Active Monitoring and Forecast of Budget Implementation...

2 March 2016 INFO(2016) 11

Active Monitoring and Forecast of

Budget Implementation –

2015 Information Note

Contents

1. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS .......................................................................... 2

2. INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY ............................................................. 3

3. IMPLEMENTATION OF THE BUDGET 2015 ........................................................ 4

3.1. Implementation at the end of December 2015 .................................................. 4

3.2. Reprogrammed commitments ........................................................................... 5

3.3. Adjustments of payment appropriations (Global Transfer and End of

Year Transfer) ................................................................................................... 6

3.4. Programmes with significant under-implementation ........................................ 7

3.4.1. Commitments ...................................................................................... 7

3.4.2. Payments .............................................................................................. 8

4. IMPLEMENTATION OF APPROPRIATIONS CARRIED FORWARD

FROM 2014 ................................................................................................................. 8

5. IMPLEMENTATION OF ASSIGNED REVENUE ................................................... 9

6. EVOLUTION OF RAL ............................................................................................. 11

7. LATE INTEREST PAYMENTS .............................................................................. 11

8. COHESION POLICY: COHESION POLICY: LATEST SUBMISSION OF

MEMBER STATES' PAYMENTS FORECASTS FOR YEAR 2016 ..................... 12

8.1. State of play at end 2015 ................................................................................. 12

8.2. January submission of Member States' payment forecasts for 2016 ............... 14

8.3. Implications of Member States' forecasts for Budget 2016............................. 15

8.4. Cohesion policy decommitments .................................................................... 17

8.5. Conclusions ..................................................................................................... 17

ANNEX 1: 2015 IMPLEMENTATION – COMMITMENTS AND PAYMENTS ......... 19

ANNEX 2: HEADING 1B LATEST FORECASTS FROM MEMBER STATES

(JANUARY 2016) ..................................................................................................... 23

ANNEX 3: COHESION POLICY DECOMMITMENTS IN 2015 .................................. 25

2

1. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

1. Essentially, all commitment and payment appropriations were consumed in 2015. At

end-2015 the implementation of commitment appropriations (after carryovers)

amounted to EUR 170,0 billion (99,9 % of available appropriations). The

implementation of payment appropriations reached EUR 138,6 billion (after

carryovers), corresponding to 99,9% of available appropriations.

2. In spite of the record high level of commitment appropriations available in 2015

within heading 1b (Economic, social and territorial cohesion), due to almost

EUR 20 billion of structural funds carried over or reprogrammed from 2014, all of

them were implemented, as all operational programmes were adopted before the end

of the year. The backlog of unpaid claims for 2007-2013 operational programmes at

the end of 2015 was EUR 8,2 billion, compared to EUR 24,7 billion a year earlier.

The backlog was significantly lower than forecast due to much lower submission of

payment applications than expected (in particular from three Member States), and

the transfer of appropriations from the new programmes due to delays in the

designation of managing authorities. The 'abnormal' backlog is expected to be fully

phased out by the end of 2016 in line with the 'payment plan' agreed with the

Parliament and the Council.

3. In the course of 2015, two Amending Budgets (5 and 7) increased commitment and

payment appropriations of headings 3 (Security and Citizenship) and 4 (Global

Europe) to address the refugee crisis. Whereas commitments increased by

EUR 406,5 million compared to the initial 2015 budget, payment appropriations

were redeployed within and between headings, leaving the total amount unchanged.

4. As expected, there was a slowdown in the pace of increase of late interest payments

in the course of the year, with the total amount paid in 2015 reaching

EUR 2,2 million, significantly lower than the interest paid in 2014 (EUR 3 million).

Given the level of payment appropriations authorised in the 2016 budget, a further

decrease of late interest payments is expected in 2016.

5. After the artificial decrease in outstanding commitments ('RAL', from the French

acronym "reste à liquider") at the end of 2014 (due to the reprogramming in 2015 of

most of the EUR 32 billion commitment appropriations carried over from 2014

because of the delays in the adoption of operational programmes), the level of RAL

increased by EUR 27,9 billion in 2015 reaching EUR 216,7 billion, approaching the

level of RAL in 2012 (EUR 216,9 billion) and 2013 (EUR 221,5 billion). As

commitment appropriations are over EUR 11 billion higher than payment

appropriations in the 2016 budget, the RAL is expected to rise again in 2016.

3

2. INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY

This Information Note gives an overview of budget implementation as at 31

December 2015, for both commitment and payment appropriations in the

Commission's section of the budget (Section III). The starting point for the analysis

is the 2015 budget as adopted by the budgetary authority, including amending

budgets, carryovers from 2014 into 2015, transfers and mobilised reserves.

Section 3 deals briefly with the reprogramming of significant commitments from

2014 to 2015 (section 3.2) as well as the adjustments of payment appropriations in

2015 (section 3.3). This section gives also explanations of the most significant

deviations from the budget in terms of the implementation of appropriations (section

3.4)1.

In addition, the note shows the implementation of appropriations carried over from

2014 to 2015 (section 4) and the implementation of assigned revenue (section 5).

Section 6 provides a report on the evolution of RAL while section 7 presents the

latest figures on late payment interest.

Finally, section 8 reviews the cohesion backlog situation and presents the outlook

for 2016 taking into account the latest Member States' forecasts.

At this stage, except for heading 1b, rural development and the fisheries fund, it is

not possible to estimate the amount of backlog for the other programmes before the

completion of the cut-off exercise linked to the establishment of the provisional

accounts due for 31 March at the latest. Analysis of this backlog will be provided in

the next Active Monitoring and Forecast of Budget Implementation note which will

be published at the beginning of July.

1 It should be noted that all figures are provisional pending the final accounts for the year.

4

3. IMPLEMENTATION OF THE BUDGET 2015

3.1. Implementation at the end of December 2015

The analysis focuses on commitment and payment appropriations by heading.

Furthermore, for the main programmes2, it provides more detailed analysis, if the

programme's under-implementation was EUR 10 million or more.

The following table shows the implementation by heading at the end of December

as well as the carryover from 2015 to 2016.

Table 1: 2015 Budget Implementation

The implementation of 2015 commitment appropriations amounted to

EUR 169,5 billion (99,7% of available appropriations). However, the

implementation reached 99,9% taking into account the carryover of appropriations

from 2015 to 2016, leaving EUR 120 million under-implemented.

The implementation of 2015 payment appropriations amounted to

EUR 137,8 billion (99,3% of available appropriations). After the carryover of

appropriations to 2016, the implementation rate reaches 99,9% and the under-

implementation amounts to only EUR 143 million.

2 Defined as the programmes having at least EUR 100 million of payment appropriations in 2015.

(€m) (€m) % (€m) (€m) (€m) %

(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d)=(b)-(a) (e) (f)=(a)+(e) (g)=[(a)+(e)]/(a)

1a Competitiv eness for grow th and jobs 17 552 17 537 99,9% -14 -14 17 538 99,9%

1b Economic, social and territorial cohesion 68 883 68 855 100,0% -28 -21 68 862 100,0%

2 Sustainable grow th: Natural Resources 66 744 66 285 99,3% -459 -49 66 695 99,9%

3 Security and Citizenship 2 776 2 773 99,9% -2 -2 2 773 99,9%

4 Global Europe 9 130 9 080 99,5% -50 -33 9 097 99,6%

5 Administration 4 994 4 992 100,0% -2 -2 4 992 100,0%

170 077 169 522 99,7% -555 -120 169 957 99,9%

Special Instruments 627 288 46,0% -338 -119 508 81,0%

170 704 169 810 99,5% -894 -239 169 957 99,6%

before after

carry ov er carry ov er

(€m) (€m) % (€m) (€m) (€m) %

(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d)=(b)-(a) (e) (f)=(a)+(e) (g)=[(a)+(e)]/(a)

1a Competitiv eness for grow th and jobs 15 721 15 581 99,1% -140 -38 15 683 99,8%

1b Economic, social and territorial cohesion 50 983 50 961 100,0% -21 -7 50 976 100,0%

2 Sustainable grow th: Natural Resources 57 115 56 634 99,2% -481 -49 57 065 99,9%

3 Security and Citizenship 1 971 1 958 99,3% -13 -4 1 967 99,8%

4 Global Europe 7 694 7 648 99,4% -46 -13 7 680 99,8%

5 Administration 5 294 5 014 94,7% -280 -31 5 263 99,4%

138 777 137 797 99,3% -981 -143 138 634 99,9%

Special Instruments 253 252 99,7% -1 0 253 99,9%

139 031 138 049 99,3% -982 -143 138 887 99,9%(1) initial budget and adopted amending budgets + appropriations carried forward from 2014, mobilised reserves and transfers. Excludes assigned revenue.

FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK HEADING

Av ailable

Appropriations (1)

Implementation

Balance

2015 COMMITMENTS

Implementation

after carrov erbefore

carrov er

after

carry ov er

after

carry ov er

Grand Total

Total

Total

Implementation

2015 PAYMENTS


Av ailable

Appropriations (1)

Implementation

Balance

Grand Total

5

At the heading level, the table provides the following information:

For heading 1a (Competitiveness for growth and jobs), virtually all the

commitment and payment appropriations were consumed. In 2015 the newly

created European Fund for Strategic Investment (EFSI) was added to heading 1a

and provided with EUR 1 360 million of commitment appropriations

(reallocated from the Connecting Europe Facility, Horizon 2020 and the

International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) programme as

stipulated in Amending Budget 2/2015), all of which was fully implemented.

For heading 1b (Economic, Social and Territorial Cohesion), implementation

reached 100% for both commitments and payments. The year 2015 saw the

highest-ever level of commitment appropriations available to heading 1b, which

was due to almost EUR 20 billion carried-over or reprogrammed from 2014, not

implemented in 2014 due to delays in the adoption of the operational

programmes. For payments, the payment claims for cohesion policy that arrived

in 2015 proved to be lower than Member States' forecasts, which reduced the

pressure on payments and led to a significant decrease in the backlog of unpaid

claims at the end of the year. (see section 8 for further details).

Heading 2 (Sustainable growth: Natural Resources) recorded almost full

implementation in 2015 for both commitments and payments. The under-

implementation originated mostly from the European Agricultural Guarantee

Fund (EAGF) Reserve for crisis in the agricultural sector, which was not used,

and as a consequence was transferred to 2015 to reimburse the financial

discipline to the farmers up to the amount allowed by the legal base (see section

3.4.1 for further explanation).

Both commitment and payment appropriations in heading 3 (Security and

Citizenship) were essentially fully implemented. As a result of the migration

crisis this heading was significantly reinforced throughout the year (through

Amending Budgets 5 and 7/2015 and the Global transfer, in total

EUR 165,1 million in commitments and EUR 130,4 million in payments).

The migration crisis also had an impact on heading 4 (Global Europe), whose

appropriations were also reinforced in 2015 (through Amending Budget 7, the

Emergency Aid Reserve and the Global transfer, in total EUR 582,5 million in

commitment appropriations and EUR 248,0 million in payment appropriations).

The available commitment and payment appropriations of the heading were

nearly fully consumed, with some commitments left under-implemented within

the Common Foreign and Security Policy (see section 3.4.1 for further details).

3.2. Reprogrammed commitments

Because of the delays in the adoption of the operational programmes for the

cohesion policy (and other shared management programmes such as rural

development and the European Maritime and Fisheries Fund in heading 2 as well as

AMIF and ISF in heading 3), a large amount of commitment appropriations were not

implemented in 2014. Where the adoption process of the operational programmes

was nearly completed, the corresponding commitment appropriations were carried

6

over in order to be implemented before 31 March 2015. Where the adoption process

was not sufficiently advanced, the commitments were reprogrammed to 2015 or

subsequent years. All 28 Member States were concerned by this reprogramming

exercise.

The amending budget (AB) No 1 to the 2015 budget which was presented in parallel

with the Commission's proposal for a revision of the multiannual financial

framework (MFF) for the years 2014-2020, in accordance with Article 19 of Council

Regulation No 1311/2013 (MFF Regulation) implemented this reprogramming. The

revision of the MFF and the adoption of AB No 1 were a necessary condition for the

adoption of the programmes in 2015. In accordance with the MFF revision, AB No 1

proposed a EUR 16,5 billion increase in commitment appropriations in 2015 for the

various funds under shared management under heading 1b, heading 2 and heading 3.

AB No 1 also proposed an increase of EUR 2,5 million for the Instrument for Pre-

accession Assistance (IPA II) under heading 4, to maintain similar treatment

between contributions from heading 4 and heading 1b to the European Regional

Development Fund (ERDF) – European territorial cooperation (ETC) programmes.

The reprogrammed commitment appropriations were fully implemented in 2015.

3.3. Adjustments of payment appropriations (Global Transfer and End of

Year Transfer)

In 2015 there were two transfers aiming to rebalance payment appropriations: the

"Global Transfer" adopted in October 2015 and the "End of Year Transfer" adopted

in January 2016, but implemented in December 2015. Like all transfers, these are

zero-sum operations whereby reinforcements are only possible if appropriations are

made available from elsewhere.

The 2015 "Global Transfer" amounted to EUR 424,0 million. 73 budget lines were

concerned (26 for reinforcement and 47 for reductions). The programmes with the

most significant reductions in appropriations were ITER (- EUR 110 million), CEF

Transport, EGNOS and GALILEO (- EUR 53 million). Among the programmes

with the highest reinforcements were Erasmus + (+ EUR 150 million), the

Development Cooperation Instrument (+ EUR 50 million) and the Internal Security

Fund (+ EUR 41 million).

The 2015 "End of Year Transfer" amounted to EUR 415,9 million. It enabled

payment appropriations, mostly from the Fund for the European Aid to the Most

Deprived (- EUR 285,8 million) to be transferred to cover part of the outstanding

need for funds in Rural development (+ EUR 288,5 million) and the European

Regional Development Fund (+ EUR 127,4 million). The amount was drawn from

62 budget lines.

7

3.4. Programmes with significant under-implementation

This section identifies the main programmes (i.e. programmes with budgeted

appropriations of at least EUR 100 million) with 2015 under-implementation of at

least EUR 10 million. Annex 1 gives detailed information for all the programmes.

3.4.1. Commitments

1.2.31 Technical assistance

In € million

Appropriations

2015

Implementation

31/12/2015 Balance

Carry over

to 2016 Under-implemented

192,8 173,0 89,7% 19,9 0 19,9

Following the delayed adoption of operational programmes compared with the initial

planning, a number of technical assistance actions supporting the programme

implementation were cancelled or postponed to 2016. This covers mainly

communication activities, evaluations and other studies as well as organisation of

workshops. Delayed adoptions also had an impact on the timely implementation of

the Joint Assistance to Support Projects in European Regions (JASPERS) facility for

the preparation of the major projects. Finally, negotiations procedures with

International Organisation (OECD and World Bank) took longer than initially

planned, thus also having an impact on the implementation of the 2015 budget.

2.0.1 European Agricultural Guarantee Fund (EAGF)

In € million

Appropriations

2015

Implementation

31/12/2015 Balance

Carry over


44 323,1 43 871,6 99,0% 451,5 409,8 41,7

In the first place, a total amount of EUR 433 million of non-committed

appropriations was transferred from item 05 03 10 00 – Reserve for crisis in the

agricultural sector, to item 05 03 09 00 – Reimbursement of direct aids in relation to

financial discipline. Then, in accordance with Article 169(3) of Regulation (EU,

Euratom) No 966/2012 and Article 26 of Regulation (EU) No 1306/2013, 2% of the

initial appropriations (or the amount of the adjustment of direct payments for

financial discipline) could be carried over to the following financial year. Therefore,

the amount of EUR 409,8 million, respecting the 2% limit mentioned above, was

carried over. This amount, in accordance with Article 26(5) of Regulation (EU) No

1306/2013 will be made available to the Member States for reimbursement.

