United States Coffee: Circular Series World Markets and Trade€¦ · Coffee: World Markets and...
Transcript of United States Coffee: Circular Series World Markets and Trade€¦ · Coffee: World Markets and...
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service
Coffee: World Markets and Trade
Circular Series
June 2010
Record Brazilian and World Production Forecast for 2010/11
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2010/11 Forecast Overview Although world carry-in stocks are forecast to be relatively tight in 2010/11, perhaps reflected in the recent price surge, record production is expected to boost trade and replenish ending stocks. Consumption is forecast to expand 2 percent, the average growth rate over the last several years. Carry-in Stocks Carry-in stocks are forecast at just 31.3 million bags (60 kilograms), down 5.5 million from the previous year, mainly due to a reduction in Brazil. The top two exporting countries Brazil and Vietnam hold just 15 percent of total carry-in stocks while Europe, the United States and Japan account over 75 percent. Recently, Brazil and Vietnam implemented policies to support stockpiling in an effort to shift this balance.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA
Production Low Brazilian 2010/11 Carry-in Stocks
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World coffee production for 2010/11 is forecast at a record 139.7 million bags, up 14 million mostly due to Brazil. Over 50 percent of the world’s coffee is again expected to be produced by Brazil and Vietnam. Brazil is forecast to jump 10.5 million bags to a record 55.3 million in 2010/11 (July-June marketing year). Arabica production is forecast to increase 8.8 million bags to 41.8 million due to the on-year of the biennial cycle. Precipitation between July and September 2009 promoted several favorable blooms as well as good fruit setting and cherry development. Because growers conduct only one harvest per year, multiple blooms at various maturity levels might affect the quality of the crop. Robusta production is forecast up 1.7 million bags to 13.5 million due to good crop management and irrigation. Vietnam experienced reasonable rainfall during blossoming, which was followed by good fruit setting and cherry development. Therefore, production is forecast to rebound 1.2 million bags to 18.7 million in 2010/11 (October-September), marking the fifth straight year where production has ranged between 17.5 and 19.5 million bags. Prior to this, the sector expanded rapidly.
Problems Persist in Colombia
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Colombia is forecast to expand 800,000 bags to 9.0 million in 2010/11 (October-September), though several factors are expected to keep the harvest below the five-year average of 11.8 million. High temperatures and dry conditions during most of the main crop’s flowering period will likely lower yields. These conditions also discouraged farmers from applying fertilizers, further restraining yields for the main crop. Moderate recovery is forecast for the mitaca crop.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Indonesia is forecast up 450,000 bags to 9.6 million in 2010/11 (April-March), making it the third largest producer after Brazil and Vietnam. Continued expansion is possible in the next few years as some farmers begin to convert from cocoa to coffee production in response to a recently announced cocoa export tax. India is forecast to slip 225,000 bags to 4.6 million in 2010/11 (October-September) as a result of limited rainfall and high temperatures in some growing regions, though most areas received good pre-blossom precipitation. Mexico is forecast 200,000 bags higher at 4.6 million in 2010/11 (October-September) due to favorable weather and younger trees coming into full bearing. Over the next few years, crop area is expected to expand at a moderate pace. Consumption World consumption is forecast at a record 131.5 million bags, up 2.8 million with Brazil and the EU-27 accounting for half the growth. Over the last several years, consumption in producing countries, especially Brazil and Vietnam, has expanded at a faster pace than import markets such as the EU-27 and the United States. The Brazilian Coffee Industry Association has encouraged domestic demand through a strong marketing campaign as well as programs designed to improve product quality. In Vietnam, numerous coffee shops have opened in several urban areas in response to coffee’s popularity and availability.
• Brazil is forecast 750,000 bags higher to 19.5 million. • Vietnam is forecast up 140,000 bags to 1.2 million. • EU-27 is forecast to expand 650,000 bags to 46.3 million. • United States is forecast to add nearly 400,000 bags to 23.7 million. • Japan is forecast 125,000 bags lower to 6.7 million.
Imports Total Green Bean Equivalent (GBE) imports are forecast at 100.2 million bags, up 4.4 million. Green coffee beans are forecast at 90.9 million bags, soluble at 9.0 million and roasted at 0.3 million.
• EU-27 is forecast to expand 2.4 million bags to 46.8 million. • United States is forecast to add 1.3 million bags to 23.9 million. • Japan is forecast to edge up 125,000 bags to 6.8 million. • Russia is forecast 250,000 bags higher to 4.1 million (60 percent soluble).
Exports Total GBE exports are forecast at 103.4 million bags, up 5.1 million. Green coffee beans are forecast at 92.9 million bags, soluble at 10.3 million and roasted at 0.2 million.
• Brazil is forecast at 32 million bags, up 2.9 million on strong EU demand. Green bean exports are likely to account for 28.6 million bags, while soluble exports are forecast at 3.3 million bags.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
• Vietnam is forecast at 16.8 million bags, unchanged from the previous year. Green bean exports are expected to account for all but 100,000 bags.
• Colombia is forecast at 8.8 million, up 900,000 bags as export markets consume nearly the entire crop.
