CMP TASKFORCE MFC LOGIC REVIEW.ppt

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www.spp.org 1

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CMP Task force review of MFC Logic

Bert Bressers, Kevin Bates, SPPTom Mallinger, David Hines, Neil Shah, Krithika Shenoy, Miles Taylor, Karsten Duerden MISOMike Colby, Chris Advena, PJM

www.spp.org

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Why this Task forceWhy this Task force

SPP is experiencing high un-reported, un-curtailable i t COOPER S (#6009) IASCLKNASJHA (#5228)impacts on COOPER_S (#6009) , IASCLKNASJHA (#5228) (and other SPP flow gates) up to 35% of the flow gate capacity.

SPP is monitoring the situation in last Months and has strong indicators that it might be unreported Market impacts.

SPP requested a review of the Market Flow Calculation logic of all Entities and identify possible improvements that can increase the accuracy of capturing and reporting

www.spp.org

Market impacts to IDC.

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Status of the CMP Task Force (11/1/2010)Status of the CMP Task Force (11/1/2010)

First Conference Call Wednesday 10/6/2010.Task Force scheduled a weekly status Call on Monday morning 08:30 –09 30 CDT09:30 CDT.

Task force completed review of the Scope.

Task force completed review of the MFC logic of the 3 Entities and identified differencesidentified differences.

Task force will select 4 – 6 flow gates to determine what the impact of possible improvements to the MFC logic could be.

SPP completed a first round of calculations for COOPER S for 8/29/2010 p _01:15 CDT. MISO is reviewing SPP results.

Applying MISO/PJM MFC logic to SPP Market lowers SPP Net Market impact on COOPER_S from 370 to 226. (8/29/2010 01:15 CDT data)

Applying SPP MFC Logic to MISO Market increases MISO Net Market impact from 344 MW to 380 – 600 MW depending on what part of SPP MFC logic is applied.

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p g p g pp(MISO is verifying SPP results)

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Scope of Task forceScope of Task force

Review of MFC Logic Step by StepReview possible options to adjust for Exports and select those that are acceptable by all 3 E titiEntities

Review possible options to adjust for Imports and select those that are acceptable by all 3 Entities

Review if the impact of Tagged impacts calculated by IDC in line with adjustments made by MFC logic to import and exports. If not impacts of “flow” between marginal import / marginal export zones and the adjustment zones are not capturedexport zones and the adjustment zones are not captured.

Review the MFC logic used to calculated impacts of Native Load impacts. Review granularity.

Transfer impacts. Review of how the transfer impacts are calculated and how accurate those calculations are. Are the TDF factors (or GSF factors) adjusted for the resources that are included in the Native Load calculation.

Firm TSR Rights. Are the TSR Rights (original POR/POD on TSR) of Import and Export Tags matching the import Zones and Exports Zones. If not that can result in shift of Non Firm rights to Firm rights either on Tagged impact side or Market Flow impact side.

Firm TSR Rights. Are the impacts of TSR’s used to adjust the Allocation to get the Firm Market Flow rights matching the import Zones and Exports Zones and/or original POR/POD. If not that can result in shift of Non Firm rights to Firm rights either on Tagged impact side or

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Market Flow impact side.

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Scope of Task forceScope of Task force

Review all possible options that can cause high un-reported impacts of COOPER S and other selected flow gates:impacts of COOPER_S and other selected flow gates:

Impact of NERC Tags. Are the TDF values used by IDC to calculate impact of Tags accurate. Does the reverse impact of the Tags look reasonable.

Impact of NNLImpact of NNLIs it possible that one of the Non Market BA’s (AECI, WAUE, TVA, SPA) has higher impact in reality than what is calculated by IDC.

