110228 webconference ingles - 4 q10-ss
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Transcript of 110228 webconference ingles - 4 q10-ss
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3Q10 Results PresentationNovember 16th, 2010
[email protected] www.tam.com.br/ri
4Q10 Results PresentationFebruary 28, 2011
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Warning - Information and Projection
This notice may contain estimates for future events. These estimates merely reflect the expectations of
the Company’s management, and involve risks and uncertainties. The Company is not responsible for
investment operations or decisions taken based on information contained in this communication. These
estimates are subject to changes without prior notice.
This material has been prepared by TAM S.A. (“TAM“ or the “Company”) includes certain forward-looking
statements that are based principally on TAM’s current expectations and on projections of future events
and financial trends that currently affect or might affect TAM’s business, and are not guarantees of future
performance. They are based on management’s expectations that involve a number of business risks and
uncertainties, any of each could cause actual financial condition and results of operations to differ
materially from those set out in TAM’s forward-looking statements. TAM undertakes no obligation to
publicly update or revise any forward looking statements.
This material is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or
an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Likewise it does not give and should
not be treated as giving investment advice. It has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial
situation or particular needs of any recipient. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is
provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. It
should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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2010 was a year of many achievements and accomplishments
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Status of TAM & LAN combination
Due Diligence Process completed in September, 2010.
ANAC Presentation on October 20, 2010.
Binding Agreements On January 18, 2011
Non-Binding MOU On August 13, 2010
Regulatory Approvals/Registrations:• Agencia Nacional de Aviacao Civil of Brazil (ANAC)• Comissão de Valores Mobiliarios of Brazil (CVM); Superintendencia de Valores y Seguros (Chile); Securities& Exchange Commission (USA)•Antitrust authorities including Chile, Brazil, Spain, Germany, Italy and Argentina.
Shareholders Meetings• LAN Shareholders Meeting to approve the transaction. Maximum 2.5% appraisal rights.•TAM Shareholders Meeting to designate appraiser for the exchange ratio.
Exchange Offer and Closing• TAM shareholders will be offered 0.9 LATAM shares. Success subject to minimum required to delist TAM and allow squeeze-out of remaining TAM stock.
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• Initial Public Offering of R$ 692 million
• Inauguration of new head office
• Implementation and stabilization of operational systems
• New areas and structuring of the management team
• Stock Options Plan approval
• Closing with 8.0 million members
• Reaching 151 partnerships (12 coalition partnerships)
• Gross Billings of Points of R$ 1.1 billion
• Adjusted EBITDA of R$ 290.1 million (28,2% margin)
• Net Income of R$ 118.4 million
• Proposal of 95% of Net Income Pay-out as Dividends and Interest on Equity
Multiplus’ potential has been converted in great source of profitability
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Gas StationsAirline Travel Agency
Telecom
Hotels
Magazine Subscriptions
Pay-TVApparelDrugstore Education
Bookstore
Stock Exchange
Entertainment
E-Commerce
2011
2009
2010
Supermarket
Coalition Partnerships Network
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The Brazilian market has great growth potential, but high concentration
Chicago - Denver
Fort Lauderdale - New York
Chicago - Washington
Atlanta - Washington
Chicago - Los Angeles
Atlanta - Orlando
Atlanta - New York
Los Angeles - New York
Los Angeles - San Francisco
Chicago - New York
2.4
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.6
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.4
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5
(Domestic PAX million)
Top 10 routes in the U.S.
