Post on 02-May-2018
Conference Abstract
2017 2nd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety (ICSRS 2017)
2017 2nd International Conference on Reliability Engineering (ICRE 2017)
December 20-22, 2017
Milan, Italy
Conference Venue: Politecnico di Milano (Leonardo Campus) Piazza Leonardo da Vinci, 32 20133 Milano - Italy
Supported by
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Preface
ICSRS 2017 is the second international conference on system reliability and safety. The
conference, held in Milan, Italy, in December 2017, provides a forum for scientific and
technical advances in the theory and practice of System Reliability and Safety. It is a highly
selective, single-track meeting based on technical submissions presenting significant, original,
and previously unpublished scientific research and technical developments for industrial
application. Many researchers and practitioners present and discuss their advancements in the
fields of System Reliability and Safety, on topics like Advanced Sensors, Health Monitoring,
Fault Detection, Fault Diagnostics, Fault Prognostics, Prognostics and Health Management,
Condition-Based Maintenance, Predictive Maintenance, Maintenance Decision Support,
Maintenance and Human and Organizational Factors, Big Data and IoT Applications in
Reliability and Maintenance, Design Optimization Using Reliability and Maintenance
Techniques, Business Models for Reliability and Maintenance Equipment, Human Reliability,
Life Data Analysis, Discrete Event Modeling & Simulation, Resilience Engineering, Risk
Assessment, Risk Management, with applications in industries like Aeronautics, Aerospace,
Automotive, Chemical and Process Industry, Information Technology and Telecommunications,
Manufacturing, Maritime Industry, Nuclear Industry, Oil & Gas Industry, Structural
Engineering, Electronics, Energy, Health Care.
The conference is The conference is supported by IEEE Reliability-Italian Section, Laboratory
of Signal and Risk Analysis (LASAR) – Politecnico di Milano, Italy Politecnico di Milano
(Italy), Chair on Systems Science and the Energetic challenge, European Foundation for New
Energy-EDF, Ecole Centrale ParisSupelec (France), European Safety and Reliability
Association (ESRA), Center for REsilience and Safety of Critical Infrastructures (CRESCI),
Beihang University (China) , ARAMIS Srl.
The proceedings of ICSRS 2017 consist of 92 selected papers. The papers are accepted after a
selective peer-review based on the coherence of the topic with the Conference themes and on
the content and quality of the work contained. This Conference Proceedings compile the
accepted papers into this conference proceedings, which represent an important collection of
information on the latest international achievements and developments in the fields of System
Safety and Reliability: these should serve as a good base for inspiration for further
advancements and developments.
On behalf of the organizing committee, I express my heartfelt gratitude to the participants for
their outstanding contributions, to committee members and reviewers for their great
professionalism and efforts and to the sponsors for their valuable contributions support to this
successful conference.
Prof. Enrico Zio Chair on Systems Science and the Energetic Challenge, Foundation Electricité de France (EDF)
Laboratoire Génie Industriel, CentraleSupélec, Université Paris-Saclay
Dipartimento di Energia - Politecnico di Milano
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Instructions for Oral Workshop
Note: The time arrangement is for reference only. Authors are invited to introduce
themselves to session chairs before your session starts.
Devices Provided by the Conference Organizer:
Laptops (with MS-Office & Adobe Reader)
Projectors & Screen
Laser Sticks
Materials Provided by the Presenters:
PowerPoint or PDF files
Poster Presentation: A1 Size, Portrait Direction
Please copy your slide file to the desktop before session starts
During your poster session, the author should stay by the poster to explain and discuss it
with interested audience.
Duration of Each Presentation:
Regular Oral Session: about 15 Minutes of Presentation including Q&A.
Keynote Speech: 40 Minutes of Presentation including Q&A.
