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    DEVELOPMENT POLICY

    Changing Perspectives and Emerging Paradigms

    By

    Professor Denis BennMichael Manley Professor of Public Affairs/ Public Policy

    UWI, Mona

    Keynote Address Presented at the ECLAC-Sponsored Training Conference

    entitled

    'Framework for Caribbean Investigation and Analysis'

    Trinidad and Tobago

    24-25 May, 2004

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    Contents:

    i. Introduction

    ii. Development Policy in Historical Perspective: National and International Dimensions

    iii. The Neo-Classical Counter-Offensive: Theoretical Premises and Practical Consequences

    iv. The Impact of the Neo-Classical Approach on Development Policies of the UN System

    v. Emerging Development Paradigms

    vi. Development Policy in the Context of Caribbean Regional Integration and Cooperation

    vii. Conclusion

    Notes

    References

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    I Introduction

    I feel extremely privileged to have been invited by ECLAC to deliver this address entitled Development

    Policy: Changing Perspectives and Emerging Paradigms.

    I am conscious of the fact that the Commission has had a distinguished record of advancing path-breaking

    ideas, ever since its establishment in 1948, which have exercised an important influence on development

    policy, not only in Latin America and the Caribbean but in other developing regions and indeed in the

    wider international community.

    Needless to say, development policy has been the subject of a wide range of interpretations. What I would

    therefore like to do in this presentation is to identify the evolution in thinking on development policy, as it

    applies to developing countries, including those in the Caribbean, and on this basis highlight the changingperspectives and emerging paradigms on the subject.

    While the presentation focuses on development policy, it should be noted that there is a close relationship

    between development policy and development theory. Indeed, in terms of definition, the latter may be said

    to embody the broad principles which inform approaches to development, whereas the former involves the

    adoption and application of those principles in a practical development context. Consequently, despite the

    conceptual distinction, the two terms are closely inter-linked and cannot therefore be entirely separated

    from each other in the discussion of development issues.

    II Development Policy in Historical Perspective; National and International Dimensions

    The origins of development policy can be traced back to the initial preoccupation during the 1940s and

    1950s with the development challenges facing the developing countries, which was further accentuated in

    the wake of the quickened pace of decolonisation during the 1960s as a number of former colonies attained

    independence and acceded to membership of the United Nations. Indeed, the programme for international

    economic cooperation adopted for the first UN Development Decade (1961-1970) was premised on the

    need to accelerate progress towards self-sustaining growth and also to achieve 'a substantial increase in the

    rate of growth of developing countries'.

    At the theoretical level, the intellectual genesis of developing policy can be found in the tradition of

    development economics, associated with the writings of Raul Prebisch, Arthur Lewis, Hans Singer, Paul

    Rosenstein-Rodan, and Walter Rostow, among others, which sought to highlight the structural

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    underpinnings of underdevelopment and on this basis to formulate appropriate strategies aimed at

    stimulating growth and development.

    These efforts gave rise to the formulation of a number of theoretical frameworks, including structuralism

    associated in the case of Latin America with the writings of Raul Prebisch 1 and others, dependency theory

    in which Andre Gunder Frank2 was perhaps the best known exponent, stages-of-growth theory, based on

    the work of W.W. Rostow3, the dual economy model developed by W. Arthur Lewis4, capital accumulation

    advanced by Samir Amin5 and unequal exchange associated with the writings of Arghiri Emmanuel6.

    A major theme underlying these formulations, particularly in the case of Latin American structuralism

    associated with Raul Prebisch, was the claim that the developing countries were placed at an economic

    disadvantage derived from the adverse terms of trade between the primary commodities produced by them

    and the manufactured products produced by the developed countries. Consequently, special emphasis was

    placed on initiatives aimed at accelerating the pace of industrialisation in the developing countries in aneffort to reduce their dependence on primary commodity exports.

    As a result of this policy - and notwithstanding the criticisms of the 'terms of trade' thesis advanced by

    Prebisch and also by Hans Singer7, among others during the 1950s and 1960s and, indeed, up to the

    1970s, many developing countries embarked on a strategy of import substituting industrialisation which in

    fact sought to modify the traditional Ricardian notion of comparative advantage, that was subsequently

    elaborated in the form of the Heckscher-Ohlin theory8, which was seen as a static concept that served to

    perpetuate the underdevelopment of the developing countries.

    In the case of the Caribbean, Arthur Lewis' 'Industrialisation in the Caribbean' (1950)9, which was

    published in 1950, and which was to some extent influenced by the Puerto Rican model of industrialisation

    in vogue during the 1940s, served as the blueprint for the programme of 'industrialisation by invitation'

    based on the grant of tax incentives and import duty concessions to investors. The intellectual rationale for

    this pattern of development was initially outlined by Lewis in his book, 'Labour in the West Indies'(1938)10

    and subsequently elaborated in his seminal article entitled 'Economic Development With Unlimited Supplies

    of Labour'11 (1955), in which he argued that the relative lack of capital in the region together with the

    existence of a large supply of labour necessitated a strategy aimed at attracting external capital for

    investment in the industrial sector. In addition, given the small size of the economies of the region, Lewis

    advocated a strategy of regional economic integration in an effort to expand market size.