Top 10 U.S. routes account for only 4% of total volume, while in Brazil represent 25%
CGH - POA
CGH - CWB
GIG - SSA
GIG - BSB
CGH - CNF
GRU - POA
GRU - Recife
GRU - Salvador
Congonhas - Brasília
Congonhas - Santos Dumont
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
3.3
3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0
(Domestic PAX million)
Top 10 routes in Brazil²
65%
2%2%
3%3%
3%
3%
4%4%4%
6%Atlanta
ChicagoDallas/Ft. Worth
DenverLos Angeles
Las VegasPhoenixCharlotte
Houston
Other1.028
Airports
Distribution of Passengers by Airport - USA
630
70
Boarded Passengers2010
EUA Brazil¹
1- Estimate; 2- 2009 Data
31%
4%4%4%4%
5%5%8%11%
11%
12%São PauloCGH
São PauloGRU
Brasília Rio de Janeiro - GIGSalvador
Belo Horizonte - CNFRio de Janeiro - SDUPorto AlegreRecife
CoritibaOther145
Airportss
Distribution of Passengers by Airport - Brazil
% ofTotal0.5%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
% ofTotal5.7%2.7%2.6%2.4%2.2%2.1%1.8%1.7%1.7%1.7%
Source: Research and Innovative Technology Administration (RITA) • U.S. Department of Transportation (US DOT); ANAC
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We are leaders in the major routes of the Brazilian market
12%
1%
44%
44%
7%
41%
52%
13%
13%
32%
43%
42%
58%
18%15%
30%
37%
5%
48%
47% 60%
40%
16%
42%
42%
5%
45%
51%
54%
46%
SDU-
CGH
CGH-
BSB
SSA-
GRU
REC-
GRU
POA-
GRU
CNF-
CGH
GIG-
BSB
SSA-
GIG
CWB-
CGH
POA-
CGH
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Capacity Share on 10 major routes in Brazil(Number of weekly frequencies)
Grupo TAMGOLWEBJETAVIANCANHT
CGH - POA
CGH - CWB
GIG - SSA
GIG - BSB
CGH - CNF
GRU - POA
GRU - Recife
GRU - Salvador
Congonhas - Brasília
Congonhas - Santos Dumont
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
3.3
3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0
(Domestic PAX million)
Top 10 routes in Brasil¹% doTotal5.7%2.7%2.6%2.4%2.2%2.1%1.8%1.7%1.7%1.7%
1 – 2009 Data
Source: ANAC
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We increased even more the Pantanal’s network, reaching 22 destinations and operating with 5 Airbus aircraft
São Paulo
Rio de Janeiro
Recife
Curitiba
Porto Alegre
Cuiabá
PresidentePrudente
Araçatuba
São JoséRio Preto
Cabo Frio
BrasíliaIlhéus
Juiz de Fora
Salvador
Teresina
BeloHorizonte
Uberaba
Bauru
RibeirãoPretoMarília
João Pessoa
Fortaleza
New NetworkNew Network
AirbusATR
As of January this year we increased the Pantanal’s network,
optimizing the company’s potential
10x supply growth
Operations from Congonhasand Guarulhos
Destinations increased from 7 to
22, including the major capitals in the country
Operations with 5 ATR-42 and 5 Airbus A320 family aircraft
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1,433 1,466 1,581
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
Passenger Revenue - R$ Million
20.4 18.6 19.2
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
Yield - R$ Cents
7,024 7,897 8,225
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
10,21311,234 11,872
ASK, RPK and Load Factor
Load Factor 69% 70% 69%
6%
13.3 12.4 12.7
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
RASK - R$ Cents
2%
8%
4%
4%
We increased by 10% our domestic passengers revenue
Domestic PassengersDomestic Passengers
16%
17%
10%
6%
5%
*
*
* Does not consider the additional tariff reversion impact in the 3Q10
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We were able to increase load factor in 20 of the 24 hours of the day
*Domestic flights in weekly days
Load Factor x Hour *Off Peak Off PeakPeak Peak
58,0%
63,0%
68,0%
73,0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Off Peak
4Q09 4Q10
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1.74 1.75 1.70
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
U$ 7.5 U$ 8.7 U$ 8.5
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
R$ 13.0R$ 15.2 R$ 14.5
Yield - Cents
