100517 webconference ingles - 1 t10
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Transcript of 100517 webconference ingles - 1 t10
1Q10 Results Presentation
May 17th, 2010
Welcome to Star Alliance!
2
Warning -
Information and Projection
This notice may contain estimates for future events. These estimates merely reflect the expectations of
the Company’s management, and involve risks and uncertainties. The Company is not responsible for
investment operations or decisions taken based on information contained in this communication. These
estimates are subject to changes without prior notice.
This material has been prepared by TAM S.A. (“TAM“ or the “Company”) includes certain forward-looking
statements that are based principally on TAM’s current expectations and on projections of future events
and financial trends that currently affect or might affect TAM’s business, and are not guarantees of future
performance. They are based on management’s expectations that involve a number of business risks and
uncertainties, any of each could cause actual financial condition and results of operations to differ
materially from those set out in TAM’s forward-looking statements. TAM undertakes no obligation to
publicly update or revise any forward looking statements.
This material is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or
an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Likewise it does not give and should
not be treated as giving investment advice. It has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial
situation or particular needs of any recipient. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is
provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. It
should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
3
We grew our operations consistently in the past years, with emphasis in the international market
CAGR
39%
18%20%
80%
25%
75%
25%
75%
27%
73%
36%
64%
39%
61%
40%
60%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
18.0 21.028.0
35.6
47.6
57.164.7
Billion of ASKs
InternationalDomestic
4
We are already the 19th
largest airline in the world and we
decided the best strategy for our internationalization
Reduced connectivity
Higher competitive weakness
Limited capacity to capture traffic
Higher exposure to political and economic located risk
Restrictions to expand agreements with other airlines (members of Global Alliances)
Risk of capital demobilization
with the acquisition
Potential integration
complexity between different
cultures
Without AlliancesWithout Alliances Bilateral AlliancesBilateral Alliances MergerMerger
We identified weaknesses in the three scenarios
* We are the 19th
largest airline in transported passengers, according to the 53rd
edition of the report WATS (last published version).
5
The entry into a global alliance is the best option...
Exposure
Network Identity
Positioning Synergy
Global Scope
GlobalAlliance
Global scope in sales, routs network and traffic coverage
Adds specific expertise from partners
Preservation of culture and identity
Visual exposure globally
Higher competitive ability
Complementary networks
6
... and in this scenario, Star Alliance is definitely the one that best fits the Brazilian market
EUA e Canadá
50%50%
TAM + Partners
4 other companies
Frequency of flights – more than 21,000 daily flights
Direct services – more than 1,100 airports served
VIP Lounges – about 1,000 in 181 countries
Connection time – under the same roof
¹Source: 2008 Annual Report from ANAC
TAM + Partners, considers companies members of Star Alliance + LAN + Pluna
Factors that influence passenger’s choicesFactors that influence passenger’s choices
Europa
56%44%
TAM + Partners
12 other companies
Total
49%51%
TAM + Partners
28 other companies
Volume of international passengers transported to / from Brazil¹Volume of international passengers transported to / from Brazil¹
We are the 7th
largest company in
Star Alliance²
We are the 7th
largest company in
Star Alliance²
²In transported passengers, according to the 53rd
edition of the report WATS
EUA and Canada Europe Total
7
In the domestic market, the acquisition of Pantanal, allowed us to act in another market niche
International long haul flights
Scheduled flights to EUA and Europe
Short haul trunk routes
Link between major cities in Brazil and South American countries
Regional market
Through commercial agreements
Mid density
Cities with mid density population
Now we are
present in all
levels of the
aviation market
Now we are
present in all
levels of the
aviation market
Ideal positioning for strategic decisions
1st
Level
2nd
Level
3rd
Level
4th
Level
8
Transformation creating systems and processes integrated into TAM and with partners
Processes aligned with best market practices
The growth that we can only be supported by a solid technological platform
Core Processes Back-Office
Processes
•
Amadeus:
- Commercial (reserves, direct and indirect channels)
- Check-in & Airports- Revenue Management- Weight and balance (Flight
Operational Dispatch)
•
Oracle R12, ARACs
and Ecomex:
- Accounting- Audit and SOX- Revenue- Treasury- Foreign trade
•
