Fgzia lgz jg}` oigoza{`enah admedlza~}zyn}yzah zia~gd~$

    ]`i ng~}~ gl hazoi"~nahi {e{ihedi mi|ihg{bid} ngyhm ji ba~~e|i `gwi|iz$

    ]`izi azi }`zii ja~en {e{ihedi g{}egd~ ji}wiid Zy~~ea adm Fgzia$ ]`i ~eb"{hi~} wgyhm zyd zgyo`hu >:;; fb lzgb ^af`ahed }`zgyo` }`i Zy~~ead Laz

    9 Ed :;;: da}yzah oa~ {zg|emim 11$9 {iznid} gl ^gy} Fgzia~ {zebazu idizou ngd~yb{}egd ngb"{azim we}` 1>$? {iznid} ed Ca{ad (J[ Abgng :;;>%$

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    14/21

    Ng{edo we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ Idizou Ly}yzi3 FIMG adm Jiugdm :

  • 8/3/2019 Coping with North Koreas Energy Future: KEDO and Beyond

    15/21

    ::;; fb oa~ {e{ihedi anzg~~ Zy~~ead }izze}gzu diaz }`i N`edi~ijgzmiz ahgdo }`i Abyz adm Y~~yze Ze|iz~ anzg~~ Dgz}` Fgzia }gwazm igyh$

    Fgziad [zi~emid} Feb Ugydo"~ab adm Zy~~ead [zi~emid} Jgze~ Uih}~ed cged}huaoziim }g ~y{{gz} a mi}aehim lia~ejehe}u ~}ymu a} }`iez 155= ~ybbe}$ Di|iz"}`ihi~~ }`i {zgcin} zibaed~ ed ajiuadni$ Ydniz}aed}ei~ ed idizou mibadmadm ledadnedo ~edni }`i A~ead ledadneah nze~e~ ip{hgmim ed ha}i 155? ednhym"

    edo }`i nghha{~i gl }`i bacgz n`aijgh Maiwgg ed Dg|ibjiz 1555 ngb"{gydmim }`i ~`gz}"zyd mellenyh}ei~ gl {zgniimedo lyz}`iz$ Mi~{e}i e}~ hgdo"}izb a}}zan}e|idi~~ lzgb a Fgziad {ged} gl |eiw }`i Uafy}ea g{}egd }`y~

    a{{iaz~ }g `a|i hi~~ ~`gz}"}izb lia~ejehe}u }`ad }`i g}`iz }wg {e{ihedi ah}iz"da}e|i~$

    Ahh gl }`i }`zii ja~en Zy~~ea"}g"Fgzia oa~ {e{ihedi g{}egd~ e} e~ eb{gz}ad}

    }g dg}i a} hia~} ngd~emiz }`i {zg~{in} gl }zad~e}edo Dgz}` Fgzia$ ]`i yh}e"ba}i hgny~ gl ngd~yb{}egd al}iz ahh e~ ^gy}` Fgzia adm }`i ~gyzni gl ~y{"{hu e~ gdi gl }`i }`zii ^ejizead hgna}egd~ bid}egdim ajg|iahh hgna}im }g

    }`i dgz}` gl }`i Fgziad {ided~yha$ Ed }`i aj~idni gl a |izeleajhi dynhiazdgd{zgheliza}egd aoziibid} we}` }`i M[ZF e} e~ gj|egy~hu {ziba}yzi }g bg|i}gwazm aoziibid} gd a }zad~Dgz}` Fgzia {e{ihedi lzgb adu gl }`i }`zii

    bacgz {zg~{in}e|i ~gyzni~ gl Zy~~ead oa~ i|id }`gyo` e} wgyhm ji n`ia{iz}`ad ah}izda}e|i~ adm bgzi a}}zan}e|i }g bg~} Fgziad {az}ei~ ngdnizdim$

