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    THE ECONOMICS OF FRANCHISING

    This book describes in much detail both how and why franchising works. It alsoanalyzes the economic tensions that contribute to conflict in the franchisorfranchisee relationship. The treatment includes a great deal of empirical evidenceon franchising, its importance in various segments of the economy, the termsof franchise contracts, and what we know about how all of these have evolvedover time, especially in the U.S. market. A good many myths are dispelled in theprocess. The economic analysis of the franchisorfranchisee relationship beginswith the observation that for franchisors, franchising is a contractual alternative tovertical integration. Subsequently, the tensions that arise between a franchisor andits franchisees, who in fact are owners of independent businesses, are examined inturn. In particular, the authors discuss issues related to product quality control,tying arrangements, pricing, location and territories, advertising, and terminationand renewals.

    Roger D. Blair is Huber Hurst Professor in the Department of Economics at theUniversity of Florida, where he has served on the faculty since 1970. He teachescourses in antitrust economics, law and economics, and the economics of sports.Professor Blair has published 165 articles, primarily in economics journals andlaw reviews, and has contributed numerous chapters to books. He has servedas an antitrust consultant to the U.S. Department of Justice; the Federal TradeCommission; the attorneys general of Arizona, California, Florida, Missouri,Oregon, and Washington; and numerous corporations. The books he has coau-thored include Antitrust Economics, Law and Economics of Vertical Integrationand Control, Monopsony: Antitrust Law and Economics, and forthcoming fromCambridge University Press, Intellectual Property: Economics and Legal Dimen-sions of Rights and Remedies, with Thomas F. Cotter.

    Francine Lafontaine is Professor of Business Economics and Public Policy at theStephen M. Ross School of Business at the University of Michigan and Professorof Economics, Department of Economics, University of Michigan. Since joiningthe faculty at Michigan in 1991, Professor Lafontaine has primarily taught appliedmicroeconomics to MBA students, along with elective courses on firm strategyand antitrust and on the economics of franchising. She has published numer-ous scholarly articles on franchising in top journals in her field, including theJournal of Political Economy, the RAND Journal of Economics, the Journal of Lawand Economics, the Journal of Law, Economics and Organization, and the Journalof Industrial Economics, as well as in marketing and entrepreneurship journals.Professor Lafontaine is widely recognized as a world expert on the subject of fran-chising and, as such, has acted as consultant to various companies and FederalTrade Commission.

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    The Economics of Franchising

    ROGER D. BLAIRUniversity of Florida

    FRANCINE LAFONTAINEUniversity of Michigan

    iii

  • cambridge university pressCambridge, New York, Melbourne, Madrid, Cape Town, Singapore, So Paulo

    Cambridge University PressThe Edinburgh Building, Cambridge cb2 2ru, UK

    First published in print format

    isbn-13 978-0-521-77252-5

    isbn-13 978-0-521-77589-2

    isbn-13 978-0-511-16065-3

    Roger D. Blair and Francine Lafontaine 2005

    2005

    Information on this title: www.cambridge.org/9780521772525

    This publication is in copyright. Subject to statutory exception and to the provision ofrelevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take placewithout the written permission of Cambridge University Press.

    isbn-10 0-511-16065-8

    isbn-10 0-521-77252-4

    isbn-10 0-521-77589-2

    Cambridge University Press has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy of urlsfor external or third-party internet websites referred to in this publication, and does notguarantee that any content on such websites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate.

    Published in the United States of America by Cambridge University Press, New York

    www.cambridge.org

    hardback

    paperback

    paperback

    eBook (EBL)

    eBook (EBL)

    hardback

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    To my parents, Jacques and There`se, who would have been proud,

    and my family, Robert and Colette, for always being there for me.

    To the memory of my parents, Duncan and Eleanor Blair,

    who gave me so much.

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    Contents

    Preface page xi

    1 Introduction 1

    1.1 What Is a Franchise? 31.2 Traditional and Business-Format Franchising 51.3 In Which Industries Do We Find Franchising? 81.4 Plan of Study 18

    2 Four Popular Misconceptions about Franchising 20

    2.1 Growth: Fact and Fancy 212.2 Entry and Exit 342.3 The Size Distribution of Franchised Chains 462.4 Multi-Unit Franchisees 492.5 Conclusion 52

    3 Franchise Contracts 54

    3.1 Introduction 543.2 Franchise Fees 563.3 Royalty Rates 623.4 Advertising Fees 693.5 Non-Monetary Contract Clauses 783.6 Some Final Thoughts and Comments 79

    4 Franchising, Vertical Integration, and Vertical Restraints 82

    4.1 Introduction 824.2 Dual Distribution or Partial Vertical Integration

    in Franchising 834.3 Contractual Equivalents 944.4 Incentive Issues and Agency Theory 1074.5 Conclusion 116

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    viii Contents

    5 Quality Control 117

    5.1 Introduction 1175.2 A Simple Model of Vertical Externalities 1215.3 Contractual Efforts to Resolve Incentive Problems 1255.4 Costs of Control 1335.5 Observed Quality Differentials between Company and

    Franchised Units 1355.6 Conclusion 137

    6 Franchise Tying Contracts 139

    6.1 Introduction 1396.2 Antitrust Treatment of Tying Contracts in General 1426.3 Application to Franchise Tying Contracts 1446.4 The Kodak Decision and Its Progeny 1506.5 Franchise Tying Cases After Kodak 1526.6 Identifying Market Power After Kodak 1566.7 Post-Contractual Opportunism 1646.8 Evaluating Franchise Opportunities 1666.9 Conclusion 168

    6.10 Appendix: Vertical Integration and Tying Contracts 168

    7 Vertical Price Controls in Franchising 174

    7.1 Introduction 1747.2 The Legal History of Maximum Resale Price Fixing

    in the United States 1777.3 An Economic Analysis of Maximum Resale Price Restraints 1827.4 The Public Policy Implications of Khan 1967.5 Conclusion 1977.6 Appendix: Sales-Based Royalties and Demand Externalities 198

    8 Encroachment 202

    8.1 Introduction 2028.2 Market Coverage and Traditional Encroachment 2048.3 Industry Responses 2228.4 Non-Traditional Encroachment 2318.5 Conclusion 2338.6 Appendix: Carvel Corporations Contract: Before and After 234

    9 Advertising and Promotion 236

    9.1 Introduction 2369.2 A Simple Model of Advertising as Information 2379.3 The Effect of Scale Economies 2449.4 Advertising as a Public Good in Franchised Chains 246

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    Contents ix

    9.5 Advertising in Franchised Chains in Practice 2509.6 FranchisorFranchisee Conflict 2539.7 Conclusion 257

    10 Termination and Non-Renewal 258

    10.1 Introduction 25810.2 Franchise Contract Duration, Termination, and Renewal:

    A Look at the Data 25910.3 The Role of Duration, Termination, and Non-Renewal

    in Theory 26410.4 Termination and Non-Renewal: Legal Considerations 27510.5 Assessing Damages for Wrongful Termination 28010.6 Conclusion 290

    11 Concluding Remarks 291

    11.1 Introduction 29111.2 A Summary 29311.3 International Franchising 29711.4 The Future 29811.5 Conclusion 300

    Articles, Books, and Other Publications 303

    Cases, Codes, and Statutes 321

    Index 325

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    Preface

    Franchising has become a very visible part of the economic landscape in theUnited States. Its role in distributing products to customers in the rest ofthe world has also grown considerably over the last several decades. In thisbook, we describe what franchising is and how it works. In most situations,franchising works very well for franchisors, franchisees, and consumers alike,which is why it has grown to the extent that it has. Because it works well mostof the time, we expect that franchising will continue to flourish in the worldeconomy. At the same time, however, we know from economic principles thatfranchise relationships are by their very nature fraught with many difficultiesarising essentially from differences between the needs and goals of the fran-chisors and those of the franchisees. Economists and management researchershave made significant progress in the last twenty or so years toward increasingour understanding of the sources of these problems. We highlight much oftheir work in this book.

