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    2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

    Prepared by:

    Fernando & YvonnQuijano

    9

    Chapter

    Long-Run Costsand Output Decisions

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    Chapter Outline9Long-Run Costs

    and Output Decisions

    Short-Run Conditions and Long-

    Run Directions

    Maximizing Profits

    Minimizing LossesThe Short-Run Industry Supply Curve

    Long-Run Directions: A Review

    Long-Run Costs: Economies and

    Diseconomies of Scale

    Increasing Returns to Scale

    Constant Returns to Scale

    Decreasing Returns to Scale

    Long-Run Adjustments

    to Short-Run ConditionsShort-Run Profits: Expansion to Equilibrium

    Short-Run Losses: Contraction to Equilibrium

    The Long-Run Adjustment Mechanism:

    Investment Flows toward Profit Opportunities

    Output Markets: A Final Word

    Appendix: External Economies and

    Diseconomies and the Long-Run Industry

    Supply Curve

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    LONG-RUN COSTS AND OUTPUT DECISIONS

    We begin our discussion of the long run by looking at firmsin three short-run circumstances:

    (1) firms earning economic profits,

    (2) firms suffering economic losses but continuing tooperate to reduce or minimize those losses, and

    (3) firms that decide to shut down and bear losses just

    equal to fixed costs.

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    breaking evenThe situation in which a firmis earning exactly a normal rate of return.

    Example: The Blue Velvet Car Wash

    MAXIMIZING PROFITS

    TABLE 9.1Blue Velvet Car Wash Weekly Costs

    TOTAL FIXED COSTS (TFC)

    TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS

    (TVC) (800 WASHES)

    TOTAL COSTS

    (TC=TFC+TVC) $3,600

    1.Normal return to investors $1,000 1.

    2.

    Labor

    Materials

    $1,000

    600

    Total revenue (TR)

    atP= $5 (800 x $5) $4,000

    2.Other fixed costs

    (maintenance contract,

    insurance, etc.) 1,000

    $1,600 Profit (TRTC) $ 400

    $2,000

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    Graphic Presentation

    FIGURE 9.1Firm Earning Positive Profits in the Short Run

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    MINIMIZING LOSSES

    operating profit (or loss) or net operatingrevenueTotal revenue minustotal variable cost (TRTVC).

    In general,

    If revenues exceed variable costs, operating

    profit is positive and can be used to offset fixed

    costs and reduce losses, and it will pay the firmto keep operating.

    If revenues are smaller than variable costs, the

    firm suffers operating losses that push total

    losses above fixed costs. In this case, the firm

    can minimize its losses by shutting down.

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    Producing at a Loss to Offset Fixed Costs: TheBlue Velvet Revisited

    TABLE 9.2A Firm Will Operate If Total Revenue Covers Total Variable Cost

    CASE 1: SHUT DOWN CASE 2: OPERATE AT PRICE = $3

    Total Revenue (q= 0) $ 0 Total Revenue ($3 x 800) $2,400

    Fixed costs

    Variable costs

    Total costs

    +

    $

    $

    2,000

    0

    2,000

    Fixed costs

    Variable costs

    Total costs

    +

    $

    $

    2,000

    1,600

    3,600

    Profit/loss (TRTC) $2,000 Operating profit/loss (TRTVC) $ 800

    Total profit/loss (TRTC) $1,200

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    Graphic Presentation

    FIGURE 9.2Firm Suffering Losses but Showing an Operating Profit in the Short Run

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    ATCAFC!AVCor

    AFC = ATC AVC = "#$%0 "&$%0 "%$00

    Remember that average total cost is equal to averagefixed cost plus average variable cost. This means that atevery level of output, average fixed cost is the differencebetween average total and average variable cost:

    As long as price (which is eual to average revenue per unit! is sufficient to cover average

    variable costs, the firm stands to gain by operating instead of shutting down.