2%
-2%
4,9355,945 5,749
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
ASK6,534
7,184 7,198
ASK, RPK and Load Factor
Load Factor 76% 83% 80%
In dollars, we increased by 27% our international passengers revenue and our RASK by 21% comparing to the previous year
U$368U$516 U$491
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
R$640
R$903R$833
Passenger Revenue - Million
U$5.6U$7.2 U$6.8
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
R$9.8
R$12.6R$11.6
RASK - Cents
Avg US DollarAvg US Dollar
International PassengersInternational Passengers
10%
0%
16%
3%
12%
5%
15%
30%
8%
5%
27%
18%
8%
5%
21%-3%
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Our EBIT increased 131%, a 6.8% margin
* In 3Q10, adjusted values excluding the effect of the additional tariff reversal** Others includes “Movements in fair value of fuel derivatives” and “Gains (losses) on aircraft revaluation”
Net Revenue (million)
Operating Expenses (million)
EBIT (million)
EBIT Margin
EBITDAR (million)
EBITDAR Margin
Financ. Result + Others* (million)
Net Income (million)
Total RASK (cents)
CASK (cents)
CASK ex-fuel (cents)
CASK USD (cents)
CASK USD ex-fuel (cents)
4Q10 vs 4Q09
4Q10 vs 3Q10
In Reais 4Q104Q10 4Q094Q09 3Q103Q10
3,225
3,006218
6.8%
507
15.7%66
15116.9
15.8
10.9
9.3
6.4
2,497
2,47095
3.8%
373
14.9%93
14014.9
14.3
10.0
8.5
5.8
29.1%
21.7%130.8%
3.0p.p.
35.8%
0.8p.p.-29.0%
7.9%13.4%
9.9%
8.5%
12.6%
6.8%
11.2%
14.6%-20.9%
-2.8p.p.
-11.1%
-0.2p.p.392%
-48.8%7.4%
10.7%
14.5%
14.1%
18.0%
2,899
2,623276
9.5%
570
19.7%458
29415.7
14.2
9.5
8.1
5.4
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Net Income2010
Legal Reserve Profit to bedistributed
Minimummandatorydividends
637
-32606
-151
00
200
400
600
800
2010 Results destination(R$ Million)
The year's result represents a minimum payment of R$ 151.4million in dividends
1 Weighted average number of shares outstanding
2 Share price in 2011, February 24, share of R$ 34.55
3 Earnings per share proposed consider treasury shares of December 31, 2010.
4 The Dividend Yield is calculated using 2011, February 24, share price of R$ 34.55
Indicator Amount
Net Income (R$ thousand) 637.4Dividend for the year (R$ thousand) 151.4Number of Shares1 (millions of shares) 151.2 Share Price2 (R$) 34.55Earnings per share3 (R$) 4.2Dividend per share (R$) 1.00Dividend Yield4 (%) 2.9
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Liquidity and debt profile
Cash 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20200
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
1,800
2,100
2,400
2,700
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
995
2,453 2,607
1,9142,145
2,518
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
84%
16%
Adequate debt profileAdequate debt profile Liquidity PositionLiquidity Position
Adjusted Net Debt / EBITDARAdjusted Net Debt / EBITDAR
US$
Obs.1: Net Debt Adjusted includes annual operating leases x 7Obs.2: Debt is considered in US GAAP for 2005 and 2006 and in IFRS since 2007
R$ Million
Debt mix by currency
R$
Debentures, bonds and othersLeasing on the balance sheet
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
3.8
2.1
5.66.3 6.5
3.8
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
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1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
-9
-2
5
-12
-1
9
-12
-1
9
-12
-1
9
-14
-1
9
-7
-1
6
-3
5
-3
5
-1
2
Hedge Cash Impact Sensitivity(USD Million)
Hedge Position
1H11
2H111H122H121Q13
1.9452.0401.810900150
8786919797
25%26%23%12%4%
Jan12 –Mar13 2.860 93 15%
Jan11 –Dec11 3.985 87 25%
Volume¹Volume¹ Strike²Strike² Coverage³Coverage³
70 USD/barrel
90 USD/barrel
110 USD/barrel
1 – Volume in thousands of barrels
2 – Average Strike (USD/barrel) 3 – Projected consumption coverage
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Cash and accounting effects of our fuel hedge positions