    ]`i zinid} ed}izda}egdah lia~ejehe}u ~}ymu gd }`i Fg|uf}a leihm zingbbidm"

    edo a =00? fb -1: jehhegd {e{ihedi ydmiz }`i Uihhgw ^ia }g ^gy}` Fgzia

    ju{a~~edo }`i Dgz}`wa~ }`y~ }`i ngzzin} mine~egd$? Ui} el Dgz}` Fgzia e~lgz}`ngbedo gd }`i dynhiaz e~~yiwe}`ed }`i ~ep"{az}u }ahf~ lzabiwgzf gz

    ih~iw`izi}`i e~~yi gl }zad~e} {e{ihedi~ anzg~~ Dgz}` Fgzia lzgb ie}`izFg|uf}a gz ^af`ahed gz yh}eba}ihu lzgb Uafy}ea ~`gyhm ji zi|e~e}im$ Edmiimahh }`i~i g{}egd~ `a|i {zg~{in}e|ihu ~}zgdo {ghe}enah"ingdgben bize}~ }`a}

    ngyhm bafi }`ib }`i `iaz} gl a ziahe~}en ozadm jazoaed ji}wiid Dgz}`Fgzia adm }`i da}egd~ gl }`i Dgz}` [anelen {zg|emim }`a} }`i dynhiaz e~~yi e~~a}e~lan}gzehu zi~gh|im$ yn` a ozadm jazoaed we}` da}yzah oa~ {e{ihedi {zgcin}~

    a} e}~ `iaz} adm ah~g ed|gh|edo a ziha}im bgmizdesa}egd gl }`i Dgz}` Fgziad

    ihin}zen"{gwiz ozem adm {gwiz oidiza}egd ~u~}ib~ ngyhm ji a `eo`hu ngd"~}zyn}e|i ihibid} gl a jzgam hgdo"zadoi Dgz}`ia~} A~ead ingdgben mi|ihg{"

    bid} {had$ Edmiim a ozadm jazoaed ngyhm ji a nzyneah {ghe}enah"ingdgbenna}ahu~} lgz bg|edo zioegdah oa~ adm ihin}zen"{gwiz"ozem {zgcin}~ lgzwazm oe|id}`i ebbid~i ~nahi ledadneah ng~} adm oig{ghe}enah nggzmeda}egd e~~yi~ }`a}

    azi ed|gh|im$Lzgb }`i {iz~{in}e|i gl Dgz}` Fgziad ingdgben mi|ihg{bid} a~ wihh a~

    {ghe}enah {zilizidni }`i ^af`ahed zgy}i e~ milede}ihu bgzi a}}zan}e|i }`ad

    Fg|uf}a$ ]`i M[ZF a{{azid}hu liaz~ }`a} N`eda we}` e}~ za{emhu ozgwedomgbi~}en mibadm lgz oa~ adm oig{ghe}enah hi|izaoi wgyhm dg} ji wehhedo lgz

    ? Lgz mi}aeh~ ~ii Oa~ Ba}}iz~ ]gmau( > Lijzyazu :;;=$

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    Ng{edo we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ Idizou Ly}yzi3 FIMG adm Jiugdm :9 behi~ hgdolzgb \hame|g~}gf ed}g Dgz}` Fgzia$ Zy~~ead `umzgihin}zen {g}id}eah e~ ba~"

    ~e|i adm ngyhm `ih{ abihegza}i Fgzia~ {zg~{in}e|i idizou ~`gz}aoi~$ ]`iihin}zen"{gwiz }zad~be~~egd hedi g{}egd wgyhm ah~g ji ~yj~}ad}eahhu n`ia{iz}`ad }`i hgdo"me~}adni oa~ {e{ihedi$