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    Shutting Down to Minimize Loss

    TABLE 9.3A Firm Will Shut Down If Total Revenue Is Less Than Total Variable Cost

    CASE 1: SHUT DOWN CASE 2: OPERATE AT PRICE = $1.50

    Total Revenue (q= 0) $ 0 Total revenue ($1.50 x 800) $1,200

    Fixed costsVariable costs

    Total costs

    +$

    $

    2,0000

    2,000

    Fixed costsVariable costs

    Total costs

    +$

    $

    2,0001,600

    3,600

    Profit/loss (TRTC): $2,000 Operating profit/loss (TRTVC) $ 400

    Total profit/loss (TRTC) $2,400

    Any time that price (average revenue! is below the minimum point on the average variable

    cost curve, total revenue will be less than total variable cost, and operating profit will be

    negative"that is, there will be a loss on operation. In other words, when price is below all

    points on the average variable cost curve, the firm will suffer operating losses at any

    possible output level the firm could choose. #hen this is the case, the firm will stop

    producing and bear losses eual to fixed costs. $his is why the bottom of the average

    variable cost curve is called the shut%down point. At all prices above it, the marginal cost

    curve shows the profit%maximizing level of output. At all prices below it, optimal short%run

    output is zero.

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    $he short%run supply curve of a competitive firm is that portion of its marginal cost

    curve that lies above its average variable cost curve (&igure '.!.

    shut-down pointThe lowest point on theaverage variable cost curve. When pricefalls below the minimum point on AVC, totalrevenue is insufficient to cover variable

    costs and the firm will shut down and bearlosses equal to fixed costs.

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    FIGURE 9.3Short-Run Supply Curve of a Perfectly Competitive Firm

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    FIGURE 9.4The Industry Supply Curve in the Short Run Is the Horizontal Sum of

    the Marginal Cost Curves (above AVC) of All the Firms in an Industry

    short-run industry supply curveThesum of the marginal cost curves (above

    AVC) of all the firms in an industry.

    THE SHORT-RUN INDUSTRY SUPPLY CURVE

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    SHORT-RUN CONDITIONSAND LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS

    LONG-RUN DIRECTIONS: A REVIEW

    TABLE 9.4Profits, Losses, and Perfectly Competitive Firm Decisions in the Long and

    Short Run

    SHORT-RUNCONDITION

    SHORT-RUNDECISION

    LONG-RUNDECISION

    Profits TR > TC P = MC: operate Expand: new firms enter

    Losses 1. With operating profit P = MC: operate Contract: firms exit

    (TRTVC) (losses < fixed costs)

    2. With operating losses Shut down: Contract: firms exit

    (TR

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    LONG-RUN COSTS: ECONOMIESAND DISECONOMIES OF SCALE

    increasing returns to scale,oreconomies ofscaleAn increase in a firms scale of productionleads to lower costs per unit produced.

    constant returns to scaleAn increase in afirms scale of production has no effect on costsper unit produced.

    decreasing returns to scale,ordiseconomies

    of scaleAn increase in a firms scale ofproduction leads to higher costs per unitproduced.

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    LONG-RUN COSTS: ECONOMIESAND DISECONOMIES OF SCALE

    INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALEThe Sources of Economies of Scale

    Most of the economies of scale that immediately

    come to mind are technological in nature.

    Some economies of scale result not from technologybut from sheer size.

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    LONG-RUN COSTS: ECONOMIESAND DISECONOMIES OF SCALE

    Example: Economies of Scale in Egg ProductionTABLE 9.5Weekly Costs Showing Economies of Scale in Egg Production

    JONES FARM TOTAL WEEKLY COSTS

    15 hours of labor (implicit value $8 per hour) $120Feed, other variable costs 25

    Transport costs 15Land and capital costs attributable to egg production 17

    $177

    Total output 2,400 eggs

    Average cost $.074 per egg

    CHICKEN LITTLE EGG FARMS INC. TOTAL WEEKLY COSTS

    Labor $ 5,128Feed, other variable costs 4,115

    Transport costs 2,431

    Land and capital costs 19,230

    $30,904

    Total output 1,600,000 eggs

    Average cost $.019 per egg

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    LONG-RUN COSTS: ECONOMIESAND DISECONOMIES OF SCALE

    Graphic Presentation

    long-run average cost curve (LRAC)A graphthat shows the different scales on which a firm

    can choose to operate in the long run.