    We had many goals in writing this book. First, from a managerial perspec-tive, we hope that an improved understanding of the basic sources of frictionin franchise relationships will allow franchisors and franchisees alike to de-velop better ways of dealing with each others concerns, either through thefranchise contract itself or through other means of their choosing. Second,from a public policy perspective, we hope that jurisdictions considering var-ious forms of regulation and control of franchise relationships will be betterable to assess the validity and merit of the claims made by interested parties,and thus the cost and benefit of various forms of intervention. In particular,we explore the not-so-obvious consequences of many types of public policies.Finally, from an academic perspective, we want to provide researchers with aclearer understanding of franchising as an institutional framework. By doingso, we hope to foster more interest in the study of franchising itself and ofcontracts and organizations more generally.

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    xii Preface

    For past and continuing collaboration, we thank our colleagues, SugatoBhattacharyya, Amanda K. Esquibel, James Fesmire, Jill Boylston Herndon,Arturs Kalnins, David L. Kaserman, Patrick J. Kaufmann, Scott E. Masten,Emmanuel Raynaud, Richard E. Romano, Kathryn L. Shaw, and MargaretE. Slade. We also thank Robert Picard for his expert data management andassistance throughout this project. We are also grateful to Anne Parmigiani forher careful proofing of the manuscript and to Colette Picard for proofing thetables. Our editor at Cambridge University Press, Scott Parris, also deserves aspecial thanks for his patience and continuing encouragement. Finally, we aregrateful to the National Science Foundation (NSF), under grant SBR-9312083,and our respective institutions for their support.

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    1

    Introduction

    Franchising has become a part of everyday life for most consumers in theUnited States today it is everywhere. Numerous firms in a variety of in-dustries have adopted franchising as a method of doing business. As a re-sult, consumers now often purchase meals and hotel services along withcar repairs, clothing, specialty foods, and many other types of goods andservices through franchised companies. Why have so many firms involvedin such different activities all chosen to organize themselves as franchisedcompanies? We know that a combination of factors makes franchising desir-able. On the one hand, the increased reliance of consumers on brand names,due in part to increased consumer mobility and greater time constraints,has played an important role in the development of retail and other chains.1

    In addition, chains can benefit from lower costs through bulk purchasingprograms and by realizing economies of scale in production, new productdevelopment, and advertising. These benefits, however, really explain whychains have become more prevalent in the economy, not why franchisinghas become so ubiquitous. After all, the stores in these chains could all becorporately owned, as is the case in many chains. Why then do we see somany other chains organized as franchises? The answer apparently lies inthe capacity of franchising to combine the chains comparative advantagesin creating brand recognition and capturing economies of scale with the

    1 The increased time constraints, in turn, can be traced to the increased participationof women in the labor force, and the resulting out-sourcing by households, as wellas the increasing complexity of products available for consumption. The result is thathouseholds must now make a greater number of more complex consumption decisions.Known brands that reduce uncertainty and thus save time become particularly valuableto customers in this context. Moreover, the cost of creating and maintaining nationalor internationally known brands has gone down dramatically over time.

    1

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    2 Introduction

    local entrepreneurs local knowledge and drive.2 In other words, in the idealfranchise relationship, each party is able to specialize in what each does bestand yet benefit from the efforts of the other. In fact, as we will see in moredetail later, most franchise contracts are written such that both parties sharein the sales revenues of the franchised outlet. The contract thus ensures thatboth parties have incentives to put forth effort to increase those revenues.Such joint incentives are more difficult to achieve in a corporate environmentand therein lies the main long-term advantage of franchising over corporateorganization.

    The capacity of franchising contracts to harness the effort of a central en-tity, the franchisor, and of a number of local entrepreneurs, the franchisees,explains in our view much of its current prevalence and popularity as a way oforganizing certain economic activities. In particular, franchising is well suitedto retailing and service businesses as firms in these sectors need to establish alarge number of geographically dispersed outlets to reach customers. In thatcontext, both suppliers of franchises, namely the firms who organize them-selves as franchised chains, and the demanders of franchises, that is thoseindividuals eager to develop a small local business, benefit from the intercon-nection that franchising affords them. Franchisors and their franchisees thuscooperate with one another in a kind of partnership. In many regards, theinterests of the franchisor and its franchisees are mutually compatible. Theircooperation increases value for both parties: both earn more profit than theywould absent this cooperation.

    In an economic sense, we know that franchising must be efficient as anorganizational form since it continues to thrive in competition with other or-ganizational structures.3 In this book, we summarize much of what is knownabout the economics of franchising. We examine the economic principles thathelp explain its popularity as a method of distribution, but also highlight howeconomic principles can shed light on many ways in which franchisor andfranchisee needs diverge. These divergent interests create conflict between thefranchisor and its franchisees, conflict that undermines the value that coop-eration creates. For continued success, this conflict must be minimized. Webelieve that clearly laying out the sources of conflict is a good first step towardthat goal. We therefore devote a substantial portion of this book to the analysisof conflict in franchising. We also devote significant attention to describing

    2 Caves and Murphy (1976) first made this point and developed the argument.3 This follows from the survivor principle. For more on this principle and its origins, see

    Stigler (1968).

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    1.1 What Is a Franchise? 3

    franchising and analyzing how it works. In the process, we report data onvarious aspects of the franchise relationship wherever available and relevant,complementing existing data with new empirical information we derive froma data set on U.S. franchisors that we have built over time from directories.Because our data and our knowledge of applicable law are particular to U.S.franchising, much of our discussion is focused on the way franchising worksin this country. This, however, is not as much of a shortcoming as one mightsuppose. First, we present non-U.S. information whenever we can. More im-portantly, the general economic principles that we highlight are relevant in allcountries and, as will be clear from available data, franchising practices do notdiffer markedly between countries. Thus, our hope is that the content of thisbook will prove relevant to anyone with an interest in franchising regardlessof where he or she lives and works.

    Before launching into an economic analysis of franchising as an orga-nizational form, we explore a few basics to frame our subsequent analy-sis. We begin by defining the franchise relationship, distinguishing betweentraditional and business-format franchising, and identifying the locus andextent of franchising in the U.S. economy. We then describe our data onfranchisors, data that we rely on throughout the book. We conclude thisintroductory chapter by laying out a road map for the remainder of the book.

    1.1 What Is a Franchise?

    According to the American Heritage Dictionary of the English Language, theword franchise comes from the old French word franche, which means freeor exempt. In medieval times, a franchise was a right or privilege granted bya sovereign power king, church, or local government. Sovereigns grantedfranchises for various activities, such as building roads, holding fairs, orga-nizing markets, or for the right to maintain civil order and collect taxes. Inessence, the sovereign gave an individual or group of individuals the monopolyrights over a particular activity in a particular location for a certain periodof time. In most cases, the grantee was required to make a payment to thesovereign power for this right or privilege, usually in the form of a share ofthe product or profit. That payment was called a royalty, a term still in use tothis day.

    Today, a franchise agreement is most often understood as a contractualarrangement between two legally independent firms in which one firm, thefranchisee, pays the other firm, the franchisor, for the right to sell the fran-chisors product and/or the right to use its trademarks and business format

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    4 Introduction

    in a given location for a specified period of time. But this use of the termfranchising in the English language only goes back to the late 1950s: accord-ing to Dicke (1992: 2), the word franchise understood as a method of doingbusiness or distributing goods and services entered the English businesslexicon in 1959. Moreover, governments still grant franchises in certain in-dustries. This occurs, for example, in the cable TV industry in the UnitedStates where the rights to be the sole provider of cable services in a givenmarket for a certain time period are sold by local governments to firms usu-ally through what is called a franchise bidding process.4 In addition, theword franchise is used in the sports industry to refer to the right to operatea team in a particular locale.5 In this book, however, we focus on the type offranchising that represents an ongoing business relationship between legallyindependent commercial firms, and accordingly we use the term to meanonly such arrangements.

    According to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), the body that has ju-risdiction in the United States over federal disclosure rules for franchisors,three elements must be present for a business relationship to be deemed afranchise.6 First, the franchisor must license a trade name and trademark thatthe franchisee operates under, or the franchisee must sell products or servicesidentified by this trademark. Second, the franchisor must exert significantcontrol over the operation of the franchisee or provide significant assistance tothe franchisee. Third, the franchisee must pay at least $500 to the franchisor atany time before or within the first six months of operation.7 Note that thoughthis definition of franchising is specific to the U.S., most definitions used byauthorities outside of the U.S., including Australia, Canada, and the European

    4 For more on franchise bidding in the U.S. cable industry, see for example Zupan(1989a, 1989b) and Prager (1990) and the references therein. For an analysis of contem-porary highway construction franchise contracts granted by a government, see Engelet al. (2001).

