2 March 2016 INFO(2016) 11
Active Monitoring and Forecast of
Budget Implementation –
2015 Information Note
Contents
1. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS .......................................................................... 2
2. INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY ............................................................. 3
3. IMPLEMENTATION OF THE BUDGET 2015 ........................................................ 4
3.1. Implementation at the end of December 2015 .................................................. 4
3.2. Reprogrammed commitments ........................................................................... 5
3.3. Adjustments of payment appropriations (Global Transfer and End of
Year Transfer) ................................................................................................... 6
3.4. Programmes with significant under-implementation ........................................ 7
3.4.1. Commitments ...................................................................................... 7
3.4.2. Payments .............................................................................................. 8
4. IMPLEMENTATION OF APPROPRIATIONS CARRIED FORWARD
FROM 2014 ................................................................................................................. 8
5. IMPLEMENTATION OF ASSIGNED REVENUE ................................................... 9
6. EVOLUTION OF RAL ............................................................................................. 11
7. LATE INTEREST PAYMENTS .............................................................................. 11
8. COHESION POLICY: COHESION POLICY: LATEST SUBMISSION OF
MEMBER STATES' PAYMENTS FORECASTS FOR YEAR 2016 ..................... 12
8.1. State of play at end 2015 ................................................................................. 12
8.2. January submission of Member States' payment forecasts for 2016 ............... 14
8.3. Implications of Member States' forecasts for Budget 2016............................. 15
8.4. Cohesion policy decommitments .................................................................... 17
8.5. Conclusions ..................................................................................................... 17
ANNEX 1: 2015 IMPLEMENTATION – COMMITMENTS AND PAYMENTS ......... 19
ANNEX 2: HEADING 1B LATEST FORECASTS FROM MEMBER STATES
(JANUARY 2016) ..................................................................................................... 23
ANNEX 3: COHESION POLICY DECOMMITMENTS IN 2015 .................................. 25
2
1. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1. Essentially, all commitment and payment appropriations were consumed in 2015. At
end-2015 the implementation of commitment appropriations (after carryovers)
amounted to EUR 170,0 billion (99,9 % of available appropriations). The
implementation of payment appropriations reached EUR 138,6 billion (after
carryovers), corresponding to 99,9% of available appropriations.
2. In spite of the record high level of commitment appropriations available in 2015
within heading 1b (Economic, social and territorial cohesion), due to almost
EUR 20 billion of structural funds carried over or reprogrammed from 2014, all of
them were implemented, as all operational programmes were adopted before the end
of the year. The backlog of unpaid claims for 2007-2013 operational programmes at
the end of 2015 was EUR 8,2 billion, compared to EUR 24,7 billion a year earlier.
The backlog was significantly lower than forecast due to much lower submission of
payment applications than expected (in particular from three Member States), and
the transfer of appropriations from the new programmes due to delays in the
designation of managing authorities. The 'abnormal' backlog is expected to be fully
phased out by the end of 2016 in line with the 'payment plan' agreed with the
Parliament and the Council.
3. In the course of 2015, two Amending Budgets (5 and 7) increased commitment and
payment appropriations of headings 3 (Security and Citizenship) and 4 (Global
Europe) to address the refugee crisis. Whereas commitments increased by
EUR 406,5 million compared to the initial 2015 budget, payment appropriations
were redeployed within and between headings, leaving the total amount unchanged.
4. As expected, there was a slowdown in the pace of increase of late interest payments
in the course of the year, with the total amount paid in 2015 reaching
EUR 2,2 million, significantly lower than the interest paid in 2014 (EUR 3 million).
Given the level of payment appropriations authorised in the 2016 budget, a further
decrease of late interest payments is expected in 2016.
5. After the artificial decrease in outstanding commitments ('RAL', from the French
acronym "reste à liquider") at the end of 2014 (due to the reprogramming in 2015 of
most of the EUR 32 billion commitment appropriations carried over from 2014
because of the delays in the adoption of operational programmes), the level of RAL
increased by EUR 27,9 billion in 2015 reaching EUR 216,7 billion, approaching the
level of RAL in 2012 (EUR 216,9 billion) and 2013 (EUR 221,5 billion). As
commitment appropriations are over EUR 11 billion higher than payment
appropriations in the 2016 budget, the RAL is expected to rise again in 2016.
3
2. INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
This Information Note gives an overview of budget implementation as at 31
December 2015, for both commitment and payment appropriations in the
Commission's section of the budget (Section III). The starting point for the analysis
is the 2015 budget as adopted by the budgetary authority, including amending
budgets, carryovers from 2014 into 2015, transfers and mobilised reserves.
Section 3 deals briefly with the reprogramming of significant commitments from
2014 to 2015 (section 3.2) as well as the adjustments of payment appropriations in
2015 (section 3.3). This section gives also explanations of the most significant
deviations from the budget in terms of the implementation of appropriations (section
3.4)1.
In addition, the note shows the implementation of appropriations carried over from
2014 to 2015 (section 4) and the implementation of assigned revenue (section 5).
Section 6 provides a report on the evolution of RAL while section 7 presents the
latest figures on late payment interest.
Finally, section 8 reviews the cohesion backlog situation and presents the outlook
for 2016 taking into account the latest Member States' forecasts.
At this stage, except for heading 1b, rural development and the fisheries fund, it is
not possible to estimate the amount of backlog for the other programmes before the
completion of the cut-off exercise linked to the establishment of the provisional
accounts due for 31 March at the latest. Analysis of this backlog will be provided in
the next Active Monitoring and Forecast of Budget Implementation note which will
be published at the beginning of July.
1 It should be noted that all figures are provisional pending the final accounts for the year.
4
3. IMPLEMENTATION OF THE BUDGET 2015
3.1. Implementation at the end of December 2015
The analysis focuses on commitment and payment appropriations by heading.
Furthermore, for the main programmes2, it provides more detailed analysis, if the
programme's under-implementation was EUR 10 million or more.
The following table shows the implementation by heading at the end of December
as well as the carryover from 2015 to 2016.
Table 1: 2015 Budget Implementation
The implementation of 2015 commitment appropriations amounted to
EUR 169,5 billion (99,7% of available appropriations). However, the
implementation reached 99,9% taking into account the carryover of appropriations
from 2015 to 2016, leaving EUR 120 million under-implemented.
The implementation of 2015 payment appropriations amounted to
EUR 137,8 billion (99,3% of available appropriations). After the carryover of
appropriations to 2016, the implementation rate reaches 99,9% and the under-
implementation amounts to only EUR 143 million.
2 Defined as the programmes having at least EUR 100 million of payment appropriations in 2015.
(€m) (€m) % (€m) (€m) (€m) %
(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d)=(b)-(a) (e) (f)=(a)+(e) (g)=[(a)+(e)]/(a)
1a Competitiv eness for grow th and jobs 17 552 17 537 99,9% -14 -14 17 538 99,9%
1b Economic, social and territorial cohesion 68 883 68 855 100,0% -28 -21 68 862 100,0%
2 Sustainable grow th: Natural Resources 66 744 66 285 99,3% -459 -49 66 695 99,9%
3 Security and Citizenship 2 776 2 773 99,9% -2 -2 2 773 99,9%
4 Global Europe 9 130 9 080 99,5% -50 -33 9 097 99,6%
5 Administration 4 994 4 992 100,0% -2 -2 4 992 100,0%
170 077 169 522 99,7% -555 -120 169 957 99,9%
Special Instruments 627 288 46,0% -338 -119 508 81,0%
170 704 169 810 99,5% -894 -239 169 957 99,6%
before after
carry ov er carry ov er
(€m) (€m) % (€m) (€m) (€m) %
(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d)=(b)-(a) (e) (f)=(a)+(e) (g)=[(a)+(e)]/(a)
1a Competitiv eness for grow th and jobs 15 721 15 581 99,1% -140 -38 15 683 99,8%
1b Economic, social and territorial cohesion 50 983 50 961 100,0% -21 -7 50 976 100,0%
2 Sustainable grow th: Natural Resources 57 115 56 634 99,2% -481 -49 57 065 99,9%
3 Security and Citizenship 1 971 1 958 99,3% -13 -4 1 967 99,8%
4 Global Europe 7 694 7 648 99,4% -46 -13 7 680 99,8%
5 Administration 5 294 5 014 94,7% -280 -31 5 263 99,4%
138 777 137 797 99,3% -981 -143 138 634 99,9%
Special Instruments 253 252 99,7% -1 0 253 99,9%
139 031 138 049 99,3% -982 -143 138 887 99,9%(1) initial budget and adopted amending budgets + appropriations carried forward from 2014, mobilised reserves and transfers. Excludes assigned revenue.
FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK HEADING
Av ailable
Appropriations (1)
Implementation
Balance
2015 COMMITMENTS
Implementation
after carrov erbefore
carrov er
after
carry ov er
after
carry ov er
Grand Total
Total
Total
Implementation
2015 PAYMENTS
FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK HEADING
Av ailable
Appropriations (1)
Implementation
Balance
Grand Total
5
At the heading level, the table provides the following information:
For heading 1a (Competitiveness for growth and jobs), virtually all the
commitment and payment appropriations were consumed. In 2015 the newly
created European Fund for Strategic Investment (EFSI) was added to heading 1a
and provided with EUR 1 360 million of commitment appropriations
(reallocated from the Connecting Europe Facility, Horizon 2020 and the
International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) programme as
stipulated in Amending Budget 2/2015), all of which was fully implemented.
For heading 1b (Economic, Social and Territorial Cohesion), implementation
reached 100% for both commitments and payments. The year 2015 saw the
highest-ever level of commitment appropriations available to heading 1b, which
was due to almost EUR 20 billion carried-over or reprogrammed from 2014, not
implemented in 2014 due to delays in the adoption of the operational
programmes. For payments, the payment claims for cohesion policy that arrived
in 2015 proved to be lower than Member States' forecasts, which reduced the
pressure on payments and led to a significant decrease in the backlog of unpaid
claims at the end of the year. (see section 8 for further details).
Heading 2 (Sustainable growth: Natural Resources) recorded almost full
implementation in 2015 for both commitments and payments. The under-
implementation originated mostly from the European Agricultural Guarantee
Fund (EAGF) Reserve for crisis in the agricultural sector, which was not used,
and as a consequence was transferred to 2015 to reimburse the financial
discipline to the farmers up to the amount allowed by the legal base (see section
3.4.1 for further explanation).
Both commitment and payment appropriations in heading 3 (Security and
Citizenship) were essentially fully implemented. As a result of the migration
crisis this heading was significantly reinforced throughout the year (through
Amending Budgets 5 and 7/2015 and the Global transfer, in total
EUR 165,1 million in commitments and EUR 130,4 million in payments).
The migration crisis also had an impact on heading 4 (Global Europe), whose
appropriations were also reinforced in 2015 (through Amending Budget 7, the
Emergency Aid Reserve and the Global transfer, in total EUR 582,5 million in
commitment appropriations and EUR 248,0 million in payment appropriations).
The available commitment and payment appropriations of the heading were
nearly fully consumed, with some commitments left under-implemented within
the Common Foreign and Security Policy (see section 3.4.1 for further details).
3.2. Reprogrammed commitments
Because of the delays in the adoption of the operational programmes for the
cohesion policy (and other shared management programmes such as rural
development and the European Maritime and Fisheries Fund in heading 2 as well as
AMIF and ISF in heading 3), a large amount of commitment appropriations were not
implemented in 2014. Where the adoption process of the operational programmes
was nearly completed, the corresponding commitment appropriations were carried
6
over in order to be implemented before 31 March 2015. Where the adoption process
was not sufficiently advanced, the commitments were reprogrammed to 2015 or
subsequent years. All 28 Member States were concerned by this reprogramming
exercise.
The amending budget (AB) No 1 to the 2015 budget which was presented in parallel
with the Commission's proposal for a revision of the multiannual financial
framework (MFF) for the years 2014-2020, in accordance with Article 19 of Council
Regulation No 1311/2013 (MFF Regulation) implemented this reprogramming. The
revision of the MFF and the adoption of AB No 1 were a necessary condition for the
adoption of the programmes in 2015. In accordance with the MFF revision, AB No 1
proposed a EUR 16,5 billion increase in commitment appropriations in 2015 for the
various funds under shared management under heading 1b, heading 2 and heading 3.
AB No 1 also proposed an increase of EUR 2,5 million for the Instrument for Pre-
accession Assistance (IPA II) under heading 4, to maintain similar treatment
between contributions from heading 4 and heading 1b to the European Regional
Development Fund (ERDF) – European territorial cooperation (ETC) programmes.
The reprogrammed commitment appropriations were fully implemented in 2015.
3.3. Adjustments of payment appropriations (Global Transfer and End of
Year Transfer)
In 2015 there were two transfers aiming to rebalance payment appropriations: the
"Global Transfer" adopted in October 2015 and the "End of Year Transfer" adopted
in January 2016, but implemented in December 2015. Like all transfers, these are
zero-sum operations whereby reinforcements are only possible if appropriations are
made available from elsewhere.
The 2015 "Global Transfer" amounted to EUR 424,0 million. 73 budget lines were
concerned (26 for reinforcement and 47 for reductions). The programmes with the
most significant reductions in appropriations were ITER (- EUR 110 million), CEF
Transport, EGNOS and GALILEO (- EUR 53 million). Among the programmes
with the highest reinforcements were Erasmus + (+ EUR 150 million), the
Development Cooperation Instrument (+ EUR 50 million) and the Internal Security
Fund (+ EUR 41 million).
The 2015 "End of Year Transfer" amounted to EUR 415,9 million. It enabled
payment appropriations, mostly from the Fund for the European Aid to the Most
Deprived (- EUR 285,8 million) to be transferred to cover part of the outstanding
need for funds in Rural development (+ EUR 288,5 million) and the European
Regional Development Fund (+ EUR 127,4 million). The amount was drawn from
62 budget lines.
7
3.4. Programmes with significant under-implementation
This section identifies the main programmes (i.e. programmes with budgeted
appropriations of at least EUR 100 million) with 2015 under-implementation of at
least EUR 10 million. Annex 1 gives detailed information for all the programmes.
3.4.1. Commitments
1.2.31 Technical assistance
In € million
Appropriations
2015
Implementation
31/12/2015 Balance
Carry over
to 2016 Under-implemented
192,8 173,0 89,7% 19,9 0 19,9
Following the delayed adoption of operational programmes compared with the initial
planning, a number of technical assistance actions supporting the programme
implementation were cancelled or postponed to 2016. This covers mainly
communication activities, evaluations and other studies as well as organisation of
workshops. Delayed adoptions also had an impact on the timely implementation of
the Joint Assistance to Support Projects in European Regions (JASPERS) facility for
the preparation of the major projects. Finally, negotiations procedures with
International Organisation (OECD and World Bank) took longer than initially
planned, thus also having an impact on the implementation of the 2015 budget.
2.0.1 European Agricultural Guarantee Fund (EAGF)
In € million
Appropriations
2015
Implementation
31/12/2015 Balance
Carry over
to 2016 Under-implemented
44 323,1 43 871,6 99,0% 451,5 409,8 41,7
In the first place, a total amount of EUR 433 million of non-committed
appropriations was transferred from item 05 03 10 00 – Reserve for crisis in the
agricultural sector, to item 05 03 09 00 – Reimbursement of direct aids in relation to
financial discipline. Then, in accordance with Article 169(3) of Regulation (EU,
Euratom) No 966/2012 and Article 26 of Regulation (EU) No 1306/2013, 2% of the
initial appropriations (or the amount of the adjustment of direct payments for
financial discipline) could be carried over to the following financial year. Therefore,
the amount of EUR 409,8 million, respecting the 2% limit mentioned above, was
carried over. This amount, in accordance with Article 26(5) of Regulation (EU) No
1306/2013 will be made available to the Member States for reimbursement.