8

4.0.8 – Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP)

In € million

Appropriations

2015

Implementation

31/12/2015 Balance

Carry over


285,2 239,9 84,1% 45,3 17,2 28,1

The lower-than-expected implementation in commitment appropriations relates to

the downsizing of the biggest Common Security and Defence Policy missions

(Afghanistan, Kosovo); the reduced activities and costs for the mission in Libya

(due to the deterioration of the security situation in the country) and the delay in

establishment and financing the Kosovo Specialist Chambers, which has been

postponed to 2016. While EUR 50,9 million was transferred to other policy areas in

heading 4 and EUR 17,2 million was carried over to 2016, EUR 28,1 million were

left unused at the end of the year.

3.4.2. Payments

2.0.1 European Agricultural Guarantee Fund (EAGF)

In € million

Appropriations

2015

Implementation

31/12/2015 Balance

Carry

over to

2016

Under-implemented

44 330,9 43 863,1 98,9% 467,8 423,6 44,2

Explanation as above for EAGF commitments.

4. IMPLEMENTATION OF APPROPRIATIONS CARRIED FORWARD FROM 2014

Table 2: 2015 Budget Implementation – Appropriations Carried Forward from 2014, by Heading

As mentioned earlier, the exceptionally high level of carryover of commitment

appropriations from 2014 to 2015 was due to the delayed adoption of the 2014-2020

operational programmes for shared management. Programmes that were sufficiently

advanced and on the verge of adoption at the end of 2014 benefitted from the

carryover procedure. All the corresponding appropriations were fully committed in

2015 once the programmes had been adopted. The EUR 14,7 million of the

commitment appropriations carried-over from 2014 which were not implemented

Appropriations Balance Appropriations Balance

(€m) (€m) % (€m) (€m) (€m) % (€m)

(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d)=(b)-(a) (e) (f) (g)=(f)/(e) (h)=(f)-(e)

1a Competitiv eness for grow th and jobs 0,0 0,0 - 0,0 111,9 99,7 89,1% -12,2

1b Economic, social and territorial cohesion 8 479,7 8 479,7 100,0% 0,0 16,0 14,0 87,2% -2,1

2 Market Ex penditure & Direct Aids 868,2 854,0 98,4% -14,2 884,3 868,4 98,2% -15,9

2 Other Heading 2 Programmes (1)

1 998,8 1 998,8 100,0% 0,0 17,8 16,9 94,9% -0,9

3 Security and Citizenship 253,5 253,5 100,0% 0,0 7,9 7,0 89,4% -0,8

4 Global Europe 335,2 334,7 99,9% -0,5 42,1 36,8 87,3% -5,4

5 Administration 0,0 0,0 - 0,0 301,5 272,3 90,3% -29,2

Total 11 935,4 11 920,7 99,9% -14,7 1 381,5 1 315,2 95,2% -66,3

Special Instruments 162,3 162,3 100,0% 0,0 35,8 35,7 99,7% -0,1

12 097,7 12 083,0 99,9% -14,7 1 417,2 1 350,8 95,3% -66,4(1) rural development, fisheries, LIFE, etc

Grand Total


2015 COMMITMENTS - CARRYOVERS FROM 2014 2015 PAYMENTS - CARRYOVERS FROM 2014

Implementation Implementation

9

relate almost exclusively to the EAGF and specifically to the amount of financial

discipline applied on the 2014 direct payments for which Member States did not

request a reimbursement in 2015.

Table 3: 2015 Budget Implementation – Payments Carried Forward from 2014, by Programme

The payment appropriations carried forward from 2014 into 2015 may be split

between non-administrative expenditure (EUR 923,2 million) and administrative

expenditure (EUR 494,1 million, of which EUR 301,5 million is in heading 5). The

under-implementation was EUR 15,6 million for non-administrative expenditure

(mostly linked to the non-implementation of the non-differentiated appropriations for

the EAGF) and EUR 50,8 million for administrative expenditure, of which EUR 29,2

million in heading 5 (EUR 7,6 million related to the budget line for Damages).

5. IMPLEMENTATION OF ASSIGNED REVENUE

Table 4: 2015 Budget Implementation – Assigned Revenue, by Heading

Appropriations Balance

(€m) (€m) % (€m)

(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d)=(b)-(a)

1.1.7 Customs, Fiscalis and Anti-Fraud 0,1 0,1 73,5% 0,0

Heading 1a Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 111,8 99,7 89,1% -12,1

Total Heading 1a 111,9 99,7 89,1% -12,2

Heading 1b Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 16,0 14,0 87,2% -2,1

Total Heading 1b 16,0 14,0 87,2% -2,1

2.0.1 Market related ex penditure and direct pay ments 878,6 863,0 98,2% -15,6

2.0.2 European Agricultural Fund for Rural Dev elopment 0,2 0,2 97,5% 0,0

Heading 2 Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 23,3 22,2 95,2% -1,1

Total Heading 2 902,1 885,3 98,1% -16,8

Heading 3a Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 7,9 7,0 89,4% -0,8

Total Heading 3a 7,9 7,0 89,4% -0,8

4.0.6 Instrument contributing to Stability and Peace (IcSP) 6,2 6,2 100,0% 0,0

4.0.7 Humanitarian Aid 0,1 0,1 99,8% 0,0

4.0.13 European Voluntary Humanitarian Aid Corps (EVHAC) 2,4 2,4 99,9% 0,0

4.0.SPECActions financed under the prerogativ es of the

Commission and specific competences conferred to the 0,1 0,1 100,0% 0,0

Heading 4 Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 33,3 28,0 83,9% -5,4

Total Heading 4 42,1 36,8 87,3% -5,4

5.1.2 European schools 1,9 1,9 100,0% 0,0

5.2.3X Commission administrativ e ex penditure 299,6 270,5 90,3% -29,2

Total Heading 5 301,5 272,3 90,3% -29,2

9.0.2 European Globalisation Adjustment Fund (EGF) 35,5 35,5 100,0% 0,0

Special Instruments Administrativ e (=ex -BA lines) 0,2 0,1 51,7% -0,1

Total Special Instruments 35,8 35,7 99,7% -0,1

Total 1 417,2 1 350,8 95,3% -66,4

Implementation

2015 PAYMENTS - CARRYOVERS FROM 2014

FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK SUB-HEADING

(€m) (€m) % (€m) (€m) %

(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d) (e) (f)=(e)/(d)

1a Competitiv eness for grow th and jobs 2 538,0 1 363,6 53,7% 3 263,0 1 220,5 37,4%

1b Economic, social and territorial cohesion 410,8 390,6 95,1% 348,7 245,9 70,5%

2 Sustainable grow th: Natural Resources 2 395,4 1 089,7 45,5% 2 373,7 1 431,9 60,3%

3 Security and Citizenship 93,3 52,6 56,4% 83,9 60,5 72,1%

4 Global Europe 643,7 317,1 49,3% 534,0 236,6 44,3%

5 Administration 344,0 208,0 60,5% 347,7 172,9 49,7%

Special Instruments 68,8 0,0 0,0% 68,8 35,5 51,6%

6 494,1 3 421,7 52,7% 7 019,7 3 403,7 48,5%Total


2015 COMMITMENTS 2015 PAYMENTS

Av ailable

AppropriationsImplementation

Av ailable

AppropriationsImplementation

10

Over 75% of available assigned revenue appropriations concern headings 1a and 2.

Whereas heading 1a revenues mainly derive from third party participation in

research and education programmes, heading 2 revenues come from agriculture

recovery orders and recoveries carried over from 2014.

