Aim - Försvarsmakten

24

Transcript of Aim - Försvarsmakten

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LIFE GUARDS

Aim

To get a basic knowledge of the ATLANTICA

scenario, as an introduction for further self studies

during the week, in preparation for upcoming

MAPEXs.

VI VERKAR, SYNS OCH RESPEKTERAS

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SCOPE • History • Geography & climate • Infrastructure • Socioeconomics • Ethnicity & religion • Politics • OPFOR • Criminal networks • Security sector • UNMIGO / GFOR • Background documents

overview

Monturia

Costesia

Etemia

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LIFE GUARDS

Area

110 000 km2

Population

10 750 000

Capital

Shye City

Provinces

Costesia

Etemia (OXBURG)

Monturia (HANOKA)

Rep of Gothia

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History 1523

Discovered by explores crossing the Atlantic Ocean

1562

Tribal kingdom of Etemia

1700

Higher strategic importance due to Trans-Atlantic Trade. West African migrants to coastal area forms Kingdom of Costesia.

1709

Iron ore discovered in independent Monturia by European engineers.

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History (cont) 1848

English-speaking Europeans brought Costesia and

Etemia together (colony of Central Atlantica)

1876

Independent kingdom of Monturia annexed to Central

Atlantica. The colony assumes the name of Gothia.

1961

Rep of Gothia independence.

(President Balumbritzi -1984).

1974

Oil discovered SE of Atlantica.

1985

Military coup (J COS Abidé Mbongo) leads to internal

armed conflict.

1999

Mbongo assassinated. BCA is signed.

2000

Parliamentary and presidential elections (pres Faso).

2003

Tantalum is discovered in Monturia.

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Climate & Geography Costesia

• Tropical wet or savannah climate.

• Dry season, but rivers and lakes are waterfilled all year.

• Av temp of 18ºC.

• Fertile ground and low altitude.

Etemia

• Dry and arid inland climate.

• Landscape dominated by steppe and desert.

• Temp generally over 10ºC all year. (av.temp of 26ºC.)

• Smaller rivers/lakes dry from Feb-Sep.

Monturia

• Mountainous, lacks arable land.

• Dry with warm summer and cold winter weather.

• Large amounts of snow during the winter (Oct-Jan), with average temp below 0ºC.

Monturia

Costesia

Etemia

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Infrastructure General

Gothia´s infrastructure is generally of poor quality, especially in the inlands.

Railway

Non-electrified railway system of poor quality, generally serving the mines in Monturia.

Ports

Developed shipping port in SHYE CITY and a smaller harbour in DAYCOVE.

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Infrastructure

Air transportation Air transportation to Gothia is concentrated to the international airport in SHYE CITY. For domestic flights, two major airports are available that have paved landing strips. They are in DAYCOVE and HANOKA For other air operations, dirt landing strips are found in several smaller cities and villages all over Gothia. The conditions of these airports are poor and lack formal Air Traffic Control systems and organization

Infrastructure

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Infrastructure

Class X Class Y

Class Z

all year !

sometimes impassable!

Most of the year !

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Socioeconomics • Economy primarily based on natural resources

• Low educational level (Monturia, Etemia).

• Girls not allowed to attend school in central

Monturia.

• Underdeveloped service sector.

• Corruption.

Costesia

• More developed.

• Oil and agriculture.

• (Fishing)

Etemia

• Small scale agriculture (self-subsistence) and

animal keeping.

• Poppy cultivation.

Monturia

• Animal keeping

• Mining

– Coal

– Uranium

– Tantalum (90% of world resources, strategic

product)

OIL

AGRICULTURE

MINING

POPPY

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Ethnicity • Four main ethnic groups;

– Costesians 64% (Teme 38%, Likali 28%)

– Etemi 18%

– Ubuni 11%

– Botnians 4%

• Geograpically dispersed (except SHYE CITY)

• Likali Costesians have historically been the most influential group

Botnianity Botnianity

Demography

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Religion MAIN RELIGION

Grand Barja

Ramirez

Grand Barja Ramos

ETAVA TEME LIKALI LIKALI COSTESTIANS TEME COSTESTIANS

AGRUMI

MONTURIA

BOTNIANITY IMMIGRANTS FROM BOTNIA

MINORITY RELIGIONS

HENOTHEISM CENTRAL ETEMIA

40% 25%

11%

18% 5%

Grand Serif Harper

OTHER 1%

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Politics

• FEDERATION Gothia is a federation with three provinces

with limited autonomy • PRESIDENT Head of state Substantial influence over national security

organs (SIA) Supreme Commander (GAF) Ability to VETO legislation

• PARLIAMENT Legislative power rests within the parliament 185 members (33 women)

PARTIES Five major parties in Gothian politics, each of them representing one of the population groups

BCG (Botnian Coalition of Gothia)

Botnian minority

MLP (Monturia Liberation Party)

Ubuni

EDP (Etemian Democratic Party)

Etemian

PMLG (People’s Front for the Liberation of Gothia)

Likali Costesian

CFP (Costesia Freedom Party)

Teme Costesian

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Monturian Liberation Army (MLA) Leader: Jones Muvuni

Strength: 2000 ( vividly uses Guns for Hire and varies between 1200 and 2000)

Organization: Hierarchical, mainly organized in multifunctional cells that varies between 3-10 people. There are active and passive cells.

Equipment: Light vehicles, horses, rifles, handguns, mortars, RPG’s, IED`s.

Training: The core leadership is assessed to have some military training, common soldier non. Extensive IED training.

Methods: Ambushes. Funded by Ubunia and illegal activity (trafficking, opium production).