    It should be noted that William Demas, who in 1965 published his book entitled 'The Economics of

    Development in Small Countries with Special Reference to the Caribbean',12 also became a major advocate

    of regional integration as a strategy for optimising the growth prospects of the countries of the region.

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    The theoretical insights associated with the tradition of development economics not only shaped the

    approach to development in Latin America and the Caribbean and in developing countries in other

    geographical regions, during the 1960s and 1970s, but also exercised a significant influence on the

    orientation of development policy at the global level. This was evident in the fact that not only did the

    UNCTAD secretariat, which was established following the first UNCTAD held in Geneva in 1964, endorse

    the industrialisation thesis propounded by the Latin American structuralists but actively sought to promote

    increased market access for the exports of the developing countries through the adoption of the Generalised

    System of Trade Preference (GSP). This orientation on the part of the UNCTAD Secretariat was not

    unrelated to the fact that Raul Prebisch, one of the main architects of the 'declining terms of trade' thesis,

    became the first Secretary General of UNCTAD.

    In addition, the demand by the developing countries for changes to be effected in the international

    economic system, as was reflected in the adoption by the UN General Assembly in 1974 of the resolutionson the New International Economic Order (NIEO), was inspired to a large extent by the theoretical

    perspectives derived from the tradition of development economics mentioned earlier. Not surprisingly, the

    proposals embodied in the UN resolution on the NIEO envisaged fundamental reforms in respect of a wide

    range of development issues, including international trade, with special reference to the trade in primary

    commodities, industrialisation, science and technology, the control over national resources, money and

    finance, and the structuring of the economic and social sectors of the UN system.

    A notable feature of development policy, as it emerged during the 1960s and 1970s, under the influence of

    both Structuralism and socialist-oriented models of development, was the need for the state to play an

    active role in the development process by orchestrating wide ranging interventions in the economic sphere

    aimed at accelerating the pace of development. Indeed, this had become an important article of faith not

    only of the developing countries but the concept of a developmental state was also embraced by

    international development institutions such as the World Bank as well as the regional development banks.

    The emphasis on the role of government in the development process was also reflected in the formulation

    of five year and ten year development plans which were premised on government intervention aimed at

    stimulating investment, particularly in the industrial sector, designed to achieve higher levels of growth.

    In another paper entitled 'Aesthetics, Psychic Income and Development - The Neglected Equation' which

    has been circulated to the meeting, I have shown how, apart from these broad trends, a number of concepts

    such as sustainable development, which grew out of the study entitled 'Our Common Future'(1987) based

    on the work of a panel chaired by Geo Harlem Brundtland; sustainable human development, promoted by

    UNDP; human resources development; social development; human capital; social capital, which is

    associated with the work of Robert Putnam and others; as well as Ramesh Deosaran's attempt to redefine

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    aspects of the social capital thesis, particularly in terms of his advocacy of the concept of 'social

    psychological capital', have also shaped development policy perspectives. However, seeing that these

    issues are dealt with at some length in that paper, I will not address them in this presentation.

    III The Neo-Classical Counter-Offensive

    The emergence during the early 1980s of conservative governments in Britain under Prime Minister

    Margaret Thatcher and in the United States under President Ronald Reagan, both of which subscribed to an

    uncompromising neo-liberalism underpinned by the writings of conservative economists such as Milton

    Friedman, Bela Balassa, Ann Krueger and Deepak Lal, among others, resulted in a major ideological shift

    away from the assumptions of traditional development policy. In fact, the emphasis on the primacy of

    market forces and private sector initiatives, which constituted the ideological bedrock of the 'new

    conservative economics', not only advocated a reduction in the role of the state but also succeeded in

    reorienting the focus away from development to the principle of allocative efficiency. As a result, underthe new dispensation, there was a significant retrenchment of the functions of the state based on a

    minimalist conception of its role in the development process.

    The new 'monetarism' which became the guiding principle of a resurgent neo-liberalism also produced a

    shift in the policy stance of the international financial institutions, notably the IMF and the World Bank,

    which, under US influence, actively embraced the new economic philosophy. In fact, the economic

    stabilisation and structural adjustment programmes espoused by these institutions during the 1980s were

    directly influenced by the premises of the new economic orthodoxy.

    The triumph of neo-liberalism was further bolstered in 1989 with the collapse of the Soviet Union and the

    consequent weakening of the world socialist system. At the geopolitical level, these developments resulted

    in the unchallenged hegemony of the US as the sole surviving superpower. The new reality led to the

    assertion of a triumphal capitalism and bold and confident predictions regarding the end of ideology, as was

    posited by writers such as Francis Fukuyama in his 1992 book entitled 'The End of History and the Last

    Man'13 which in effect asserted that liberal democracy together with free market economics represented the

    end point in the ideological evolution of human society.

    Notwithstanding the unabashed proclamation of the merits of structural adjustment, the evidence obtained

    from a review of the experience of many developing countries in Africa, Asia and the Pacific and Latin

    America and the Caribbean indicates that although these programmes succeeded in some cases, in reducing

    public sector deficits and in controlling inflation, they have had a negative impact on the economies of

    these countries, notably in terms of an increase in poverty, growing income inequality and a deterioration in

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    the social conditions in many countries as a result of a cutback in social sector expenditure which was often

    stipulated under the programmes in an effort to reduce public sector deficits.