8
4.0.8 – Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP)
In € million
Appropriations
2015
Implementation
31/12/2015 Balance
Carry over
to 2016 Under-implemented
285,2 239,9 84,1% 45,3 17,2 28,1
The lower-than-expected implementation in commitment appropriations relates to
the downsizing of the biggest Common Security and Defence Policy missions
(Afghanistan, Kosovo); the reduced activities and costs for the mission in Libya
(due to the deterioration of the security situation in the country) and the delay in
establishment and financing the Kosovo Specialist Chambers, which has been
postponed to 2016. While EUR 50,9 million was transferred to other policy areas in
heading 4 and EUR 17,2 million was carried over to 2016, EUR 28,1 million were
left unused at the end of the year.
3.4.2. Payments
2.0.1 European Agricultural Guarantee Fund (EAGF)
In € million
Appropriations
2015
Implementation
31/12/2015 Balance
Carry
over to
2016
Under-implemented
44 330,9 43 863,1 98,9% 467,8 423,6 44,2
Explanation as above for EAGF commitments.
4. IMPLEMENTATION OF APPROPRIATIONS CARRIED FORWARD FROM 2014
Table 2: 2015 Budget Implementation – Appropriations Carried Forward from 2014, by Heading
As mentioned earlier, the exceptionally high level of carryover of commitment
appropriations from 2014 to 2015 was due to the delayed adoption of the 2014-2020
operational programmes for shared management. Programmes that were sufficiently
advanced and on the verge of adoption at the end of 2014 benefitted from the
carryover procedure. All the corresponding appropriations were fully committed in
2015 once the programmes had been adopted. The EUR 14,7 million of the
commitment appropriations carried-over from 2014 which were not implemented
Appropriations Balance Appropriations Balance
(€m) (€m) % (€m) (€m) (€m) % (€m)
(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d)=(b)-(a) (e) (f) (g)=(f)/(e) (h)=(f)-(e)
1a Competitiv eness for grow th and jobs 0,0 0,0 - 0,0 111,9 99,7 89,1% -12,2
1b Economic, social and territorial cohesion 8 479,7 8 479,7 100,0% 0,0 16,0 14,0 87,2% -2,1
2 Market Ex penditure & Direct Aids 868,2 854,0 98,4% -14,2 884,3 868,4 98,2% -15,9
2 Other Heading 2 Programmes (1)
1 998,8 1 998,8 100,0% 0,0 17,8 16,9 94,9% -0,9
3 Security and Citizenship 253,5 253,5 100,0% 0,0 7,9 7,0 89,4% -0,8
4 Global Europe 335,2 334,7 99,9% -0,5 42,1 36,8 87,3% -5,4
5 Administration 0,0 0,0 - 0,0 301,5 272,3 90,3% -29,2
Total 11 935,4 11 920,7 99,9% -14,7 1 381,5 1 315,2 95,2% -66,3
Special Instruments 162,3 162,3 100,0% 0,0 35,8 35,7 99,7% -0,1
12 097,7 12 083,0 99,9% -14,7 1 417,2 1 350,8 95,3% -66,4(1) rural development, fisheries, LIFE, etc
Grand Total
FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK HEADING
2015 COMMITMENTS - CARRYOVERS FROM 2014 2015 PAYMENTS - CARRYOVERS FROM 2014
Implementation Implementation
9
relate almost exclusively to the EAGF and specifically to the amount of financial
discipline applied on the 2014 direct payments for which Member States did not
request a reimbursement in 2015.
Table 3: 2015 Budget Implementation – Payments Carried Forward from 2014, by Programme
The payment appropriations carried forward from 2014 into 2015 may be split
between non-administrative expenditure (EUR 923,2 million) and administrative
expenditure (EUR 494,1 million, of which EUR 301,5 million is in heading 5). The
under-implementation was EUR 15,6 million for non-administrative expenditure
(mostly linked to the non-implementation of the non-differentiated appropriations for
the EAGF) and EUR 50,8 million for administrative expenditure, of which EUR 29,2
million in heading 5 (EUR 7,6 million related to the budget line for Damages).
5. IMPLEMENTATION OF ASSIGNED REVENUE
Table 4: 2015 Budget Implementation – Assigned Revenue, by Heading
Appropriations Balance
(€m) (€m) % (€m)
(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d)=(b)-(a)
1.1.7 Customs, Fiscalis and Anti-Fraud 0,1 0,1 73,5% 0,0
Heading 1a Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 111,8 99,7 89,1% -12,1
Total Heading 1a 111,9 99,7 89,1% -12,2
Heading 1b Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 16,0 14,0 87,2% -2,1
Total Heading 1b 16,0 14,0 87,2% -2,1
2.0.1 Market related ex penditure and direct pay ments 878,6 863,0 98,2% -15,6
2.0.2 European Agricultural Fund for Rural Dev elopment 0,2 0,2 97,5% 0,0
Heading 2 Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 23,3 22,2 95,2% -1,1
Total Heading 2 902,1 885,3 98,1% -16,8
Heading 3a Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 7,9 7,0 89,4% -0,8
Total Heading 3a 7,9 7,0 89,4% -0,8
4.0.6 Instrument contributing to Stability and Peace (IcSP) 6,2 6,2 100,0% 0,0
4.0.7 Humanitarian Aid 0,1 0,1 99,8% 0,0
4.0.13 European Voluntary Humanitarian Aid Corps (EVHAC) 2,4 2,4 99,9% 0,0
4.0.SPECActions financed under the prerogativ es of the
Commission and specific competences conferred to the 0,1 0,1 100,0% 0,0
Heading 4 Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 33,3 28,0 83,9% -5,4
Total Heading 4 42,1 36,8 87,3% -5,4
5.1.2 European schools 1,9 1,9 100,0% 0,0
5.2.3X Commission administrativ e ex penditure 299,6 270,5 90,3% -29,2
Total Heading 5 301,5 272,3 90,3% -29,2
9.0.2 European Globalisation Adjustment Fund (EGF) 35,5 35,5 100,0% 0,0
Special Instruments Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 0,2 0,1 51,7% -0,1
Total Special Instruments 35,8 35,7 99,7% -0,1
Total 1 417,2 1 350,8 95,3% -66,4
Implementation
2015 PAYMENTS - CARRYOVERS FROM 2014
FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK SUB-HEADING
(€m) (€m) % (€m) (€m) %
(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d) (e) (f)=(e)/(d)
1a Competitiv eness for grow th and jobs 2 538,0 1 363,6 53,7% 3 263,0 1 220,5 37,4%
1b Economic, social and territorial cohesion 410,8 390,6 95,1% 348,7 245,9 70,5%
2 Sustainable grow th: Natural Resources 2 395,4 1 089,7 45,5% 2 373,7 1 431,9 60,3%
3 Security and Citizenship 93,3 52,6 56,4% 83,9 60,5 72,1%
4 Global Europe 643,7 317,1 49,3% 534,0 236,6 44,3%
5 Administration 344,0 208,0 60,5% 347,7 172,9 49,7%
Special Instruments 68,8 0,0 0,0% 68,8 35,5 51,6%
6 494,1 3 421,7 52,7% 7 019,7 3 403,7 48,5%Total
FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK HEADING
2015 COMMITMENTS 2015 PAYMENTS
Av ailable
AppropriationsImplementation
Av ailable
AppropriationsImplementation
10
Over 75% of available assigned revenue appropriations concern headings 1a and 2.
Whereas heading 1a revenues mainly derive from third party participation in
research and education programmes, heading 2 revenues come from agriculture
recovery orders and recoveries carried over from 2014.
Table 5: 2015 Budget Implementation – Assigned Revenue, by Source
The implementation of 2015 assigned revenue appropriations amounted to
EUR 3 421,7 million for commitment appropriations (52,7 %) and
EUR 3 403,7 million for payment appropriations (48,5 %). While the
implementation for commitments is comparable in both absolute and percentage
terms with the implementation in 2014 (EUR 3 429,1 million, 51,4%), the
implementation for payments is significantly below its 2014 level
(EUR 3 757,6 million, 48,5%)
The EAGF assigned revenue appropriations that are newly declared by Member
States, which originate mainly from clearance of accounts corrections, irregularities
and the milk levy, are usually used towards the end of the budget year of recovery or
the beginning of the next year. In accordance with the applicable rules, amounts
collected in one budget year which are not used at the end of that year can be carried
over to the next year only, and consequently they are fully consumed in that year.
