Coffee : World Markets and Trade

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service

Coffee: World Markets and Trade

Circular Series

June 2010

Record Brazilian and World Production Forecast for 2010/11

0

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2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

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Brazil Vietnam Other

2010/11 Forecast Overview Although world carry-in stocks are forecast to be relatively tight in 2010/11, perhaps reflected in the recent price surge, record production is expected to boost trade and replenish ending stocks. Consumption is forecast to expand 2 percent, the average growth rate over the last several years. Carry-in Stocks Carry-in stocks are forecast at just 31.3 million bags (60 kilograms), down 5.5 million from the previous year, mainly due to a reduction in Brazil. The top two exporting countries Brazil and Vietnam hold just 15 percent of total carry-in stocks while Europe, the United States and Japan account over 75 percent. Recently, Brazil and Vietnam implemented policies to support stockpiling in an effort to shift this balance.

_______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA

Production Low Brazilian 2010/11 Carry-in Stocks

0

5

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20

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30

35

40

45

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

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Importers Other Exporters Brazil

World coffee production for 2010/11 is forecast at a record 139.7 million bags, up 14 million mostly due to Brazil. Over 50 percent of the world’s coffee is again expected to be produced by Brazil and Vietnam. Brazil is forecast to jump 10.5 million bags to a record 55.3 million in 2010/11 (July-June marketing year). Arabica production is forecast to increase 8.8 million bags to 41.8 million due to the on-year of the biennial cycle. Precipitation between July and September 2009 promoted several favorable blooms as well as good fruit setting and cherry development. Because growers conduct only one harvest per year, multiple blooms at various maturity levels might affect the quality of the crop. Robusta production is forecast up 1.7 million bags to 13.5 million due to good crop management and irrigation. Vietnam experienced reasonable rainfall during blossoming, which was followed by good fruit setting and cherry development. Therefore, production is forecast to rebound 1.2 million bags to 18.7 million in 2010/11 (October-September), marking the fifth straight year where production has ranged between 17.5 and 19.5 million bags. Prior to this, the sector expanded rapidly.

Problems Persist in Colombia

0

2

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8

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12

14

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

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Production Total Exports

Colombia is forecast to expand 800,000 bags to 9.0 million in 2010/11 (October-September), though several factors are expected to keep the harvest below the five-year average of 11.8 million. High temperatures and dry conditions during most of the main crop’s flowering period will likely lower yields. These conditions also discouraged farmers from applying fertilizers, further restraining yields for the main crop. Moderate recovery is forecast for the mitaca crop.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

June 2010

Indonesia is forecast up 450,000 bags to 9.6 million in 2010/11 (April-March), making it the third largest producer after Brazil and Vietnam. Continued expansion is possible in the next few years as some farmers begin to convert from cocoa to coffee production in response to a recently announced cocoa export tax. India is forecast to slip 225,000 bags to 4.6 million in 2010/11 (October-September) as a result of limited rainfall and high temperatures in some growing regions, though most areas received good pre-blossom precipitation. Mexico is forecast 200,000 bags higher at 4.6 million in 2010/11 (October-September) due to favorable weather and younger trees coming into full bearing. Over the next few years, crop area is expected to expand at a moderate pace. Consumption World consumption is forecast at a record 131.5 million bags, up 2.8 million with Brazil and the EU-27 accounting for half the growth. Over the last several years, consumption in producing countries, especially Brazil and Vietnam, has expanded at a faster pace than import markets such as the EU-27 and the United States. The Brazilian Coffee Industry Association has encouraged domestic demand through a strong marketing campaign as well as programs designed to improve product quality. In Vietnam, numerous coffee shops have opened in several urban areas in response to coffee’s popularity and availability.

• Brazil is forecast 750,000 bags higher to 19.5 million. • Vietnam is forecast up 140,000 bags to 1.2 million. • EU-27 is forecast to expand 650,000 bags to 46.3 million. • United States is forecast to add nearly 400,000 bags to 23.7 million. • Japan is forecast 125,000 bags lower to 6.7 million.

Imports Total Green Bean Equivalent (GBE) imports are forecast at 100.2 million bags, up 4.4 million. Green coffee beans are forecast at 90.9 million bags, soluble at 9.0 million and roasted at 0.3 million.

• EU-27 is forecast to expand 2.4 million bags to 46.8 million. • United States is forecast to add 1.3 million bags to 23.9 million. • Japan is forecast to edge up 125,000 bags to 6.8 million. • Russia is forecast 250,000 bags higher to 4.1 million (60 percent soluble).

Exports Total GBE exports are forecast at 103.4 million bags, up 5.1 million. Green coffee beans are forecast at 92.9 million bags, soluble at 10.3 million and roasted at 0.2 million.

• Brazil is forecast at 32 million bags, up 2.9 million on strong EU demand. Green bean exports are likely to account for 28.6 million bags, while soluble exports are forecast at 3.3 million bags.


June 2010

• Vietnam is forecast at 16.8 million bags, unchanged from the previous year. Green bean exports are expected to account for all but 100,000 bags.

• Colombia is forecast at 8.8 million, up 900,000 bags as export markets consume nearly the entire crop.