    The mood of capitalist triumphalism, based on neo-classical economic assumptions, was manifested not

    only at the national level but during the 1980s and 1990s a conscious attempt was made by the developed

    countries to promote an assertive strategy of globalisation and economic liberalisation, as was evident in

    the expansion of the influence of transnational corporations, the conclusion under the Uruguay Round, of a

    series of multilateral trade agreements dealing with investment measures (TRIMS), intellectual property

    rights (TRIPS) and trade in services (GATS), and also the establishment of the World Trade Organisation

    (WTO) in an effort to promote a liberalised global trading regime based largely on the principle of

    reciprocity, albeit with some temporary concessions to the preferential arrangements traditionally granted

    to the developing countries.

    Of special significance is the fact that the developed countries have sought to put on the WTO agenda anumber of new issues such as competition policy, trade facilitation, and transparency in governmental

    procurement, despite the demand by the developing countries for a prior review of the implementation of

    the agreements already concluded in respect of investment, intellectual property rights and services, which

    have had a negative impact on the economics of many developing countries. In addition, the developing

    countries have objected to the lack of transparency in the negotiations within the WTO reflected in the

    undemocratic practices involved in the 'green room' process which have effectively excluded the majority

    of developing countries from the negotiating process.

    These concerns on the part of the developing countries, together with the insistence by the developed

    countries on maintaining large subsidies on their agricultural products, while calling for further

    liberalisation by the developing countries in several sectors, and the attempt to introduce new issues for

    negotiation, were at the heart of the collapse of the WTO Ministerial meeting held in Cancun in 2003.

    IV. The Impact of the Neo-Classical Approach on the Development Policies of the UN System

    The fundamental shift which has occurred in development policy in the wake of a resurgent neo-liberalism

    has had a negative impact on the approach to development by the UN system in the period since the mid -

    1980s. Specifically, there has been a significant shift from the traditional emphasis on development policy

    as a holistic phenomenon, as was the case during the 1960s and 1970s, to a focus on more limited goals and

    targets. This is clearly reflected in the changing content of the International Development Strategies

    adopted by the UN General Assembly during the past four decades. Compared with the strategies of the

    first (1961 - 1970), Second (1971 - 1980) and Third (1981 - 1990) Decades, which clearly emphasised the

    importance of economic growth in the overall development equation, the Strategy for the Fourth Decade

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    (1991-2000) places much greater emphasis on poverty eradication and social development. Quite

    significantly, it states that while growth is desirable, 'the developing countries need not await the

    transformation in per capita income to do away with the existence of poverty, particularly hunger and

    destitution, since some developing countries with low per capita income had succeeded in obtaining

    relatively good results in the social field'.

    Moreover, notwithstanding the fact that during the 1990s the UN sponsored a series of global conferences

    on issues such as human rights, population, gender, and social development, it has failed to recapture its

    previous holistic conception of development. Indeed, the Millennium Development Goals which embrace

    issues such as poverty eradication, universal primary education, gender, infant mortality, maternal health,

    HIV/AIDS and other diseases, environmental sustainability and the establishment of a global partnership

    for development, fall essentially within a social development universe rather than within the broader

    parameters of development to which the UN system had previously subscribed.

    In fact, this development seems to reflect a de facto division of labour among international institutions in

    which the IMF deals with macroeconomic policy, the World Bank with structural and development policy,

    the WTO with trade policy and the UN with social development, humanitarian affairs and international

    peace and security. Within this schema, it is clear that the core economic development issues have been

    assigned to the IMF and World Bank, notwithstanding the desirability for global development issues to be

    brought under the purview of the UN General Assembly as the most universal and democratic international

    forum.

    One initiative within the UN system which requires special comment relates to the publication of the

    UNDP annual Human Development Report (HDR). The HDR, which has been published annually since

    1990, seeks to advance the concept of human development as an overarching philosophy. It in effect posits

    a substitute perspective on development, compared to the traditional growth-oriented models of

    development based on growth indices and per capita GNP measurements.

    At the heart of the HDR is the Human Development Index (HDI) which is a composite index comprising

    three elements, namely, longevity, educational attainment and an income element, measured in terms of

    purchasing power parity (PPP). Over the years, a number of other indices have been added to the original

    HDI, including a human poverty index (HPI), a gender-related development index (GDI), a gender

    empowerment measurement (GEM) and a Technology Achievement Index (TAI), which is intended to

    measure technological progress based on four criteria, namely, the indigenous creation of technology, the

    diffusion of old technology, the diffusion of new technology and human resources development.

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    Essentially, the HDI is underpinned by a new conception of development reflected in Amartya Sen's

    redefinition of development as a process of 'enlarging people's choices' and ensuring greater freedom.14

    The ideas advanced by Sen, who served as a consultant to UNDP in the preparation of the first Human

    Development Report, have been very influential in shaping the philosophical orientation of the HDR.

    However, despite the claim that it offers a substitute perspective on development, in reality, the reports

    have placed considerable emphasis on social sector investment as the basis for promoting human

    development. This has lessened, to some extent, their ability to achieve a holistic development focus since

    issues relating to macroeconomic policy, capital investment in the directly productive sectors of the

    economy, such as agriculture, industry, etc., and also economic infrastructure are also essential to the

    achievement of an optimal level of development.