Impact of Markets.Are the impacts of transactions between Import Zones and Export ZonesAre the impacts of transactions between Import Zones and Export Zones captured correct.Are the adjustments made for Imports and Exports accurate.Does the reverse impact of Markets look reasonable.What is accuracy of market impact calculations in general.

www.spp.org

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Added to scope on request of MISOAdded to scope on request of MISO

As part of the market flow calculation review, I would like us to consider having MISO and PJM replace the use of reservations with schedules when we decide how much of our firm allocation is being used for PTP service As you know this is where OATIour firm allocation is being used for PTP service. As you know, this is where OATI had an error in their process using reservations where MISO and PJM overstated our firm market flow limits. The TF will evaluate how SPP uses schedules in its process and then recommend changes to the MISO and PJM processes.

I would like this group to also have a discussion on some of the issues you have raised at the BPS meetings on the three options that are being evaluated as the g p gpermanent solution. My impression is that we are all over the place on these three options and without reaching some kind of agreement on what should be included in the generator prioritization option and the flowgate allocation option, we will end up with the tag all non-firm generation-to-load option because we cannot agree on anything else. I do not know how you feel about the tag all non-firm generation to load option but my impression is that this would be the worst option for the markets.

I know SPP has been pretty much been working exclusively with OATI on CO 316 to reintroduce a market flow cap (hold market flows). This is a problem for markets. I would like this group to understand the issues that SPP is trying to address with CO 316 to see if there is another mechanism to address these issues without reintroducing the market flow hold again.

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Added to Scope by Task forceAdded to Scope by Task force

Develop metrics that measure if Entities meet the Market relief obligation assigned by IDC.

Develop metrics that measure the accuracy of reported Market impacts to IDC.

Revisit IDC logic that assigns relief to Markets and sets the Target Market Flow SPP questions if that logic works correct in all situationsFlow. SPP questions if that logic works correct in all situations.

Review of MISO/PJM initiative to remove language from CMP that specifies adjusting specific generator output for export Tags. Will be changed to adjusting overall Market generation pro rata. SPP Market allows for Self Dispatched units that are dispatched to the

f th T d N ti L d S h d l th t f Rsum of the Tags and Native Load Schedules that source from Resource. SPP wants to continue to use the higher granularity adjustment for Export Tags for the Self Dispatched resources.

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Examples of high unreported amount a p es o g u epo ted a ou tof impacts on COOPER_S (and other SPP flow gates)

www.spp.org

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Examples of high unreported amount of impacts will be for COOPER_S flow gate

COOPER_S (#6009) flow gate:PTDF 2 345 kV lines:COOPER – St. JoeCOOPER - Fairport

IASCLKNASJHA (#5228):OTDF345 kV line Iatan – Strangerflo Lake Road Nashua and345 kV St.Joe - Hawthorn

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COOPER_S (#6009)

480 MW

Other111 MW

NotR t d

465 MW

Other233 MW

NotReportedimpacts

The 345 kV line was taken out on Thursday 9/30 at 8:30

Reportedimpacts

500 MWExternalimpacts

PJM Market137 MW

Net

Other113 MW

NotReportedimpacts

0 MW

125 MW

IDC TAGS+80 MW

Net(adjusted SPP)


PJM Market106 MW Net

MISO Market185 MW Net

IDC TAGS67 MW

Net

IDC TAGS-44 MW

Net

impacts125 MWExternalimpacts PJM Market

83 MW NetMISO Market311 MW Net

SPP Market17 MW Net

185 MW Net

-35 MWSPP Tags

-52 MW Net

SPP Market-40 MW Net

MISO Market-27 MW Net-125 MW

SPP Tags-85 MW Net

SPP Market110 MW N t

-250 MWSPP Tags

-140 MW Net

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Break down flow COOPER_S onWednesday 9/29/2010 23:30 CDT

Break down flow COOPER_S onThursday 09/30/2010 10:30 CDT

-110 MW Net

Break down flow COOPER_S onWednesday 9/29/2010 17:30 CDT

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COOPER_S (#6009)