ICO Composite Price Climbs on Tight

Carry-in Supplies

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125

150

2007 2008 2009 2010

U.S

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ound

Source: International Coffee Organization

Prices In response to tight supplies, the International Coffee Organization (ICO) composite price jumped nearly 15 percent in mid-June. The volatility was driven by heavy short covering of the July contract, fund buying and only marginal producer selling. 2009/10 Production Estimate Revisions

• World production is revised up 400,000 bags to 125.7 million. • Brazil is revised up 1.3 million bags to 44.8 million due to stronger Arabica harvest. • Colombia is lowered 800,000 bags to 8.2 million, as the main crop underperformed and the mitaca

crop shows similar weakness. For further information, please contact Tony Halstead at 202-690-2313, or send an email to [email protected] PSD Online Users can find the release schedule and generate the full USDA Production, Supply and Distribution (PSD) dataset for reporting countries by accessing the following link: http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx


June 2010

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

Table 01 Coffee World Production, Supply and Distribution

Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags

Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Production Imports Total Supply Exports Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distribution

Exportable

Production

Coffee, Green

42,922100,68025,66718,45256,561100,68053461,16217,80742,97738,984 1976/77

52,23397,01829,43518,82848,75597,01862770,72415,92054,43025,667 1977/78

60,035109,13125,05719,46264,612109,13167879,01818,77059,84729,435 1978/79

62,283107,61625,52319,96362,130107,61665381,90619,20762,30225,057 1979/80

66,007112,37230,97920,43860,955112,37267586,17422,58463,15425,523 1980/81

77,771129,75743,84220,55665,359129,75775598,02322,39675,13230,979 1981/82

61,916126,47940,19920,22166,059126,47973381,90422,19659,25843,842 1982/83

68,490129,60640,83820,57768,191129,60660688,80117,90570,45940,199 1983/84

68,591131,65637,36621,96872,322131,65645690,36224,59165,30240,838 1984/85

74,777133,51341,81521,22070,478133,51339795,75023,99871,29937,366 1985/86

58,416121,47133,28721,20266,982121,47126279,39426,12152,81241,815 1986/87

82,310136,75348,17421,07567,504136,753296103,17023,81078,98533,287 1987/88

73,168142,75450,19321,19071,371142,75441594,16528,90164,93448,174 1988/89

76,157147,40943,01220,99583,402147,40925896,95827,54269,11850,193 1989/90

78,131143,52445,09622,26576,163143,524331100,18127,76872,14343,012 1990/91

81,950149,45146,29822,26680,887149,451291104,06429,80973,98045,096 1991/92

71,722139,97040,52221,57977,869139,97071392,95927,45565,23446,298 1992/93

69,764133,51334,30122,92876,284133,51358592,40627,14665,05240,522 1993/94

74,978132,41341,21522,52668,672132,4131,07097,04228,03368,80934,301 1994/95

65,393131,24033,08824,04974,103131,2401,07988,94627,37261,39441,215 1995/96

79,780137,96529,09524,36184,509137,9651,091103,78637,23666,45233,088 1996/97

72,986128,00224,88325,18077,939128,0021,22097,68732,94064,71229,095 1997/98

83,533135,27124,40025,73885,133135,2711,435108,95334,06074,85924,883 1998/99

88,064139,25620,87525,64892,733139,2561,303113,55340,32373,20024,400 1999/00

91,357139,87422,61826,31990,937139,8741,478117,52147,00070,48620,875 2000/01

83,994135,78319,71727,77488,292135,7831,647111,51843,28968,19922,618 2001/02

101,482180,25734,59449,78795,876180,25730,218128,42243,44184,95321,617 2002/03

80,585236,00340,845105,18789,971236,00376,444110,75044,18566,54048,809 2003/04

89,768252,88741,564118,66892,655252,88790,880121,16243,24377,89440,845 2004/05

84,810249,46832,658124,56492,246249,46891,094116,81046,99669,78941,564 2005/06

99,091260,80535,101123,675102,029260,80596,599131,54849,42982,09432,658 2006/07

88,631253,18929,533127,05496,602253,18996,326121,76248,72973,00835,101 2007/08

100,625260,83836,839123,930100,069260,83896,137135,16851,75683,38729,533 2008/09

90,592258,26231,295128,67098,297258,26295,767125,65650,47275,15936,839 2009/10

103,493271,23936,303131,498103,438271,239100,248139,69653,72085,95131,295 2010/11

Note:

After 2003/04, the database includes import and consumption data for non-producing countries.