    It may be argued of course, that UNDP's emphasis on social development is based on an explicit

    recognition of the division of labour between the UN system, the Bretton Woods institutions and the WTO

    to which reference was made earlier. Indeed, the sensitivity in the relations between internationaldevelopment institutions in respect of perceived areas of responsibility is illustrated by the recent

    controversy surrounding the publication by UNDP of the book entitled Making Global Trade Work for

    People in which the WTO objected to aspects of the publication on the ground that it was not adequately

    consulted in an area for which it had responsibility. For this reason, some developed countries attempted to

    suppress the publication. Fortunately these objections were overcome since the publication has succeeded

    in promoting an enlightened debate on the benefits of 'fair trade' versus 'free trade' and also endorsed a

    number of the positions that the developing countries had sought to defend over the years in the context of

    the multilateral trade negotiations within the WTO.

    It is also significant that despite its sponsorship of the annual HDR which has, over the years, covered, a

    wide range of development topics such as financing, people's participation, human security, gender,

    economic growth, poverty eradication, consumption, globalisation, human rights, governance and

    technology, at the operational level UNDP, at the behest of the donors, has increasingly sought to limit the

    focus of its activities to a number of select themes or practice areas, such as poverty eradication,

    governance, and environmental sustainability, While these issues are of undoubted importance, the

    increasingly narrow focus of UNDP's development orientation is likely to prevent the organisation from

    dealing with a number of the central structural obstacles to development such as trade, production and the

    application of science and technology - all of which were encompassed within the development policy

    matrix traditionally supported by UNDP and other organisations and agencies of the UN system.

    For this reason, in recent years the nature of the role of the Executive Boards of funds and programmes

    such as UNDP and UNFPA, vis--vis ECOSOC and the UN General Assembly has provoked considerable

    debate. One school of thought argues that it is within the province of the Boards to lay down broad

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    development policy to guide the operations of the various programmes and funds for which they are

    responsible. Others have argued nevertheless that UN programmes and funds such as UNDP and UNFPA,

    should be guided by the development policy directives laid down by ECOSOC and the UN General

    Assembly and therefore the Executive Boards should provide broad oversight to ensure that the funds and

    programmes effectively pursue the goals laid down and, as such, should not seek to stipulate, on their own,

    the goals to be addressed by the funds and programmes, as has been the tendency in recent years. While,

    by virtue of their contributions, the donors have continued to exercise a dominant influence in the

    Executive Boards in determining the development orientation of the various funds and programmes, it is

    likely that the nature of the role of the Boards vis--vis ECOSOC and the UN General Assembly will

    continue to generate debate within the UN system.

    It should also be noted that in recent years increasing emphasis has also been placed on the concept of

    international public goods, which Marco Ferroni15 has characterised as reflecting the opening up of a new

    policy space to deal with a number of global or trans-border issues, such as environmental sustainabilityand the HIV/AIDS parademic, which are beyond the capacity of individual countries. The initiative is

    motivated in part by the assumption that recent years donors have in been less inclined to increase aid

    allocations for traditional development purposes and that, by focusing on global issues which are of interest

    to both developed and developing countries, the donors may be encouraged to assign resources for this

    purpose.

    While it is important to promote international public goods, there is a danger that the already limited

    resources assigned to development would be reallocated to deal with issues falling within this sphere of

    activities. In fact, proponents of the international public goods perspective, such as Ravi Kanbur16

    , are

    quite explicit in their advocacy of 'a relative shift of resources from conventional country-specific aid to

    international public goods'. What is really needed, however - particularly in the face of the growing

    disadvantages experienced by the developing countries in the context of the inexorable march of

    globalisation - is an increase in overall development assistance instead of a reallocation of the present

    limited amount of such assistance, which is less than half of the 0.7 percent target for Official Development

    Assistance previously sanctioned by the international community.

    The review of the evolution of development policy in the UN system, both within the intergovernmental

    forums and in the operational programmes of various organisations, suggests that there has been a

    systematic shift in focus from the traditional broad-based approach to development to a more limited,

    theme-specific focus and that, as is reflected in the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), there is an

    overriding emphasis on social development issues, including poverty eradication, which as stated earlier, is

    likely to limit the ability of the system to deal with the major structural challenges facing the developing

    countries, particularly in the context of the intensification of the phenomenon of globalisation.

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    This development is all the more significant, given the fact that, under the so called 'Washington

    Consensus', both the IMF and the World Bank are fully committed to the neo-classical economic orthodoxy

    which means that they subscribe to a fairly limited conception of development, based on their reliance on

    market forces and private sector initiatives.

    It is important to note that neo-classical economics, which is largely the product of the 'marginalist'

    revolution of the late 19th century, and which was supplemented by monetarist approaches during the

    1980s, has been the subject of a number of criticisms regarding fundamental weaknesses in it theoretical

    underpinnings. For example, a major weakness is seen as its attempt to apply a highly idealised conception

    of the economic system to describe a complex reality. It has also been criticised for assuming the existence

    of perfect competition, whereas in most economies, particularly those of the developing countries, perfect

    competition and economic equilibrium seldom apply.