    5 For examples of this use of the term franchise, see Noll and Zimbalist (1997) and thehistory of the NFL at http://www.football.com/history/index.shtml.

    6 For a detailed account of different definitions of commercial franchises used in theacademic literature across a variety of fields, see Stanworth and Curran (1999). For areview of the legal elements of franchises as per the text of various state franchise laws,see for example Pitegoff (1989).

    7 See Federal Trade Commission (1979). See http://www.ftc.gov/bcp/franchise/netrule.htm for a guide to this rule. Note that in its interpretive guide, the FTC specifiesthat payments for inventory at bona fide wholesale prices for resale are not considereda minimum payment for the purposes of this last requirement. See Final InterpretiveGuides, 44 Fed. Reg. at 49967.

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    1.2 Traditional and Business-Format Franchising 5

    Union (EU), rely on a similar set of criteria.8 In their implementation, how-ever, foreign definitions are often less inclusive. We come back to this brieflybelow.

    1.2 Traditional and Business-Format Franchising

    In the U.S., the Department of Commerce (USDOC) historically has distin-guished two separate types of franchised relationships: traditional (or productand trade name) franchising and business-format franchising. The formeris characterized by franchised dealers who concentrate on one companysproduct line and to some extent identify their business with that company(USDOC 1988: 1). Thus, the Ford dealer, for example, is identified as a dis-tributor of Ford automobiles. As the name suggests, traditional franchisingis the oldest form of modern franchising. By most accounts, it can be tracedback in the U.S. at least to the mid-1800s when the McCormick Harvest-ing Machine Company and the Singer Sewing Machines Company sold theirproducts through sales agents who were given exclusive sales territories.9 Ini-tially, these firms, like others who used such agents at the time, imposed fewrestrictions or qualifications on their agents and exerted very little control overthem. Over time, however, both companies found they needed more controlover these sales agents if they were to protect their respective reputationsand brands. The McCormick Company responded by establishing company-owned branch houses throughout the U.S. and Canada. These branch houseswere given oversight responsibilities for the sales agents in their territories.As a result, McCormick was able to systematize procedures and communica-tions with its agents, thereby transforming them into what one would nowcall dealers. As for the Singer Company, it addressed the need for controlby converting many of the independent agencies into company outlets. Moreimportantly, it devised a series of recommendations for the remaining agentsas to how the offices should be run and, for the first time, required detailed

    8 See the Franchising Code of Conduct, Commonwealth of Australia, 1998; the ArthurWishart Act in Ontario, Canada; and the EEC Block Exemption for Vertical Restraints. Notethat a definition of franchising is no longer included directly in the EEC Block Exemptionfor Vertical Restraints, but a description of the contents of franchise agreements is foundin the attached guidelines (text fig. 35, 36, 189ff.) and the know-how definition hasremained the same as in the old EEC Block Exemption for Franchise Agreements.

    9 See Dicke (1992) on the history of franchising in the United States, including a de-tailed account of its evolution at these two companies. See also Marx (1985) on thedevelopment of franchising in automobile retailing in the U.S.

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    6 Introduction

    financial reporting from these agents. The contracts and methods of controlthat Singer developed at the time are largely recognized as the forerunners ofthe modern franchise agreement.10

    Traditional franchising today is comprised largely of automobile dealer-ships, gasoline service stations, and soft-drink bottlers.11 In all of these busi-nesses, the franchisor is a manufacturer who sells finished or semi-finishedproducts to its dealers/franchisees. In turn, the franchisees resell these prod-ucts to consumers or other firms in the distribution chain. Because the fran-chisors product is sold to its franchisees, the franchisors profits from itsdealer network flow from the markups it earns on these products. In contrastto what occurs in business-format franchising, as described below, traditionalfranchisees do not pay running royalties on their sales.

    Traditional franchising accounted for 72.7 percent of all sales by fran-chised chains in 1986, the last year in which the U.S. government collectedand published statistics on franchising.12 The remaining 27.3 percent of allfranchised sales were generated by business-format franchising firms in whichthe franchisor primarily sells a way of doing business (i.e., a business format)to its franchisees. A business-format franchise thus includes not only theproduct, service, and trademark, but the entire business format itself amarketing strategy and plan, operating manuals and standards, quality con-trol, and continuing two-way communication (USDOC 1988: 3).

    The first true business-format franchise system was created by MarthaMathilda Harper (Plitt 2000). This entrepreneur developed her network ofHarper Beauty Shops from the early 1890s onward using a business model

    10 In England, the development of franchising is usually traced back to the developmentof the tied house system, namely the ownership of licensed beer retailers by brewers.See especially Knox (1958) on the reasons behind the growth of this system in London.

    11 William E. Metzger is said to have been the first franchisee in automotive retailing; heobtained a franchise to sell steam automobiles from General Motors Corporation in1898 (Justis and Judd 1998: 19). Coca-Cola sold its first bottling franchise in 1899.

    12 The USDOC cancelled its publication of Franchising in the Economy in 1988 as part ofits privatization program. This publication was the only source of Census-type data onfranchising in the United States. Efforts by the International Franchise Association (IFA)to take over the publication of this annual report on a permanent basis were unsuccessful.However, in cooperation with Frandata Inc., the IFA Educational Foundation recentlyproduced The Profile of Franchising, Volumes I, II, and III. These profiles report summarydata per sector based on information contained in the disclosure documents of allfranchisors that had to file such documents in at least one of the twelve filing U.S. states.Though the resulting set of franchisors covered in the profiles is not the whole populationof franchisors in the U.S., these publications provide some very useful information thatwe rely on when appropriate in the remainder of this book.

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    1.2 Traditional and Business-Format Franchising 7

    that included all of the components of a business format as described by theUSDOC, and more. But though she grew her network to more than 500 shopsin the U.S., Canada, and Europe by the mid-1920s, Mathilda Harper unfor-tunately did not leave a lasting mark on franchising. Other firms, such asthe supermarket chain Piggly Wiggly, Hertz Car Rentals, IGA (IndependentGrocers Association), A&W Restaurants, Ben Franklin Retailers, Maid Rite(a hamburger restaurant chain), and Terminix Termite and Pest Control allstarted franchising in the 1920s and are still franchising today. According to theFrench Franchise Federation, Jean Prouvost, owner of the Lainie`re de Roubais,launched his network of Pingouin stores also in the 1920s, thereby initiat-ing the concept of franchised distribution in France.13 These early entrantswere followed in the 1930s by companies like Howard Johnson Restaurants,Stewarts Drive-In, Arthur Murray Schools of Dancing, and Culligan in theU.S., and by the Canadian Tire retail chain and its Associate Store program,Merle Norman Cosmetics, and Le Groupe RONA among others in Canada.14

    But it was not until the 1950s, with the advent of chains such as Burger Kingand McDonalds, and the economic boom of the postWorld War II era, thatbusiness-format franchising fully came into its own in the U.S. and Canada,and, even more recently, throughout much of the rest of the world.15

    Business-format franchising today encompasses a very large number offirms that provide a wide array of goods and services: automotive productsand services, computer sales, business aids and services, construction andmaintenance, legal, domestic, and childcare services, and non-food retail-ing as well as the more visible hotel, fast-food, and car rental franchises.In exchange for the business format, franchisees typically pay a relativelysmall lump-sum fixed fee at the beginning of the contract period and payrunning royalties that are usually calculated as a fixed percentage of the

    13 See Federation Francaise de la Franchise (2003: 12). Though this source indicatesthat the network of stores was developed in the 1930s, the French National Archivesstates that it was started in 1923. See http://www.archivesnationales.culture.gouv.fr/camt/fr/egf/lettrel.html.

