1Q19 Earnings Presentation - Turcas · Turcas Consolidated IFRS Summary BS & PL 12 IFRS...
Transcript of 1Q19 Earnings Presentation - Turcas · Turcas Consolidated IFRS Summary BS & PL 12 IFRS...
1Q19 Earnings Presentation
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22 1 6 1 11
36
-30
-5
20
45
Turcas KuyucakGeothermal Gross
Profit
Management Feesand Usufruct
CertificateRevaluation Gains
Deferred Tax Holding&TurcasKuyucak Opex
Net Loss Impact ofSTAŞ
Net Loss Impact ofRTG
Net FinancingExpenses & Other
(o/w 33 MM TL is FXlosses fromfinancing)
Turcas Petrol IFRS Consolidated Net Income/Loss Bridging (1Q19)
Message from Turcas Petrol CEO
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1Q19 General Overview
TP Net Loss
-21 MM TL
• First quarter results are supported by i) sustained positive contribution from
geothermal business, ii) USD denominated management fees (3.3 MM
USD) obtained from Shell & Turcas and iii) revaluation gains from usufruct
certificates
• Weak demand conditions in the electricity market continue to negatively impact
gas fired power plants like RWE & Turcas
• Adjusted for the impact of FX losses (33 MM TL), Turcas 1Q19 net income
would have been 12 MM TL
At a glance- 1Q19
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>1 million daily
visitors via
1.020 fuel stations
-3
MM TL Net
Loss
193 million
kWh Generation
-9
MM TL EBITDA
22 million
kWh Generation
11.8
USc/kwh Feed -In
Tariff
11
MM TL
EBITDA
Shell & Turcas JV
RWE & Turcas JV
Kuyucak
Geothermal
91
MM TL Net Sales
237
MM TL EBITDA
Segmental Analysis
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MM
TL
Oil Segment Energy Segment
Shell & Turcas RWE & Turcas TKG
Revenues EBITDA
Net
Income Revenues EBITDA
Net
Loss Revenues EBITDA
Net
Income
1Q19 9,009 237 -3 91 -9 -38 15 11 1
1Q18 5,274 247 55 155 6 -20 9 4 -6
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18
1Q18 1Q19
961 922
1Q18 1Q19
174 173
1Q18 1Q19
Gasoline Sales (STAŞ) Diesel Sales (STAŞ)
Lubricants Sales (STAŞ) Onsite Market Share (2M19)
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Shell & Turcas JV – 1Q19 Key Highlights
Source: PETDER. Market share info EMRA
ths m3
-1% y/y
-4% y/y
ths m3
ths m3
-23% y/y
#1
Shell 19.7%
Opet 18.0%
PO 18.0%
BP 9.3%
Total 5.2%
Aytemiz 4.6%
TP 3.7%
Akpet 2.4%
Others 20.3%
247 237
1Q18 1Q19
5,274
9,009
1Q18 1Q19
Net Sales EBITDA
Net Income/Loss Shell & Turcas 1Q19 Highlights
Source: STAŞ IFRS consolidated financials. EBITDA includes EBIT, depreciation, amortisation and amortisation of prepaid rent expenses
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Shell & Turcas JV – 1Q19 Key Highlights
MM TL
MM TL
MM TL
71% y/y
• Significant increase in net sales driven by higher prices
in the absence of volume growth
• Net loss due to i) increase in operating expenses
impacted by inflation, ii) FX losses from product
sourcing, iii) higher interest expenses on TL
denominated loans due to increase in TL borrowing
rates
• Net Debt / EBITDA at a healthy level of 1.2x (100% of
debt in local currency)
-4% y/y
55
-3
1Q18 1Q19
Continuous Cash inflows from Shell & Turcas
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Dividends & Management Fees & Preferred Dividends Received from Shell & Turcas
MM TL
51
18
45
27 31
45 53 50
15
40
57
24 36
23
14
16 13
16 10
5
201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008
Dividends Received from Shell & Turcas Management Fees and Preferred Dividends Received from Shell & Turcas
On top of 3 MM USD
already received in
1Q19, 8 MM USD of
preferred dividends
to be received in
Jun’19
6
-9
1Q18 1Q19
155
91
1Q18 1Q19
Net Sales EBITDA
RTG Average Electricity Sales Price (TL/MWh)
Source: RWE & Turcas IFRS consolidated financials.