The implementation of EFTA appropriations follows a different pattern, and since
they are normally received and consumed within the same year, the implementation
of both commitment and payment appropriations is high in comparison with most
other types of assigned revenue. Almost 95% of EFTA appropriations (both
commitments and payments) are concentrated in heading 1a.
The other types of assigned revenue mainly concern third party or third country
participation in Community programmes. These are generally received and
committed within the same year or the following year. However, the corresponding
payments are made over a number of years, depending on the life cycle of the
programmes concerned. Unused appropriations are therefore carried over to
subsequent years without any limitation, but following the duration of the
programme whose actions are being financed. This explains low annual levels of
implementation for these types of appropriations.
Av ailable Av ailable
(€m) (€m) % (€m) (€m) %
(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d) (e) (f)=(e)/(d)
RECOVERIES OF 2015 3 006,4 1 295,5 43,1% 3 020,4 1 522,2 50,4%
••• EAGF Clearances, Irregularities, Milk Levy 1 631,6 735,2 45,1% 1 631,6 735,2 45,1%
••• Other 1 374,7 560,3 40,8% 1 388,8 786,9 56,7%
RECOVERIES CARRIED OVER FROM 2014 1 094,1 859,6 78,6% 807,5 788,2 97,6%
••• EAGF Clearances, Irregularities, Milk Levy 341,3 341,3 100,0% 341,3 341,3 100,0%
••• Other 752,9 518,3 68,8% 466,2 447,0 95,9%
EFTA 423,2 418,6 98,9% 391,8 390,2 99,6%
Candidate Countries' Contributions 29,2 19,5 66,8% 39,3 5,0 12,6%
JRC Competitiv e Income 475,8 80,6 16,9% 390,6 86,4 22,1%
Other Earmarked Rev enues (Third Party ) 1 408,8 700,5 49,7% 2 300,5 566,6 24,6%
Coal and Steel Income 56,6 47,3 83,7% 69,6 45,1 64,8%
Total 6 494,1 3 421,7 52,7% 7 019,7 3 403,7 48,5%
SOURCE
ASSIGNED REVENUE : COMMITMENTS ASSIGNED REVENUE : PAYMENTS
Implementation Implementation
11
6. EVOLUTION OF RAL
Table 6: RAL 2007-2015
As expected, after an artificial decrease in the RAL at the end of 2014, its level
increased significantly in 2015 as a natural consequence of the full implementation
of EUR 32 billion of differentiated commitment appropriations, either
reprogrammed or carried over from 2014. Its level is, nevertheless, over 2% lower
than at the end of 2013, the year of the highest RAL. In 2016, due to a difference of
over EUR 10 billion between budgeted commitment and payment appropriations, a
further increase of RAL is expected. This evolution of the RAL in 2015 and 2016 is
in line with the projections used for the multiannual financial framework.
7. LATE INTEREST PAYMENTS
Due to the lack of payment appropriations in 2014, payment of late interest was
concentrated in the first half of 2015. In the second half of the year, as the pressure
on payments was released, there was a slowdown in the accumulation of late interest
which at the end of the year amounted to EUR 2,2 million and was over 25% lower
than at the end of 2014 (the amount for the whole 2015 is lower than the amount
given in October's AMFBI report due to corrections made at the end of the year).
Due to diminished pressure on payments, a further decrease in late interest payments
is expected in 2016.
In € mi l l ion
Financial
Framew ork
Heading
1a. Competitiveness for growth and jobs 15 810 16 612 19 516 22 478 23 855 26 554 29 629 33 546 34 428
1b. Economic, social and territorial cohesion 91 709 103 190 117 384 127 989 135 851 139 717 137 063 109 479 126 374
2. Sustainable growth: Natural Resources 9 905 14 125 19 541 22 963 25 302 26 886 28 428 19 382 28 190
3. Security and Citizenship 1 354 1 531 1 662 1 911 2 130 2 317 3 077 2 581 3 137
4. Global Europe 19 250 18 840 18 462 18 332 19 567 21 429 23 313 23 841 24 613
Total 138 028 154 298 176 565 193 673 206 705 216 903 221 510 188 830 216 742
RAL
End
2007
End
2008
End
2009
End
2010
End
2011
End
2012
End
2013
End
2014
End
2015
12
Table 7: Late interest paid in 2014 and 2015
Almost all the interest on late payments relates to headings 1a and 4 (over 98% in
2015). Late payment interest in four programmes (the Development Cooperation
Instrument, Energy Projects to aid Economic Recovery (EERP), the European
Neighbourhood Instrument and the Instrument contributing to Stability and Peace)
account for over 66% of all late interest paid in 2015.
8. COHESION POLICY: COHESION POLICY: LATEST SUBMISSION OF MEMBER STATES'
PAYMENTS FORECASTS FOR YEAR 20163
8.1. State of play at end 2015
Full implementation has been achieved in 2015, both in commitment and payment
appropriations, for heading 1b.
- 2007-2013 programming period. By the end 2015, 256 (out of 463) programmes,
of which 65 for the European Social Fund (ESF), and 191 for the Cohesion Fund
(CF) and the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) had submitted
enough valid payment applications to reach the 95% ceiling4 (100% for Greece
5)
which the Commission can reimburse before closure. Total payments (pre-
financing and interim) made by the end of 2015 represent around 89% of the
2007-2013 Heading 1b envelope (after decommitments).
- 2014-2020 programming period. All the 417 operational programmes were
adopted before the end of 2015 and the corresponding tranches of pre-financing
have been paid over the last two years. The first interim payment applications
were already received and paid in 2015.
2007-2013 programmes
In the 'payments plan' of May 20156, the European Parliament, the Council and the
Commission agreed to progressively phase out the 'abnormal' backlog of outstanding
3 End of January is the deadline for Member States submissions of their updated forecasts. Data as of 24/02/2016.
4
The 95% ceiling in payments is set out in Art. 79 of the Council Regulation 1083/2006: "The cumulative total of pre-financing and interim payments made
shall not exceed 95% of the contribution from the Funds to the operational programme. When this ceiling is reached, the certifying authority shall continue
transmitting to the Commission any certified statement of expenditure on 31 December of year n, as well as the amounts recovered during the year for each
Fund, at the latest by the end of February of year n+1".
5
Regulation 2015/1839, amending Regulation (EU) No 1303/2013 as regards specific measures for Greece.
6
Joint statement on a payment plan 2015-2016 agreed on 19 May 2015.
In €
Heading 2014 2015
1a Competitiveness for grow th and jobs 1 116 318 865 303
1b Economic, Social and Territorial Cohesion 25 810 0
2 Sustainable grow th: Natural Resources 60 475 21 266
3 Security and Citizenship 10 644 7 533
4 Global Europe 1 809 693 1 314 775
5 Administration 4 184 11 412
Total 3 027 124 2 220 288
13
payment claims for the 2007-2013 Cohesion programmes by the end of 2016, to a
maximum level of EUR 2 billion (depending on the actual level of remaining
suspensions and late submission of applications).
The backlog of unpaid claims for the Cohesion policy by end-2015 stands at
EUR 8,2 billion, significantly lower than the EUR 17 billion expected on the basis of
Member States forecasts7. The faster than expected phasing-out of the abnormal
backlog consolidates the objective defined in the 'payment plan'. It also makes it
possible to avoid cash-flow constraints and delays in reimbursing the Member States
in the first part of the year, which would have been experienced with a larger
backlog.
This lower than expected backlog is explained partly by a reinforcement of
appropriations for the 2007-2013 programmes by some EUR 2 billion through
transfers coming from the 2014-2020 programmes, for the reasons explained below.
However, most of the difference is due to submission of payable claims which were
some EUR 7 billion lower than expected (EUR 25 billion received instead of an
expected EUR 32 billion8). This is the first time for years that the summer Member
States' forecasts present such an important deviation from the actual outcome9. While
the pattern in the submission of claims was comparable to previous years until mid-
December, submission of claims in the last two weeks of December was far lower
(14% of the annual claims compared to 36% in 2014). The absence of N+2/N+3
automatic decommitments deadlines for most Member States (with the exception of
Romania, Slovakia and Croatia) might explain this delay, as claims can be sent till 31
March 201710
.