    Ngddin}edo ~ihin}im ingdgben nid}iz~ ed Dgz}` Fgzia }g }`i ^gy}` Fg"ziad ihin}zen"{gwiz ozem `a~ ah~g jiid ~yooi~}im$ ]`e~ ~iib~ bg~} }in`de"nahhu adm {ghe}enahhu lia~ejhi ed }`i na~i gl ~{ineah ingdgben sgdi~ (^IS~%

    e~gha}im lzgb }`i meha{ema}im Dgz}` Fgziad {gwiz ~u~}ib a~ a w`ghi ~yn`a~ }`i Fai~gdo IS ahgdo }`i Mibehe}azesim Sgdi$ ]`izi a ngddin}egd }g }`i^gy}` Fgziad ozem wgyhm {zg|emi a ~ubbi}zenah ngbjeda}egd gl ingdgben

    am|ad}aoi adm oig{ghe}enah jidile}~ }g }`i bacgz {az}ei~ ed|gh|im ~ylleneid}}g bafi e} a ziahe~}en ~`gz}"}izb {zg{g~e}egd$

    ]`i Dgz}`ia~} A~ead {e{ihedi g{}egd~ ngyhm ji `eo`hu ~udizoe~}en we}` Dgz}`

    Fgziad idizou mi|ihg{bid} ammzi~~edo badu gl }`i {zgjhib~ me~ny~~imajg|i$ yn` g{}egd~ ngyhm `azdi~~ hgdo"}izb zioegdah idizou eb{iza}e|i~ }g}`i ~ghy}egd gl ~izegy~ hgnah Dgz}` Fgziad edlza~}zyn}yzah {zgjhib~$ Ngd"

    nzi}ihu oa~"lezim {gwiz ~}a}egd~ ngyhm ji jyeh} ahgdo }`i {e{ihedi zgy}i we}`

    }wg 9;; B_ ngbjedim nunhi ~}a}egd~ }`a} ngbjedi g{}ebah idizou illeneidnuadm {g~e}e|i id|ezgdbid}ah }zae}~ adm ngb{id~a}i lgz }`i ihin}zen {gwiz {zg"

    ~{in}e|ihu lgzogdi ed }`i nadnihha}egd gl gdi gl }`i 1;;; B_ zian}gz~ ngd"}ib{ha}im ydmiz }`i FIMG aoziibid}$ ]`zii ~yn` oa~"lezim ~}a}egd~ wizingd}ib{ha}im ed }`i :;;1 ydmiz~}admedo ji}wiid a ngd~gz}eyb gl }`zii

    My}n` }zamedo ngb{adei~ (gdi ~edni anqyezim ju Jin`}ih ah}`gyo` e} `a~edmena}im a mi~ezi }g ~ny}}hi }`i miah% adm Dgz}` Fgzia adm }`i ydmizhuedongdni{}egd wgyhm ~iib }g `a|i ingdgben hgoen (@azze~gd :;;:;> >:%$

    Adg}`iz {g~~ejehe}u wgyhm ji jyehmedo a di}wgzf gl ~bahhiz :9; B_ oa~"

    lezim {gwiz ~}a}egd~ ahgdo }`i {e{ihedi zgy}i ngddin}im }g a ~izei~ gl ~bahhhgnah }zad~be~~egd ozem~$ ]`e~ ngyhm ji ad ah}izda}e|i }g ngd~}zyn}edo a hazoi"

    ~nahi da}egdah }zad~be~~egd ozem w`en` wgyhm hefihu ji byn` bgzi ip{id"~e|i$ Fgziad idizou ~{ineahe~} [aef Fiyd"wggf `a~ nahnyha}im }`a} e} wgyhmng~} zgyo`hu -1$= jehhegd }g ngd~}zyn} ~yn` a di}wgzf gl ieo`} zioegdah oa~"

    lezim {gwiz ~}a}egd~ hedfim }g a }zad~Dgz}` Fgzia {e{ihedi adm ngddin}}`ib we}` a minid}zahesim }zad~be~~egd ozem ~yn` a~ }`a} me~ny~~im ajg|i([aef 1559 >>%$ A} }`a} ng~} }`e~ {zg{g~ah wgyhm ji gdi"}`ezm a~ ip{id~e|i

    a~ }`i i~}eba}im }g}ah ng~} gl }`i }wg g|iz~esim zian}gz~ {zgbe~im ydmiz }`iAoziim Lzabiwgzf adm byn` ji}}iz ama{}im }g Dgz}` Fgzia~ ja~en idizou

    diim~$

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    :?; A Diw Ed}izda}egdah Idoaoibid} Lzabiwgzf lgz Dgz}` Fgzia7

