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6 2015 US Property Report Year-End Claims Analysis Total Value of Property Estimates per Month In 2015, Xactware’s XactAnalysis network processed 4,296,544 estimates valued at $39,670,812,833—an increase of more than $1 billion over the 2014 total of $38,569,780,316 for 4,218,586 estimates. The monthly value of property estimates for January 2015 was $2.4 billion—more than $620 million less than the January 2014 total. The lowest dollar value of estimates in a month was $2.36 billion reported in February. Property estimate activity steadily rose and peaked at $4.1 billion in May following widespread thunderstorms and flooding in Texas and Oklahoma. The monthly value reached a high of $4.2 billion in July. Average Value of Property Estimates per Month The average value of a property estimate in 2015 was $9,233— up $102 from 2014 but still below the 2013 average of $9,918. The average value of a property estimate reflects both rising rebuilding costs and the impact of catastrophes. Massive storms that cause significant and widespread damage (such as Superstorm Sandy in 2012) can drive up average estimate values. Smaller storms that cause lighter damage to many buildings—such as the March 2014 ice storms—can bring down average values. In May 2015, flooding and severe weather pushed the average estimate value to the year's highest monthly average of $9,927. Late summer severe weather pushed the average estimate value to its second highest monthly total of $9,864 in September. Average estimate values over the past five years are as follows: 2011: $8,902 2012: $9,227 2013: $9,918 2014: $9,131 2015: $9,233 6 2015 US Property Report $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Average Value of Property Estimates per Month As reported to Xactware 2014 2015 Total Value of Property Estimates per Month As reported to Xactware $1 billion $2 billion $3 billion $4 billion $5 billion Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2014 2015 Xactware’s 2015 Property Report

Transcript of Year-End Claims Analysis - Xactware › globalassets › us › pdf › ...Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun...

  • 6 2015 US Property Report

    Year-End Claims Analysis

    Total Value of Property Estimates per Month

    In 2015, Xactware’s XactAnalysis network processed 4,296,544

    estimates valued at $39,670,812,833—an increase of more

    than $1 billion over the 2014 total of $38,569,780,316 for

    4,218,586 estimates.

    The monthly value of property estimates for January 2015 was

    $2.4 billion—more than $620 million less than the January 2014

    total. The lowest dollar value of estimates in a month was $2.36

    billion reported in February.

    Property estimate activity steadily rose and peaked at $4.1 billion

    in May following widespread thunderstorms and flooding in

    Texas and Oklahoma. The monthly value reached a high of $4.2

    billion in July.

    Average Value of Property Estimates per Month

    The average value of a property estimate in 2015 was $9,233—

    up $102 from 2014 but still below the 2013 average of $9,918.

    The average value of a property estimate reflects both rising

    rebuilding costs and the impact of catastrophes. Massive

    storms that cause significant and widespread damage (such

    as Superstorm Sandy in 2012) can drive up average estimate

    values. Smaller storms that cause lighter damage to many

    buildings—such as the March 2014 ice storms—can bring down

    average values.

    In May 2015, flooding and severe weather pushed the average

    estimate value to the year's highest monthly average of $9,927.

    Late summer severe weather pushed the average estimate

    value to its second highest monthly total of $9,864

    in September.

    Average estimate values over the past five years are as follows:

    2011: $8,902

    2012: $9,227

    2013: $9,918

    2014: $9,131

    2015: $9,233

    6 2015 US Property Report

    $10,000

    $9,000

    $8,000

    $7,000

    $6,000

    $5,000

    $4,000

    $3,000

    $2,000

    $1,000

    $0Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    Average Value of Property Estimates per MonthAs reported to Xactware

    2014 2015

    Total Value of Property Estimates per MonthAs reported to Xactware

    $1 billion

    $2 billion

    $3 billion

    $4 billion

    $5 billion

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2014 2015

    Xactware’s 2015 Property Report

  • 8 2015 US Property Report

    Year-End Claims Analysis

    Average Value of Property Estimates

    by Type of Loss by Industry Type

    Xactware tracks property estimate volume by loss type and

    industry type to help property professionals identify emerging

    trends. Industry types are grouped into five categories:

    • Contractor

    • Independent adjuster

    • Mitigation provider

    • Specialty provider (e.g., textile, furniture,

    or art restoration firm)

    • Staff adjuster

    Staff adjusters accounted for 63.8 percent of all estimates reported

    in 2015, independent adjusters uploaded 24.2 percent, contrac-

    tors uploaded 5.6 percent, mitigation providers uploaded 5.9

    percent, and specialty providers uploaded 0.5 percent.

    The highest average estimate value in 2015 was $50,737

    for fire losses reported by staff adjusters. That compares

    to the 2014 fire-loss average for staff adjusters of $46,363.

    Independent adjusters averaged $47,321 per estimate for fire

    losses in 2015, and contractors uploaded fire-loss estimates

    that averaged $23,055.

    Contractor 5.6%

    Mitigation Provider 5.9%

    Specialty Provider 0.5%

    Staff Adjuster 63.8%

    241,709

    1,040,887

    253,294

    21,122

    2,739,100

    Percent of Full-Cycle Claims by Industry TypeVolume of claims as reported to Xactware

    Independent Adjuster 24.2%

    Mitigation providers uploaded the lowest average estimate

    value of $779 for theft losses.