ICO Composite Price Climbs on Tight
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Source: International Coffee Organization
Prices In response to tight supplies, the International Coffee Organization (ICO) composite price jumped nearly 15 percent in mid-June. The volatility was driven by heavy short covering of the July contract, fund buying and only marginal producer selling. 2009/10 Production Estimate Revisions
• World production is revised up 400,000 bags to 125.7 million. • Brazil is revised up 1.3 million bags to 44.8 million due to stronger Arabica harvest. • Colombia is lowered 800,000 bags to 8.2 million, as the main crop underperformed and the mitaca
crop shows similar weakness. For further information, please contact Tony Halstead at 202-690-2313, or send an email to [email protected] PSD Online Users can find the release schedule and generate the full USDA Production, Supply and Distribution (PSD) dataset for reporting countries by accessing the following link: http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 01 Coffee World Production, Supply and Distribution
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
Beginning
Stocks
Arabica
Production
Robusta
Production
Production Imports Total Supply Exports Domestic
Consumption
Ending
Stocks
Total
Distribution
Exportable
Production
Coffee, Green
42,922100,68025,66718,45256,561100,68053461,16217,80742,97738,984 1976/77
52,23397,01829,43518,82848,75597,01862770,72415,92054,43025,667 1977/78
60,035109,13125,05719,46264,612109,13167879,01818,77059,84729,435 1978/79
62,283107,61625,52319,96362,130107,61665381,90619,20762,30225,057 1979/80
66,007112,37230,97920,43860,955112,37267586,17422,58463,15425,523 1980/81
77,771129,75743,84220,55665,359129,75775598,02322,39675,13230,979 1981/82
61,916126,47940,19920,22166,059126,47973381,90422,19659,25843,842 1982/83
68,490129,60640,83820,57768,191129,60660688,80117,90570,45940,199 1983/84
68,591131,65637,36621,96872,322131,65645690,36224,59165,30240,838 1984/85
74,777133,51341,81521,22070,478133,51339795,75023,99871,29937,366 1985/86
58,416121,47133,28721,20266,982121,47126279,39426,12152,81241,815 1986/87
82,310136,75348,17421,07567,504136,753296103,17023,81078,98533,287 1987/88
73,168142,75450,19321,19071,371142,75441594,16528,90164,93448,174 1988/89
76,157147,40943,01220,99583,402147,40925896,95827,54269,11850,193 1989/90
78,131143,52445,09622,26576,163143,524331100,18127,76872,14343,012 1990/91
81,950149,45146,29822,26680,887149,451291104,06429,80973,98045,096 1991/92
71,722139,97040,52221,57977,869139,97071392,95927,45565,23446,298 1992/93
69,764133,51334,30122,92876,284133,51358592,40627,14665,05240,522 1993/94
74,978132,41341,21522,52668,672132,4131,07097,04228,03368,80934,301 1994/95
65,393131,24033,08824,04974,103131,2401,07988,94627,37261,39441,215 1995/96
79,780137,96529,09524,36184,509137,9651,091103,78637,23666,45233,088 1996/97
72,986128,00224,88325,18077,939128,0021,22097,68732,94064,71229,095 1997/98
83,533135,27124,40025,73885,133135,2711,435108,95334,06074,85924,883 1998/99
88,064139,25620,87525,64892,733139,2561,303113,55340,32373,20024,400 1999/00
91,357139,87422,61826,31990,937139,8741,478117,52147,00070,48620,875 2000/01
83,994135,78319,71727,77488,292135,7831,647111,51843,28968,19922,618 2001/02
101,482180,25734,59449,78795,876180,25730,218128,42243,44184,95321,617 2002/03
80,585236,00340,845105,18789,971236,00376,444110,75044,18566,54048,809 2003/04
89,768252,88741,564118,66892,655252,88790,880121,16243,24377,89440,845 2004/05
84,810249,46832,658124,56492,246249,46891,094116,81046,99669,78941,564 2005/06
99,091260,80535,101123,675102,029260,80596,599131,54849,42982,09432,658 2006/07
88,631253,18929,533127,05496,602253,18996,326121,76248,72973,00835,101 2007/08
100,625260,83836,839123,930100,069260,83896,137135,16851,75683,38729,533 2008/09
90,592258,26231,295128,67098,297258,26295,767125,65650,47275,15936,839 2009/10
103,493271,23936,303131,498103,438271,239100,248139,69653,72085,95131,295 2010/11
Note:
After 2003/04, the database includes import and consumption data for non-producing countries.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 02A Green Coffee Bean Production
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Jun
2010/11
Production none
25 Angola 35 35 35 35 35
135 Bolivia 152 140 135 150 140
36,100 Brazil 46,700 39,100 53,300 44,800 55,300
285 Burundi 287 209 388 300 300
850 Cameroon 835 695 650 590 590
21 Central African Republic 45 50 10 10 10
11,953 Colombia 12,164 12,515 8,664 8,200 9,000
236 Congo (Kinshasa) 280 315 300 325 300
1,751 Costa Rica 1,782 1,867 1,580 1,456 1,380
2,062 Cote d'Ivoire 2,447 2,198 1,853 2,253 2,200
125 Cuba 100 70 127 120 120
310 Dominican Republic 390 465 545 500 500
784 Ecuador 805 702 637 635 650
1,387 El Salvador 1,400 1,650 1,550 1,400 1,475
4,000 Ethiopia 4,036 3,906 3,650 4,100 4,200
17 Ghana 29 27 19 23 21
3,715 Guatemala 4,050 4,110 3,980 4,160 4,010
525 Guinea 400 250 400 425 450
331 Haiti 337 335 360 300 350
3,204 Honduras 3,460 3,642 3,450 3,650 3,800
4,617 India 4,665 4,660 4,375 4,825 4,600
9,450 Indonesia 7,500 7,300 9,300 9,150 9,600
34 Jamaica 30 35 31 31 30
869 Kenya 869 700 884 850 850
417 Laos 400 350 350 350 350
71 Liberia 53 40 30 10 10
592 Madagascar 582 555 530 480 550
24 Malawi 17 25 25 25 25
700 Malaysia 500 930 952 1,000 1,000
4,200 Mexico 4,400 4,250 4,650 4,400 4,600
1,718 Nicaragua 1,300 1,850 1,650 1,950 1,800
59 Nigeria 51 42 51 40 40
173 Panama 170 170 120 120 120
1,265 Papua New Guinea 810 970 1,035 1,035 1,050
45 Paraguay 20 28 25 25 25
2,420 Peru 4,400 2,800 4,000 3,300 4,000
710 Philippines 705 690 580 685 650
340 Rwanda 400 230 340 240 350
60 Sierra Leone 31 42 87 67 80
34 Sri Lanka 32 35 35 35 35
800 Tanzania 820 830 1,040 900 1,000
1,000 Thailand 750 900 800 900 900
140 Togo 180 255 200 250 250
15 Trinidad and Tobago 12 2 2 10 10
1,560 Uganda 2,300 2,500 3,200 3,000 3,200
168 United States 154 151 133 106 110
820 Venezuela 862 900 900 725 690
16,335 Vietnam 19,500 18,000 18,000 17,500 18,725
189 Yemen 200 150 150 150 150
103 Zambia 56 60 35 35 35
66 Zimbabwe 45 31 25 30 30
116,810 Total 131,548 121,762 135,168 125,656 139,696
Notes:
Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.
Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 02B Arabica Coffee Production
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Jun
2010/11
Arabica Production none
0 Angola 0 0 0 0 0
135 Bolivia 152 140 135 150 140
26,000 Brazil 36,000 27,650 40,500 33,000 41,800
285 Burundi 287 209 388 300 300
93 Cameroon 90 90 90 90 90
0 Central African Republic 0 0 0 0 0
11,953 Colombia 12,164 12,515 8,664 8,200 9,000
54 Congo (Kinshasa) 100 115 100 125 100
1,751 Costa Rica 1,782 1,867 1,580 1,456 1,380
0 Cote d'Ivoire 0 0 0 0 0
125 Cuba 100 70 127 120 120
310 Dominican Republic 390 465 545 500 500
439 Ecuador 450 419 379 380 390
1,387 El Salvador 1,400 1,650 1,550 1,400 1,475
4,000 Ethiopia 4,036 3,906 3,650 4,100 4,200
0 Ghana 0 0 0 0 0
3,700 Guatemala 4,040 4,100 3,970 4,150 4,000
0 Guinea 0 0 0 0 0
331 Haiti 337 335 360 300 350
3,204 Honduras 3,460 3,642 3,450 3,650 3,800
1,594 India 1,415 1,580 1,325 1,575 1,675
1,050 Indonesia 900 800 1,200 1,350 1,500
34 Jamaica 30 35 31 31 30
867 Kenya 867 699 884 850 850
0 Laos 0 0 0 0 0
0 Liberia 0 0 0 0 0
30 Madagascar 30 30 30 30 30
24 Malawi 17 25 25 25 25
0 Malaysia 0 0 0 0 0
4,000 Mexico 4,200 4,000 4,400 4,200 4,350
1,718 Nicaragua 1,300 1,850 1,650 1,950 1,800
0 Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0
173 Panama 170 170 120 120 120
1,200 Papua New Guinea 780 925 1,000 1,000 1,000
45 Paraguay 20 28 25 25 25
2,420 Peru 4,400 2,800 4,000 3,300 4,000
35 Philippines 35 35 35 35 0
340 Rwanda 400 230 340 240 350
0 Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0
10 Sri Lanka 9 10 10 10 10
500 Tanzania 515 525 700 600 650
0 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0
0 Togo 0 0 0 0 0
1 Trinidad and Tobago 1 1 1 1 1
300 Uganda 400 400 400 400 400
168 United States 154 151 133 106 110
820 Venezuela 862 900 900 725 690
335 Vietnam 500 400 480 450 475
189 Yemen 200 150 150 150 150
103 Zambia 56 60 35 35 35
66 Zimbabwe 45 31 25 30 30
69,789 Total 82,094 73,008 83,387 75,159 85,951
Notes:
Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.
Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 02C Robusta Coffee Production
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Jun
2010/11
Robusta Production none
25 Angola 35 35 35 35 35
0 Bolivia 0 0 0 0 0
10,100 Brazil 10,700 11,450 12,800 11,800 13,500
0 Burundi 0 0 0 0 0
757 Cameroon 745 605 560 500 500
21 Central African Republic 45 50 10 10 10
0 Colombia 0 0 0 0 0
182 Congo (Kinshasa) 180 200 200 200 200
0 Costa Rica 0 0 0 0 0
2,062 Cote d'Ivoire 2,447 2,198 1,853 2,253 2,200
0 Cuba 0 0 0 0 0
0 Dominican Republic 0 0 0 0 0
345 Ecuador 355 283 258 255 260
0 El Salvador 0 0 0 0 0
0 Ethiopia 0 0 0 0 0
17 Ghana 29 27 19 23 21
15 Guatemala 10 10 10 10 10
525 Guinea 400 250 400 425 450
0 Haiti 0 0 0 0 0
0 Honduras 0 0 0 0 0
3,023 India 3,250 3,080 3,050 3,250 2,925
8,400 Indonesia 6,600 6,500 8,100 7,800 8,100
0 Jamaica 0 0 0 0 0
2 Kenya 2 1 0 0 0
417 Laos 400 350 350 350 350
71 Liberia 53 40 30 10 10
562 Madagascar 552 525 500 450 520
0 Malawi 0 0 0 0 0
700 Malaysia 500 930 952 1,000 1,000
200 Mexico 200 250 250 200 250
0 Nicaragua 0 0 0 0 0
59 Nigeria 51 42 51 40 40
0 Panama 0 0 0 0 0
65 Papua New Guinea 30 45 35 35 50
0 Paraguay 0 0 0 0 0
0 Peru 0 0 0 0 0
650 Philippines 645 630 520 625 625
0 Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0
60 Sierra Leone 31 42 87 67 80
24 Sri Lanka 23 25 25 25 25
300 Tanzania 305 305 340 300 350
1,000 Thailand 750 900 800 900 900
140 Togo 180 255 200 250 250
14 Trinidad and Tobago 11 1 1 9 9
1,260 Uganda 1,900 2,100 2,800 2,600 2,800
0 United States 0 0 0 0 0
0 Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0
16,000 Vietnam 19,000 17,600 17,520 17,050 18,250
0 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0
0 Zambia 0 0 0 0 0
0 Zimbabwe 0 0 0 0 0
46,996 Total 49,429 48,729 51,756 50,472 53,720
Notes:
Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.
Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 03A Total Coffee Exports
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Jun
2010/11
Exports none
5 Angola 5 4 4 7 6
69 Bolivia 104 73 74 75 75
24,543 Brazil 29,260 27,290 31,475 29,080 32,000
475 Burundi 240 300 250 310 350
715 Cameroon 790 560 480 550 575
21 Central African Republic 45 50 6 6 5
10,678 Colombia 11,155 11,525 8,716 7,850 8,750
105 Congo (Kinshasa) 78 110 117 100 125
1,388 Costa Rica 1,582 1,588 1,335 1,210 1,150
2,010 Cote d'Ivoire 2,095 1,890 1,555 1,975 1,950
8 Cuba 13 5 6 7 5
48 Dominican Republic 50 41 42 37 35
849 Ecuador 876 834 863 1,137 1,170
1,315 El Salvador 1,325 1,585 1,510 1,404 1,454
2,250 Ethiopia 2,225 2,110 1,850 2,300 2,400
16 Ghana 28 26 18 22 20
3,325 Guatemala 3,980 3,890 3,783 4,100 3,850
460 Guinea 390 195 375 390 425
24 Haiti 21 19 17 15 17
2,850 Honduras 3,370 3,440 3,250 3,500 3,600
4,120 India 3,609 3,820 3,120 3,575 3,400
8,040 Indonesia 6,400 5,900 7,675 7,725 8,050
23 Jamaica 20 30 26 26 25
615 Kenya 870 820 980 850 850
250 Laos 260 220 250 250 250
66 Liberia 49 40 30 10 10
140 Madagascar 200 165 115 40 120
21 Malawi 17 25 25 24 24
1,127 Malaysia 1,171 1,580 1,582 1,620 1,620
2,400 Mexico 2,770 2,515 2,825 2,765 2,800
1,494 Nicaragua 1,280 1,745 1,585 1,835 1,710
30 Nigeria 9 1 1 1 1
80 Panama 95 96 45 45 45
1,175 Papua New Guinea 820 900 1,070 1,000 1,000
23 Paraguay 10 10 5 5 5
2,270 Peru 4,200 2,660 3,830 3,150 3,900
2 Philippines 1 0 0 0 0
340 Rwanda 400 230 340 240 350
30 Sierra Leone 30 25 70 50 60
670 Tanzania 745 730 880 855 880
550 Thailand 325 460 410 450 505
145 Togo 200 250 200 240 250
1,410 Uganda 1,840 2,160 2,740 2,575 2,700
105 Venezuela 120 160 10 10 10
15,730 Vietnam 18,840 16,418 16,463 16,810 16,840
30 Yemen 20 20 10 10 10
102 Zambia 55 59 35 35 35
99 Zimbabwe 41 27 21 26 26
92,246 Total 102,029 96,602 100,069 98,297 103,438
Notes:
A conversion factor of 2.6 was used to convert soluble coffee to the green bean equivalent.
Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.
Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.