    Ah}`gyo` Ca{ad mgi~ dg} a{{iaz hefihu }g i~}ajhe~` a da}egdah oa~ ozem

    adu}ebi ~ggd jinay~i ~yn` a ozem ngyhm ng~} a~ byn` a~ -:9-=; jehhegd }gjyehm nahnyha}egd~ a{{iaz }g ji ~gbiw`a} mellizid} ed ^gy}` Fgzia$ ^edni

    1555 ^gy}` Fgzia `a~ jyeh} a di}wgzf gl mgbi~}en {e{ihedi~ }`a} ahziamu~yz{a~~i~ Ca{ad~ adm e~ {yz~yedo byn` bgzi |azeim adm abje}egy~ y~i~ lgzda}egdah oa~ }`ad e~ Ca{ad$ igyh lgz ipab{hi a~ jiid {zgbg}edo mibadmlgz da}yzah oa~ }`zgyo` }ap ednid}e|i~ aem lgz ed}zgmyn}egd gl da}yzah oa~

    |i`enhi~ ~yn` a~ oa~"{gwizim jy~i~ adm ip{ad~egd gl }`i mgbi~}en da}yzahoa~ ozem$ ]`e~ ozgwedo oa~ di}wgzf wgyhm a{{iaz }g ji i~}ajhe~`edo a ~ghemingdgben ja~e~ lgz fiu Fgziad ed|gh|ibid} ed zioegdwemi {e{ihedi |id}yzi~

    ed }`i lgzi~iiajhi ly}yzi{g}id}eahhu ednhymedo }zad~Dgz}` Fgzia {e{ihedi~$]`i a}}zan}e|idi~~ lgz Fgzia gl {e{im oa~ a~ g{{g~im }g HDO gz g}`iz lyih

    n`geni~ ~yn` a~ dynhiaz {gwiz mi{idm~ }g ad eb{gz}ad} miozii gd }`i ed}iz"

    ziha}egd~`e{ ji}wiid ohgjah idizou {zeni~ adm }`i {zgozi~~ gl bacgz Dgz}`"^gy}` {ghe}enah"ingdgben m}id}i gd }`i Fgziad {ided~yha e}~ihl$ El ohgjahidizou {zeni~ azi {zimen}ajhu `eo` adm }`i {zg~{in} gl Dgz}`"^gy}` m}id}i

    we}` Fgzia e~ ah~g ~}zgdo }`izi wgyhm ji a ~}zgdo {ghe}enah"ingdgben za}eg"dahi ed Fgzia lgz ze~edo mi{idmidni gd Zy~~ead {e{im oa~ adm lgz }`i ngd"~}zyn}egd gl }`i ip}id~e|i Dgz}`ia~} A~ead {e{ihedi ~u~}ib }`a} e~ gl}id me~"

    ny~~im$ Ngd|iz~ihu el }`i {ghe}enah {zg~{in}~ azi lgz Dgz}`"^gy}` ngdlzgd}a"}egd }`i na~i lgz dynhiaz {gwiz bau ji ~}zido}`idim$0