June 2010

Table 02A Green Coffee Bean Production


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jun

2010/11

Production none

25 Angola 35 35 35 35 35

135 Bolivia 152 140 135 150 140

36,100 Brazil 46,700 39,100 53,300 44,800 55,300

285 Burundi 287 209 388 300 300

850 Cameroon 835 695 650 590 590

21 Central African Republic 45 50 10 10 10

11,953 Colombia 12,164 12,515 8,664 8,200 9,000

236 Congo (Kinshasa) 280 315 300 325 300

1,751 Costa Rica 1,782 1,867 1,580 1,456 1,380

2,062 Cote d'Ivoire 2,447 2,198 1,853 2,253 2,200

125 Cuba 100 70 127 120 120

310 Dominican Republic 390 465 545 500 500

784 Ecuador 805 702 637 635 650

1,387 El Salvador 1,400 1,650 1,550 1,400 1,475

4,000 Ethiopia 4,036 3,906 3,650 4,100 4,200

17 Ghana 29 27 19 23 21

3,715 Guatemala 4,050 4,110 3,980 4,160 4,010

525 Guinea 400 250 400 425 450

331 Haiti 337 335 360 300 350

3,204 Honduras 3,460 3,642 3,450 3,650 3,800

4,617 India 4,665 4,660 4,375 4,825 4,600

9,450 Indonesia 7,500 7,300 9,300 9,150 9,600

34 Jamaica 30 35 31 31 30

869 Kenya 869 700 884 850 850

417 Laos 400 350 350 350 350

71 Liberia 53 40 30 10 10

592 Madagascar 582 555 530 480 550

24 Malawi 17 25 25 25 25

700 Malaysia 500 930 952 1,000 1,000

4,200 Mexico 4,400 4,250 4,650 4,400 4,600

1,718 Nicaragua 1,300 1,850 1,650 1,950 1,800

59 Nigeria 51 42 51 40 40

173 Panama 170 170 120 120 120

1,265 Papua New Guinea 810 970 1,035 1,035 1,050

45 Paraguay 20 28 25 25 25

2,420 Peru 4,400 2,800 4,000 3,300 4,000

710 Philippines 705 690 580 685 650

340 Rwanda 400 230 340 240 350

60 Sierra Leone 31 42 87 67 80

34 Sri Lanka 32 35 35 35 35

800 Tanzania 820 830 1,040 900 1,000

1,000 Thailand 750 900 800 900 900

140 Togo 180 255 200 250 250

15 Trinidad and Tobago 12 2 2 10 10

1,560 Uganda 2,300 2,500 3,200 3,000 3,200

168 United States 154 151 133 106 110

820 Venezuela 862 900 900 725 690

16,335 Vietnam 19,500 18,000 18,000 17,500 18,725

189 Yemen 200 150 150 150 150

103 Zambia 56 60 35 35 35

66 Zimbabwe 45 31 25 30 30

116,810 Total 131,548 121,762 135,168 125,656 139,696

Notes:

Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.

Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.


June 2010

Table 02B Arabica Coffee Production


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jun

2010/11

Arabica Production none

0 Angola 0 0 0 0 0

135 Bolivia 152 140 135 150 140

26,000 Brazil 36,000 27,650 40,500 33,000 41,800

285 Burundi 287 209 388 300 300

93 Cameroon 90 90 90 90 90


11,953 Colombia 12,164 12,515 8,664 8,200 9,000

54 Congo (Kinshasa) 100 115 100 125 100

1,751 Costa Rica 1,782 1,867 1,580 1,456 1,380

0 Cote d'Ivoire 0 0 0 0 0

125 Cuba 100 70 127 120 120


439 Ecuador 450 419 379 380 390

1,387 El Salvador 1,400 1,650 1,550 1,400 1,475

4,000 Ethiopia 4,036 3,906 3,650 4,100 4,200

0 Ghana 0 0 0 0 0

3,700 Guatemala 4,040 4,100 3,970 4,150 4,000

0 Guinea 0 0 0 0 0

331 Haiti 337 335 360 300 350

3,204 Honduras 3,460 3,642 3,450 3,650 3,800

1,594 India 1,415 1,580 1,325 1,575 1,675

1,050 Indonesia 900 800 1,200 1,350 1,500

34 Jamaica 30 35 31 31 30

867 Kenya 867 699 884 850 850

0 Laos 0 0 0 0 0

0 Liberia 0 0 0 0 0

30 Madagascar 30 30 30 30 30

24 Malawi 17 25 25 25 25

0 Malaysia 0 0 0 0 0

4,000 Mexico 4,200 4,000 4,400 4,200 4,350

1,718 Nicaragua 1,300 1,850 1,650 1,950 1,800

0 Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0

173 Panama 170 170 120 120 120

1,200 Papua New Guinea 780 925 1,000 1,000 1,000

45 Paraguay 20 28 25 25 25

2,420 Peru 4,400 2,800 4,000 3,300 4,000

35 Philippines 35 35 35 35 0

340 Rwanda 400 230 340 240 350

0 Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0

10 Sri Lanka 9 10 10 10 10

500 Tanzania 515 525 700 600 650

0 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0

0 Togo 0 0 0 0 0


300 Uganda 400 400 400 400 400

168 United States 154 151 133 106 110

820 Venezuela 862 900 900 725 690

335 Vietnam 500 400 480 450 475

189 Yemen 200 150 150 150 150

103 Zambia 56 60 35 35 35

66 Zimbabwe 45 31 25 30 30

69,789 Total 82,094 73,008 83,387 75,159 85,951

Notes:




June 2010

Table 02C Robusta Coffee Production


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jun

2010/11

Robusta Production none

25 Angola 35 35 35 35 35

0 Bolivia 0 0 0 0 0

10,100 Brazil 10,700 11,450 12,800 11,800 13,500

0 Burundi 0 0 0 0 0

757 Cameroon 745 605 560 500 500


0 Colombia 0 0 0 0 0

182 Congo (Kinshasa) 180 200 200 200 200

0 Costa Rica 0 0 0 0 0

2,062 Cote d'Ivoire 2,447 2,198 1,853 2,253 2,200

0 Cuba 0 0 0 0 0


345 Ecuador 355 283 258 255 260

0 El Salvador 0 0 0 0 0

0 Ethiopia 0 0 0 0 0

17 Ghana 29 27 19 23 21

15 Guatemala 10 10 10 10 10

525 Guinea 400 250 400 425 450

0 Haiti 0 0 0 0 0

0 Honduras 0 0 0 0 0

3,023 India 3,250 3,080 3,050 3,250 2,925

8,400 Indonesia 6,600 6,500 8,100 7,800 8,100

0 Jamaica 0 0 0 0 0

2 Kenya 2 1 0 0 0

417 Laos 400 350 350 350 350

71 Liberia 53 40 30 10 10

562 Madagascar 552 525 500 450 520

0 Malawi 0 0 0 0 0

700 Malaysia 500 930 952 1,000 1,000

200 Mexico 200 250 250 200 250

0 Nicaragua 0 0 0 0 0

59 Nigeria 51 42 51 40 40

0 Panama 0 0 0 0 0

65 Papua New Guinea 30 45 35 35 50

0 Paraguay 0 0 0 0 0

0 Peru 0 0 0 0 0

650 Philippines 645 630 520 625 625

0 Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0

60 Sierra Leone 31 42 87 67 80

24 Sri Lanka 23 25 25 25 25

300 Tanzania 305 305 340 300 350

1,000 Thailand 750 900 800 900 900

140 Togo 180 255 200 250 250


1,260 Uganda 1,900 2,100 2,800 2,600 2,800

0 United States 0 0 0 0 0

0 Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0

16,000 Vietnam 19,000 17,600 17,520 17,050 18,250

0 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0

0 Zambia 0 0 0 0 0

0 Zimbabwe 0 0 0 0 0

46,996 Total 49,429 48,729 51,756 50,472 53,720

Notes:




June 2010

Table 03A Total Coffee Exports


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jun

2010/11

Exports none

5 Angola 5 4 4 7 6

69 Bolivia 104 73 74 75 75

24,543 Brazil 29,260 27,290 31,475 29,080 32,000

475 Burundi 240 300 250 310 350

715 Cameroon 790 560 480 550 575


10,678 Colombia 11,155 11,525 8,716 7,850 8,750

105 Congo (Kinshasa) 78 110 117 100 125

1,388 Costa Rica 1,582 1,588 1,335 1,210 1,150

2,010 Cote d'Ivoire 2,095 1,890 1,555 1,975 1,950

8 Cuba 13 5 6 7 5


849 Ecuador 876 834 863 1,137 1,170

1,315 El Salvador 1,325 1,585 1,510 1,404 1,454

2,250 Ethiopia 2,225 2,110 1,850 2,300 2,400

16 Ghana 28 26 18 22 20

3,325 Guatemala 3,980 3,890 3,783 4,100 3,850

460 Guinea 390 195 375 390 425

24 Haiti 21 19 17 15 17

2,850 Honduras 3,370 3,440 3,250 3,500 3,600

4,120 India 3,609 3,820 3,120 3,575 3,400

8,040 Indonesia 6,400 5,900 7,675 7,725 8,050

23 Jamaica 20 30 26 26 25

615 Kenya 870 820 980 850 850

250 Laos 260 220 250 250 250

66 Liberia 49 40 30 10 10

140 Madagascar 200 165 115 40 120

21 Malawi 17 25 25 24 24

1,127 Malaysia 1,171 1,580 1,582 1,620 1,620

2,400 Mexico 2,770 2,515 2,825 2,765 2,800

1,494 Nicaragua 1,280 1,745 1,585 1,835 1,710

30 Nigeria 9 1 1 1 1

80 Panama 95 96 45 45 45

1,175 Papua New Guinea 820 900 1,070 1,000 1,000

23 Paraguay 10 10 5 5 5

2,270 Peru 4,200 2,660 3,830 3,150 3,900

2 Philippines 1 0 0 0 0

340 Rwanda 400 230 340 240 350

30 Sierra Leone 30 25 70 50 60

670 Tanzania 745 730 880 855 880

550 Thailand 325 460 410 450 505

145 Togo 200 250 200 240 250

1,410 Uganda 1,840 2,160 2,740 2,575 2,700

105 Venezuela 120 160 10 10 10

15,730 Vietnam 18,840 16,418 16,463 16,810 16,840

30 Yemen 20 20 10 10 10

102 Zambia 55 59 35 35 35

99 Zimbabwe 41 27 21 26 26

92,246 Total 102,029 96,602 100,069 98,297 103,438

Notes:

A conversion factor of 2.6 was used to convert soluble coffee to the green bean equivalent.



For the United States, Canada and the EU-27, exports appear as zero in the database and the actual amount has been subtracted from

imports to show net imports.