    The attempt to define the function of the state as providing an enabling environment for private sector

    investment is also quite misleading since the role of the state must be defined in wider terms, given its

    responsibility to provide strategic inputs in the development process and to ensure social equity.

    At the international level, the theory of comparative advantage, has been criticised for being too static in its

    conception since comparative advantage is susceptible to change over time. Moreover, as economists such

    as Michael Porter17 have pointed out, competitive advantage can be created based on the application of

    technology. For this reason, it may be more appropriate to adopt the concept of competitive advantage

    instead of comparative advantage in seeking to determine the relative advantages of participants in the

    international trading system.

    Similarly, critics point to the lack of consistency in the application of the concept of comparative advantage

    in the context of globalisation and economic liberalisation, since although neo-classical trade theory is

    premised on the liberalisation of all factors of production, the free movement of labour is often excluded

    from the equation, which suggests that the system of free trade is far from being philosophically

    unassailable.

    More important still, as Dani Rodrik has pointed out, contrary to the conventional wisdom,

    'countries that have done well in the post-war period are those that have

    been able to formulate a domestic investment strategy to kick-start growth

    and those that have had the appropriate institutions to handle adverse economic

    shocks, not those that relied on reduced barriers to trade and capital flows' 18

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    In other words, the solution does not lie with liberalisation in itself, as the neo-liberal thesis suggests, but

    rather in the capacity of countries 'to engage the world economy on their own terms, not on terms set by the

    global markets or multilateral institutions.'19

    Finally, the grant of substantial agricultural subsidies by the US and the European Union in a situation in

    which the developing countries are routinely precluded from granting subsidies under the terms of the

    conditionalities applied under IMF/World Bank sponsored structural adjustment programmes, implies a

    highly selective application of neo-liberal principles in international trade and economic relations.

    IV. Emerging Development Paradigms

    Based on the perceived inadequacies of the existing neo-liberal economic orthodoxy which has failed todeliver the expected benefits and in a situation in which poverty not only persists at the national level but in

    which income disparities between rich and poor countries continue to increase, the need for the formulation

    of a new development paradigm has become an urgent necessity.

    Joseph Stiglitz has in fact called for an increased role for the state in the development process since

    government action is often critical to ensuring desirable policy outcomes, which cannot be guaranteed by

    the operation of the market on its own. Similarly, Thomas Palley20 has advocated the application of

    structural Keynesianism to the formulation of development policy in order to ensure that the interests of the

    working class are adequately protected.

    In the case of the United Kingdom, the Labour Party, in adopting the so-called 'third way', has sought to

    combine free market principles with a socialist ethic of distribution in an effort to ensure an optimum social

    outcome by limiting the negative impact of an unrestrained neo-liberal economic philosophy. The

    maintenance of an adequate balance between the two elements of this strategy continues to present a

    number of major challenges in the formulation and application of an enlightened development policy.

    It is also becoming quite clear that the advent of new technologies such as microelectronics, biotechnology

    and new materials, will require the formulation of a new techno-economic paradigm in order to respond

    adequately to the challenges presented by these developments. The fact is that, despite growing

    recognition of the importance of science and technology in the development process, these subjects have

    not been adequately addressed in the formulation of conventional development policy.

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    Similarly, although an attempt has been made in recent years to reformulate development policy in terms of

    human development goals, as in the case of the UNDP-sponsored Human Development Reports, this effort

    has failed to take into account, the psychic dimension of human existence which is clearly linked to the

    existence of an aesthetically pleasing social environment. In recognition of this need, an attempt has been

    made by some social science theorists to elaborate the concept of 'psychic income' and to reformulate the

    approach to development policy in order to ensure the inclusion of this important element in the overall

    development equation.

    The challenge outlined above is perhaps best captured by Paolo Sylos Labini, who posits that:

    .we have to enlarge the scope of our enquiries concerning

    development processes, especially if we intend to analyse not

    only countries that today are advanced but also underdeveloped

    countries.'

    21

    Moreover, as Steven Durlauf has reminded us '.methodological eclicticism seems more than warranted

    when dealing with issues as complicated as growth,'22 and, I may add, with development policy.

    V. Development Policy in the Context of Caribbean Regional Integration and Cooperation

    Having provided a general overview of the evolution in thinking on development policy globally, I would

    like to address the issue in the context of specific Caribbean realities.

    As was stated earlier, the Caribbean has not been exempt from the several shifts in development policy

    over the years. It was noted that Arthur Lewis, who was one of the pioneers of development economics,

    was a staunch advocate of a development policy focused on industrialisation in the context of efforts to

    promote increased regional economic co-operation. This position was also clearly supported by William

    Demas, particularly in terms of the need for regional integration as a means of optimising the development

    possibilities of the region and as a strategy for ensuring the exercise of 'effective', instead of merely

    'formal', sovereignty, as he was wont to argue.23

    However, the Lewis-Demas thesis came under increasing attack during the 1960s and 1970s from the New

    World Group24 of economists, such as Best, Beckford, Girvan and others, who starting from the premise

    that the transnational corporations in the region operated on the basis of the same exploitative logic as the

    traditional plantation system, advocated a strategy of nationalisation and the promotion of greater self-

    reliance. The development strategy supported by the Group was also premised on the need for the

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    government to play a critical role in the development process - which in fact became an important article

    of faith of the development policy to which countries in the region subscribed during the 1960s and 1970s.