2014-2020 programmes
Concerning the 2014-2020 programming period, the Commission already expected in
its autumn report11
that the submission of payment claims would progress at a slower
pace than indicated by Member States' July forecasts, but the actual submission of
claims has been even lower than predicted (i.e. EUR 1,5 billion, of which
EUR 1,3 billion of payable claims12
). This is explained by the slow progress in the
designation of the managing and certifying authorities of the programmes, which is a
7 See information provided in the autumn information note on Active Monitoring and Forecasts of Budget Implementation of 14.10.2015, based on the
Member
States' forecasts as submitted by 31 July 2015.
8
Including the impact of the removal of the 95% capping for Greece and the 100% co-financing, which has been estimated at around EUR 0,5 billion in 2015.
9
Over-estimation of 27% for the programmes that had not yet reached the 95% ceiling compared to the over-estimation of around 2% to 3% on average over
the last years for forecasts submitted in summer.
10
Art. 93 of Council Regulation No 1083/2006. However, in the Commission decision C(2015) 2771 (guidelines on the closure), it is recommended that the
certifying authority submits the last interim payment claim by 30 June 2016, at the latest.
11 Autumn information note on Active Monitoring and Forecasts of Budget Implementation of 14.10.2015
12 Forecasts have been adjusted to take into account the 10% retention amount set in Art. 130 of the Council Regulation 1303/2013: "The Commission shall
reimburse as interim payments 90 % of the amount resulting from applying the co-financing rate for each priority, laid down in the
decision adopting the
operational programme, to the eligible expenditure for the priority included in the payment application".
14
pre-requisite for sending interim payment applications13
. At end of 2015, only 67
authorities had been designated (for 417 adopted programmes).
Out of EUR 1,3 billion of payable claims submitted, EUR 0,8 billion were paid as
interim payments, while a few claims were sent too late in the year to be properly
processed and paid, leading to a 'normal' backlog of around EUR 0,5 billion to be
paid in 2016.
8.2. January submission of Member States' payment forecasts for 2016
Every year14
, national authorities are invited to submit by 31 January the forecasts of
payment claims they expect to send for the current and following year (see Annex 2).
The table below summarises the expected interim claims in 2016 for both the 2007-
2013 and 2014-2020 programming period.
2007-13 programmes
Member States forecast to submit in 2016 some EUR 11,4 billion of payable claims,
more than doubling the previous forecasts submitted in July 2015.
Furthermore, Member States also expect that 96% of these payable claims (some
EUR 11 billion) will be submitted in the first part of 2016, while only the remaining
4% would be sent in the last two months of the year. Consequently, the claims
arriving too late to be properly processed and paid should be negligible.
The current forecasts seem to confirm that the Member States are on the right path for
catching-up with most of the EUR 7 billion payable claims not submitted in 2015
(see Chapter 8.1 above), of which some EUR 6,4 billion are expected in 2016, while
13
CPR, Art. 124 states that the Member State shall notify the Commission of the date and form of the designations of the managing authority and, where
appropriate, of the certifying authority, prior to the submission of the first application for interim payment to the Commission. 14 In accordance with Article 112 of the Council Regulation 1303/2013, covering the programming period 2014-2020 for the following Funds: ERDF, CF, ESF.
Forecasts regarding FEAD are required on a voluntary basis. Forecasts related to the 2007-2013 programming period are required by the Council Regulation
1083/2006 once a year and Member States are required to update them on a voluntary basis.
15
the rest shall be submitted by 31 March 2017 (the legal deadline for the submission
of closure documents)15
.
2014-20 programmes
Member States forecast to submit EUR 18,9 billion in payable claims in 2016. With
respect to their previous forecasts in July 2015, they have reduced their predictions
by EUR 4 billion. This may be explained by the fact that the managing authorities of
350 programmes still need to be designated in 201616
.
However, the lack of formal designation of the responsible authorities does not
prevent starting the implementation of projects; thus, an acceleration of the
submission of payment claims in the last part of the year cannot be excluded. In this
regard, Member States currently forecast to submit around 40% of their claims
(EUR 7,7 billion) in the last two months of 2016.
The absence of N+3 decommitment deadline17
is probably another reason for the
reduced estimate for 2016 claims. The N+3 deadline will apply in 2017 for the first
time.
8.3. Implications of Member States' forecasts for Budget 2016
2007-13 programmes
Whereas Budget 2016 (EUR 21,5 billion payment appropriations) had been prepared
under an assumption of a backlog around EUR 17 billion at the end of 2015, to be
paid in 2016, as mentioned above the actual backlog was some EUR 9 billion lower.
In their January forecasts, Member States envisage to submit in 2016
EUR 11,4 billion of payable claims, EUR 6,4 billion more than expected during the
preparation of the 2016 budget, therefore partially counterbalancing the substantial
reduction in the remaining backlog.
A limited number of programmes which did not reach the 95% ceiling by end of 2015
did not submit a 2016 forecast as requested. The Commission takes then into account
the possibility to receive payable claims for those programmes, up to a maximum
amount of some EUR 0,5 billion.
In addition, unlike in the latest years, Member States forecast a quite different pattern
in the distribution of the claims during the year: 96% of the payable claims are
forecast to be sent in the first part of 2016, drastically reducing the risk of a high
amount of unpaid claims at end 2016 due to late submission.
Consequently, the January forecasts of Member States seem to point towards the
following outlook:
the objective of fully phasing out, by the end of 2016, the 'abnormal' backlog
of unpaid claims will be reached within the available appropriations;
15
The open commitments will be automatically decommitted in case this date is not respected.
16
Data as 31/12/2015.
17
YEI and Greece additional pre-financing is the exception to the rule, having deadline in 2016.
16
the 'normal' backlog at the end of 2016 should mostly include the latest
interruptions and suspensions not yet lifted before the closure; this amount
should be quite limited but cannot be assessed at this stage.
At this early stage of the year many uncertainties still affect the pace of
implementation of 2007-2013 programmes. Based on the latest forecasts received
from Member States by 24 February 2016, the payable claims at the end of 2016
could be some EUR 2 billion below the payment appropriations. However, the actual
level of submission of claims remains uncertain, especially as some forecasts are still
missing. Furthermore, the outlook of the 2007-2013 programmes cannot be
considered independently from the 2014-2020 programmes, as transfers between
programming periods cannot be excluded.
2014-20 programmes
Member States have reduced their previous expectations for 2016 (the forecasts are
down from EUR 22,8 billion to EUR 18,9 billion) but their estimate remains higher
than the budget available for interim payments after taking into account pre-financing
by some EUR 2,7 billion. Taking into account the backlog from the end of 2015
(EUR 0,5 billion), the payment needs, as forecasted by the Member States, would
exceed the available budget by some EUR 3 billion, as illustrated by the table below.
In € billion
(a)
Budget 2016 for
interim payments
(b)
End-2015 backlog
(c)
Capped forecasts
2016
(d)=(a)-(b)-(c)
Difference
8,7 9,0
2,2 3,6
4,9 5,9
0,5 0,4
16,3 0,5 18,9 -3,2
Period
2014-2020
Total
ESF+YEI
Comparison between payment appropriations in Budget 2016 and payment expectations
0,4
0,1
-2,1
-1,1
ERDF
CF
FEAD
17
However, two factors may reduce the gap between forecasts and appropriations:
Member States forecasts tend to be over-estimated. For instance, corrected by
the over-estimate experienced on average over the last five years18
, the
expected claims would be some EUR 2 billion lower.
Some payment applications are always submitted too late in the year to be
paid in the same year and a residual backlog is recurrent. However, the recent
experience of 2015 demonstrates that, in absence of a legal deadline at the end
of the year, a large concentration of the submission of the payment
applications in the very last days of December is not the most plausible
scenario19
.
Accordingly, a reinforcement of the 2014-2020 budget lines, reversing the transfer
made at the end of 2015, is not certain at this stage.
