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    KurzweilAI|AcceleratingIntelligence.ebook:TheAgeofIntelligentMachines

    THEAGEOFINTELLIGENTMACHINES|A(KindOf)TuringTest

    September24,2001

    author|RayKurzweil

    Noideasbutinthings.

    WilliamCarlosWilliams

    Asdiscussedinseveralofthecontributedarticlesinthisbook,theTuringtestwasdevisedbyAlanTuringasawayofcertifyingmachineintelligence.Turingdescribedasituationinwhichahumanjudgecommunicateswithbothacomputerandahumanusingacomputerterminal.Thejudgestaskistodeterminewhichiswhich.Thejudgecannotseethecomputerorthehumanandmustmakehisorherdeterminationbyinterviewingboth.Thecomputerattemptstotrickthejudgeintoselectingitasthehuman.

    TheessenceoftheTuringTestisthatthecomputerattemptstoactlikeahumanwithinthecontextofaninterviewoverterminallines.AnarrowerconceptofaTuringtestisforacomputertosuccessfullyimitateahumanwithinaparticulardomainofhumanintelligence.WemightcallthesedomainspecificTuringtests.OnesuchdomainspecificTuringtest,basedonacomputersabilitytowritepoetry,ispresentedhere.

    TheKurzweilCyberneticPoetisacomputerprogram(writtenbytheauthor)andprovidedwithaninputfileofpoemswrittenbyahumanauthororauthors.Theprogramanalyzesthesepoemsandcreatesawordsequencemodelbasedonthepoemsithasjustread.Itthenwritesoriginalstanzasofpoetryusingthemodelithascreated.SomeofthefollowingstanzasofpoetrywerewrittenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoet.Somewerewrittenbyhumanauthors(infactthesamehumanauthorsthatwerereadandanalyzedbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoet).Seeifyoucantellwhicharewhich.Onapieceofpaper,writedownthenumbers1through28.ThenputaCbythatnumberifyoubelievethatthecorrespondingstanzawaswrittenbythecomputer.PutanHifyoubelievethestanzawaswrittenbyahumanpoet.Theanswersareinafootnote.1Followingtheanswersaretheresultsobtainedwhenthetestwastakenby16human(bothadultandchild)judges.

    1.isbeautyitself

    thattheywerewalkingthere.Allalongthenewworldnaked,

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    cold,familiarwind

    2.Pinkconfusedwithwhite

    flowersandflowersreversed

    takeandspilltheshadedflame

    dartingitback

    intothelampshorn

    3.Thewindsoftheoozywoodswhichwear

    theocean,withazuremossandflowers

    Sosweet,thepurpleeven

    Isleepinthearrows

    Ofthedomeofdeath.

    4.0thou,

    WhomovedamongsomefierceMaenad,evenamongnoise

    andblue

    Betweenthebonessang,scatteredandthesilentseas.

    5.Sheeyesmewithaningrowneye,

    intherhythmofteacuptapping

    thinksofsweepingawaycrumbs

    6.AtsixIcannotpray:

    Prayforlovers,

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    throughnarrowstreets

    Andpraytofly

    ButtheVirginintheirdarkwintrybed

    7.Whatseaswhatshoreswhatgraniteislandstowardmytimbers

    Andwoodthrushcallingthroughthefog

    Mydaughter.

    8.Imaginenowatreeinwhitesailsstillwhirled

    Abouttheleaves

    willbeofsilences

    Calmandangels

    9.andthesun,dippingintotheavenues

    streakingthetopsof

    theirregularredhouselets,

    and

    thegayshadowsdroppinganddropping.

    10.Themorningandalready

    aperfectifslightlypaled

    oldparkturnedwithyoungwomen

    seizedinamber.

    11.Interestingbook?

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    shesits

    dancingbytheelectrictypewriter,

    bloodlessrevolutionofmeats

    stringsofuse,

    Politic,cautious,andthefact

    sheisthefact

    sheiscallingthemall

    Thechildrenathisfeet

    heisalwaystime

    Torollitwasdark,

    damp,jagged,likethevoice

    Becauseofloveends.

    12.Menwithpickedvoiceschantthenames

    ofcitiesinahugegallery:promises

    thatpullthroughdescendingstairways

    toadeeprumbling.

    13.Wherewerethou,sadHour,selectedfromwhoseraceis

    guidingme,

    LuredbytheloveofAutumnsbeing,

    Thou,fromheavenisgone,wherewaslornUrania

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    Whenrockedtoflywiththeeinherclarionoerthearmsofdeath.

    14.LadyofAutumnsbeing,

    Thou,fromtheday,havingtocare

    Teachusnowthoroughlysmallandcreate,

    Andthenpresume?

    Andthis,andme,

    Andplaceoftheunspokenword,theunreadvisioninBaiaesbay,

    AndtheposterityofMichelangelo.

    15.Iamlonely,lonely.

    Islapananswermyself

    shehidesdeepwithinher

    yetplays

    Milkless

    16.0myshoulders,flanks,buttocks

    againsttrespassers,

    againstthieves,

    storms,sun,fire,

    againstthieves,

    storms,sun,fire,

    againstflies,againstweeds,stormtides,

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    neighbors,weaselsthatwaken

    Thesilentseas.