    14 Some networks, such as IGA, le Groupe RONA, and Best Western International, areorganized as cooperatives whose role it is to provide their franchisees (members) withpurchasing power and name recognition. The development and organization of thesecooperatives is interesting in light of Caves and Murphys (1976: 576) view of franchisingas a mechanism by which franchisees hire out the collective and large-scale productionof goodwill. See also Lafontaine and Raynaud (2002) for an analysis that draws ananalogy between food production cooperatives and franchises.

    15 See Arthur Andersen & Co. (1995) for an overview of the number of franchisors andfranchisees in 36 countries around the world.

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    8 Introduction

    franchisees sales revenues.16 Business-format franchisees also often con-tribute an additional fraction of their sales or revenues toward an adver-tising fund for the chain as a whole. Presumably, the advertising carried outwith these funds benefits all franchisees and thereby benefits the franchisoras well.

    In the end, the distinction between traditional and business-format fran-chising is somewhat arbitrary and basically a matter of degree. Dnes (1992a)and Klein (1995), for example, both argue that there is little economic differ-ence between the two, in terms of either the type of agreements they rely onor the type of support provided or control exerted by franchisors. And whenit comes to theoretical analyses of franchise relationships, the distinction be-tween these two types of franchising indeed is largely irrelevant: researchershave considered both types simultaneously in many studies. But while intheory the distinction may not be so meaningful, it is important from a de-scriptive standpoint for two main reasons. First, in many countries outsidethe U.S., traditional franchising is not included in franchising statistics. As aresult, the franchising sector appears artificially large in the U.S. relative tothese other countries. Second, in the U.S., authors often refer to all franchis-ing when they emphasize its economic importance: after all, sales of goodsand services through traditional and business-format franchising togetheramounted to almost 13 percent of real gross domestic product (GDP) (seeChapter 2), or 34 percent of retail sales, in 1986 according to the USDOC(1988: 14). When presenting data about the growth in franchising in the U.S.,however, the data more often measure business-format franchising only. Thisis because business-format franchising has grown much faster than traditionalfranchising over the last few decades. Thus, the separation of franchising intotwo different types has allowed the trade press to mostly emphasize those fran-chising figures that show franchising in its most favorable light. We return tothe issue of franchising growth in the next chapter.

    1.3 In Which Industries Do We Find Franchising?

    As noted by the USDOC (1988: 14), [r]etailing dominates franchising, ac-counting for 87 percent of all franchising receipts in 1987. The retail salesof all firms associated with franchising reached about $522 billion in 1987,

    16 There are exceptions to royalties calculated as a percentage of total revenue. These includeminimum payment provisions, increasing and decreasing scales, and royalties definedas a percentage of profits. These alternatives, however, are observed far less frequentlythan constant rate sales revenue royalties. See Chapter 3 for details.

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    1.3 In Which Industries Do We Find Franchising? 9

    or 34 percent of all U.S. retail sales, which are estimated at $1.5 trillion.17

    Table 1-1 shows the sectoral breakdown for sales, the number of establish-ments, and employment for franchised firms in the U.S. in 1986 as per theUSDOC (1988). It also shows average sales per establishment in each sector.

    Table 1-1 first confirms that sales through traditional franchising are al-most three times the level of sales of business-format franchisors. In contrast,the bulk of the establishments and employment are in business-format fran-chising. The number of establishments is twice as large and the number ofemployees is almost three times larger in business-format than in traditionalfranchising. This implies that sales per unit and sales per employee are muchlarger in traditional than in business-format franchising. This is shown in thelast column of Table 1-1, in which sales per establishment for car dealershipsand soft-drink bottlers completely overwhelm those of gasoline stations aswell as those of every type of business-format franchise. While the govern-ment data above all pertain to 1986, a recent report on the economic impactof franchising in the U.S. economy suggests that business-format franchisingin 2001 encompassed 4.3 times as many establishments and employed fourtimes as many workers as traditional franchising did.18

    Table 1-1 also illustrates that franchising occurs in a wide variety of retailand service industries in the U.S. economy. Within business-format fran-chising, the bulk of sales, units, and employees in 1986 were found in therestaurant sector, which includes such well-known chains as Burger King,KFC, Little Caesars, McDonalds, and Subway, among many others. The nextlargest sector from a sales perspective was the non-food retailing sector, whichincludes chains such as The Athletes Foot, The Body Shop, Decorating Den,and General Nutrition Centers. From an establishment and an employmentperspective, however, the second largest business-format franchising sectorwas the business aids and services sectors, with firms such as Money Mailer,SignFast, and Snelling Personnel Services.

    The data in Table 1-1, however, reflect the sector distribution of franchisingactivities as it existed in 1986. Unfortunately, since Franchising in the Economyis no longer published by the U.S. government, updated figures correspondingto those in Table 1-1 are unavailable. This lack of data has made it quite difficult

    17 Retail sales in the U.S. reached $3.5 trillion in nominal terms in 2001 (U.S. CensusBureau, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Historical Retail Trade Data). Assuming thatthe proportion of retail trade accounted for by franchised companies has remained atabout one-third of all retailing, franchising would now account for more than $1 trillionin retail business in the U.S. (in 2001 dollars). We address the issue of franchising growthin Chapter 2.

    18 See IFA Educational Foundation and Price Waterhouse Coopers, 2004.

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    10 Introduction

    Table 1-1: Sales, establishments, and employment in franchising in the U.S. in 1986

    Sales perSales Number of Number of establishment

    Sector ($ thousands) establishments employees ($ thousands)

    Automobile and Truck Dealers 307,256,000 27,600 947,400 11,132Gasoline Service Stations 86,618,000 120,510 596,400 719Soft-Drink Bottlers 19,662,000 1,203 126,200 16,344

    All Traditional Franchising 413,536,000 149,313 1,670,000 2,770

    Automotive Products and Servicesa 11,300,863 36,763 186,182 307Business Aids and Servicesb 13,288,254 52,718 669,522 252Construction, Home 4,615,360 18,900 118,991 244

    Improvement, Maintenance,and Cleaning Servicesc

    Convenience Stores 11,278,895 15,524 152,688 726Educational Products and Servicesd 935,166 8,625 41,210 108Hotels, Motels, and Campgrounds 15,983,990 8,203 555,674 1,949Laundry and Drycleaning Services 291,802 2,297 9,891 127Recreation, Entertainment, 3,549,025 7,901 27,732 449

    and Travele

    Rental Services (AutoTruck) f 6,155,006 9,528 66,423 646Rental Services (Equipment)g 716,019 2,718 14,926 263Restaurants 52,273,863 78,203 2,453,621 668Retailing (Food 10,746,011 19,852 214,768 541

    Non-Convenience)h

    Retailing (Non-Food)i 23,102,779 45,456 274,663 508Miscellaneous j 1,305,715 6,122 44,486 213

    All Business-Format Franchising 155,542,748 312,810 4,830,777 497

    Total Franchising 569,078,748 462,123 6,500,777 1,231

    Note: Includes part-time and working proprietors.a Includes Tire, Battery, and Accessory Stores; Auto and Truck Wash Services; Brake and Muffler Repair and

    Services; and some establishments with significant sales of non-automotive products such as HouseholdAppliances, Garden Supplies, and others.

    b Includes Computer Services, Business Consultants and Brokers, Security, Dentists, Insurance, and Others.c Includes Furniture Repairs, Water Conditioning, Lawn Care, Sewer Cleaning, and Carpet Cleaning.d Includes Day-Care Centers and Health and Diet Services.e Includes Travel Agencies, Miniature Golf Courses, and Dance Studios.f Includes Leasing.g Includes Formal Wear.h Includes Retail Specialty Food Shops, Donut Shops, Ice Cream Stores, Coffee Services, Candy Stores,

    Bakeries and Supermarkets.i Includes General Merchandise, Drugs and Cosmetics, Gift Shops, Shoes and Apparel, Hardware, Paints

    and Floor Covering, Furniture, Draperies and Bedding, Consumer Electronics, and Vending.j Includes Beauty Salons, Fitness Centers, Wholesale Services, and Others.

    Source: USDOC (1988) (with calculations for rows involving all traditional and all business format).