Payment Gateway
•
More services offered to passengers•
More features fore the users•
Revision and standardization of processes•
Increase sales and reduce costs
•
New technological platform•
Connectivity and stability•
Access to supplier’s and market’s innovations
•
Change Management
9
Our domestic passengers revenue reached R$ 1,4 billion
RPK6,232
7,024 7,220
1Q09 4Q09 1Q10
ASK9,713 10,213 10,422
ASK, RPK and Load Factor
LoadFactor 64% 69% 69%
23.6 20.7 19.7
1Q09 4Q09 1Q10
Scheduled Yield - R$ Cents
1,443 1,433 1,397
1Q09 4Q09 1Q10
Passenger Revenue - R$ Million
14.1 13.4 12.8
1Q09 4Q09 1Q10
Scheduled RASK - R$ Cents
Domestic PassengersDomestic Passengers
7%
2%
16%
3%
-3%
-3%
-16%
-5%
-9%
-4%
10
We continue with our strategy of stimulating passengers flying by leisure purposes
* Domestic flights at weekdays
Off Peak Off Peak Off PeakPeak Peak
54%
59%
64%
69%
74%
79%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1T09 4T09 1T10
Load Factor x Hour *
1Q09 4Q09 1Q10
11
Direct sales showed significant increases due to means of payment and the implementation of Amadeus
Credit card
Cobranded (up to 10 installments)
Other operators (up to 6 installments)
Financing (up to 48 installments)
Direct debt
Bank payment slip
Lottery kiosks
Means of payment via websiteMeans of payment via website Direct sales growthDirect sales growth
We are the airline company with more options of means of
payment
We are the airline company with more options of means of
payment
Others
Website
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q100
100
200
300
400
500
Direct channel sales(R$ Million)
% directchannel 22% 22% 24% 28% 28%
After Amadeus
Before Amadeus
12
We can observe international passengers revenue’s growth in US dollars
RPK4,573
4,935 5,020
1Q09 4Q09 1Q10
ASK6,391 6,534 6,556
ASK, RPK and Load Factor
LoadFactor 72% 76% 77%
U$7.5
U$7.5
U$9.0
1Q09 4Q09 1Q10
R$17.4
R$13.0
R$16.2
Scheduled Yield - Cents
U$345
U$368
U$453
1Q09 4Q09 1Q10
R$797 R$
640
R$816
Passenger Revenue - Million
U$5.4
U$5.6
U$6.9
1Q09 4Q09 1Q10
R$12.5
R$9.8
R$12.4
Scheduled RASK - Cents
2.31.7 1.8
1Q09 4Q09 1Q10
Avg
US DollarAvg
US Dollar
International PassengersInternational Passengers
3%
0%
10%
2%
-7%
25%
21%
20%
2%
28%
23%
31%
0%
27%
23%
28%-22%
4%
13
Financial Indicators
Net Revenue (million)
Operating Expenses (million)
EBIT (million)
EBIT Margin
EBITDAR (million)
EBITDAR Margin
Financial Result + Others* (million)
Net Income (million)
Total RASK (cents)
CASK (cents)
CASK ex-fuel (cents)
CASK USD (cents)
CASK USD ex-fuel (cents)
2.604
2.508
96
3,7%
377
14,5%
(173)
(58)
15,3
14,8
10,1
8,2
5,6
2.618
2.486
132
5,0%
476
18,2%
(91)
26
16,3
15,4
11,1
6,7
4,8
1Q10 vs 1Q09
-0,5%
0,9%
-26,8%
-1,3p.p.
-20,9%
-3,7p.p.
-89,9%
-
-5,7%
-4,3%
-9,3%
22,7%
16,3%
2.497
2.371
126
5,1%
373
14,9%
93
(334)
14,9
14,2
9,8
8,1
5,7
1Q10 vs 4Q09
4,3%
5,8%
-23,7%
-1,4p.p.
0,9%
-0,5p.p.
-
82,6%
2,9%
4,3%
2,6%
0,6%
-1,0%
In Reais 1Q101Q10 1Q091Q09 4Q094Q09
* Others includes “Movements in fair value of fuel derivatives”
and “Gains (losses) on aircraft revaluation”
14
Liquidity and debt profile
84%
16%
Adequate debt profileAdequate debt profile
R$ Million
Debt mix by currency
Strategic liquidity positionStrategic liquidity position
R$ Million
Adjusted Net Debt / EBITDARAdjusted Net Debt / EBITDAR
Obs.1: 2010 EBITDAR considers last 12 months from 1Q10Obs.2: Net Debt Adjusted includes annual operating leases x 7Obs.3: Debt is considered in US GAAP for 2005 and 2006 and in IFRS since 2007
R$
US$
Debentures, bonds and othersLeasing on the balance sheet
Cash 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20200
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
1,800
2,100
2,400
2,700
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1T10
995
2,4532,607
1,9142,166
2,637
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1Q10
3.8
2.1
5.66.3 6.5 6.6
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
15
New WTI hedging policy
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 240
20
40
60
80
100%
Hedging Policy
Maximum level
Timeline (months)
Minimum level
Coverage level
After four years, we revised our
hedging policy, in order to reflect
the new market conditions
After four years, we revised our
hedging policy, in order to reflect
the new market conditions
% c
over
age
of th
e es
timat
ed c
onsu
mpt
ion
16
2010 Guidance
Domestic Market
Domestic Market
Demand growth (RPK) 14% -
18% 32%
Supply growth (ASK) 12% 5%
Domestic 14% 7%
International 8% 1%
Load factor 69% 71%
Domestic 66% 68%
International 75% 76%
New international frequency or destination 2 ---
CASK ex-fuel -6% -9%1
Average WTI USD 85 USD 80
Average US dollar rate R$ 1,81 R$ 1,79AssumptionsAssumptions
Guidancefor 2010
Guidancefor 2010
ActualJan - AprActual
Jan - Apr
1
Considers
the
period
from
January
to March
17
Fleet plan
B767 Airbus wide-body Airbus narrow-bodyB777 ATR-42
43
A340 - 2
A33016
A321 - 5
A32081
A31921
43
2
165
81
24
5
43
2
18
7
84
25
5
43
2
20
9
84
28
5
83
20
125
103
18
129
10
21
134
2009 1T10 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
132140
148155 156 160
165
Total Fleet (end of period)Total Fleet (end of period)