AOO: Monturia and western Etemia. Assessed to have active and passive cells in Shye City and Daycove

Safe Havens: Rural Monturia, Ubunia

Costesian Front (CF) Leader: Richard Boromo (former Com Rev Guard)

Strength: Approx. 2500 people including an unknown number of child soldiers

Organization: Groups of 15-30 people operating independently and together within an hierarchical structure – paramilitary structure

Equipment: Light vehicles, horses, rifles, handguns, mortars, RPG’s, IED´s.

Training: The core leadership and the common soldiers are assessed to have some military training - obtained by disbanded Revolutionary Guard.

Methods: Ambushes, ethnic cleansing, sexual violence. Funded by Kaskazinin and PMLG.

AOO: Costesia and Botnia

Safe Havens: Costesia, rural areas, Kaskazini

Irregular Groups

Objective

A “Kingdom of Costesia” – a Gothia ruled by Likali-Costesian population

Objective

An independent Monturia

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Criminal Networks • There are mainly two criminal networks

active in Gothia; Etemian Guards and Brotherhood

• Both of the networks have arise due to the heavy poppy production in the country

• The two criminal networks have close connections to the political level as well as widely spread within the local police

• The majority of the poppy is grown in Etemia, and then smuggled via Monturia to Ubunia or into Costesia

• The total value of the opium industry is estimated to 150-200 million USD – making poppy farming the best valued cash crop in Gothia

ETEMIAN GUARDS AOO: Etemia Activities: Heavily involved in the opium and narcotics production in Etemia. Organization: Mainly consist of corrupt police officers and farmers growing poppy

BROTHERHOOD AOO: Etemia and Monturia Activities: Heavily involved in the opium and narcotics production in Etemia. Collaborates with MLA Organization: Mainly consist of ordinary farmers and their families. Politically affiliated

Botnia

• Economic centre of Atlantica.

• European immigrants.

• Agriculture & shipping industry.

• Small Likali-Costesian minority.

• President concerned about Botnian

minority in S Gothia.

Suburbia

• Clan-based social structure.

• Very small population, guest

workers from Gothia.

• Southeast Atlantican Oil field

shared with Gothia.

• Shipping industry.

• Piracy (makes Suburbia

supportive to the international

presence).

Ubunia

• Instable political situation.

Hereditary monarchy (clan).

• Lack of infrastructure, but some

reserves of metal ore.

• Shipping port for narcotics.

• Conflict between government and

fundamentalist elements (Agrumi).

• The regime has good international

relations and supports the

multinational operation in Gothia.

• Reports of ties between the

security service and criminal

groups in Etemia as well as the

Monturian Liberation Army (MLA).

Kaskazini

• Sparsely populated and inaccessible

country.

• Large group of Likali-Costesians

relocated in late 19:th century.

• No natural resources. Fishing.

• Isolationist foreign policy.

• Officially no ties to Gothia. But some

relations president – president.

• Intelligence reports of support to

Costesian Front.

Neighbouring states

Mining

Poppy

Ethnic violence

Piracy

Cause and development of the conflict

Main cause to the conflict is an ethnic tension that is

complicated by an uneven distribution of power and

economic resources.

IDPs / refugees

GFOR MANDATE

D-270 D-250 D-230 D-210 D-190 D-170 D-150 D-130 D-110 D-90 D-70 D-50 D-30 D-10 D

Demonstrations against the president

Coordinated attacks by MLA

Massacre of demonstrators by army units

UNSCR 1976

Genocide in MAYWAY

BOTNIA close border, refugee / IDP crisis

CF active, attack refugee camp

Major attack by MLA

UDI by MLA, IC given 48 hrs to evacuate

RARDO

UNSCR 1982

NAC authorizes GFOR

NRF deployment

GFOR advance party deployment

GFOR OPO J7/67-0608 “OPERATION OCEAN STABILITY” released

Cause and development of the conflict (cont)

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Roadmap to peace & democratic order

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Gothian Security Sector Gothian Armed Forces (GAF) •Supreme commander: Mr Bagbod (Teme-Costesian) •Joint HQ with mixed ethnicities in accordance with peace agreement (BCA) •Bde tasked from Joint HQ in SHYE CITY. •3 Brigades. 1 Mechanized and 2 motorized. •Limited fixed wings and rotary capabilities. •Limited naval capability for patrol tasks.

Gothian Police •Regular police

•Locally organized •Ill-equipped. •Only basic training. •Connected to Teme-Costesian and Etemian factions. •Reports of close connection to organized crime.

•Border police •Small organization, non potent, responsible for border control. •Reports of collaboration with smugglers and distributors of contraband.

•Gendarmerie •National unit subordinated to MOI.

Security Intelligence Agency (SIA) •Organized under the office of the president. •Police authority. •Counter-terrorism as the major task. •Trageted mostly against MLA. Internal loyalties obstructs any serious attempt to disband CF.

ATLANTICA SCENARIO DOCUMENTS OVERVIEW

Roadmap Agreement (D-68)

ATLANTICA Handbook (D-40)

Background Documents

UNSCR 1982 (D-60)

Botnia Capital Agreement (1999-11-13)

UNMIGO Civil Assessment

Maps

GOTHIA Overview (1:1.000.000)

IO / NGO Actors (D-22)

Demography (and religious sites)

(1:1.000.000)

MNB S AOO 1(2) (1:250.000)

MNB S AOO 2(2) (1:250.000)

MNB W AOO 1(2) (1:250.000)

MNB W AOO 2(2) (1:250.000)

MNB E AOO 1(2) (1:250.000)

MNB E AOO 2(2) (1:250.000)

MNB S AOO (1:500.000)