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Day 1, Wednesday, December 20, 2017
Arrival and Registration
<Piazza Leonardo da Vinci 32 - Edificio 3 - Floor: Terra>
14:00pm - 17:00pm Arrival and Registration < Aula De Donato >
Day 2, Thursday, December 21, 2017
Speeches & Authors’ Presentations
08:40am-08:45am
< Aula De Donato > Opening Remarks
Prof. Enrico ZIO, Politecnico di Milano, Italy
08:45am - 09:25am
< Aula De Donato >
Keynote Speech 1
Prof. TANG Loon Ching,
National University of Singapore, Singapore
Speech Title: Systems Resilience: A
Unifying Framework and Associated
Statistical Analysis
09:25am – 10:05am
< Aula De Donato >
Keynote Speech 2
Prof. Enrico ZIO,
Politecnico di Milano, Italy
CentraleSupélec, Paris
Speech Title: Risk Science and
Engineering in Industry 4.0
10:05am-10:25am Group Photo & Coffee Break
10:25am-11:05am
< Aula De Donato >
Keynote Speech 3
Prof. Yi Ding,
Zhejiang University, China
Speech Title: Reliability of Electric
Power Systems with High
Penetration of Smart Demand
Aggregation
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11:05am-11:35am
< Aula De Donato >
Plenary Speech 1
Prof. Francesca Saglietti,
University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany
Speech Title: Testing for Fault
Detection and for Reliability
Assessment: from Classical Software
Engineering to Robot Cooperation
11:50am-14:00pm Lunch Time < Aula Catering Delta 2 >
Afternoon Sessions
14:00pm-14:20pm
< Aula De Donato >
Invited Speech 1
Assoc. Prof. Rong Pan,
Arizona State University, USA
Speech Title: Design and Analysis
of Accelerated Life Tests with
Constrained Randomization
Topic: Reliability Modeling and Analysis
< Aula De Donato > Reliability Modeling and Analysis---Session1-A
(14:00pm-17:25pm)
< Aula Castigliano> Reliability Modeling and Analysis---Session1-B
(14:00pm-17:25pm)
< Aula Beltrami >
Reliability Modeling and Analysis---Session1-C
(14:00pm-17:40pm)
15:50pm-16:10pm Poster Session & Coffee break
Starting at 18:00pm Dinner Time
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Day 3, Friday, December 22, 2017
08:30am-09:10am
< Aula De Donato >
Keynote Speech 1
Prof. Emanuele Borgonovo,
Bocconi Business School, Milano
Speech Title: Reliability Importance
Measures
09:10am-09:40am
< Aula De Donato >
Plenary Speech 1
Prof. Jin Wang,
Liverpool John Moores University, UK
Speech Title: Evidential Reasoning
Rule and its Application to Safety and
Reliability Assessment
09:40am-09:50am Coffee break
09:50am-10:10am
< Aula De Donato >
Invited Speech 1
Prof. Xiaoping Du,
Missouri University of Science and Technology,USA
Speech Title: System Reliability
Prediction with Outsourced Components
09:50am-10:10am
< Aula Castigliano>
Invited Speech 2
Prof. Michael Todinov,
Oxford Brookes University, UK
Speech Title: Stochastic Pruning
and Its Application for Fast Estimation
of the Production Availability of
Complex Repairable Networks
Topic: Maintenance Engineering
< Aula De Donato > Maintenance Engineering---Session2-A
(09:50am-12:10pm)
< Aula Castigliano> Maintenance Engineering---Session2-B
(09:50am-12:10pm)
< Aula Beltrami >
Maintenance Engineering---Session2-C
(09:50am-12:05pm)
12:10am-13:30pm Lunch Time < Aula Catering Delta 2 >
Afternoon Sessions
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Topic: Risk Assessment and Safety Management
< Aula De Donato > Risk Assessment and Safety Management ---Session 3-A
(13:30pm-15:45pm )
< Aula Castigliano > Risk Assessment and Safety Management ---Session 3-B
(13:30pm-16:00pm )
< Aula Beltrami > Risk Assessment and Safety Management ---Session 3-C
(13:30pm-16:00pm )
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Presentation Quick Review Oral Presentation
Reliability Modeling and Analysis---SESSION 1-A December 21, 2017/14:00pm-17:25pm
< Aula De Donato > PP. 18-22
R28 A Unified Expression of Gompertz and Logistic Curves and Its Discretization
R103 Dynamic reliability by means of measurements data modeling approach and mathematical
modeling approach
R104 Numerical simulation of system dynamical reliability
R96 Preliminary Research of Reactor Protection System Reliability based on Monte Carlo
Methods
R0118-A Tracing the Notion of Reliability in IT Service Management
R0107 Markovian Queue with Multi Stage Service, Finite Capacity and Breakdowns
R0131 Modelling Unexpected Failures with a Hierarchical Bayesian Model
R0109 Analysis of Software Reliability Growth Model under Two Types of Fault and Warranty Cost