    17.thedays,lockedineachothersarms,

    seemstill

    sothatsquirrelsandcoloredbirds

    goaboutateaseover

    thebranchesandthroughtheair.

    18.Iamwatchingantsdigtunnelsandburythemselves

    theygowithoutwaterorlove

    19.Ladyissick,

    perhapsvomiting,

    perhapslaboring

    totheusualreign

    20.Rainissweet,brownhair

    Distraction,musicinpassageways.

    Sixoclock.

    Thetime.Redeem

    Theworldandwaking,wearing

    21.Wipeyourhandacrossyourmouth,andlaugh

    Theworldsrevolvelikeancientwomen

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    Gatheringfuelinvacantlots.

    22.Ishouldhavebeenapairofraggedclaws

    Scuttlingacrossthefloorsofsilentseas.

    23.patchesofall

    savebeauty

    therigidwheeltracks.

    Theroundsun

    thebed.

    Shesmiles,Yes

    youpleasefirst

    thenstays

    withherselfalone

    andthendividingandover

    andsplashedandafteryouare

    listeninginhereyes

    24.Allalongtheroadthereddish

    purplish,forked,upstanding,twiggy

    stuffofbushesandsmalltrees

    withdead,brownleavesunderthem

    leaflessvines

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    25.Prayforthosewhoarebranchesonforever

    26.Likeasodofwar

    housesofsmall

    whitecurtains

    Smellofshimmering

    ashwhite,

    anaxe

    27.Byactionorbysuffering,andwhosehour

    Wasdrainedtoitslastsandinwealorwoe,

    Sothatthetrunksurvivedbothfruitorflower

    28.isasteadyburning

    theroadthebattlesfury

    cloudsandashandwaning

    sendingout

    youngpeople,

    Theabove28questionpoeticTuringtestwasadministeredto16humanjudgeswithvaryingdegreesofcomputerandpoetryexperienceandknowledge.The13adultjudgesscoredanaverageof59percentcorrectinidentifyingthecomputerpoemstanzas,68percentcorrectinidentifyingthehumanpoemstanzas,and63percentcorrectoverall.Thethreechildjudgesscoredanaverageof52percentcorrectinidentifyingthecomputerpoemstanzas,42percentcorrectinidentifyingthehumanpoemstanzas,and48percentcorrectoverall.

    Thechartsshowtheactualscoresobtainedbythe16humanjudgesasbrokendownbyadult/child,computerexperience,andpoetryexperience.Ascanbeseenfromthecharts,therewerenotrendsbasedonlevelofcomputerexperienceorpoetryexperienceclearlydiscerniblefromthislimitedsample.Theadultsdidscoresomewhatbetterthanthechildren.Thechildrenscoredessentiallyatchancelevel(approximately50percent)andtheadultsachievingslightlybetterthanchance.

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    Thenextchartshowsthenumberofcorrectandincorrectanswersforeachofthe28poemsorstanzas.Whiletheadultjudgesscoredsomewhatbetterthanchance(63percent),theiranswerswerefarfromperfect.Thecomputerpoetwasabletotrickthehumanjudgesmuchofthetime.Someofthecomputerpoems(numbers15and28,forexample)wereparticularlysuccessfulintrickingthejudges.

    WecanconcludethatthisdomainspecificTuringtesthasachievedsomelevelofsuccessintrickinghumanjudgesinitspoetrywritingability.Amoredifficultproblemthanwritingstanzasofpoetryiswritingcompletepoemsthatmakethematic,syntactic,andpoeticsenseacrossmultiplestanzas.AfutureversionoftheKurzweilCyberneticPoetiscontemplatedthatattemptsthismoredifficulttask.Tobesuccessful,themodelscreatedbytheCyberneticPoetwillrequirearicherunderstandingofthesyntacticandpoeticfunctionofeachword.

    EventheoriginallyproposedTuringtestinvolvingterminalinterviewsisnotablyimpreciseindeterminingwhenthecomputerhasbeensuccessfulinimitatingahuman.Howmanyjudgesneedtobefooled?Atwhatscoredoweconsiderthehumanjudgestohavebeenfooled?Howsophisticateddothejudgesneedtobe?Howsophisticated(orunsophisticated)doesthehumanfoilneedtobe?Howmuchtimedothejudgeshavetomaketheirdetermination?ThesearebutafewofthemanyquestionssurroundingtheTuringtest.(ThearticleACoffeehouseConversationontheTuringTestbyDouglasHofstadterinchapter2providesanentertainingdiscussionofsomeoftheseissues).ItisclearthattheeraofcomputerspassingtheTuringtestwillnothappensuddenly.OncecomputersstarttoarguablypasstheTuringtest,thevalidityofthetestsandthetestingprocedureswillundoubtedlybedebated.ThesamecanbesaidforthenarrowerdomainspecificTuringtests.