Table 5: 2015 Budget Implementation – Assigned Revenue, by Source

The implementation of 2015 assigned revenue appropriations amounted to

EUR 3 421,7 million for commitment appropriations (52,7 %) and

EUR 3 403,7 million for payment appropriations (48,5 %). While the

implementation for commitments is comparable in both absolute and percentage

terms with the implementation in 2014 (EUR 3 429,1 million, 51,4%), the

implementation for payments is significantly below its 2014 level

(EUR 3 757,6 million, 48,5%)

The EAGF assigned revenue appropriations that are newly declared by Member

States, which originate mainly from clearance of accounts corrections, irregularities

and the milk levy, are usually used towards the end of the budget year of recovery or

the beginning of the next year. In accordance with the applicable rules, amounts

collected in one budget year which are not used at the end of that year can be carried

over to the next year only, and consequently they are fully consumed in that year.

The implementation of EFTA appropriations follows a different pattern, and since

they are normally received and consumed within the same year, the implementation

of both commitment and payment appropriations is high in comparison with most

other types of assigned revenue. Almost 95% of EFTA appropriations (both

commitments and payments) are concentrated in heading 1a.

The other types of assigned revenue mainly concern third party or third country

participation in Community programmes. These are generally received and

committed within the same year or the following year. However, the corresponding

payments are made over a number of years, depending on the life cycle of the

programmes concerned. Unused appropriations are therefore carried over to

subsequent years without any limitation, but following the duration of the

programme whose actions are being financed. This explains low annual levels of

implementation for these types of appropriations.

Av ailable Av ailable

(€m) (€m) % (€m) (€m) %

(a) (b) (c)=(b)/(a) (d) (e) (f)=(e)/(d)

RECOVERIES OF 2015 3 006,4 1 295,5 43,1% 3 020,4 1 522,2 50,4%

••• EAGF Clearances, Irregularities, Milk Levy 1 631,6 735,2 45,1% 1 631,6 735,2 45,1%

••• Other 1 374,7 560,3 40,8% 1 388,8 786,9 56,7%

RECOVERIES CARRIED OVER FROM 2014 1 094,1 859,6 78,6% 807,5 788,2 97,6%

••• EAGF Clearances, Irregularities, Milk Levy 341,3 341,3 100,0% 341,3 341,3 100,0%

••• Other 752,9 518,3 68,8% 466,2 447,0 95,9%

EFTA 423,2 418,6 98,9% 391,8 390,2 99,6%

Candidate Countries' Contributions 29,2 19,5 66,8% 39,3 5,0 12,6%

JRC Competitiv e Income 475,8 80,6 16,9% 390,6 86,4 22,1%

Other Earmarked Rev enues (Third Party ) 1 408,8 700,5 49,7% 2 300,5 566,6 24,6%

Coal and Steel Income 56,6 47,3 83,7% 69,6 45,1 64,8%

Total 6 494,1 3 421,7 52,7% 7 019,7 3 403,7 48,5%

SOURCE

ASSIGNED REVENUE : COMMITMENTS ASSIGNED REVENUE : PAYMENTS

Implementation Implementation

11

6. EVOLUTION OF RAL

Table 6: RAL 2007-2015

As expected, after an artificial decrease in the RAL at the end of 2014, its level

increased significantly in 2015 as a natural consequence of the full implementation

of EUR 32 billion of differentiated commitment appropriations, either

reprogrammed or carried over from 2014. Its level is, nevertheless, over 2% lower

than at the end of 2013, the year of the highest RAL. In 2016, due to a difference of

over EUR 10 billion between budgeted commitment and payment appropriations, a

further increase of RAL is expected. This evolution of the RAL in 2015 and 2016 is

in line with the projections used for the multiannual financial framework.

7. LATE INTEREST PAYMENTS

Due to the lack of payment appropriations in 2014, payment of late interest was

concentrated in the first half of 2015. In the second half of the year, as the pressure

on payments was released, there was a slowdown in the accumulation of late interest

which at the end of the year amounted to EUR 2,2 million and was over 25% lower

than at the end of 2014 (the amount for the whole 2015 is lower than the amount

given in October's AMFBI report due to corrections made at the end of the year).

Due to diminished pressure on payments, a further decrease in late interest payments

is expected in 2016.

In € mi l l ion

Financial

Framew ork

Heading

1a. Competitiveness for growth and jobs 15 810 16 612 19 516 22 478 23 855 26 554 29 629 33 546 34 428

1b. Economic, social and territorial cohesion 91 709 103 190 117 384 127 989 135 851 139 717 137 063 109 479 126 374

2. Sustainable growth: Natural Resources 9 905 14 125 19 541 22 963 25 302 26 886 28 428 19 382 28 190

3. Security and Citizenship 1 354 1 531 1 662 1 911 2 130 2 317 3 077 2 581 3 137

4. Global Europe 19 250 18 840 18 462 18 332 19 567 21 429 23 313 23 841 24 613

Total 138 028 154 298 176 565 193 673 206 705 216 903 221 510 188 830 216 742

RAL

End

2007

End

2008

End

2009

End

2010

End

2011

End

2012

End

2013

End

2014

End

2015

12

Table 7: Late interest paid in 2014 and 2015

Almost all the interest on late payments relates to headings 1a and 4 (over 98% in

2015). Late payment interest in four programmes (the Development Cooperation

Instrument, Energy Projects to aid Economic Recovery (EERP), the European

Neighbourhood Instrument and the Instrument contributing to Stability and Peace)

account for over 66% of all late interest paid in 2015.

8. COHESION POLICY: COHESION POLICY: LATEST SUBMISSION OF MEMBER STATES'

PAYMENTS FORECASTS FOR YEAR 20163

8.1. State of play at end 2015

Full implementation has been achieved in 2015, both in commitment and payment

appropriations, for heading 1b.

- 2007-2013 programming period. By the end 2015, 256 (out of 463) programmes,

of which 65 for the European Social Fund (ESF), and 191 for the Cohesion Fund

(CF) and the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) had submitted

enough valid payment applications to reach the 95% ceiling4 (100% for Greece

5)

which the Commission can reimburse before closure. Total payments (pre-

financing and interim) made by the end of 2015 represent around 89% of the

2007-2013 Heading 1b envelope (after decommitments).

- 2014-2020 programming period. All the 417 operational programmes were

adopted before the end of 2015 and the corresponding tranches of pre-financing

have been paid over the last two years. The first interim payment applications

were already received and paid in 2015.

2007-2013 programmes

In the 'payments plan' of May 20156, the European Parliament, the Council and the

Commission agreed to progressively phase out the 'abnormal' backlog of outstanding

3 End of January is the deadline for Member States submissions of their updated forecasts. Data as of 24/02/2016.

4

The 95% ceiling in payments is set out in Art. 79 of the Council Regulation 1083/2006: "The cumulative total of pre-financing and interim payments made

shall not exceed 95% of the contribution from the Funds to the operational programme. When this ceiling is reached, the certifying authority shall continue

transmitting to the Commission any certified statement of expenditure on 31 December of year n, as well as the amounts recovered during the year for each

Fund, at the latest by the end of February of year n+1".

5

Regulation 2015/1839, amending Regulation (EU) No 1303/2013 as regards specific measures for Greece.

6

Joint statement on a payment plan 2015-2016 agreed on 19 May 2015.

In €

Heading 2014 2015

1a Competitiveness for grow th and jobs 1 116 318 865 303

1b Economic, Social and Territorial Cohesion 25 810 0

2 Sustainable grow th: Natural Resources 60 475 21 266

3 Security and Citizenship 10 644 7 533

4 Global Europe 1 809 693 1 314 775

5 Administration 4 184 11 412

Total 3 027 124 2 220 288

13

payment claims for the 2007-2013 Cohesion programmes by the end of 2016, to a

maximum level of EUR 2 billion (depending on the actual level of remaining

suspensions and late submission of applications).

