2012 U.S. Census of Agriculture · 2012. 11. 5. · First mailing 28 Dec. 2012 3,000,000 for 2012...
Transcript of 2012 U.S. Census of Agriculture · 2012. 11. 5. · First mailing 28 Dec. 2012 3,000,000 for 2012...
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2012 U.S. CENSUS OF AGRICULTURE
Bob Hale
International Programs Office
National Agricultural Statistics Service
United States Department of Agriculture
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FARM DEFINITION
Any place that produced and sold,
or normally would have produced and
sold,
$1,000 or more of agricultural products
during the calendar year
~ currently about 2.2 million farms
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CENSUS OF AGRICULTURE
Conducted every five years
Reference years ending in “2” and “7”
Information collected for the entire calendar
year
Different than most other countries
Primarily a mail survey
Not associated with a population census
Personal interview the last choice
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YEAR 5
Product Release
Follow-on
YEAR 2
Content
Specifications
YEAR 3
Develop
Test
YEAR 4
Collect
Process
YEAR 1
Evaluate
Plan
5 YEAR CYCLE
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FOLLOW ON CENSUSES
Farm and Ranch Irrigation 2008 2013
Renewable Energy 2009 2013
Aquaculture 2013
Land Tenure 2014
Horticulture 2009 2014
Organic 2008 2015
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SAMPLING FRAMES
List Frame
Names and addresses of known and potential
farm operations
Area Frame
Blocks of land
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LIST FRAME
Ongoing maintenance every year
Major update before census
National Agricultural Classification Survey
Mailed 1,236,000 questionnaires for 2012
Census questionnaire mailed to every
operation on list
Mailed 3,200,000 questionnaires in 2008
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AREA FRAME
Blocks of land totally enumerated
14,773 in 2012
Name, address and operation information
recorded
Compared to Census Mail List
Farms not on Census Mail List noted (NML)
12,821 farm operations noted in 2007
2,204,792 total farm operations in 2007
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QUESTIONNAIRE
Nine different versions
Seven regions
Puerto Rico
American Indian
Twenty-four pages
37 sections
Covers all WCA 2010 core items
Covers most WCA 2010 supplementary items
Four pages of instructions
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RESPONSES - 2007
Mail 83%
Telephone 7%
Electronic 4%
Enumerator 2%
Total 96%
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DATA CAPTURE
Questionnaire scanned for image
Image reviewed and paper destroyed
Data entry from the image
Data edits preformed
Some have automatic corrections
Some require human review
Error review with image and keyed data
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SUMMARIZATION
County is lowest level
Sum has three parts and adjustments
Total from list (reported)
Total from non-response adjustment (no report)
Total from calibrated coverage adjustment (NML)
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NON-RESPONSE ADJUSTMENT
Based on classification tree analysis
Use 10 input variables
Create non-response adjustment groups
All reports assigned to proper adjustment
group
Weights are adjusted within each group
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COVERAGE ADJUSTMENT
Components
Non-response adjusted weights
Targets for calibration (over 100 per state)
Tolerance for targets
Weight range limit
System of linear equations solved to
determine coverage weight
Iterative procedure
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COVERAGE ADJUSTMENT ESTIMATOR
k
kkk
k
kky ywydgt̂
gk = coverage adjustment factor for farm k
dk = non–response adjusted weight for farm
k
yk = reported value for farm k
wk = coverage adjusted weight for farm k
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TABULATIONS
Separate publication for each state + U.S.
120 tables in each publication
6120 tables
15,000,000 cells across all tables
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SCHEDULE
First mailing 28 Dec. 2012 3,000,000 for 2012
EDR reporting 2 Jan. – 31 May 2013
Reminder/Thank you 16 Jan. 2013
Second mailing 14 Feb. 2013
Third mailing 25 March 2013
Phone/personal follow-up 11 Feb. – 14 June 2013
Data capture and edit 23 Jan. – 14 June 2013
Data analysis 13 Apr. – 30 Sept 2013
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SCHEDULE
Summary
Initial 25 July 2013
Second (No disclosure) 30 Sept. 2013
Final (Disclosure) 25 Nov. 2013
First publication 4 Feb. 2014
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LESSONS LEARNED
Optical scanning for data capture failed
Must design questionnaire for scanning
Scan for image
Key from image
Short vs. long version questionnaire failed
Different versions but same structure
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Thank you
for your
attention