8.4. Cohesion policy decommitments
In 2015 EUR 1,14 billion was decommitted for the Cohesion policy, of which
EUR 0,45 billion was linked to closure of the 2000-06 period programmes,
EUR 0,5 billion was linked to the consequences of the N+2/N+3 automatic
decommitments, while the remaining EUR 0,2 billion is related to programmes prior
2000, technical assistance and preparatory actions (see tables in Annex 3).
8.5. Conclusions
The payment forecasts submitted in January by Member States provide relatively
clear picture in relation to the 2007-2013 programmes, while the outlook is more
uncertain with regard to the 2014-2020 programmes.
At the end of 2016, the 2007-2013 programmes will be left with a negligible 'normal'
backlog, and the budgeted payment appropriations will be more than sufficient to
cover needs; the unused appropriations could be some EUR 2 billion, though the
precise amount will become clearer as implementation progresses in the course of
2016. Three main factors can influence it: the relevance of interruptions and
suspensions not lifted at the end of 2016 (whose precise extent will be known only
later in the year); a possible reinforcement for the 2014-2020 programmes (though its
need and potential size are still undefined on the basis of current data); and the
accuracy rate in the Member States' payment forecasts, including the role played by
the programmes which have not submitted forecasts by the last deadline. The
Commission closely monitors the situation, with a special focus on the Member
States which have experienced the largest error rates in forecasting, and it will
reassess its current estimates after the receipt of the summer update of payment
forecasts.
In relation to the 2014-2020 programmes, a limited 'normal' backlog (some
EUR 1,5 billion) may be expected at the end of 2016, with a near balance between
available budget appropriations and payment claims. Taking into account the high
18
The correction has been made applying the average error rate (14%) experienced in the period 2011-2015 for the same year forecasts.
19
For instance, only some 10% of the overall claims for 2007-2013 programming period have been submitted in the last ten calendar days in 2015.
18
degree of divergence in Member States` payment forecasts for 2015 compared to the
real outcome, and the uncertainty related to the timing in the designation of managing
and certifying authorities, this scenario will have to be reassessed on the basis of the
summer forecasts from Member States20
; on that basis, the Commission may propose
to amend the budget, as appropriate. The Commission will continue to monitor the
submission of claims and the designation of the authorities, to adjust its expectations
to the actual needs of these programmes.
20
A new update is due by 31 July, 2016.
19
ANNEX 1: 2015 IMPLEMENTATION – COMMITMENTS AND PAYMENTS Excluding Assigned Revenues
by heading of Multiannual Financial Framework
Provisional Data
Description
2015 COMMITMENTS 2015 PAYMENTS
Available Appropriations 31 December
2015
Implementation 31 December 2015
Balance Available Appropriations 31 December
2015
Implementation 31 December 2015
Balance
Amount % before
carryover after
carryover Amount %
before carryover
after carryover
1. SMART AND INCLUSIVE GROWTH
1.1 Competitiveness for growth and jobs
1.1.1X Large infrastructure projects 1.1.10 European Fund for Strategic Investments 1 360,5 1 360,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0 3,6 3,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0
1.1.11 European Satellite Navigation Systems (EGNOS & GALILEO)
1 060,6 1 060,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0 811,0 809,6 99,8% -1,4 0,0
1.1.12 International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) 391,9 390,7 99,7% -1,2 -1,2 398,0 394,9 99,2% -3,1 -2,6
1.1.13 European Earth Observation Programme (COPERNICUS) 556,4 556,3 100,0% -0,1 -0,1 508,9 506,1 99,5% -2,7 -0,9
1.1.2 Nuclear Safety and Decommissioning 133,0 133,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0 150,0 149,7 99,8% -0,3 -0,3
1.1.3X Common Strategic Framework (CSF) Research & Innovation
1.1.31 Horizon 2020 9 539,4 9 538,9 100,0% -0,5 -0,5 9 084,4 9 006,6 99,1% -77,7 -14,1
1.1.32 Euratom Research and Training Programme 302,1 302,1 100,0% 0,0 0,0 349,2 331,7 95,0% -17,5 -2,2
1.1.4 Competitiveness of enterprises and small and medium-sized enterprises (COSME)
304,1 304,0 100,0% -0,1 -0,1 342,9 339,0 98,9% -3,8 -0,5
1.1.5 Education, Training, Youth and Sport (Erasmus+) 1 608,1 1 608,1 100,0% 0,0 0,0 1 579,0 1 571,7 99,5% -7,3 -0,4
1.1.6 Employment and Social Innovation (EaSI) 128,6 126,9 98,7% -1,7 -1,7 92,3 85,1 92,2% -7,2 -5,1
1.1.7 Customs, Fiscalis and Anti-Fraud 122,0 121,7 99,7% -0,3 -0,2 107,4 105,4 98,2% -2,0 -0,3
1.1.8X Connecting Europe Facility (CEF)
1.1.81 Energy 397,2 397,0 100,0% -0,1 -0,1 79,7 77,7 97,5% -2,0 -0,2
1.1.82 Transport 945,9 944,7 99,9% -1,2 -1,2 1 233,9 1 226,9 99,4% -7,0 -5,2
1.1.83 Information and Communication Technology (ICT) 92,0 92,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0 23,3 22,4 96,4% -0,8 -0,7
1.1.9 Energy projects to aid economic recovery (EERP)
384,6 384,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0
1.1.OTH Other actions and programmes 215,6 214,1 99,3% -1,4 -1,4 202,8 201,6 99,4% -1,3 -0,3
1.1.SPEC Actions financed under the prerogatives of the Commission and specific competences conferred to the Commission
131,0 124,6 95,1% -6,4 -6,4 117,3 112,9 96,3% -4,4 -4,4
1.1.PPPA Pilot projects and preparatory actions 20,8 19,7 94,5% -1,1 -1,1 17,8 17,0 95,5% -0,8 -0,8
1.1.DAG Decentralised agencies 242,6 242,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0 235,0 234,8 99,9% -0,2 -0,2
SUB-TOTAL 17 551,7 17 537,5 99,9% -14,3 -14,1 15 721,0 15 581,4 99,1% -139,7 -38,3
1.2 Economic, Social and Territorial Cohesion
1.2.11 Regional convergence (Less developed regions) 35 405,9 35 405,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 27 632,5 27 632,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0
1.2.12 Transition regions 6 895,4 6 895,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 785,4 785,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0
1.2.13 Competitiveness (More developed regions) 10 682,6 10 682,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0 7 531,9 7 531,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0
1.2.14 Outermost and sparsely populated regions 278,5 278,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0 25,4 25,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0
1.2.15 Cohesion fund 10 934,5 10 934,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0 12 070,3 12 070,3 100,0% 0,0 0,0
20
ANNEX 1: 2015 IMPLEMENTATION – COMMITMENTS AND PAYMENTS Excluding Assigned Revenues
by heading of Multiannual Financial Framework
Provisional Data
Description
2015 COMMITMENTS 2015 PAYMENTS
Available Appropriations 31 December
2015
Implementation 31 December 2015
Balance Available Appropriations 31 December
2015
Implementation 31 December 2015
Balance
Amount % before
carryover after
carryover Amount %
before carryover
after carryover
1.2.2 European territorial cooperation 1 098,3 1 091,1 99,3% -7,2 0,0 1 278,4 1 278,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0
1.2.31 Technical assistance and innovative actions 192,8 173,0 89,7% -19,9 -19,9 179,1 159,6 89,1% -19,5 -5,0
1.2.4 European Aid to the Most Deprived (FEAD) 537,3 536,6 99,9% -0,6 -0,6 46,0 45,5 99,0% -0,5 -0,5
1.2.5 Youth employment initiative (specific top-up allocation) 1 636,9 1 636,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 1 035,1 1 035,1 100,0% 0,0 0,0
1.2.6 Contribution to the Connecting Europe Facility (CEF) 1 217,0 1 217,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0 394,7 393,6 99,7% -1,1 -1,1
1.2.PPPA Pilot projects and preparatory actions 3,5 3,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0 4,1 3,7 91,8% -0,3 -0,3