June 2010

Table 03B Green Coffee Bean Exports


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jun

2010/11

Bean Exports none

5 Angola 5 4 4 7 6

69 Bolivia 104 73 74 75 75

21,264 Brazil 26,185 23,770 28,396 26,000 28,600

475 Burundi 240 300 250 310 350

715 Cameroon 790 560 480 550 575


9,855 Colombia 10,460 10,770 7,941 7,100 8,000

105 Congo (Kinshasa) 78 110 117 100 125

1,388 Costa Rica 1,582 1,588 1,335 1,210 1,150

1,700 Cote d'Ivoire 1,710 1,550 1,180 1,625 1,600

8 Cuba 13 5 6 7 5


278 Ecuador 285 162 179 436 450

1,310 El Salvador 1,320 1,580 1,506 1,400 1,450

2,250 Ethiopia 2,225 2,110 1,850 2,300 2,400

16 Ghana 28 26 18 22 20

3,325 Guatemala 3,980 3,890 3,783 4,100 3,850

460 Guinea 390 195 375 390 425

24 Haiti 21 19 17 15 17

2,850 Honduras 3,370 3,440 3,250 3,500 3,600

3,180 India 2,550 2,620 2,120 2,350 2,200

7,700 Indonesia 6,000 5,300 6,600 6,650 6,950

23 Jamaica 20 30 26 26 25

615 Kenya 870 820 980 850 850

250 Laos 260 220 250 250 250

66 Liberia 49 40 30 10 10

140 Madagascar 200 165 115 40 120

21 Malawi 17 25 25 24 24

27 Malaysia 21 20 22 20 20

1,975 Mexico 2,260 1,910 2,125 2,150 2,200

1,369 Nicaragua 1,130 1,580 1,425 1,675 1,550

30 Nigeria 9 1 1 1 1

80 Panama 95 96 45 45 45

1,175 Papua New Guinea 820 900 1,070 1,000 1,000

23 Paraguay 10 10 5 5 5

2,270 Peru 4,200 2,660 3,830 3,150 3,900

2 Philippines 1 0 0 0 0

340 Rwanda 400 230 340 240 350

30 Sierra Leone 30 25 70 50 60

0 Sri Lanka 0 0 0 0 0

660 Tanzania 735 720 875 850 875

540 Thailand 315 50 25 25 5

145 Togo 200 250 200 240 250


1,410 Uganda 1,840 2,160 2,740 2,575 2,700

0 United States 0 0 0 0 0

70 Venezuela 85 120 10 10 10

15,660 Vietnam 18,740 16,283 16,333 16,675 16,675

30 Yemen 20 20 10 10 10

102 Zambia 55 59 35 35 35

99 Zimbabwe 41 27 21 26 26

84,198 Total 93,854 86,584 90,137 88,172 92,884

Notes:






June 2010

Table 03C Soluble Coffee Exports


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jun

2010/11

Soluble Exports none

3,193 Brazil 3,020 3,395 2,991 3,000 3,300

803 Colombia 680 720 725 675 700

310 Cote d'Ivoire 385 340 375 350 350

570 Ecuador 590 670 682 691 700


940 India 1,059 1,200 1,000 1,225 1,200

340 Indonesia 400 600 1,075 1,075 1,100

1,100 Malaysia 1,150 1,560 1,560 1,600 1,600

425 Mexico 510 605 700 615 600

125 Nicaragua 150 165 160 160 160

10 Tanzania 10 10 5 5 5

10 Thailand 10 410 385 425 500

50 Vietnam 75 115 105 110 115

7,878 Total 8,041 9,792 9,765 9,933 10,332

Notes:







June 2010

Table 04A Total Coffee Imports


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jun

2010/11

Imports none

2,100 Algeria 1,825 2,025 2,045 2,050 2,100

490 Argentina 510 490 480 500 500

850 Australia 900 920 950 1,010 1,025

1,960 Canada 1,950 1,940 1,940 1,900 1,950

275 China 300 300 320 400 450

305 Colombia 215 142 695 815 890

330 Croatia 330 325 300 305 310

55 Cuba 210 230 240 220 225

217 Ecuador 222 274 389 682 710

124 El Salvador 117 96 167 161 143

43,715 EU-27 46,485 45,760 45,355 44,425 46,775

20 Guatemala 20 63 43 33 31

10 Honduras 12 14 11 15 13

376 India 334 490 530 575 600

30 Indonesia 800 100 125 350 200

7,240 Japan 7,025 6,860 7,115 6,675 6,800

1,425 Korea, South 1,400 1,550 1,680 1,675 1,750

839 Malaysia 1,156 1,200 1,080 1,120 1,120

36 Mexico 49 135 136 140 140

525 Morocco 560 570 600 650 700

560 Norway 650 590 610 525 600

565 Philippines 585 1,025 1,265 1,500 1,600

3,775 Russia 4,410 4,520 3,455 3,850 4,100

575 Serbia 590 590 590 560 575

430 South Africa 430 410 330 400 425

1,275 Switzerland 1,490 1,710 1,800 1,850 1,900

0 Thailand 5 200 130 100 100

190 Turkey 230 230 260 270 280

22,715 United States 23,670 23,475 23,400 22,600 23,900

13 Venezuela 4 4 0 310 230

74 Vietnam 115 88 96 101 106

91,094 Total 96,599 96,326 96,137 95,767 100,248

Notes:







June 2010

Table 04B Green Coffee Bean Imports


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jun

2010/11

Bean Imports none

2,100 Algeria 1,825 2,025 2,045 2,050 2,100

490 Argentina 510 490 480 500 500

850 Australia 900 920 950 1,010 1,025

1,960 Canada 1,950 1,940 1,940 1,900 1,950

275 China 300 300 320 400 450

290 Colombia 190 110 650 775 850

330 Croatia 330 325 300 305 310

41,775 EU-27 44,325 43,550 43,340 42,400 44,750

126 Ecuador 130 210 310 600 625


366 India 334 490 530 575 600

30 Indonesia 800 100 125 350 200

6,400 Japan 6,200 6,150 6,375 6,000 6,150

1,425 Korea, South 1,400 1,550 1,680 1,675 1,750

503 Malaysia 730 660 650 650 650

10 Mexico 21 15 15 20 20

525 Morocco 560 570 600 650 700

560 Norway 650 590 610 525 600

240 Philippines 210 400 350 500 500

700 Russia 960 970 1,240 1,450 1,600

575 Serbia 590 590 590 560 575

430 South Africa 430 410 330 400 425

1,275 Switzerland 1,490 1,710 1,800 1,850 1,900

0 Thailand 5 200 130 100 100

190 Turkey 230 230 260 270 280

20,830 United States 22,110 21,775 21,660 20,750 22,000

50 Vietnam 79 65 70 75 80

82,345 Total 87,290 86,346 87,353 86,650 90,920

Notes:



Imports for the United States, Canada and the EU-27 are net imports after subtracting exports.


June 2010

Table 04C Soluble Coffee Imports


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jun

2010/11

Soluble Imports none

90 Ecuador 91 64 77 79 80

85 El Salvador 72 80 150 150 130

1,940 EU-27 2,160 2,210 2,015 2,025 2,025

20 Guatemala 20 60 40 30 30

5 Honduras 6 7 3 7 5

840 Japan 825 710 740 675 650

325 Malaysia 406 520 410 450 450

0 Mexico 0 100 106 100 100

325 Philippines 375 625 915 1,000 1,100

3,075 Russia 3,450 3,550 2,215 2,400 2,500

1,885 United States 1,560 1,700 1,740 1,850 1,900

23 Vietnam 35 22 25 25 25

8,623 Total 9,000 9,648 8,436 8,791 8,995

Notes:







June 2010

Table 05 Green Coffee Bean Ending Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jun

2010/11

Ending Stocks none

25 Angola 30 25 21 14 8

107 Bolivia 75 62 43 38 23

7,641 Brazil 8,361 2,781 6,576 3,546 7,346

75 Burundi 119 23 156 141 86

94 Cameroon 64 124 219 184 124

0 Canada 0 0 0 0 0


756 Colombia 890 885 328 293 233

16 Congo (Kinshasa) 43 48 31 56 31

200 Costa Rica 77 76 71 67 42

130 Cote d'Ivoire 182 190 188 166 116


12,300 EU-27 14,460 14,375 17,925 16,725 17,225

10 Ecuador 14 8 8 7 1

5 El Salvador 5 5 42 29 23

221 Ethiopia 207 178 153 128 103

5 Ghana 5 5 5 5 5

176 Guatemala 46 119 159 52 43

42 Guinea 12 27 12 7 2

89 Haiti 65 41 44 29 22

114 Honduras 41 57 43 33 46

255 India 95 65 150 165 145

63 Indonesia 233 93 98 123 123

0 Jamaica 0 0 0 0 0

2,450 Japan 2,160 1,960 2,050 1,950 2,100

490 Kenya 439 269 123 73 23

0 Korea, South 0 0 0 0 0

225 Madagascar 132 72 37 27 7

3 Malawi 2 1 0 0 0

120 Mexico 49 119 130 105 95

113 Nicaragua 18 33 8 33 33

6 Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0

125 Norway 125 125 125 125 125

0 Panama 0 0 0 0 0

81 Papua New Guinea 46 86 21 26 46

96 Paraguay 71 54 39 24 9

24 Peru 74 64 84 84 34

65 Philippines 34 29 54 14 39

0 Russia 0 0 0 0 0

0 Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0

5 Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0

0 South Africa 0 0 0 0 0

14 Sri Lanka 11 6 0 0 0

200 Switzerland 200 200 200 200 200

34 Tanzania 9 9 69 14 34

82 Thailand 12 102 42 92 62

22 Togo 0 3 1 9 7

33 Uganda 93 33 43 18 18

5,200 United States 5,700 5,600 5,333 4,700 5,000

526 Venezuela 482 366 331 381 316

212 Vietnam 237 1,057 1,740 1,496 2,312

0 Zimbabwe 0 0 0 0 0

32,658 Total 35,101 29,533 36,839 31,295 36,303

Notes:




June 2010

Table 06 World Coffee Supply and Distribution, 2010/11


Country Beginning

Stocks

Total

Production

Bean

Imports

Domestic

Use

Bean Exports Ending

Stocks

Exportable

Production

Caribbean

0 0053401200 Cuba

0 350354655000 Dominican Republic

0 10221734035029 Haiti

0 250255300 Jamaica

0 00010100 Trinidad and Tobago

0 7022821,1601,01029 Total Caribbean

Central America

0 1,125421,1502551,38067 Costa Rica

0 1,305231,4501701,47529 El Salvador

0 3,810433,8502004,01052 Guatemala

0 3,600463,6002003,80033 Honduras

0 1,710331,550901,80033 Nicaragua

0 45045751200 Panama

0 11,59518711,64599012,585214 Total Central America

East Asia

450 00045000 China

6,150 02,10006,65001,950 Japan

1,750 0001,75000 Korea, South

8,350 02,10008,85001,950 Total East Asia

European Union

44,750 017,225046,275016,725 EU-27

44,750 017,225046,275016,725 Total European Union

Former Soviet Union - 12

1,600 0004,10000 Russia

1,600 0004,10000 Total Former Soviet Union - 12

North Africa

2,100 0002,10000 Algeria

700 00070000 Morocco

2,800 0002,80000 Total North Africa

North America

1,950 0001,95000 Canada

20 2,650952,2001,9504,600105 Mexico

22,000 05,000023,7101104,700 United States

23,970 2,6505,0952,20027,6104,7104,805 Total North America

Oceania

1,025 0001,02500 Australia

0 000000 New Caledonia

0 1,020461,000301,05026 Papua New Guinea

1,025 1,020461,0001,0551,05026 Total Oceania

310 00031000 Croatia

600 012506000125 Norway

575 00057500 Serbia

1,900 020001,9000200 Switzerland

3,385 032503,3850325 Total Other Europe

South America

500 00050000 Argentina


June 2010

Table 06 World Coffee Supply and Distribution, 2010/11 (Continued)


Country Beginning

Stocks

Total

Production

Bean

Imports

Domestic

Use

Bean Exports Ending

Stocks

Exportable

Production

0 6023758014038 Bolivia

0 35,8007,34628,60019,50055,3003,546 Brazil

850 7,8002338,0001,2009,000293 Colombia

625 45414501966507 Ecuador

0 095352524 Paraguay

0 3,850343,9001504,00084 Peru

230 031610975690381 Venezuela

0 000000 Other South America

2,205 47,9647,96241,04022,63669,8054,373 Total South America

South Asia

600 2,7801452,2001,8204,600165 India

0 00035350 Sri Lanka

600 2,7801452,2001,8554,635165 Total South Asia

Southeast Asia

200 7,8501236,9501,7509,600123 Indonesia

0 25002501003500 Laos

650 5000205001,0000 Malaysia

500 03902,22565014 Philippines

100 37562552590092 Thailand

80 17,5502,31216,6751,17518,7251,496 Vietnam

1,530 26,5252,53623,9006,27531,2251,725 Total Southeast Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

0 086353514 Angola

0 295863505300141 Burundi

0 51512457575590184 Cameroon

0 09652510116 Central African Republic

0 1003112520030056 Congo (Kinshasa)