R11 myFRAM: an open tool support for the Functional Resonance Analysis Method
R13 Identifying Key Classes of Object-Oriented Software Based on Software Complex Network
R77 A Colored Generalized Stochastic Petri Net Simulation Model for Reliability Evaluation of
Active-active Cloud Data Center Based on IT Infrastructure
Reliability Modeling and Analysis---SESSION 1-B December 21, 2017/14:00pm-17:25pm
< Aula Castigliano > PP.23-27
R0105 Novel Automated Software System for Arcing Simulation in Spacecraft On-Board
Electronics
R39 Failure Mechanism Behavior and Reliability of Non-repairable System with Functional
Dependence
R31-A Towards a Unified Framework for High Reliability Organisations
R33 Reliability Improvements for Automation Systems
R50 Reliability Techniques for MPP SQL Database Product Engineering
R63 Stochastic Programming via Scenario Planning for System Reliability Optimization
R72 Reliability Allocation for Polymer Processing Rheometer Based on Modified Grading
Method
R0124 Fault Tree Analysis of the communication of a fleet formation flight of UAVs
R0116 PM Material Analysis of Permanent Magnet Synchronous Generator in Wind Turbines
R19 Reliability analysis of nonrepairable cold-standby system based on the Wiener process
RE06 Towards Generating ECSS-compliant Fault Tree Analysis Results via ConcertoFLA
R23 Stochastic Analysis and Reliability-Cost Optimization of Distributed Generators and Air
Source Heat Pumps
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Reliability Modeling and Analysis---SESSION 1-C December 21, 2017/14:00pm-17:40pm
< Aula Beltrami > PP. 28-32
R91-A The naked truth about stereo vision based driver assistance systems
R21 Accelerated Acceptance Sampling Plan with Asymmetrical Information
R26 Investigation of Reliability and Fault Tolerance of Multiphase Traction Electric Motor
Supplied with Multi Power Source based on Lz-transform
R90 Analysis of the time between failures of aircrafts
RE201 On circular m-consecutive-k,l-out-of-n:Fsystems
R54 A tri-level programming model based on tsPSO for cabin layout selection in civil airlines
R55 Handling Epistemic Uncertainty in Fault Trees: New proposal Based on Evidence Theory and
Kleene Ternary Decision Diagrams
R0112 Availability Checking of Dynamic Spatial Information for Automobiles
R0101 Epistemic Uncertainty Propagation in a Weibull Environment for a Two-Core System-on-Chip
R29 A New Routing Selection Method Considering Network Capacity and Path cost
R68 Optimization of code lines and time of access to information through object-relational mapping
(ORM) using alternative tools of connection to Database Management Systems (DBMS)
R101 Current Doubler Rectifier for Arc Welding Machines with A Phase-Shift ZVS Three-Level
DC-DC Converter
R87 Reliability modelling and assessment by joint consideration of Petri nets and Gamma
deterioration processes
Maintenance Engineering ---SESSION 2-A December 22, 2017/09:50am-12:10pm
< Aula De Donato > PP. 35-38
RE12 Practical method for estimating lifetime information of newly developed product
RE16 Maintenance of buildings: Italian examples of deviations between planned and incurred costs
R70 Improvement of traffic percolation based on bottlenecks
RE07 Qualitative study on maintenance management in Moroccan industries
RE09 Opportunities of Impact of Project Management Practices on Implementing Management
systems: Qualitative Study of Moroccan Companies
RE19 A bi-objective model for optimizing replacement time of age and block policies with
consideration of spare parts‘ availability
R14 Combined Fuzzy TOPSIS and AHP-based methodology for the prioritization of maintenance
key performance indicators: application to an oil refinery plant
R32 Reliability-centered Asset Management of Wind Turbines – A holistic Approach for a
Sustainable and Cost-optimal -Maintenance Strategy
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Maintenance Engineering ---SESSION 2-B December 22, 2017/09:50am-12:10pm
< Aula Castigliano > PP. 39-42
R56 Prognostics of Onboard Electrohydraulic Servomechanisms: Proposal of a Novel
Model-Based Fault Detection Neural Technique
R20 Digitalisation of Maintenance
R86 A fleet-level selective maintenance model for long-distance highway transportation
considering stochastic repair quality
R0126 Maximum likelihood ensemble filter state estimation for power systems fault diagnosis
R60 Neuro-Fuzzy System Identification for Remaining Useful Life of Electrolytic Capacitors