    A{az} lzgb }`i ingdgben~ gl a da}yzah oa~ja~im ah}izda}e|i }g FIMG~

    dynhiaz jea~ }`izi e~ ah~g a oig{ghe}enah za}egdahigdi i~{ineahhu zihi|ad}

    ydmiz }`i a~~yb{}egd gl a dynhiaz dgd{zgheliza}egd aoziibid} adm ed}zy"~e|i ed~{in}egd~ a~ a {zingdme}egd lgz }`i idizou ede}ea}e|i~ }gwazm Dgz}`

    Fgzia }`a} azi gy}hedim izi$ ]`i }zad~Dgz}` Fgziad {e{ihedi~ ngd}ib{ha}im`izihefi }`i zaehzgam~ adm zioegdah ihin}zen"{gwiz ozem~ ah~g lziqyid}hu me~"ny~~imwgyhm }zad~lgzb Dgz}` Fgzia (gz a yde}im Fgzia }`a} ngyhm wihh

    ~ynniim e}% lzgb ad gy}~emiz ed }`i zioegdah {ghe}enah ingdgbu ed}g a nid}zah{hauiz$ Dgz}` Fgzia~ nzyneah }zad~e} zghi lgz a {adg{hu gl edlza~}zyn}yzah{zgcin}~ ednhymedo {e{ihedi~ adm zaehwau~ a~ wihh a~ }zad~da}egdah ihin}zen"

    {gwiz ozem~ wgyhm ueihm e} gdogedo zi|idyi }g gll~i} }`i g}`izwe~i mi{zi~~im

    ~}a}i gl e}~ mgbi~}en ingdgbu$ Ui} }`e~ }zad~e} zghi wgyhm ah~g {zg|emi}`zgyo` }`i am|ad}aoi~ e} wgyhm ji~}gw gd dieo`jgzedo da}egd~{g~e}e|i

    ed}izda}egdah ingdgben hi|izaoi lgz a }zad~lgzbim Dgz}` Fgzia a~ wihh$ ]`e~hi|izaoi wgyhm ngb{id~a}i a} hia~} ed {az} lgz }`i ednzia~im |yhdizajehe}u}`a} }`i M[ZF gz a ~ynni~~gz ~}a}i wgyhm ip{izeidni }`zgyo` ajadmgdbid}

    gl e}~ dynhiaz {zgozab$ E} wgyhm nhiazhu {zg|emi a byn` `iah}`eiz ja~e~ lgz{ghe}enah iqyehejzeyb ed }`i zioegd }`ad wgyhm g}`izwe~i ipe~} el }`i Dgz}`ngd}edyim }g zihu a~ e} `a~ mgdi lgz ~g hgdo {yzihu gd behe}azu beo`} adm

    jzedfbad~`e{ }g oaed zingode}egd lzgb }`i jzgamiz wgzhm$

    0 Lgz }`i {ghe}enah"ingdgben a~~yb{}egd~ ed|gh|im ~ii Nahmiz (:;;; 1?%$

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    Ng{edo we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ Idizou Ly}yzi3 FIMG adm Jiugdm :?1

    Ed }`i aj~idni gl jg}` a ngdnhy~e|i ihebeda}egd gl Dgz}` Fgziad dynhiaz"

    wia{gd~"ziha}im na{ajehe}ei~ adm a nhiaz }zad~lgzba}egd gl Dgz}` Fgzia~ zi"oegdah zghi ed bgzi {ianilyh mezin}egd~ bgzi hebe}im ednzibid}ah g{}egd~

    nad ah~g ji ngd~emizim$ Nhiaz {ghe}enah"behe}azu {zgozi~~ ~`gyhm gj|egy~huanngb{adu ~yn` ednzibid}ah ~}i{~ jy} }`iu diim dg} ed|gh|i }`i ngb{zi"`id~e|i ozadm jazoaed }`a} hazoi"~nahi {e{ihedi gz ihin}zen"ozem g|iz}yzi~ wgyhmdini~~azehu id}aeh$ A{az} lzgb }`i ~ihin}e|i ngddin}egd gl Dgz}` Fgziad IS~