SUB-TOTAL 68 882,7 68 854,9 100,0% -27,7 -20,5 50 982,9 50 961,4 100,0% -21,5 -7,0
TOTAL SMART AND INCLUSIVE GROWTH 86 434,4 86 392,4 100,0% -42,0 -34,6 66 703,9 66 542,8 99,8% -161,1 -45,3
2. SUSTAINABLE GROWTH: NATURAL RESOURCES
2.0.10 European Agricultural Guarantee Fund (EAGF) - Market related expenditure and direct payments
44 323,1 43 871,6 99,0% -451,5 -41,7 44 330,9 43 863,1 98,9% -467,8 -44,2
2.0.2 European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development (EAFRD)
20 139,9 20 136,3 100,0% -3,6 -3,6 11 452,8 11 448,5 100,0% -4,3 -2,5
2.0.31 European Maritime and Fisheries Fund (EMFF) 1 651,8 1 650,8 99,9% -1,0 -1,0 787,1 785,9 99,8% -1,2 -0,3
2.0.32 Regional Fisheries Management Organisations (RFMOs) and Sustainable Fisheries Agreements (SFAs)
135,1 134,7 99,7% -0,4 -0,4 124,8 124,8 100,0% 0,0 0,0
2.0.4 Environment and climate action (LIFE) 435,1 434,5 99,9% -0,6 -0,6 345,6 339,1 98,1% -6,5 -1,4
2.0.SPEC Actions financed under the prerogatives of the Commission and specific competences conferred to the Commission
5,3 4,3 80,7% -1,0 -1,0 9,1 8,4 92,3% -0,7 -0,7
2.0.PPPA Pilot projects and preparatory actions 2,9 2,3 80,9% -0,6 -0,3 13,7 13,4 97,9% -0,3 -0,3
2.0.DAG Decentralised agencies 50,4 50,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 50,4 50,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0
TOTAL SUSTAINABLE GROWTH: NATURAL RESOURCES 66 743,6 66 285,0 99,3% -458,7 -48,6 57 114,5 56 633,6 99,2% -480,9 -49,4
3. SECURITY AND CITIZENSHIP
3.0.1 Asylum, Migration and Integration Fund (AMIF) 807,7 807,4 100,0% -0,4 -0,4 405,3 403,2 99,5% -2,1 -0,3
3.0.2 Internal Security Fund (ISF) 613,5 613,0 99,9% -0,5 -0,5 352,0 349,9 99,4% -2,1 -0,8
3.0.3 IT Systems 18,9 18,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 16,4 16,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0
3.0.4 Justice 48,4 48,3 99,8% -0,1 -0,1 30,7 29,6 96,5% -1,1 -0,3
21
ANNEX 1: 2015 IMPLEMENTATION – COMMITMENTS AND PAYMENTS Excluding Assigned Revenues
by heading of Multiannual Financial Framework
Provisional Data
Description
2015 COMMITMENTS 2015 PAYMENTS
Available Appropriations 31 December
2015
Implementation 31 December 2015
Balance Available Appropriations 31 December
2015
Implementation 31 December 2015
Balance
Amount % before
carryover after
carryover Amount %
before carryover
after carryover
3.0.5 Rights and Citizenship 57,4 56,8 98,9% -0,6 -0,6 39,0 38,3 98,0% -0,8 -0,3
3.0.6 Civil protection 29,3 29,0 99,0% -0,3 -0,3 24,6 23,8 96,8% -0,8 -0,8
3.0.7 Europe for Citizens 24,3 24,2 99,7% -0,1 -0,1 18,9 18,5 97,6% -0,4 -0,1
3.0.8 Food and Feed 252,5 252,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0 203,5 202,3 99,4% -1,2 -0,1
3.0.9 Health 59,8 59,7 100,0% 0,0 0,0 46,2 45,6 98,7% -0,6 0,0
3.0.10 Consumer protection 24,7 24,4 99,1% -0,2 -0,2 20,3 19,0 93,4% -1,3 -0,9
3.0.11 Creative Europe 177,7 177,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0 162,8 161,0 98,9% -1,8 -0,2
3.0.OTH Other actions and programmes
3.0.SPEC Actions financed under the prerogatives of the Commission and specific competencies conferred to the Commission
85,8 85,7 99,9% 0,0 0,0 90,0 89,2 99,1% -0,8 -0,1
3.0.PPPA Pilot projects and preparatory actions 17,7 17,5 98,8% -0,2 -0,2 11,7 11,6 99,0% -0,1 -0,1
3.0.DAG Decentralised agencies 558,2 558,2 100,0% 0,0 0,0 549,6 549,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0
TOTAL SECURITY AND CITIZENSHIP 2 775,6 2 773,1 99,9% -2,5 -2,5 1 971,2 1 958,1 99,3% -13,1 -4,0
4. GLOBAL EUROPE
4.0.1 Instrument for Pre-Accession Assistance (IPA) 1 687,7 1 686,8 99,9% -0,9 -0,9 1 517,2 1 505,3 99,2% -11,9 -7,0
4.0.2 European Neighbourhood Instrument (ENI) 2 385,8 2 385,5 100,0% -0,3 -0,3 1 607,0 1 600,0 99,6% -7,0 -0,6
4.0.3 Development Cooperation Instrument (DCI) 2 447,4 2 447,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 2 230,2 2 217,7 99,4% -12,4 -3,0
4.0.4 Partnership Instrument (PI) 118,0 118,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0 66,1 63,9 96,8% -2,1 -1,6
4.0.5 European Instrument for Democracy and Human Rights (EIDHR)
171,9 171,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 151,1 147,7 97,8% -3,4 -0,4
4.0.6 Instrument contributing to Stability and Peace (IcSP) 330,4 330,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 264,1 260,8 98,7% -3,4 -0,5
4.0.7 Humanitarian aid 1 295,9 1 295,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 1 212,0 1 207,1 99,6% -4,9 -0,3
4.0.8 Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) 285,2 239,9 84,1% -45,3 -28,1 261,2 260,9 99,9% -0,3 0,0
4.0.9 Instrument for Nuclear Safety Cooperation (INSC) 61,2 61,2 100,0% 0,0 0,0 54,5 54,0 99,1% -0,5 0,0
4.0.10 Macro-financial assistance (MFA) 0,5 0,1 12,6% -0,4 -0,4 23,0 23,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0
4.0.11 EU guarantees for lending operations 144,4 144,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 144,4 144,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0
4.0.12 Civil protection and European Emergency Response Centre (ERC)
19,9 18,6 93,1% -1,4 -1,4 14,5 14,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0
4.0.13 European Voluntary Humanitarian Aid Corps (EVHAC) 7,4 7,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 3,8 3,7 100,0% 0,0 0,0
4.0.OTH Other actions and programmes 75,8 74,9 98,8% -0,9 -0,9 58,2 58,0 99,7% -0,2 -0,1
4.0.SPEC Actions financed under the prerogatives of the Commission and specific competences conferred to the Commission
62,0 61,4 99,0% -0,6 -0,6 53,0 53,0 99,9% 0,0 0,0
22
ANNEX 1: 2015 IMPLEMENTATION – COMMITMENTS AND PAYMENTS Excluding Assigned Revenues
by heading of Multiannual Financial Framework
Provisional Data
Description
2015 COMMITMENTS 2015 PAYMENTS
Available Appropriations 31 December
2015
Implementation 31 December 2015
Balance Available Appropriations 31 December
2015
Implementation 31 December 2015
Balance
Amount % before
carryover after
carryover Amount %
before carryover
after carryover
4.0.PPPA Pilot projects and preparatory actions 16,2 16,2 100,0% 0,0 0,0 13,7 13,7 99,4% -0,1 -0,1
4.0.DAG Decentralised agencies 19,9 19,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 19,9 19,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0
TOTAL GLOBAL EUROPE 9 129,7 9 079,7 99,5% -50,0 -32,8 7 694,0 7 647,8 99,4% -46,2 -13,5
5. ADMINISTRATION
5.1.1 Pensions 1 559,1 1 559,1 100,0% 0,0 0,0 1 559,1 1 559,1 100,0% 0,0 0,0
5.1.2 European schools 162,6 162,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0 164,5 164,2 99,8% -0,3 0,0
5.2.3X Commission administrative expenditure 3 269,1 3 267,1 99,9% -2,1 -1,8 3 569,8 3 290,5 92,2% -279,3 -31,0
5.2.3PPPA Pilot projects and preparatory actions 3,0 3,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0 0,5 0,4 85,6% -0,1 -0,0
5.2.3DAG Decentralised agencies
TOTAL ADMINISTRATION 4 993,8 4 991,7 100,0% -2,1 -1,8 5 293,9 5 014,2 94,7% -279,7 -31,0
TOTAL APPROPRIATIONS 170 077,2 169 522,0 99,7% -555,2 -120,3 138 777,5 137 796,5 99,3% -981,0 -143,2
SPECIAL INSTRUMENTS
9.0.1 Emergency Aid Reserve (EAR) 219,4 0,0 0,0% -219,4 0,0
9.0.2 European Globalisation Adjustment Fund (EGF) 197,9 78,9 39,9% -119,0 -119,0 43,8 43,0 98,2% -0,8 -0,2
9.0.31 European Union Solidarity Fund (EUSF) - Member States 149,3 149,3 100,0% 0,0 0,0 149,3 149,3 100,0% 0,0 0,0
9.0.32 European Union Solidarity Fund (EUSF) - Countries negotiating for accession
60,2 60,2 100,0% 0,0 0,0 60,2 60,2 100,0% 0,0 0,0
TOTAL SPECIAL INSTRUMENTS 626,8 288,4 46,0% -338,4 -119,0 253,3 252,5 99,7% -0,8 -0,2
GRAND TOTAL 170 704,0 169 810,3 99,5% -893,6 -239,3 139 030,8 138 049,0 99,3% -981,8 -143,4
23
ANNEX 2: HEADING 1B
LATEST FORECASTS FROM MEMBER STATES (JANUARY 2016)21
This annex sets out the latest forecasts from the Member States as regards the submission of
payment claims for the 2007-2013 and 2014-2020 Cohesion programmes in 2016 and 2017.