The backlog of unpaid claims for the Cohesion policy by end-2015 stands at

EUR 8,2 billion, significantly lower than the EUR 17 billion expected on the basis of

Member States forecasts7. The faster than expected phasing-out of the abnormal

backlog consolidates the objective defined in the 'payment plan'. It also makes it

possible to avoid cash-flow constraints and delays in reimbursing the Member States

in the first part of the year, which would have been experienced with a larger

backlog.

This lower than expected backlog is explained partly by a reinforcement of

appropriations for the 2007-2013 programmes by some EUR 2 billion through

transfers coming from the 2014-2020 programmes, for the reasons explained below.

However, most of the difference is due to submission of payable claims which were

some EUR 7 billion lower than expected (EUR 25 billion received instead of an

expected EUR 32 billion8). This is the first time for years that the summer Member

States' forecasts present such an important deviation from the actual outcome9. While

the pattern in the submission of claims was comparable to previous years until mid-

December, submission of claims in the last two weeks of December was far lower

(14% of the annual claims compared to 36% in 2014). The absence of N+2/N+3

automatic decommitments deadlines for most Member States (with the exception of

Romania, Slovakia and Croatia) might explain this delay, as claims can be sent till 31

March 201710

.

2014-2020 programmes

Concerning the 2014-2020 programming period, the Commission already expected in

its autumn report11

that the submission of payment claims would progress at a slower

pace than indicated by Member States' July forecasts, but the actual submission of

claims has been even lower than predicted (i.e. EUR 1,5 billion, of which

EUR 1,3 billion of payable claims12

). This is explained by the slow progress in the

designation of the managing and certifying authorities of the programmes, which is a

7 See information provided in the autumn information note on Active Monitoring and Forecasts of Budget Implementation of 14.10.2015, based on the

Member

States' forecasts as submitted by 31 July 2015.

8

Including the impact of the removal of the 95% capping for Greece and the 100% co-financing, which has been estimated at around EUR 0,5 billion in 2015.

9

Over-estimation of 27% for the programmes that had not yet reached the 95% ceiling compared to the over-estimation of around 2% to 3% on average over

the last years for forecasts submitted in summer.

10

Art. 93 of Council Regulation No 1083/2006. However, in the Commission decision C(2015) 2771 (guidelines on the closure), it is recommended that the

certifying authority submits the last interim payment claim by 30 June 2016, at the latest.

11 Autumn information note on Active Monitoring and Forecasts of Budget Implementation of 14.10.2015

12 Forecasts have been adjusted to take into account the 10% retention amount set in Art. 130 of the Council Regulation 1303/2013: "The Commission shall

reimburse as interim payments 90 % of the amount resulting from applying the co-financing rate for each priority, laid down in the

decision adopting the

operational programme, to the eligible expenditure for the priority included in the payment application".

14

pre-requisite for sending interim payment applications13

. At end of 2015, only 67

authorities had been designated (for 417 adopted programmes).

Out of EUR 1,3 billion of payable claims submitted, EUR 0,8 billion were paid as

interim payments, while a few claims were sent too late in the year to be properly

processed and paid, leading to a 'normal' backlog of around EUR 0,5 billion to be

paid in 2016.

8.2. January submission of Member States' payment forecasts for 2016

Every year14

, national authorities are invited to submit by 31 January the forecasts of

payment claims they expect to send for the current and following year (see Annex 2).

The table below summarises the expected interim claims in 2016 for both the 2007-

2013 and 2014-2020 programming period.

2007-13 programmes

Member States forecast to submit in 2016 some EUR 11,4 billion of payable claims,

more than doubling the previous forecasts submitted in July 2015.

Furthermore, Member States also expect that 96% of these payable claims (some

EUR 11 billion) will be submitted in the first part of 2016, while only the remaining

4% would be sent in the last two months of the year. Consequently, the claims

arriving too late to be properly processed and paid should be negligible.

The current forecasts seem to confirm that the Member States are on the right path for

catching-up with most of the EUR 7 billion payable claims not submitted in 2015

(see Chapter 8.1 above), of which some EUR 6,4 billion are expected in 2016, while

13

CPR, Art. 124 states that the Member State shall notify the Commission of the date and form of the designations of the managing authority and, where

appropriate, of the certifying authority, prior to the submission of the first application for interim payment to the Commission. 14 In accordance with Article 112 of the Council Regulation 1303/2013, covering the programming period 2014-2020 for the following Funds: ERDF, CF, ESF.

Forecasts regarding FEAD are required on a voluntary basis. Forecasts related to the 2007-2013 programming period are required by the Council Regulation

1083/2006 once a year and Member States are required to update them on a voluntary basis.

15

the rest shall be submitted by 31 March 2017 (the legal deadline for the submission

of closure documents)15

.

2014-20 programmes

Member States forecast to submit EUR 18,9 billion in payable claims in 2016. With

respect to their previous forecasts in July 2015, they have reduced their predictions

by EUR 4 billion. This may be explained by the fact that the managing authorities of

350 programmes still need to be designated in 201616

.

However, the lack of formal designation of the responsible authorities does not

prevent starting the implementation of projects; thus, an acceleration of the

submission of payment claims in the last part of the year cannot be excluded. In this

regard, Member States currently forecast to submit around 40% of their claims

(EUR 7,7 billion) in the last two months of 2016.

The absence of N+3 decommitment deadline17

is probably another reason for the

reduced estimate for 2016 claims. The N+3 deadline will apply in 2017 for the first

time.

8.3. Implications of Member States' forecasts for Budget 2016

2007-13 programmes

Whereas Budget 2016 (EUR 21,5 billion payment appropriations) had been prepared

under an assumption of a backlog around EUR 17 billion at the end of 2015, to be

paid in 2016, as mentioned above the actual backlog was some EUR 9 billion lower.

In their January forecasts, Member States envisage to submit in 2016

EUR 11,4 billion of payable claims, EUR 6,4 billion more than expected during the

preparation of the 2016 budget, therefore partially counterbalancing the substantial

reduction in the remaining backlog.

A limited number of programmes which did not reach the 95% ceiling by end of 2015

did not submit a 2016 forecast as requested. The Commission takes then into account

the possibility to receive payable claims for those programmes, up to a maximum

amount of some EUR 0,5 billion.

In addition, unlike in the latest years, Member States forecast a quite different pattern

in the distribution of the claims during the year: 96% of the payable claims are

forecast to be sent in the first part of 2016, drastically reducing the risk of a high

amount of unpaid claims at end 2016 due to late submission.

Consequently, the January forecasts of Member States seem to point towards the

following outlook:

the objective of fully phasing out, by the end of 2016, the 'abnormal' backlog

of unpaid claims will be reached within the available appropriations;

15

The open commitments will be automatically decommitted in case this date is not respected.

16

Data as 31/12/2015.

17

YEI and Greece additional pre-financing is the exception to the rule, having deadline in 2016.

16

the 'normal' backlog at the end of 2016 should mostly include the latest

interruptions and suspensions not yet lifted before the closure; this amount

should be quite limited but cannot be assessed at this stage.

At this early stage of the year many uncertainties still affect the pace of

implementation of 2007-2013 programmes. Based on the latest forecasts received

from Member States by 24 February 2016, the payable claims at the end of 2016

could be some EUR 2 billion below the payment appropriations. However, the actual

level of submission of claims remains uncertain, especially as some forecasts are still

missing. Furthermore, the outlook of the 2007-2013 programmes cannot be

considered independently from the 2014-2020 programmes, as transfers between

programming periods cannot be excluded.

2014-20 programmes

Member States have reduced their previous expectations for 2016 (the forecasts are

down from EUR 22,8 billion to EUR 18,9 billion) but their estimate remains higher

than the budget available for interim payments after taking into account pre-financing

by some EUR 2,7 billion. Taking into account the backlog from the end of 2015

(EUR 0,5 billion), the payment needs, as forecasted by the Member States, would

exceed the available budget by some EUR 3 billion, as illustrated by the table below.