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    1.3 In Which Industries Do We Find Franchising? 11

    to accurately assess how franchising has evolved since the mid-1980s in theUnited States.19

    In this book, we rely on a database on franchisors that we have constructedfrom franchisor directories to shed some light on the evolution of franchis-ing and the franchise relationship since the mid-1980s, and to provide amore accurate description of current data patterns. Our database covers allthe franchisors that appear at least once in the 1981 to 1993 EntrepreneursFranchise 500 surveys or in the 1994 to 2002 editions of Bonds SourceBook of Franchise Opportunities, now called the Bonds Franchise Guide.20

    Each year, these publications give detailed profiles for about 1,000 franchis-ing companies and, hence, cover a very significant portion of the industry. Ineach case, the data for a given year are obtained from the next years survey ordirectory as these are all published early in the calendar year. In other words,our 2001 data are from the 2002 Bonds Franchise Guide. After 1994, we choseto use the Bonds Franchise Guide because Entrepreneurs 1994 survey coveredfewer chains than usual and, from 1995 onward, Entrepreneur stopped report-ing advertising fee data. Furthermore, the Bonds Franchise Guide, which hasthe advantage of providing more details on each of the franchisors it profiles,had become an annual publication by then.21 Together, these sources provideinformation from 1980 through 2001 (except for 1999, as the 2000 BondsFranchise Guide was never published) and cover more than 5,000 franchisorsin total, 12 percent of which on average are Canadian.

    Table 1-2 displays the specific number of franchisors included in our dataeach year. For the years when this information was available, namely the early1980s, the table also shows the total number of U.S. franchisors according tothe USDOC. It is clear from this information that our data are not of censusquality, meaning that not all U.S. franchisors are included in our sources. Infact, the number of U.S. franchisors in the data is slightly below the numbers

    19 The 2001 snapshot provided by the IFA Educational Foundation and Price WaterhouseCoopers (2004) does not use the same sector classification as the USDOC. Moreover,it only provides aggregate information on total establishments, jobs, payroll, and valueadded in each sector and does not allow us to follow franchising activities over time.Of course, we still rely on it whenever it provides additional insights into franchisingactivity.

    20 We exclude from our data the few chains that are in these sources but yet report eitherno outlet at all (that is, no company nor franchised outlet) or report absolutely no fees(that is, no royalty rate, franchise fee, advertising rate, or ongoing fixed payments) inthe survey year.

    21 The Bonds Franchise Guides were also published in 1985, 1989, and then in 199091and 199192, and in 1993. Since then, they have been published yearly, except for the2000 edition (with the 1999 data) that was skipped.

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    12 Introduction

    Table 1-2: The coverage of our data set

    Number of Number of Number of units of Number of units offranchisors franchisors these franchisors these franchisors

    Year USDOC data our data USDOC data our data

    1980 1584 1089 252,548 164,4831981 1673 1100 260,555 175,9071982 1770 1220 268,306 189,2591983 1877 1169 276,195 196,0901984 1942 880 283,576 199,3731985 2090 926 301,689 206,1461986 2177 1075 312,810 211,9911987 1075 217,2611988 1023 217,0381989 1059 230,0591990 1096 238,2841991 1018 238,5451992 992 240,5051993 1100 223,5541994 1100 223,2341995 1104 251,1081996 1103 273,2831997 1033 283,7691998 995 303,1682000 984 344,5852001 1158 382,061

    Source: The source for the data in columns 2 and 4 is USDOC (1988). We compiled the other data.

    shown in column 2 of the table given the proportion of Canadian firms in ourdata. The implication is that we cannot easily make inferences on the extent offranchising or its growth over time from our data. Moreover, Table 1-2 showsthat the extent of coverage of franchised companies by the directories that arethe source of our data has changed over time, with an especially importantdecrease in coverage in 1984 and 1985 relative to surrounding years. Finally,by the mid 1980s, the proportion of franchisors included in our data wasaround one-half, while the proportion of units covered by these franchisorswas around two-thirds. In other words, Table 1-2 also shows that the averagefranchisor that appears in our data tends to be somewhat larger, in terms ofunits, than the average franchisor that does not.

    In sum, while we make no claim that our data reflect the whole populationof franchisors, they still cover a substantial portion of franchising activity,and thus help us shed light on what has occurred in this important sector ofthe economy since the mid-1980s in the United States in a way that no othersource can achieve.

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    1.3 In Which Industries Do We Find Franchising? 13

    It is important to recognize that there is significant turnover in the set offranchisors included in our data each year. This explains why 5,052 differentfranchisors appear at least once in our data, even though most estimates putthe current population of franchisors in the U.S. somewhere around 2,500.22

    Our data contains many more largely because of the significant amount ofentry into and exit from franchising that has occurred during the 1980s and1990s. We come back to this issue in Chapter 2. For the purposes of describingour data, Table 1-3 simply details the number of franchisors that appearonce, two times, or three times, and so on in our data, and the average yearwhen these different sets of franchisors started in business and in franchising.The information on the average year they started franchising confirms thatfranchisors that appear only a few times in our data tend to be those that gotinvolved in franchising relatively late in our sample period.

    For each franchisor in each year, our data sources specifically provide in-formation on (1) the number of company-owned and franchised outlets;(2) the years of business and franchising experience; (3) the royalty rate, ad-vertising fee, and franchise fee charged by the franchisor; and (4) a set ofvariables describing, for example, the amount of capital required to open anoutlet, whether the chain is Canadian or not, and the type of business inwhich it is involved. For those years when our data are extracted from theBonds Franchise Guide, we also know other characteristics such as the numberof states the chain has outlets in, the amount of initial training provided bythe franchisor, the typical number of employees in a unit, the average squarefootage needed, the number of outlets outside the U.S., the duration of thecontract, and so on.23

    We have described the data that we will use throughout this book todocument patterns in franchising in the U.S. and address various issuesrelated to contract terms and practices; we can now return to the questionof the sectoral distribution of business-format franchising as it now stands.

    22 As shown in Table 1-2, in 1986 the USDOC estimated the number of U.S. franchisors tobe 2,177. Since then, estimates of the number of U.S. franchisors have varied widely inthe trade press, but listings from directories suggest that 2,500 to 3,000 is a reasonableestimate. In their production of the Profile of Franchising Volume III, the IFA and Frandataexamined all franchisors that had filed a Uniform Franchise Offering Circular (UFOC)in one of the twelve states requiring such filing in 1998. They obtained information for atotal of 1,226 franchised companies. As the authors acknowledge (see p. 13), this figurecannot be used as an estimate of the population of franchisors in the U.S., as franchisorsthat do not operate in any of the twelve states requiring such filing do not appear intheir data.

    23 For the years prior to 1993, and for about half of the chains in our data set, we werealso able to obtain data on the number of states in which the chain has units and on theamount of training provided from the USDOCs Franchise Opportunities Handbook.

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    14 Introduction

    Table 1-3: Sample characteristics

    Number of Number of Started in StartedObserved firms observations business in (mean) franchising in (mean)

    Only once 1,429 1,429 1977.8 1984.3Twice 946 1,892 1978.5 1984.73 times 591 1,773 1976.8 1983.44 times 460 1,840 1974.4 1982.45 times 278 1,390 1976.8 1983.06 times 254 1,524 1974.5 1982.27 times 204 1,428 1974.8 1981.98 times 165 1,320 1971.8 1980.69 times 97 873 1971.6 1980.610 times 110 1,100 1971.2 1979.411 times 86 946 1973.2 1978.512 times 72 864 1972.7 1979.913 times 70 910 1969.4 1977.114 times 48 672 1970.6 1976.915 times 36 540 1971.1 1978.116 times 37 592 1966.1 1973.217 times 37 629 1966.2 1972.518 times 37 666 1968.5 1974.419 times 25 475 1965.0 1969.920 times 34 680 1964.3 1969.921 times 36 756 1961.8 1965.5

    Total 5,052 22,299

    Note: Although our data covers a period of 22 years, from 1980 to 2001, we can observe a given chaina maximum of 21 times since we have no data for the year 1999.