    In the wake of neo-liberal revolution, to which reference was made earlier, the 1980s witnessed a

    fundamental shift in orientation towards a reliance on the market and increased private sector investment

    under the influence of the structural adjustment programmes on which a number of countries in the region

    embarked in an effort to deal with their balance of payments problems. Indeed, as was the situation in

    many other developing countries, the free market philosophy became the dominant influence on

    development policy during the 1980s.

    However, the less than optimal results from the policies pursued within this framework, has led to

    increased questioning of the unqualified application of the neo-classical model to the realities of the small

    economies of the Caribbean. Consequently, as in other parts of the developing world, and indeed in some

    parts of the academic community in the developed world, there is renewed interest in rethinking thepremises of neo-liberal economic policies in an effort to arrive at a development paradigm more suited to

    the needs of the region.

    An important element in the rethinking of development policy in the region relates to the current effort of

    the member countries of the Caribbean Community to intensify regional economic integration in the

    context of the proposed Caribbean Single Market and Economy (CSME) both as a means of advancing

    their development and in an effort to strengthen their bargaining position in the context of the negotiations

    within the WTO, the FTAA and in the ACP/EU Cotonou arrangements, with special reference to the

    conclusion of a separate Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) between the Caribbean and the EU.

    A number of commentators including Havelock Brewster25 and Norman Girvan,26 have pointed to the slow

    pace at which progress is being made towards the completion of the legislative and administrative

    arrangements that will be necessary for the launch of the CSME, which Barbados, Jamaica and Trinidad

    and Tobago, have committed themselves to introduce by the end of 2004.

    Of course, efforts are also being made to establish the Caribbean Court of Justice (CCJ) which, in its

    original jurisdiction, will be an important element in the functioning of the CSME, since it will be

    responsible for the settlement of trade disputes which might arise among member states.

    Notwithstanding the challenges which it presents, the establishment of the CSME constitutes a major

    element of the current development strategy pursued by the countries of the region. The reality is that the

    Caribbean Community possesses a number of critical resources such as bauxite/alumina, petroleum/natural

    gas, gold, diamonds, agriculture and forestry, significant tourism infrastructure and not insignificant human

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    resources, of which few other economic entities of similar size can boast. As such, it provides a solid basis

    for the promotion of a strategy of production integration in the region.

    Indeed, Article 52 of the Revised Treaty of Chaguaramas makes specific reference to the promotion of

    production integration, based on various models which are in fact identified in the Treaty. It is also

    noteworthy that at the thirtieth anniversary Conference of Heads of Government held in Montego Bay in

    July 2003, the Heads of Government agreed to appoint a group of experts to identify the possibilities for

    production integration in the region and also the related policy and institutional arrangements to give effect

    to the strategy.

    In terms of the current status of developments in the region, in recent years there has been a significant

    increase in cross-border investment in a number of service sectors, including in particular banking and

    insurance, notably among companies based in Barbados, Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago. However, as

    Trevor Farrell

    27

    and others have pointed out, these efforts have been motivated to a large extent by a desireto promote 'market extension' and have not been based on factor complementarity, which is at the heart of

    the strategy of production integration.

    It is worth noting in passing that recently the argument has been advanced in certain quarters that some

    countries would be adversely affected by participation in the CSME, based on their relatively low level of

    competitiveness vis-a vis other member states of the Community. But this position is quite indefensible

    since it is obvious that if countries are not competitive enough for the CSME, it is highly unlikely that they

    will be able to survive in an even more competitive environment outside the CSME.

    The debate also overlooks the fact that not only will the CSME strengthen the negotiating capacity of the

    member states of the Caribbean Community by facilitating the adoption of a joint platform on issues, but,

    as was stated earlier, it will provide increased opportunities for production integration, which is an

    indispensable strategy for optimising the development possibilities of the region and also for maximising

    the exercise of sovereignty at a time when small states, in particular, need to embrace the concept of the

    collective exercise of sovereignty.

    Of course, the logic of regional economic integration could be further extended by linking it to the possible

    creation of a growth pole or growth triangle in the region. The concept is most closely linked to the

    experience of Singapore which, in recognition of its limited geographical size, has sought to expand its

    development prospects by 'integrating' parts of Malaysia and some of the neighbouring Indonesian islands

    into a common development framework or growth triangle which generates economic benefits for all the

    participants in the arrangement.

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    Significant benefits could be derived by promoting a similar arrangement within the Caribbean/South

    American region, given the small size of many of the islands. In this connection, it should be noted that

    with the blessing of CARICOM, Guyana has recently concluded a trade agreement with Brazil, in which

    the former is seen as providing a 'gateway' for Caricom countries into a major trading bloc, bearing in mind

    that Brazil is a member of MERCOSUR. In fact it is understood that a proposal by Brazil for the

    conclusion of a formal relationship between CARICOM and MERCOSUR is currently being studied by the

    Caricom Secretariat.