In € billion

(a)

Budget 2016 for

interim payments

(b)

End-2015 backlog

(c)

Capped forecasts

2016

(d)=(a)-(b)-(c)

Difference

8,7 9,0

2,2 3,6

4,9 5,9

0,5 0,4

16,3 0,5 18,9 -3,2

Period

2014-2020

Total

ESF+YEI

Comparison between payment appropriations in Budget 2016 and payment expectations

0,4

0,1

-2,1

-1,1

ERDF

CF

FEAD

17

However, two factors may reduce the gap between forecasts and appropriations:

Member States forecasts tend to be over-estimated. For instance, corrected by

the over-estimate experienced on average over the last five years18

, the

expected claims would be some EUR 2 billion lower.

Some payment applications are always submitted too late in the year to be

paid in the same year and a residual backlog is recurrent. However, the recent

experience of 2015 demonstrates that, in absence of a legal deadline at the end

of the year, a large concentration of the submission of the payment

applications in the very last days of December is not the most plausible

scenario19

.

Accordingly, a reinforcement of the 2014-2020 budget lines, reversing the transfer

made at the end of 2015, is not certain at this stage.

8.4. Cohesion policy decommitments

In 2015 EUR 1,14 billion was decommitted for the Cohesion policy, of which

EUR 0,45 billion was linked to closure of the 2000-06 period programmes,

EUR 0,5 billion was linked to the consequences of the N+2/N+3 automatic

decommitments, while the remaining EUR 0,2 billion is related to programmes prior

2000, technical assistance and preparatory actions (see tables in Annex 3).

8.5. Conclusions

The payment forecasts submitted in January by Member States provide relatively

clear picture in relation to the 2007-2013 programmes, while the outlook is more

uncertain with regard to the 2014-2020 programmes.

At the end of 2016, the 2007-2013 programmes will be left with a negligible 'normal'

backlog, and the budgeted payment appropriations will be more than sufficient to

cover needs; the unused appropriations could be some EUR 2 billion, though the

precise amount will become clearer as implementation progresses in the course of

2016. Three main factors can influence it: the relevance of interruptions and

suspensions not lifted at the end of 2016 (whose precise extent will be known only

later in the year); a possible reinforcement for the 2014-2020 programmes (though its

need and potential size are still undefined on the basis of current data); and the

accuracy rate in the Member States' payment forecasts, including the role played by

the programmes which have not submitted forecasts by the last deadline. The

Commission closely monitors the situation, with a special focus on the Member

States which have experienced the largest error rates in forecasting, and it will

reassess its current estimates after the receipt of the summer update of payment

forecasts.

In relation to the 2014-2020 programmes, a limited 'normal' backlog (some

EUR 1,5 billion) may be expected at the end of 2016, with a near balance between

available budget appropriations and payment claims. Taking into account the high

18

The correction has been made applying the average error rate (14%) experienced in the period 2011-2015 for the same year forecasts.

19

For instance, only some 10% of the overall claims for 2007-2013 programming period have been submitted in the last ten calendar days in 2015.

18

degree of divergence in Member States` payment forecasts for 2015 compared to the

real outcome, and the uncertainty related to the timing in the designation of managing

and certifying authorities, this scenario will have to be reassessed on the basis of the

summer forecasts from Member States20

; on that basis, the Commission may propose

to amend the budget, as appropriate. The Commission will continue to monitor the

submission of claims and the designation of the authorities, to adjust its expectations

to the actual needs of these programmes.

20

A new update is due by 31 July, 2016.

19

ANNEX 1: 2015 IMPLEMENTATION – COMMITMENTS AND PAYMENTS Excluding Assigned Revenues

by heading of Multiannual Financial Framework

Provisional Data

Description


Available Appropriations 31 December

2015

Implementation 31 December 2015

Balance Available Appropriations 31 December

2015


Balance

Amount % before

carryover after

carryover Amount %

before carryover

after carryover

1. SMART AND INCLUSIVE GROWTH

1.1 Competitiveness for growth and jobs

1.1.1X Large infrastructure projects 1.1.10 European Fund for Strategic Investments 1 360,5 1 360,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0 3,6 3,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0

1.1.11 European Satellite Navigation Systems (EGNOS & GALILEO)

1 060,6 1 060,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0 811,0 809,6 99,8% -1,4 0,0

1.1.12 International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) 391,9 390,7 99,7% -1,2 -1,2 398,0 394,9 99,2% -3,1 -2,6

1.1.13 European Earth Observation Programme (COPERNICUS) 556,4 556,3 100,0% -0,1 -0,1 508,9 506,1 99,5% -2,7 -0,9

1.1.2 Nuclear Safety and Decommissioning 133,0 133,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0 150,0 149,7 99,8% -0,3 -0,3

1.1.3X Common Strategic Framework (CSF) Research & Innovation

1.1.31 Horizon 2020 9 539,4 9 538,9 100,0% -0,5 -0,5 9 084,4 9 006,6 99,1% -77,7 -14,1

1.1.32 Euratom Research and Training Programme 302,1 302,1 100,0% 0,0 0,0 349,2 331,7 95,0% -17,5 -2,2

1.1.4 Competitiveness of enterprises and small and medium-sized enterprises (COSME)

304,1 304,0 100,0% -0,1 -0,1 342,9 339,0 98,9% -3,8 -0,5

1.1.5 Education, Training, Youth and Sport (Erasmus+) 1 608,1 1 608,1 100,0% 0,0 0,0 1 579,0 1 571,7 99,5% -7,3 -0,4

1.1.6 Employment and Social Innovation (EaSI) 128,6 126,9 98,7% -1,7 -1,7 92,3 85,1 92,2% -7,2 -5,1

1.1.7 Customs, Fiscalis and Anti-Fraud 122,0 121,7 99,7% -0,3 -0,2 107,4 105,4 98,2% -2,0 -0,3

1.1.8X Connecting Europe Facility (CEF)

1.1.81 Energy 397,2 397,0 100,0% -0,1 -0,1 79,7 77,7 97,5% -2,0 -0,2

1.1.82 Transport 945,9 944,7 99,9% -1,2 -1,2 1 233,9 1 226,9 99,4% -7,0 -5,2

1.1.83 Information and Communication Technology (ICT) 92,0 92,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0 23,3 22,4 96,4% -0,8 -0,7

1.1.9 Energy projects to aid economic recovery (EERP)

384,6 384,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0

1.1.OTH Other actions and programmes 215,6 214,1 99,3% -1,4 -1,4 202,8 201,6 99,4% -1,3 -0,3

1.1.SPEC Actions financed under the prerogatives of the Commission and specific competences conferred to the Commission

131,0 124,6 95,1% -6,4 -6,4 117,3 112,9 96,3% -4,4 -4,4

1.1.PPPA Pilot projects and preparatory actions 20,8 19,7 94,5% -1,1 -1,1 17,8 17,0 95,5% -0,8 -0,8

1.1.DAG Decentralised agencies 242,6 242,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0 235,0 234,8 99,9% -0,2 -0,2

SUB-TOTAL 17 551,7 17 537,5 99,9% -14,3 -14,1 15 721,0 15 581,4 99,1% -139,7 -38,3

1.2 Economic, Social and Territorial Cohesion

1.2.11 Regional convergence (Less developed regions) 35 405,9 35 405,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 27 632,5 27 632,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0

1.2.12 Transition regions 6 895,4 6 895,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 785,4 785,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0

1.2.13 Competitiveness (More developed regions) 10 682,6 10 682,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0 7 531,9 7 531,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0

1.2.14 Outermost and sparsely populated regions 278,5 278,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0 25,4 25,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0

1.2.15 Cohesion fund 10 934,5 10 934,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0 12 070,3 12 070,3 100,0% 0,0 0,0