For the United States, Canada and the EU-27, exports appear as zero in the database and the actual amount has been subtracted from
imports to show net imports.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 03B Green Coffee Bean Exports
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Jun
2010/11
Bean Exports none
5 Angola 5 4 4 7 6
69 Bolivia 104 73 74 75 75
21,264 Brazil 26,185 23,770 28,396 26,000 28,600
475 Burundi 240 300 250 310 350
715 Cameroon 790 560 480 550 575
21 Central African Republic 45 50 6 6 5
9,855 Colombia 10,460 10,770 7,941 7,100 8,000
105 Congo (Kinshasa) 78 110 117 100 125
1,388 Costa Rica 1,582 1,588 1,335 1,210 1,150
1,700 Cote d'Ivoire 1,710 1,550 1,180 1,625 1,600
8 Cuba 13 5 6 7 5
48 Dominican Republic 50 41 42 37 35
278 Ecuador 285 162 179 436 450
1,310 El Salvador 1,320 1,580 1,506 1,400 1,450
2,250 Ethiopia 2,225 2,110 1,850 2,300 2,400
16 Ghana 28 26 18 22 20
3,325 Guatemala 3,980 3,890 3,783 4,100 3,850
460 Guinea 390 195 375 390 425
24 Haiti 21 19 17 15 17
2,850 Honduras 3,370 3,440 3,250 3,500 3,600
3,180 India 2,550 2,620 2,120 2,350 2,200
7,700 Indonesia 6,000 5,300 6,600 6,650 6,950
23 Jamaica 20 30 26 26 25
615 Kenya 870 820 980 850 850
250 Laos 260 220 250 250 250
66 Liberia 49 40 30 10 10
140 Madagascar 200 165 115 40 120
21 Malawi 17 25 25 24 24
27 Malaysia 21 20 22 20 20
1,975 Mexico 2,260 1,910 2,125 2,150 2,200
1,369 Nicaragua 1,130 1,580 1,425 1,675 1,550
30 Nigeria 9 1 1 1 1
80 Panama 95 96 45 45 45
1,175 Papua New Guinea 820 900 1,070 1,000 1,000
23 Paraguay 10 10 5 5 5
2,270 Peru 4,200 2,660 3,830 3,150 3,900
2 Philippines 1 0 0 0 0
340 Rwanda 400 230 340 240 350
30 Sierra Leone 30 25 70 50 60
0 Sri Lanka 0 0 0 0 0
660 Tanzania 735 720 875 850 875
540 Thailand 315 50 25 25 5
145 Togo 200 250 200 240 250
0 Trinidad and Tobago 0 0 0 0 0
1,410 Uganda 1,840 2,160 2,740 2,575 2,700
0 United States 0 0 0 0 0
70 Venezuela 85 120 10 10 10
15,660 Vietnam 18,740 16,283 16,333 16,675 16,675
30 Yemen 20 20 10 10 10
102 Zambia 55 59 35 35 35
99 Zimbabwe 41 27 21 26 26
84,198 Total 93,854 86,584 90,137 88,172 92,884
Notes:
Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.
Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.
For the United States, Canada and the EU-27, exports appear as zero in the database and the actual amount has been subtracted from
imports to show net imports.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 03C Soluble Coffee Exports
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Jun
2010/11
Soluble Exports none
3,193 Brazil 3,020 3,395 2,991 3,000 3,300
803 Colombia 680 720 725 675 700
310 Cote d'Ivoire 385 340 375 350 350
570 Ecuador 590 670 682 691 700
2 El Salvador 2 2 2 2 2
940 India 1,059 1,200 1,000 1,225 1,200
340 Indonesia 400 600 1,075 1,075 1,100
1,100 Malaysia 1,150 1,560 1,560 1,600 1,600
425 Mexico 510 605 700 615 600
125 Nicaragua 150 165 160 160 160
10 Tanzania 10 10 5 5 5
10 Thailand 10 410 385 425 500
50 Vietnam 75 115 105 110 115
7,878 Total 8,041 9,792 9,765 9,933 10,332
Notes:
A conversion factor of 2.6 was used to convert soluble coffee to the green bean equivalent.
Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.
Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.
For the United States, Canada and the EU-27, exports appear as zero in the database and the actual amount has been subtracted from
imports to show net imports.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 04A Total Coffee Imports
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Jun
2010/11
Imports none
2,100 Algeria 1,825 2,025 2,045 2,050 2,100
490 Argentina 510 490 480 500 500
850 Australia 900 920 950 1,010 1,025
1,960 Canada 1,950 1,940 1,940 1,900 1,950
275 China 300 300 320 400 450
305 Colombia 215 142 695 815 890
330 Croatia 330 325 300 305 310
55 Cuba 210 230 240 220 225
217 Ecuador 222 274 389 682 710
124 El Salvador 117 96 167 161 143
43,715 EU-27 46,485 45,760 45,355 44,425 46,775
20 Guatemala 20 63 43 33 31
10 Honduras 12 14 11 15 13
376 India 334 490 530 575 600
30 Indonesia 800 100 125 350 200
7,240 Japan 7,025 6,860 7,115 6,675 6,800
1,425 Korea, South 1,400 1,550 1,680 1,675 1,750
839 Malaysia 1,156 1,200 1,080 1,120 1,120
36 Mexico 49 135 136 140 140
525 Morocco 560 570 600 650 700
560 Norway 650 590 610 525 600
565 Philippines 585 1,025 1,265 1,500 1,600
3,775 Russia 4,410 4,520 3,455 3,850 4,100
575 Serbia 590 590 590 560 575
430 South Africa 430 410 330 400 425
1,275 Switzerland 1,490 1,710 1,800 1,850 1,900
0 Thailand 5 200 130 100 100
190 Turkey 230 230 260 270 280
22,715 United States 23,670 23,475 23,400 22,600 23,900
13 Venezuela 4 4 0 310 230
74 Vietnam 115 88 96 101 106
91,094 Total 96,599 96,326 96,137 95,767 100,248
Notes:
A conversion factor of 2.6 was used to convert soluble coffee to the green bean equivalent.
Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.
Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.
For the United States, Canada and the EU-27, exports appear as zero in the database and the actual amount has been subtracted from
imports to show net imports.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 04B Green Coffee Bean Imports
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Jun
2010/11
Bean Imports none
2,100 Algeria 1,825 2,025 2,045 2,050 2,100
490 Argentina 510 490 480 500 500
850 Australia 900 920 950 1,010 1,025
1,960 Canada 1,950 1,940 1,940 1,900 1,950
275 China 300 300 320 400 450
290 Colombia 190 110 650 775 850
330 Croatia 330 325 300 305 310
41,775 EU-27 44,325 43,550 43,340 42,400 44,750
126 Ecuador 130 210 310 600 625
30 El Salvador 31 1 3 0 0
366 India 334 490 530 575 600
30 Indonesia 800 100 125 350 200
6,400 Japan 6,200 6,150 6,375 6,000 6,150
1,425 Korea, South 1,400 1,550 1,680 1,675 1,750
503 Malaysia 730 660 650 650 650
10 Mexico 21 15 15 20 20
525 Morocco 560 570 600 650 700
560 Norway 650 590 610 525 600
240 Philippines 210 400 350 500 500
700 Russia 960 970 1,240 1,450 1,600
575 Serbia 590 590 590 560 575
430 South Africa 430 410 330 400 425
1,275 Switzerland 1,490 1,710 1,800 1,850 1,900
0 Thailand 5 200 130 100 100
190 Turkey 230 230 260 270 280
20,830 United States 22,110 21,775 21,660 20,750 22,000
50 Vietnam 79 65 70 75 80
82,345 Total 87,290 86,346 87,353 86,650 90,920
Notes:
Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.
Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.
Imports for the United States, Canada and the EU-27 are net imports after subtracting exports.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 04C Soluble Coffee Imports
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Jun
2010/11
Soluble Imports none
90 Ecuador 91 64 77 79 80
85 El Salvador 72 80 150 150 130
1,940 EU-27 2,160 2,210 2,015 2,025 2,025
20 Guatemala 20 60 40 30 30
5 Honduras 6 7 3 7 5
840 Japan 825 710 740 675 650
325 Malaysia 406 520 410 450 450
0 Mexico 0 100 106 100 100
325 Philippines 375 625 915 1,000 1,100
3,075 Russia 3,450 3,550 2,215 2,400 2,500
1,885 United States 1,560 1,700 1,740 1,850 1,900
23 Vietnam 35 22 25 25 25
8,623 Total 9,000 9,648 8,436 8,791 8,995
Notes:
A conversion factor of 2.6 was used to convert soluble coffee to the green bean equivalent.
Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.
Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.
For the United States, Canada and the EU-27, exports appear as zero in the database and the actual amount has been subtracted from
imports to show net imports.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 05 Green Coffee Bean Ending Stocks
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
Jun
2010/11
Ending Stocks none
25 Angola 30 25 21 14 8
107 Bolivia 75 62 43 38 23
7,641 Brazil 8,361 2,781 6,576 3,546 7,346
75 Burundi 119 23 156 141 86
94 Cameroon 64 124 219 184 124
0 Canada 0 0 0 0 0
208 Central African Republic 183 158 137 116 96
756 Colombia 890 885 328 293 233
16 Congo (Kinshasa) 43 48 31 56 31
200 Costa Rica 77 76 71 67 42
130 Cote d'Ivoire 182 190 188 166 116
0 Dominican Republic 0 0 0 0 0
12,300 EU-27 14,460 14,375 17,925 16,725 17,225
10 Ecuador 14 8 8 7 1
5 El Salvador 5 5 42 29 23
221 Ethiopia 207 178 153 128 103
5 Ghana 5 5 5 5 5
176 Guatemala 46 119 159 52 43
42 Guinea 12 27 12 7 2
89 Haiti 65 41 44 29 22
114 Honduras 41 57 43 33 46
255 India 95 65 150 165 145
63 Indonesia 233 93 98 123 123
0 Jamaica 0 0 0 0 0
2,450 Japan 2,160 1,960 2,050 1,950 2,100
490 Kenya 439 269 123 73 23
0 Korea, South 0 0 0 0 0
225 Madagascar 132 72 37 27 7
3 Malawi 2 1 0 0 0
120 Mexico 49 119 130 105 95
113 Nicaragua 18 33 8 33 33
6 Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0
125 Norway 125 125 125 125 125
0 Panama 0 0 0 0 0
81 Papua New Guinea 46 86 21 26 46
96 Paraguay 71 54 39 24 9
24 Peru 74 64 84 84 34
65 Philippines 34 29 54 14 39
0 Russia 0 0 0 0 0
0 Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0
5 Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0
0 South Africa 0 0 0 0 0
14 Sri Lanka 11 6 0 0 0
200 Switzerland 200 200 200 200 200
34 Tanzania 9 9 69 14 34
82 Thailand 12 102 42 92 62
22 Togo 0 3 1 9 7
33 Uganda 93 33 43 18 18
5,200 United States 5,700 5,600 5,333 4,700 5,000
526 Venezuela 482 366 331 381 316
212 Vietnam 237 1,057 1,740 1,496 2,312
0 Zimbabwe 0 0 0 0 0
32,658 Total 35,101 29,533 36,839 31,295 36,303
Notes:
Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.
Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 06 World Coffee Supply and Distribution, 2010/11
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
Country Beginning
Stocks
Total
Production
Bean
Imports
Domestic
Use
Bean Exports Ending
Stocks
Exportable
Production
Caribbean
0 0053401200 Cuba
0 350354655000 Dominican Republic
0 10221734035029 Haiti
0 250255300 Jamaica
0 00010100 Trinidad and Tobago
0 7022821,1601,01029 Total Caribbean
Central America
0 1,125421,1502551,38067 Costa Rica
0 1,305231,4501701,47529 El Salvador
0 3,810433,8502004,01052 Guatemala
0 3,600463,6002003,80033 Honduras
0 1,710331,550901,80033 Nicaragua
0 45045751200 Panama
0 11,59518711,64599012,585214 Total Central America
East Asia
450 00045000 China
6,150 02,10006,65001,950 Japan
1,750 0001,75000 Korea, South
8,350 02,10008,85001,950 Total East Asia
European Union
44,750 017,225046,275016,725 EU-27
44,750 017,225046,275016,725 Total European Union
Former Soviet Union - 12
1,600 0004,10000 Russia
1,600 0004,10000 Total Former Soviet Union - 12
North Africa
2,100 0002,10000 Algeria
700 00070000 Morocco
2,800 0002,80000 Total North Africa
North America
1,950 0001,95000 Canada
20 2,650952,2001,9504,600105 Mexico
22,000 05,000023,7101104,700 United States
23,970 2,6505,0952,20027,6104,7104,805 Total North America
Oceania
1,025 0001,02500 Australia
0 000000 New Caledonia
0 1,020461,000301,05026 Papua New Guinea
1,025 1,020461,0001,0551,05026 Total Oceania
310 00031000 Croatia
600 012506000125 Norway
575 00057500 Serbia
1,900 020001,9000200 Switzerland
3,385 032503,3850325 Total Other Europe
South America
500 00050000 Argentina
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 06 World Coffee Supply and Distribution, 2010/11 (Continued)
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
Country Beginning
Stocks
Total
Production
Bean
Imports
Domestic
Use
Bean Exports Ending
Stocks
Exportable
Production
0 6023758014038 Bolivia
0 35,8007,34628,60019,50055,3003,546 Brazil
850 7,8002338,0001,2009,000293 Colombia
625 45414501966507 Ecuador
0 095352524 Paraguay
0 3,850343,9001504,00084 Peru
230 031610975690381 Venezuela
0 000000 Other South America
2,205 47,9647,96241,04022,63669,8054,373 Total South America
South Asia
600 2,7801452,2001,8204,600165 India
0 00035350 Sri Lanka
600 2,7801452,2001,8554,635165 Total South Asia
Southeast Asia
200 7,8501236,9501,7509,600123 Indonesia
0 25002501003500 Laos
650 5000205001,0000 Malaysia
500 03902,22565014 Philippines
100 37562552590092 Thailand
80 17,5502,31216,6751,17518,7251,496 Vietnam
1,530 26,5252,53623,9006,27531,2251,725 Total Southeast Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
0 086353514 Angola
0 295863505300141 Burundi
0 51512457575590184 Cameroon
0 09652510116 Central African Republic
0 1003112520030056 Congo (Kinshasa)
0 1,9001161,6003002,200166 Cote d'Ivoire
0 2,3751032,4001,8254,200128 Ethiopia
0 205201215 Ghana
0 4202425304507 Guinea
0 800238505085073 Kenya
0 100100100 Liberia
0 100712045055027 Madagascar
0 240241250 Malawi
0 10139400 Nigeria
0 350035003500 Rwanda
0 6006020800 Sierra Leone
425 00042500 South Africa
0 900348751001,00014 Tanzania
0 248725022509 Togo
0 2,700182,7005003,20018 Uganda
0 350350350 Zambia
0 260264300 Zimbabwe
0 000000 Other Sub-Saharan Africa
425 10,87966010,8074,08714,526958 Total Sub-Saharan Africa
World
90,920 103,49336,30392,884131,498139,69631,295 World
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 07 World Coffee Supply and Distribution, 2009/10
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
Country Beginning
Stocks
Total
Production
Bean
Imports
Domestic
Use
Bean Exports Ending
Stocks
Exportable
Production
Caribbean
0 0073331200 Cuba
0 370374635000 Dominican Republic
0 0291530030044 Haiti
0 260265310 Jamaica
0 00010100 Trinidad and Tobago
0 6329851,11196144 Total Caribbean
Central America
0 1,206671,2102501,45671 Costa Rica
0 1,230291,4001701,40042 El Salvador
0 3,960524,1002004,160159 Guatemala
0 3,475333,5001753,65043 Honduras
0 1,860331,675901,9508 Nicaragua
0 45045751200 Panama
0 11,77621411,93096012,736323 Total Central America
East Asia
400 00040000 China
6,000 01,95006,77502,050 Japan
1,675 0001,67500 Korea, South
8,075 01,95008,85002,050 Total East Asia
European Union
42,400 016,725045,625017,925 EU-27
42,400 016,725045,625017,925 Total European Union
Former Soviet Union - 12
1,450 0003,85000 Russia
1,450 0003,85000 Total Former Soviet Union - 12
North Africa
2,050 0002,05000 Algeria
650 00065000 Morocco
2,700 0002,70000 Total North Africa
North America
1,900 0001,90000 Canada
20 2,6001052,1501,8004,400130 Mexico
20,750 04,700023,3391065,333 United States
22,670 2,6004,8052,15027,0394,5065,463 Total North America
Oceania
1,010 0001,01000 Australia
0 000000 New Caledonia
0 1,005261,000301,03521 Papua New Guinea
1,010 1,005261,0001,0401,03521 Total Oceania
305 00030500 Croatia
525 012505250125 Norway
560 00056000 Serbia
1,850 020001,8500200 Switzerland
3,240 032503,2400325 Total Other Europe
South America
500 00050000 Argentina
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 07 World Coffee Supply and Distribution, 2009/10 (Continued)
