The Age of Intelligent Machines _ a (Kind of) Turing Test _ Kurzweilai-20
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KurzweilAI|AcceleratingIntelligence.ebook:TheAgeofIntelligentMachines
THEAGEOFINTELLIGENTMACHINES|A(KindOf)TuringTest
September24,2001
author|RayKurzweil
Noideasbutinthings.
WilliamCarlosWilliams
Asdiscussedinseveralofthecontributedarticlesinthisbook,theTuringtestwasdevisedbyAlanTuringasawayofcertifyingmachineintelligence.Turingdescribedasituationinwhichahumanjudgecommunicateswithbothacomputerandahumanusingacomputerterminal.Thejudgestaskistodeterminewhichiswhich.Thejudgecannotseethecomputerorthehumanandmustmakehisorherdeterminationbyinterviewingboth.Thecomputerattemptstotrickthejudgeintoselectingitasthehuman.
TheessenceoftheTuringTestisthatthecomputerattemptstoactlikeahumanwithinthecontextofaninterviewoverterminallines.AnarrowerconceptofaTuringtestisforacomputertosuccessfullyimitateahumanwithinaparticulardomainofhumanintelligence.WemightcallthesedomainspecificTuringtests.OnesuchdomainspecificTuringtest,basedonacomputersabilitytowritepoetry,ispresentedhere.
TheKurzweilCyberneticPoetisacomputerprogram(writtenbytheauthor)andprovidedwithaninputfileofpoemswrittenbyahumanauthororauthors.Theprogramanalyzesthesepoemsandcreatesawordsequencemodelbasedonthepoemsithasjustread.Itthenwritesoriginalstanzasofpoetryusingthemodelithascreated.SomeofthefollowingstanzasofpoetrywerewrittenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoet.Somewerewrittenbyhumanauthors(infactthesamehumanauthorsthatwerereadandanalyzedbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoet).Seeifyoucantellwhicharewhich.Onapieceofpaper,writedownthenumbers1through28.ThenputaCbythatnumberifyoubelievethatthecorrespondingstanzawaswrittenbythecomputer.PutanHifyoubelievethestanzawaswrittenbyahumanpoet.Theanswersareinafootnote.1Followingtheanswersaretheresultsobtainedwhenthetestwastakenby16human(bothadultandchild)judges.
1.isbeautyitself
thattheywerewalkingthere.Allalongthenewworldnaked,
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cold,familiarwind
2.Pinkconfusedwithwhite
flowersandflowersreversed
takeandspilltheshadedflame
dartingitback
intothelampshorn
3.Thewindsoftheoozywoodswhichwear
theocean,withazuremossandflowers
Sosweet,thepurpleeven
Isleepinthearrows
Ofthedomeofdeath.
4.0thou,
WhomovedamongsomefierceMaenad,evenamongnoise
andblue
Betweenthebonessang,scatteredandthesilentseas.
5.Sheeyesmewithaningrowneye,
intherhythmofteacuptapping
thinksofsweepingawaycrumbs
6.AtsixIcannotpray:
Prayforlovers,
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throughnarrowstreets
Andpraytofly
ButtheVirginintheirdarkwintrybed
7.Whatseaswhatshoreswhatgraniteislandstowardmytimbers
Andwoodthrushcallingthroughthefog
Mydaughter.
8.Imaginenowatreeinwhitesailsstillwhirled
Abouttheleaves
willbeofsilences
Calmandangels
9.andthesun,dippingintotheavenues
streakingthetopsof
theirregularredhouselets,
and
thegayshadowsdroppinganddropping.
10.Themorningandalready
aperfectifslightlypaled
oldparkturnedwithyoungwomen
seizedinamber.
11.Interestingbook?
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shesits
dancingbytheelectrictypewriter,
bloodlessrevolutionofmeats
stringsofuse,
Politic,cautious,andthefact
sheisthefact
sheiscallingthemall
Thechildrenathisfeet
heisalwaystime
Torollitwasdark,
damp,jagged,likethevoice
Becauseofloveends.
12.Menwithpickedvoiceschantthenames
ofcitiesinahugegallery:promises
thatpullthroughdescendingstairways
toadeeprumbling.
13.Wherewerethou,sadHour,selectedfromwhoseraceis
guidingme,
LuredbytheloveofAutumnsbeing,
Thou,fromheavenisgone,wherewaslornUrania
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Whenrockedtoflywiththeeinherclarionoerthearmsofdeath.
14.LadyofAutumnsbeing,
Thou,fromtheday,havingtocare
Teachusnowthoroughlysmallandcreate,
Andthenpresume?
Andthis,andme,
Andplaceoftheunspokenword,theunreadvisioninBaiaesbay,
AndtheposterityofMichelangelo.
15.Iamlonely,lonely.
Islapananswermyself
shehidesdeepwithinher
yetplays
Milkless
16.0myshoulders,flanks,buttocks
againsttrespassers,
againstthieves,
storms,sun,fire,
againstthieves,
storms,sun,fire,
againstflies,againstweeds,stormtides,
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neighbors,weaselsthatwaken
Thesilentseas.