    }g ^gy}` Fgziad Zy~~ead gz N`edi~i {gwiz ozem~ }in`denah a~~e~}adni edeb{zg|edo }`i illeneidnu adm ziheajehe}u gl ihin}zen"{gwiz }zad~be~~egd ed }`iDgz}` ednhymedo }`i }zaededo gl Dgz}` Fgziad idoediiz~ adm g}`iz ~{ineah"

    e~}~ ngyhm ji a ngd~}zyn}e|i ednzibid}ah ~}i{$ Zioazmhi~~ gl }`i mi}aeh~ e} e~nhiaz }`a} }`i hioe}eba}i {ghenu ed}izmi{idmidni gl }`i ingdgben adm ~iny"ze}u a~{in}~ gl Dgz}` Fgzia~ idizou {zgjhib~ by~} dg} ji lgzog}}id$

    Ngdnhy~egd

    Dgz}` Fgzia `a~ lanim a ~i|izi idizou nze~e~ g|iz }`i {a~} minami ahgdo ~i|"izah mebid~egd~3 {zebazu idizou ~y{{hu (a{az} lzgb ngah%6 ihin}zen"{gwizoidiza}egd adm me~}zejy}egd6 adm lyih lgz }zad~{gz}a}egd$ Edmiim idizou `a~

    jiid }`i An`ehhi~ `iih gl }`i ingdgbu a~ a w`ghi we}` idizou ~`gz}aoi~ah~g nze{{hedo edmy~}zu adm aozenyh}yzi$ ]`i~i ~`gz}aoi~ a|i ed`eje}im Dgz}`Fgziad behe}azu am|id}yze~b }g ji ~yzi jy} }`iu `a|i ah~g nze{{him ing"

    dgben ozgw}` ed jg}` }`i M[ZF adm ~yzzgydmedo azia~$

    FIMG `ih{im mily~i }`i madoizgy~ behe}azu ngdlzgd}a}egd gl 155=59adm ih{im ziedlgzni }`i eb{gz}ad} }zeadoyhaz ziha}egd~`e{ abgdo }`i Yde}im

    ^}a}i~ Ca{ad adm ^gy}` Fgzia$ E} ah~g `ih{im lgzoi mihena}i jy} gl}id y~ilyhed}iz{iz~gdah }ei~ baedhu }in`denah ji}wiid Dgz}` Fgzia adm }`i gy}~emiwgzhm$ Ui} }`i gzoadesa}egd ngyhm dg} lgzi~}ahh }`i ng|iz} Dgz}` Fgziad @IY

    dynhiaz {zgozab adm e} `a~ jiid ngd}edyahhu wiafidim ju {ghe}enah nzg~~lezi$ Oe|id }`i eda{{zg{zea}i idizou n`geni~ we}` w`en` e} ~}az}im }`i jgmudiim~ }g ji lydmabid}ahhu }zad~lgzbim we}` myi ngd~emiza}egd lgz }`i ~ydf

    ng~}~ adm }`i zi~emyah jidile}~ ed|gh|im$A {g~}"FIMG idizou mi|ihg{bid} jgmu lgz Dgz}` Fgzia ~`gyhm gl ngyz~i

    ednhymi ahh }`i da}egd~ ed|gh|im a} {zi~id} a~ nid}zah bibjiz~ gl }`a} gzoade"sa}egd we}` a nid}zah zghi lgz }`i Yde}im ^}a}i~$ ]g ihene} diimim {ghe}enah~y{{gz} ed }`i Yde}im ^}a}i~ adu ~ynni~~gz wehh ah~g diim }g {zg|emi ~eodele"nad} ngbbizneah g{{gz}yde}ei~ lgz Y$^$ lezb~ adm a} hia~} ~gbi cgj~ lgz Y$^$

    wgzfiz~$ Ui} a ~ynni~~gz jgmu }g FIMG ~`gyhm ah~g jzgamid }g ednhymi Zy~"~ea adm N`eda ed bgzi ~u~}iba}en wau~$ _e}` a bgzi ~yj~}ad}eah badma}inid}izedo gd mi|ihg{bid}ah e~~yi~ ~yn` a~ }zad~da}egdah da}yzah oa~ adm ihin"