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RWE & Turcas JV – 1Q19 Key Highlights
MM TL MM TL
RWE & Turcas 1Q19 Highlights
-41% y/y
• Decline in net sales ( - 41% y/y) due to lower capacity utilization impacted by weak demand conditions and higher capacity utilization at hydro power plants
• 13 MM TL capacity payments realized in 1Q19
(1Q18: 10 MM TL)
• Lower capacity utilization is not compensated by higher average electricity sales price at RTG
180 189
197 186
280
336
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1Q19
125
38
1Q18 1Q19
644
193
1Q18 1Q19
Electricity Generation Cash inflows to Turcas from RWE & Turcas JV
(under SHL repayment)
Gas Consumption Capacity Utilization Rate
Source: RWE & Turcas IFRS consolidated financials. Cash inflows indicate shareholder loan repayments from RWE & Turcas to
Turcas
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RWE & Turcas JV – 1Q19 Key Highlights
MM TL
mcm %
gWh
- 70%
- 69%
8
32
7 9
20
6
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD
41%
13%
1Q18 1Q19
9 14
10 13
15
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
26
19 15
20 22
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
Net Sales EBITDA
Electricity Generation
Source: Turcas Kuyucak financials
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Turcas Kuyucak Geothermal (TKG) PP-1Q19 Key Highlights
MM TL
million kWh
MM TL
Turcas Kuyucak Geothermal PP 1Q19 Highlights
• Turcas Kuyucak contributing positively to
Turcas consolidated EBITDA driven by USD
based Feed-In Tariff
• Long term project finance loan repayments
serviced through free cash flow generation of
TKG
• Additional production well to be drilled with
the goal of maximizing EBITDA
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38
1Q19 2019 Expectation
Potential Project Pipeline
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Geothermal Energy
Turcas plans to grow in geothermal energy with the following projects:
1. Existing TKG Plant : TKG plans to drill an additional production well (8th production well) with the goal of maximizing the generation capacity and thus the EBITDA at the existing plant.
2. Manisa Concession Zone: Turcas is developing another geothermal energy project on a 4,958.68 hectares concession zone in Manisa Gölmarmara in Western Turkey. TP drilled an exploratory well in Q2 2018 and obtained operation license for 30 years, however, before proceeding with new drillings and further investment, TP will wait for the official announcement of the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources related to the details of the Feed-In Tariff Mechanism to be applied to Geothermal investments for the period after 2020.
Oil Upstream (Denizli)
Our 2,600 m deep geothermal well (drilled 1Q-2017) in Denizli Hacıeyüplü did not yield enough thermal heat for power generation but encountered oil findings around 700 to 900 meters depth, TP completed the geological and geophysical studies in 2018 and plans to move on with seismic studies in 2019 and to drill a new (shallow) well here for oil exploration in 2020. We obtained the required Oil Exploration License from the Government Authorities on 02.05.2018.
Manisa
Gölmarmara
Geothermal Site
(Virgin)
Denizli
Hacıeyüplü Oil
Upstream Site
TKG
14
18
14 13
11
8 8
11
14
26
31
20182017201620152014201320122011201020092008
Continuous Dividend Distribution
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Dividends Paid by Turcas
MM TL
Last 5 yr avg dividend yield: 2.5%
14 mln TL capital
gain created for
shareholders as a
proxy for dividends
via share cancellation
in Jun’18
Turcas Consolidated IFRS Summary BS & PL
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IFRS Consolidated Financial Statements & Financing Ratios
Note: Leverage = Financial Liabilities / Total Assets, Net Leverage = Net Debt / Assets
Balance Sheet , million TL 2018 1Q19 Ytd
Cash & Cash Equivalents 86 114 34%
S -T Rec. From Rel.Parties (mostly from RTG) 19 28 50%
L -T Rec. From Rel.Parties (mostly from RTG) 70 64 -9%
Investments (STAS & RTG) 806 794 -2%
Fixed Assets (TKJ Capex Investments) 264 262 -1%
Financial Assets (FMV of Usufruct Certificates) 74 81 9%
Total Assets 1,352 1,377 2%
S - T Financial Liabilities (PF Loans for RTG & TKG) 135 140 4%
L - T Financial Liabilities (PF Loans for RTG & TKG) 615 661 7%
Equity 561 531 -5%
Total Liabilities & Equity 1,352 1,377 2%
Net Debt664 687 3%
Income Statement, million TL 1Q18 1Q19 Y/Y
Revenues (Electricity Sales) 9 15 59%
Gross Profit 6 10 65%
Other Operational Income (Net) 1 14 1369%
Operating Expenses 7 6 -10%
Operating Profit 0 18 n.m.
Income from Investments 0 7 n.m.
Income from Subsidiaries 11 -12 n.m.
Shell & Turcas 16 -1 n.m.
RWE & Turcas -5 -11 n.m.
Earnings Before Financing & Tax 11 13 13%
Net Financial Losses -35 -35 n.m.
FX Losses -35 -33 n.m.
Net Income Before Tax -24 -22 n.m.
Tax 1 1 -32%
Net Income/Loss -23 -21 n.m.
37%40% 44% 45%
55%58%
19%24%
31%35%
49% 50%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1Q19
Leverage & Net Leverage
Leverage Net Leverage
680 633 641 689
561 531
1,098 1,072 1,155
1,348 1,352 1,377
62%59%
55%51%
41% 39%
0%
30%
60%
90%
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1Q19
Equity & Equity Financing
Equity Assets Equity/Total Assets
Thank you!
Pınar SAATCIOĞLU
Head of Investor Relations
E-mail: [email protected]
Phone: +90 212 259 00 00 / Ext: 1287
Contact Information