    O G COSS CO O S

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    LONG-RUN COSTS: ECONOMIESAND DISECONOMIES OF SCALE

    FIGURE 9.5A Firm Exhibiting Economies of Scale

    LONGRUNCOSTSECONOMIES

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    LONG-RUN COSTS: ECONOMIESAND DISECONOMIES OF SCALE

    CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE

    Technically, the termconstant returnsmeans that thequantitative relationship between input and output staysconstant, or the same, when output is increased.

    Constant returns to scale mean that the firms long-runaverage cost curve remains flat.

    LONGRUNCOSTSECONOMIES

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    LONG-RUN COSTS: ECONOMIESAND DISECONOMIES OF SCALE

    DECREASING RETURNS TO SCALE

    FIGURE 9.6A Firm Exhibiting Economies and Diseconomies of Scale

    All short%run average cost curves are )%shaped, because we assume a fixed scale of plant

    that constrains production and drives marginal cost upward as a result of diminishing

    returns. In the long run, we make no such assumption* instead, we assume that scale of

    plant can be changed.

    LONGRUNCOSTSECONOMIES

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    LONG-RUN COSTS: ECONOMIESAND DISECONOMIES OF SCALE

    optimal scale of plantThe scale of plant thatminimizes average cost.

    It is important to note that economic efficiency requirestaking advantage of economies of scale (if they exist)and avoiding diseconomies of scale.

    LONGRUNADJUSTMENTS

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    LONG-RUN ADJUSTMENTSTO SHORT-RUN CONDITIONS

    SHORT-RUN PROFITS: EXPANSION TO EQUILIBRIUM

    FIGURE 9.7Firms Expand in the Long Run When Increasing Returns

    to Scale Are Available

    LONGRUNADJUSTMENTS

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    LONG-RUN ADJUSTMENTSTO SHORT-RUN CONDITIONS

    &irms will continue to expand as long as there are economies of scaleto be realized, and new firms will continue to enter as long as positive

    profits are being earned.

    In the long run, euilibrium price (P+! is eual to long%run average

    cost, short%run marginal cost, and short%run average cost. rofits are

    driven to zero-

    P* = SRMC = SRAC = LRAC

    where SRMCdenotes short%run marginal cost, SRACdenotes short%

    run average cost, and LRACdenotes long%run average cost. o other

    price is an euilibrium price. Any price above P*means that there areprofits to be made in the industry, and new firms will continue to

    enter. Any price below P*means that firms are suffering losses, and

    firms will exit the industry. /nly at P*will profits be 0ust eual to zero,

    and only at P* will the industry be in euilibrium.

    LONGRUNADJUSTMENTS

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    LONG-RUN ADJUSTMENTSTO SHORT-RUN CONDITIONS

    SHORT-RUN LOSSES: CONTRACTION TOEQUILIBRIUM

    FIGURE 9.8Long-Run Contraction and Exit in an Industry Suffering Short-Run Losses

    LONGRUNADJUSTMENTS

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    LONG-RUN ADJUSTMENTSTO SHORT-RUN CONDITIONS

    As long as losses are being sustained in an industry, firms will shutdown and leave the industry, thus reducing supply"shifting the

    supply curve to the left. As this happens, price rises. $his gradual

    price rise reduces losses for firms remaining in the industry until

    those losses are ultimately eliminated.

    #hether we begin with an industry in which firms are earning profits

    or suffering losses, the final long%run competitive euilibrium

    condition is the same-

    P* = SRMC = SRAC = LRAC

    and profits are zero. At this point, individual firms are operating at the

    most efficient scale of plant"that is, at the minimum point on their

    LRACcurve.