20



Provisional Data

Description



2015



2015


Balance

Amount % before

carryover after

carryover Amount %

before carryover

after carryover

1.2.2 European territorial cooperation 1 098,3 1 091,1 99,3% -7,2 0,0 1 278,4 1 278,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0

1.2.31 Technical assistance and innovative actions 192,8 173,0 89,7% -19,9 -19,9 179,1 159,6 89,1% -19,5 -5,0

1.2.4 European Aid to the Most Deprived (FEAD) 537,3 536,6 99,9% -0,6 -0,6 46,0 45,5 99,0% -0,5 -0,5

1.2.5 Youth employment initiative (specific top-up allocation) 1 636,9 1 636,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 1 035,1 1 035,1 100,0% 0,0 0,0

1.2.6 Contribution to the Connecting Europe Facility (CEF) 1 217,0 1 217,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0 394,7 393,6 99,7% -1,1 -1,1

1.2.PPPA Pilot projects and preparatory actions 3,5 3,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0 4,1 3,7 91,8% -0,3 -0,3

SUB-TOTAL 68 882,7 68 854,9 100,0% -27,7 -20,5 50 982,9 50 961,4 100,0% -21,5 -7,0

TOTAL SMART AND INCLUSIVE GROWTH 86 434,4 86 392,4 100,0% -42,0 -34,6 66 703,9 66 542,8 99,8% -161,1 -45,3

2. SUSTAINABLE GROWTH: NATURAL RESOURCES

2.0.10 European Agricultural Guarantee Fund (EAGF) - Market related expenditure and direct payments

44 323,1 43 871,6 99,0% -451,5 -41,7 44 330,9 43 863,1 98,9% -467,8 -44,2

2.0.2 European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development (EAFRD)

20 139,9 20 136,3 100,0% -3,6 -3,6 11 452,8 11 448,5 100,0% -4,3 -2,5

2.0.31 European Maritime and Fisheries Fund (EMFF) 1 651,8 1 650,8 99,9% -1,0 -1,0 787,1 785,9 99,8% -1,2 -0,3

2.0.32 Regional Fisheries Management Organisations (RFMOs) and Sustainable Fisheries Agreements (SFAs)

135,1 134,7 99,7% -0,4 -0,4 124,8 124,8 100,0% 0,0 0,0

2.0.4 Environment and climate action (LIFE) 435,1 434,5 99,9% -0,6 -0,6 345,6 339,1 98,1% -6,5 -1,4


5,3 4,3 80,7% -1,0 -1,0 9,1 8,4 92,3% -0,7 -0,7


2.0.DAG Decentralised agencies 50,4 50,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 50,4 50,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0

TOTAL SUSTAINABLE GROWTH: NATURAL RESOURCES 66 743,6 66 285,0 99,3% -458,7 -48,6 57 114,5 56 633,6 99,2% -480,9 -49,4

3. SECURITY AND CITIZENSHIP

3.0.1 Asylum, Migration and Integration Fund (AMIF) 807,7 807,4 100,0% -0,4 -0,4 405,3 403,2 99,5% -2,1 -0,3

3.0.2 Internal Security Fund (ISF) 613,5 613,0 99,9% -0,5 -0,5 352,0 349,9 99,4% -2,1 -0,8

3.0.3 IT Systems 18,9 18,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 16,4 16,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0

3.0.4 Justice 48,4 48,3 99,8% -0,1 -0,1 30,7 29,6 96,5% -1,1 -0,3

21



Provisional Data

Description



2015



2015


Balance

Amount % before

carryover after

carryover Amount %

before carryover

after carryover

3.0.5 Rights and Citizenship 57,4 56,8 98,9% -0,6 -0,6 39,0 38,3 98,0% -0,8 -0,3

3.0.6 Civil protection 29,3 29,0 99,0% -0,3 -0,3 24,6 23,8 96,8% -0,8 -0,8

3.0.7 Europe for Citizens 24,3 24,2 99,7% -0,1 -0,1 18,9 18,5 97,6% -0,4 -0,1

3.0.8 Food and Feed 252,5 252,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0 203,5 202,3 99,4% -1,2 -0,1

3.0.9 Health 59,8 59,7 100,0% 0,0 0,0 46,2 45,6 98,7% -0,6 0,0

3.0.10 Consumer protection 24,7 24,4 99,1% -0,2 -0,2 20,3 19,0 93,4% -1,3 -0,9

3.0.11 Creative Europe 177,7 177,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0 162,8 161,0 98,9% -1,8 -0,2

3.0.OTH Other actions and programmes

3.0.SPEC Actions financed under the prerogatives of the Commission and specific competencies conferred to the Commission

85,8 85,7 99,9% 0,0 0,0 90,0 89,2 99,1% -0,8 -0,1



TOTAL SECURITY AND CITIZENSHIP 2 775,6 2 773,1 99,9% -2,5 -2,5 1 971,2 1 958,1 99,3% -13,1 -4,0

4. GLOBAL EUROPE

4.0.1 Instrument for Pre-Accession Assistance (IPA) 1 687,7 1 686,8 99,9% -0,9 -0,9 1 517,2 1 505,3 99,2% -11,9 -7,0

4.0.2 European Neighbourhood Instrument (ENI) 2 385,8 2 385,5 100,0% -0,3 -0,3 1 607,0 1 600,0 99,6% -7,0 -0,6

4.0.3 Development Cooperation Instrument (DCI) 2 447,4 2 447,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 2 230,2 2 217,7 99,4% -12,4 -3,0

4.0.4 Partnership Instrument (PI) 118,0 118,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0 66,1 63,9 96,8% -2,1 -1,6

4.0.5 European Instrument for Democracy and Human Rights (EIDHR)

171,9 171,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 151,1 147,7 97,8% -3,4 -0,4

4.0.6 Instrument contributing to Stability and Peace (IcSP) 330,4 330,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 264,1 260,8 98,7% -3,4 -0,5

4.0.7 Humanitarian aid 1 295,9 1 295,9 100,0% 0,0 0,0 1 212,0 1 207,1 99,6% -4,9 -0,3

4.0.8 Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) 285,2 239,9 84,1% -45,3 -28,1 261,2 260,9 99,9% -0,3 0,0

4.0.9 Instrument for Nuclear Safety Cooperation (INSC) 61,2 61,2 100,0% 0,0 0,0 54,5 54,0 99,1% -0,5 0,0

4.0.10 Macro-financial assistance (MFA) 0,5 0,1 12,6% -0,4 -0,4 23,0 23,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0

4.0.11 EU guarantees for lending operations 144,4 144,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 144,4 144,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0

4.0.12 Civil protection and European Emergency Response Centre (ERC)

19,9 18,6 93,1% -1,4 -1,4 14,5 14,5 100,0% 0,0 0,0

4.0.13 European Voluntary Humanitarian Aid Corps (EVHAC) 7,4 7,4 100,0% 0,0 0,0 3,8 3,7 100,0% 0,0 0,0

4.0.OTH Other actions and programmes 75,8 74,9 98,8% -0,9 -0,9 58,2 58,0 99,7% -0,2 -0,1


62,0 61,4 99,0% -0,6 -0,6 53,0 53,0 99,9% 0,0 0,0

22



Provisional Data

Description



2015



2015


Balance

Amount % before

carryover after

carryover Amount %

before carryover

after carryover

4.0.PPPA Pilot projects and preparatory actions 16,2 16,2 100,0% 0,0 0,0 13,7 13,7 99,4% -0,1 -0,1


TOTAL GLOBAL EUROPE 9 129,7 9 079,7 99,5% -50,0 -32,8 7 694,0 7 647,8 99,4% -46,2 -13,5

5. ADMINISTRATION

5.1.1 Pensions 1 559,1 1 559,1 100,0% 0,0 0,0 1 559,1 1 559,1 100,0% 0,0 0,0

5.1.2 European schools 162,6 162,6 100,0% 0,0 0,0 164,5 164,2 99,8% -0,3 0,0

5.2.3X Commission administrative expenditure 3 269,1 3 267,1 99,9% -2,1 -1,8 3 569,8 3 290,5 92,2% -279,3 -31,0