    Equally significant in this context is the fact that Guyana and Suriname are currently engaged in

    preliminary oil exploration which, based on US Geological Survey data, is likely to yield significant

    quantities of petroleum. Given the potential of these countries to exploit the petroleum resources of the

    Guianas Shield and the significant petroleum and natural gas production of Trinidad and Tobago, it would

    be feasible to establish a Caricom growth triangle involving the three member states of the Community,

    based on the promotion of closer economic links with Brazil, in which, as was stated earlier, Guyana couldserve as the 'gateway' by virtue of its existing trade agreement with that country. This would be perfectly

    compatible with a strategy of production integration within Caricom based on the exploitation of the

    region's natural resources.

    Given these realities, development policy in the Caribbean will therefore need to expand its horizons and

    seek to encompass new and innovative possibilities, including geo-strategic initiatives which bear on

    economics, if it is to serve as a dynamic instrument in the service of the development in the region.

    It should also be noted that while development policy in the Caribbean has traditionally focused on

    economic and social development issues, including poverty eradication and sustainable development,

    governance arrangements at the regional level have also come under increased scrutiny as part of the effort

    to give effect to the CSME, since it is recognised that the effectiveness of regional economic arrangements

    will depend to a large extent on the nature of the political decision making process within the Community.

    At the present time, because of the reservations in some countries regarding the establishment of a

    federation or other form of political union, the Community is seen as a 'community of sovereign states'

    which tends to highlight the sovereignty vested in the individual states. However, in reality, a wide range

    of options is available to the Community for the flexible exercise of sovereignty at different levels, without

    resorting to political union. While it is true that, based on the provisions of the existing treaty, sovereignty

    resides in individual countries, it is clear that an effectively functioning Community will require innovative

    governance arrangements which would involve, in some cases, the collective exercise of sovereignty, as is

    indeed the case in respect of some aspects of the negotiations carried out within the framework of the

    Caribbean Regional Negotiating Mechanism (CRNM), and, in other cases, even the cession of

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    supranationality in specific areas - as indeed would be the case with the establishment of the Caribbean

    Court of Justice (CCJ) which will eventually function as a supranational entity and the decisions of which

    will be binding on member states of the Community.

    In recognition of the importance of effective regional governance arrangements, the CARICOM Heads of

    Government have appointed a Prime Ministerial Expert Group, comprising the Prime Ministers of St

    Vincent and the Grenadines (Chairman), Antigua and Barbuda, Barbados, Jamaica, and Trinidad and

    Tobago to examine the existing governance arrangements, with special reference to the possibility of

    establishing a Commission to advance relevant initiatives and also to force the pace of implementation in

    respect of CSME - related issues. The Prime Ministerial Expert Group was also requested to make

    recommendations for the more effective functioning of the Assembly of Caribbean Community

    Parliamentarians (ACCP). In addition, in an effort to put the funding of the Caricom Secretariat on a firmer

    footing, it was mandated to explore the possibility of introducing a system based on the principle of

    'automaticity' of resource transfers to the Secretariat.

    In an effort to carry forward this initiative, the Prime Ministerial Expert Group appointed three technical

    sub-groups to review the various issues. At the intersessional meeting of Heads of Government held in St

    Kitts in March, 2004, it was decided that the reports of the technical sub-groups, which had been submitted

    to the Prime Ministerial Expert Group would be considered, in conjunction with a separate report prepared

    by a group of external consultants on the functioning of the Caricom Secretariat, at the next meeting of the

    Caricom Heads of Government to be held in Grenada in July 2004.

    The decisions to be taken on issues relating to regional governance will form part of the wider strategy on

    trade and economic integration within CARICOM which, as was mentioned previously, has become a

    central focus of development policy in the Caribbean.

    It should be mentioned that although the analysis has focused largely on the Caribbean Community,

    attention will also need to be paid to the wider CDCC membership and indeed to the Association of

    Caribbean States (ACS), which also cuts across the constituency for which the ECLAC Sub Regional

    Headquarters in Port-of-Spain has responsibility. Consequently, the development policy articulated by

    ECLAC, Port-of-Spain will need to focus on the possibilities for collaboration and the intensification of

    synergies among all member states of the CDCC. This will inevitably involve a rationalisation of effort in

    order to complement, rather than duplicate, initiatives within the region. It will be important therefore to

    organise periodic meetings between ECLAC, Port-of-Spain, the Caricom Secretariat and the ACS

    Secretariat in order to achieve this objective.

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    VII Conclusion

    The foregoing analysis has sought to highlight the changing perspectives on development policy both

    globally and in the specific context of the Caribbean. The analysis suggests that the developing countries

    as a whole and the Caribbean in particular, face a number of major challenges which will require the

    formulation of new and innovative development paradigms in order to enable them to cope with these

    challenges. While significant progress has been made, particularly in terms of regional integration and in

    the management of external trade negotiations, with which the region has been forced to deal on a

    collective basis, ECLAC, Port-of-Spain, in keeping with its mandate to serve as an intellectual centre for

    analysis and policy formulation within the UN system at the regional level, and bearing in mind its

    distinguished record of contribution over the years, is well placed to provide the necessary intellectual

    support for the formulation of a creative strategy designed to promote the optimal development of the

    region based on growth with equity, and also the achievement of human development goals. This is ahistoric enterprise in which ECLAC must place a central role.