(150)
(100)
(50)
-
50
100
150
200
70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120Average WTI [USD/bbl]
Mill
ion
of R
eais
Cash Effect 2011 Cash Effect 2012 Accounting Effect 2011
FX based on 12/31/2010: R$1,66/USD
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Domestic Market
Domestic Market
2010 Guidance
AssumptionsAssumptions
Guidance for2010
Guidance for2010
Actual2010
Actual2010
R$ 1.81
USD 85
-6%
2
75%
66%
69%
8%
14%
12%
22% - 25%
R$ 1.76Average US dollar rate
USD 80Average WTI
-2.9%* CASK ex-fuel
5 New international frequency or destination
79.0%Internacional
67.5%Domestic
71.9%Load Factor
6.0%Internacional
13.5%Domestic
10.5%Supply growth (ASK)
23.5%Demand growth (RPK)
*According to the CPC number 43(R1), from December 16, 2010
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We adjusted our accounting policy for consistency between our individual and consolidated financial statements
2009 Variation 2010
10.5
-0.310.2
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
2009 Variation 2010
10.6
-0.510.1
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
Current accounting criteriaCurrent accounting criteria Previous accounting criteriaPrevious accounting criteria
-2,9%-4,4%
Previous accounting policy
Variation Current accounting policy
642
-135507
0
200
400
600
800
We adapted the accounting criteria of recognition of the
revaluation of flight equipment, retroactively affecting the 2009
results. This change has an impact mainly in line with
depreciation and amortization, thus impacting the CASK.
We adapted the accounting criteria of recognition of the
revaluation of flight equipment, retroactively affecting the 2009
results. This change has an impact mainly in line with
depreciation and amortization, thus impacting the CASK.
Accounting policy adjustmentAccounting policy adjustment
Previous accounting policy
Variation Current accounting policy
62971 700
0
200
400
600
800
CASK excluding fuel reductionCASK excluding fuel reduction
Amortization and Depreciation2009
Amortization and Depreciation2009
Amortization and Depreciation2010
Amortization and Depreciation2010
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Maintaining the original guidance, we reduced the CASK ex-fuel in 5.5%
Published CASKVariation
Accounting effect
Dilution Effect One time effectAdjusted CASK
Variation
-2.9%
-1.5p.p
-0.9p.p -0.3p.p -5.5%-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0%
Considering the previous accounting criteria, the
reduction of CASK excluding fuel costs is 4.4% - a
difference of 1.5p.p versus the released
reduction
Our estimates forecasted a 12% growth in ASK,
while the real was 10.5% -an additional impact of
0.9p.p in CASK from a lower fixed cost dilution
We had non-recurring expenses that impacted the 4Q10 earnings in R$
21 million - impacting our CASK excluding fuel in
0.3p.p
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Domestic Market
Domestic Market
2011 Guidance
AssumptionsAssumptions
Guidance for2011
Guidance for2011
ActualJanuaryActual
January
R$ 1,78
USD 93
-5%
2
83%
67,5% - 70%
73% - 75%
10%
10% - 14%
10% - 13%
15% - 18%
1,67Average US dollar rate
USD 90Average WTI
-CASK ex-fuel
-New international frequency or destination
81%International
79%Domestic
80%Taxa de ocupação
11%International
12%Domestic
12%Supply growth (ASK)
16%Demand growth (RPK)
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B767 Airbus wide-body Airbus narrow-bodyB777
We announced investments of USD 3.2 billion in new aircraft, andincreased our fleet plan
ATR-42
43
A340 - 2
A33018
A321 - 5
A32085
A319275
43
2
20
9
86
293
8
3
21
131
103
19
136
12
22
140
12
24
146
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
151 156163 168
174182
Total Fleet (end of period)Total Fleet (end of period)
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