1030 MW

Other127 MW

NotR t d

406 MW

Other320 MW

NotReportedimpacts

PJM Market

The 345 kV line was taken out on Tuesday 9/21 at 06:48

Reportedimpacts


PJM Market90 MW

Net

Other120 MW

NotReportedimpacts

225 MW

75 MW

IDC TAGS62 MW

Net


PJM Market114 MW Net


IDC TAGS-86 MW

Net

IDC TAGS-117 MW

Net



SPP Market174 MW Net

125 MW Net

150 MWSPP Tags

-24 MW Net


MISO Market13 MW Net151 MWSPP Tags2 MW Net


136 MWSPP Tags

-26 MW Net

www.spp.org

Break down flow COOPER_S onTuesday 9/21/2010 06:30 CDT


162 MW Net

Break down flow COOPER_S onMonday 9/20/2010 23:00 CDT

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COOPER_S (#6009)

803 MW

Other127 MW

NotR t d

406 MW

Other450 MW

NotReportedimpacts

The 345 kV line was taken out on Tuesday 9/21 at 06:48

Reportedimpacts


PJM Market90 MW

Net

Other120 MW

NotReportedimpacts

225 MW

75 MW

IDC TAGS-88 MW

Net


PJM Market64 MW Net


IDC TAGS-86 MW

Net

IDC TAGS-117 MW

Net




125 MW Net

150 MWSPP Tags

-24 MW Net


MISO Market13 MW Net151 MWSPP Tags2 MW Net

SPP Market72 MW N t

-37 MWSPP Tags35 MW Net

www.spp.org



-72 MW Net

Break down flow COOPER_S onMonday 9/20/2010 15:30 CDT

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1340 MW

COOPER_S (#6009)

Other425 MW

NotReportedimpacts

Not curtailableNot reported impacts !!!!!30% of SOL 1385

PJM M k t

163 MW not curtailable Non Firm <5%22 MW not curtailable Firm <5%0 MW t il bl N Fi 5%

IDC TAGS300 MW

Net(810 Fwd

70 MW not curtailable Non Firm125 MW not curtailable Firm <5%200 MW curtailable Non Firm >5%

200 MWCurtailableNon Firm


PJM Market115 MW

Net

0 MW curtailable Non Firm >5%13 MW curtailable Firm >5%

MISO Market300 MW

Net

(510 Rev) 420 MW curtailable Firm >5%

187 MW not curtailable Non Firm <5%0 MW not curtailable Firm <5%0 MW curtailable Non Firm >5%417 MW curtailable Firm >5%


(514 F d 370 R )

Net

0 MW not curtailable Non Firm <5%130 MW not curtailable Firm <5%55 MW curtailable Non Firm >5%290 MW curtailable Firm (>5%)

200 MWSPP Tags54 MW Net

www.spp.org

(514 Fwd 370 Rev)

Break down flow COOPER_S on Saturday 9/11/2010 17:00 CDT

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1260 MW

COOPER_S (#6009)

Other304 MW

Not curtailable

24 MW not curtailable Non Firm70 MW t t il bl Fi 5%

160 MWCurtailable 900 MW PJM Market

IDC TAGS166 MW

Net(490 Fwd324 Rev)

70 MW not curtailable Firm <5%140 MW curtailable Non Firm >5%250 MW curtailable Firm >5%

210 MW not curtailable Non Firm <5%0 MW not curtailable Firm <5%

CurtailableNon Firm


70 MW Net

MISO Market350 MW

Net

0 MW not curtailable Firm <5%18 MW curtailable Non Firm >5%458 MW curtailable Firm >5%

0 MW not curtailable Non Firm <5%370 MWSPP

Market370 MW

Net(620 Fwd250 Rev)

0 MW not curtailable Non Firm <5%125 MW not curtailable Firm <5%240 MW curtailable Non Firm >5%257 MW curtailable Firm (>5%)

www.spp.org

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Break down flow COOPER_S on Sunday 8/29/2010 1:15 CDT

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CMP TASKFORCE MFC LOGIC REVIEW.ppt

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