    A water loss was the most common type of estimate uploaded

    by all industry types except for independent adjusters. Of all

    estimates reported to Xactware in 2015, water losses accounted

    for 28.1 percent of estimates from staff adjusters, 29.9 percent

    of estimates from contractors, 40.3 percent of estimates from

    specialty providers, and 61.3 percent of estimates from mitiga-

    tion specialists. The most common type of loss uploaded by

    independent adjusters was a hail estimate (32.3 percent).

    Average Value of Property Estimates by Type of Loss by Industry TypeAs reported to Xactware

    $10k

    $20k

    $30k

    $40k

    $50k

    Collapse7,323

    Fire171,795

    Hail990,232

    Lightning50,596

    Smoke14,378

    Theft254,173

    Vandalism43,804

    Vehicle47,396

    Water1,272,071

    Wind554,536

    Other890,342

    Contractor Independent Adjuster Mitigation Provider Specialty Provider Staff Adjuster

    8 2015 US Property Report

    Year-End Claims Analysis

  • 16 2015 US Property Report

    Material and Labor Cost AnalysisReconstruction Cost Index

    Xactware’s Reconstruction Cost Index grew 3.66 percent in

    2015—slightly less than the 4.17 percent increase of 2014.

    Catastrophes had very little impact on local building costs in

    2015. The U.S. Department of Energy also reports that fuel costs

    dropped 38.4 percent from January 2014 to the end of 2015.

    Fuel costs have a significant effect on construction materials,

    especially petroleum-based products such as nylon carpet

    fibers and composition roofing. Rising fuel costs consistently

    lead to a rise in material prices, but falling fuel prices rarely

    result in more than a slight decrease in material costs.

    In a light catastrophe year with falling fuel costs, overall growth in

    the economy is the primary cause of rising reconstruction costs.

    Notable statistics:

    • The national average increased 3.66 percent.

    • No states reported a decrease.

    • 27 states showed an increase larger than the

    national average.

    • New Hampshire (6.15 percent) and Nevada (5.87

    percent) reported the largest increases.

    Xactware’s Reconstruction Cost Index ranks states by the

    percentage of change in rebuilding costs over the past year.

    It is not a ranking of the cost to rebuild. When ranking by the

    actual cost to rebuild, Hawaii, Alaska, and Washington, D.C., are

    the top three in total rebuild costs, while Arkansas, Kentucky,

    and Tennessee have the lowest costs.

    Xactware’s Reconstruction Cost Index tracks the cost to rebuild

    a variety of homes in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

    The index displays percent change of rebuild costs from fourth

    quarter 2014 to fourth quarter 2015.

    Please note that Xactware changed the way it calculates values

    in its Reconstruction Cost Index in 2014. In previous years, this

    index was tabulated by comparing the first quarter to the fourth

    quarter. Beginning in 2014, the index was calculated by compar-

    ing fourth quarter to fourth quarter.

    Percent Change of Cost to RebuildAs reported to Xactware

    New Hampshire

    Nevada

    Maine

    North Dakota

    Idaho

    Washington

    Montana

    Wisconsin

    Oregon

    Illinois

    Utah

    Minnesota

    Massachusetts

    Vermont

    Michigan

    Georgia

    New Jersey

    Indiana

    New York

    Connecticut

    Wyoming

    Kentucky

    Ohio

    South Carolina

    South Dakota

    Kansas

    Colorado

    Iowa

    Maryland

    Pennsylvania

    Virginia

    California

    Rhode Island

    New Mexico

    Alabama

    Mississippi

    Arkansas

    Tennessee

    Florida

    Delaware

    Alaska

    Missouri

    Nebraska

    Texas

    Louisiana

    Arizona

    West Virginia

    Oklahoma

    North Carolina

    Washington, D.C.

    Hawaii

    0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7%

    0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7%

    6.15%

    5.87%

    5.44%

    5.33%

    5.33%

    4.91%

    4.71%

    4.65%

    4.63%

    4.46%

    4.35%

    4.33%

    4.28%

    4.19%

    4.12%

    4.04%

    3.96%

    3.87%

    3.78%

    3.75%

    3.65%

    3.65%

    3.61%

    3.57%

    3.56%

    3.49%

    3.49%

    3.47%

    3.44%

    3.42%

    3.38%

    3.38%

    3.37%

    3.37%

    3.37%

    3.35%

    3.29%

    3.27%

    3.26%

    3.22%

    3.21%

    3.17%

    3.11%

    3.05%

    3.02%

    2.89%

    2.86%

    2.79%

    2.77%

    2.73%

    1.89%

    16 2015 US Property Report

    Material and Labor Cost Analysis

    7%

    6%

    5%

    4%

    3%

    2%

    1%

    0%

    -1%

    -2%

    20

    04

    20

    05

    20

    06

    20

    07

    20

    08

    20

    09

    20

    10

    20

    11

    20

    12

    20

    13

    20

    14

    20

    15

    Year-Over-Year Reconstruction Cost ChangeAs reported to Xactware

    6.0

    1%

    4.7

    8%

    6.3

    9%

    4.17

    %

    3.9

    7%

    0.9

    4%

    -1.4

    0%

    1.3

    5%

    1.4

    8%

    3.4

    4%

    4.17

    %

    3.6

    6%

    Year-End Claims AnalysisTotal Value of Property Estimates per MonthAverage Value of Property Estimates per MonthAverage Value of Property Estimates by Type of Loss

    Material and Labor Cost Analysis