    }zen"{gwiz ozem~ }`a} da}yzahhu ed|gh|i dieo`jgzedo da}egd~ a~ wihh a~ Dgz}`Fgzia ~yn` a {g~}"FIMG jgmu ngyhm zia~gdajhu ip{in} }g a|gem }`i dynhiaz"{gwiz"~{inelen zi~id}bid}~ adm ~gyznedo mellenyh}ei~ }`a} a|i zidmizim ziha"

    }egd~`e{~ ji}wiid FIMG adm e}~ ba~~e|i dieo`jgz~ ~g ngb{hip$ Ju ednhym"

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    :?: A Diw Ed}izda}egdah Idoaoibid} Lzabiwgzf lgz Dgz}` Fgzia7

    edo ahh }`i da}egd~ dgw ed|gh|im ed }`i ~ep"{az}u }ahf~ gd }`i Dgz}` Fgziad

    dynhiaz nze~e~ a FIMG EE ngyhm ah~g a{{zg{zea}ihu ed~}e}y}egdahesi }`a} ~ep"{az}u lgzyb }g {zgbg}i }`i hgdo"}izb idizou mi|ihg{bid} gl }`i Dgz}`ia~}

    A~ead zioegd a~ a w`ghi$A diw Dgz}`ia~} A~ead idizou"mi|ihg{bid} jgmu ja~im gd }`i ibizoedo~ep"{az}u"}ahf~ lzabiwgzf ~`gyhm fii{ e}~ idizou"~{inelen n`azan}iz jy}jzgamid e}~ badma}i adm lgny~ {az}enyhazhu gd }`i mi|ihg{bid} gl da}yzah

    oa~ zi~gyzni~ ed }`i zioegd$ Jinay~i gl ~ydf ng~}~ gdi gl }`i 1;;; B_dynhiaz zian}gz~ {zg{g~im ydmiz }`i Aoziim Lzabiwgzf ~`gyhm ji ngd}ed"yim jy} }`i g}`iz ~`gyhm ji nadnihhim adm ~ynniimim ju a ~u~}iba}en di}"

    wgzf gl bimeyb"~nahi oa~"lezim {gwiz {had}~ ngddin}im }g a }zad~"Fgziad{e{ihedi ozem$ Ahh ~yn` {haddedo gl ngyz~i diim~ }g ji ngd}edoid} gd a zi~g"hy}egd gl }`i dynhiaz nze~e~ ngd~e~}id} we}` }`i eb{iza}e|i~ gl ohgjah ~inyze}u$

    Zilizidni~

    J[ Abgng$ :;;;$ ^}a}e~}enah Zi|eiw gl _gzhm Idizou :;;>$ Hgdmgd3 Jze}e~`[i}zghiyb Ngb{adu$

    J[ Abgng$ :;;>$ ^}a}e~}enah Zi|eiw gl _gzhm Idizou :;;>$ Hgdmgd3 Jze}e~`

    [i}zghiyb Ngb{adu$

    Jzggfi Cabi~$ :;;=$ ]wg Idizou [had~ lgz Dgz}` Fgzia$Diw Ugzf ]ebi~( >Lijzyazu ~in$ _1$

    Jyzzgw~ _ehheab I$ adm Zgjiz} _edmzib$ 155=$ Nze}enah Ba~~$ Diw Ugzf3

    ^ebgd adm ^n`y~}iz$

    Nahmiz Fid} I$ 155$ Oa~ adm Oig{ghe}en~ ed Dgz}`ia~} A~ea$ _gzhm[ghenu Cgyzdah (_ed}iz%$