5.2.3PPPA Pilot projects and preparatory actions 3,0 3,0 100,0% 0,0 0,0 0,5 0,4 85,6% -0,1 -0,0

5.2.3DAG Decentralised agencies

TOTAL ADMINISTRATION 4 993,8 4 991,7 100,0% -2,1 -1,8 5 293,9 5 014,2 94,7% -279,7 -31,0

TOTAL APPROPRIATIONS 170 077,2 169 522,0 99,7% -555,2 -120,3 138 777,5 137 796,5 99,3% -981,0 -143,2

SPECIAL INSTRUMENTS

9.0.1 Emergency Aid Reserve (EAR) 219,4 0,0 0,0% -219,4 0,0

9.0.2 European Globalisation Adjustment Fund (EGF) 197,9 78,9 39,9% -119,0 -119,0 43,8 43,0 98,2% -0,8 -0,2

9.0.31 European Union Solidarity Fund (EUSF) - Member States 149,3 149,3 100,0% 0,0 0,0 149,3 149,3 100,0% 0,0 0,0

9.0.32 European Union Solidarity Fund (EUSF) - Countries negotiating for accession

60,2 60,2 100,0% 0,0 0,0 60,2 60,2 100,0% 0,0 0,0

TOTAL SPECIAL INSTRUMENTS 626,8 288,4 46,0% -338,4 -119,0 253,3 252,5 99,7% -0,8 -0,2

GRAND TOTAL 170 704,0 169 810,3 99,5% -893,6 -239,3 139 030,8 138 049,0 99,3% -981,8 -143,4

23

ANNEX 2: HEADING 1B

LATEST FORECASTS FROM MEMBER STATES (JANUARY 2016)21

This annex sets out the latest forecasts from the Member States as regards the submission of

payment claims for the 2007-2013 and 2014-2020 Cohesion programmes in 2016 and 2017.

The figures related to 2007-2013 programming period include ESF, ERDF and CF.

The figures related to 2014-2020 programming period include ESF, YEI, FEAD, ERDF and

CF.

21

Data as 24/02/2016.

Member States forecasts – 2007-2013 programmes (in € billion)

Gross forecasts Gross forecasts

2016 2017

AT Austria 0,01 0,02

BE Belgium 0,03 0,06

BG Bulgaria 0,97 0,00

CY Cyprus 0,01 0,00

CZ Czech Republ ic 1,51 1,04

DE Germany 0,58 0,35

DK Denmark 0,00 0,00

EE Estonia 0,00 0,00

ES Spain 3,82 0,00

FI Finland 0,00 0,00

FR France 0,43 0,33

GR Greece 0,11 0,00

HR Croatia 0,19 0,02

HU Hungary 1,63 1,24

IE Ireland 0,00 0,00

IT Ita ly 3,41 0,47

LT Li thuania 0,00 0,34

LU Luxemburg 0,00 0,00

LV Latvia 0,00 0,23

MT Malta 0,10 0,04

NL Netherlands 0,11 0,00

PL Poland 4,00 0,00

PT Portugal 0,07 1,00

RO Romania 2,94 0,63

SE Sweden 0,00 0,00

SI Slovenia 0,00 0,00

SK Slovakia 1,61 0,39

UK United Kingdom 0,93 0,00

CB Terri toria l Cooperation 0,39 0,10

TOTAL 22,84 6,26

Period

2007-2013

24

Member States forecasts – 2014-2020 programmes (in € billion)

Gross forecasts Gross forecasts

2016 2017

AT Austria 0,01 0,09

BE Belgium 0,10 0,22

BG Bulgaria 0,45 1,00

CY Cyprus 0,07 0,10

CZ Czech Republ ic 0,39 1,32

DE Germany 1,11 2,55

DK Denmark 0,04 0,06

EE Estonia 0,37 0,48

ES Spain 1,42 3,20

FI Finland 0,10 0,17

FR France 0,84 1,12

GR Greece 2,37 1,56

HR Croatia 0,17 0,59

HU Hungary 2,79 3,68

IE Ireland 0,00 0,17

IT Ita ly 1,75 2,52

LT Li thuania 0,47 1,04

LU Luxemburg 0,00 0,01

LV Latvia 0,27 0,60

MT Malta 0,02 0,06

NL Netherlands 0,04 0,14

PL Poland 3,63 7,17

PT Portugal 1,66 2,56

RO Romania 0,80 3,21

SE Sweden 0,03 0,09

SI Slovenia 0,21 0,42

SK Slovakia 1,22 1,80

UK United Kingdom 0,46 0,90

TC Terri toria l Cooperation 0,20 0,69

TOTAL 21,00 37,52

Period

2014-2020

25

ANNEX 3: COHESION POLICY DECOMMITMENTS IN 2015

H1b - budget line DescriptionAmount decommitted

in 2015 (in € million)

04 01 04 01 Support expenditure for European Social Fund and non-operational technical assistance 0,02-

04 02 01 Completion of the European Social Fund - Objective 1 (2000 to 2006) 15,57-



04 02 09 Completion of previous Community initiatives (prior to 2000) 0,07-

04 02 17 Completion of the European Social Fund - Convergence (2007 to 2013) 31,10-

04 02 19 Completion of the European Social Fund - Regional competitiveness and employment (2007 to 2013) 98,12-

04 02 20 Completion of the European Social Fund - Operational technical assistance (2007 to 2013) 1,47-

04 02 63 01 European Social Fund - Operational technical assistance 0,10-

13 01 04 01 Support expenditure for European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) 0,37-

13 01 04 03 Support expenditure for the Cohesion Fund 0,12-

13 03 01 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Objective 1 (2000 to 2006) 260,19-

13 03 04 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Objective 2 (2000 to 2006) 150,17-

13 03 07 Completion of earlier programmes - Community initiatives (prior to 2000) 0,17-

13 03 13 Completion of Interreg III Community initiative (2000 to 2006) 16,39-

13 03 16 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Convergence 329,25-

13 03 18 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Regional competitiveness and employment 31,20-

13 03 19 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - European territorial cooperation 8,57-

13 03 20 Completion of European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Operational technical assistance 1,18-

13 03 31

Completion of technical assistance and dissemination of information on the European Union strategy for

the Baltic Sea Region and an improved knowledge of macroregions strategy (2007 to 2013) 0,05-

13 03 65 01 European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) - Operational technical assistance 0,52-

13 03 67 Macro-regional strategies 2014-2020 - European Strategy for the Baltic Sea Region - Technical Assistance 0,02-

13 03 77 06

Preparatory action - Enhancing regional and local cooperation through the promotion of Union regional

policy on a global scale 0,19-

13 04 01 Completion of Cohesion Fund projects (prior to 2007) 184,59-

13 04 02 Completion of Cohesion Fund (2007 to 2013) 0,47-

13 04 61 01 Cohesion Fund - Operational technical assistance 0,23-

1 141,65- TOTAL

In € million

ERDF ESF

Austria - 0,09

Belgium 7,12 -

France - 3,92

Greece 100,50 -

Italy 114,32 7,53

Spain - 15,57

United Kingdom 188,41 -

Multi-Country 16,39 -

Total 426,75 27,11

Member StateFunds 2000-2006

In € mill ion

Convergence

Regional

Competitiveness

and Employment

Territorial

Cooperation

Austria - 21,37 -

Belgium - 1,39 -

Bulgaria 19,36 - -

Czech Republic 306,73 2,71 -

France - 0,76 -

Germany 23,01 - -

Hungary - 0,00 -

Italy 3,16 9,41 -

Spain - 93,22 -

United Kingdom 8,09 0,45 -

Multi-Country - - 8,57

Total 360,36 129,31 8,57

Member State

Funds 2007-2013

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