    Using the sector definitions of the USDOC, Table 1-4 shows this distributionfor the 1,074 franchisors that appear in our data set in 1986 and comparesit to the number of franchisors per sector in 1986 according to the USDOC(1988). This exercise required that we classify each of the franchisors in ourdata among the sectors used by the USDOC. Since their sector definitionsare not very detailed, there is room for classification error.24 Still, we can see

    24 For example, while the distinction between food retailing and restaurant is generally easyto make, it is not so obvious when it comes to donut or bagel shops. The sector definitionsare made somewhat clearer in a series of footnotes in Franchising in the Economy thatwe reproduce under Table 1-1. From these, we see that the USDOC considers donutshops to be part of food retailing, not the restaurant sector. We followed their lead onthese and on bakeries where we suspected that the bulk of the business was in retail. Weclassified as restaurants those chains where the bulk of the business is for prepared foodconsumed on the premises or for take out.

  • P1: KsF0521772524c01.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 29, 2005 18:26

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  • P1: KsF0521772524c01.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 29, 2005 18:26

    16 Introduction

    from Table 1-4 that our best effort at classifying all the franchisors suggeststhat our data covers between 42 and 77 percent of the franchisors in each ofthe USDOC sectors in 1986.

    Table 1-4 also shows the number of franchisors in our data set, perUSDOC sector, ten years later in 1996, and then again in 2001. It is diffi-cult to disentangle from these figures how much of the change in numbersof franchisors per sector between 1986 and 1996 or 2001 is due to samplingchanges, and how much is due to real growth in some sectors compared toothers. Assuming that there has not been a major change over time in the sur-vey sampling procedures used by our sources, the data in Table 1-4 suggestthat there has been some decline since the mid-1980s in the number of auto-motive products and services franchisors and equipment rental franchisors.On the other hand, the data indicate that there are now more franchisors inthe construction, maintenance and cleaning services industry, in the educa-tional products and services sector, and in the restaurant sector. We expect thelatter reflects the relative growth in the number of sandwich and bagel shopsas well as the newer quick-casual segment of this industry. These patternsare confirmed generally by corresponding data from the IFA Educational andPrice Waterhouse Coopers (2004) report which show a significant decrease,relative to the 1986 USDOC data, in the number of establishments in theautomotive sector in the U.S. (from the 36,763 shown in Table 1-1 to 28,755in 2001 according to the IFA report) and a substantial increase in the numberof restaurants (from 78,203 in Table 1-1 to 183,318 in the IFA report). Un-fortunately, differences in sector definitions between the sources prevent usfrom making further comparisons.

    As we discuss in some detail in Chapter 2, our data set offers a goodapproximation of the overall population of new franchisors except for thelast few years of our data. To provide a better sense of where entry has beenmost prevalent in the 1980s and early 1990s, we rely on the number of newfranchisors in our data per USDOC sector. Specifically, we present in Table 1-5the number of franchisors that started franchising in every three-year period,starting in 1980 and ending in 1997. We end with 1997 because we only have afew years of data to identify the new entrants at the end of our sample periodand, hence, we do not capture them all. But from our earlier data, more than90 percent of the franchisors appear in our data within five to six years ofwhen they start franchising. Thus, the number of new franchisors in 1995and 1996 may still be underestimated in Table 1-5; for all the years prior tothat, however, we have a reasonable estimate of the number of new entrants.

    The data in Table 1-5 first show a sizable reduction in the number of newfranchisors in the early 1990s relative to the 1980s, even ignoring the 1995 to

  • P1: KsF0521772524c01.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 29, 2005 18:26

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  • P1: KsF0521772524c01.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 29, 2005 18:26

    18 Introduction

    1997 data. On average, for the three 3-year periods in the 1980s, there weremore than 700 new entrants; for the two 3-year periods in the early 1990s,the average declined to 525. Consistent with Table 1-4, Table 1-5 also showsfewer new franchisors in the automotive products and services sector and inthe equipment rental sector in the early 1990s than in earlier periods. Othersectors, such as the educational products and services sector and, to a lesserextent, the construction and maintenance and restaurant sectors, show a fairlyconstant number of new entrants over the 1980 to 1994 period despite thefairly large decline in total entry at the end of this time period. In other words,in proportion to total entry, these sectors are more than holding their own.This further supports the data in Table 1-4 in which we found significantgrowth in these sectors.25

    According to the USDOC data and industry sources, the growth inbusiness-format franchising was tied to the fast-food industry in the 1960sand to the business aids and services and the automotive products and ser-vices in the 1970s. Our data suggest that in the 1980s and early 1990s, ithas been tied mostly to the personal service sector (such as maid services,day-care facilities, lawn maintenance, and health and fitness services) and tothe diversification and continued growth of franchising within the restaurantindustry.

    1.4 Plan of Study

    Our goal in The Economics of Franchising is to both describe how franchisingworks and highlight the economic tensions that contribute to conflict in thefranchisorfranchisee relationship. To this end, we begin in Chapter 2 withan examination of four popular misconceptions regarding franchising. Thesemisconceptions involve the extent of growth, the financial security affordedby franchising, the size of franchised chains, and the extent of single-unitownership by franchisees.

    In Chapter 3, we highlight some of the main components of franchisecontracts, paying particular attention to the financial components of thecontract, namely royalty rates, franchise fees, and advertising fees. For each ofthese, we examine in particular their levels and how they vary across chainsand industries. We also investigate how the tendency to use these differentfees and the levels at which they are set have evolved between 1980 and 2001.

    25 Of course, growth really depends not only on entry, but also on how many firms exitthe sector. We return to this issue in Chapter 2.

  • P1: KsF0521772524c01.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 29, 2005 18:26

    1.4 Plan of Study 19

    We conclude, among other things, by pointing out the similarity between thefees structures and levels charged by U.S. and non-U.S. franchisors.

    In Chapter 4, we explore franchising as a contractual alternative to verticalintegration for franchisors. We show how firms involved in franchising typ-ically use a mix of franchised and vertically integrated, or company-owned,outlets. We then present a more detailed examination of a set of vertical re-straints that can be used to replicate the vertically integrated outcome, at leastin theory, and evaluate their performance under various circumstances. Fi-nally, we discuss agencytheoretic arguments that have been used to explainvariation in the main financial contract terms used in franchise contracts, andshow how these arguments also can shed light on why different franchisorschoose different levels of vertical integration.

    From that point on, each of the remaining chapters of this book is dedi-cated to a detailed examination of a specific conflict area between franchisorsand franchisees. We begin each of these chapters with the economic motiva-tion for the problem, followed by an examination of the relevant court casesand legislation, if applicable. We conclude each chapter by examining thelikely effect of this source of conflict on franchisors, franchisees, and fran-chising as a method of distribution. Specifically, we explore quality controland quality decisions in Chapter 5. We review input purchase requirements inChapter 6. Chapter 7 focuses on pricing decisions and price constraints. InChapter 8, we examine outlet location decisions and the encroachment prob-lem. We discuss inherent conflicts of interest related to advertising and pro-motion in Chapter 9 and terminations, renewals and transfers of franchisedunits in Chapter 10. Chapter 11 concludes by returning to the idea that despiteall these sources of conflict, franchising is a robust organizational form thathas withstood the test of time and will continue to play a major role in theU.S. and global economies.

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    2

    Four Popular Misconceptions about Franchising

    There are many misconceptions surrounding franchising in the United Statesand abroad. In our view, these misconceptions result from relying on casualimpressions rather than a careful evaluation of the empirical evidence. In thischapter, we focus our attention on four such misconceptions. By summarizingthe existing data, we hope to disabuse the reader of these misconceptions andthereby generate a more realistic appreciation of franchising.

    We begin with the notion that franchising has been growing at a phenom-enal rate in the U.S. for several decades. As we shall show, this impression ismisleading: for the last two decades at least, our best estimates indicate thatfranchising in the U.S. has grown, at most, at rates commensurate with therest of the economy. Interestingly, research conducted in the United Kingdomsuggests that similar claims of tremendous growth in franchising in thatcountry in the 1990s are also ill-founded. Second, we examine the extentof entry and exit for franchisors, and then also for franchisees. The datashow that many firms indeed become new franchisors each year, a fact thatis well-publicized in the trade press. But many firms also exit franchisingor fail, and this generally receives much less attention. As for franchisees,we find that the notion that franchising poses substantially fewer businessrisks for franchisees than starting an independent business is not supportedby the data. Third, we consider the size of franchised chains. Contrary tothe impression created by the pervasive presence of very large franchisedchains with household names such as Dunkin Donuts, H&R Block, andMcDonalds, we show that the majority of franchised chains are quite smalland, thus, not well-established contrary to what people expect. Fourth, andfinally, there is an impression that franchisees businesses are necessarilysmall, mom-and-pop ventures, with each of them operating a single unit.This is also not true: multi-unit franchising is pervasive, and a number of

    20

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    2.1 Growth: Fact and Fancy 21

    multi-unit franchisees are large enough to rival the size of their own or otherfranchisors.