  • 8/3/2019 Coping with North Koreas Energy Future: KEDO and Beyond

    20/21

    Ng{edo we}` Dgz}` Fgzia~ Idizou Ly}yzi3 FIMG adm Jiugdm :?>

    E|adg| \hamebez E$ :;;:$ Dgz}` Fgzia ]`i Fgziad [ided~yha Idizou Mi|ih"

    g{bid} Gzoadesa}egd adm Zy~~ea$ [a{iz {zi~id}im a} }`i Ed}izda}egdah_gzf~`g{ gd Idizou inyze}u adm ^y~}aedajhi Mi|ihg{bid} ed Dgz}`ia~}

    A~ea ^igyh :5>1 Bazn`$Feb ^abyih ^$ adm Hii ]ae @wad$ :;;:$ Dgz}` Fgzia adm Dgz}`ia~} A~ea$

    Had`ab Bm$3 Zgwbad adm He}}hileihm$

    Fgziad [ided~yha Idizou Mi|ihg{bid} Gzoadesa}egd (FIMG%$ :;;1$ Addyah

    Zi{gz}$ Diw Ugzf3 FIMG$

    $ :;;:$ Addyah Zi{gz}$ Diw Ugzf3 FIMG$

    Dghadm Bazny~$ :;;;$A|gemedo }`i A{gnahu{~i3 ]`i Ly}yzi gl }`i ]wg Fgzia~$

    _a~`edo}gd M$N$3 Ed~}e}y}i lgz Ed}izda}egdah Ingdgben~$

    [aef Fiyd"wggf$ 1559$ Oa~ adm Geh ed Dgz}`ia~} A~ea3 [ghe}en~( [zgcin}~( adm

    [zg~{in}~$ Hgdmgd3 Zguah Ed~}e}y}i gl Ed}izda}egdah Allaez~$[ghhanf Cgda}`ad M$ :;;>$ ]`i Yde}im ^}a}i~ Dgz}` Fgzia adm }`i Idm gl

    }`i Aoziim Lzabiwgzf$Da|ah _az Nghhioi Zi|eiw$ ^ybbiz3 11=5$

    ^eoah Higd \$ 1550$ Me~azbedo ^}zadoiz~3 Dynhiaz Me{hgbanu we}` Dgz}` Fgzia$

    [zedni}gd3 [zedni}gd Yde|iz~e}u [zi~~$

    ^dumiz ^ng}}$ :;;;$ ]`i Fgziad [ided~yha Idizou Mi|ihg{bid} Gzoadesa"

    }egd3 Eb{hena}egd~ lgz Dgz}`ia~} A~ead Zioegdah ^inyze}u Ngg{iza}egdDgz}` [anelen [ghenu [a{iz~ ^izei~ dg$ >$ \adngy|iz3 Yde|iz~e}u gl Jze}e~`Nghybjea$ www$eaz$yjn$na'{na{~'{yj~'~dumiz${ml$

    \ahidnea Bazf A$ adm Cabi~ Mgzead$ 1550$ Byh}eha}izah Ngg{iza}egd edDgz}`ia~} A~ea~ Idizou ^in}gz3 [g~~ejehe}ei~ adm [zgjhib~$ _gzfedo {a"{iz Ia~}"_i~} Nid}iz @gdghyhy$ www$neagdi}$gzo'w{~'~`~gh'eonn>

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    Fgzia Ed~}e}y}i lgzFgzia Ingdgben Ed~}e}y}i Ed}izda}egdah Ingdgben [ghenu Abizenad Id}iz{ze~i Ed~}e}y}i N`g~yd"Ehjg

    1:;1 L ^}zii}( D$_$( }i$ 51; >;;"=( Ugbogf"Mgdo 119; i|id}iid} ^}$( D$_$ ?"?=?( Fgzia _a~`edo}gd( MN :;;>< ^igyh( 1;;"?9