    Adultscoresonpoemstanzascomposedbyacomputer(13adults,%correct) LevelofComputerexperienceLevelofpoetryexperience

    Little Moderate Professional AverageLittle 56 44,69,75 63,75 64Moderate 50,56,63 56,63 75 61Alot 25 25Average 56 61 59 59Childrensscoresonpoemstanzascomposedbyacomputer(3children,%correct)Scores 38,50,69Average 52Adultscoresonpoemstanzascomposedbyahuman(13adults,%correct) Levelofcomputerexperience

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    Little Moderate Professional AverageLittle 83 58,58,100 50,67 69Moderate 60,67,83 58,83 92 74Alot 25 25Average 73 72 59 68Childrensscoresonpoemstanzascomposedbyahuman(3children,%correct)Scores 33,42,50Average 42Adultscoresonallpoemstanzas(13adults,%correct) LevelofcomputerexperienceLevelofpoetryexperience Little Moderate Professional AverageLittle 68 50,64,86 57,71 66Moderate 55,61,71 61,68 82 66Alot 25 25Average 64 66 59 63Childrensscoresonallpoemstanzas(3children,%correct)Scores 39,43,61Average 48Numbersofrightandwronganswersforeachpoemstanza ComputerorhumanpoemstanzaPoemstanza No.right No.wrong1 9 7 computer3 11 5 computer4 8 8 computer6 9 7 computer8 11 5 computer11 11 5 computer13 8 8 computer

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    14 10 6 computer15 6 10 computer16 10 6 computer19 9 7 computer20 12 4 computer23 9 7 computer25 8 8 computer26 11 5 computer28 6 10 computerAverage 58% 42%2 9 7 human5 9 7 human7 9 7 human9 13 3 human10 8 8 human12 10 6 human17 9 7 human18 14 2 human21 11 5 human22 11 5 human24 11 5 human27 8 8 humanAverage 64% 36%Overallaverage 61% 39%

    WehavenotyetreachedthepointatwhichcomputerscanevenarguablypasstheoriginallyproposedterminalinterviewtypeofTuringtest.Thistestrequiresacomputertomastertoomanyhighlevelcognitiveskillsinasinglesystemforthecomputeroftodaytosucceed.AsDanDennettpointsoutinhisarticle,theunadulteratedTuringtestisfarmoredifficultforacomputertopassthananymorerestrictedversion.Wehave,however,reachedthepointwherecomputerscansuccessfullyimitatehumanperformancewithinnarrowlyfocusedareasofhumanexpertise.Expertsystems,forexample,areabletoreplicatethedecisionmakingabilityofhumanprofessionalswithinanexpandingsetofhumandisciplines.Inatleastonecontrolledtrial,humanchessexpertswereunabletodistinguishthechessplayingstyleofmoresophisticatedcomputerchessplayersfromthatofhumans.Indeed,computerchessprogramsarenowabletodefeatalmost

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    allhumanplayers,withtheexceptionofasmallanddiminishingnumberofseniorchessmasters.MusiccomposedbycomputerisbecomingincreasinglysuccessfulinpassingtheTuringtestofbelievability.TheeraofcomputersuccessinawiderangeofdomainspecificTuringtestsisarriving.

    Note1.Fourhumanpoetswereused:threefamouspoets(PercyByssheShelley,T.S.Eliot,andWilliamCarlosWilliams)andoneobscurepoet(RaymondKurzweil).Inthecaseofthefamoushumanpoets,stanzaswereselectedfromtheirmostfamouspublishedwork.Inallcases,thestanzasselecteddidnotrequireadjacentstanzastomakethematicorsyntacticsense.ThecomputerstanzaswerewrittenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterithadreadpoemswrittenbythesesamehumanauthors.Theanswersareasfollows:

    Poemstanza1writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza2writtenbyWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza3writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyPercyByssheShelley

    Poemstanza4writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.EliotandPercyByssheShelly

    Poemstanza5writtenbyRaymondKurzweil

    Poemstanza6writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.Eliot,RaymondKurzweil,PercyByssheShelley,andWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza7writtenbyT.S.Eliot

    Poemstanza8writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandT.S.Eliot

    Poemstanza9writtenbyWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza10writtenbyRaymondKurzweil

    Poemstanza11writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandT.S.Eliot

    Poemstanza12writtenbyWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza13writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyPercyByssheShelley

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    Poemstanza14writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.EliotandPercyByssheShelley

    Poemstanza15writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza16writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.Eliot,RaymondKurzweil,PercyByssheShelley,andWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza17writtenbyWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza18writtenbyRaymondKurzweil

    Poemstanza19writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.Eliot,RaymondKurzweil,PercyByssheShelley,andWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza20writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandT.S.Eliot

    Poemstanza21writtenbyT.S.Eliot

    Poemstanza22writtenbyT.S.Eliot

    Poemstanza23writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza24writtenbyWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza25writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.Eliot,RaymondKurzweil,PercyByssheShelley,andWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza26writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandWilliamCarlosWilliams

    Poemstanza27writtenbyPercyByssheShelley