    2.1 Growth: Fact and Fancy

    In this section, we explore how franchising has grown relative to the economyas a whole since the early 1970s. These facts are then compared to the impres-sion of tremendous growth found in the trade press. Our point here is not todeny the importance of franchising as an organizational form, nor the rolethat it has played in the growth of the economy over the last few decades. Onthe contrary, it should be clear from the preceding chapter that franchisingis a very important method of doing business in the U.S. and elsewhere. Butmany of the reports of its growth in the last two decades have been grosslyexaggerated and must be put in proper perspective.

    We begin our assessment with the period 1972 to 1986, when census-type data on the number of franchisors, the number of units, and sales byfranchised chains are available from the USDOC.26 Table 2-1 contains thesales data, in real 2000 U.S dollars, and the growth rates in these real saleslevels for traditional and business-format franchising, separately and overall(all franchising), between 1972 and 1986. For comparison purposes, the tablealso includes data on real GDP and its growth over the same period.

    The data in this table imply that business-format franchising indeed hasoutperformed the economy as a whole over most of this period. Specifically,in real terms, business-format franchising sales have grown by 106.9 percentbetween 1972 and 1986 while GDP grew by 52.6 percent over the sameperiod. Traditional franchising, however, has grown less than the rest of theeconomy, by 36.9 percent during this time. The result is that the sum of allfranchising has grown at a rate that is basically the same as the rate of growthof the economy as a whole. This growth rate is nowhere near the double-digitgrowth rates suggested by the popular press. For example, the FranchiseTimes, April 1996, reports that Franchising growth should increase in 1996,with total unit expansion projected between 12% and 14%, up from 1995s10% to 12%. Equivalent and even higher growth figures appeared regularlyin the trade press throughout the late 1970s and 1980s. We further examinethe genesis of some of these very optimistic growth figures below. For now, wesimply conclude that even business-format franchising did not grow at these

    26 This source, which was first published in 1969, was modified significantly in 1972 suchthat only the data from that year onward are comparable.

  • P1: KsF0521772524c02.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 30, 2005 12:17

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  • P1: KsF0521772524c02.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 30, 2005 12:17

    2.1 Growth: Fact and Fancy 23

    rates during this period: 106.9 percent over a 14-year period amounts to about7.6 percent per year.

    Figures 2-1 and 2-2 show the data on franchising growth relative to GDPgrowth in two additional ways. Figure 2-1 presents information on theevolution of the number of units of business-format and traditional fran-chised chains, along with data on the evolution of real GDP, from 1972 to1986. We use the number of units instead of sales as an alternative way tocapture real rather than nominal growth in franchising. Figure 2-2 jointly ad-dresses the issue of same-unit growth along with growth in number of unitsby depicting the value of goods sold through franchising as a proportion ofreal GDP between 1972 and 1986. Such a ratio gives a unit free measure ofthe extent of franchising, eliminating the need to distinguish between nomi-nal and real figures.27 In both figures, the franchising data again are from theUSDOC (1988).

    Figure 2-1 first shows the dramatic decrease in the number of units intraditional franchising over this period, mostly due to the closing of a largenumber of smaller gasoline stations that were replaced by the new pumperstations that could handle much larger sales volumes. It also shows that thenumber of units in business-format franchising has grown steadily over thisperiod. But, of course, GDP also has grown during this time. As the timetrends in the two series are quite similar, it appears that in terms of units,business-format franchising was growing at a rate similar to that of theeconomy as a whole even back in the 1970s and early 1980s. Perhaps mostimportantly, Figure 2-1 addresses directly one type of claim about franchisinggrowth that is currently found in the trade press: With a new franchisebusiness opening somewhere in the U.S. every 17 minutes, franchising isindeed the success story of the 1980s and 1990s (IFA, Winter 1992 FranchiseOpportunities Guide, 10). In the Winter 1995 edition, this figure had becomea new franchise business every 8 minutes (12). But a new franchise businessevery 17 minutes is equivalent to 85 new franchises per day, or more than30,000 new franchises per year. A new franchise every 8 minutes amounts tomore than 65,000 new franchises a year. The data in the graph suggest a muchmore modest growth than either of these startling claims, even if we focuson business-format franchising and even if the period covered by the graphis seen by many as the prime period of growth for this form of franchising.On average, between 1972 and 1986, business-format franchising grew byabout 9,000 units per year. This is noteworthy growth, but nothing close

    27 For meaningful comparisons, both franchising sales and GDP need to be measured inthe same units, either both in real dollars or both in nominal dollars.

  • P1: KsF0521772524c02.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 30, 2005 12:17

    Year

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  • P1: KsF0521772524c02.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 30, 2005 12:17

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  • P1: KsF0521772524c02.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 30, 2005 12:17

    26 Four Popular Misconceptions about Franchising

    to the claims above. Further, if we extrapolate from the data in the graph, thereis nothing there to suggest that this growth should be expected to increasedramatically later and thus justify the claims made in the early 1990s. Finally,the number of traditional franchised units actually decreased between 1972and 1986, and again there is nothing in the data and nothing going on inthe industry to suggest this would reverse itself. Indeed, the retail gasolineindustry at the time was replacing its large number of older stations, eachwith just a few pumps, service bays and full service, with a smaller numberof large self-serve multi-pump stations with attending convenience storesinstead of service bays (see, e.g., Marvel 1995). And in fact, according to theU.S. census of retailing, the number of establishments within the traditionalfranchising sectors of gasoline retailing, car retailing and soft-drink bottlingwas down from 149,313 in 1986 to 130,640 in 1992, and by 1997, it haddecreased further to 125,509.

    Figure 2-1, however, and the discussion above focus solely on changes inthe number of franchising establishments. This is an important variable toconsider as most of the growth in franchising, especially in business-formatfranchising, is achieved through new units. Yet, sales revenues in franchisingcan increase independently from higher numbers of units if per unit salesvolumes are increasing in real terms, as happened for example in traditionalfranchising. In fact, for traditional franchising, the only way to reconcile thedata in Table 2-1 where traditional franchising sales increased on averagethroughout the period in real terms with the decrease in number of outletsshown in Figure 2-1 is to recognize that real sales per outlet have grown intraditional franchise businesses.

    Figure 2-2 simultaneously captures growth in the number of units and insales per unit relative to GDP growth by showing the ratio of franchisingsales to GDP. From this figure, it is clear that the value of goods sold throughtraditional franchising outlets has fluctuated somewhat, but it has remainedfairly stable overall as a percent of GDP between 1972 and 1986. The value ofgoods sold in outlets of business-format franchisors, on the other hand, hasrisen from 2.3 to 3.5 percent of GDP. Combined then, the value of goods soldthrough outlets of franchised firms increased from 11.6 percent in 1972 to12.8 percent of GDP in 1986. Extrapolating from this trend, one would expectfranchising sales to represent about 13.6 percent of nominal GDP in 2001, or1.37 trillion dollars.28

    28 Nominal GDP in 2001 in the U.S. was $10.08 trillion. Note that under the assump-tion that franchise retail sales have remained at about one-third of all retailing (as theywere in 1986, per the USDOC see Chapter 1), and with retail sales in 2001 at close

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    2.1 Growth: Fact and Fancy 27

    Unfortunately, with the demise of the USDOCs Franchising in the Economy,it is quite difficult to assess how franchising as a whole in fact has grown inthe U.S. since 1986. Efforts by the IFA and various partners to take over thepublication of this report on a permanent basis have not been successful,mainly because the response rates achieved by the IFA and its collaboratorshave been too low.29 Thus, from the perspective of assessing the extent andgrowth of franchising in the U.S., the loss of Franchising in the Economy hasbeen a major setback.