R99 A Study on the Estimation of Bearing Life of Electric Motor Using ISO 281 and Accelerated
Life Test
R48 A Computational Intelligence Method to Estimate Capacitance Loss of Electrolytic
Capacitors based on Equivalent Series Resistance
R89 Model ensemble-based prognostic framework for fatigue crack growth prediction
Maintenance Engineering ---SESSION 2-C December 22, 2017/09:50am-12:05pm
< Aula Beltrami > PP. 43-46
R0103 Applying cognitive computing to maintainer-collected data
R71-A Accelerated life testing of complex network
R36 Physics-Based Predictive Assessment and Domination of Uncertainties
RE10 Steel Bar Corrosion Monitoring Based on Encapsulated Piezoelectric Sensors
R73 Vibrational Simulation Analysis for an Audio System of Automobiles
RE13 Effect of Tooth Profile Modification on Wear in Internal Gears
R74 Thermal Simulation Analysis for an Audio System of Automobiles
R09 Uncertainty-Based Test Planning Using Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence
R108 A Dynamic Weighting Ensemble Approach for Wind Energy Production Prediction
Risk Assessment and Safety Management ---SESSION 3-A December 22, 2017/13:30pm-15:45pm
< Aula De Donato > PP. 47-50
R76 The First Function Of Engineering Management: Planning
R0120 Audit of ageing management in plants at major accident hazard
R0113 Vulnerability Analysis of Storage Elements inHLS-Generated Designs using High-Level
Profiling
R0117 Optimizing the Resilience of Interdependent Infrastructure Systems against Intentional
Attacks
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R88 Evaluation of FPGA Design Tools for Safety Systems with on-Chip Redundancy Referring
to the Standard IEC 61508
R92 Toward a reliable main engine lubricating oil system for a safe operation of autonomous ship
R43 An Ontological Approach to Identify the Causes of Hazards for Safety-Critical Systems
R0102 A Framework for Multi-Hazards Risk Aggregation Considering Risk Model Maturity Levels
R0104-A A Bayesian approach for dynamic portfolio optimization of safety barriers
Risk Assessment and Safety Management ---SESSION 3-B December 22, 2017/13:30pm-16:00pm
< Aula Castigliano > PP. 51-54
R10 System Reliability-redundancy Allocation by Evolutionary Computation
R65 Barrier Status Panel - Tool For Barrier Management
RE01 Probabilistic Framework for Product Design Optimization and Risk Management
RE15 QUANTIFICATION OF SAFETY OF CYCLING TRANSPORT
R80 Quantification and compensation of systematic errors in pressure measurements applied to oil
pipelines
R0130 A Hybrid Monte Carlo and Possibilistic Approach to Estimate Non-Suppression Probability
in Fire Probabilistic Safety Analysis
R22 Mechanical integrity for atmospheric tanks
R0127 Task human reliability analysis for a safe operation of autonomous ship
R93 Modeling and Analysis of Cluster of Failures in Redundant Systems
R0125 Locating distribution power system fault employing Bayes Theorem with Subjective Logic
Risk Assessment and Safety Management ---SESSION 3-C December 22, 2017/13:30pm-16:00pm
< Aula Beltrami > PP. 55-58
R30 PASSIVE SYSTEM RELIABILITY ESTIMATIOIN WITH THE ACCIDENT
DEVELOPMENT
R49 An ethological experiment to improve airport security gate process reliability: Understanding
time perception and personal awareness of older adult passengers
R0128 A Benchmark of Dynamic Reliability Methods for Probabilistic Safety Assessment
R38 Resilience Analytics of Networks with Dependency Groups
R12 DISCOVER PARTIALLY COPIED WEB VIDEOS
R52 Adaptive Artificial Neural Networks for Seismic Fragility Analysis
R07 Power Management on Aircraft: Flight-Phase-Dependent Network Design For Electrical
Networks with Limited Resources
R42 Four-Layer Wrist Worn Device for Sound level and Hazardous Gases Environmental
Monitoring
R45 The energy management and optimization strategy for fuel cell hybrid ships
R37 Analysis of the effect of mass events on car traffic in the city in the daily interval
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Conference Venue
Politecnico di Milano (Leonardo Campus)
Piazza Leonardo da Vinci, 32 20133 Milano – Italy
How to reach the classroom OSVALDO DE DONATO
Milano - Milano Città Studi - Piazza Leonardo da Vinci 32 - Edificio 3 - Floor: Terra
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How to reach the classroom CASTIGLIANO
Milano - Milano Città Studi - Piazza Leonardo da Vinci 32 - Edificio 5 - Floor: Terra
How to reach the classroom BELTRAMI
Milano - Milano Città Studi - Piazza Leonardo da Vinci 32 - Edificio 5 - Floor: Terra