0 1,9001161,6003002,200166 Cote d'Ivoire

0 2,3751032,4001,8254,200128 Ethiopia

0 205201215 Ghana

0 4202425304507 Guinea

0 800238505085073 Kenya

0 100100100 Liberia

0 100712045055027 Madagascar

0 240241250 Malawi

0 10139400 Nigeria

0 350035003500 Rwanda

0 6006020800 Sierra Leone

425 00042500 South Africa

0 900348751001,00014 Tanzania

0 248725022509 Togo

0 2,700182,7005003,20018 Uganda

0 350350350 Zambia

0 260264300 Zimbabwe

0 000000 Other Sub-Saharan Africa

425 10,87966010,8074,08714,526958 Total Sub-Saharan Africa

World

90,920 103,49336,30392,884131,498139,69631,295 World


June 2010



Country Beginning

Stocks

Total

Production

Bean

Imports

Domestic

Use

Bean Exports Ending

Stocks

Exportable

Production

Caribbean

0 0073331200 Cuba


0 0291530030044 Haiti

0 260265310 Jamaica


0 6329851,11196144 Total Caribbean

Central America

0 1,206671,2102501,45671 Costa Rica

0 1,230291,4001701,40042 El Salvador

0 3,960524,1002004,160159 Guatemala

0 3,475333,5001753,65043 Honduras

0 1,860331,675901,9508 Nicaragua

0 45045751200 Panama

0 11,77621411,93096012,736323 Total Central America

East Asia

400 00040000 China

6,000 01,95006,77502,050 Japan

1,675 0001,67500 Korea, South

8,075 01,95008,85002,050 Total East Asia

European Union

42,400 016,725045,625017,925 EU-27



1,450 0003,85000 Russia


North Africa

2,050 0002,05000 Algeria

650 00065000 Morocco


North America

1,900 0001,90000 Canada

20 2,6001052,1501,8004,400130 Mexico

20,750 04,700023,3391065,333 United States


Oceania

1,010 0001,01000 Australia


0 1,005261,000301,03521 Papua New Guinea

1,010 1,005261,0001,0401,03521 Total Oceania

305 00030500 Croatia

525 012505250125 Norway

560 00056000 Serbia

1,850 020001,8500200 Switzerland


South America



June 2010



Country Beginning

Stocks

Total

Production

Bean

Imports

Domestic

Use

Bean Exports Ending

Stocks

Exportable

Production

0 7038758015043 Bolivia

0 26,0503,54626,00018,75044,8006,576 Brazil

775 7,0002937,1001,2008,200328 Colombia

600 45474361816358 Ecuador

0 0245352539 Paraguay

0 3,150843,1501503,30084 Peru

310 038110975725331 Venezuela



South Asia

575 3,0151652,3501,8104,825150 India


575 3,0151652,3501,8454,860150 Total South Asia

Southeast Asia

350 7,4001236,6501,7509,15098 Indonesia

0 25002501003500 Laos

650 5000205001,0000 Malaysia

500 01402,22568554 Philippines

100 400922550090042 Thailand

75 16,4651,49616,6751,03517,5001,740 Vietnam


Sub-Saharan Africa

0 0147353521 Angola

0 2951413105300156 Burundi

0 51518455075590219 Cameroon


0 1255610020032531 Congo (Kinshasa)

0 1,9531661,6253002,253188 Cote d'Ivoire

0 2,2751282,3001,8254,100153 Ethiopia

0 225221235 Ghana

0 38573904042512 Guinea

0 8007385050850123 Kenya

0 100100100 Liberia

0 30274045048037 Madagascar

0 240241250 Malawi

0 10139400 Nigeria

0 240024002400 Rwanda



0 8001485010090069 Tanzania

0 248924022501 Togo

0 2,550182,5754503,00043 Uganda

0 350350350 Zambia



400 10,38495810,2514,01913,9881,195 Total Sub-Saharan Africa

World

86,650 90,59231,29588,172128,670125,65636,839 World


June 2010



Country Beginning

Stocks

Total

Production

Bean

Imports

Domestic

Use

Bean Exports Ending

Stocks

Exportable

Production

Caribbean

0 0063611270 Cuba


0 20441734036041 Haiti

0 260265310 Jamaica


0 8844911,2111,06541 Total Caribbean

Central America

0 1,330711,3352501,58076 Costa Rica

3 1,380421,5061701,5505 El Salvador

0 3,7801593,7832003,980119 Guatemala

0 3,225433,2502253,45057 Honduras

0 1,56081,425901,65033 Nicaragua

0 45045751200 Panama

3 11,32032311,3441,01012,330290 Total Central America

East Asia

320 00032000 China

6,375 02,05007,02501,960 Japan

1,680 0001,68000 Korea, South

8,375 02,05009,02501,960 Total East Asia

European Union

43,340 017,925041,805014,375 EU-27



1,240 0003,45500 Russia


North Africa

2,045 0002,04500 Algeria

600 00060000 Morocco


North America

1,940 0001,94000 Canada

15 2,7001302,1251,9504,650119 Mexico

21,660 05,333023,8001335,600 United States


Oceania

950 00095000 Australia


0 1,005211,070301,03586 Papua New Guinea

950 1,005211,0709801,03586 Total Oceania

300 00030000 Croatia

610 012506100125 Norway

590 00059000 Serbia

1,800 020001,8000200 Switzerland


South America



June 2010



Country Beginning

Stocks

Total

Production

Bean

Imports

Domestic

Use

Bean Exports Ending

Stocks

Exportable

Production

0 5543748013562 Bolivia

0 35,2706,57628,39618,03053,3002,781 Brazil

650 7,4643287,9411,2008,664885 Colombia

310 47481791636378 Ecuador

0 0395352554 Paraguay

0 3,850843,8301504,00064 Peru

0 033110925900366 Venezuela



South Asia

530 2,6751502,1201,7004,37565 India


530 2,6751502,1201,7414,41071 Total South Asia

Southeast Asia

125 7,555986,6001,7459,30093 Indonesia

0 25002501003500 Laos

650 5020224509520 Malaysia

350 05401,82058029 Philippines

130 2204225580800102 Thailand

70 17,0501,74016,33395018,0001,057 Vietnam


Sub-Saharan Africa

0 0214353525 Angola

0 383156250538823 Burundi

0 57521948075650124 Cameroon


0 1003111720030048 Congo (Kinshasa)

0 1,5531881,1803001,853190 Cote d'Ivoire

0 1,8251531,8501,8253,650178 Ethiopia

0 185181195 Ghana

0 360123754040027 Guinea

0 83412398050884269 Kenya

0 300300300 Liberia

0 803711545053072 Madagascar

0 240251251 Malawi

0 10150510 Nigeria

0 340034003400 Rwanda



0 940698751001,0409 Tanzania

0 198120022003 Togo

0 2,750432,7404503,20033 Uganda

0 350350350 Zambia



330 10,1371,1959,7123,96013,7521,165 Total Sub-Saharan Africa

World

87,353 100,62536,83990,137123,930135,16829,533 World


June 2010

Coffee : World Markets and Trade

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