17.thedays,lockedineachothersarms,
seemstill
sothatsquirrelsandcoloredbirds
goaboutateaseover
thebranchesandthroughtheair.
18.Iamwatchingantsdigtunnelsandburythemselves
theygowithoutwaterorlove
19.Ladyissick,
perhapsvomiting,
perhapslaboring
totheusualreign
20.Rainissweet,brownhair
Distraction,musicinpassageways.
Sixoclock.
Thetime.Redeem
Theworldandwaking,wearing
21.Wipeyourhandacrossyourmouth,andlaugh
Theworldsrevolvelikeancientwomen
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Gatheringfuelinvacantlots.
22.Ishouldhavebeenapairofraggedclaws
Scuttlingacrossthefloorsofsilentseas.
23.patchesofall
savebeauty
therigidwheeltracks.
Theroundsun
thebed.
Shesmiles,Yes
youpleasefirst
thenstays
withherselfalone
andthendividingandover
andsplashedandafteryouare
listeninginhereyes
24.Allalongtheroadthereddish
purplish,forked,upstanding,twiggy
stuffofbushesandsmalltrees
withdead,brownleavesunderthem
leaflessvines
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25.Prayforthosewhoarebranchesonforever
26.Likeasodofwar
housesofsmall
whitecurtains
Smellofshimmering
ashwhite,
anaxe
27.Byactionorbysuffering,andwhosehour
Wasdrainedtoitslastsandinwealorwoe,
Sothatthetrunksurvivedbothfruitorflower
28.isasteadyburning
theroadthebattlesfury
cloudsandashandwaning
sendingout
youngpeople,
Theabove28questionpoeticTuringtestwasadministeredto16humanjudgeswithvaryingdegreesofcomputerandpoetryexperienceandknowledge.The13adultjudgesscoredanaverageof59percentcorrectinidentifyingthecomputerpoemstanzas,68percentcorrectinidentifyingthehumanpoemstanzas,and63percentcorrectoverall.Thethreechildjudgesscoredanaverageof52percentcorrectinidentifyingthecomputerpoemstanzas,42percentcorrectinidentifyingthehumanpoemstanzas,and48percentcorrectoverall.
Thechartsshowtheactualscoresobtainedbythe16humanjudgesasbrokendownbyadult/child,computerexperience,andpoetryexperience.Ascanbeseenfromthecharts,therewerenotrendsbasedonlevelofcomputerexperienceorpoetryexperienceclearlydiscerniblefromthislimitedsample.Theadultsdidscoresomewhatbetterthanthechildren.Thechildrenscoredessentiallyatchancelevel(approximately50percent)andtheadultsachievingslightlybetterthanchance.
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Thenextchartshowsthenumberofcorrectandincorrectanswersforeachofthe28poemsorstanzas.Whiletheadultjudgesscoredsomewhatbetterthanchance(63percent),theiranswerswerefarfromperfect.Thecomputerpoetwasabletotrickthehumanjudgesmuchofthetime.Someofthecomputerpoems(numbers15and28,forexample)wereparticularlysuccessfulintrickingthejudges.
WecanconcludethatthisdomainspecificTuringtesthasachievedsomelevelofsuccessintrickinghumanjudgesinitspoetrywritingability.Amoredifficultproblemthanwritingstanzasofpoetryiswritingcompletepoemsthatmakethematic,syntactic,andpoeticsenseacrossmultiplestanzas.AfutureversionoftheKurzweilCyberneticPoetiscontemplatedthatattemptsthismoredifficulttask.Tobesuccessful,themodelscreatedbytheCyberneticPoetwillrequirearicherunderstandingofthesyntacticandpoeticfunctionofeachword.
EventheoriginallyproposedTuringtestinvolvingterminalinterviewsisnotablyimpreciseindeterminingwhenthecomputerhasbeensuccessfulinimitatingahuman.Howmanyjudgesneedtobefooled?Atwhatscoredoweconsiderthehumanjudgestohavebeenfooled?Howsophisticateddothejudgesneedtobe?Howsophisticated(orunsophisticated)doesthehumanfoilneedtobe?Howmuchtimedothejudgeshavetomaketheirdetermination?ThesearebutafewofthemanyquestionssurroundingtheTuringtest.(ThearticleACoffeehouseConversationontheTuringTestbyDouglasHofstadterinchapter2providesanentertainingdiscussionofsomeoftheseissues).ItisclearthattheeraofcomputerspassingtheTuringtestwillnothappensuddenly.OncecomputersstarttoarguablypasstheTuringtest,thevalidityofthetestsandthetestingprocedureswillundoubtedlybedebated.ThesamecanbesaidforthenarrowerdomainspecificTuringtests.