    _________________________

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    Notes:

    1 Raul Prebisch, The Economic Development of Latin America and Its Principal Problems, New York,United Nations, 1950. See also Raul Prebisch, Stages in My Thinking on Development, in Pioneers in

    Development, G.M. Meier and D. Seers (eds), New York, Oxford University Press, 1984. Other Latin

    American writers who built upon, but who also departed from, the basic trends of structuralism includeCelso Furtado, Osvaldo Sunkel, Fernando Cardoso, Enzo Falleto and Theotonio dos Santos.

    2 Andr Gunder Frank, Capitalism and Underdevelopment in Latin America, New York, Modern ReaderPaperbacks, 1969.

    3 W.W. Rostow, The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non-Communist Manifesto, Cambridge, U.K.,

    Cambridge University Press, 1960

    4 W. Arthur Lewis, 'Economic Development With Unlimited Supplies of Labour', The Manchester School

    of Economic and Social Studies, Vol.XXII, May 1954

    5 Samir Amin,Accumulation on a World Scale, Monthly Review Press, 1974

    6 Arghiri Emmanuel, Unequal Exchange, New York, Monthly Review Press, 1977

    7 Hans Singer, 'Lessons of Post-War Development Experience, 1945-1988', in S. Sharma, (ed) Development

    Policy, New York, St. Martin Press, 35-80

    8 The Heckscher-Ohlin theory was developed as the neo-classical version of trade theory and comparative

    advantage.

    9 W. Arthur Lewis,Industrial Development in the Caribbean, Port of Spain, 1950

    10 ___________, Labour in the West Indies: The Birth of a Worker's Movement, London, V. Gollanez Ltd

    and the Fabian Society, 1939

    11 __________, 'Economic Development With Unlimited Supplies of Labour', The Manchester School of

    Economic and Social Studies, Vol.XXII, May 1954

    12 William Demas, The Economics of Development in Small Countries With Special Reference to theCaribbean, McGill University, 1965

    13 Francis Fukuyama, The End of History and the Last Man, New York, Avon, 1992

    14 Amartya Sen, 'The Living Standard' in Economic Welfare', edited by Tyler Cowen, Edgar Elgar

    Publishing, 2000

    15

    Marco Ferroni, 'The Role of International Public Goods in Sustainable Globalisation and Localisation',presented at the WBI Course on Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations and Local Financial Management,

    Budapest, April 14, 2000

    16 Ravi Kanbur, 'Cross Border Externalities, International Public Goods and Their Implications for AidAgencies', paper prepared for Conference on Global Tensions, in honour of Ester Boserup, Cornell

    University, March 9-10, 2001.

    17 Michael Porter, TheCompetitive Advantage of Nations, New York: Free Press (1998)

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    18Dani Rodrik, The New Global Economy and the Developing Countries: Making Openness Work,

    published by the Overseas Development Council, Washington DC, 1997 (distributed by the Johns

    Hopkins University Press)

    19 ibid.

    20 Thomas I. Palley, Plenty of Nothing: Downsizing the American Dream and the Case for StructuralKeynesianism, Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1998

    21 Paolo Sylos Labini, 'Growth Models and the Explanation of Forces Behind Development Processes' inRoger E. Blackhouse and Andrea Salanti, Macroeconomics, Oxford University Press, New York, 2000

    22 Steven N. Durlauf, 'Economic Analysis and the Study of Economic Growth: A Sceptical Perspective'in

    Roger E. Blackhouse and Andrea Salanti, op cit.

    23 William Demas, West Indian Development and the Deepening and Widening of the Caribbean, Kingston,

    Ian Randle Publishers and the Institute of Social and Economic Research (ISER), 1997.

    24 The New World Group, which was formed during the early 1960s, proposed an alternative development

    strategy to that proposed by W. Arthur Lewis. For many of the economists within the Group, theplantation was seen as a defining characteristic of the Caribbean region.

    25 Havelock Brewster, CARICOM: From Community to Single Market and Economy in Kenneth Hall and

    Denis Benn, Government in the Age of Globalisation: Caribbean Perspectives, Kingston, Ian Randle

    Publishers, 2003.

    26 Norman Girvan, Reflections on the CSME, Keynote Address to SALISES Conference on the CSME,UWI, St. Augustine, 31 March 2004

    27 Trevor Farrell, Caribbean Economic Integration: What is Happening Now; What Needs to Be Done,paper presented at the Caricom Thirtieth Anniversary Conference on Regional Governance and

    Integrated Development, held at the University of the West Indies, Mona, 17-19 October, 2003

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    3. Blackhouse, Roger E Macro Economics and the Real World: Vol. 1 - Econometric

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    4. Brookfield, Harold Interdependent Development, London, Methuen and Co. Ltd, 1975

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    6. Demas, William The Economics of Development in Small Countries With SpecialReference to the Caribbean, McGill University, 1965

    7. _____________ West Indian Development and the Deepening and Widening of the

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    19. Ramis, Gustave and The State of Development Economics: Progress and Perspectives, Oxford,

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    23. _________________ Resolution 45/199 ,International Development Strategy for the Fourth

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    Celine Sachs-Jeantet

    27. Stiglitz, Joseph E. Globalisation and Its Discontents, New York, W.W. Norton, 2002

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