    LONGRUNADJUSTMENTS

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    LONG-RUN ADJUSTMENTSTO SHORT-RUN CONDITIONS

    THE LONG-RUN ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM:

    INVESTMENT FLOWS TOWARD PROFITOPPORTUNITIES

    In efficient markets, investment capital flows toward profit opportunities.

    $he actual process is complex and varies from industry to industry.

    When firms in an industry are making positive

    profits, capital is likely to flow into that

    industry. Entrepreneurs start new firms, and

    firms producing entirely different productsmay join the competition. The success of Ben

    and Jerrys has inspired a slew of imitators

    to compete in the ice cream industry.

    LONGRUNADJUSTMENTS

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    LONG-RUN ADJUSTMENTSTO SHORT-RUN CONDITIONS

    Investment"in the form of new firms and expanding old firms"will over time tend

    to favor those industries in which profits are being made, and over time industries in

    which firms are suffering losses will gradually contract from disinvestment.

    long-run competitive equilibrium WhenP=SRMC=SRAC=LRACand profits arezero.

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    OUTPUT MARKETS: A FINAL WORD

    In the last four chapters, we have been building a modelof a simple market system under the assumption ofperfect competition.

    You have now seen what lies behind the demandcurves and supply curves in competitive outputmarkets. The next two chapters take up competitiveinput markets and complete the picture.

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    breaking even

    constant returns to scale

    decreasing returns to scale,or diseconomies of scale

    increasing returns to scale,

    or economies of scale

    long-run average cost curve

    (LRAC)

    REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS

    long-run competitive equilibrium

    operating profit (or loss) or net

    operating revenueoptimal scale of plant

    short-run industry supply curve

    shut-down point

    long-run competitive equilibrium,

    P=SRMC=SRAC=LRAC

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    EXTERNAL ECONOMIES AND DISECONOMIESAND THE LONG-RUN INDUSTRY SUPPLY CURVE

    Appendix

    When long-run average costs decrease

    as a result of industry growth, we say thatthere areexternal economies.

    When average costs increase as a resultof industry growth, we say that there areexternal diseconomies.

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    Appendix

    TABLE 9A.1Construction of New Housing and Construction Materials Costs, 20002005

    YEAR

    HOUSE PRICES

    %OVER

    THE PREVIOUS

    YEAR

    HOUSING

    STARTS

    HOUSING

    STARTS

    % CHANGE

    OVER THE

    PREVIOUS

    YEAR

    CONSTRUCTION

    MATERALS

    PRICES

    % CHANGE

    OVER THE

    PREVIOUS

    YEAR

    CONSUMER

    PRICES

    % CHANGE

    OVER THE

    PREVIOUS

    YEAR2000 1573

    2001 7.5 8.2 1661 5.6% 0% 2.8%

    2002 7.5 6.6 1710 2.9% 1.5% 1.5%

    2003 7.9 6.4 1853 8.4% 1.6% 2.3%

    2004 12.0 1949 5.2% 8.3% 2.7%

    2005 13.4 2053 5.3% 5.4% 2.5%

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    Appendix

    THE LONG-RUN INDUSTRY SUPPLY CURVE

    FIGURE 9A.1A Decreasing-Cost Industry: External Economies

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    Appendix

    long-run industry supply curve (LRIS)A graph that traces out price and total

    output over time as an industry expands.

    decreasing-cost industryAn industrythat realizes external economiesthat is,average costs decrease as the industrygrows. The long-run supply curve for suchan industry has a negative slope.

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    Appendix

    FIGURE 9A.2An Increasing-Cost Industry: External Diseconomies

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    increasing-cost industryAn industrythat encounters external diseconomiesthat is, average costs increase as theindustry grows. The long-run supply

    curve for such an industry has a positiveslope.

    constant-cost industryAn industry thatshows no economies or diseconomies ofscale as the industry grows. Suchindustries have flat, or horizontal, long-runsupply curves.