Adultscoresonpoemstanzascomposedbyacomputer(13adults,%correct) LevelofComputerexperienceLevelofpoetryexperience
Little Moderate Professional AverageLittle 56 44,69,75 63,75 64Moderate 50,56,63 56,63 75 61Alot 25 25Average 56 61 59 59Childrensscoresonpoemstanzascomposedbyacomputer(3children,%correct)Scores 38,50,69Average 52Adultscoresonpoemstanzascomposedbyahuman(13adults,%correct) Levelofcomputerexperience
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Little Moderate Professional AverageLittle 83 58,58,100 50,67 69Moderate 60,67,83 58,83 92 74Alot 25 25Average 73 72 59 68Childrensscoresonpoemstanzascomposedbyahuman(3children,%correct)Scores 33,42,50Average 42Adultscoresonallpoemstanzas(13adults,%correct) LevelofcomputerexperienceLevelofpoetryexperience Little Moderate Professional AverageLittle 68 50,64,86 57,71 66Moderate 55,61,71 61,68 82 66Alot 25 25Average 64 66 59 63Childrensscoresonallpoemstanzas(3children,%correct)Scores 39,43,61Average 48Numbersofrightandwronganswersforeachpoemstanza ComputerorhumanpoemstanzaPoemstanza No.right No.wrong1 9 7 computer3 11 5 computer4 8 8 computer6 9 7 computer8 11 5 computer11 11 5 computer13 8 8 computer
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14 10 6 computer15 6 10 computer16 10 6 computer19 9 7 computer20 12 4 computer23 9 7 computer25 8 8 computer26 11 5 computer28 6 10 computerAverage 58% 42%2 9 7 human5 9 7 human7 9 7 human9 13 3 human10 8 8 human12 10 6 human17 9 7 human18 14 2 human21 11 5 human22 11 5 human24 11 5 human27 8 8 humanAverage 64% 36%Overallaverage 61% 39%
WehavenotyetreachedthepointatwhichcomputerscanevenarguablypasstheoriginallyproposedterminalinterviewtypeofTuringtest.Thistestrequiresacomputertomastertoomanyhighlevelcognitiveskillsinasinglesystemforthecomputeroftodaytosucceed.AsDanDennettpointsoutinhisarticle,theunadulteratedTuringtestisfarmoredifficultforacomputertopassthananymorerestrictedversion.Wehave,however,reachedthepointwherecomputerscansuccessfullyimitatehumanperformancewithinnarrowlyfocusedareasofhumanexpertise.Expertsystems,forexample,areabletoreplicatethedecisionmakingabilityofhumanprofessionalswithinanexpandingsetofhumandisciplines.Inatleastonecontrolledtrial,humanchessexpertswereunabletodistinguishthechessplayingstyleofmoresophisticatedcomputerchessplayersfromthatofhumans.Indeed,computerchessprogramsarenowabletodefeatalmost
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allhumanplayers,withtheexceptionofasmallanddiminishingnumberofseniorchessmasters.MusiccomposedbycomputerisbecomingincreasinglysuccessfulinpassingtheTuringtestofbelievability.TheeraofcomputersuccessinawiderangeofdomainspecificTuringtestsisarriving.
Note1.Fourhumanpoetswereused:threefamouspoets(PercyByssheShelley,T.S.Eliot,andWilliamCarlosWilliams)andoneobscurepoet(RaymondKurzweil).Inthecaseofthefamoushumanpoets,stanzaswereselectedfromtheirmostfamouspublishedwork.Inallcases,thestanzasselecteddidnotrequireadjacentstanzastomakethematicorsyntacticsense.ThecomputerstanzaswerewrittenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterithadreadpoemswrittenbythesesamehumanauthors.Theanswersareasfollows:
Poemstanza1writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza2writtenbyWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza3writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyPercyByssheShelley
Poemstanza4writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.EliotandPercyByssheShelly
Poemstanza5writtenbyRaymondKurzweil
Poemstanza6writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.Eliot,RaymondKurzweil,PercyByssheShelley,andWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza7writtenbyT.S.Eliot
Poemstanza8writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandT.S.Eliot
Poemstanza9writtenbyWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza10writtenbyRaymondKurzweil
Poemstanza11writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandT.S.Eliot
Poemstanza12writtenbyWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza13writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyPercyByssheShelley
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Poemstanza14writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.EliotandPercyByssheShelley
Poemstanza15writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza16writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.Eliot,RaymondKurzweil,PercyByssheShelley,andWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza17writtenbyWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza18writtenbyRaymondKurzweil
Poemstanza19writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.Eliot,RaymondKurzweil,PercyByssheShelley,andWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza20writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandT.S.Eliot
Poemstanza21writtenbyT.S.Eliot
Poemstanza22writtenbyT.S.Eliot
Poemstanza23writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza24writtenbyWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza25writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyT.S.Eliot,RaymondKurzweil,PercyByssheShelley,andWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza26writtenbytheKurzweilCyberneticPoetafterreadingpoemsbyRaymondKurzweilandWilliamCarlosWilliams
Poemstanza27writtenbyPercyByssheShelley