    In particular, it is the growth in business-format franchising since 1986 thatis difficult to assess given the loss of this publication. This is because business-format franchising is not an industry but a way of doing business that is usedin a number of different retail and service sectors. As a result, the standardsource of industry data, namely the Census, is not useful for our purposes.Specifically, as the U.S. Census Bureau does not request information fromretailers and service firms about how they are organized, one cannot findinformation relevant to business-format franchising in the data published bythe Census Bureau.30

    In contrast, traditional franchising encompasses all businesses involved inonly a few sectors of economic activity. Hence, relevant data on this fran-chising segment are available directly from the U.S. Census Bureau. Table 2-2displays the evolution of sales revenues in current dollars for car dealers and

    to $3.5 trillion, franchise retail sales would amount to about $1.15 trillion. Assumingretailing still constitutes about 87% of franchising sales, as the USDOC indicates it didin 1986, then total franchising would amount to $1.33 trillion. Because this estimateis very similar to the one we obtained above using GDP data, it is reasonable to con-clude that the retail portion of franchising indeed still represents about one-third of allretailing. This conclusion, however, contradicts the oft-quoted forecast that franchisingwould account for half of retail sales in 2000. This forecast, much too often quoted todayas fact, can be traced back to the Naisbitt Group (1989), a study commissioned by theIFA. We chose to focus our analyses on the importance of franchising vis-a`-vis GDPrather than retail sales because an important part of business-format franchising occursoutside of retailing.

    29 See, e.g., Lafontaine (1995a), Bond (1996), and IFA Educational Foundation andFrandate Corp. (2000) for discussions of the problems with issues of Franchising inthe Economy that were published by the IFA Educational Foundation along with variouspartners. The last issue published by the USDOC was the 198688 issue, with 1986 data.

    30 Two exceptions are the 1997 Accommodation and Foodservices Series and the Char-acteristics of Business Owners (CBO) Survey carried out in 1992 by the U.S. CensusBureau, which included some information about franchising. However, the former waslimited to the lodging and restaurant sectors. The CBO survey was not designed to allowinferences on the extent of franchising and has not yet been repeated. Going forward,we will refer to some studies that have relied on some of these data for other purposes.

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    28 Four Popular Misconceptions about Franchising

    Table 2-2: Traditional franchising and GDP 1972 to 2001 (current $ billions)

    All traditionalNew car dealerships Gasoline stations Soft-drink bottling franchising

    Sales % of Sales % of Sales % of Sales % ofYear ($ billions) GDP ($ billions) GDP ($ billions) GDP ($ billions) GDP

    1972 75.4 6.1 33.1 2.7 5.5 0.4 113.9 9.21973 85.0 6.1 36.9 2.7 5.7 0.4 127.6 9.21974 77.2 5.1 43.1 2.9 6.7 0.4 127.0 8.51975 84.9 5.2 47.6 2.9 8.6 0.5 141.1 8.61976 105.6 5.8 52.0 2.9 8.8 0.5 166.5 9.11977 121.8 6.0 56.6 2.8 10.0 0.5 188.5 9.31978 136.4 5.9 59.9 2.6 11.4 0.5 207.7 9.11979 142.9 5.6 73.5 2.9 12.5 0.5 228.9 8.91980 130.5 4.7 94.1 3.4 13.9 0.5 238.5 8.51981 144.5 4.6 103.1 3.3 15.3 0.5 262.8 8.41982 154.7 4.8 97.4 3.0 16.8 0.5 269.0 8.31983 187.7 5.3 102.9 2.9 17.3 0.5 307.9 8.71984 225.9 5.7 107.6 2.7 18.1 0.5 351.5 8.91985 251.6 6.0 113.3 2.7 19.4 0.5 384.3 9.11986 270.4 6.1 102.1 2.3 20.7 0.5 393.2 8.81987 280.5 5.9 104.8 2.2 22.0 0.5 407.3 8.61988 303.3 5.9 110.3 2.2 23.3 0.5 436.9 8.61989 311.6 5.7 122.9 2.2 23.0 0.4 457.5 8.31990 316.0 5.4 138.5 2.4 23.8 0.4 478.3 8.21991 301.3 5.0 137.3 2.3 25.2 0.4 463.7 7.71992 333.8 5.3 156.6 2.5 25.4 0.4 515.8 8.11993 379.5 5.7 162.6 2.4 26.0 0.4 568.1 8.51994 435.7 6.2 171.4 2.4 28.3 0.4 635.4 9.01995 464.6 6.3 181.3 2.5 30.2 0.4 676.1 9.11996 502.3 6.4 194.6 2.5 32.0 0.4 729.0 9.31997 519.0 6.2 199.9 2.4 31.4 0.4 750.2 9.01998 545.1 6.2 191.7 2.2 32.3 0.4 769.1 8.81999 611.9 6.6 209.4 2.3 32.3 0.3 853.6 9.22000 638.0 6.5 244.5 2.5 33.0 0.3 915.4 9.32001 669.6 6.6 237.7 2.3 34.4 0.3 941.6 9.3

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau: Car and Gasoline Retailing data are from the Historical Retail TradeData series; data for Soft-Drink Bottling are from the Annual Survey of Manufacturers.

    gasoline stations and soft-drink bottlers from 1972 to 2001 per the Histori-cal Retail Trade Data from the U.S. Census Bureau (for car dealerships andgasoline stations) and the Annual Survey of Manufacturers (for soft-drinkbottling). The table also shows the proportion of nominal GDP that theserepresent.

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    2.1 Growth: Fact and Fancy 29

    The data in this table first confirm what we found earlier, namely thatsales growth in traditional franchising between 1972 and 1986, although siz-able in nominal terms, has more or less followed the growth of the economyas a whole in real terms over this period. But this table also shows that thispattern has persisted after the mid-1980s, so that sales via traditional fran-chising have continued to represent a fairly stable 8 to 9 percent of GDP allalong. This is an important fact given that traditional franchising representsthe bulk of all franchising sales. Consequently, its growth is a main driver ofoverall franchising growth in the economy.

    As for business-format franchising, one can obtain estimates of the num-ber of franchisors over recent years using various franchisor directories, andcalculate the growth in these figures. This exercise, of course, only makes senseif the number of franchisors closely tracks changes in the number of units andsales revenues of franchised chains. Table 2-3 shows the growth in the numberof franchisors, total sales of franchised chains, and the number of establish-ments over the 1972 to 1986 period, when all three measures were available.The correlation between the number of franchisors and real sales revenuesis 0.93 and the correlation between the number of franchisors and the num-ber of units is 0.99. Moreover, in every one of those years except 1976, thegrowth in the number of franchisors is greater than the growth in the numberof units. We conclude that data on the number of business-format fran-chisors can give a good indication of the overall evolution of business-formatfranchising.31

    Having determined that the growth in the number of business-formatfranchisors provides a reasonable approximation for the growth in sales andunits when we can measure all three, we now turn to data on the num-ber of franchisors after 1986 to assess growth since then. We focus on two main

    31 One might interpret the data presented in Chapter 1 in Table 1-2 as evidence againstthis conclusion. Indeed, the number of outlets of the franchisors in our data is clearlyincreasing over time despite the constancy of the number of franchisors surveyed.In other words, the growth in the number of franchisors in the U.S. cannot followthe growth in business-format franchising in the U.S. well if we see growth in thenumber of outlets and not in the number of franchisors in this table. However, thedata in Table 1-2 are from a different source, and they include foreign as well asU.S. units. As the proportion of foreign units in these chains is increasing over time(from an average of 20% in 1993 to 28% in 2001), much of the growth in the size ofthe chains is unrelated to the growth in business-format franchising in the U.S. Fur-thermore, the increasing average size of the chains in our data sources also reflectsthe incentives of growing franchisors to participate regularly in the surveys, whereasfranchisors that are declining in size choose to participate less frequently in suchsurveys.

  • P1: KsF0521772524c02.xml CB802/Blair 0 521 77252 4 April 30, 2005 12:17

    Tabl

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