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
Country Beginning
Stocks
Total
Production
Bean
Imports
Domestic
Use
Bean Exports Ending
Stocks
Exportable
Production
0 7038758015043 Bolivia
0 26,0503,54626,00018,75044,8006,576 Brazil
775 7,0002937,1001,2008,200328 Colombia
600 45474361816358 Ecuador
0 0245352539 Paraguay
0 3,150843,1501503,30084 Peru
310 038110975725331 Venezuela
0 000000 Other South America
2,185 36,7244,37336,77621,87157,8357,409 Total South America
South Asia
575 3,0151652,3501,8104,825150 India
0 00035350 Sri Lanka
575 3,0151652,3501,8454,860150 Total South Asia
Southeast Asia
350 7,4001236,6501,7509,15098 Indonesia
0 25002501003500 Laos
650 5000205001,0000 Malaysia
500 01402,22568554 Philippines
100 400922550090042 Thailand
75 16,4651,49616,6751,03517,5001,740 Vietnam
1,675 25,0151,72523,6206,11029,5851,934 Total Southeast Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
0 0147353521 Angola
0 2951413105300156 Burundi
0 51518455075590219 Cameroon
0 011662510137 Central African Republic
0 1255610020032531 Congo (Kinshasa)
0 1,9531661,6253002,253188 Cote d'Ivoire
0 2,2751282,3001,8254,100153 Ethiopia
0 225221235 Ghana
0 38573904042512 Guinea
0 8007385050850123 Kenya
0 100100100 Liberia
0 30274045048037 Madagascar
0 240241250 Malawi
0 10139400 Nigeria
0 240024002400 Rwanda
0 5005017670 Sierra Leone
400 00040000 South Africa
0 8001485010090069 Tanzania
0 248924022501 Togo
0 2,550182,5754503,00043 Uganda
0 350350350 Zambia
0 260264300 Zimbabwe
0 000000 Other Sub-Saharan Africa
400 10,38495810,2514,01913,9881,195 Total Sub-Saharan Africa
World
86,650 90,59231,29588,172128,670125,65636,839 World
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 08 World Coffee Supply and Distribution, 2008/09
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
Country Beginning
Stocks
Total
Production
Bean
Imports
Domestic
Use
Bean Exports Ending
Stocks
Exportable
Production
Caribbean
0 0063611270 Cuba
0 420425035450 Dominican Republic
0 20441734036041 Haiti
0 260265310 Jamaica
0 000220 Trinidad and Tobago
0 8844911,2111,06541 Total Caribbean
Central America
0 1,330711,3352501,58076 Costa Rica
3 1,380421,5061701,5505 El Salvador
0 3,7801593,7832003,980119 Guatemala
0 3,225433,2502253,45057 Honduras
0 1,56081,425901,65033 Nicaragua
0 45045751200 Panama
3 11,32032311,3441,01012,330290 Total Central America
East Asia
320 00032000 China
6,375 02,05007,02501,960 Japan
1,680 0001,68000 Korea, South
8,375 02,05009,02501,960 Total East Asia
European Union
43,340 017,925041,805014,375 EU-27
43,340 017,925041,805014,375 Total European Union
Former Soviet Union - 12
1,240 0003,45500 Russia
1,240 0003,45500 Total Former Soviet Union - 12
North Africa
2,045 0002,04500 Algeria
600 00060000 Morocco
2,645 0002,64500 Total North Africa
North America
1,940 0001,94000 Canada
15 2,7001302,1251,9504,650119 Mexico
21,660 05,333023,8001335,600 United States
23,615 2,7005,4632,12527,6904,7835,719 Total North America
Oceania
950 00095000 Australia
0 000000 New Caledonia
0 1,005211,070301,03586 Papua New Guinea
950 1,005211,0709801,03586 Total Oceania
300 00030000 Croatia
610 012506100125 Norway
590 00059000 Serbia
1,800 020001,8000200 Switzerland
3,300 032503,3000325 Total Other Europe
South America
480 00048000 Argentina
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010
Table 08 World Coffee Supply and Distribution, 2008/09 (Continued)
Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags
Country Beginning
Stocks
Total
Production
Bean
Imports
Domestic
Use
Bean Exports Ending
Stocks
Exportable
Production
0 5543748013562 Bolivia
0 35,2706,57628,39618,03053,3002,781 Brazil
650 7,4643287,9411,2008,664885 Colombia
310 47481791636378 Ecuador
0 0395352554 Paraguay
0 3,850843,8301504,00064 Peru
0 033110925900366 Venezuela
0 000000 Other South America
1,440 47,1137,40940,43521,06367,6614,220 Total South America
South Asia
530 2,6751502,1201,7004,37565 India
0 00041356 Sri Lanka
530 2,6751502,1201,7414,41071 Total South Asia
Southeast Asia
125 7,555986,6001,7459,30093 Indonesia
0 25002501003500 Laos
650 5020224509520 Malaysia
350 05401,82058029 Philippines
130 2204225580800102 Thailand
70 17,0501,74016,33395018,0001,057 Vietnam
1,325 25,5771,93423,2305,64529,9821,281 Total Southeast Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
0 0214353525 Angola
0 383156250538823 Burundi
0 57521948075650124 Cameroon
0 013762510158 Central African Republic
0 1003111720030048 Congo (Kinshasa)
0 1,5531881,1803001,853190 Cote d'Ivoire
0 1,8251531,8501,8253,650178 Ethiopia
0 185181195 Ghana
0 360123754040027 Guinea
0 83412398050884269 Kenya
0 300300300 Liberia
0 803711545053072 Madagascar
0 240251251 Malawi
0 10150510 Nigeria
0 340034003400 Rwanda
0 7007017870 Sierra Leone
330 00033000 South Africa
0 940698751001,0409 Tanzania
0 198120022003 Togo
0 2,750432,7404503,20033 Uganda
0 350350350 Zambia
0 210214250 Zimbabwe
0 000000 Other Sub-Saharan Africa
330 10,1371,1959,7123,96013,7521,165 Total Sub-Saharan Africa
World
87,353 100,62536,83990,137123,930135,16829,533 World
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
June 2010