The figures related to 2007-2013 programming period include ESF, ERDF and CF.
The figures related to 2014-2020 programming period include ESF, YEI, FEAD, ERDF and
CF.
21
Data as 24/02/2016.
Member States forecasts – 2007-2013 programmes (in € billion)
Gross forecasts Gross forecasts
2016 2017
AT Austria 0,01 0,02
BE Belgium 0,03 0,06
BG Bulgaria 0,97 0,00
CY Cyprus 0,01 0,00
CZ Czech Republ ic 1,51 1,04
DE Germany 0,58 0,35
DK Denmark 0,00 0,00
EE Estonia 0,00 0,00
ES Spain 3,82 0,00
FI Finland 0,00 0,00
FR France 0,43 0,33
GR Greece 0,11 0,00
HR Croatia 0,19 0,02
HU Hungary 1,63 1,24
IE Ireland 0,00 0,00
IT Ita ly 3,41 0,47
LT Li thuania 0,00 0,34
LU Luxemburg 0,00 0,00
LV Latvia 0,00 0,23
MT Malta 0,10 0,04
NL Netherlands 0,11 0,00
PL Poland 4,00 0,00
PT Portugal 0,07 1,00
RO Romania 2,94 0,63
SE Sweden 0,00 0,00
SI Slovenia 0,00 0,00
SK Slovakia 1,61 0,39
UK United Kingdom 0,93 0,00
CB Terri toria l Cooperation 0,39 0,10
TOTAL 22,84 6,26
Period
2007-2013
24
Member States forecasts – 2014-2020 programmes (in € billion)
Gross forecasts Gross forecasts
2016 2017
AT Austria 0,01 0,09
BE Belgium 0,10 0,22
BG Bulgaria 0,45 1,00
CY Cyprus 0,07 0,10
CZ Czech Republ ic 0,39 1,32
DE Germany 1,11 2,55
DK Denmark 0,04 0,06
EE Estonia 0,37 0,48
ES Spain 1,42 3,20
FI Finland 0,10 0,17
FR France 0,84 1,12
GR Greece 2,37 1,56
HR Croatia 0,17 0,59
HU Hungary 2,79 3,68
IE Ireland 0,00 0,17
IT Ita ly 1,75 2,52
LT Li thuania 0,47 1,04
LU Luxemburg 0,00 0,01
LV Latvia 0,27 0,60
MT Malta 0,02 0,06
NL Netherlands 0,04 0,14
PL Poland 3,63 7,17
PT Portugal 1,66 2,56
RO Romania 0,80 3,21
SE Sweden 0,03 0,09
SI Slovenia 0,21 0,42
SK Slovakia 1,22 1,80
UK United Kingdom 0,46 0,90
TC Terri toria l Cooperation 0,20 0,69
TOTAL 21,00 37,52
Period
2014-2020
25
ANNEX 3: COHESION POLICY DECOMMITMENTS IN 2015
H1b - budget line DescriptionAmount decommitted
in 2015 (in € million)
04 01 04 01 Support expenditure for European Social Fund and non-operational technical assistance 0,02-
04 02 01 Completion of the European Social Fund - Objective 1 (2000 to 2006) 15,57-
04 02 04 Completion of the European Social Fund - Objective 2 (2000 to 2006) 3,92-
04 02 06 Completion of the European Social Fund - Objective 3 (2000 to 2006) 7,62-
04 02 09 Completion of previous Community initiatives (prior to 2000) 0,07-
04 02 17 Completion of the European Social Fund - Convergence (2007 to 2013) 31,10-
04 02 19 Completion of the European Social Fund - Regional competitiveness and employment (2007 to 2013) 98,12-
04 02 20 Completion of the European Social Fund - Operational technical assistance (2007 to 2013) 1,47-
04 02 63 01 European Social Fund - Operational technical assistance 0,10-
13 01 04 01 Support expenditure for European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) 0,37-
13 01 04 03 Support expenditure for the Cohesion Fund 0,12-
13 03 01 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Objective 1 (2000 to 2006) 260,19-
13 03 04 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Objective 2 (2000 to 2006) 150,17-
13 03 07 Completion of earlier programmes - Community initiatives (prior to 2000) 0,17-
13 03 13 Completion of Interreg III Community initiative (2000 to 2006) 16,39-
13 03 16 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Convergence 329,25-
13 03 18 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Regional competitiveness and employment 31,20-
13 03 19 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - European territorial cooperation 8,57-
13 03 20 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Operational technical assistance 1,18-
13 03 31
Completion of technical assistance and dissemination of information on the European Union strategy for
the Baltic Sea Region and an improved knowledge of macroregions strategy (2007 to 2013) 0,05-
13 03 65 01 European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Operational technical assistance 0,52-
13 03 67 Macro-regional strategies 2014-2020 - European Strategy for the Baltic Sea Region - Technical Assistance 0,02-
13 03 77 06
Preparatory action - Enhancing regional and local cooperation through the promotion of Union regional
policy on a global scale 0,19-
13 04 01 Completion of Cohesion Fund projects (prior to 2007) 184,59-
13 04 02 Completion of Cohesion Fund (2007 to 2013) 0,47-
13 04 61 01 Cohesion Fund - Operational technical assistance 0,23-
1 141,65- TOTAL
In € million
ERDF ESF
Austria - 0,09
Belgium 7,12 -
France - 3,92
Greece 100,50 -
Italy 114,32 7,53
Spain - 15,57
United Kingdom 188,41 -
Multi-Country 16,39 -
Total 426,75 27,11
Member StateFunds 2000-2006
In € mill ion
Convergence
Regional
Competitiveness
and Employment
Territorial
Cooperation
Austria - 21,37 -
Belgium - 1,39 -
Bulgaria 19,36 - -
Czech Republic 306,73 2,71 -
France - 0,76 -
Germany 23,01 - -
Hungary - 0,00 -
Italy 3,16 9,41 -
Spain - 93,22 -
United Kingdom 8,09 0,45 -
Multi-Country - - 8,57
Total 360,36 129,31 8,57
Member State
Funds 2007-2013
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